Prognostic significance of addition of electrocardiographic findings to the MAGGIC heart failure risk score.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) is a scoring system that is easy to use in outpatient or inpatient settings and was developed to predict the survival of heart failure (HF) patients after hospitalization. AIM: This study aims to determine the prognostic significance of MAGGIC risk score combined with electrocardiography (ECG) parameters in decompensated patients with heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFrEF) who were hospitalized for worsening HF. METHODS: A total of 562 HF patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) II-IV functional class who were discharged after hospitalization for decompensated HF between 2013 and 2018 in a single center were included. MAGGIC risk scores of all participating patients were calculated according to baseline characteristics gathered using data from the initial hospitalization for HF. In addition, electrocardiographic findings of all patients were examined. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (4.5 ± 1.2 years) 177 patients died. MAGGIC scores were observed to be higher in non-survivors compared to surviving patients (28.69 ± 7.01 vs. 22.82 ± 6.05, p < 0.001). After a multivariate analysis, MAGGIC score (OR1.090, p < 0.001), development of cardio-renal syndrome (OR2.035, p < 0.001), presence of left bundle branch block (LBBB) (OR1.931, p < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (AF) (OR1.817, p < 0.001), and fragmented QRS (fQRS) (OR1.671, p = 0.002) on ECG were found to be independent predictors of mortality. While the MAGGIC score was shown to predict mortality (AUC = 0.739), its predictive power was improved when combined with AF (AUC = 0.752), LBBB (AUC = 0.745), and fQRS (AUC = 0.757) respectively, as well as in the combined final model (MAGGIC score, AF, LBBB, fQRS) (AUC = 0.787). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings showed that addition of electrocardiographic findings to the MAGGIC heart failure risk score has prognostic significance in decompensated patients with HFrEF.