The Impact of Menthol Cigarette Bans: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This review investigates the impacts of banning the sale of menthol cigarettes at stores. METHODS: A systematic search of studies published in English up to November 2022 was conducted. The following databases were searched PubMed/Medline, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and Embase, as well as a non-indexed journal. Studies evaluating either the impact of real-world or hypothesized menthol cigarette bans were included. Primary outcomes include tobacco use behaviors. Secondary outcomes include cigarette sales, retailer compliance, and the tobacco industry's response to a menthol ban. Data on tobacco use behavior after a menthol ban were pooled using random-effects models. Two pairs of reviewers independently extracted data and assessed study quality. RESULTS: Of the 964 articles that were identified during the initial search, 78 were included in the review and 16 were included in the meta-analysis. Cessation rates among menthol cigarette smokers were high after a menthol ban. Pooled results show that 24% (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 20%, 28%) of menthol cigarette smokers quit smoking after a menthol ban, 50% (95% CI 31%, 68%) switched to non-menthol cigarettes, 12% (95% CI 3%, 20%) switched to other flavored tobacco products, and 24% (95% CI 17%, 31%) continued smoking menthol cigarettes. Hypothesized quitting and switching rates were fairly close to real-world rates. Studies found the tobacco industry attempts to undermine menthol bans. National menthol bans appear more effective than local or state menthol bans. CONCLUSIONS: Menthol cigarette bans promote smoking cessation suggesting their potential to improve public health. IMPLICATIONS Findings from this review suggest that menthol cigarette bans promote smoking cessation among menthol cigarette smokers and have the potential to improve public health.