Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of Rivaroxaban and Low Molecular Heparin in Preventing Venous Thromboembolism in Inpatient Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: There are few studies on using rivaroxaban and low molecular heparin (LMWH) to prevent venous thromboembolism (VTE) in hospitalized cancer patients. OBJECTIVE: We conducted a retrospective study to evaluate the efficacy and safety of rivaroxaban versus LMWH for the primary prevention of VTE in inpatient cancer patients. METHODS: Information on patients was collected through 6-month follow-up and medical record inquiries. Clinical outcomes included VTE, total bleeding, thrombosis, major bleeding, minor bleeding, all-cause death, and a composite endpoint of bleeding, thrombosis, and death. RESULTS: A total of 602 hospitalized cancer patients were included in this study. During 6 months of follow-up, there were 26 VTE events (8.6%), 42 total bleeding events (7.0%), 62 all-cause deaths (10.3%), and 140 composite endpoints (23.3%). After adjusting for various confounding factors, there were no significant differences between the rivaroxaban and LMWH for VTE events (OR = 0.851, 95% CI [0.387-1.872], P=0.688), total bleeding (OR = 1.690, 95% CI [0.768-3.719], P = 0.192], thrombosis events (OR = 0.919, 95% CI [0.520-1.624], P = 0.772], major bleeding (OR = 0.276, 95% CI [0.037-2.059], P = 0.209), all-cause death (OR = 0.994, 95% CI [0.492-2.009], P = 0.987), and composite endpoints (OR = 0.994, 95% CI [0.492-2.009], P = 0.987), while minor bleeding (OR = 3.661 95% CI [1.000-7.083], P = 0.050) was significantly higher in the rivaroxaban than in the LMWH. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In thromboprophylaxis in inpatient cancer patients, rivaroxaban has a similar rate of VTE and bleeding events as LMWH. Our results may provide a reference for the clinical use of rivaroxaban to prevent VTE in hospitalized cancer patients.

Interpretable machine learning models for predicting venous thromboembolism in the intensive care unit: an analysis based on data from 207 centers.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a severe complication in critically ill patients, often resulting in death and long-term disability and is one of the major contributors to the global burden of disease. This study aimed to construct an interpretable machine learning (ML) model for predicting VTE in critically ill patients based on clinical features and laboratory indicators. METHODS: Data for this study were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (version 2.0). A stepwise logistic regression model was used to select the predictors that were eventually included in the model. The random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and support vector machine algorithms were used to construct the model using fivefold cross-validation. The area under curve (AUC), accuracy, no information rate, balanced accuracy, kappa, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score were used to assess the model's performance. In addition, the DALEX package was used to improve the interpretability of the final model. RESULTS: This study ultimately included 109,044 patients, of which 1647 (1.5%) had VTE during ICU hospitalization. Among the three models, the Random Forest model (AUC: 0.9378; Accuracy: 0.9958; Kappa: 0.8371; Precision: 0.9095; F1 score: 0.8393; Sensitivity: 0.7791; Specificity: 0.9989) performed the best. CONCLUSION: ML models can be a reliable tool for predicting VTE in critically ill patients. Among all the models we had constructed, the random forest model was the most effective model that helps the user identify patients at high risk of VTE early so that early intervention can be implemented to reduce the burden of VTE on the patients.

Global, regional, and national burden of ischaemic heart disease and its trends, 1990-2019.

OBJECTIVES: Ischemic heart disease (IHD) has high morbidity, disability, and mortality rates and is a major contributor to the global disease burden. This study aimed to obtain a more detailed description of the burden of IHD through secondary analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019. STUDY DESIGN: This is an epidemiological study. METHODS: Data for this study were obtained from the GBD 2019 database. Annual average percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to assess trends in IHD prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Regional and national burden of IHD was assessed by stratifying by sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI). RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global prevalence of IHD, morbidity cases, deaths, and DALYs increased, but the age-standardized rates of IHD burden decreased. Morbidity, mortality, and DALY rates for IHD in both sexes increased with age. The prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALY rates were higher in men than women in all age groups. In particular, the male-to-female ratios for mortality and DALY rates peaked among 35-39 year olds, while the male-to-female ratios for prevalence and morbidity peaked among 55-59 year olds. Age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates were higher in low- and middle-income regions than in other SDI regions. CONCLUSION: Although age-standardized prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and age-standardized DALY rates due to IHD decreased globally from 1990 to 2019, age-standardized prevalence and morbidity of IHD increased in Low SDI, Low-middle SDI, and Middle SDI regions.

Global burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to metabolic risk factors, 1990-2019: an analysis of observational data from a 2019 Global Burden of Disease study.

OBJECTIVES: An up-to-date, detailed global analysis of the current status of the metabolic-attributed cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden has not been reported. Therefore, we investigated the global burden of metabolic-attributed CVD and its association with socioeconomic development status over the past 30 years. METHODS: Data on the burden of metabolic-attributed CVD were taken from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Metabolic risk factors of CVD included high fasting plasma glucose, high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high systolic blood pressure (SBP), high body mass index (BMI) and kidney dysfunction. Numbers and age-standardised rates (ASR) of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and deaths were extracted and stratified by sex, age, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) level, country and region. RESULTS: The ASR of metabolic-attributed CVD DALYs and deaths decreased by 28.0% (95% UI 23.8% to 32.5%) and 30.4% (95% UI 26.6% to 34.5%), respectively, from 1990 to 2019. The highest burden of metabolic-attributed total CVD and intracerebral haemorrhage was mainly in low SDI locations, while the highest burden of ischaemic heart disease and IS was mainly in high SDI locations. The burden of DALYs and deaths in CVD was higher in men than women. In addition, the number and ASR of DALYs and deaths were highest in those over 80 years old. CONCLUSION: Metabolic-attributed CVD threatens public health, especially in low-SDI locations and among the elderly. Low SDI location should strengthen the control of metabolic factors such as high SBP, high BMI, and high LDL-c and increase the knowledge of metabolic risk factors for CVD. Countries and regions should enhance screening and prevention of metabolic risk factors of CVD in the elderly. Policy-makers should use 2019 GBD data to guide cost-effective interventions and resource allocation.

Rheumatic heart disease burden, trends, and inequalities in Asia, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is a serious global public health problem. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to characterise the regional burden, trends, and inequalities of RHD in countries and territories in the Asian Region. METHODS: The RHD disease burden was measured in terms of the numbers of cases and deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), disability-loss healthy life years (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) in 48 countries in the Asian Region. Data on RHD were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease. This study analysed changing trends in the burden between 1990 and 2019, quantified regional inequalities in mortality, and classified countries by 2019 YLLs. RESULTS: There were an estimated 22 246 127 cases of RHD in the Asian Region in 2019 and 249 830 deaths. The prevalence of RHD in the Asian Region in 2019 was 9% lower than the global estimate, while mortality was 41% higher. The mortality rate for RHD in the Asian Region trended downwards from 1990 to 2019, with an average annual percentage change of -3.2% (95% UI -3.3 to -3.1). From 1990 to 2019, absolute inequality in RHD-related mortality decreased in the Asian Region while relative inequality increased. Of the 48 countries studied, twelve had the highest level of RHD YLLs in 2017 and the smallest reduction in YLLs from 1990 to 2019. CONCLUSION: Although the burden of RHD in the Asian Region has steadily decreased since 1990, it remains a serious public health issue requiring greater attention. In the Asian Region, inequalities in the distribution of the RHD burden remain significant, with economically deprived countries typically bearing a greater share of the load.

Efficacy and Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Combined With Hypertension: A Multicenter, Retrospective Cohort Study.

Whether there are differences in direct oral anticoagulants efficacy and safety in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) combined with hypertension is unclear. We therefore conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study to assess the differences in the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants in patients with AF combined with hypertension. This multicenter retrospective cohort study was based on data from 15 centers in China and included 2086 patients with AF. We divided the patients into dabigatran and rivaroxaban groups according to their direct oral anticoagulants. Propensity score matching was used to balance the covariates between the groups. Due to our limited sample size, the number of cases of some clinical events with low incidence was small. During a mean follow-up period of 10 months, a total of 268 (12.9%) bleeding events occurred, including 27 (1.3%) major bleeding events and 241 (11.6%) minor bleeding events, and 45 (2.2%) thromboembolic events. In patients with AF combined with hypertension, rivaroxaban was associated with a higher major bleeding incidence than dabigatran (odds ratio [OR], 2.89 [95% confidence interval [CI, 1.22-6.87]; P = .012). In contrast, the risk of thromboembolism and minor bleeding was similar for rivaroxaban (OR, 0.55 [95%CI, 0.29-1.01]; P = .069) and dabigatran (OR, 0.82 [95%CI, 0.63-1.08]; P = .150). Based on the results of this study, in patients with AF and hypertension treated with direct oral anticoagulants, the incidence of thromboembolism and minor bleeding was not statistically different between dabigatran and rivaroxaban, but compared with rivaroxaban, dabigatran was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding.

Safety and efficacy of direct oral anticoagulation in patients with and without radiofrequency ablation of non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Based on the few available studies on the prognostic benefit of using direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the prognostic differences between patients who underwent radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and those without RFA taking DOACs. METHODS: This is a multicenter retrospective cohort study enrolling 6137 patients with non-valvular AF (NVAF) at 15 hospitals in China. Patient information was collected through a mean follow-up of 10 months and medical record queries. Clinical outcomes included major bleeding, total bleeding, thrombosis, all-cause death, and a composite endpoint of bleeding, thrombosis, and all-cause death. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounders and propensity score matching (PSM), patients with RFA of NVAF had a significantly lower risk of major bleeding [OR 0.278 (95% CI, 0.150-0.515), P<0.001], thrombosis [OR 0.535 (95% CI, 0.316-0.908), P=0.020] and the composite endpoint [ OR 0.835 (95% CI, 0.710-0.982), P=0.029]. In the RFA PSM cohort, dabigatran was associated with reduced all-cause death in patients with RFA of NVAF [OR 0.420 (95% CI, 0.212-0.831), P=0.010]. In the no RFA PSM cohort, rivaroxaban was associated with a reduction in major bleeding [OR 0.521 (95% CI, 0.403-0.673), P<0.001], total bleeding [OR 0.114 (95% CI, 0.049-0.266), P<0.001], and the composite endpoint [OR 0.659 ( 95% CI, 0.535-0.811), P<0.001]. CONCLUSION: Among patients with NVAF treated with DOACs, RFA was a negative correlate of major bleeding, thrombosis, and composite endpoints but was not associated with total bleeding or all-cause mortality.

Direct oral anticoagulants for venous thromboembolism in cancer patients: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), including dabigatran, apixaban, rivaroxaban, and edoxaban, for preventing and treating venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with cancer is unclear. METHODS: We searched the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases from the establishment to November 30, 2021. In the frequency-based network meta-analysis, the odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval was reported. The relative ranking probability of each group was generated based on the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). RESULTS: We included 15 randomized controlled trials involving a total of 6162 patients. Apixaban reduced the risk of VTE compared with low-molecular heparin [OR = 0.53, 95% CI (0.32, 0.89)]. The efficacy of drugs was ranked from highest to lowest as follows: apixaban (SUCRA, 81.0), rivaroxaban (73.0), edoxaban (65.9), dabigatran (51.4), warfarin (30.8), and low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) (27.4). Edoxaban increased the risk of major bleeding compared with LMWH [OR = 1.83, 95% CI (1.04, 3.22)]. The safety of drugs was ranked from highest to lowest as follows: major bleeding-apixaban (SUCRA, 68.5), LMWH (55.1), rivaroxaban (53.0), warfarin (35.9), dabigatran (29.2), edoxaban (16.5) and clinically relevant non-major bleeding-LMWH (73.0), apixaban (57.8), edoxaban (45.8), rivaroxaban (35.3), and warfarin (10.8). CONCLUSIONS: For preventing and treating VTE, in terms of VTE occurrence and major bleeding, apixaban had the lowest risk; in terms of clinically relevant non-major bleeding, LMWH had the lowest risk, followed by apixaban. Generally, apixaban is the most efficient and safest DOAC and presents better efficacy and relatively low bleeding risk among the VTE prevention and treatment drugs for patients with cancer.