Syndromic case definitions for lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) are less sensitive in older age: an analysis of symptoms among hospitalised adults.

BACKGROUND: Lower Respiratory Tract Infections (LRTI) pose a serious threat to older adults but may be underdiagnosed due to atypical presentations. Here we assess LRTI symptom profiles and syndromic (symptom-based) case ascertainment in older (≥ 65y) as compared to younger adults (< 65y). METHODS: We included adults (≥ 18y) with confirmed LRTI admitted to two acute care Trusts in Bristol, UK from 1st August 2020- 31st July 2022. Logistic regression was used to assess whether age ≥ 65y reduced the probability of meeting syndromic LRTI case definitions, using patients' symptoms at admission. We also calculated relative symptom frequencies (log-odds ratios) and evaluated how symptoms were clustered across different age groups. RESULTS: Of 17,620 clinically confirmed LRTI cases, 8,487 (48.1%) had symptoms meeting the case definition. Compared to those not meeting the definition these cases were younger, had less severe illness and were less likely to have received a SARS-CoV-2 vaccination or to have active SARS-CoV-2 infection. Prevalence of dementia/cognitive impairment and levels of comorbidity were lower in this group. After controlling for sex, dementia and comorbidities, age ≥ 65y significantly reduced the probability of meeting the case definition (aOR = 0.67, 95% CI:0.63-0.71). Cases aged ≥ 65y were less likely to present with fever and LRTI-specific symptoms (e.g., pleurisy, sputum) than younger cases, and those aged ≥ 85y were characterised by lack of cough but frequent confusion and falls. CONCLUSIONS: LRTI symptom profiles changed considerably with age in this hospitalised cohort. Standard screening protocols may fail to detect older and frailer cases of LRTI based on their symptoms.

Surveillance of pneumococcal serotypes in adults hospitalised with acute lower respiratory tract infection in Bristol, UK.

INTRODUCTION: Pneumococcus remains a major cause of adult lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI). Few data exist on the relative contribution of serotypes included in pneumococcal vaccines to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and non-pneumonic (NP) LRTI. We measured the burden of all and vaccine-serotype pneumococcal respiratory infection following SARS-CoV-2 emergence to inform evidence-based vaccination policy. METHODS: A prospective cohort study at two Bristol hospitals (UK) including all adults age ≥ 18-years hospitalised with acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) from Nov2021-Nov2022. LRTI patients were classified as: a) radiographically-confirmed CAP (CAP+/RAD+), b) clinically-diagnosed CAP without radiological confirmation (CAP+/RAD-), or c) NP-LRTI. Pneumococcus was identified by blood culture, BinaxNOW™and serotype-specific urine antigen detection assays (UAD). RESULTS: Of 12,083 aLRTD admissions, 10,026 had LRTI and 2,445 provided urine: 1,097 CAP + RAD+; 207 CAP + RAD-; and 1,141 NP-LRTI. Median age was 71.1y (IQR57.9-80.2) and Charlson comorbidity index = 4 (IQR2-5); 2.7 % of patients required intensive care, and 4.4 % died within 30-days of hospitalisation. Pneumococcus was detected in 280/2445 (11.5 %) participants. Among adults aged ≥ 65y and 18-64y, 12.9 % (198/1534) and 9.0 % (82/911), respectively, tested pneumococcus positive. We identified pneumococcus in 165/1097 (15.0 %) CAP + RAD+, 23/207 (11.1 %) CAP + RAD-, and 92/1141 (8.1 %) NP-LRTI cases. Of the 280 pneumococcal cases, 102 (36.4 %) were due to serotypes included in PCV13 + 6C, 115 (41.7 %) in PCV15 + 6C, 210 (75.0 %) in PCV20 + 6C/15C and 228 (81.4 %) in PPV23 + 15C. The most frequently identified serotypes were 8 (n = 78; 27.9 % of all pneumococcus), 7F (n = 25; 8.9 %), and 3 (n = 24; 8.6 %). DISCUSSION: Among adults hospitalised with respiratory infection, pneumococcus is an important pathogen across all subgroups, including CAP+/RAD- and NP-LRTI. Despite 20-years of PPV23 use in adults ≥ 65-years and herd protection due to 17-years of PCV use in infants, vaccine-serotype pneumococcal disease still causes a significant proportion of LRTI adult hospitalizations. Direct adult vaccination with high-valency PCVs may reduce pneumococcal disease burden.

Association of ABO and Rhesus blood groups with severe outcomes from non-SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infection: A prospective observational cohort study in Bristol, UK 2020-2022.

Despite significant global morbidity associated with respiratory infection, there is a paucity of data examining the association between severity of non-SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infection and blood group. We analysed a prospective cohort of adults hospitalised in Bristol, UK, from 1 August 2020 to 31 July 2022, including patients with acute respiratory infection (pneumonia [n = 1934] and non-pneumonic lower respiratory tract infection [NP-LRTI] [n = 1184]), a negative SARS-CoV-2 test and known blood group status. The likelihood of cardiovascular complication, survival and hospital admission length was assessed using regression models with group O and RhD-negative status as reference groups. Group A and RhD-positive were over-represented in both pneumonia and NP-LRTI compared to a first-time donor population (p < 0.05 in all); contrastingly, group O was under-represented. ABO group did not influence cardiovascular complication risk; however, RhD-positive patients with pneumonia had a reduced odds ratio (OR) for cardiovascular complications (OR = 0.77 [95% CI = 0.59-0.98]). Compared to group O, group A individuals with NP-LRTI were more likely to be discharged within 60 days (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.17 [95% CI = 1.03-1.33]), while group B with pneumonia was less likely (HR = 0.8 [95% CI = 0.66-0.96]). This analysis provides some evidence that blood group status may influence clinical outcome following respiratory infection, with group A having increased risk of hospitalisation and RhD-positive patients having reduced cardiovascular complications.

Increased Progression-Free Survival with Cabozantinib Versus Placebo in Patients with Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Irrespective of Prior Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor Receptor-Targeted Therapy and Tumor Histology: A Subgroup Analysis of the COSMIC-311 Study.

Background: Lenvatinib and sorafenib are standard of care first-line treatments for advanced, radioiodine-refractory (RAIR) differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). However, most patients eventually become treatment-resistant and require additional therapies. The phase 3 COSMIC-311 study investigated cabozantinib in patients with RAIR DTC who progressed on lenvatinib, sorafenib, or both and showed that cabozantinib provided substantial clinical benefit. Presented in this study is an analysis of COSMIC-311 based on prior therapy and histology. Methods: Patients were randomized 2:1 (stratification: prior lenvatinib [yes/no]; age [≤65, >65 years]) to oral cabozantinib (60 mg tablet/day) or matched placebo. Eligible patients received 1-2 prior vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-targeting tyrosine kinase inhibitors for DTC (lenvatinib or sorafenib required), had a confirmed DTC diagnosis, and were refractory to or ineligible for radioiodine therapy. For this analysis, progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 by a blinded independent radiology committee were evaluated by prior therapy (lenvatinib only, sorafenib only, both) and histology (papillary, follicular, oncocytic, poorly differentiated). Results: Two hundred fifty-eight patients were randomized (170 cabozantinib/88 placebo) who previously received sorafenib only (n = 96), lenvatinib only (n = 102), or both (n = 60). The median follow-up was 10.1 months. The median PFS (months) with cabozantinib/placebo was 16.6/3.2 (sorafenib only: hazard ratio [HR] 0.13 [95% confidence interval, CI, 0.06-0.26]), 5.8/1.9 (lenvatinib only: HR 0.28 [95% CI 0.16-0.48]), and 7.6/1.9 (both: HR 0.27 [95% CI 0.13-0.54]). The ORR with cabozantinib/placebo was 21%/0% (sorafenib only), 4%/0% (lenvatinib only), and 8%/0% (both). Disease histology consisted of 150 papillary and 113 follicular, including 43 oncocytic and 36 poorly differentiated. The median PFS (months) with cabozantinib/placebo was 9.2/1.9 (papillary: HR 0.27 [95% CI 0.17-0.43]), 11.2/2.5 (follicular: HR 0.18 [95% CI 0.10-0.31]), 11.2/2.5 (oncocytic: HR 0.06 [95% CI 0.02-0.21]), and 7.4/1.8 (poorly differentiated: HR 0.18 [95% CI 0.08-0.43]). The ORR with cabozantinib/placebo was 15%/0% (papillary), 8%/0% (follicular), 11%/0% (oncocytic), and 9%/0% (poorly differentiated). Safety outcomes evaluated were consistent with those previously observed for the overall population. Conclusions: Results indicate that cabozantinib benefits patients with RAIR DTC, regardless of prior lenvatinib or sorafenib treatments or histology. Clinical Trial Registration Number: NCT03690388.

Relative vaccine effectiveness of mRNA COVID-19 boosters in people aged at least 75 years during the spring-summer (monovalent vaccine) and autumn-winter (bivalent vaccine) booster campaigns: a prospective test negative case-control study, United Kingdom, 2022.

BackgroundUnderstanding the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of new COVID-19 vaccine formulations against SARS-CoV-2 infection is a public health priority. A precise analysis of the rVE of monovalent and bivalent boosters given during the 2022 spring-summer and autumn-winter campaigns, respectively, in a defined population remains of interest.AimWe assessed rVE against hospitalisation for the spring-summer (fourth vs third monovalent mRNA vaccine doses) and autumn-winter (fifth BA.1/ancestral bivalent vs fourth monovalent mRNA vaccine dose) boosters.MethodsWe performed a prospective single-centre test-negative design case-control study in ≥ 75-year-old people hospitalised with COVID-19 or other acute respiratory disease. We conducted regression analyses controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic status, patient comorbidities, community SARS-CoV-2 prevalence, vaccine brand and time between baseline dose and hospitalisation.ResultsWe included 682 controls and 182 cases in the spring-summer booster analysis and 572 controls and 152 cases in the autumn-winter booster analysis. A monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine as fourth dose showed 46.6% rVE (95% confidence interval (CI): 13.9-67.1) vs those not fully boosted. A bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine as fifth dose had 46.7% rVE (95% CI: 18.0-65.1), compared with a fourth monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose.ConclusionsBoth fourth monovalent and fifth BA.1/ancestral mRNA bivalent COVID-19 vaccine doses demonstrated benefit as a booster in older adults. Bivalent mRNA boosters offered similar protection against hospitalisation with Omicron infection to monovalent mRNA boosters given earlier in the year. These findings support immunisation programmes in several European countries that advised the use of BA.1/ancestral bivalent booster doses.

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 infective exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease on clinical outcomes in a prospective cohort study of hospitalised adults.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) triggered by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), have worse outcomes than AECOPD caused by other infectious agents or non-infective AECOPD (NI-COPD). DESIGN: A two-hospital prospective cohort study of adults hospitalised with acute respiratory disease. We compared outcomes with AECOPD and a positive test for SARS-CoV-2 (n = 816), AECOPD triggered by other infections (n = 3038) and NI-COPD (n = 994). We used multivariable modelling to adjust for potential confounders and assessed variation by seasons associated with different SARS-CoV-2 variants. SETTING: Bristol UK, August 2020-May 2022. PARTICIPANTS: Adults (≥18 y) hospitalised with AECOPD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We determined the risk of positive pressure support, longer hospital admission and mortality following hospitalisation with AECOPD due to non-SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with SARS-CoV-2 AECOPD and NI-COPD. RESULTS: Patients with SARS-CoV-2 AECOPD, in comparison to non-SARS-CoV-2 infective AECOPD or NI-COPD, more frequently required positive pressure support (18.5% and 7.5% vs. 11.7%, respectively), longer hospital stays (median [interquartile range, IQR]: 7 [3-15] and 5 [2-10] vs. 4 [2-9] days, respectively) and had higher 30-day mortality (16.9% and 11.1% vs. 5.9%, respectively) (all p < 0.001). In adjusted analyses, SARS-CoV-2 AECOPD was associated with a 55% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 24-93), 26% (95% CI: 15-37) and 35% (95% CI: 10-65) increase in the risk of positive pressure support, hospitalisation length and 30-day mortality, respectively, relative to non-SARS-CoV-2 infective AECOPD. The difference in risk remained similar during periods of wild-type, Alpha and Delta SARS-CoV-2 strain dominance, but diminished during Omicron dominance. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2-related AECOPD had worse patient outcomes compared with non-SARS-CoV-2 AECOPD or NI-AECOPD, although the difference in risks was less pronounced during Omicron dominance.

Evaluation and deployment of isotype-specific salivary antibody assays for detecting previous SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and adults.

BACKGROUND: Saliva is easily obtainable non-invasively and potentially suitable for detecting both current and previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, but there is limited evidence on the utility of salivary antibody testing for community surveillance. METHODS: We established 6 ELISAs detecting IgA and IgG antibodies to whole SARS-CoV-2 spike protein, to its receptor binding domain region and to nucleocapsid protein in saliva. We evaluated diagnostic performance, and using paired saliva and serum samples, correlated mucosal and systemic antibody responses. The best-performing assays were field-tested in 20 household outbreaks. RESULTS: We demonstrate in test accuracy (N = 320), spike IgG (ROC AUC: 95.0%, 92.8-97.3%) and spike IgA (ROC AUC: 89.9%, 86.5-93.2%) assays to discriminate best between pre-pandemic and post COVID-19 saliva samples. Specificity was 100% in younger age groups (0-19 years) for spike IgA and IgG. However, sensitivity was low for the best-performing assay (spike IgG: 50.6%, 39.8-61.4%). Using machine learning, diagnostic performance was improved when a combination of tests was used. As expected, salivary IgA was poorly correlated with serum, indicating an oral mucosal response whereas salivary IgG responses were predictive of those in serum. When deployed to household outbreaks, antibody responses were heterogeneous but remained a reliable indicator of recent infection. Intriguingly, unvaccinated children without confirmed infection showed evidence of exposure almost exclusively through specific IgA responses. CONCLUSIONS: Through robust standardisation, evaluation and field-testing, this work provides a platform for further studies investigating SARS-CoV-2 transmission and mucosal immunity with the potential for expanding salivo-surveillance to other respiratory infections in hard-to-reach settings.

If a person has been previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 they will produce specific proteins, called antibodies. These are present in the saliva and blood. Saliva is easier to obtain than blood, so we developed and evaluated six tests that detect SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in saliva in children and adults. Some tests detected antibodies to a particular protein made by SARS-CoV-2 called the spike protein, and these tests worked best. The most accurate results were obtained by using a combination of tests. Similar tests could also be developed to detect other respiratory infections which will enable easier identification of infected individuals.

Epidemiology of hospitalisations due to chickenpox and quality of life lost in community and hospital settings: protocol for a prospective cohort study across two countries.

INTRODUCTION: While still a ubiquitous disease of childhood, chickenpox has been effectively controlled in many countries through the use of vaccination. Previous health economic assessment of the use of these vaccines in the UK were based on limited quality of life data and only routinely collected epidemiological outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This two armed study will carry prospective surveillance of hospital admissions and recruit from community settings to measure the acute quality of life loss caused by paediatric chickenpox both in the UK and in Portugal. The quality of life effects on children and their primary and secondary caregivers will be assessed using the EuroQol EQ-5D with the Child Health Utility instrument (CHU-9) in addition for children. Results will be used to derive quality-adjusted life year loss estimates for cases of simple varicella and the secondary complications. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: We have received National Health Service ethical approval (REC ref: 18/ES/0040) for the inpatient arm, university ethical approval (University of Bristol ref: 60721) for the community arm and 10 sites currently are recruiting in the UK and 14 in Portugal. Informed consent is obtained from the parent(s). Results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed publications. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN15017985.

Severity of Omicron (B.1.1.529) and Delta (B.1.617.2) SARS-CoV-2 infection among hospitalised adults: A prospective cohort study in Bristol, United Kingdom.

Background: There is an urgent public health need to evaluate disease severity in adults hospitalised with Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant infections. However, limited data exist assessing severity of disease in adults hospitalised with Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections, and to what extent patient-factors, including vaccination, age, frailty and pre-existing disease, affect variant-dependent disease severity. Methods: A prospective cohort study of adults (≥18 years of age) hospitalised with acute lower respiratory tract disease at acute care hospitals in Bristol, UK conducted over 10-months. Delta or Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined by positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR and variant identification or inferred by dominant circulating variant. We constructed adjusted regression analyses to assess disease severity using three different measures: FiO2 >28% (fraction inspired oxygen), World Health Organization (WHO) outcome score >5 (assessing need for ventilatory support), and hospital length of stay (LOS) >3 days following admission for Omicron or Delta infection. Findings: Independent of other variables, including vaccination, Omicron variant infection in hospitalised adults was associated with lower severity than Delta. Risk reductions were 58%, 67%, and 16% for supplementary oxygen with >28% FiO2 [Relative Risk (RR) = 0.42 (95%CI: 0.34-0.52), P < 0.001], WHO outcome score >5 [RR = 0.33 (95%CI: 0.21-0.50), P < 0.001], and to have had a LOS > 3 days [RR = 0.84 (95%CI: 0.76-0.92), P < 0.001]. Younger age and vaccination with two or three doses were also independently associated with lower COVID-19 severity. Interpretation: We provide reassuring evidence that Omicron infection results in less serious adverse outcomes than Delta in hospitalised patients. Despite lower severity relative to Delta, Omicron infection still resulted in substantial patient and public health burden and an increased admission rate of older patients with Omicron which counteracts some of the benefit arising from less severe disease. Funding: AvonCAP is an investigator-led project funded under a collaborative agreement by Pfizer.

Effectiveness of BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination in prevention of hospitalisations and severe disease in adults with SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) and Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant between June 2021 and July 2022: A prospective test negative case-control study.

Background: Whilst other studies have reported the effectiveness of mRNA vaccination against hospitalisation, including emergency department or intensive care admission, few have assessed effectiveness against other more clinically robust indices of COVID-19 severity. Methods: A prospective single-centre test-negative design case-control study of adults hospitalised with COVID-19 disease or other acute respiratory disease between 1 June 2021 and 20 July 2022. We assessed VE (vaccine effectiveness) against hospitalisation, length of stay [LOS] >3 days, WHO COVID Score >5 and supplementary oxygen FiO2 (fraction inspired oxygen) >28%, conducting regression analyses controlling for age, gender, index of multiple deprivation, Charlson comorbidity index, time, and community infection prevalence. Findings: 935 controls and 546 cases were hospitalised during the Delta period, with 721 controls and 372 cases hospitalised during the Omicron study period. Two-dose BNT162b2 was associated with VE 82.5% [95% confidence interval 76.2%-87.2%] against hospitalisation following Delta infection, 63.3% [26.9-81.8%], 58.5% [24.8-77.3%], and 51.5% [16.7-72.1%] against LOS >3 days, WHO COVID Score >5, and requirement for FiO2 >28% respectively. Three-dose BNT162b2 protection against hospitalisation with Omicron infection was 30.9% [5.9-49.3%], with sensitivity analyses ranging from 28.8-72.6%. Protection against LOS >3 days, WHO COVID Score >5 and requirement for FiO2 >28% was 56.1% [20.6-76.5%], 58.8% [31.2-75.8%], and 41.5% [-0.4-66.3%], respectively. In the UK, BNT162b2 was prioritised for high-risk individuals and those aged >75 years. In the latter group we found a higher estimate of VE against hospitalisation of 47.2% [16.8-66.6%]. Interpretation: BNT162b2 vaccination results in risk reductions for hospitalisation and multiple patient outcomes following Delta and Omicron COVID-19 infection, particularly in older adults. BNT162b2 remains effective against severe SARS-CoV-2 disease. Funding: AvonCAP is an investigator-led project funded under a collaborative agreement by Pfizer.

Characterizing the Impact of Clinical Exposure to Patients with Opioid Use Disorder on Medical Students' Perceptions of Stigma and Patient Care.

PHENOMENON: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is a growing public health crisis. Many residents and physicians do not feel comfortable working with patients with OUD. Social stigma promotes negative attitudes toward these patients and is a roadblock to delivering equitable and effective care. This study sought to (1) characterize medical students' experiences with patients with OUD, (2) understand the features that make a patient encounter memorable, (3) explore factors that influence future practice, and (4) describe the influence on stigma toward patients with OUD. Approach: A study was conducted using qualitative descriptive theory and purposive sampling of fourth-year medical students (M4s) enrolled at Wake Forest School of Medicine (WFSOM). Data collection consisted of a free-text question as a part of a larger survey to M4s in the Class of 2019 and 2020, followed by semi-structured interviews. The goal of the survey was to gain a broad understanding of student encounters with patients with OUD. The goal of the interviews was to gain a deeper understanding of the impact of these encounters on future practice and stigma. Thematic analysis was used to analyze all data. Findings: One-hundred-seventy out of 237 students (RR = 71.7%) completed the free text question describing a memorable encounter with a patient with OUD. Twelve students then completed interviews. Patient encounters occurred in three primary settings: Emergency department, inpatient clerkship, or Intensive Outpatient Program (IOP) meetings during psychiatry clerkship. Clinical encounters were memorable when there was: (1) conflict with patients or teams, (2) complicated care, (3) inadequate care, and (4) relevance to the student's future career. Memorable encounters influenced future practice by changing students' approaches to: (1) future treatment, (2) future communication, or (3) allowing students to practice professionalism. Regarding opioid stigma, students reported that these encounters made them: (1) more aware of stereotypes in medicine, (2) stereotypes in their personal lives, and (3) generated actions that students want to take in the future. Insights: A single, influential clinical encounter has the potential to substantially influence medical students' approach to patients with OUD, including both clinical management and attitudes toward care. Affecting encounters increased knowledge of OUD and fostered empathy and perspective-taking. Not all encounters had a defining impact on students' stigma toward OUD. Medical schools need to create opportunities that will have lasting impact by encouraging students to fully engage with patients with OUD.Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/10401334.2022.2038175 .

Development and evaluation of low-volume tests to detect and characterize antibodies to SARS-CoV-2.

Low-volume antibody assays can be used to track SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in settings where active testing for virus is limited and remote sampling is optimal. We developed 12 ELISAs detecting total or antibody isotypes to SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid, spike protein or its receptor binding domain (RBD), 3 anti-RBD isotype specific luciferase immunoprecipitation system (LIPS) assays and a novel Spike-RBD bridging LIPS total-antibody assay. We utilized pre-pandemic (n=984) and confirmed/suspected recent COVID-19 sera taken pre-vaccination rollout in 2020 (n=269). Assays measuring total antibody discriminated best between pre-pandemic and COVID-19 sera and were selected for diagnostic evaluation. In the blind evaluation, two of these assays (Spike Pan ELISA and Spike-RBD Bridging LIPS assay) demonstrated >97% specificity and >92% sensitivity for samples from COVID-19 patients taken >21 days post symptom onset or PCR test. These assays offered better sensitivity for the detection of COVID-19 cases than a commercial assay which requires 100-fold larger serum volumes. This study demonstrates that low-volume in-house antibody assays can provide good diagnostic performance, and highlights the importance of using well-characterized samples and controls for all stages of assay development and evaluation. These cost-effective assays may be particularly useful for seroprevalence studies in low and middle-income countries.

Cabozantinib for previously treated radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer: Updated results from the phase 3 COSMIC-311 trial.

BACKGROUND: At an interim analysis (median follow-up, 6.2 months; n = 187), the phase 3 COSMIC-311 trial met the primary end point of progression-free survival (PFS): cabozantinib improved PFS versus a placebo (median, not reached vs. 1.9 months; p < .0001) in patients with previously treated radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (RAIR-DTC). The results from an exploratory analysis using an extended datacut are presented. METHODS: Patients 16 years old or older with RAIR-DTC who progressed on prior lenvatinib and/or sorafenib were randomized 2:1 to oral cabozantinib tablets (60 mg/day) or a placebo. Placebo patients could cross over to open-label cabozantinib upon radiographic disease progression. The objective response rate (ORR) in the first 100 randomized patients and the PFS in the intent-to-treat population, both according to Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 by blinded, independent review, were the primary end points. RESULTS: At the data cutoff (February 8, 2021), 258 patients had been randomized (cabozantinib, n = 170; placebo, n = 88); the median follow-up was 10.1 months. The median PFS was 11.0 months (96% confidence interval [CI], 7.4-13.8 months) for cabozantinib and 1.9 months (96% CI, 1.9-3.7 months) for the placebo (hazard ratio, 0.22; 96% CI, 0.15-0.32; p < .0001). The ORR was 11.0% (95% CI, 6.9%-16.9%) versus 0% (95% CI, 0.0%-4.1%) (p = .0003) with one complete response with cabozantinib. Forty placebo patients crossed over to open-label cabozantinib. Grade 3/4 treatment-emergent adverse events occurred in 62% and 28% of the cabozantinib- and placebo-treated patients, respectively; the most common were hypertension (12% vs. 2%), palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia (10% vs. 0%), and fatigue (9% vs. 0%). There were no grade 5 treatment-related events. CONCLUSIONS: At extended follow-up, cabozantinib maintained superior efficacy over a placebo in patients with previously treated RAIR-DTC with no new safety signals.

Incidence of community acquired lower respiratory tract disease in Bristol, UK during the COVID-19 pandemic: A prospective cohort study.

Background: The emergence of COVID-19 and public health measures implemented to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infections have both affected acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) epidemiology and incidence trends. The severity of COVID-19 and non-SARS-CoV-2 aLRTD during this period have not been compared in detail. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of adults age ≥18 years admitted to either of two acute care hospitals in Bristol, UK, from August 2020 to November 2021. Patients were included if they presented with signs or symptoms of aLRTD (e.g., cough, pleurisy), or a clinical or radiological aLRTD diagnosis. Findings: 12,557 adult aLRTD hospitalisations occurred: 10,087 were associated with infection (pneumonia or non-pneumonic lower respiratory tract infection [NP-LRTI]), 2161 with no infective cause, with 306 providing a minimal surveillance dataset. Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection accounted for 32% (3178/10,087) of respiratory infections. Annual incidences of overall, COVID-19, and non- SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia were 714.1, 264.2, and 449.9, and NP-LRTI were 346.2, 43.8, and 302.4 per 100,000 adults, respectively. Weekly incidence trends in COVID-19 aLRTD showed large surges (median 6.5 [IQR 0.7-10.2] admissions per 100,000 adults per week), while other infective aLRTD events were more stable (median 14.3 [IQR 12.8-16.4] admissions per 100,000 adults per week) as were non-infective aLRTD events (median 4.4 [IQR 3.5-5.5] admissions per 100,000 adults per week). Interpretation: While COVID-19 disease was a large component of total aLRTD during this pandemic period, non- SARS-CoV-2 infection still caused the majority of respiratory infection hospitalisations. COVID-19 disease showed significant temporal fluctuations in frequency, which were less apparent in non-SARS-CoV-2 infection. Despite public health interventions to reduce respiratory infection, disease incidence remains high. Funding: AvonCAP is an investigator-led project funded under a collaborative agreement by Pfizer.

Impact of meningococcal ACWY conjugate vaccines on pharyngeal carriage in adolescents: evidence for herd protection from the UK MenACWY programme.

OBJECTIVE: Serogroup W and Y invasive meningococcal disease increased globally from 2000 onwards. Responding to a rapid increase in serogroup W clonal complex 11 (W:cc11) invasive meningococcal disease, the UK replaced an adolescent booster dose of meningococcal C conjugate vaccine with quadrivalent MenACWY conjugate vaccine in 2015. By 2018, the vaccine coverage in the eligible school cohorts aged 14 to 19 years was 84%. We assessed the impact of the MenACWY vaccination programme on meningococcal carriage. METHODS: An observational study of culture-defined oropharyngeal meningococcal carriage prevalence before and after the start of the MenACWY vaccination programme in UK school students, aged 15 to 19 years, using two cross-sectional studies: 2014 to 2015 "UKMenCar4" and 2018 "Be on the TEAM" (ISRCTN75858406). RESULTS: A total of 10 625 participants preimplementation and 13 438 postimplementation were included. Carriage of genogroups C, W, and Y (combined) decreased from 2.03 to 0.71% (OR 0.34 [95% CI 0.27-0.44], p < 0.001). Carriage of genogroup B meningococci did not change (1.26% vs 1.23% [95% CI 0.77-1.22], p = 0.80) and genogroup C remained rare (n = 7/10 625 vs 17/13 438, p = 0.135). The proportion of serogroup positive isolates (i.e. those expressing capsule) decreased for genogroup W by 53.8% (95% CI -5.0 - 79.8, p = 0.016) and for genogroup Y by 30.1% (95% CI 8.946·3, p = 0.0025). DISCUSSION: The UK MenACWY vaccination programme reduced carriage acquisition of genogroup and serogroup Y and W meningococci and sustained low levels of genogroup C carriage. These data support the use of quadrivalent MenACWY conjugate vaccine for indirect (herd) protection.

Incidence of acute lower respiratory tract disease hospitalisations, including pneumonia, among adults in Bristol, UK, 2019, estimated using both a prospective and retrospective methodology.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the disease burden of acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) and its subsets (pneumonia, lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and heart failure) in hospitalised adults in Bristol, UK. SETTING: Single-centre, secondary care hospital, Bristol, UK. DESIGN: We estimated aLRTD hospitalisations incidence in adults (≥18 years) in Bristol, UK, using two approaches. First, retrospective International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10) code analysis (first five positions/hospitalisation) identified aLRTD events over a 12-month period (March 2018 to February 2019). Second, during a 21-day prospective review (19 August 2019 to 9 September 2019), aLRTD admissions were identified, categorised by diagnosis and subsequently annualised. Hospital catchment denominators were calculated using linked general practice and hospitalisation data, with each practice's denominator contribution calculated based on practice population and per cent of the practices' hospitalisations admitted to the study hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Prospective review: 1322 adults screened; 410 identified with aLRTD. Retrospective review: 7727 adult admissions. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence of aLRTD and its subsets in the adult population of Southmead Hospital, Bristol UK. RESULTS: Based on ICD-10 code analysis, annual incidences per 100 000 population were: aLRTD, 1901; pneumonia, 591; LRTI, 739; heart failure, 402. aLRTD incidence was highest among those ≥65 years: 65-74 (3684 per 100 000 adults), 75-84 (6962 per 100 000 adults) and ≥85 (11 430 per 100 000 adults). During the prospective review, 410/1322 (31%) hospitalised adults had aLRTD signs/symptoms and annualised incidences closely replicated retrospective analysis results. CONCLUSIONS: The aLRTD disease burden was high, increasing sharply with age. The aLRTD incidence is probably higher than estimated previously due to criteria specifying respiratory-specific symptoms or radiological change, usage of only the first diagnosis code and mismatch between case count sources and population denominators. This may have significant consequences for healthcare planning, including usage of current and future vaccinations against respiratory infection.

Cabozantinib for radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (COSMIC-311): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) previously treated with vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (VEGFR)-targeted therapy have aggressive disease and no available standard of care. The aim of this study was to evaluate the tyrosine kinase inhibitor cabozantinib in this patient population. METHODS: In this global, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial, patients aged 16 years and older with radioiodine-refractory DTC (papillary or follicular and their variants) and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1 were randomly assigned (2:1) to oral cabozantinib (60 mg once daily) or matching placebo, stratified by previous lenvatinib treatment and age. The randomisation scheme used stratified permuted blocks of block size six and an interactive voice-web response system; both patients and investigators were masked to study treatment. Patients must have received previous lenvatinib or sorafenib and progressed during or after treatment with up to two VEGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Patients receiving placebo could cross over to open-label cabozantinib on disease progression confirmed by blinded independent radiology committee (BIRC). The primary endpoints were objective response rate (confirmed response per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours [RECIST] version 1.1) in the first 100 randomly assigned patients (objective response rate intention-to-treat [OITT] population) and progression-free survival (time to earlier of disease progression per RECIST version 1.1 or death) in all patients (intention-to-treat [ITT] population), both assessed by BIRC. This report presents the primary objective response rate analysis and a concurrent preplanned interim progression-free survival analysis. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03690388, and is no longer enrolling patients. FINDINGS: Between Feb 27, 2019, and Aug 18, 2020, 227 patients were assessed for eligibility, of whom 187 were enrolled from 164 clinics in 25 countries and randomly assigned to cabozantinib (n=125) or placebo (n=62). At data cutoff (Aug 19, 2020) for the primary objective response rate and interim progression-free survival analyses, median follow-up was 6·2 months (IQR 3·4-9·2) for the ITT population and 8·9 months (7·1-10·5) for the OITT population. An objective response in the OITT population was achieved in ten (15%; 99% CI 5·8-29·3) of 67 patients in the cabozantinib group versus 0 (0%; 0-14·8) of 33 in the placebo (p=0·028) but did not meet the prespecified significance level (α=0·01). At interim analysis, the primary endpoint of progression-free survival was met in the ITT population; cabozantinib showed significant improvement in progression-free survival over placebo: median not reached (96% CI 5·7-not estimable [NE]) versus 1·9 months (1·8-3·6); hazard ratio 0·22 (96% CI 0·13-0·36; p<0·0001). Grade 3 or 4 adverse events occurred in 71 (57%) of 125 patients receiving cabozantinib and 16 (26%) of 62 receiving placebo, the most frequent of which were palmar-plantar erythrodysaesthesia (13 [10%] vs 0), hypertension (11 [9%] vs 2 [3%]), and fatigue (ten [8%] vs 0). Serious treatment-related adverse events occurred in 20 (16%) of 125 patients in the cabozantinib group and one (2%) of 62 in the placebo group. There were no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Our results show that cabozantinib significantly prolongs progression-free survival and might provide a new treatment option for patients with radioiodine-refractory DTC who have no available standard of care. FUNDING: Exelixis.

Opioid stewardship training during the transition to residency to prepare medical students to recognize and treat opioid use disorder.

Background: With a drastic shortage of addiction medicine specialists-and an ever-growing number of patients with opioid use disorder (OUD)-there is a dire need for more clinicians to feel confident in prevention and management of OUD and obtain a DEA-X waiver to prescribe medications to treat OUD. Here we determine if it is feasible to certify 4th year medical students with DEA-X waiver training as a component of the PROUD (Prevent and Reduce Opioid Use Disorder) curriculum, and if PROUD enhanced preparedness for medical students to manage OUD as interns. Methods: We implemented a sequential mixed-methods IRB approved study to assess feasibility (completing all required components of DEA-X waiver training) and impact of PROUD (measured by knowledge growth, enhancement for residency, and utilization of training during internship). Students completed 11 hours of required OUD training. Quantitative data included pre-/post- knowledge and curriculum satisfaction assessments as well as long-term impact with follow up survey as interns. Qualitative data was collected by survey and semi-structured focus groups. Results: All 120 graduating medical students completed the required components of the curriculum. Knowledge improved on the Provider Clinical Support Services (12.9-17.3, p < 0.0001) and Brief Opioid Overdose Knowledge assessments (10.15-10.81, p < 0.0001). Course satisfaction was high: 90% recommended online modules; 85% recommended training overall. Six qualitative themes emerged: (1) curriculum content was practical, (2) online modules allowed flexibility, (3) in-person seminars ensured authenticity, (4) timing at the transition to residency was optimal, (5) curriculum enhanced awareness and confidence, and (6) training was applicable to future careers. At 3 months, 60% reported using their training during internship; 64% felt more prepared to treat OUD than peers. Conclusions: PROUD trained 4th year medical students in opioid stewardship. As interns, students felt ready to serve as change agents to prevent, diagnose, and treat OUD.

Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 COVID-19 vaccination at preventing hospitalisations in people aged at least 80 years: a test-negative, case-control study.

BACKGROUND: On Dec 8, 2020, deployment of the first SARS-CoV-2 vaccination authorised for UK use (BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine) began, followed by an adenoviral vector vaccine ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 on Jan 4, 2021. Care home residents and staff, frontline health-care workers, and adults aged 80 years and older were vaccinated first. However, few data exist regarding the effectiveness of these vaccines in older people with many comorbidities. In this post-implementation evaluation of two COVID-19 vaccines, we aimed to determine the effectiveness of one dose in reducing COVID-19-related admissions to hospital in people of advanced age. METHODS: This prospective test-negative case-control study included adults aged at least 80 years who were admitted to hospital in two NHS trusts in Bristol, UK with signs and symptoms of respiratory disease. Patients who developed symptoms before receiving their vaccine or those who received their vaccine after admission to hospital were excluded, as were those with symptoms that started more than 10 days before hospital admission. We did logistic regression analysis, controlling for time (week), sex, index of multiple deprivations, and care residency status, and sensitivity analyses matched for time and sex using a conditional logistic model adjusting for index of multiple deprivations and care residency status. This study is registered with ISRCTN, number 39557. FINDINGS: Between Dec 18, 2020, and Feb 26, 2021, 466 adults were eligible (144 test-positive and 322 test-negative). 18 (13%) of 135 people with SARS-CoV-2 infection and 90 (34%) of 269 controls received one dose of BNT162b2. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 71·4% (95% CI 46·5-90·6). Nine (25%) of 36 people with COVID-19 infection and 53 (59%) of 90 controls received one dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19. The adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 80·4% (95% CI 36·4-94·5). When BNT162b2 effectiveness analysis was restricted to the period covered by ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, the estimate was 79·3% (95% CI 47·0-92·5). INTERPRETATION: One dose of either BNT162b2 or ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 resulted in substantial risk reductions of COVID-19-related hospitalisation in people aged at least 80 years. FUNDING: Pfizer.