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Melanoma , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas B-raf , Humanos , Melanoma/genética , Melanoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Melanoma/inmunología , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas B-raf/genética , Mutación , Mitocondrias/genética , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metástasis de la Neoplasia/genéticaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Understanding co-occurrence patterns and prognostic implications of immune-related adverse events is crucial for immunotherapy management. However, previous studies have been limited by sample size and generalisability. In this study, we leveraged a multi-institutional cohort and a population-level database to investigate co-occurrence patterns of and survival outcomes after multi-organ immune-related adverse events among recipients of immune checkpoint inhibitors. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we identified individuals who received immune checkpoint inhibitors between May 31, 2015, and June 29, 2022, from the Massachusetts General Hospital, Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (Boston, MA, USA; MGBD cohort), and between April 30, 2010, and Oct 11, 2021, from the independent US population-based TriNetX network. We identified recipients from all datasets using medication codes and names of seven common immune checkpoint inhibitors, and patients were excluded from our analysis if they had incomplete information (eg, diagnosis and medication records) or if they initiated immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy after Oct 11, 2021. Eligible patients from the MGBD cohort were then propensity score matched with recipients of immune checkpoint inhibitors from the TriNetX database (1:2) based on demographic, cancer, and immune checkpoint inhibitor characteristics to facilitate cohort comparability. We applied immune-related adverse event identification rules to identify patients who did and did not have immune-related adverse events in the matched cohorts. To reduce the likelihood of false positives, patients diagnosed with suspected immune-related adverse events within 3 months after chemotherapy were excluded. We performed pairwise correlation analyses, non-negative matrix factorisation, and hierarchical clustering to identify co-occurrence patterns in the MGBD cohort. We conducted landmark overall survival analyses for patient clusters based on predominant immune-related adverse event factors and calculated accompanying hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs, focusing on the 6-month landmark time for primary analyses. We validated our findings using the TriNetX cohort. FINDINGS: We identified 15 246 recipients of immune checkpoint inhibitors from MGBD and 50 503 from TriNetX, of whom 13 086 from MGBD and 26 172 from TriNetX were included in our propensity score-matched cohort. Median follow-up durations were 317 days (IQR 113-712) in patients from MGBD and 249 days (91-616) in patients from TriNetX. After applying immune-related adverse event identification rules, 8704 recipients of immune checkpoint inhibitors were retained from MGBD, of whom 3284 (37·7%) had and 5420 (62·3%) did not have immune-related adverse events, and 18 162 recipients were retained from TriNetX, of whom 5538 (30·5%) had and 12 624 (69·5%) did not have immune-related adverse events. In both cohorts, positive pairwise correlations of immune-related adverse events were commonly observed. Co-occurring immune-related adverse events were decomposed into seven factors across organs, revealing seven distinct patient clusters (endocrine, cutaneous, respiratory, gastrointestinal, hepatic, musculoskeletal, and neurological). In the MGBD cohort, the patient clusters that predominantly had endocrine (HR 0·53 [95% CI 0·40-0·70], p<0·0001) and cutaneous (0·61 [0·46-0·81], p=0·0007) immune-related adverse events had favourable overall survival outcomes at the 6-month landmark timepoint, while the other clusters either had unfavourable (respiratory: 1·60 [1·25-2·03], p=0·0001) or neutral survival outcomes (gastrointestinal: 0·86 [0·67-1·10], p=0·23; musculoskeletal: 0·97 [0·78-1·21], p=0·78; hepatic: 1·20 [0·91-1·59], p=0·19; and neurological: 1·30 [0·97-1·74], p=0·074). Similar results were found in the TriNetX cohort (endocrine: HR 0·75 [95% CI 0·60-0·93], p=0·0078; cutaneous: 0·62 [0·48-0·82], p=0·0007; respiratory: 1·21 [1·00-1·46], p=0·044), except for the neurological cluster having unfavourable (rather than neutral) survival outcomes (1·30 [1·06-1·59], p=0·013). INTERPRETATION: Reliably identifying the immune-related adverse event cluster to which a patient belongs can provide valuable clinical information for prognosticating outcomes of immunotherapy. These insights can be leveraged to counsel patients on the clinical impact of their individual constellation of immune-related adverse events and ultimately develop more personalised surveillance and mitigation strategies. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health.
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Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico , Neoplasias , Humanos , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias/inmunologíaRESUMEN
Cancer is a complex cellular ecosystem where malignant cells coexist and interact with immune, stromal and other cells within the tumor microenvironment (TME). Recent technological advancements in spatially resolved multiplexed imaging at single-cell resolution have led to the generation of large-scale and high-dimensional datasets from biological specimens. This underscores the necessity for automated methodologies that can effectively characterize molecular, cellular and spatial properties of TMEs for various malignancies. This study introduces SpatialCells, an open-source software package designed for region-based exploratory analysis and comprehensive characterization of TMEs using multiplexed single-cell data. The source code and tutorials are available at https://semenovlab.github.io/SpatialCells. SpatialCells efficiently streamlines the automated extraction of features from multiplexed single-cell data and can process samples containing millions of cells. Thus, SpatialCells facilitates subsequent association analyses and machine learning predictions, making it an essential tool in advancing our understanding of tumor growth, invasion and metastasis.
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Análisis de la Célula Individual , Programas Informáticos , Microambiente Tumoral , Análisis de la Célula Individual/métodos , Humanos , Neoplasias/patología , Aprendizaje Automático , Biología Computacional/métodosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) are the most common toxicities to occur in the setting of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. Identifying patients who are at increased risk of developing cirAEs may improve quality of life and outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the influence of cancer type and histology on the development of cirAEs in the setting of ICI therapy and survival outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients recruited between 1 December 2011 and 30 October 2020. They received ICI from 2011 to 2020 with follow-up of outcomes through October 2021. We identified 3668 recipients of ICI therapy who were seen at Massachusetts General Brigham and Dana-Farber. Of these, 669 developed cirAEs. Records that were incomplete or categories of insufficient sample size were excluded from the study cohort. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the impact of cancer organ system and histology on cirAE development, after adjusting for demographics, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ICI type, cancer stage at ICI initiation, and year of ICI initiation. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to examine the impact of cirAE development on mortality. RESULTS: Compared with other nonepithelial cancers (neuroendocrine, leukaemia, lymphoma, myeloma, sarcoma and central nervous system malignancies), cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma [cSCC; hazard ratio (HR) 3.57, P < 0.001], melanoma (HR 2.09, P < 0.001), head and neck adenocarcinoma (HR 2.13, P = 0.009), genitourinary transitional cell carcinoma (HR 2.15, P < 0.001) and genitourinary adenocarcinoma (HR 1.53, P = 0.037) were at significantly higher risk of cirAEs in multivariate analyses. The increased risk of cirAEs translated into an adjusted survival benefit for melanoma (HR 0.37, P < 0.001) and cSCC (HR 0.51, P = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: The highest rate of cirAEs and subsequent survival benefits were observed in cutaneous malignancies treated with ICI therapies. This study improves our understanding of patients who are at highest risk of developing cirAEs and would, therefore, benefit from appropriate counselling and closer monitoring by their oncologists and dermatologists throughout their ICI therapy. Limitations include its retrospective nature and cohort from one geography.
Cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) are the most common complications to occur for oncology patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). cirAEs can lead to increased use of healthcare resources and significant morbidity. Identifying patients who are at increased risk of developing cirAEs may improve quality of life and outcomes. In this study, we aimed to investigate the influence of cancer organ system and histology on the development of cirAEs and survival outcomes. To do this, we included a cohort of patients retrospectively between 1 December 2011 and 30 October 2020. We identified 3668 ICI recipients who were seen at Massachusetts General Brigham and Dana-Farber in Boston, Massachusetts. Of these, 669 people developed cirAEs. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the impact of cancer organ system and histology on cirAE development, after adjusting for demographics, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ICI type, cancer stage at ICI start, and year of ICI initiation. Time-varying Cox proportional hazards modelling was used to examine the impact of cirAE development on mortality. We found that, compared with other nonepithelial cancers, patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) and melanoma were at significantly higher risk of cirAEs. The increased risk of cirAEs translated into an adjusted survival benefit for melanoma and cSCC. This study improves our understanding of patients who are at highest risk of developing cirAEs those with melanoma and cSCC. Therefore, many patients could benefit from appropriate counselling and close monitoring by their oncologists and dermatologists throughout ICI therapy.
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Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Neoplasias/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias/patología , Neoplasias/mortalidad , Neoplasias/inmunología , Neoplasias/terapia , Erupciones por Medicamentos/etiología , Erupciones por Medicamentos/patología , Erupciones por Medicamentos/epidemiología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/patología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/mortalidad , Neoplasias Cutáneas/inmunología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/tratamiento farmacológico , AdultoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The recent expansion of immunotherapy for stage IIB/IIC melanoma highlights a growing clinical need to identify patients at high risk of metastatic recurrence and, therefore, most likely to benefit from this therapeutic modality. OBJECTIVE: To develop time-to-event risk prediction models for melanoma metastatic recurrence. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with stage I/II primary cutaneous melanoma between 2000 and 2020 at Mass General Brigham and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute were included. Melanoma recurrence date and type were determined by chart review. Thirty clinicopathologic factors were extracted from electronic health records. Three types of time-to-event machine-learning models were evaluated internally and externally in the distant versus locoregional/nonrecurrence prediction. RESULTS: This study included 954 melanomas (155 distant, 163 locoregional, and 636 1:2 matched nonrecurrences). Distant recurrences were associated with worse survival compared to locoregional/nonrecurrences (HR: 6.21, P < .001) and to locoregional recurrences only (HR: 5.79, P < .001). The Gradient Boosting Survival model achieved the best performance (concordance index: 0.816; time-dependent AUC: 0.842; Brier score: 0.103) in the external validation. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective nature and cohort from one geography. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that time-to-event machine-learning models can reliably predict the metastatic recurrence from localized melanoma and help identify high-risk patients who are most likely to benefit from immunotherapy.
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Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Humanos , Melanoma/patología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/epidemiología , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patologíaRESUMEN
Background: Cancer is a complex cellular ecosystem where malignant cells coexist and interact with immune, stromal, and other cells within the tumor microenvironment. Recent technological advancements in spatially resolved multiplexed imaging at single-cell resolution have led to the generation of large-scale and high-dimensional datasets from biological specimens. This underscores the necessity for automated methodologies that can effectively characterize the molecular, cellular, and spatial properties of tumor microenvironments for various malignancies. Results: This study introduces SpatialCells, an open-source software package designed for region-based exploratory analysis and comprehensive characterization of tumor microenvironments using multiplexed single-cell data. Conclusions: SpatialCells efficiently streamlines the automated extraction of features from multiplexed single-cell data and can process samples containing millions of cells. Thus, SpatialCells facilitates subsequent association analyses and machine learning predictions, making it an essential tool in advancing our understanding of tumor growth, invasion, and metastasis.
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BACKGROUND: Timely and accurate intraoperative cryosection evaluations remain the gold standard for guiding surgical treatments for gliomas. However, the tissue-freezing process often generates artifacts that make histologic interpretation difficult. In addition, the 2021 WHO Classification of Tumors of the Central Nervous System incorporates molecular profiles in the diagnostic categories, so standard visual evaluation of cryosections alone cannot completely inform diagnoses based on the new classification system. METHODS: To address these challenges, we develop the context-aware Cryosection Histopathology Assessment and Review Machine (CHARM) using samples from 1,524 glioma patients from three different patient populations to systematically analyze cryosection slides. FINDINGS: Our CHARM models successfully identified malignant cells (AUROC = 0.98 ± 0.01 in the independent validation cohort), distinguished isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH)-mutant tumors from wild type (AUROC = 0.79-0.82), classified three major types of molecularly defined gliomas (AUROC = 0.88-0.93), and identified the most prevalent subtypes of IDH-mutant tumors (AUROC = 0.89-0.97). CHARM further predicts clinically important genetic alterations in low-grade glioma, including ATRX, TP53, and CIC mutations, CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion, and 1p/19q codeletion via cryosection images. CONCLUSIONS: Our approaches accommodate the evolving diagnostic criteria informed by molecular studies, provide real-time clinical decision support, and will democratize accurate cryosection diagnoses. FUNDING: Supported in part by the National Institute of General Medical Sciences grant R35GM142879, the Google Research Scholar Award, the Blavatnik Center for Computational Biomedicine Award, the Partners' Innovation Discovery Grant, and the Schlager Family Award for Early Stage Digital Health Innovations.
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Neoplasias Encefálicas , Glioma , Humanos , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/genética , Homocigoto , Eliminación de Secuencia , Glioma/diagnóstico , Glioma/genética , Aprendizaje Automático , Organización Mundial de la SaludRESUMEN
Routine tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging of colorectal cancer is imperfect in predicting survival due to tumor pathobiological heterogeneity and imprecise assessment of tumor spread. We leveraged Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), a statistical learning technique, to comprehensively analyze patient-specific tumor characteristics for the improvement of prognostic prediction. Of 75 clinicopathologic, immune, microbial, and genomic variables in 815 stage II-III patients within two U.S.-wide prospective cohort studies, the BART risk model identified seven stable survival predictors. Risk stratifications (low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk) based on model-predicted survival were statistically significant (hazard ratios 0.19-0.45, vs. higher risk; P < 0.0001) and could be externally validated using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data (P = 0.0004). BART demonstrated model flexibility, interpretability, and comparable or superior performance to other machine-learning models. Integrated bioinformatic analyses using BART with tumor-specific factors can robustly stratify colorectal cancer patients into prognostic groups and be readily applied to clinical oncology practice.
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Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) affects 24.5 million people worldwide and has been associated with increased cancer risks. However, the extent to which the observed risks are related to the pathophysiology of rheumatoid arthritis or its treatments is unknown. Leveraging nationwide health insurance claims data with 85.97 million enrollees across 8 years, we identified 92 864 patients without cancers at the time of rheumatoid arthritis diagnoses. We matched 68 415 of these patients with participants without rheumatoid arthritis by sex, race, age and inferred health and economic status and compared their risks of developing all cancer types. By 12 months after the diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis patients were 1.21 (95% confidence interval [CI] [1.14, 1.29]) times more likely to develop any cancer compared with matched enrollees without rheumatoid arthritis. In particular, the risk of developing lymphoma is 2.08 (95% CI [1.67, 2.58]) times higher in the rheumatoid arthritis group, and the risk of developing lung cancer is 1.69 (95% CI [1.32, 2.13]) times higher. We further identified the five most commonly used drugs in treating rheumatoid arthritis, and the log-rank test showed none of them is implicated with a significantly increased cancer risk compared with rheumatoid arthritis patients without that specific drug. Our study suggested that the pathophysiology of rheumatoid arthritis, rather than its treatments, is implicated in the development of subsequent cancers. Our method is extensible to investigating the connections among drugs, diseases and comorbidities at scale.
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Artritis Reumatoide , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Linfoma , Humanos , Artritis Reumatoide/complicaciones , Artritis Reumatoide/epidemiología , Artritis Reumatoide/tratamiento farmacológico , Comorbilidad , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/complicaciones , Análisis de DatosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) shares genetic variants with other autoimmune conditions, but existing studies test the association between RA variants with a pre-defined set of phenotypes. The objective of this study was to perform a large-scale, systemic screen to determine phenotypes that share genetic architecture with RA to inform our understanding of shared pathways. METHODS: In the UK Biobank (UKB), we constructed RA genetic risk scores (GRS) incorporating human leukocyte antigen (HLA) and non-HLA risk alleles. Phenotypes were defined using groupings of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. Patients with an RA code were excluded to mitigate the possibility of associations being driven by the diagnosis or management of RA. We performed a phenome-wide association study, testing the association between the RA GRS with phenotypes using multivariate generalized estimating equations that adjusted for age, sex, and first five principal components. Statistical significance was defined using Bonferroni correction. Results were replicated in an independent cohort and replicated phenotypes were validated using medical record review of patients. FINDINGS: We studied n = 316,166 subjects from UKB without evidence of RA and screened for association between the RA GRS and n = 1317 phenotypes. In the UKB, 20 phenotypes were significantly associated with the RA GRS, of which 13 (65%) were immune mediated conditions including polymyalgia rheumatica, granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA), type 1 diabetes, and multiple sclerosis. We further identified a novel association in Celiac disease where the HLA and non-HLA alleles had strong associations in opposite directions. Strikingly, we observed that the non-HLA GRS was exclusively associated with greater risk of the validated conditions, suggesting shared underlying pathways outside the HLA region. INTERPRETATION: This study replicated and identified novel autoimmune phenotypes verified by medical record review that share immune pathways with RA and may inform opportunities for shared treatment targets, as well as risk assessment for conditions with a paucity of genomic data, such as GPA. FUNDING: This research was funded by the US National Institutes of Health (P30AR072577, R21AR078339, R35GM142879, T32AR007530) and the Harold and DuVal Bowen Fund.
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Artritis Reumatoide , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Humanos , Genotipo , Artritis Reumatoide/diagnóstico , Artritis Reumatoide/genética , Factores de Riesgo , Fenotipo , Antígenos HLA/genética , Antígenos de Histocompatibilidad Clase II/genética , Cadenas HLA-DRB1/genética , AlelosRESUMEN
Histopathologic assessment is indispensable for diagnosing colorectal cancer (CRC). However, manual evaluation of the diseased tissues under the microscope cannot reliably inform patient prognosis or genomic variations crucial for treatment selections. To address these challenges, we develop the Multi-omics Multi-cohort Assessment (MOMA) platform, an explainable machine learning approach, to systematically identify and interpret the relationship between patients' histologic patterns, multi-omics, and clinical profiles in three large patient cohorts (n = 1888). MOMA successfully predicts the overall survival, disease-free survival (log-rank test P-value<0.05), and copy number alterations of CRC patients. In addition, our approaches identify interpretable pathology patterns predictive of gene expression profiles, microsatellite instability status, and clinically actionable genetic alterations. We show that MOMA models are generalizable to multiple patient populations with different demographic compositions and pathology images collected from distinctive digitization methods. Our machine learning approaches provide clinically actionable predictions that could inform treatments for colorectal cancer patients.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , Multiómica , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/genética , Mutación , Inestabilidad de Microsatélites , Supervivencia sin EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence suggests that cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) are associated with a survival benefit in the setting of advanced melanoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. Previous studies have not examined the role of melanoma subtypes on cirAE development and downstream therapeutic outcomes. OBJECTIVE: Examine the impact of melanoma subtypes on cirAE onset and survival among ICI recipients. METHODS: Retrospective multi-institutional cohort study. Multivariate time-series regressions were utilized to assess relationships between melanoma subtype, cirAE development, and survival. RESULTS: Among 747 ICI recipients, 236 (31.6%) patients developed a cirAE. Patients with acral melanoma were less likely to develop a cirAE (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.41, P = .016) compared to patients with nonacral cutaneous melanoma. Across all melanoma subtypes, cirAEs were associated with reduced mortality (HR = 0.76, P = .042). Patients with acral (HR = 2.04, P = .005), mucosal (HR = 2.30, P < .001), and uveal (HR = 4.09, P < .001) primaries exhibited the worst survival. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective cohort study. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to demonstrate differences in cirAE development among melanoma subtypes. The presence of cirAEs was associated with better survival. Further, the lower incidence of cirAEs may be a marker of immunotherapy response, which is reflected in the association between acral melanoma and mortality.
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Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutáneas , Humanos , Melanoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Melanoma/epidemiología , Neoplasias Cutáneas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Cutáneas/epidemiología , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Incidencia , Melanoma Cutáneo MalignoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) occur in up to 40% of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) recipients. However, the association of cirAEs with survival remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of cirAEs with survival among ICI recipients. METHODS: ICI recipients were identified from the Mass General Brigham healthcare system and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Patient charts were reviewed for cirAE development within 2 years after ICI initiation. Multivariate time-varying Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ICI type, cancer type, and year of ICI initiation were utilized to investigate the impact of cirAE development on overall survival. RESULTS: Of the 3731 ICI recipients, 18.1% developed a cirAE. Six-month landmark analysis and time-varying Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that patients who developed cirAEs were associated with decreased mortality (hazardratio [HR] = 0.87, P = .027), particularly in patients with melanoma (HR = 0.67, P = .003). Among individual morphologies, lichenoid eruption (HR = 0.51, P < .001), psoriasiform eruption (HR = 0.52, P = .005), vitiligo (HR = 0.29, P = .007), isolated pruritus without visible manifestation of rash (HR = 0.71, P = .007), acneiform eruption (HR = 0.34, P = .025), and non-specific rash (HR = 0.68, P < .001) were significantly associated with better survival after multiple comparisons adjustment. LIMITATIONS: Retrospective design; single geography. CONCLUSION: CirAE development is associated with improved survival among ICI recipients, especially patients with melanoma.
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Exantema , Melanoma , Humanos , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Melanoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios de CohortesRESUMEN
Background: Cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) occur in up to 40% of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) recipients. However, the association of cirAEs with survival remains unclear. Objective: To investigate the association of cirAEs with survival among ICI recipients. Methods: ICI recipients were identified from the Mass General Brigham healthcare system (MGB) and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (DFCI). Patient charts were reviewed for cirAE development within 2 years after ICI initiation. Multivariate time-varying Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, ICI type, cancer type, and year of ICI initiation were utilized to investigate the impact of cirAE development on overall survival. Results: Of the 3,731 ICI recipients, 18.1% developed a cirAE. 6-month landmark analysis and time-varying Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that patients who developed cirAEs were associated with decreased mortality (HR=0.87,p=0.027), particularly in melanoma patients (HR=0.67,p=0.003). Among individual morphologies, lichenoid eruption (HR=0.51,p<0.001), psoriasiform eruption (HR=0.52,p=0.005), vitiligo (HR=0.29,p=0.007), isolated pruritus without visible manifestation of rash (HR=0.71,p=0.007), acneiform eruption (HR =0.34,p=0.025), and non-specific rash (HR=0.68, p<0.001) were significantly associated with better survival after multiple comparisons adjustment. Limitations: Retrospective design; single geography. Conclusion: CirAE development is associated with improved survival among ICI recipients, especially melanoma patients. Capsule Summary: Patients on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) who developed cutaneous immune-related adverse events (cirAEs) had favorable outcomes. This was especially notable for melanoma patients who had cirAEs, both those with vitiligo and other morphologies.Development of cirAEs in ICI-treated patients can be used to prognosticate survival and guide treatment decisions.
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Prognostic analysis for early-stage (stage I/II) melanomas is of paramount importance for customized surveillance and treatment plans. Since immune checkpoint inhibitors have recently been approved for stage IIB and IIC melanomas, prognostic tools to identify patients at high risk of recurrence have become even more critical. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of machine-learning algorithms in predicting melanoma recurrence using clinical and histopathologic features from Electronic Health Records (EHRs). We collected 1720 early-stage melanomas: 1172 from the Mass General Brigham healthcare system (MGB) and 548 from the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (DFCI). We extracted 36 clinicopathologic features and used them to predict the recurrence risk with supervised machine-learning algorithms. Models were evaluated internally and externally: (1) five-fold cross-validation of the MGB cohort; (2) the MGB cohort for training and the DFCI cohort for testing independently. In the internal and external validations, respectively, we achieved a recurrence classification performance of AUC: 0.845 and 0.812, and a time-to-event prediction performance of time-dependent AUC: 0.853 and 0.820. Breslow tumor thickness and mitotic rate were identified as the most predictive features. Our results suggest that machine-learning algorithms can extract predictive signals from clinicopathologic features for early-stage melanoma recurrence prediction, which will enable the identification of patients that may benefit from adjuvant immunotherapy.
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BACKGROUND: Certain dietary patterns can elicit systemic and intestinal inflammatory responses, which may influence adaptive anti-tumor immune responses and tumor behavior. We hypothesized that pro-inflammatory diets might be associated with higher colorectal cancer mortality and that the association might be stronger for tumors with lower immune responses. METHODS: We calculated an empirical dietary inflammatory pattern (EDIP) score in 2829 patients among 3988 incident rectal and colon carcinoma cases in the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study. Using Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, we examined the prognostic association of EDIP scores and whether it might be modified by histopathologic immune reaction (in 1192 patients with available data). RESULTS: Higher EDIP scores after colorectal cancer diagnosis were associated with worse survival, with multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the highest versus lowest tertile of 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.77; Ptrend = 0.003) for 5-year colorectal cancer-specific mortality and 1.44 (95% CI, 1.19-1.74; Ptrend = 0.0004) for 5-year all-cause mortality. The association of post-diagnosis EDIP scores with 5-year colorectal cancer-specific mortality differed by degrees of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL; Pinteraction = .002) but not by three other lymphocytic reaction patterns. The multivariable-adjusted, 5-year colorectal cancer-specific mortality HRs for the highest versus lowest EDIP tertile were 1.59 (95% CI: 1.01-2.53) in TIL-absent/low cases and 0.48 (95% CI: 0.16-1.48) in TIL-intermediate/high cases. CONCLUSIONS: Pro-inflammatory diets after colorectal cancer diagnosis were associated with increased mortality, particularly in patients with absent or low TIL.