Malaria elimination in Zanzibar: where next?

In 2018, Zanzibar developed a national malaria strategic plan IV (2018-2023) to guide elimination of malaria by 2023. We assessed progress in the implementation of malaria activities as part of the end-term review of the strategic plan. The review was done between August and October 2022 following the WHO guideline to assess progress made towards malaria elimination, effectiveness of the health systems in delivering malaria case management; and malaria financing. A desk review examined available malaria data, annual work plans and implementation reports for evidence of implemented malaria activities. This was complemented by field visits to selected health facilities and communities by external experts, and interviews with health management teams and inhabitants to authenticate desk review findings. A steady increase in the annual parasite incidence (API) was observed in Zanzibar, from 2.7 (2017) to 3.6 (2021) cases per 1,000 population with marked heterogeneity between areas. However, about 68% of the detected malaria cases were imported into Zanzibar. Malaria case follow-up and investigation increased from <70% in 2017 to 94% and 96% respectively, in 2021. The review noted a 3.7-fold increase of the health allocation in the country's budget, from 31.7 million USD (2017/18) to 117.3 million USD (2022/23) but malaria allocation remained low (<1%). The varying transmission levels in the islands suggest a need for strategic re-orientation of the elimination attempts from a national-wide to a sub-national agenda. We recommend increasing malaria allocation from the health budget to ensure sustainability of malaria elimination interventions.

Understanding factors associated with attending secondary school in Tanzania using household survey data.

BACKGROUND: Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 4 aims to ensure inclusive and equitable access for all by 2030, leaving no one behind. One indicator selected to measure progress towards achievement is the participation rate of youth in education (SDG 4.3.1). Here we aim to understand drivers of school attendance using one country in East Africa as an example. METHODS: Nationally representative household survey data (2015-16 Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey) were used to explore individual, household and contextual factors associated with secondary school attendance in Tanzania. These included, age, head of household's levels of education, gender, household wealth index and total number of children under five. Contextual factors such as average pupil to qualified teacher ratio and geographic access to school were also tested at cluster level. A two-level random intercept logistic regression model was used in exploring association of these factors with attendance in a multi-level framework. RESULTS: Age of household head, educational attainments of either of the head of the household or parent, child characteristics such as gender, were important predictors of secondary school attendance. Being in a richer household and with fewer siblings of lower age (under the age of 5) were associated with increased odds of attendance (OR = 0.91, CI 95%: 0.86; 0.96). Contextual factors were less likely to be associated with secondary school attendance. CONCLUSIONS: Individual and household level factors are likely to impact secondary school attendance rates more compared to contextual factors, suggesting an increased focus of interventions at these levels is needed. Future studies should explore the impact of interventions targeting these levels. Policies should ideally promote gender equality in accessing secondary school as well as support those families where the dependency ratio is high. Strategies to reduce poverty will also increase the likelihood of attending school.

Monitoring the durability of the long-lasting insecticidal nets Olyset® and PermaNet® 2.0 in similar use environments in Zanzibar.

BACKGROUND: Malaria transmission in Zanzibar has dramatically reduced in recent years but vector control interventions such as long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLIN) must continue to reach malaria elimination. To achieve this, the Zanzibar Malaria Elimination Programme needs actionable evidence of the durability of the LLIN brands distributed. This study compared physical and insecticidal durability of two LLIN brands: Olyset® and PermaNet© 2.0 in two similar districts on the islands of Unguja and Pemba. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of representative samples of households from two districts, recruited at baseline 4 months after the mass campaign. All campaign nets in these households were labelled and followed up over a period of 33 months. Primary outcome was the "proportion of nets surviving in serviceable condition" based on attrition and integrity measures and the median survival in years. The outcome for insecticidal durability was determined by bio-assay from sub-samples of campaign nets. RESULTS: A total of 834 campaign nets (121% of target) from 299 households were included in the study. Definite outcomes could be determined for 86% of the cohort nets in Unguja (PermaNet® 2.0) and 89% in Pemba (Olyset®). After 33 months, physical survival in serviceable condition was 55% in Unguja and 51% in Pemba. Estimated median survival was lower in Pemba at all time points with 2.3-2.7 years compared to 3.1-3.3 yeas in Unguja. Multivariable Cox proportionate hazard models confirmed the difference between brands (p < 0.0001) and identified household net-care attitude (p = 0.007) and folding of hanging nets during the day (p < 0.0001) as significant determinants, in addition to exclusive use of nets by adults (p = 0.03) and use only over a finished bedframe (p = 0.01). Optimal insecticidal effectiveness was 80% or higher for both brands at all time points when both cone bio-assays and tunnel tests were applied. CONCLUSIONS: After 3 years of follow-up, Olyset® LLIN showed significantly lower physical survival compared to PermaNet® 2.0 LLIN even after adjusting for other variables of net-use environment and net handling. This suggests that the differences were driven by the textile characteristics of the LLIN brands.