Vaccines and the Risk of Hospitalization for Multiple Sclerosis Flare-Ups.

Importance: Scientific literature is sparse about the association of vaccination with the onset of multiple sclerosis (MS) flare-ups. Immunization by vaccines of the entire population is crucially important for public health. Objective: To evaluate the risk of hospitalization for severe MS flare-ups after vaccination in patients with MS. Design, Setting, Participants: This cohort study included patients diagnosed with MS between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017, who were included in the System of National Health Databases, a national health claims database in France. In a nested case-crossover analysis, cases were defined by vaccine exposure prior to the onset of hospitalization due to an MS flare-up, and flare-up rates were compared with those that occurred prior to vaccine exposure in up to 4 control time windows immediately preceding the at-risk time window (ie, the MS flare-up) for each patient. Data were analyzed from January 2022 to December 2022. Exposure: Receipt of at least 1 vaccination, including the diphtheria, tetanus, poliomyelitis, pertussis, or Haemophilus influenzae (DTPPHi) vaccine, influenza vaccine, and pneumococcal vaccine, during follow-up. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the risk of hospitalization for an MS flare-up after receipt of a vaccine. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% CIs were derived using conditional logistic regression to measure the risk of hospitalization for an MS flare-up associated with vaccination. Results: A total of 106 523 patients constituted the MS cohort (mean [SD] age, 43.9 [13.8] years; 76 471 females [71.8%]; 33 864 patients [31.8%] had incident MS and 72 659 patients [68.2%] had prevalent MS) and were followed up for a mean (SD) of 8.8 (3.1) years. Of these patients, 35 265 (33.1%) were hospitalized for MS flare-ups during the follow-up period for a total of 54 036 MS-related hospitalizations. The AORs of hospitalization for an MS flare-up and vaccine exposure in the 60 days prior to the flare-up were 1.00 (95% CI, 0.92-1.09) for all vaccines, 0.95 (95% CI, 0.82-1.11) for the DTPPHi, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.88-1.09) for the influenza vaccine, and 1.20 (95% CI, 0.94-1.55) for the pneumococcal vaccine. Conclusions and Relevance: A nationwide study of the French population found no association between vaccination and the risk of hospitalization due to MS flare-ups. However, considering the number of vaccine subtypes available, further studies are needed to confirm these results.

Association between vaccination and the risk of central demyelination: results from a case-referent study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies documented the potential association between vaccination and the risk of central demyelination (CD). Specifically, anti-hepatitis B and anti-human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines have been the subject of distrust with regard to their implication to trigger CD. METHODS: From a systematic national registry, patients with first signs of CD (cases) were identified and documented for their exposure to vaccination up to 24 months before the first signs occurred. This exposure was compared to that of a representative sample of general practice patients without a history of CD, randomly selected from a national registry (referents). CD cases were 2:1 matched on age, sex, index date (ID), and region of residence. Vaccines against influenza, HPV, hepatitis B and diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis-poliomyelitis-haemophilus (DTPPHae) were considered. Associations between vaccination and CD were assessed using multivariate conditional logistic regressions, controlled for confounding factors. FINDINGS: 564 CD cases were matched to 1,128 randomly selected referents (age range: 2-79 years old). Overall, 123 (22%) CD cases and 320 (28%) referents had received at least one vaccine within 24 months before ID. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for any vaccination were 0.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) [0.54-0.88] with respect to any CD first signs, 0.68 [0.51-0.90] for myelitis and 0.70 [0.42-1.17] for optic neuritis. Adjusted ORs for any CD first signs were 1.02 [0.71-1.47] for influenza vaccine (administered in 9.6% of cases and 10.4% of referents) and 0.72 [0.53-0.99] for DTPPHae vaccine (administered in 10.8% of cases and 14.5% of referents). Vaccines against hepatitis B and HPV were only administered in 1.1% and 1.2% of cases and in 2.9% and 3.2% of referents respectively, which statistically explained the point estimates < 1 (ORs of 0.39 [0.16-0.94] and of 0.32 [0.13-0.80]). INTERPRETATION: No increased risk of CD incidence was observed amongst vaccinated patients. Lower rates of vaccination against hepatitis B and HPV observed in patients with CD compared to referents may be due to the reluctance of physicians to vaccinate patients considered at risk of CD.

International cohort study on the effectiveness of dronedarone and other antiarrhythmic drugs for atrial fibrillation in real-world practice (EFFECT-AF).

AIMS: To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of dronedarone compared with other commonly used antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) for preventing atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrences. METHODS AND RESULTS: An international observational cohort study in Germany, Spain, Italy, and the USA enrolling patients with AF receiving AAD therapy. Patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class IV heart failure were excluded. Participants were followed for up to 18 months, regardless of discontinuation or subsequent AAD switches. Atrial fibrillation recurrence was captured by hospitalization, emergency room visit, or electrocardiogram-based documentation of AF. Confounding bias was controlled for in the analysis of AF recurrence using multivariate models of 19 variables for adjustment. A total of 1009 participants [mean age 67.2 (10.8) years, male to female ratio 1.3] were recruited from 170 centres, 693 (69%) of which were from across Europe and the remaining 316 (31%) from the USA. At the time of enrolment, participants were taking dronedarone (51%) or other AADs (49%) [flecainide or propafenone (42%), sotalol (11%), and amiodarone (47%)]. No significant differences in the risk of first confirmed AF recurrence with dronedarone vs. other AADs [crude hazard ratio (HR) 1.10 (95% confidence interval 0.85-1.42); adjusted HR 1.16 (0.87-1.55)] were found, irrespective of whether univariate or multivariate models were used. Reported safety events were in accordance with the known safety profile of dronedarone. CONCLUSION: In this population of patients from either Europe or the USA receiving dronedarone or another AAD, the effectiveness of dronedarone was comparable to that observed for other AADs in preventing first AF recurrence.

Stroke Prevention by Anticoagulants in Daily Practice Depending on Atrial Fibrillation Pattern and Clinical Risk Factors.

Background and Purpose: The objective of the study was to assess the effectiveness of individual direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonists for primary prevention of stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic) in routine clinical practice in patients with various clinical risk factors depending on their atrial fibrillation (AF) patterns. Methods: A nested case-referent study was conducted using data from 2 national registries of patients with stroke and AF. Stroke cases with previous history of AF were matched to up to 2 randomly selected referent patients with AF and no stroke. The association of individual anticoagulant use with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke was studied in patients with or without permanent AF using multivariable conditional logistic models, controlled for clinically significant risk factors and multiple other cardiovascular risk factors. Results: In total, 2586 stroke cases with previous AF and 4810 nonstroke referent patients with AF were retained for the study. Direct oral anticoagulant users had lower odds of stroke of any type than vitamin K antagonist users: the adjusted-matched OR for ischemic stroke were 0.70 (95% CI, 0.50­0.98) for dabigatran, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.53­0.86) for rivaroxaban, and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.52­1.02) for apixaban while for hemorrhagic stroke they were 0.31 (95% CI, 0.14­0.68), 0.64 (95% CI, 0.39­1.06), and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.33­1.49), respectively. The effects of individual direct oral anticoagulants relative to vitamin K antagonists were similar in permanent AF and nonpermanent AF patients. Conclusions: Similar results were observed for each direct oral anticoagulant in real life as those observed in the pivotal clinical trials. The pattern of AF did not affect the outcome.

Decongestant use and the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke: a case-crossover study.

Pharmacovigilance reports of cerebral and cardiovascular events in those who use decongestants have triggered alerts related to their use. We aimed to assess the risk of stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) associated with the use of decongestants. We conducted a nested case-crossover study of patients with incident stroke and MI identified in France between 2013 and 2016 in two systematic disease registries. Decongestant use in the three weeks preceding the event was assessed using a structured telephone interview. Conditional logistic multivariable models were used to estimate the odds of incident MI and stroke, also accounting for transient risk factors and comparing week 1 (index at-risk time window, immediately preceding the event) to week 3 (reference). Time-invariant risk factors were controlled by design. In total, 1394 patients with MI and 1403 patients with stroke, mainly 70 years old or younger, were interviewed, including 3.2% who used decongestants during the three weeks prior to the event (1.0% definite exposure in the index at-risk time window, 1.1% in the referent time window; adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.78; 95%CI, 0.43-1.42). Secondary analysis yielded similar results for individual events (MI/stroke). We observed no increased risk of MI or stroke for patients 70 years of age and younger without previous MI or stroke who used decongestants.

The systematic case-referent method.

The systematic case-referent method is a special case-referent design originally developed for pharmacoepidemiologic research purposes. It consists in the systematic collection of series of incident cases of various disorders and the assembling of a general reference pool, from which "controls" are secondarily selected to be matched to specific cases. Both series are collected independently from each other and with no a priori hypothesis to be investigated. The reference pool can be either general or limited to a subpopulation, representative of the source population of the cases. Based on clinical recruitment of cases and referents, the design allows a very high specificity of diagnosis and documentation of clinical variables. All cases and referents are systematically documented on all treatments received before the incidence of the cases or before identification of referents. This documentation is done preferentially using objective sources assembled independently (linkage to claims data, medical records, pharmacy records, prescription records, hospital discharge letters). It can be completed with patients' interviews using standardised research tools, in particular for over-the-counter drug use and self-medication, and for the documentation of adherence to treatment and specific time-windows of exposure. Likewise, all cases and all referents are systematically documented on a series of risk factors, which are common to most epidemiological studies and are not hypothesis-dependent. Whenever the documentation of a confounding factor specific to the disease at hand is necessary, additional questionnaires can be applied to all or a sample of patients. The method has been successfully implemented for the pharmacoepidemiologic study of myocardial infarction, stroke, lupus, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, Guillain Barré syndrome, idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura, type 1 diabetes mellitus, suicide attempts, breast cancer, and other disorders, for the analysis of the risk or preventing action of NSAIDs, statins, antiplatelet agents, anticoagulants, insulins, vaccines and other drugs.

The "RCT augmentation": a novel simulation method to add patient heterogeneity into phase III trials.

BACKGROUND: Phase III randomized controlled trials (RCT) typically exclude certain patient subgroups, thereby potentially jeopardizing estimation of a drug's effects when prescribed to wider populations and under routine care ("effectiveness"). Conversely, enrolling heterogeneous populations in RCTs can increase endpoint variability and compromise detection of a drug's effect. We developed the "RCT augmentation" method to quantitatively support RCT design in the identification of exclusion criteria to relax to address both of these considerations. In the present manuscript, we describe the method and a case study in schizophrenia. METHODS: We applied typical RCT exclusion criteria in a real-world dataset (cohort) of schizophrenia patients to define the "RCT population" subgroup, and assessed the impact of re-including each of the following patient subgroups: (1) illness duration 1-3 years; (2) suicide attempt; (3) alcohol abuse; (4) substance abuse; and (5) private practice management. Predictive models were built using data from different "augmented RCT populations" (i.e., subgroups where patients with one or two of such characteristics were re-included) to estimate the absolute effectiveness of the two most prevalent antipsychotics against real-world results from the entire cohort. Concurrently, the impact on RCT results of relaxing exclusion criteria was evaluated by calculating the comparative efficacy of those two antipsychotics in virtual RCTs drawing on different "augmented RCT populations". RESULTS: Data from the "RCT population", which was defined with typical exclusion criteria, allowed for a prediction of effectiveness with a bias < 2% and mean squared error (MSE) = 5.8-6.8%. Compared to this typical RCT, RCTs using augmented populations provided improved effectiveness predictions (bias < 2%, MSE = 5.3-6.7%), while returning more variable comparative effects. The impact of augmentation depended on the exclusion criterion relaxed. Furthermore, half of the benefit of relaxing each criterion was gained from re-including the first 10-20% of patients with the corresponding real-world characteristic. CONCLUSIONS: Simulating the inclusion of real-world subpopulations into an RCT before running it allows for quantification of the impact of each re-inclusion upon effect detection (statistical power) and generalizability of trial results, thereby explicating this trade-off and enabling a controlled increase in population heterogeneity in the RCT design.

Dronedarone, amiodarone and other antiarrhythmic drugs, and acute liver injuries: a case-referent study.

BACKGROUND: Spontaneous reports of acute liver injuries (ALI) in patients taking dronedarone triggered an EMA alert in 2011. This study aimed to assess the risk of ALI for class III antiarrhythmic drugs controlling for the use of other potential ALI-inducing drugs. METHODS: Between 2010 and 2014, consecutive ALI cases (≥50 years-old) were identified across Germany. ALI was defined as a new increase in at least one of the transaminases ≥3 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) or ≥2 ULN if alkaline phosphatase, with ("definite" case) or without ("biochemical" case) suggestive signs/symptoms of ALI, excluding other liver diseases. Recruited community controls were matched to cases on gender, age and inclusion date. Exposure to antiarrhythmic drugs and co-medication up to 2 years before ALI onset was informed by patients and confirmed by physicians' prescriptions. Adjusted Odds Ratios (aOR) were obtained from conditional multivariable logistic regressions, adjusted for a multivariate disease risk score and co-medication. RESULTS: 252 cases and 1081 matched controls were included (59.1% females; mean age: 64 years). Exposure to class III antiarrhythmic drugs was 4.0% in cases and 1.5% in controls, aOR = 3.6 (95% CI: 1.6-8.4). Associations with exposure to dronedarone and amiodarone were respectively 3.1 (95% CI: 0.7-14. 8) and 5.90 (1.7-20.0). Restricting the analysis to definite or severe ALI cases did not change these results. CONCLUSIONS: Class III antiarrhythmic drugs were associated with ALI, amiodarone displaying the highest risk, and results were robust to case definitions. Continued vigilance is needed for patients taking these drugs.

Effectiveness of new antiplatelets in the prevention of recurrent myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE: To compare ticagrelor and prasugrel with clopidogrel for recurrent fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction (reMI) in real-life conditions. METHODS: Case-referent study using the Pharmacoepidemiological General Research eXtension (PGRx)-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) registry. Cases were patients with reMI from a cohort with index ACS or external to the cohort (same sites). Referents from the cohort, without recurrent event, were matched on index ACS type and date, age and sex with reMI cases. Multivariate conditional logistic regression assessed the OR (95% CI) for reMI associated with ticagrelor and prasugrel vs clopidogrel, adjusted for aspirin use and cardiovascular risk factors. RESULTS: 1047 cases and 2234 matched referents were included. Compared with clopidogrel, ticagrelor and prasugrel were associated with respective ORs of 0.65 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.81) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.96) for reMI occurrence. ORs for ticagrelor and prasugrel vs clopidogrel were: 0.50 (95% CI 0.38 to 0.67) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.45 to 0.95), 0.39 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.62) and 0.44 (95% CI 0.26 to 0.75), 0.63 (95% CI 0.43 to 0.92) and 1.20 (95% CI 0.69 to 2.07), 1.11 (95% CI 0.72 to 1.72) and 0.82 (95% CI 0.44 to 1.54) when index ACS was a first MI, a first ST-elevated MI (STEMI), a first non-STEMI and a recurrent ACS, respectively, and 0.63 (95% CI 0.45 to 0.87) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.41 to 1.45) for patients aged ≥70 years. CONCLUSIONS: This real-world study showed a significant reduction of reMI with new antiplatelets compared with clopidogrel, ticagrelor being associated with a greater decrease of risk notably for first, either STEMI or non-STEMI. The larger magnitude of effect may be attributed to potential residual confounding or higher effectiveness compared with efficacy reported in trials (EMA Post Authorisation Study Registry Number EUPAS5905).

Correlates and predictors of antipsychotic drug polypharmacy in real-life settings: Results from a nationwide cohort study.

Reasons for using antipsychotic polypharmacy (APP) in routine clinical practice, despite a potentially unfavorable risk-benefit ratio, are poorly understood. This research aimed to determine (1) if severe courses of schizophrenia were associated with APP and (2) if a schizophrenia-related acute event would predict a switch to APP in the short term. Observational prospective data (at baseline and 6months) were drawn from a French nationwide cohort ("Cohorte Générale Schizophrénie"), which included 1859 inpatients and outpatients with schizophrenia. APP was defined as the prescription of ≥2 antipsychotic drugs (there being different active substances). Early-onset schizophrenia, legal guardianship, higher lifetime maximal severity of illness and comorbid antisocial personality were used as proxies for severe courses of schizophrenia. Schizophrenia-related acute events included hospitalization and recent suicide attempts. Logistic regression models were used to determine (1) whether the use of APP at baseline (vs. monotherapy) was associated with a severe course of schizophrenia or not, independent of acute events, and (2) if a switch to APP at 6months (vs. remaining on monotherapy) was associated with acute events, independent of severe courses of schizophrenia. Increased odds of APP use at baseline were independently associated with legal guardianship (OR=1.6; 95%CI=1.3, 2.0) and higher lifetime maximum severity of illness (OR=1.3; 95%CI=1.2, 1.5). A switch to APP at 6months was predicted by a hospitalization occurring since baseline (OR=6.1; 95%CI=3.9, 9.4). In routine clinical practice, APP is more likely prescribed to patients with severe courses of illness, possibly indicating the difficulty to manage these patients.

Trial exclusion criteria and their impact on the estimation of antipsychotic drugs effect: A case study using the SOHO database.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the impact upon estimation of drug effect as a result of applying exclusion criteria in randomized-controlled trials (RCT) measuring the efficacy of antipsychotics (AP) in schizophrenia. METHODS: Three characteristics which may act as effect-modifiers of AP, while also common exclusion criteria in RCTs, were identified through literature review: schizophrenia duration, substance use disorder and poor adherence. The SOHO cohort was used to estimate the effect of initiating antipsychotic drugs "A", "B" or "C" (pooled) upon symptom evolution at 3months from baseline (CGI-S scale). "Estimated effectiveness" and "estimated efficacy" were drawn from the "SOHO" and "RCT-like" (patients with none of the above-listed exclusion criteria) samples, respectively. Effect-modification and impact of each exclusion criterion on AP effect estimates were explored using non-adjusted statistics. RESULTS: The "SOHO sample" included 8250 patients initiating drug A, B or C at baseline, whose AP "estimated effectiveness" was ΔCGI-S=-0.78 (95% CI=-0.80, -0.76). The "RCT-like" sub-sample included 5348 (65%) patients whose AP "estimated efficacy" was ΔCGI-S=-0.73 (95% CI=-0.75, -0.70). Patients with short illness duration (≤3years since first AP; n=2436) experienced significant symptom improvement (ΔCGI-S=-0.89; 95%CI=-0.93, -0.85) compared to patients with duration >3years (mean ΔCGI-S=-0.73; 95%CI=-0.76, -0.71). Excluding patients with short illness duration led to a change in AP effect estimates but this was not the case for substance use disorder or poor adherence. CONCLUSION: Using certain exclusion criteria in RCTs may impact the drug's effect estimate, particularly when exclusion criteria are AP effect-modifiers representing frequent characteristics among patients with schizophrenia.

The use of random-effects models to identify health care center-related characteristics modifying the effect of antipsychotic drugs.

PURPOSE: A case study was conducted, exploring methods to identify drugs effects modifiers, at a health care center level. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were drawn from the Schizophrenia Outpatient Health Outcome cohort, including hierarchical information on 6641 patients, recruited from 899 health care centers from across ten European countries. Center-level characteristics included the following: psychiatrist's gender, age, length of practice experience, practice setting and type, countries' Healthcare System Efficiency score, and psychiatrist density in the country. Mixed multivariable linear regression models were used: 1) to estimate antipsychotic drugs' effectiveness (defined as the association between patients' outcome at 3 months - dependent variable, continuous - and antipsychotic drug initiation at baseline - drug A vs other antipsychotic drug); 2) to estimate the similarity between clustered data (using the intra-cluster correlation coefficient); and 3) to explore antipsychotic drug effects modification by center-related characteristics (using the addition of an interaction term). RESULTS: About 23% of the variance found for patients' outcome was explained by unmeasured confounding at a center level. Psychiatrists' practice experience was found to be associated with patient outcomes (p=0.04) and modified the relative effect of "drug A" (p<0.001), independent of center- or patient-related characteristics. CONCLUSION: Mixed models may be useful to explore how center-related characteristics modify drugs' effect estimates, but require numerous assumptions.

Effect of an Institutional Medication Adherence Program for Long-Acting Injectable Risperidone on Adherence and Psychiatric Hospitalizations: Evidence from a Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Long-acting injectable (LAI) atypical antipsychotics are associated with improved adherence and reduced relapse rates in schizophrenia but reminder-based interventions may further improve outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To assess an institutional medication adherence program's (IMAP) effectiveness on adherence and psychiatric hospitalizations among schizophrenia patients taking risperidone LAI (RLAI). METHODS: Between 2009 and 2010, we recruited patients meeting DSM-IV criteria for schizophrenia treated with RLAI receiving outpatient care from psychiatric centres in France. The IMAP consisted of calling patients 48 hours prior to their scheduled RLAI injections and within 3 days of a missed appointment. Centres applying the IMAP to ≥50% of scheduled patient injections were deemed compliant. Patients were followed up to one year for adherence (≥80% of scheduled RLAI injections received within 5 days of the scheduled date) and psychiatric hospitalizations. RESULTS: Among 506 patients recruited from 36 centres, the hospitalization rate was 32.5 per 100 person-years. 15 centres treating 243 patients were IMAP compliant and 21 centres treating 263 patients were not. IMAP compliance was associated with lower psychiatric hospitalization rates (crude RR: 0.64 [95% CI: 0.44-0.93]; adjusted RR: 0.78 [95% CI: 0.47-1.27]). Nearly 75% of patients were adherent to RLAI. While patient adherence had little impact on hospitalization rates (adjusted RR: 0.92 [95% CI: 0.59-1.44]), IMAP compliance was more effective among non-adherent (adjusted RR: 0.45 [95% CI: 0.16-1.28]) than adherent (adjusted RR: 0.88 [95% CI: 0.51-1.53]) patients. CONCLUSIONS: IMAPs may improve patient adherence and reduce psychiatric hospitalizations, particularly among patients with difficulties adhering to LAI antipsychotics.

Risk of autoimmune diseases and human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccines: Six years of case-referent surveillance.

BACKGROUND: Safety of HPV vaccines is still in question due to reports of autoimmune diseases (ADs) following HPV immunization. OBJECTIVES: To assess the risk of ADs associated with HPV vaccination of female adolescents/young adults in France. METHODS: Systematic prospective case-referent study conducted to assess the risks associated with real-life use of HPV vaccines. Cases were female 11-25 years old with incident ADs [central demyelination/multiple sclerosis (CD/MS), connective tissue disease (CTD), Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), type-1 diabetes (T1D), autoimmune thyroiditis (AT), and idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP)]. Cases were consecutively and prospectively identified at specialized centers across France (2008-2014) and individually matched by age and place of residence to referents recruited in general practice. Risk was computed using multivariate conditional logistic regression models adjusted for family history of ADs, living in France (north/south), co-medications and co-vaccinations. RESULTS: With a total of 478 definite cases matched to 1869 referents, all ADs combined were negatively associated to HPV vaccination with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.58 (95% confidence interval: 0.41-0.83). Similar results were obtained for CD/MS, AT, CT, and T1D, the last two not reaching statistical significance. No association was found for ITP and GBS. Sensitivity analyses combining definite and possible cases with secondary time window showed similar results. CONCLUSION: Exposure to HPV vaccines was not associated with an increased risk of ADs within the time period studied. Results were robust to case definitions and time windows of exposure. Continued active surveillance is needed to confirm this finding for individual ADs.

Antiepileptic drugs and risk of suicide attempts: a case-control study exploring the impact of underlying medical conditions.

PURPOSE: Randomized-controlled trials and claims databases suggest that antiepileptic drug (AED) use may increase the risk of suicide attempts (SA). The present case-control study explores the impact of underlying indications on this potential association. METHODS: Physicians collected the medical history; prior 12-month drug use was obtained from standardized telephone interviews with patients. The association between AED use and SA was explored using multivariate conditional logistic regression. The analyses were replicated after stratification on depression and neurological disorders (epilepsy, migraine, and chronic neuropathic pain). RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2012, 506 adults with an incident SA were recruited in suicide treatment centers from across France and socio-demographically matched to 2829 controls from primary care settings. The association between AED use and odds of SA was not significant overall (odds ratio [OR], 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9-2.4). No association was observed for patients with neurological disorders (OR, 1.1; 95%CI, 0.5-2.4) as opposed to patients with depression (OR, 1.6; 95%CI, 1.0-2.5), but unmeasured confounding was suspected. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the association observed between AED use and increased odds of non-fatal SA in patients with either a lifetime history of depression or no neurological disorder may be explained by the presence of an underlying psychiatric disorder. Accounting for underlying indications is crucial in drug safety studies, as these can cause a reported association (or lack thereof) to be misleading. This may require the prospective collection of medical data at a patient level. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Childhood immune thrombocytopenia: A nationwide cohort study on condition management and outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: Nationwide prospective cohort study exploring (i) the factors associated with treatment initiation (vs. watchful waiting) in children with primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) followed in routine clinical practice and (ii) the predictors of chronicity at 12 months. PROCEDURE: Between 2008 and 2013, 23 centers throughout France consecutively included 257 children aged 6 months-18 years and diagnosed with primary ITP over a 5-year period. Data on ITP clinical features along with medical management were collected at baseline and 12 months. Multivariate logistic regressions were used to determine (i) and (ii) as defined above, providing odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI). RESULTS: One hundred thirty-seven (53%) children were males, median age was 4.6 years, median platelet count was 7 × 109/l, and 214 (81%) patients initiated medication. Factors independently associated with treatment initiation included platelet counts <10 × 109/l (P < 0.0001) and mucocutaneous bleeding symptoms at baseline (P < 0.001). At 12 months, data were available for 211 (82%) children, of whom 160 (74%) had recovered. Predictors of chronicity included female gender (OR = 2.2; 95% CI = 1.0-4.8), age ≥10 years (OR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.1-6.0), and platelet counts ≥10 × 109 /l (OR = 3.2; 95% CI = 1.5-6.9). CONCLUSIONS: In routine clinical practice, the decision to apply a watchful waiting strategy seems to be driven by platelet counts even in the absence of bleeding symptoms, resulting in treatment being initiated in more than 80% of the children surveyed. Overall, younger children with ITP showed good prognosis, with lower platelet counts and, to a lesser extent, male gender predicting more favorable outcomes.

Model-observational bridging study on the effectiveness of ezetimibe on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in France: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the real-life impact of ezetimibe on cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality in France. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the number of non-fatal and fatal CV events that could be prevented and corresponding number of patients needed to treat (NNT) with ezetimibe to prevent one CV event over 5 years. METHODS: Non-interventional 48-month follow-up cohort conducted in hypercholesterolemic patients starting on ezetimibe <3 months at study entry, either as monotherapy or combined with statins. Prediction modeling using discrete event simulation with calibrated Framingham CV risk equations was applied to data from pivotal clinical trials on ezetimibe and real-life data derived from the cohort. RESULTS: A total of 3215 patients in the cohort accumulated 9314 person-years of follow-up for an average of 2.9 years. Mean age was 61.5 (standard deviation [SD] = 10.7), 54.6% were males, and 27.0% had a history of CV disease. Baseline LDL-cholesterol averaged 4.1 mmol/L (159 mg/dL; SD = 1.0) and HDL-C 1.6 mmol/L (62 mg/dL; SD = 0.5). LDL-C decreased in the first 12 months in ezetimibe-LLT (lipid-lowering therapy) initiators, switchers (monotherapy), and combination therapy with a statin by respectively 21.3%, 6.4%, and 29.1%. The corresponding predicted rate reductions of CV events (non-fatal and fatal) compared to no treatment or to a statin (combination therapy) were respectively 8, 2, and 12 per 1000 patients treated over 5 years, with a global NNT of 143 patients over 5 years. CONCLUSION: These results, accounting for observed CV event rates, risk factors evolution over time and adherence to treatment in real life, were consistent with those from clinical trials.

Immune thrombocytopenia in adults: a prospective cohort study of clinical features and predictors of outcome.

This prospective observational cohort study aimed to explore the clinical features of incident immune thrombocytopenia in adults and predictors of outcome, while determining if a family history of autoimmune disorder is a risk factor for immune thrombocytopenia. All adults, 18 years of age or older, recently diagnosed with immune thrombocytopenia were consecutively recruited across 21 hospital centers in France. Data were collected at diagnosis and after 12 months. Predictors of chronicity at 12 months were explored using logistic regression models. The association between family history of autoimmune disorder and the risk of developing immune thrombocytopenia was explored using a conditional logistic regression model after matching each case to 10 controls. One hundred and forty-three patients were included: 63% female, mean age 48 years old (Standard Deviation=19), and 84% presented with bleeding symptoms. Median platelet count was 10×10(9)/L. Initial treatment was required in 82% of patients. After 12 months, only 37% of patients not subject to disease-modifying interventions achieved cure. The sole possible predictor of chronicity at 12 months was a higher platelet count at baseline [Odds Ratio 1.03; 95%CI: 1.00, 1.06]. No association was found between outcome and any of the following features: age, sex, presence of either bleeding symptoms or antinuclear antibodies at diagnosis. Likewise, family history of autoimmune disorder was not associated with incident immune thrombocytopenia. Immune thrombocytopenia in adults has been shown to progress to a chronic form in the majority of patients. A lower platelet count could be indicative of a more favorable outcome.

Homeopathic medical practice for anxiety and depression in primary care: the EPI3 cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of the study was to compare utilization of conventional psychotropic drugs among patients seeking care for anxiety and depression disorders (ADDs) from general practitioners (GPs) who strictly prescribe conventional medicines (GP-CM), regularly prescribe homeopathy in a mixed practice (GP-Mx), or are certified homeopathic GPs (GP-Ho). METHODS: This was one of three epidemiological cohort studies (EPI3) on general practice in France, which included GPs and their patients consulting for ADDs (scoring 9 or more in the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, HADS). Information on all medication utilization was obtained by a standardised telephone interview at inclusion, 1, 3 and 12 months. RESULTS: Of 1562 eligible patients consulting for ADDs, 710 (45.5 %) agreed to participate. Adjusted multivariate analyses showed that GP-Ho and GP-Mx patients were less likely to use psychotropic drugs over 12 months, with Odds ratio (OR) = 0.29; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.19 to 0.44, and OR = 0.62; 95 % CI: 0.41 to 0.94 respectively, compared to GP-CM patients. The rate of clinical improvement (HADS <9) was marginally superior for the GP-Ho group as compared to the GP-CM group (OR = 1.70; 95 % CI: 1.00 to 2.87), but not for the GP-Mx group (OR = 1.49; 95 % CI: 0.89 to 2.50). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ADD, who chose to consult GPs prescribing homeopathy reported less use of psychotropic drugs, and were marginally more likely to experience clinical improvement, than patients managed with conventional care. Results may reflect differences in physicians' management and patients' preferences as well as statistical regression to the mean.

The "Efficacy-Effectiveness Gap": Historical Background and Current Conceptualization.

BACKGROUND: The concept of the "efficacy-effectiveness gap" (EEG) has started to challenge confidence in decisions made for drugs when based on randomized controlled trials alone. Launched by the Innovative Medicines Initiative, the GetReal project aims to improve understanding of how to reconcile evidence to support efficacy and effectiveness and at proposing operational solutions. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of the present narrative review were 1) to understand the historical background in which the concept of the EEG has emerged and 2) to describe the conceptualization of EEG. METHODS: A focused literature review was conducted across the gray literature and articles published in English reporting insights on the EEG concept. The identification of different "paradigms" was performed by simple inductive analysis of the documents' content. RESULTS: The literature on the EEG falls into three major paradigms, in which EEG is related to 1) real-life characteristics of the health care system; 2) the method used to measure the drug's effect; and 3) a complex interaction between the drug's biological effect and contextual factors. CONCLUSIONS: The third paradigm provides an opportunity to look beyond any dichotomy between "standardized" versus "real-life" characteristics of the health care system and study designs. Namely, future research will determine whether the identification of these contextual factors can help to best design randomized controlled trials that provide better estimates of drugs' effectiveness.