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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22274334

RESUMO

The impact of SARS-CoV-2 infections upon Indonesian health care workers (HCWs) remains unclear, as mortality data specific to HCWs is not systematically collected or analyzed in this setting. This report describes findings from a systematic collation, abstraction and analysis of HCW fatalities during the first 18 months of COVID-19 in Indonesia. HCW who died during the period of March 2020 to July 2021 across Indonesia were identified on Pusara Digital, a community web-based digital cemetery database dedicated to HCW. We calculated mortality rates and death risk ratio among HCWs and the general population. Qualitative methods explored concerns regarding mortality among HCWs. The analysis suggests that at least 1,545 HCWs died during the study period. The death of males and females HCWs were almost equally distributed (51% vs. 49%). Most were medical doctors and specialists (535, 35%), nurses (428, 28%), and midwives (359, 23%). Deaths most frequently occurred in the age group of 40 to 59 years old with the median age of 50 years (IQR: 39-59). At least 322 (21%) deaths occurred with pre-existing conditions, including 45 who were pregnant. We estimated a minimal HCW mortality rate in Indonesia at 1.707 deaths per 1000 HCW during the first 18 months of COVID-19. Provincial HCW mortality rates ranged from 0.136 (West Sulawesi) to 5.32 HCW deaths per 1000 HCWs (East Java). HCW had a significantly higher mortality rate than the general population (RR = 4.92, 95% CI 4.67 - 5.17). The COVID-19 event in Indonesia resulted in the loss of many hundreds of HCWs, most of them being senior physicians, nurses, and midwives. The HCW death rates is 5-times higher than everyone else. The sheer sparseness of the workforce requires more protective steps and a national systematic surveillance of occupational mortality is urgently needed in this setting.

2.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21266809

RESUMO

BackgroundThe 33 recognized megacities comprise approximately 7% of the global population, yet account for 20% COVID-19 deaths. The specific inequities and other factors within megacities that affect vulnerability to COVID-19 mortality remain poorly defined. We assessed individual, community-level and health care factors associated with COVID-19-related mortality in a megacity of Jakarta, Indonesia, during two epidemic waves spanning March 2, 2020, to August 31, 2021. MethodsThis retrospective cohort included all residents of Jakarta, Indonesia, with PCR-confirmed COVID-19. We extracted demographic, clinical, outcome (recovered or died), vaccine coverage data, and disease prevalence from Jakarta Health Office surveillance records, and collected sub-district level socio-demographics data from various official sources. We used multi-level logistic regression to examine individual, community and sub-district-level health care factors and their associations with COVID-19-mortality. FindingsOf 705,503 cases with a definitive outcome by August 31, 2021, 694,706 (98{middle dot}5%) recovered and 10,797 (1{middle dot}5%) died. The median age was 36 years (IQR 24-50), 13{middle dot}2% (93,459) were <18 years, and 51{middle dot}6% were female. The sub-district level accounted for 1{middle dot}5% of variance in mortality (p<0.0001). Individual-level factors associated with death were older age, male sex, comorbidities, and, during the first wave, age <5 years (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1{middle dot}56, 95%CI 1{middle dot}04-2{middle dot}35; reference: age 20-29 years). Community-level factors associated with death were poverty (aOR for the poorer quarter 1{middle dot}35, 95%CI 1{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}55; reference: wealthiest quarter), high population density (aOR for the highest density 1{middle dot}34, 95%CI 1{middle dot}14-2{middle dot}58; reference: the lowest), low vaccine coverage (aOR for the lowest coverage 1{middle dot}25, 95%CI 1{middle dot}13-1{middle dot}38; reference: the highest). InterpretationIn addition to individual risk factors, living in areas with high poverty and density, and low health care performance further increase the vulnerability of communities to COVID-19-associated death in urban low-resource settings. FundingWellcome (UK) Africa Asia Programme Vietnam (106680/Z/14/Z). Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed on November 22, 2021, for articles that assessed individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability factors associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality, using the search terms ("novel coronavirus" OR "SARS-CoV-2" OR "COVID-19") AND ("death" OR "mortality" OR "deceased") AND ("community" OR "social") AND ("healthcare" OR "health system"). The 33 recognized megacities comprise approximately 7% of the global population, yet account for 20% COVID-19 deaths. The specific inequities and other factors within megacities that affect vulnerability to COVID-19 mortality remain poorly defined. At individual-level, studies have shown COVID-19-related mortality to be associated with older age and common underlying chronic co-morbidities including hypertension, diabetes, obesity, cardiac disease, chronic kidney disease and liver disease. Only few studies from North America, and South America have reported the association between lower community-level socio-economic status and healthcare performance with increased risk of COVID-19-related death. We found no studies have been done to assess individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability factors associated with COVID-19 mortality risk, especially in lower-and middle-income countries (LMIC) where accessing quality health care services is often challenging for substantial proportions of population, due to under-resourced and fragile health systems. In Southeast Asia, by November 22, 2021, COVID-19 case fatality rate had been reported at 2{middle dot}2% (23,951/1,104,835) in Vietnam, 1{middle dot}7% (47,288/2,826,853) in Philippines, 1{middle dot}0% (20,434/2,071,009) in Thailand, 1{middle dot}2% (30,063/2,591,486) in Malaysia, 2{middle dot}4% (2,905/119,904) in Cambodia, and 0{middle dot}3% in Singapore (667/253,649). Indonesia has the highest number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the region, reporting 3{middle dot}4% case fatality rate (143,744 /4,253,598), with the highest number of cases in the capital city of Jakarta. A preliminary analysis of the first five months of surveillance in Jakarta found that 497 of 4265 (12%) hospitalised patients had died, associated with older age, male sex; pre-existing hypertension, diabetes, or chronic kidney disease; clinical diagnosis of pneumonia; multiple (>3) symptoms; immediate intensive care unit admission, or intubation. Added value of this studyThis retrospective population-based study of the complete epidemiological surveillance data of Jakarta during the first eighteen months of the epidemic is the largest studies in LMIC to date, that comprehensively analysed the individual, community, and healthcare vulnerability associated with COVID-19-related mortality among individuals diagnosed with PCR-confirmed COVID-19. The overall case fatality rate among general population in Jakarta was 1{middle dot}5% (10,797/705,503). Individual factors associated with risk of death were older age, male sex, comorbidities, and, during the first wave, age <5 years (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1{middle dot}56, 95%CI 1{middle dot}04-2{middle dot}35; reference: age 20-29 years). The risk of death was further increased for people living in sub-districts with high rates of poverty (aOR for the poorer quarter 1{middle dot}35, 95%CI 1{middle dot}17-1{middle dot}55; reference: wealthiest quarter), high population density (aOR for the highest density 1{middle dot}34, 95%CI 1{middle dot}14-2{middle dot}58), and low COVID-19 vaccination coverage (aOR for the lowest coverage 1{middle dot}25, 95%CI 1{middle dot}13-1{middle dot}38; reference: the highest). Implications of all available evidenceDifferences in socio-demographics and access to quality health services, among other factors, greatly influence COVID-19 mortality in low-resource settings. This study affirmed that in addition to well-known individual risk factors, community-level socio-demographics and healthcare factors further increase the vulnerability of communities to die from COVID-19 in urban low-resource settings. These results highlight the need for accelerated vaccine rollout and additional preventive interventions to protect the urban poor who are most vulnerable to dying from COVID-19.

3.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20248159

RESUMO

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 epidemic is an important measure of health impacts. We examined mortality records from January 2015 to October 2020 from government sources at Jakarta, Indonesia: 1) burials in public cemeteries; 2) civil death registration; and 3) health authority death registration. During 2015-2019, an average of 26,342 burials occurred each year from January to October. During the same period of 2020, there were 42,460 burials, an excess of 61%. Burial activities began surging in early January 2020, two months before the first official laboratory confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Indonesia in March 2020. Analysis of civil death registrations or health authority death registration showed insensitive trends during 2020. Burial records indicated substantially increased mortality associated with the onset of and ongoing COVID-19 epidemic in Jakarta and suggest that SARS-CoV-2 transmission may have been initiated and progressing at least two months prior to official detection. Article summary lineAnalysis of civil records of burials in Jakarta, Indonesia showed a 61% increase during 2020 compared to the previous five years, a trend that began two months prior to first official confirmation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the city.

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