Predictors of graft failure after first detection of de novo donor-specific HLA antibodies in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: De novo donor-specific antibodies (dnDSAs) may cause antibody-mediated rejection and graft dysfunction. Little is known about the clinical course after first detection of dnDSAs during screening in asymptomatic patients. We aimed to assess the value of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proteinuria to predict graft failure in patients with dnDSAs and their potential utility as surrogate endpoints. METHODS: All 400 kidney transplant recipients with dnDSAs at our centre (1 March 2000-31 May 2021) were included in this retrospective study. The dates of graft loss, rejection, doubling of creatinine, ≥30% eGFR decline, proteinuria ≥500 mg/g and ≥1000 mg/g were registered from the first dnDSA appearance. RESULTS: During 8.3 years of follow-up, graft failure occurred in 33.3% of patients. Baseline eGFR and proteinuria correlated with 5-year graft loss (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve 0.75 and 0.80, P < .001). Creatinine doubled after a median of 2.8 years [interquartile range (IQR) 1.5-5.0] from dnDSA and the time from doubling creatinine to graft failure was 1.0 year (IQR 0.4-2.9). Analysing eGFR reduction ≥30% as a surrogate endpoint (148/400), the time from dnDSA to this event was 2.0 years (IQR 0.6-4.2), with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 45.9% to predict graft loss, which occurred after 2.0 years (IQR 0.8-3.2). The median time from proteinuria ≥500 mg/g and ≥1000 mg/g to graft failure was identical, 1.8 years, with a PPV of 43.8% and 49.0%, respectively. Composite endpoints did not improve PPV. Multivariable analysis showed that rejection was the most important independent risk factor for all renal endpoints and graft loss. CONCLUSIONS: Renal function, proteinuria and rejection are strongly associated with graft failure in patients with dnDSA and may serve as surrogate endpoints.

Donor-Derived Cell-Free DNA for Kidney Allograft Surveillance after Conversion to Belatacept: Prospective Pilot Study.

Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) is used as a biomarker for detection of antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) and other forms of graft injury. Another potential indication is guidance of immunosuppressive therapy when no therapeutic drug monitoring is available. In such situations, detection of patients with overt or subclinical graft injury is important to personalize immunosuppression. We prospectively measured dd-cfDNA in 22 kidney transplant recipients (KTR) over a period of 6 months after conversion to belatacept for clinical indication and assessed routine clinical parameters. Patient and graft survival was 100% after 6 months, and eGFR remained stable (28.7 vs. 31.1 mL/min/1.73 m2, p = 0.60). Out of 22 patients, 2 (9%) developed biopsy-proven rejection-one episode of low-grade TCMR IA and one episode of caABMR. While both episodes were detected by increase in creatinine, the caABMR episode led to increase in absolute dd-cfDNA (168 copies/mL) above the cut-off of 50 copies/mL, while the TCMR episode did show slightly increased relative dd-cfDNA (0.85%) despite normal absolute dd-cfDNA (22 copies/mL). Dd-cfDNA did not differ before and after conversion in a subgroup of 12 KTR with previous calcineurin inhibitor therapy and no rejection (12.5 vs. 25.3 copies/mL, p = 0.34). In this subgroup, 3/12 (25%) patients showed increase of absolute dd-cfDNA above the prespecified cut-off (50 copies/mL) despite improving eGFR. Increase in dd-cfDNA after conversion to belatacept is common and could point towards subclinical allograft injury. To detect subclinical TCMR changes without vascular lesions, additional biomarkers or urinary dd-cfDNA should complement plasma dd-cfDNA. Resolving CNI toxicity is unlikely to be detected by decreased dd-cfDNA levels. In summary, the sole determination of dd-cfDNA has limited utility in the guidance of patients after late conversion to belatacept. Further studies should focus on patients undergoing early conversion and include protocol biopsies at least for patients with increased dd-cfDNA.

The natural history of de novo donor-specific HLA antibodies after kidney transplantation.

Background: De novo donor-specific HLA antibodies (dnDSA) are key factors in the diagnosis of antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) and related to graft loss. Methods: This retrospective study was designed to evaluate the natural course of dnDSA in graft function and kidney allograft survival and to assess the impact of mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) evolution as detected by annual Luminex® screening. All 400 kidney transplant recipients with 731 dnDSA against the last graft (01/03/2000-31/05/2021) were included. Results: During 8.3 years of follow-up, ABMR occurred in 24.8% and graft loss in 33.3% of the cases, especially in patients with class I and II dnDSA, and those with multiple dnDSA. We observed frequent changes in MFI with 5-year allograft survivals post-dnDSA of 74.0% in patients with MFI reduction ≥ 50%, 62.4% with fluctuating MFI (MFI reduction ≥ 50% and doubling), and 52.7% with doubling MFI (log-rank p < 0.001). Interestingly, dnDSA in 168 (24.3%) cases became negative at some point during follow-up, and 38/400 (9.5%) patients became stable negative, which was associated with better graft survival. Multivariable analysis revealed the importance of MFI evolution and rejection, while class and number of dnDSA were not contributors in this model. Conclusion: In summary, we provide an in-depth analysis of the natural course of dnDSA after kidney transplantation, first evidence for the impact of MFI evolution on graft outcomes, and describe a relevant number of patients with a stable disappearance of dnDSA, related to better allograft survival.

Absolute or Relative Quantification of Donor-derived Cell-free DNA in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Case Series.

BACKGROUND: Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) is increasingly recognized as a valuable biomarker for acute transplant injury, with possible indications in the detection of cellular or humoral rejection and the guidance of immunosuppressive therapy. There is an ongoing debate on whether relative or absolute quantification of dd-cfDNA is more reliable for the detection of acute transplant injury. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all 22 kidney transplant recipients who underwent dd-cfDNA measurements (percentage and absolute) between April 2020 and April 2021 at our institution. Of these, 9 (41%) showed discrepancies between absolute (cutoff: 50 copies/mL) and relative (cutoff: 0.5%) quantification in at least 1 dd-cfDNA measurement. RESULTS: We report on 9 of 22 cases with discrepancies in relative and absolute quantification of dd-cfDNA, which were predominantly late posttransplant patients. We found bacterial and viral infections, as well as low leukocyte count from chronic myeloid leukaemia treatment, to be reasons for variability in total cell-free DNA (cfDNA), leading to inter- and intraindividual variability in relative dd-cfDNA quantification. When correlating dd-cfDNA quantification and biopsy results, as well as clinical course, our data indicate that relying solely on relative dd-cfDNA can lead to false-negative and false-positive results. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, these cases argue that absolute quantification of dd-cfDNA is better suited in patients with underlying conditions affecting total cfDNA levels and suggest using both absolute and relative dd-cfDNA together for higher reliability and interindividual comparability in the clinical setting. Especially for patients with chronic active antibody-mediated rejection, further studies on the use of dd-cfDNA are desirable.