Cost of childhood severe pneumonia management in selected public inpatient care facilities in Bangladesh: a provider perspective.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate inpatient care costs of childhood severe pneumonia and its urban-rural cost variation, and to predict cost drivers. DESIGN: The study was nested within a cluster randomised trial of childhood severe pneumonia management. Cost per episode of severe pneumonia was estimated from a healthcare provider perspective for children who received care from public inpatient facilities. A bottom-up micro-costing approach was applied and data collected using structured questionnaire and review of the patient record. Multivariate regression analysis determined cost predictors and sensitivity analysis explored robustness of cost parameters. SETTING: Eight public inpatient care facilities from two districts of Bangladesh covering urban and rural areas. PATIENTS: Children aged 2-59 months with WHO-classified severe pneumonia. RESULTS: Data on 1252 enrolled children were analysed; 795 (64%) were male, 787 (63%) were infants and 59% from urban areas. Average length of stay (LoS) was 4.8 days (SD ±2.5) and mean cost per patient was US$48 (95% CI: US$46, US$49). Mean cost per patient was significantly greater for urban tertiary-level facilities compared with rural primary-secondary facilities (mean difference US$43; 95% CI: US$40, US$45). No cost variation was found relative to age, sex, malnutrition or hypoxaemia. Type of facility was the most important cost predictor. LoS and personnel costs were the most sensitive cost parameters. CONCLUSION: Healthcare provider cost of childhood severe pneumonia was substantial for urban located public health facilities that provided tertiary-level care. Thus, treatment availability at a lower-level facility at a rural location may help to reduce overall treatment costs.

A comparison of the NIRUDAK models and WHO algorithm for dehydration assessment in older children and adults with acute diarrhoea: a prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND: Despite the importance of accurate and rapid assessment of hydration status in patients with acute diarrhoea, no validated tools exist to help clinicians assess dehydration severity in older children and adults. The aim of this study is to validate a clinical decision support tool (CDST) and a simplified score for dehydration severity in older children and adults with acute diarrhoea (both developed during the NIRUDAK study) and compare their accuracy and reliability with current WHO guidelines. METHODS: A random sample of patients aged 5 years or older presenting with diarrhoea to the icddr,b Dhaka Hospital in Bangladesh between Jan 30 and Dec 13, 2022 were included in this prospective cohort study. Patients with fewer than three loose stools per day, more than 7 days of symptoms, previous enrolment in the study, or a diagnosis other than acute gastroenteritis were excluded. Patients were weighed on arrival and assessed separately by two nurses using both our novel clinical tools and WHO guidelines. Patients were weighed every 4 h to determine their percent weight change with rehydration, our criterion standard for dehydration. Accuracy for the diagnosis of dehydration category (none, some, or severe) was assessed using the ordinal c-index (ORC). Reliability was assessed by comparing the prediction of severe dehydration from each nurse's independent assessment using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). FINDINGS: 1580 patients were included in our primary analysis, of whom 921 (58·3%) were female and 659 (41·7%) male. The ORC was 0·74 (95% CI 0·71-0·77) for the CDST, 0·75 (0·71-0·78) for the simplified score, and 0·64 (0·61-0·67) for the WHO guidelines. The ICC was 0·98 (95% CI 0·97-0·98) for the CDST, 0·94 (0·93-0·95) for the simplified score, and 0·56 (0·52-0·60) for the WHO guidelines. INTERPRETATION: Use of our CDST or simplified score by clinicians could reduce undertreatment and overtreatment of older children and adults with acute diarrhoea, potentially reducing morbidity and mortality for this common disease. FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health. TRANSLATION: For the Bangla translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Understanding variations in diarrhea management across healthcare facilities in Bangladesh: a formative qualitative study.

INTRODUCTION: Acute diarrhea remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality with over 6.3 billion cases and 1.3 million deaths annually. Despite the existence of standardized guidelines for diarrhea management, wide variability in clinical practice exists, particularly in resource-limited settings. The goal of this study was to qualitatively explore how diarrhea management in Bangladesh varies according to resource availability, clinical setting, and provider roles. METHODOLOGY: This was a secondary analysis of a cross-sectional qualitative study conducted in three diverse hospital settings (district hospital, subdistrict hospital, and specialty diarrhea research hospital) in Bangladesh. A total of eight focus group discussions with nurses and physicians were conducted. Applied thematic analysis was used to identify themes regarding variations in diarrhea management. RESULTS: Of the 27 focus group participants, 14 were nurses and 13 doctors; 15 worked in a private diarrhea specialty hospital and 12 worked in government district or subdistrict hospitals. Several key themes emerged from the qualitative data analysis: 1) priorities in the clinical assessment of diarrhea 2) use of guidelines versus clinical judgment; 3) variability in clinician roles and between clinical settings influences care delivery; 4) impact of resource availability on diarrhea management; and 5) perceptions of community health workers' role in diarrhea management. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study may aid in informing interventions to improve and standardize diarrhea management in resource-constrained settings. Resource availability, practices regarding diarrhea assessment and treatment, provider experience, and variability in provider roles are essential considerations when developing clinical tools in low- and middle- income countries.

Effectiveness, safety and economic viability of daycare versus usual hospital care management of severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition in children using the existing health system of Bangladesh: a cluster randomised controlled trial.

Background: We aimed to define clinical and cost-effectiveness of a Day Care Approach (DCA) alternative to Usual Care (UC, comparison group) within the Bangladesh health system to manage severe childhood pneumonia. Methods: This was a cluster randomised controlled trial in urban Dhaka and rural Bangladesh between November 1, 2015 and March 23, 2019. Children aged 2-59 months with severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition received DCA or UC. The DCA treatment settings comprised of urban primary health care clinics run by NGO under Dhaka South City Corporation and in rural Union health and family welfare centres under the Ministry of Health and Family welfare Services. The UC treatment settings were hospitals in these respective areas. Primary outcome was treatment failure (persistence of pneumonia symptoms, referral or death). We performed both intention-to-treat and per-protocol analysis for treatment failure. Registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02669654. Findings: In total 3211 children were enrolled, 1739 in DCA and 1472 in UC; primary outcome data were available in 1682 and 1357 in DCA and UC, respectively. Treatment failure rate was 9.6% among children in DCA (167 of 1739) and 13.5% in the UC (198 of 1472) (group difference, -3.9 percentage point; 95% confidence interval (CI), -4.8 to -1.5, p = 0.165). Treatment success within the health care systems [DCA plus referral vs. UC plus referral, 1587/1739 (91.3%) vs. 1283/1472 (87.2%), group difference 4.1 percentage point, 95% CI, 3.7 to 4.1, p = 0.160)] was better in DCA. One child each in UC of both urban and rural sites died within day 6 after admission. Average cost of treatment per child was US$94.2 (95% CI, 92.2 to 96.3) and US$184.8 (95% CI, 178.6 to 190.9) for DCA and UC, respectively. Interpretation: In our population of children with severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition, >90% were successfully treated at Day care Clinics at 50% lower cost. A modest investment to upgrade Day care facilities may provide a cost-effective, accessible alternative to hospital management. Funding: UNICEF, Botnar Foundation, UBS Optimus Foundation, and EAGLE Foundation, Switzerland.

Correction: Derivation of the first clinical diagnostic models for dehydration severity in patients over five years with acute diarrhea.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009266.].

Designing a Novel Clinician Decision Support Tool for the Management of Acute Diarrhea in Bangladesh: Formative Qualitative Study.

BACKGROUND: The availability of mobile clinical decision support (CDS) tools has grown substantially with the increased prevalence of smartphone devices and apps. Although health care providers express interest in integrating mobile health (mHealth) technologies into their clinical settings, concerns have been raised, including perceived disagreements between information provided by mobile CDS tools and standard guidelines. Despite their potential to transform health care delivery, there remains limited literature on the provider's perspective on the clinical utility of mobile CDS tools for improving patient outcomes, especially in low- and middle-income countries. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to describe providers' perceptions about the utility of a mobile CDS tool accessed via a smartphone app for diarrhea management in Bangladesh. In addition, feedback was collected on the preliminary components of the mobile CDS tool to address clinicians' concerns and incorporate their preferences. METHODS: From November to December 2020, qualitative data were gathered through 8 web-based focus group discussions with physicians and nurses from 3 Bangladeshi hospitals. Each discussion was conducted in the local language-Bangla-and audio recorded for transcription and translation by the local research team. Transcripts and codes were entered into NVivo (version 12; QSR International), and applied thematic analysis was used to identify themes that explore the clinical utility of an mHealth app for assessing dehydration severity in patients with acute diarrhea. Summaries of concepts and themes were generated from reviews of the aggregated coded data; thematic memos were written and used for the final analysis. RESULTS: Of the 27 focus group participants, 14 (52%) were nurses and 13 (48%) were physicians; 15 (56%) worked at a diarrhea specialty hospital and 12 (44%) worked in government district or subdistrict hospitals. Participants' experience in their current position ranged from 2 to 14 years, with an average of 10.3 (SD 9.0) years. Key themes from the qualitative data analysis included current experience with CDS, overall perception of the app's utility and its potential role in clinical care, barriers to and facilitators of app use, considerations of overtreatment and undertreatment, and guidelines for the app's clinical recommendations. Participants felt that the tool would initially take time to use, but once learned, it could be useful during epidemic cholera. Some felt that clinical experience remains an important part of treatment that can be supplemented, but not replaced, by a CDS tool. In addition, diagnostic information, including mid-upper arm circumference and blood pressure, might not be available to directly inform programming decisions. CONCLUSIONS: Participants were positive about the mHealth app and its potential to inform diarrhea management. They provided detailed feedback, which developers used to revise the mobile CDS tool. These formative qualitative data provided timely and relevant feedback to improve the utility of a CDS tool for diarrhea treatment in Bangladesh.

Factors associated with community acquired severe pneumonia among under five children in Dhaka, Bangladesh: A case control analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is the leading cause of death in children globally with the majority of these deaths observed in resource-limited settings. Globally, the annual incidence of clinical pneumonia in under-five children is approximately 152 million, mostly in the low- and middle-income countries. Of these, 8.7% progressed to severe pneumonia requiring hospitalization. However, data to predict children at the greatest risk to develop severe pneumonia from pneumonia are limited. METHOD: Secondary data analysis was performed after extracting relevant data from a prospective cluster randomized controlled clinical trial; children of either sex, aged two months to five years with pneumonia or severe pneumonia acquired in the community were enrolled over a period of three years in 16 clusters in urban Dhaka city. RESULTS: The analysis comprised of 2,597 children aged 2-59 months. Of these, 904 and 1693 were categorized as pneumonia (controls) and severe pneumonia (cases), respectively based on WHO criteria. The median age of children was 9.2 months (inter quartile range, 5.1-17.1) and 1,576 (60%) were male. After adjustment for covariates, children with temperature ≥38°C, duration of illness ≥3 days, male sex, received prior medical care and severe stunting showed a significantly increased likelihood of developing severe pneumonia compared to those with pneumonia. Severe pneumonia in children occurred more often in older children who presented commonly from wealthy quintile families, and who often sought care from private facilities in urban settings. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: Male sex, longer duration of illness, fever, received prior medical care, and severe stunting were significantly associated with development of WHO-defined severe childhood pneumonia in our population. The results of this study may help to develop interventions target to reduce childhood morbidity and mortality of children suffering from severe pneumonia.

Barriers to seeking timely treatment for severe childhood pneumonia in rural Bangladesh.

OBJECTIVE: Delays in seeking medical attention for childhood pneumonia may lead to increased morbidity and mortality. This study aimed at identifying the drivers of delayed seeking of treatment for severe childhood pneumonia in rural Bangladesh. METHODS: We conducted a formative study from June to September 2015 in one northern district of Bangladesh. In-depth interviews were conducted with 20 rural mothers of children under 5 years with moderate or severe pneumonia. We analysed the data thematically. RESULTS: We found that mothers often failed to assess severity of pneumonia accurately due to lack of knowledge or misperception about symptoms of pneumonia. Several factors delayed timely steps that could lead to initiation of appropriate treatment. They included time lost in consultation with non-formal practitioners, social norms that required mothers to seek permission from male household heads (eg, husbands) before they could seek healthcare for their children, avoiding community-based public health centres due to their irregular schedules, lack of medical supplies, shortage of hospital beds and long distance of secondary or tertiary hospitals from households. Financial hardships and inability to identify a substitute caregiver for other children at home while the mother accompanied the sick child in hospital were other factors. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified key social, economic and infrastructural factors that lead to delayed treatment for childhood pneumonia in the study district in rural Bangladesh. Interventions that inform mothers and empower women in the decision to seek healthcare, as well as improvement of infrastructure at the facility level could lead to improved behaviour in seeking and getting treatment of childhood pneumonia in rural Bangladesh.

Clinical, Sociodemographic and Environmental Risk Factors for Acute Bacterial Diarrhea among Adults and Children over Five Years in Bangladesh.

In 2016, diarrheal disease was the eighth leading cause of mortality globally accounting for over 1.6 million deaths with the majority of deaths in adults and children over 5 years. This study aims to investigate the clinical, sociodemographic, and environmental risk factors associated with common bacterial acute diarrhea among adults and children over 5. Data were collected from March 2019 to March 2020 in patients over 5 years presenting with acute gastroenteritis at icddr,b. Stool samples were collected from each patient for culture and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing. Bivariate associations between independent variables and stool-testing indicating bacterial etiology were calculated. This analysis included 2,133 diarrheal patients of whom a bacterial enteropathogen was identified in 1,537 (72%). Detection of bacteria was associated with: younger age (OR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.88-0.96), lower mean arterial pressure (OR 0.84; 95% CI: 0.79-0.89), heart rate (OR 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01-1.10), percentage dehydration (OR 1.33; 95% CI: 1.13-1.55), respiration rate (OR 1.23; 95% CI: 1.04-1.46), lower mid-upper arm circumference (OR 0.97; 95% CI: 0.94-0.99), confused/lethargic mental status (OR 1.85; 95% CI: 1.11-3.25), rice watery stool (OR 1.92; 95% CI: 1.54-2.41), and vomiting more than three times in the past 24 hours (OR 1.30; 95% CI: 1.06-1.58). Higher monthly income (OR 0.92; 95% CI: 0.86-0.98), > 8 years of education (OR 0.79; 95% CI: 0.63-1.00), and having more than five people living at home (OR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.66-0.98) were associated with lower odds of bacterial diarrhea. These findings may help guide the development of predictive tools to aid in identifying patients with bacterial diarrhea for timely and appropriate use of antibiotics.

Continuous diagnostic models for volume deficit in patients with acute diarrhea.

BACKGROUND: Episodes of acute diarrhea lead to dehydration, and existing care algorithms base treatment around categorical estimates for fluid resuscitation. This study aims to develop models for the percentage dehydration (fluid deficit) in individuals with acute diarrhea, to better target treatment and avoid the potential sequelae of over or under resuscitation. METHODS: This study utilizes data from two prospective cohort studies of patients with acute diarrhea in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Data were collected on patient arrival, including weight, clinical signs and symptoms, and demographic information. Consecutive weights were obtained to determine the true volume deficit of each patient. Data were entered into two distinct forward stepwise regression logistic models (DHAKA for under 5 years and NIRUDAK for 5 years and over). RESULTS: A total of 782 patients were included in the final analysis of the DHAKA data set, and 2139 were included in the final analysis of the NIRUDAK data set. The best model for the DHAKA data achieved an R2 of 0.27 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.7 (compared to R2 of 0.06 and RMSE of 5.5 with the World Health Organization child care algorithm) and selected 6 predictors. The best performance model for the NIRUDAK data achieved an R2 of 0.28 and a RMSE of 2.6 (compared to R2 of 0.08 and RMSE of 4.3 with the World Health Organization adolescent/adult care algorithm) and selected 7 predictors with 2 interactions. CONCLUSIONS: These are the first mathematical models for patients with acute diarrhea that allow for the calculation of a patient's percentage dehydration (fluid deficit) and subsequent targeted treatment with fluid resuscitation. These findings are an improvement on existing World Health Organization care algorithms.

Assessing the performance of clinical diagnostic models for dehydration among patients with cholera and undernutrition in Bangladesh.

OBJECTIVE: Accurately assessing dehydration severity is a critical step in reducing mortality from diarrhoea, but is complicated by cholera and undernutrition. This study seeks to assess the accuracy of two clinical diagnostic models for dehydration among patients over five years with cholera and undernutrition and compare their respective performance to the World Health Organization (WHO) algorithm. METHODS: In this secondary analysis of data collected from the NIRUDAK study, accuracy of the full and simplified NIRUDAK models for predicting severe and any dehydration was measured using the area under the Receiver Operator Characteristic curve (AUC) among patients over five with/without cholera and with/without wasting. Bootstrap with 1000 iterations was used to compare the m-index for each NIRUDAK model to that of the WHO algorithm. RESULTS: A total of 2,139 and 2,108 patients were included in the nutrition and cholera subgroups respectively with an overall median age of 35 years (IQR = 42) and 49.6% female. All subgroups had acceptable discrimination in diagnosing severe or any dehydration (AUC > 0.60); though the full NIRUDAK model performed best among patients without cholera, with an AUC of 0.82 (95%CI:0.79, 0.85) and among patients without wasting, with an AUC of 0.79 (95%CI:0.76, 0.81). Compared with the WHO's algorithm, both the full and simplified NIRUDAK models performed significantly better in terms of their m-index (p < 0.001) for all comparisons, except for the simplified NIRUDAK model in the wasting group. CONCLUSIONS: Both the full and simplified NIRUDAK models performed less well in patients over five years with cholera and/or wasting; however, both performed better than the WHO algorithm.

Derivation and Internal Validation of a Score to Predict Dehydration Severity in Patients over 5 Years with Acute Diarrhea.

Diarrheal disease accounts for more than one million deaths annually in patients over 5 years of age. Although most patients can be managed with oral rehydration solution, patients with severe dehydration require resuscitation with intravenous fluids. Scoring systems to assess dehydration have been empirically derived and validated in children under 5 years, but none have been validated for patients over 5 years. In this study, a prospective cohort of 2,172 patients over 5 years presenting with acute diarrhea to International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka Hospital, Bangladesh, were assessed for clinical signs of dehydration. The percent difference between presentation and posthydration stable weight determined severe (≥ 9%), some (3-9%), or no (< 3%) dehydration. An ordinal regression model was derived using clinical signs and demographics and was then converted to a 13-point score to predict none (score of 0-3), some (4-6), or severe (7-13) dehydration. The Novel, Innovative Research for Understanding Dehydration in Adults and Kids (NIRUDAK) Score developed by our team included age, sex, sunken eyes, radial pulse, respiration depth, skin turgor, and vomiting episodes in 24 hours. Accuracy of the NIRUDAK Score for predicting severe dehydration, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, was 0.76 (95% confidence interval = 0.73-0.78), with a sensitivity of 0.78 and a specificity of 0.61. Reliability was also robust, with an Inter-Class Correlation Coefficient of 0.88 (95% confidence interval = 0.84-0.91). This study represents the first empirically derived and internally validated scoring system for assessing dehydration in children ≥ 5 years and adults with acute diarrhea in a resource-limited setting.

Multidrug-resistant enteric pathogens in older children and adults with diarrhea in Bangladesh: epidemiology and risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global public health threat and is increasingly prevalent among enteric pathogens in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, the burden of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) in older children, adults, and elderly patients with acute diarrhea in LMICs is poorly understood. This study's aim was to characterize the prevalence of MDR enteric pathogens isolated from patients with acute diarrhea in Dhaka, Bangladesh, and assess a wide range of risk factors associated with MDR. METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of data collected from children over 5 years, adults, and elderly patients with acute diarrhea at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh Dhaka Hospital between March 2019 and March 2020. Clinical, historical, socio-environmental information, and a stool sample for culture and antimicrobial susceptibility testing were collected from each patient. Univariate statistics and multiple logistic regression were used to assess the prevalence of MDR among enteric pathogens and the association between independent variables and presence of MRDOs among culture-positive patients. RESULTS: A total of 1198 patients had pathogens isolated by stool culture with antimicrobial susceptibility results. Among culture-positive patients, the prevalence of MDR was 54.3%. The prevalence of MDR was highest in Aeromonas spp. (81.5%), followed by Campylobacter spp. (72.1%), Vibrio cholerae (28.1%), Shigella spp. (26.2%), and Salmonella spp. (5.2%). Factors associated with having MDRO in multiple logistic regression included longer transport time to hospital (>90 min), greater stool frequency, prior antibiotic use prior to hospital presentation, and non-flush toilet use. However, pseudo-R2 was low 0.086, indicating that other unmeasured variables need to be considered to build a more robust predictive model of MDR. CONCLUSIONS: MDR enteric pathogens were common in this study population with clinical, historical, and socio-environmental risk factors associated with MDROs. These findings may help guide clinical decision-making regarding antibiotic use and selection in patients at greatest risk of complications due to MDROs. Further prospective research is urgently needed to determine what additional factors place patients at greatest risk of MDRO, and the best strategies to mitigate the spread of MDR in enteric pathogens.

Household economic burden of childhood severe pneumonia in Bangladesh: a cost-of-illness study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate household cost of illness (COI) for children with severe pneumonia in Bangladesh. DESIGN: An incidence-based COI study was performed for one episode of childhood severe pneumonia from a household perspective. Face-to-face interviews collected data on socioeconomic, resource use and cost from caregivers. A micro-costing bottom-up approach was applied to calculate medical, non-medical and time costs. Multiple regression analysis was applied to explore the factors associated with COI. Sensitivity analysis explored the robustness of cost parameters. SETTING: Four urban and rural study sites from two districts in Bangladesh. PATIENTS: Children aged 2-59 months with severe pneumonia. RESULTS: 1472 children with severe pneumonia were enrolled between November 2015 and March 2019. The mean age of children was 12 months (SD ±10.2) and 64% were male. The mean household cost per episode was US$147 (95% CI 141.1 to 152.7). Indirect costs were the main cost drivers (65%, US$96). Household costs for the poorest income quintile were lower in absolute terms, but formed a higher proportion of monthly income. COI was significantly higher if treatment was received from urban health facilities compared with rural health facilities (difference US$84.9, 95% CI 73.3 to 96.3). Child age, household income, healthcare facility and hospital length of stay (LoS) were significant predictors of household COI. Costs were most sensitive to hospital LoS and productivity loss. CONCLUSIONS: Severe pneumonia in young children is associated with high household economic burden and cost varies significantly across socioeconomic parameters. Management strategies with improved accessibility are needed particularly for the poor to make treatment affordable in order to reduce household economic burden.

Derivation of the first clinical diagnostic models for dehydration severity in patients over five years with acute diarrhea.

Diarrheal diseases lead to an estimated 1.3 million deaths each year, with the majority of those deaths occurring in patients over five years of age. As the severity of diarrheal disease can vary widely, accurately assessing dehydration status remains the most critical step in acute diarrhea management. The objective of this study is to empirically derive clinical diagnostic models for assessing dehydration severity in patients over five years with acute diarrhea in low resource settings. We enrolled a random sample of patients over five years with acute diarrhea presenting to the icddr,b Dhaka Hospital. Two blinded nurses independently assessed patients for symptoms/signs of dehydration on arrival. Afterward, consecutive weights were obtained to determine the percent weight change with rehydration, our criterion standard for dehydration severity. Full and simplified ordinal logistic regression models were derived to predict the outcome of none (<3%), some (3-9%), or severe (>9%) dehydration. The reliability and accuracy of each model were assessed. Bootstrapping was used to correct for over-optimism and compare each model's performance to the current World Health Organization (WHO) algorithm. 2,172 patients were enrolled, of which 2,139 (98.5%) had complete data for analysis. The Inter-Class Correlation Coefficient (reliability) was 0.90 (95% CI = 0.87, 0.91) for the full model and 0.82 (95% CI = 0.77, 0.86) for the simplified model. The area under the Receiver-Operator Characteristic curve (accuracy) for severe dehydration was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.76-0.82) for the full model and 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70, 0.76) for the simplified model. The accuracy for both the full and simplified models were significantly better than the WHO algorithm (p<0.001). This is the first study to empirically derive clinical diagnostic models for dehydration severity in patients over five years. Once prospectively validated, the models may improve management of patients with acute diarrhea in low resource settings.

Clinical and socio-environmental determinants of multidrug-resistant vibrio cholerae 01 in older children and adults in Bangladesh.

OBJECTIVES: Few studies have evaluated determinants of multidrug-resistant (MDR) Vibrio cholerae O1 in older children and adults. This study aimed to characterize the prevalence of MDR V. cholerae O1 and associated risk factors among patients over five years of age in Bangladesh. METHODS: Stool culture and antimicrobial susceptibility testing were performed as a part of a larger study at Dhaka Hospital in Bangladesh from March 2019-March 2020. Univariate statistics and multiple logistic regression were used to assess the association between a range of variables and MDR V. cholerae O1. RESULTS: MDR was found in 175 of 623 (28.1%) V. cholerae O1 isolates. High levels of resistance were found to erythromycin (99.2%), trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (99.7%), and ampicillin (88.9%), while susceptibility was high to tetracyclines (99.7%), azithromycin (99.2%), ciprofloxacin (99.8%), and cephalosporins (98.6%). MDR was associated with prior antibiotic use, longer transport time to hospital, higher income, non-flush toilet use, greater stool frequency, lower blood pressure, lower mid-upper arm circumference, and lower percent dehydration. CONCLUSIONS: MDR V. cholerae O1 was common among patients over five in an urban hospital in Bangladesh. Significant factors associated with MDR may be actionable in identifying patients with a high likelihood of MDR.

Randomised trial showed that rapid rehydration of severely malnourished children with dehydrating diarrhoea was as safe and effective as slow rehydration.

AIM: This study evaluated the effectiveness and safety of rapid and slow rehydration in children aged 6-60 months with dehydrating diarrhoea and severe malnutrition. METHODS: A randomised controlled trial was conducted from July 2011 to March 2014 at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh. We included children with weight for age and, or, weight for length Z-scores of less than -3 or with bipedal oedema and acute diarrhoea with severe dehydration. The children received intravenous fluid at different rates: 105 rapidly over six hours and 103 slowly over the 12 hours recommended by the World Health Organization. RESULTS: All the children were successfully rehydrated. The admittance weights were similar for the slow and rapid groups: 8.4 kg and 8.3 kg. After 24 hours, the mean percentage weight gain was 8.5% and 9.0%, respectively. This confirmed that most of the children had been suffering from severe dehydration on admission. The respective proportions of children who received unscheduled intravenous fluid were 18% and 17%. None developed fluid overload or heart failure and most recovered normal renal function after rehydration. CONCLUSION: Rapid rehydration saved time, was as safe as slow rehydration and was a better option for dehydrating diarrhoea and severe malnutrition.

Day clinic vs. hospital care of pneumonia and severe malnutrition in children under five: a randomised trial.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the clinical outcomes and costs of managing pneumonia and severe malnutrition in a day clinic (DC) management model (outpatient) vs. hospital care (inpatient). METHODS: Randomised clinical trial where children aged 2 months to 5 years with pneumonia and severe malnutrition were randomly allocated to DC or inpatient hospital care. We used block randomisation of variable length from 8 to 20 and produced computer-generated random numbers that were assigned to one of the two interventions. Successful management was defined as resolution of clinical signs of pneumonia and being discharged from the model of care (DC or hospital) without need for referral to a hospital (DC), or referral to another hospital. All the children in both DC and hospital received intramuscular ceftriaxone, daily nutrition support and micronutrients. RESULTS: Four hundred and seventy children were randomly assigned to either DC or hospital care. Successful management was achieved for 184 of 235 (78.3%) by DC alone, vs. 201 of 235 (85.5%) by hospital inpatient care [RR (95% CI) = 0.79 (0.65-0.97), P = 0.02]. During 6 months of follow-up, 30/235 (12.8%) in the DC group and 36/235 (15.3%) required readmission to hospital in the hospital care group [RR (95% CI) = 0.89 (0.67-1.18), P = 0.21]. The average overall healthcare and societal cost was 34% lower in DC (US$ 188 ± 11.7) than in hospital (US$ 285 ± 13.6) (P < 0.001), and costs for households were 33% lower. CONCLUSIONS: There was a 7% greater probability of successful management of pneumonia and severe malnutrition when inpatient hospital care rather than the outpatient day clinic care was the initial method of care. However, where timely referral mechanisms were in place, 94% of children with pneumonia and severe malnutrition were successfully managed initially in a day clinic, and costs were substantially lower than with hospital admission.

OBJECTIFS: Evaluer les résultats cliniques et les coûts de la prise en charge de la pneumonie et de la malnutrition sévère dans un modèle de prise en charge en clinique de jour (CJ) (patients ambulatoires) par rapport à des soins hospitaliers (patients hospitalisés). MÉTHODES: Essai clinique randomisé où les enfants âgés de 2 mois à 5 ans avec une pneumonie et une malnutrition sévère ont été répartis de façon aléatoire en CJ ou à des soins hospitaliers. Nous avons utilisé la randomisation par blocs de longueur variable de 8 à 20 et avons généré des nombres aléatoires par ordinateur qui ont été attribués à l'une des deux interventions. Une prise en charge réussie a été définie comme la résolution des signes cliniques de pneumonie et la sortie du modèle de soins (CJ ou hospitalisation) sans nécessiter un transfert à un hôpital (CJ), ni à un autre hôpital. Tous les enfants du bras CJ et du bras soins hospitaliers ont reçu de la ceftriaxone par voie intramusculaire, un soutien nutritionnel quotidien et des micronutriments. RÉSULTATS: 470 enfants ont été assignés aléatoirement soit à des soins en CJ ou hospitaliers. Une prise en charge réussie a été obtenue pour 184 patients sur 235 (78,3%) en CJ seule contre 201 sur 235 (85,5%) en soins hospitaliers [RR (IC95%) = 0,79 (0,65 - 0,97), p = 0,02]. Au cours des six mois de suivi, 30/235 (12,8%) du groupe CJ et 36/235 (15,3%) du groupe soins hospitaliers ont nécessité une réadmission à l'hôpital [RR (IC95%) = 0,89 (0,67 - 1,18), p = 0,21]. Le coût moyen global des soins de santé et pour la société était de 34% plus faible dans le groupe CJ (188 ± 11,7 USD) que dans le groupe soins hospitaliers (285 ± 13,6 USD) (p < 0,001) et les coûts pour les ménages étaient de 33% inférieurs. CONCLUSIONS: La probabilité d'une prise en charge réussie de la pneumonie et de la malnutrition sévère était 7% plus élevée lorsque les soins hospitaliers plutôt que les soins en CJ étaient les moyens initiaux. Cependant, là où des mécanismes de référence rapides étaient en place, 94% des enfants atteints de pneumonie et de malnutrition sévère ont été pris en charge avec succès dans une clinique de jour et les coûts étaient nettement inférieurs à ceux de soins hospitaliers.

Ultrasound Adds No Benefit to Clinical Exam for Predicting Dehydration in Children With Acute Diarrhea in a Resource-Limited Setting.

OBJECTIVES: Diarrhea is one of the most common and deadly conditions affecting children, causing over 525,000 deaths annually, largely in resource-limited settings. Appropriate treatment depends on accurate determination of dehydration status. This study evaluated the accuracy of a new model using clinical and ultrasound measurements for predicting dehydration status in children with acute diarrhea. METHODS: The Dehydration: Assessing Kids Accurately (DHAKA) study was a prospective cohort study of children under 5 years of age with acute diarrhea presenting to the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Clinical signs and sonographic measurements of the aorta-to-inferior vena cava ratio were recorded. Percent weight change with rehydration was used to classify dehydration severity. Logistic regression was used to create a combined DHAKA-US model based on clinical and sonographic measurements. Area under the curve and calibration slope were used to assess the model's accuracy and compare it to the original DHAKA score model. RESULTS: A total of 850 children were enrolled, with 736 included in the final analysis. The combined DHAKA-US model showed equivalent discrimination with the original DHAKA score, with an area under the curve of 0.79 for both models for severe dehydration (95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.84), as well as similar classification (48% versus 50% correctly classified) and calibration (calibration slopes of 0.900 versus 0.904 for presence of any dehydration). CONCLUSION: Adding sonographic measurements to the DHAKA score had no effect on discrimination, classification, or calibration when compared to the original DHAKA score. Clinical signs alone may be the most important predictors of dehydration status in children with diarrhea in limited resource settings.