Development of a Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction Model: A Preliminary Retrospective Cohort Study of a Patient Sample in Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia has an alarmingly high incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its associated risk factors. To effectively assess CVD risk, it is essential to develop tailored models for diverse regions and ethnicities using local population variables. No CVD risk prediction model has been locally developed. This study aims to develop the first 10-year CVD risk prediction model for Saudi adults aged 18 to 75 years. The electronic health records of Saudi male and female patients aged 18 to 75 years, who were seen in primary care settings between 2002 and 2019, were reviewed retrospectively via the Integrated Clinical Information System (ICIS) database (from January 2002 to February 2019). The Cox regression model was used to identify the risk factors and develop the CVD risk prediction model. Overall, 451 patients were included in this study, with a mean follow-up of 12.05 years. Thirty-five (7.7%) patients developed a CVD event. The following risk factors were included: fasting blood sugar (FBS) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), heart failure, antihyperlipidemic therapy, antithrombotic therapy, and antihypertension therapy. The Bayesian information criterion (BIC) score was 314.4. This is the first prediction model developed in Saudi Arabia and the second in any Arab country after the Omani study. We assume that our CVD predication model will have the potential to be used widely after the validation study.

The yield of fecal occult blood testing as a screening tool for colon cancer in a primary care setting.

Background/Aims: The most common cancer among men and the third most common among women in Saudi Arabia is colon cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the yield of the fecal occult blood test (FOBT) used as a screening tool for colon cancer. Settings and Design: Medical records of all patients above the age of 50 years who had visited the Family Medicine clinic at King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia and who had undergone the FOBT screening between January 2002 and March 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Materials and Methods: We collected patients' demographic data, FOBT results, and colonoscopy pathology reports results. Statistical Analysis: Data were analyzed using the Statistical Package for Social Science Version 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Results: We included 2179 patients in this study. The mean age was 59.8 ± 8 years. As a result of the FOBT screening, 19.7% of the patients had a positive FOBT. Colon cancer accounted for 3.5% of all abnormal colonoscopy pathology reports. The Saudi age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) in our study was 26.56 per 100,000 persons. Conclusion: FOBT is a feasible tool that can be used for colon cancer screening in primary care settings. The Saudi ASIR in our study was higher than the Saudi Cancer Registry, but it was still lower in comparison to other countries. We recommend the establishment of a national community-based colon cancer screening program.