MASH Resolution Index: development and validation of a non-invasive score to detect histological resolution of MASH.

BACKGROUND: Dynamic changes in non-invasive tests, such as changes in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and MRI proton-density-fat-fraction (MRI-PDFF), may help to detect metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) resolution, but a combination of non-invasive tests may be more accurate than either alone. We developed a novel non-invasive score, the MASH Resolution Index, to detect the histological resolution of MASH. METHODS: This study included a derivation cohort of 95 well-characterised adult participants (67% female) with biopsy-confirmed MASH who underwent contemporaneous laboratory testing, MRI-PDFF and liver biopsy at two time points. The primary objective was to develop a non-invasive score to detect MASH resolution with no worsening of fibrosis. The most predictive logistic regression model was selected based on the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), and the lowest Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. The model was then externally validated in a distinct cohort of 163 participants with MASH from a clinical trial. RESULTS: The median (IQR) age and body mass index were 55 (45-62) years and 32.0 (30-37) kg/m2, respectively, in the derivation cohort. The most accurate model (MASH Resolution Index) included MRI-PDFF, ALT and aspartate aminotransferase. The index had an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.93) for detecting MASH resolution in the derivation cohort. The score calibrated well and performed robustly in a distinct external validation cohort (AUC 0.83, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.91), and outperformed changes in ALT and MRI-PDFF. CONCLUSION: The MASH Resolution Index may be a useful score to non-invasively identify MASH resolution.

Development and Validation of the Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Familial Risk Score to Detect Advanced Fibrosis: A Prospective, Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related fibrosis is heritable, but it is unclear how family history may be used to identify first-degree relatives with advanced fibrosis. We aimed to develop and validate a simple risk score to identify first-degree relatives of probands who have undergone assessment of liver fibrosis who are at higher risk of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis. METHODS: This prospective, cross-sectional, familial study consisted of a derivation cohort from San Diego, California, and a validation cohort from Helsinki, Finland. This study included consecutive adult probands (n = 242) with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis, NAFLD without advanced fibrosis, and non-NAFLD, with at least 1 of their first-degree relatives. All included probands and first-degree relatives underwent evaluation of liver fibrosis, the majority by magnetic resonance elastography. RESULTS: A total of 396 first-degree relatives (64% male) were included. The median age and body mass index were 47 years (interquartile range, 32-62 y) and 27.6 kg/m2 (interquartile range, 24.1-32.5 kg/m2), respectively. Age (1 point), type 2 diabetes (1 point), obesity (2 points), and proband with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis (2 points) were predictors of advanced fibrosis among first-degree relatives in the derivation cohort (n = 220) and formed the NAFLD Familial Risk Score. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of the NAFLD Familial Risk Score for detecting advanced fibrosis was 0.94 in the validation cohort (n = 176). The NAFLD Familial Risk Score outperformed the Fibrosis-4 index in the validation cohort (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, 0.94 vs 0.70; P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: The NAFLD Familial Risk Score is a simple and accurate clinical tool to identify advanced fibrosis in first-degree relatives. These data may have implications for surveillance in NAFLD.

Low liver fat in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Progression to cirrhosis in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is associated with a decrease in liver fat. However, the prognostic significance of liver fat content in NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is unclear. AIM: To investigate the risk of decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality stratified by liver fat content in NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis. METHODS: In this meta-analysis of individual participant data, 456 patients with both magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and MRI-derived protein density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) were enrolled, and 296 patients with longitudinal follow-up were analysed. MRE combined with fibrosis-4 (MEFIB-index), and MRI-PDFF were used to measure liver fibrosis and fat, respectively. MEFIB-negative, MEFIB-positive+ MRI-PDFF ≥5% and MEFIB-positive+ MRI-PDFF <5% were defined as no significant liver fibrosis, NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat content, and NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat content groups, respectively. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, HCC and death. RESULTS: The rates of decompensation, HCC and mortality were highest in the NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat group (33%, 17% and 17%, respectively), followed by the NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat group (18%, 13% and 13% respectively), and lowest in the no significant fibrosis (MEFIB-negative) group (0%, 1% and 2% respectively). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, low liver fat content was strongly associated (HR = 42.2 [95% CI: 7.5-235.5, p < 0.0001]) with HCC, decompensation and death. Sensitivity analyses for patients with cirrhosis (MRE ≥5 kPa) determined consistent findings. CONCLUSIONS: Low liver fat content in patients with burnt-out NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with an increase in hepatic decompensation, HCC and mortality.

Eicosapentaenoic and docosahexaenoic acid supplementation and coronary artery calcium progression in patients with coronary artery disease: A secondary analysis of a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We previously reported that an omega-3 fatty acid index ≥4% with high-dose eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) prevented progression of noncalcified plaque. Higher coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores and progression of CAC are associated with increased cardiovascular events and mortality. We examined the effect of EPA + DHA on CAC score. METHODS: A total of 242 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) on statin therapy were randomized to 1.86 g EPA and 1.5 g DHA daily or none (control) for 30 months. The CAC score was measured at baseline and 30-months with non-contrast, cardiac computed tomography. RESULTS: Both EPA + DHA and control groups had significant progression in CAC scores over 30 months (median change:183.5 vs 221.0, respectively, p < 0.001) despite a 13.6% reduction in triglyceride level with EPA + DHA. No significant difference was observed between groups for the total group, by baseline CAC scores of <100, 100-399, 400-999 and ≥1000 or quartiles of achieved levels of EPA, DHA and the omega-3 fatty acid index. Similar rates of CAC progression were noted in those on high-intensity statin compared to low- and moderate-intensity statin. CONCLUSIONS: EPA and DHA added to statin resulted in similar CAC progression over 30 months regardless of baseline CAC categories, statin intensity and achieved levels of EPA, DHA and the omega-3 fatty acid index.

Regression of Coronary Fatty Plaque and Risk of Cardiac Events According to Blood Pressure Status: Data From a Randomized Trial of Eicosapentaenoic Acid and Docosahexaenoic Acid in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease.

Background Residual risk of cardiovascular events and plaque progression remains despite reduction in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Factors contributing to residual risk remain unclear. The authors examined the role of eicosapentaenoic acid and docosahexaenoic acid in coronary plaque regression and its predictors. Methods and Results A total of 240 patients with stable coronary artery disease were randomized to eicosapentaenoic acid plus docosahexaenoic acid (3.36 g/d) or none for 30 months. Patients were stratified by regression or progression of coronary fatty plaque measured by coronary computed tomographic angiography. Cardiac events were ascertained. The mean±SD age was 63.0±7.7 years, mean low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level was <2.07 mmol/L, and median triglyceride level was <1.38 mmol/L. Regressors had a 14.9% reduction in triglycerides that correlated with fatty plaque regression (r=0.135; P=0.036). Compared with regressors, progressors had higher cardiac events (5% vs 22.3%, respectively; P<0.001) and a 2.89-fold increased risk of cardiac events (95% CI, 1.1-8.0; P=0.034). Baseline non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level <2.59 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) and systolic blood pressure <125 mm Hg were significant independent predictors of fatty plaque regression. Normotensive patients taking eicosapentaenoic acid plus docosahexaenoic acid had regression of noncalcified coronary plaque that correlated with triglyceride reduction (r=0.35; P=0.034) and a significant decrease in neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. In contrast, hypertensive patients had no change in noncalcified coronary plaque or neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. Conclusions Triglyceride reduction, systolic blood pressure <125 mm Hg, and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <2.59 mmol/L were associated with coronary plaque regression and reduced cardiac events. Normotensive patients had greater benefit than hypertensive patients potentially due to lower levels of inflammation. Future studies should examine the role of inflammation in plaque regression. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01624727.

Ramipril for the Treatment of COVID-19: RAMIC, a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Retrospective studies report that angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) may reduce the severity of COVID-19, but prospective data on de novo treatment with ACEIs are limited. The RAMIC trial was a randomized, multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blind, allocation-concealed clinical trial to examine the efficacy of de novo ramipril versus placebo for the treatment of COVID-19. METHODS: Eligible participants were aged 18 years and older with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, recruited from urgent care clinics, emergency departments, and hospital inpatient wards at eight sites in the USA. Participants were randomly assigned to daily ramipril 2.5 mg or placebo orally in a 2:1 ratio, using permuted block randomization. Analyses were conducted on an intention-to-treat basis. The primary outcome was a composite of mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or invasive mechanical ventilation by day 14. RESULTS: Between 27 May 2020 and 19 April 2021, a total of 114 participants (51% female) were randomized to ramipril (n = 79) or placebo (n = 35). The overall mean (± SD) age and BMI were 45 (± 15) years and 33 (± 8) kg/m2. Two participants in the ramipril group required ICU admission and one died, compared with none in the placebo group. There were no significant differences between ramipril and placebo in the primary endpoint (ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) (3% versus 0%, p = 1.00) or adverse events (27% versus 29%, p = 0.82). The study was terminated early because of a low event rate and subsequent Emergency Use Authorization of therapies for COVID-19. CONCLUSION: De novo ramipril was not different compared with placebo in improving or worsening clinical outcomes from COVID-19 but appeared safe in non-critically ill patients with COVID-19. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT04366050.

Clinical utility of liver fat quantification for determining cardiovascular disease risk among patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). AIMS: To examine the clinical utility of liver fat quantification for determining CVD risk among a well-phenotyped cohort of patients with T2DM. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort of adults aged ≥50 with T2DM. Liver fat was quantified with magnetic resonance imaging proton-density-fat-fraction (MRI-PDFF), an advanced imaging-based biomarker. Patients were stratified into a higher liver fat group (MRI-PDFF ≥ 14.6%), and a lower liver fat group (MRI-PDFF < 14.6%). The co-primary outcomes were CVD risk determined by Framingham and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk scores. High CVD risk was defined by risk scores ≥20%. RESULTS: Of the 391 adults (66% female) in this study, the mean (±SD) age was 64 (±8) years and BMI 30.8 (±5.2) kg/m2 , respectively. In multivariable analysis, adjusted for age, gender, race, and BMI, patients in the higher liver fat group had higher CVD risk [OR = 4.04 (95% CI: 2.07-7.88, p < 0.0001)] and ASCVD risk score [OR = 2.85 (95% CI: 1.19-6.83, p = 0.018)], respectively. CONCLUSION: Higher liver fat content increases CVD risk independently of age, gender, ethnicity and BMI. These findings raise the question whether liver fat quantification should be incorporated into risk calculators to further stratify those with higher CVD risk.

Type 2 diabetes, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data are scarce regarding the development of hepatic decompensation in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with and without type 2 diabetes. We aimed to assess the risk of hepatic decompensation in people with NAFLD with and without type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We did a meta-analysis of individual participant-level data from six cohorts in the USA, Japan, and Turkey. Included participants had magnetic resonance elastography between Feb 27, 2007, and June 4, 2021. Eligible studies included those with liver fibrosis characterisation by magnetic resonance elastography, longitudinal assessment for hepatic decompensation and death, and included adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with NAFLD, for whom data were available regarding the presence of type 2 diabetes at baseline. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, defined as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding. The secondary outcome was the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. We used competing risk regression using the Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) to compare the likelihood of hepatic decompensation in participants with and without type 2 diabetes. Death without hepatic decompensation was a competing event. FINDINGS: Data for 2016 participants (736 with type 2 diabetes; 1280 without type 2 diabetes) from six cohorts were included in this analysis. 1074 (53%) of 2016 participants were female with a mean age of 57·8 years (SD 14·2) years and BMI of 31·3 kg/m2 (SD 7·4). Among 1737 participants (602 with type 2 diabetes and 1135 without type 2 diabetes) with available longitudinal data, 105 participants developed hepatic decompensation over a median follow-up time of 2·8 years (IQR 1·4-5·5). Participants with type 2 diabetes had a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation at 1 year (3·37% [95% CI 2·10-5·11] vs 1·07% [0·57-1·86]), 3 years (7·49% [5·36-10·08] vs 2·92% [1·92-4·25]), and 5 years (13·85% [10·43-17·75] vs 3·95% [2·67-5·60]) than participants without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). After adjustment for multiple confounders (age, BMI, and race), type 2 diabetes (sHR 2·15 [95% CI 1·39-3·34]; p=0·0006) and glycated haemoglobin (1·31 [95% CI 1·10-1·55]; p=0·0019) were independent predictors of hepatic decompensation. The association between type 2 diabetes and hepatic decompensation remained consistent after adjustment for baseline liver stiffness determined by magnetic resonance elastography. Over a median follow-up of 2·9 years (IQR 1·4-5·7), 22 of 1802 participants analysed (18 of 639 with type 2 diabetes and four of 1163 without type 2 diabetes) developed incident hepatocellular carcinoma. The risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was higher in those with type 2 diabetes at 1 year (1·34% [95% CI 0·64-2·54] vs 0·09% [0·01-0·50], 3 years (2·44% [1·36-4·05] vs 0·21% [0·04-0·73]), and 5 years (3·68% [2·18-5·77] vs 0·44% [0·11-1·33]) than in those without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma development (sHR 5·34 [1·67-17·09]; p=0·0048). INTERPRETATION: Among people with NAFLD, the presence of type 2 diabetes is associated with a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma. FUNDING: National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Fibrosis Progression Rate in Biopsy-Proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among People With Diabetes Versus People Without Diabetes: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are limited data regarding fibrosis progression in biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) compared with people without T2DM. We assessed the time to fibrosis progression in people with T2DM compared with people without T2DM in a large, multicenter, study of people with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies. METHODS: This study included 447 adult participants (64% were female) with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies more than 1 year apart. Liver histology was systematically assessed by a central pathology committee blinded to clinical data. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of a ≥1-stage increase in fibrosis in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age and body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) were 50.9 (11.5) years and 34.7 (6.3), respectively. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years (interquartile range, 1.8-6.1 years). Participants with T2DM had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (24% vs 20%), 8 years (60% vs 50%), and 12 years (93% vs 76%) (P = .005). Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, T2DM remained an independent predictor of fibrosis progression (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.17-2.43; P = .005). The cumulative incidence of fibrosis regression by ≥1 stage was similar in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM (P = .24). CONCLUSIONS: In this large, multicenter cohort study of well-characterized participants with NAFLD and paired liver biopsies, we found that fibrosis progressed faster in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. These data have important implications for clinical practice and trial design.

Review article: the role of HSD17B13 on global epidemiology, natural history, pathogenesis and treatment of NAFLD.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) occurs in around a quarter of the global population and is one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease. The phenotypic manifestation and the severity of NAFLD are influenced by an interplay of environmental and genetic factors. Recently, several inactivating variants in the novel 17-Beta hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase 13 (HSD17B13) gene have been found to be associated with a reduced risk of chronic liver diseases, including NAFLD. AIMS: To review the existing literature on the epidemiology of HSD17B13 and discuss its role in the natural history, disease pathogenesis and treatment of NAFLD. METHODS: We extensively searched relevant literature in PubMed, Google Scholar, clinicaltrials.gov and the reference list of articles included in the review. RESULTS: HSD17B13 is a liver-specific, lipid droplet (LD)-associated protein that has enzymatic pathways involving steroids, pro-inflammatory lipid mediators and retinol. The estimated prevalence of the best characterised HSD17B13 variant (rs72613567) ranges from 5% in Africa to 34% in East Asia. Loss-of-function variants in HSD17B13 are protective against the progression of NAFLD from simple steatosis to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), liver fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Emerging data from mechanistic and preclinical studies with RNA interference (RNAi) and small molecule agents indicate that inhibiting HSD17B13 activity may prevent NAFLD progression. CONCLUSIONS: The loss-of-function polymorphisms of the newly identified HSD17B13 gene mitigate the progression of NAFLD. It is important to understand the exact mechanism by which these variants exert a protective effect and implement the gathered knowledge in the treatment of NAFLD.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence in Alcohol-Associated Cirrhosis: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Alcohol is one of the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, pooled estimates of HCC incidence in alcohol-associated cirrhosis have not been evaluated systematically. We performed a pooled analysis of time-to-event data to provide robust estimates for the incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis. METHODS: Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to August 2021. Individual patient data were reconstructed from published Kaplan-Meier curves, and a pooled analysis of cumulative HCC incidence was performed using a random-effects model. RESULTS: We screened 5022 articles and included 18 studies (148,333 patients). In the pooled analysis, the cumulative incidence of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis at 1, 5, and 10 years among studies that accounted for the competing risk of death without HCC was 1%, 3%, and 9%, respectively. A secondary analysis by traditional meta-analysis determined that the HCC incidence rate was higher in cohorts enrolled in a HCC surveillance program (18.6 vs 4.8 per 1000 person-years; P = .001) vs those who were not enrolled in a surveillance program. Meta-regression showed that diabetes, smoking, variceal bleeding, and hepatic decompensation were associated with a higher risk of HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis determined that the 5- and 10- year cumulative risk of HCC in alcohol-associated cirrhosis was 3% and 9%, respectively, with a higher incidence in cohorts that were enrolled in a HCC surveillance program. These data should be validated further in large prospective studies, and may have important implications for HCC screening and surveillance among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

Comprehensive Review of Cardiovascular Complications of Coronavirus Disease 2019 and Beneficial Treatments.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and was first reported in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. Since then, it caused a global pandemic with 212,324,054 confirmed cases and 4,440,840 deaths worldwide as of August 22, 2021. The disease spectrum of COVID-19 ranges from asymptomatic subclinical infection to clinical manifestations predominantly affecting the respiratory system. However, it is now evident that COVID-19 is a multiorgan disease with a broad spectrum of manifestations leading to multiple organ injuries including the cardiovascular system. We review studies that have shown that the relationship between cardiovascular diseases and COVID-19 is indeed bidirectional, implicating that preexisting cardiovascular comorbidities increase the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19, and newly emerging cardiac injuries occur in the settings of acute COVID-19 in patients with no preexisting cardiovascular disease. We present the most up-to-date literature summary to explore the incidence of new-onset cardiac complications of coronavirus and their role in predicting the severity of COVID-19. We review the association of elevated troponin with the severity of COVID-19 disease, which includes mild compared to severe disease, in nonintensive care unit compared to intensive care unit patients and in those discharged from the hospital compared to those who die. The role of serum troponin levels in predicting prognosis are compared in survivors and non-survivors. The association between COVID-19 disease and myocarditis, heart failure and coagulopathy are reviewed. Finally, an update on beneficial treatments is discussed.

ω-3 Ethyl ester results in better cognitive function at 12 and 30 months than control in cognitively healthy subjects with coronary artery disease: a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Omega-3 (n-3) fatty acids have shown benefit in cognitively impaired subjects, but the effect on cognitively healthy older subjects is unclear. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to determine if long-term, high-dose ω-3 ethyl esters, EPA (20:5n-3) and DHA (22:6n-3), prevent deterioration of cognitive function in cognitively healthy older adults. METHODS: A total of 285 subjects with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) on statin treatment were randomly assigned to 3.36 g EPA and DHA or none (control) for 30 mo. Cognitive function was assessed in all 285 subjects at baseline and in 268 and 250 subjects who returned at 12- and 30-mo follow-up, respectively, with neuropsychological testing as a prespecified secondary outcome. A completer's analysis, along with a sensitivity analysis carrying forward the last observation, was performed. RESULTS: Over the 30-mo period, subjects randomly assigned to EPA and DHA had significantly better scores than control for verbal fluency, language, and memory (mean: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.25, 1.91; P = 0.011) and 2 tests of visual-motor coordination (mean: -2.95; 95% CI: -5.33, -0.57; P = 0.015 and mean: -9.44; 95% CI: -18.60, -0.30; P = 0.043, respectively). The better scores for EPA and DHA were due to an improvement at 12 mo compared with baseline in verbal fluency, language, and memory (P = 0.047) and 2 tests of visual-motor coordination (P = 0.033 and P < 0.001, respectively), whereas control had no change. Post hoc analyses indicated no difference by age, sex, or diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS: Cognitively healthy older adults with stable CAD randomly assigned to high-dose EPA and DHA had improved cognitive function over a 30-mo period compared with control. These findings may be especially important for CAD patients because CAD is a risk factor for cognitive decline.This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01624727.