Peer review of clinical and translational research manuscripts: Perspectives from statistical collaborators.

Research articles in the clinical and translational science literature commonly use quantitative data to inform evaluation of interventions, learn about the etiology of disease, or develop methods for diagnostic testing or risk prediction of future events. The peer review process must evaluate the methodology used therein, including use of quantitative statistical methods. In this manuscript, we provide guidance for peer reviewers tasked with assessing quantitative methodology, intended to complement guidelines and recommendations that exist for manuscript authors. We describe components of clinical and translational science research manuscripts that require assessment including study design and hypothesis evaluation, sampling and data acquisition, interventions (for studies that include an intervention), measurement of data, statistical analysis methods, presentation of the study results, and interpretation of the study results. For each component, we describe what reviewers should look for and assess; how reviewers should provide helpful comments for fixable errors or omissions; and how reviewers should communicate uncorrectable and irreparable errors. We then discuss the critical concepts of transparency and acceptance/revision guidelines when communicating with responsible journal editors.

Study Design, Rationale, and Methodology for Promote Weight Loss in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease Who Also Have Obesity: The PROVE Trial.

Background Overweight and obesity are associated with adverse functional outcomes in people with peripheral artery disease (PAD). The effects of weight loss in people with overweight/obesity and PAD are unknown. Methods The PROVE (Promote Weight Loss in Obese PAD Patients to Prevent Mobility Loss) Trial is a multicentered randomized clinical trial with the primary aim of testing whether a behavioral intervention designed to help participants with PAD lose weight and walk for exercise improves 6-minute walk distance at 12-month follow-up, compared with walking exercise alone. A total of 212 participants with PAD and body mass index ≥25 kg/m2 will be randomized. Interventions are delivered using a Group Mediated Cognitive Behavioral intervention model, a smartphone application, and individual telephone coaching. The primary outcome is 12-month change in 6-minute walk distance. Secondary outcomes include total minutes of walking exercise/wk at 12-month follow-up and 12-month change in accelerometer-measured physical activity, the Walking Impairment Questionnaire distance score, and the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System mobility questionnaire. Tertiary outcomes include 12-month changes in perceived exertional effort at the end of the 6-minute walk, diet quality, and the Short Physical Performance Battery. Exploratory outcomes include changes in gastrocnemius muscle biopsy measures of mitochondrial cytochrome C oxidase activity, mitochondrial biogenesis, capillary density, and inflammatory markers. Conclusions The PROVE randomized clinical trial will evaluate the effects of exercise with an intervention of coaching and a smartphone application designed to achieve weight loss, compared with exercise alone, on walking performance in people with PAD and overweight/obesity. Results will inform optimal treatment for the growing number of patients with PAD who have overweight/obesity. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04228978.

Performance of Cox regression models for composite time-to-event endpoints with component-wise censoring in randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: Composite time-to-event endpoints are beneficial for assessing related outcomes jointly in clinical trials, but components of the endpoint may have different censoring mechanisms. For example, in the PRagmatic EValuation of evENTs And Benefits of Lipid-lowering in oldEr adults (PREVENTABLE) trial, the composite outcome contains one endpoint that is right censored (all-cause mortality) and two endpoints that are interval censored (dementia and persistent disability). Although Cox regression is an established method for time-to-event outcomes, it is unclear how models perform under differing component-wise censoring schemes for large clinical trial data. The goal of this article is to conduct a simulation study to investigate the performance of Cox models under different scenarios for composite endpoints with component-wise censoring. METHODS: We simulated data by varying the strength and direction of the association between treatment and outcome for the two component types, the proportion of events arising from the components of the outcome (right censored and interval censored), and the method for including the interval-censored component in the Cox model (upper value and midpoint of the interval). Under these scenarios, we compared the treatment effect estimate bias, confidence interval coverage, and power. RESULTS: Based on the simulation study, Cox models generally have adequate power to achieve statistical significance for comparing treatments for composite outcomes with component-wise censoring. In our simulation study, we did not observe substantive bias for scenarios under the null hypothesis or when the treatment has a similar relative effect on each component outcome. Performance was similar regardless of if the upper value or midpoint of the interval-censored part of the composite outcome was used. CONCLUSION: Cox regression is a suitable method for analysis of clinical trial data with composite time-to-event endpoints subject to different component-wise censoring mechanisms.

Pragmatic evaluation of events and benefits of lipid lowering in older adults (PREVENTABLE): Trial design and rationale.

Whether initiation of statins could increase survival free of dementia and disability in adults aged ≥75 years is unknown. PREVENTABLE, a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized pragmatic clinical trial, will compare high-intensity statin therapy (atorvastatin 40 mg) with placebo in 20,000 community-dwelling adults aged ≥75 years without cardiovascular disease, disability, or dementia at baseline. Exclusion criteria include statin use in the prior year or for >5 years and inability to take a statin. Potential participants are identified using computable phenotypes derived from the electronic health record and local referrals from the community. Participants will undergo baseline cognitive testing, with physical testing and a blinded lipid panel if feasible. Cognitive testing and disability screening will be conducted annually. Multiple data sources will be queried for cardiovascular events, dementia, and disability; survival is site-reported and supplemented by a National Death Index search. The primary outcome is survival free of new dementia or persisting disability. Co-secondary outcomes are a composite of cardiovascular death, hospitalization for unstable angina or myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, or coronary revascularization; and a composite of mild cognitive impairment or dementia. Ancillary studies will offer mechanistic insights into the effects of statins on key outcomes. Biorepository samples are obtained and stored for future study. These results will inform the benefit of statins for increasing survival free of dementia and disability among older adults. This is a pioneering pragmatic study testing important questions with low participant burden to align with the needs of the growing population of older adults.

Effect of exercise modality and weight loss on changes in muscle and bone quality in older adults with obesity.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the effect of exercise modality during a dietary weight loss program on muscle size and quality, as measured by computed tomography (CT). Even less is known about how CT-derived changes in muscle track with changes in volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) and bone strength. METHODS: Older adults (66 ± 5 years, 64 % women) were randomized to 18-months of diet-induced weight loss (WL), WL with aerobic training (WL + AT), or WL with resistance training (WL + RT). CT-derived muscle area, radio-attenuation and intermuscular fat percentage at the trunk and mid-thigh were determined at baseline (n = 55) and 18-month follow-up (n = 22-34), and changes were adjusted for sex, baseline value, and weight lost. Lumbar spine and hip vBMD and finite element-derived bone strength were also measured. RESULTS: After adjustment for the weight lost, muscle area losses at the trunk were -7.82 cm2 [-12.30, -3.35] for WL, -7.72 cm2 [-11.36, -4.07] for WL + AT, and -5.14 cm2 [-8.65, -1.63] for WL + RT (p < 0.001 for group differences). At the mid-thigh, decreases were -6.20 cm2 [-10.39, -2.02] for WL, -7.84 cm2 [-11.19, -4.48] for WL + AT, and -0.60 cm2 [-4.14, 2.94] for WL + RT; this difference between WL + AT and WL + RT was significant in post-hoc testing (p = 0.01). Change in trunk muscle radio-attenuation was positively associated with change in lumbar bone strength (r = 0.41, p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: WL + RT better preserved muscle area and improved muscle quality more consistently than WL + AT or WL alone. More research is needed to characterize the associations between muscle and bone quality in older adults undertaking weight loss interventions.

Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Control on Troponin and Natriuretic Peptide Levels: Findings From SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Given the important role of cardiac injury and neurohormonal activation in the pathways leading from hypertension to heart failure and strong associations observed between hypertension and its sequelae on hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels, we hypothesized that intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering would decrease levels of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP. METHODS: hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were measured at baseline and 1 year from stored specimens in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial). Changes in biomarkers were evaluated continuously on the log scale and according to categories (≥50% increase, ≥50% decrease, or <50% change). The effect of intensive SBP lowering on continuous and categorical changes in biomarker levels were assessed using linear and multinomial logistic regression models, respectively. The association between changes in biomarkers on heart failure and death was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Randomization to intensive SBP lowering (versus standard SBP management) resulted in a 3% increase in hs-cTnT levels over 1-year follow-up (geometric mean ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.04]) and a higher proportion of participants with ≥50% increase (odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.13, 1.90]). In contrast, randomization to intensive SBP lowering led to a 10% decrease in NT-proBNP (geometric mean ratio, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.87-0.93]) and a lower probability of ≥50% increase in NT-proBNP (odds ratio, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.46-0.72]). The association of randomized treatment assignment on change in hs-cTnT was completely attenuated after accounting for changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate over follow-up, whereas the association of treatment with NT-proBNP was completely attenuated after adjusting for change in SBP. Increases in hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP from baseline to 1 year were associated with higher risk for heart failure and death, with no significant interactions by treatment assignment. CONCLUSIONS: Intensive SBP lowering increased hs-cTnT, mediated by the effect of SBP lowering on reduced kidney filtration. In contrast, intensive SBP lowering decreased NT-proBNP, a finding that was explained by the decrease in SBP. These findings highlight the importance of noncardiac factors influencing variation in cardiac biomarkers and raise questions about the potential role of hs-cTnT as a surrogate marker for heart failure or death in SBP-lowering studies.

Earlier treatment in adults with high lifetime risk of cardiovascular diseases: What prevention trials are feasible and could change clinical practice? Report of a National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Workshop.

More than half of U.S. young adults have low ten-year but high lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Improving primary prevention in young adulthood may help reduce persistent CVD disparities and overall CVD morbidity and mortality. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) convened a workshop in 2021 to identify potential trial opportunities in CVD prevention in young adults. The workshop identified promising interventions that could be tested, including interventions that focus on a single cardiovascular risk factor (e.g., lipids or inflammation) to multiple risk factor interventions (e.g., multicomponent lifestyle interventions or fixed-low dose combination of medications). Given the sample size and duration for a trial with hard endpoints, more research is needed on the utility of intermediate endpoints identified noninvasively such as subclinical coronary atherosclerosis as a surrogate endpoint. For now, clinical outcomes trials with hard endpoints will more likely change clinical practice. Trial efficiency depends on accurate identification of high-risk young adults, which can potentially be done using traditional risk equations, coronary artery calcium screening, computerized tomography coronary angiography, and polygenic risk scores. Trials in young adults should include enhanced recruitment strategies with intense community engagement to enroll a trial population that is racially, ethnically, geographically, and socially diverse. Despite the challenges in conducting large prevention trials in young adults, recent advances including innovation in clinical trial conduct, new therapies and successful interventions in older populations, and an increasing recognition of a lifespan approach to risk assessment have made such trials more feasible than ever. Disclosures: The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the National Institutes of Health; or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

Associations of High-Sensitivity Troponin and Natriuretic Peptide Levels With Serious Adverse Events in SPRINT.

Background Assessing the risk of serious adverse events (SAEs) during hypertension treatment is important for understanding the benefit-harm trade-offs of lower blood pressure goals. It is unknown whether high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) provide information about SAEs. Methods and Results In SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial), hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were measured at baseline in 8828 (94.3%) and 8836 (94.4%) participants, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP associations with a composite of SPRINT's SAEs of interest: hypotension, syncope, bradycardia, acute kidney injury, electrolyte abnormalities, and injurious falls. Elevations in hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP were associated with increased composite SAE risk (hazard ratio [HR] per 2-fold higher hs-cTnT: 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06‒1.25; HR per 2-fold higher NT-proBNP: 1.09; 95% CI, 1.05‒1.14). Compared with both hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP in the lower tertiles, both biomarkers in the highest tertile was associated with increased composite SAE risk (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.32‒1.84). Composite SAE risk was higher in the intensive-treatment group than in the standard-treatment group for participants with both biomarkers in the lower tertiles, but similar between treatment groups for participants with both biomarkers in the highest tertile (P for interaction=0.008). Conclusions Elevations in hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP individually and in combination are associated with higher composite SAE risk in SPRINT. The differential impact of blood pressure treatment on SAE risk across combined biomarker categories may have implications for identifying individuals with more favorable benefit-harm profiles for intensive blood pressure lowering.

The Collaborative Lifestyle Intervention Program in Knee Osteoarthritis Patients (CLIP-OA) trial: Design and methods.

Being overweight or obese is a primary modifiable risk factor that exacerbates disease progression and mobility disability in older knee osteoarthritis (OA) patients. Lifestyle interventions combining exercise with dietary weight loss (EX+DWL) yield meaningful improvements in mobility and weight loss that are superior to EX or DWL alone. Unfortunately, community access to practical, sustainable weight management interventions remains limited and places knee OA patients at increased risk of mobility disability. The Collaborative Lifestyle Intervention Program in Knee Osteoarthritis patients (CLIP-OA), was a two-arm, 18 month randomized-controlled, comparative effectiveness trial designed to contrast the effects of an evidence-based, theory-driven EX+DWL intervention, personalized to patient needs and delivered by our community partners, with those of the Arthritis Foundation's Walk With Ease (WWE) standard of care self-management program in the treatment of knee OA patients with overweight or obesity. The primary outcome of the CLIP-OA trial was mobility performance assessed using the 400-m walk test (400MWT). Secondary outcomes included weight loss, pain, select quality of life and social cognitive variables, and cost-effectiveness of intervention delivery. Findings from the CLIP-OA trial will determine the comparative and cost-effectiveness of the EX+DWL and WWE interventions on key clinical outcomes and has the potential to offer a sustainable medium for intervention delivery that can promote widely accessible weight management among knee OA patients with overweight or obesity. Trial Registration: NCT02835326.

Association of in-hospital depression and anxiety symptoms following stroke with 3 months- depression, anxiety and functional outcome.

BACKGROUND: Post-stroke depression and anxiety are common and are associated with worse post-stroke outcomes. Even though checking for depression during stroke hospitalization has become a common practice, the prognostic value of a positive in-hospital depression screen following stroke remains unclear. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with stroke or TIA discharged home from a tertiary care center. We examined the association between premorbid history of depression and in-hospital anxiety/depressive symptoms, with anxiety/depressive symptoms and functional outcome at 3-months post-stroke. Logistic regression models were generated using two different main predictors: 1) pre-hospital history of depression (N = 117) and 2) in-hospital depression/anxiety measured by the EQ-5D-3L (N = 66). RESULTS: In the cohort of 117 patients, the mean age was 66 years, with median NIHSS 2;44% were women and 70% White. A history of pre-stroke depression was reported by 7% (8/117). Anxiety/depression on ED-5D-3L was reported by 29/66 (43%) in the hospital and by 22/66 (33%) at three months' post-stroke. In the first adjusted model, previous history of depression was associated with 3 months EQ-5D-3L anxiety/depression (OR = 10.2;95%CI:1.12-90.9, p = 0.038). In the second adjusted model, in-hospital anxiety/depression was associated with 3-month EQ-5D-3L anxiety/depression (OR = 3.9; 95% CI:1.16-13.1, p = 0.027). In-hospital anxiety/depression was associated with a higher mRS at 3 months but not after adjusting for covariates. CONCLUSION: A previous history of depression and in-hospital anxiety/depression symptoms are associated with anxiety/depression symptoms 3-months post-stroke but not with functional outcome. Screening stroke patients for both during hospitalization is warranted because of the association with later symptoms.

A comprehensive survey of collaborative biostatistics units in academic health centers.

The organizational structures of collaborative biostatistics units in academic health centers (AHCs) in the United States and their important contributions to research are an evolving and active area of discussion and inquiry. Collaborative biostatistics units may serve as a centralized resource to investigators across various disciplines or as shared infrastructure for investigators within a discipline (e.g., cancer), or a combination of both. The characteristics of such units vary greatly, and there has been no comprehensive review of their organizational structures described in the literature to date. This manuscript summarizes the current infrastructure of such units using responses from 129 leaders. Most leaders were over 45 years old, held doctoral degrees, and were on a 12-month appointment. Over half were tenured or on a tenure track and held primary appointments in a school of medicine. Career advancement metrics most important included being funded as co-investigator on NIH grants and being either first or second author on peer-reviewed publications. Team composition was diverse in terms of expertise and training, and funding sources were typically hybrid. These results provide a benchmark for collaboration models and evaluation and may be used by institutional administrators as they build, evaluate, or restructure current collaborative quantitative support infrastructure.

Kidney tubule health, mineral metabolism and adverse events in persons with CKD in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Measures of kidney tubule health are risk markers for acute kidney injury (AKI) in persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) during hypertension treatment, but their associations with other adverse events (AEs) are unknown. METHODS: Among 2377 Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) participants with CKD, we measured at baseline eight urine biomarkers of kidney tubule health and two serum biomarkers of mineral metabolism pathways that act on the kidney tubules. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate biomarker associations with risk of a composite of pre-specified serious AEs (hypotension, syncope, electrolyte abnormalities, AKI, bradycardia and injurious falls) and outpatient AEs (hyperkalemia and hypokalemia). RESULTS: At baseline, the mean age was 73 ± 9 years and mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 46 ± 11 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years, 716 (30%) participants experienced the composite AE. Higher urine interleukin-18, kidney injury molecule-1, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), lower urine uromodulin (UMOD) and higher serum fibroblast growth factor-23 were individually associated with higher risk of the composite AE outcome in multivariable-adjusted models including eGFR and albuminuria. When modeling biomarkers in combination, higher NGAL [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.08 per 2-fold higher biomarker level, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.13], higher MCP-1 (HR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.03-1.19) and lower UMOD (HR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97) were each associated with higher composite AE risk. Biomarker associations did not vary by intervention arm (P > 0.10 for all interactions). CONCLUSIONS: Among persons with CKD, several kidney tubule biomarkers are associated with higher risk of AEs during hypertension treatment, independent of eGFR and albuminuria.

SPRINT Revisited: Updated Results and Implications.

The SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) results have influenced clinical practice but have also generated discussion regarding the validity, generalizability, and importance of the findings. Following the SPRINT primary results manuscript in 2015, additional results and analyses of the data have addressed these concerns. The primary objective of this article is to respond to key questions that have been raised.

Associations of High-Sensitivity Troponin and Natriuretic Peptide Levels With Outcomes After Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering: Findings From the SPRINT Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hscTnT) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP) levels are associated with risk of heart failure (HF) and mortality among individuals in the general population. However, it is unknown if this risk is modifiable. Objective: To test the hypothesis that elevated hscTnT and NTproBNP levels would identify individuals with the greatest risk for mortality and HF and the largest benefit associated with intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a nonprespecified post hoc analysis of the multicenter, prospective, randomized clinical Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT), conducted from October 20, 2010, to August 20, 2015. A total of 9361 patients without diabetes with increased risk for cardiovascular disease were randomized to receive intensive vs standard SBP lowering. Statistical analysis was performed on an intention-to-treat basis from September 30, 2019, to July 29, 2021. Interventions: Participants were randomized to undergo intensive (<120 mm Hg) or standard (<140 mm Hg) SBP lowering. High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and NTproBNP levels were measured from stored specimens collected at enrollment, with elevated levels defined as 14 ng/L or more for hscTnT (to convert to micrograms per liter, multiply by 0.001) and 125 pg/mL or more for NTproBNP (to convert to nanograms per liter, multiply by 1.0). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome of this ancillary study was HF and mortality. Results: Of the 9361 participants enrolled in SPRINT, 8828 (5578 men [63.2%]; mean [SD] age, 68.0 [9.5] years) had measured hscTnT levels and 8836 (5585 men [63.2%]; mean [SD] age, 68.0 [9.5] years) had measured NTproBNP levels; 2262 of 8828 patients (25.6%) had elevated hscTnT levels, 3371 of 8836 patients (38.2%) had elevated NTproBNP, and 1411 of 8828 patients (16.0%) had both levels elevated. Randomization to the intensive SBP group led to a 4.9% (95% CI, 1.7%-7.5%) absolute risk reduction (ARR) over 4 years in death and HF (421 events) for those with elevated hscTnT and a 1.7% (95% CI, 0.7%-2.5%) ARR for those without elevated levels. Similarly, for those with elevated NTproBNP, the ARR for death and HF over 4 years was 4.6% (95% CI, 2.3%-6.5%) vs 1.8% (95% CI, 0.9%-2.5%) in those without elevated levels. For those with elevated levels of both biomarkers, the ARR for death and HF over 4 years was 7.8% (95% CI, 3.3%-11.3%) vs 1.7% (95% CI, 0.8%-2.3%) in those with neither biomarker elevated. No significant treatment group by biomarker category interactions were detected. Conclusions and Relevance: Intensive SBP control led to large absolute differences in death and HF among patients with abnormal hscTnT and NTproBNP levels. These findings demonstrate that risk associated with elevation of these biomarkers is modifiable with intensive BP control. A prospective, randomized clinical trial is needed to evaluate whether these biomarkers may help guide selection of patients for intensive SBP lowering. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01206062.

Guidance for biostatisticians on their essential contributions to clinical and translational research protocol review.

Rigorous scientific review of research protocols is critical to making funding decisions, and to the protection of both human and non-human research participants. Given the increasing complexity of research designs and data analysis methods, quantitative experts, such as biostatisticians, play an essential role in evaluating the rigor and reproducibility of proposed methods. However, there is a common misconception that a statistician's input is relevant only to sample size/power and statistical analysis sections of a protocol. The comprehensive nature of a biostatistical review coupled with limited guidance on key components of protocol review motived this work. Members of the Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Research Design Special Interest Group of the Association for Clinical and Translational Science used a consensus approach to identify the elements of research protocols that a biostatistician should consider in a review, and provide specific guidance on how each element should be reviewed. We present the resulting review framework as an educational tool and guideline for biostatisticians navigating review boards and panels. We briefly describe the approach to developing the framework, and we provide a comprehensive checklist and guidance on review of each protocol element. We posit that the biostatistical reviewer, through their breadth of engagement across multiple disciplines and experience with a range of research designs, can and should contribute significantly beyond review of the statistical analysis plan and sample size justification. Through careful scientific review, we hope to prevent excess resource expenditure and risk to humans and animals on poorly planned studies.

Final Report of a Trial of Intensive versus Standard Blood-Pressure Control.

BACKGROUND: In a previously reported randomized trial of standard and intensive systolic blood-pressure control, data on some outcome events had yet to be adjudicated and post-trial follow-up data had not yet been collected. METHODS: We randomly assigned 9361 participants who were at increased risk for cardiovascular disease but did not have diabetes or previous stroke to adhere to an intensive treatment target (systolic blood pressure, <120 mm Hg) or a standard treatment target (systolic blood pressure, <140 mm Hg). The primary outcome was a composite of myocardial infarction, other acute coronary syndromes, stroke, acute decompensated heart failure, or death from cardiovascular causes. Additional primary outcome events occurring through the end of the intervention period (August 20, 2015) were adjudicated after data lock for the primary analysis. We also analyzed post-trial observational follow-up data through July 29, 2016. RESULTS: At a median of 3.33 years of follow-up, the rate of the primary outcome and all-cause mortality during the trial were significantly lower in the intensive-treatment group than in the standard-treatment group (rate of the primary outcome, 1.77% per year vs. 2.40% per year; hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63 to 0.86; all-cause mortality, 1.06% per year vs. 1.41% per year; hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.92). Serious adverse events of hypotension, electrolyte abnormalities, acute kidney injury or failure, and syncope were significantly more frequent in the intensive-treatment group. When trial and post-trial follow-up data were combined (3.88 years in total), similar patterns were found for treatment benefit and adverse events; however, rates of heart failure no longer differed between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who were at increased cardiovascular risk, targeting a systolic blood pressure of less than 120 mm Hg resulted in lower rates of major adverse cardiovascular events and lower all-cause mortality than targeting a systolic blood pressure of less than 140 mm Hg, both during receipt of the randomly assigned therapy and after the trial. Rates of some adverse events were higher in the intensive-treatment group. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health; SPRINT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01206062.).

Trajectories of Blood Pressure Control a Year After Randomization and Incident Cardiovascular Outcomes in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: While studies have assessed the association between blood pressure trajectories and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes using observational data, few have assessed these associations using clinical trial data. We sought to identify systolic blood pressure (SBP) trajectories and to determine if these trajectory patterns carry inherent CVD risk, irrespective of baseline blood pressure. METHODS: SBP trajectories were identified using latent class group-based modeling among a cohort of Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) participants by incorporating SBP measures during the first 12 months of the trial postrandomization. Cox models were used to evaluate the association between SBP trajectory with CVD and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Four distinct SBP trajectories were identified: "low decline" (41%), "high decline" (6%), "low stable" (48%), and "high stable" (5%). Relative to the "low decline" group, the "low stable" group was associated with a 29% increased risk of CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.29, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.57) and the "high stable" group was associated with a 76% increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.15-2.68). Relative to the "low stable" group, the "high stable" group was associated with a 54% increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.05-2.28). CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that SBP trajectory patterns are associated with important cardiovascular outcomes, irrespective of baseline blood pressure, which may help better identify individuals at risk and assist with accurate adjudication of antihypertensive therapy to reduce future events.

Metabolic syndrome and the benefit of a physical activity intervention on lower-extremity function: Results from a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: In older adults, increases in physical activity may prevent decline in lower-extremity function, but whether the benefit differs according to metabolic syndrome (MetS) status is uncertain. We aim to investigate whether structured physical activity is associated with less decline in lower-extremity function among older adults with versus without MetS. METHODS: We used data from the multicenter Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders (LIFE) study to analyze 1535 sedentary functionally-vulnerable women and men, aged 70 to 89 years old, assessed every 6 months (February 2010-December 2013) for an average of 2.7 years. Participants were randomized to a structured, moderate-intensity physical activity intervention (PA; n = 766) or health education program (HE; n = 769). MetS was defined according to the 2009 multi-agency harmonized criteria. Lower-extremity function was assessed by 400-m walking speed and the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) score. RESULTS: 763 (49.7%) participants met criteria for MetS at baseline. Relative to HE, PA was associated with faster 400-m walking speed among participants with MetS (P < 0.001) but not among those without MetS (P = 0.91), although the test for statistical interaction was marginally non-significant (P = 0.07). In contrast, no benefit of PA versus HE was observed on the SPPB score in either MetS subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults at high risk for mobility disability, moderate-intensity physical activity conveys significant benefits in 400-m walking speed but not SPPB in those with, but not without, MetS. The LIFE physical activity program may be an effective strategy for maintaining or improving walking speed among vulnerable older adults with MetS. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01072500.

Elevated IL-6 and CRP Levels Are Associated With Incident Self-Reported Major Mobility Disability: A Pooled Analysis of Older Adults With Slow Gait Speed.

BACKGROUND: Elevated interleukine-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are associated with aging-related reductions in physical function, but little is known about their independent and combined relationships with major mobility disability (MMD), defined as the self-reported inability to walk a quarter mile. METHODS: We estimated the absolute and relative effect of elevated baseline IL-6, CRP, and their combination on self-reported MMD risk among older adults (≥68 years; 59% female) with slow gait speed (<1.0 m/s). Participants were MMD-free at baseline. IL-6 and CRP were assessed using a central laboratory. The study combined a cohort of community-dwelling high-functioning older adults (Health ABC) with 2 trials of low-functioning adults at risk of MMD (LIFE-P, LIFE). Analyses utilized Poisson regression for absolute MMD incidence and proportional hazards models for relative risk. RESULTS: We found higher MMD risk per unit increase in log IL-6 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.26; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.13-1.41). IL-6 meeting predetermined threshold considered to be high (>2.5 pg/mL) was similarly associated with higher risk of MMD (HR = 1.31; 95% CI 1.12-1.54). Elevated CRP (CRP >3.0 mg/L) was also associated with increased MMD risk (HR = 1.38; 95% CI 1.10-1.74). The CRP effect was more pronounced among participants with elevated IL-6 (HR = 1.62; 95% CI 1.12-2.33) compared to lower IL-6 levels (HR = 1.19; 95% CI 0.85-1.66). CONCLUSIONS: High baseline IL-6 and CRP were associated with an increased risk of MMD among older adults with slow gait speed. A combined biomarker model suggests CRP was associated with MMD when IL-6 was elevated.

Effect of Intensive Versus Standard Blood Pressure Control on Stroke Subtypes.

[Figure: see text].