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2.
Scand J Rheumatol ; 51(3): 173-179, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34182890

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Depression occurs at least two times more often in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients than in controls, but little is known about the treatment of depression in RA. The primary objective of this study was to compare the 1 year period prevalence of antidepressant prescription in patients with RA versus controls. METHOD: We included a retrospective inception cohort of 509 patients with incident RA and 2545 frequency-matched population controls ascertained from 1995 to 2002. The cohort was followed until 31 December 2017 and linked with nationwide Danish registers. From the Danish National Prescription Register, we obtained information on redeemed prescriptions of antidepressants (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical code N06A). RESULTS: We did not demonstrate significant differences in the 1 year period prevalence ratios and the incidence rate ratios for either antidepressant prescription or the frequency of hospital admissions with depressive episode. The most frequent indication for antidepressant prescription in patients with RA was depression. Cox regression analyses showed no association between RA and antidepressant prescription. CONCLUSION: We found no significant differences in the occurrence of antidepressant prescription in patients with RA versus matched controls. The main indication for antidepressant prescription in RA was depression.


Assuntos
Antidepressivos , Artrite Reumatoide , Antidepressivos/uso terapêutico , Artrite Reumatoide/tratamento farmacológico , Artrite Reumatoide/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Prescrições , Estudos Retrospectivos
3.
Eur. j. psychiatry ; 35(4): 251-260, octubre-diciembre 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | IBECS | ID: ibc-217638

RESUMO

Background and objectives: We investigated the independent associations between various characteristics at trial entrance and subsequent development of somatic morbidity in patients participating trials on antidepressants.Methods338 in-patients diagnosed with major depression who had participated in trials on antidepressants conducted between 1983 and 1994 were followed for up to 30 years in Danish registers. By applying a Cox regression model with incident diagnoses of somatic disease as outcome, explanatory variables such as age at first episode, duration of index episode, bipolarity and scores on the Hamilton Depression Scale and subscales hereof, were investigated.ResultsCardiovascular diseases were associated with increasing number of previous depressive episodes at baseline (HR 1.06, 95% CI (1.00–1.11)). The risk of diabetes was associated with increasing duration of index episode (HR 1.01, 95% CI (1.00–1.01) as was respiratory disease (HR 1.00, 95% CI (1.00–1.01)). Diagnoses of infection were associated with increasing score on HAM-D6 (HR 1.11, CI 95 % (1.01–1.22)).ConclusionsThe association between number of previous depressive episodes and CVD is in line with previous results. The findings of associations between the psychometric measures and specific diseases should be interpreted with caution, as well as the associations between duration of episodes, higher severity and higher number of previous episodes, and increased risks of somatic morbidity, albeit these are in line with previous evidence. (AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Antidepressivos , Morbidade , Doenças Respiratórias
4.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci ; 30: e28, 2021 Apr 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33820580

RESUMO

AIMS: Antipsychotics are primarily labelled for the treatment of severe mental illness and have documented clinical utility in certain neurological disorders or palliative care. However, off-label use of antipsychotics is common and increasing, and prior studies on antipsychotic utilisation have not specifically assessed users in neurology, palliative care or general practice. We aimed to explore diagnoses associated with antipsychotic use, treatment patterns and characteristics of users without diagnoses relevant to antipsychotic treatment. METHODS: Population-based study identifiying all users of antipsychotics in Denmark (pop 5.7 mio.) 1997-2018 in the Danish National Prescription Register (DNPR). Possible indications for antipsychotic therapy were evaluated using in- and outpatient contacts from the DNPR. Users were divided hierarchically into six groups: severe mental disorders (schizophrenia, bipolar-spectrum disorders), chronic mental disorders (dementias, mental retardation, autism), other mental disorders (depression-spectrum, anxiety and personality disorders, etc.), selected neurological diseases, cancer and antipsychotic users without any of these diagnoses. This last group was characterised regarding demographics, antipsychotic use, health care utilisation and likely antipsychotic treatment initiator in 2018. RESULTS: Altogether, 630 307 antipsychotic users were identified, of whom 127 649 had filled prescriptions during 2018. Users without diagnoses relevant to antipsychotic treatment comprised of the largest group (37%), followed by schizophrenia and bipolar-spectrum disorders (34%), other mental disorders (15%), dementia, autism and mental retardation (11%), cancer (2.2%) and neurological diagnoses (2.0%). Of 37 478 incident users in 2018, 39% had no diagnosis relevant to antipsychotic treatment, 7.9% had major depression, 7.7% neurotic/stress-related disorders and 7.5% dementia. Quetiapine was most commonly used, both overall (51%) and among users without diagnoses relevant to antipsychotic treatment (58%). Of 14 474 incident users in 2018 without diagnoses relevant to antipsychotic treatment, treatment was most likely initiated by a general practitioner (65%), with only 17% seeing a psychiatrist during the following year. As many as 18% of patients with adjustment disorders and 14% of those without relevant diagnoses for antipsychotic use, remained on antipsychotic treatment 5 years after their first prescription. CONCLUSIONS: Over one-third of antipsychotic users in Denmark did not have psychiatric, neurological or cancer diagnoses as possible indications for antipsychotic therapy. Many antipsychotics are initiated or prescribed in general practice, and a concerningly large subgroup without documented diagnoses relevant for antipsychotics continued to receive them. Rational prescribing, adequate side effect monitoring and further research into reasons for the observed antipsychotic use patterns and their risk-benefit ratio are needed.


Assuntos
Antipsicóticos , Uso de Medicamentos , Transtornos Mentais , Uso Off-Label , Antipsicóticos/uso terapêutico , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Uso de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Transtornos Mentais/diagnóstico , Transtornos Mentais/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Uso Off-Label/estatística & dados numéricos
5.
Scand J Urol ; 55(2): 169-176, 2021 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33635171

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Overactive bladder (OAB) affects hundreds of millions of people worldwide and has significant detrimental effects on quality-of-life. Percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation (PTNS) is endorsed in the European guidelines of Urology as second-line therapy - on par with pharmacological treatment for women with OAB. METHODS: This prospective cohort study describes our clinical experience with PTNS in a daily outpatient clinic, on a consecutive cohort. The cohort of 116 patients was mixed; including both men and women with idiopathic (iOAB) and neurogenic (nOAB) overactive bladder. Patients were treated with a 12-week course of PTNS followed by monthly maintenance treatment. Data were collected during 4 years. RESULTS: The most common indication for PTNS was OAB with urge incontinence (53%) followed by OAB-dry and nocturia (both 16%). One hundred and ten (95%) patients completed follow-up and 68 patients (62%) continued to maintenance treatment. A total of 68 patients reported an effect on PROM, BD and ICIQ-OAB, which is the same 62% that continue in maintenance PTNS. A significant decline was seen in overall ICIQ-OAB score, with a median drop from 87 to 54, a significant decline in overall frequency and nocturia on bladder diary and a shift in pad test group in 19% of the incontinence patients. CONCLUSION: PTNS shows an equally significant effect on men as well as women both in the iOAB and nOAB subgroups in a daily outpatient clinic. In our opinion, PTNS should be a standard treatment option available at urological departments, where both men and women in both sub-groups could benefit from treatment. Further randomized studies focusing on men with iOAB are needed.


Assuntos
Nervo Tibial , Estimulação Elétrica Nervosa Transcutânea , Bexiga Urinária Hiperativa , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Bexiga Urinária Hiperativa/etiologia , Bexiga Urinária Hiperativa/terapia
6.
Eur J Neurol ; 28(1): 278-285, 2021 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32916012

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To improve diagnoses of primary brain tumours, knowledge about early indicators is needed. Nationwide Danish health registries were used to conduct a population-based case-control study including all persons diagnosed with a primary brain tumour between 2005 and 2014 in Denmark. METHODS: All 5135 adults diagnosed with a primary brain tumour in the Danish Cancer Registry were matched to 19 572 general population comparisons from the Danish Civil Registration System. Conditional logistic regression analyses were applied to estimate age- and multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for the occurrence of a primary brain tumour up to 10 years after hospital diagnoses or prescription of medications related to nervous system diseases and mental and behavioural disorders. RESULTS: Increased odds for primary brain tumour after nervous system diseases and mental and behavioural disorders manifested up to 10 years before tumour diagnosis were found. Increased odds were seen especially for hospital contacts for inflammatory nervous system diseases [OR 11.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.5-19.7], epilepsy (OR 9.0; 95% CI 7.6-10.7) and antiepileptic medications (OR 3.6; 95% CI 3.2-4.0), whilst antidementia medications provided a strong, protective association for primary brain tumours (OR 0.5; 95% CI 0.3-0.8). CONCLUSIONS: Sub-groups of patients diagnosed with or being prescribed certain medications targeting nervous system diseases and mental and behavioural disorders may be at increased risk of being diagnosed with a primary brain tumour. Further studies should disentangle the potential underlying common pathogenetic pathways. The results are important for the development of systematic clinical approaches to ensure early diagnosis of primary brain tumours.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas , Transtornos Mentais , Adulto , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Seguimentos , Humanos , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco
7.
Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol) ; 33(1): 20-29, 2021 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32988717

RESUMO

AIMS: To evaluate how common radiation therapy techniques perform in the setting of the new European Society for Radiotherapy and Oncology-Advisory Committee in Radiation Oncology Practice (ESTRO-ACROP) delineation recommendations for immediate breast reconstruction (IBR). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Seven Danish radiation therapy centres and six international European centres participated in this project. Two breast cancer cases (one left-sided and one right-sided) with a retropectoral implant were chosen for radiation therapy planning using deep-inspiration breath-hold. Target volumes were delineated according to ESTRO-ACROP delineation recommendations. The centres were asked to plan the cases using any radiation therapy technique according to the Danish Breast Cancer Group plan objectives. RESULTS: In total, 35 treatment plans were collected. Half of the submitted plans, for both the left-sided and the right-sided case, used the field-in-field (FiF) technique (nine for each), a quarter used volumetric arc radiation therapy (VMAT; five for right-sided, four for left-sided) and the remaining quarter was a mix of inverse intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), helicoidal therapy and hybrid (combined open fields and VMAT) techniques. Mean clinical target volume doses were in the range 99-102% of the prescribed dose. The median FiF mean heart dose (MHD) for right-sided radiation therapy was 1 Gy (range 0.8-3.7) and 5.2 Gy for left-sided radiation therapy (range 2.2-6.5). For right-sided radiation therapy, the median VMAT MHD was 3.42 Gy, for IMRT was 2.3 Gy and for helicoidal therapy was 5.1 Gy. For left-sided radiation therapy, the median VMAT MHD was 6.3 Gy, for IMRT was 7.8 Gy and for helicoidal therapy was 7.3 Gy. CONCLUSIONS: Different radiation therapy techniques could be used to plan radiation therapy in the setting of IBR. FiF provided good coverage with acceptable organ at risk doses. The best dose distribution results as a trade-off between the objectives of target volume coverage and high-dose organ at risk inclusion. The radiation therapy technique affects the interplay between these objectives.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Planejamento de Assistência ao Paciente/normas , Lesões por Radiação/prevenção & controle , Radioterapia (Especialidade)/normas , Dosagem Radioterapêutica/normas , Planejamento da Radioterapia Assistida por Computador/métodos , Implante Mamário/métodos , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Neoplasias da Mama/radioterapia , Neoplasias da Mama/cirurgia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Humanos , Mastectomia/métodos , Órgãos em Risco , Planejamento de Assistência ao Paciente/organização & administração , Cuidados Pós-Operatórios/métodos , Cuidados Pós-Operatórios/normas , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Radioterapia de Intensidade Modulada/métodos
8.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci ; 29: e149, 2020 Aug 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32744212

RESUMO

AIMS: Widowed people have increased mortality compared to married people of the same age. Although most widowed people are of older age, few studies include the oldest old. As life expectancy is increasing, knowledge of widowhood into older age is needed. This study aimed to examine mortality and widowhood in older age by comparing mortality in widowed and married people by sex, age, time since spousal loss and cause of death. METHODS: A Danish register-based matched cohort study of 10% of widowed persons ⩾65 years in the years 2000-2009. For each randomly drawn widowed person, five married persons were matched on sex and age. Mortality rate ratios (MRR) were calculated using Poisson regression, and stratified according to sex and 5-year age intervals. MRRs were furthermore calculated by time since spousal loss and by specific cause of death. RESULTS: The study included 82 130 persons contributing with 642 914.8 person-years. The overall MRR between widowed and married persons with up to 16 years of follow-up was 1.25 (95% CI 1.23-1.28). At age ⩾95 years for men, and ⩾90 years for women, no differences in mortality rates were seen between widowed and married persons. Mortality in widowed persons was increased for most specific causes of death, with the highest MRR from external causes (MRR 1.53 [1.35-1.74]) and endocrine diseases (MRR 1.51 [1.34-1.70]). CONCLUSIONS: Widowhood was associated with increased mortality in older age for both men and women until age ⩾95 and ⩾90 years, respectively. Increased mortality was observed for almost all causes of death.


Assuntos
Luto , Casamento , Viuvez/psicologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Feminino , Pesar , Humanos , Masculino , Mortalidade
9.
J Hosp Infect ; 104(1): 27-32, 2020 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31494129

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multi-resistant bacteria (MRB) are an emerging problem. Early identification of patients colonized with MRB is mandatory to avoid in-hospital transmission and to target antibiotic treatment. Since most patients pass through specialized emergency departments (EDs), these departments are crucial in early identification. The Danish National Board of Health (DNBH) has developed exposure-based targeted screening tools to identify and isolate carriers of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE). AIM: To assess the national screening tools for detection of MRSA and CPE carriage in a cohort of acute patients. The objectives were to investigate: (i) if the colonized patients were detected; and (ii) if the colonized patients were isolated. METHODS: This was a multi-centre cross-sectional survey of adults visiting EDs. The patients answered the DNBH questions, and swabs were taken from the nose, throat and rectum. The collected samples were examined for MRSA and CPE. Screening performances were calculated. FINDINGS: Of the 5117 included patients, 16 were colonized with MRSA and four were colonized with CPE. The MRSA screening tool had sensitivity of 50% [95% confidence interval (CI) 25-75%] for carrier detection and 25% (95% CI 7-52%) for carrier isolation. The CPE screening tool had sensitivity of 25% (95% CI 1-81%) and none of the CPE carriers were isolated. CONCLUSION: The national screening tools were of limited use as the majority of MRSA and CPE carriers passed unidentified through the EDs, and many patients were isolated unnecessarily.


Assuntos
Enterobacteriáceas Resistentes a Carbapenêmicos/isolamento & purificação , Programas de Rastreamento/normas , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina/isolamento & purificação , Isolamento de Pacientes/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Enterobacteriáceas Resistentes a Carbapenêmicos/efeitos dos fármacos , Portador Sadio/microbiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Estudos Transversais , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla/efeitos dos fármacos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/microbiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Masculino , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina/efeitos dos fármacos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reto/microbiologia , Fatores de Risco , Infecções Estafilocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Estafilocócicas/microbiologia
10.
J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol ; 34(2): 333-339, 2020 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31419348

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Methylisothiazolinone (MI) has caused an unprecedented epidemic of contact allergy in Europe and elsewhere. Subsequently, regulatory action has been taken, at least in Europe, aiming at reducing risk of MI sensitization. OBJECTIVE: To follow-up on the prevalence of contact allergy to MI in consecutively patch tested patients and assess the spectrum of products containing MI or methylchloroisothiazolinone (MCI)/MI in patients positive to MI which elicited current allergic contact dermatitis. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was performed in 2016 and 2017, including all adult patients patch tested with the baseline series (including MI 0.2% aq.) between 1 May and 31 October at 14 centres in 11 European countries. Patients with positive reactions (+ to +++) to MI were further examined regarding history, clinical characteristics and eliciting products, which were categorized into 34 types and 4 classes (leave-on, rinse-off, household, occupational). The results were compared with the reference year 2015. RESULTS: A total of 317 patients, n = 202 of 4278 tested in 2016 (4.72%) and n = 115 of 3879 tested in 2017 (2.96%), had positive reactions to MI; the previous result from 2015 was 5.97% (P < 0.0001). The share of currently relevant contact allergy among all positive reactions declined significantly as well (P = 0.0032). Concerning product classes, a relative decline of leave-on and a relative increase of rinse-off and household products was noted. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of MI contact allergy decreased by 50% from 2015 to 2017. As a consequence of regulation, the share of cosmetics products (leave-on in particular) eliciting allergic contact dermatitis is decreasing. The chosen method of analysing causative products in sensitized patients has proven useful to monitor effects of intervention.


Assuntos
Dermatite de Contato/epidemiologia , Tiazóis/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Dermatite de Contato/etiologia , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Testes do Emplastro , Adulto Jovem
11.
Colorectal Dis ; 22(5): 529-536, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31860758

RESUMO

AIM: Although patients with Lynch syndrome have an increased risk of developing colorectal cancer, surveillance can reduce morbidity and mortality. Whether or not affected individuals benefit from lifetime surveillance depends on individual factors and patient adherence, and these may vary, complicating risk modelling. The aim of this study was to identify individual factors which influence patient adherence to surveillance programmes and whether extended surveillance interval influenced their risk of developing colorectal cancer. METHOD: Demographics and survival data were obtained from patients (n = 1223) with Lynch syndrome, identified by interrogating the Danish Hereditary Non-Polyposis Colorectal Cancer Register. These data were linked to patient surveillance interval data which had been divided into three subsets (< 27 months, adherent to the recommended biennial programme; > 27 months, extended surveillance interval; and no surveillance) to estimate the cumulative risks and hazard ratios (HRs) for colorectal cancer. RESULTS: In all, 147 colorectal cancers (99 first; 48 metachronous) were identified in 1223 patients. Factors associated with adherence to surveillance were female sex, a previous history of cancer and age < 75 years. The cumulative incidence for colorectal cancer was 38% (95% CI 27%-50%) for surveillance intervals < 27 months, 48% (95% CI 29%-67%) for intervals > 27 months and 72% (95% CI 61%-83%) with no surveillance. Adjusted HRs were 0.22 for surveillance intervals < 27 months and 0.32 for surveillance intervals > 27 months. Extended surveillance intervals > 27 months had a non-significant benefit with an HR of 1.51 (95% CI 0.83-2.75) compared to surveillance intervals < 27 months. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that adherence to colonoscopic surveillance in Lynch syndrome varies with age, sex and cancer history and demonstrates a consistent benefit from colorectal cancer surveillance, though it might be lower for individuals with extended intervals.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais Hereditárias sem Polipose , Neoplasias Colorretais , Idoso , Colonoscopia , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/etiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais Hereditárias sem Polipose/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Risco
12.
Phytopathology ; 110(4): 708-722, 2020 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31821114

RESUMO

Effective altruism is an ethical framework for identifying the greatest potential benefits from investments. Here, we apply effective altruism concepts to maximize research benefits through identification of priority stakeholders, pathosystems, and research questions and technologies. Priority stakeholders for research benefits may include smallholder farmers who have not yet attained the minimal standards set out by the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals; these farmers would often have the most to gain from better crop disease management, if their management problems are tractable. In wildlands, prioritization has been based on the risk of extirpating keystone species, protecting ecosystem services, and preserving wild resources of importance to vulnerable people. Pathosystems may be prioritized based on yield and quality loss, and also factors such as whether other researchers would be unlikely to replace the research efforts if efforts were withdrawn, such as in the case of orphan crops and orphan pathosystems. Research products that help build sustainable and resilient systems can be particularly beneficial. The "value of information" from research can be evaluated in epidemic networks and landscapes, to identify priority locations for both benefits to individuals and to constrain regional epidemics. As decision-making becomes more consolidated and more networked in digital agricultural systems, the range of ethical considerations expands. Low-likelihood but high-damage scenarios such as generalist doomsday pathogens may be research priorities because of the extreme potential cost. Regional microbiomes constitute a commons, and avoiding the "tragedy of the microbiome commons" may depend on shifting research products from "common pool goods" to "public goods" or other categories. We provide suggestions for how individual researchers and funders may make altruism-driven research more effective.[Formula: see text] Copyright © 2020 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license.


Assuntos
Altruísmo , Ecossistema , Agricultura , Produtos Agrícolas , Humanos , Doenças das Plantas
13.
Rev Sci Instrum ; 90(9): 095101, 2019 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31575254

RESUMO

We present the concept of a novel time-focusing technique for neutron spectrometers, which allows us to disentangle time-focusing from beam divergence. The core of this approach is a double rotating-crystal monochromator that can be used to extract a larger wavelength band from a white beam, thus providing a higher flux at the sample compared to standard time-of-flight instruments, yet preserving energy resolution and beam collimation. The performances of a spectrometer based on this approach are quantitatively discussed in terms of possible incident wavelengths, flux at the sample, and (Q, E)-resolution. Analytical estimates suggest flux gains of about one order of magnitude at comparable resolutions in comparison to conventional time-of-flight spectrometers. Moreover, the double monochromator configuration natively shifts the sample away from the source line-of-sight, thus significantly improving the signal-to-noise ratio. The latter, in combination with a system that does not increase the beam divergence, brings the further advantage of a cleaner access to the low-Q region, which is recognized to be of fundamental interest for magnetism and for disordered materials, from glasses to biological systems.

14.
Phytopathology ; 109(9): 1519-1532, 2019 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30785374

RESUMO

Seed systems are critical for deployment of improved varieties but also can serve as major conduits for the spread of seedborne pathogens. As in many other epidemic systems, epidemic risk in seed systems often depends on the structure of networks of trade, social interactions, and landscape connectivity. In a case study, we evaluated the structure of an informal sweet potato seed system in the Gulu region of northern Uganda for its vulnerability to the spread of emerging epidemics and its utility for disseminating improved varieties. Seed transaction data were collected by surveying vine sellers weekly during the 2014 growing season. We combined data from these observed seed transactions with estimated dispersal risk based on village-to-village proximity to create a multilayer network or "supranetwork." Both the inverse power law function and negative exponential function, common models for dispersal kernels, were evaluated in a sensitivity analysis/uncertainty quantification across a range of parameters chosen to represent spread based on proximity in the landscape. In a set of simulation experiments, we modeled the introduction of a novel pathogen and evaluated the influence of spread parameters on the selection of villages for surveillance and management. We found that the starting position in the network was critical for epidemic progress and final epidemic outcomes, largely driven by node out-degree. The efficacy of node centrality measures was evaluated for utility in identifying villages in the network to manage and limit disease spread. Node degree often performed as well as other, more complicated centrality measures for the networks where village-to-village spread was modeled by the inverse power law, whereas betweenness centrality was often more effective for negative exponential dispersal. This analysis framework can be applied to provide recommendations for a wide variety of seed systems.[Formula: see text] Copyright © 2019 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license.


Assuntos
Epidemias , Ipomoea batatas , Doenças das Plantas/microbiologia , Sementes/microbiologia , Uganda
16.
Plant Pathol ; 68(8): 1472-1480, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32406415

RESUMO

Virus-related degeneration constrains production of quality sweet potato seed, especially under open field conditions. Once in the open, virus-indexed seed is prone to virus infection leading to decline in performance. Insect-proof net tunnels have been proven to reduce virus infection under researcher management. However, their effectiveness under farmer-multiplier management is not known. This study investigated the ability of net tunnels to reduce degeneration in sweet potato under farmer-multiplier management. Infection and degeneration were assessed for two cultivars, Kabode and Polista, grown in net tunnels and open fields at two sites with varying virus pressures. There was zero virus incidence at both sites during the first five generations. Sweet potato feathery mottle virus and sweet potato chlorotic stunt virus were present in the last three generations, occurring singly or in combination to form sweet potato virus disease. Virus infection increased successively, with higher incidences recorded at the high virus pressure site. Seed degeneration modelling illustrated that for both varieties, degeneration was reduced by the maintenance of vines under net tunnel conditions. The time series of likely degeneration based on a generic model of yield loss suggested that, under the conditions experienced during the experimental period, infection and losses within the net tunnels would be limited. By comparison, in the open field most of the yield could be lost after a small number of generations without the input of seed with lower disease incidence. Adopting the technology at the farmer-multiplier level can increase availability of clean seed, particularly in high virus pressure areas.

17.
Br J Dermatol ; 180(1): 157-164, 2019 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30098007

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The reported real-life use of prescribed topical antipsoriatic drugs is conflicting and based on heterogeneous data sources. OBJECTIVES: To describe the utilization of topical antipsoriatic drugs among patients with psoriasis in Denmark. METHODS: A drug utilization study was performed based on nationwide Danish health registry data. We identified patients who received a first-time hospital diagnosis of psoriasis and redeemed at least one topical drug prescription in the period 2005-2015 (n = 7743). Patients were followed for 3 years from the time of diagnosis. Use of topical and systemic antipsoriatic drugs was described, specified by the type of treatment. RESULTS: The total use of topical drugs was divided between corticosteroids with calcipotriol (31%), calcipotriol (6·5%), very potent corticosteroids (24%), potent corticosteroids (30%), moderate corticosteroids (7·2%) and corticosteroids with antimicrobials (1·6%). There was a 19% reduction in the overall use of topical drugs during the study period. Use increased around the time of diagnosis and the majority of patients redeemed more than two packages of topical drugs during the first year after being diagnosed. Regional differences in patients' use of topical drugs varied considerably. The distribution of use of topical drugs was uneven, with a minority of all patients (25%) using 70% of the total amount of topical treatment. There was a 70% increase in the use of methotrexate over the study period. Biologics were used by up to 6%. CONCLUSIONS: The study provides further evidence that the use of topical antipsoriatic drugs shows considerable heterogeneity over time and regional practices, and differences between patients.


Assuntos
Fármacos Dermatológicos/administração & dosagem , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Uso de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Psoríase/tratamento farmacológico , Administração Cutânea , Adulto , Anti-Infecciosos/administração & dosagem , Calcitriol/administração & dosagem , Calcitriol/análogos & derivados , Dinamarca , Feminino , Seguimentos , Glucocorticoides/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos
18.
Annu Rev Phytopathol ; 56: 559-580, 2018 08 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29979928

RESUMO

Plant pathology must address a number of challenges, most of which are characterized by complexity. Network analysis offers useful tools for addressing complex systems and an opportunity for synthesis within plant pathology and between it and relevant disciplines such as in the social sciences. We discuss applications of network analysis, which ultimately may be integrated together into more synthetic analyses of how to optimize plant disease management systems. The analysis of microbiome networks and tripartite phytobiome networks of host-vector-pathogen interactions offers promise for identifying biocontrol strategies and anticipating disease emergence. Linking epidemic network analysis with social network analysis will support strategies for sustainable agricultural development and for scaling up solutions for disease management. Statistical tools for evaluating networks, such as Bayesian network analysis and exponential random graph models, have been underused in plant pathology and are promising for informing strategies. We conclude with research priorities for network analysis applications in plant pathology.


Assuntos
Agricultura/métodos , Microbiota , Doenças das Plantas/microbiologia , Patologia Vegetal , Agricultura/instrumentação , Teorema de Bayes , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno , Patologia Vegetal/instrumentação , Plantas/microbiologia
19.
Geophys Res Lett ; 45(8): 3445-3452, 2018 Apr 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30034048

RESUMO

We have monitored a newly erupted volcanic island in the Kingdom of Tonga, unofficially known as Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha'apai, by means of relatively frequent high spatial resolution (~50 cm) satellite observations. The new ~1.8 km2 island formed as a tuff cone over the course of a month-long hydromagmatic eruption in early 2015 in the Tonga-Kermadec volcanic arc. Such ash-dominated eruptions usually produce fragile subaerial landscapes that wash away rapidly due to marine erosion, as occurred nearby in 2009. Our measured rates of erosion are ~0.00256 km3/year from derived digital topographic models. Preliminary measurements of the topographic expression of the primary tuff cone over ~30 months suggest a lifetime of ~19 years (and potentially up to 42 years). The ability to measure details of a young island's landscape evolution using satellite remote sensing has not previously been possible at these spatial and temporal resolutions.

20.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 138(4): 377-383, 2018 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29920647

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Most studies show that marriage conveys a survival advantage. Whether this is valid also for stroke patients is unclear. Results of studies have been inconsistent and conflicting. MATERIAL & METHODS: We studied 1-week and 1-month stroke case-fatality in relation to marital status (married, unmarried, divorced, and widowed) in all patients admitted to hospital for incident stroke in Denmark during 2003-2012. We used information from Danish registries on stroke merged to information on age, sex, marital status, stroke severity, stroke subtype, socioeconomic status, cardiovascular risk profile, and causes of death. We studied deaths due to the index stroke within the first week and month after stroke. Multivariate Cox regression models were applied to estimate cause-specific hazards and relative risks. RESULTS: We included 60507 patients with an incident stroke of which 51.19% were married, 9.47% were unmarried, 13.29% were divorced, and 26.05% were widowers. Death within the first week and first month was caused by stroke in 2110 (3.5%) and 3423 (5.7%) patients, respectively. Compared to married stroke patients, 1-week/1-month case-fatality (by stroke) was lower for the unmarried (HR (hazard ratio):0.69/0.74), divorced (HR:0.69/0.72), and widowed (HR:0.80/0.74) men and the unmarried (HR:0.84/0.86), divorced (HR:0.82/0.80), and widowed (HR:0.87/0.88) women with stroke. CONCLUSIONS: One-week and one-month case-fatality by stroke was lower among the unmarried, divorced, and widowed than among the married stroke patients. Selection by so-called mortality displacement linked to shorter life expectancy among divorced, widowed, and singles may explain our findings.


Assuntos
Estado Civil , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/tendências , Sistema de Registros , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia
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