Marine heatwaves during the pre-monsoon season and their impact on Chlorophyll-a in the north Indian Ocean in 1982-2021.

Indian Ocean has been undergoing rapid warming in recent years, which increases the likelihood of Marine heatwave (MHW). MHWs are extreme warm ocean surface conditions in which temperature exceeds the 95th percentile for three or more consecutive days. We investigate MHW events occurred in Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BoB) during pre-monsoon for 1982-2021 period, their impact on Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and net primary productivity (NPP). There were 42 (68) MHW events with a significant trend of 8.1 (6.3) MHW days dec-1 in AS (BoB). There is a distinct decrease in Chl-a concentration associated with MHW, especially in medium and long duration events. In general, AS and BoB have witnessed more frequent and long-lasting MHWs in the 2002-2021 period, which reduce NPP of north Indian Ocean. A decrease in Chl-a and NPP, 10 % in AS and 2 % in BoB, is estimated, but only severe MHWs inflict a notable reduction.

Recent changes in atmospheric input and primary productivity in the north Indian Ocean.

Global oceanic regions are rapidly changing in terms of their temperature, oxygen, heat content, salinity and biogeochemistry. Since the biogeochemistry of the oceans is important and pivotal for global food production, and a major part of the world population relies on marine resources for their daily life and livelihood, it is imperative to monitor and find the spatio-temporal changes in the primary productivity of oceans. Here, we estimate the changes in Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and Net Primary Productivity (NPP) in the north Indian Ocean (NIO) basins of Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea for the period 1998-2019. We find a substantial reduction of NPP in NIO since 1998 (-0.048 mg m-3 day-1 yr-1) and the increase in sea surface temperature (SST) (+0.02 °C yr-1) is the primary driver of this change. Furthermore, there is a significant (10-20%) change in the air mass or dust transport to NIO from the period Decade 1 (1998-2008) to Decade 2 (2009-2019). This change in air mass trajectories has also altered NPP in both basins through the changes in nutrient input and associated biogeochemistry. Henceforth, this study cautions the changes in primary productivity of NIO, and suggests regular assessments and continuous monitoring of the physical and biological processes from a perspective of food security and ecosystem dynamics.

Spatio-temporal changes of winter and spring phytoplankton blooms in Arabian sea during the period 1997-2020.

Arabian Sea (AS) experiences Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) blooms during winter and early spring (November-March) mainly due to the changes induced by seasonally reversing monsoon winds and associated processes. The seasonal blooms exhibit distinct regional patterns in their onset, duration, intensity and peak period. Recent changes in ocean dynamics and plankton composition have inflicted adverse effects in the distribution of Chl-a concentration in AS. Here, we analyse the long-term spatio-temporal changes in winter and early spring bloom events during the period 1997-2020, and evaluate the role of sea surface temperature (SST), mixed layer depth (MLD), sea surface salinity, winds, mesoscale eddies and surface currents on these bloom occurrences. We observe a significant reduction in these blooms, which started in the early 2000s and intensified in the last decade (2010-2020), with a notable drop in the adjacent gulfs (Gulf of Aden: 1.38 ± 0.7 × 10-5 mg m-3 yr-1, Gulf of Oman: 4.71 ± 1.35 × 10-6 mg m-3 yr-1) and West coast of India (-6.71 ± 2.85 × 10-6 mg m-3 yr-1). The MLD and ocean temperature are the major factors that govern bloom in Gulf of Oman and open waters. Conversely, the coastal upwelling and eddies drive blooms in Gulf of Aden. The winter cooling trigger the bloom in the northern Indian west coast, but the inter-basin exchange of surface waters through the West Indian Coastal Current inhibits its southward spread. This study, therefore, reveals unique processes that initiate and control the winter and early spring blooms in different regions of AS. The ongoing warming of AS could contribute to further decline in these seasonal blooms, which would be a great concern for regional marine productivity and associated regional food security.