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1.
Int Heart J ; 65(3): 452-457, 2024 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38749751

RESUMO

Pericardial effusion (PE) presentation varies from an incidental finding to a life-threatening situation; thus, its etiology and clinical course remain unknown. The aim of the present study was to retrospectively investigate these factors.We analyzed 171 patients (0.4%) who presented with PE among 34,873 patients who underwent echocardiography between 2011 and 2021 at our hospital. Clinical and prognostic information was retrieved from electronic medical records. The primary endpoints were all-cause death, hospitalization due to heart failure (HF), and other cardiovascular events such as cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, elective percutaneous coronary intervention, and stroke.The etiologies of PE were as follows: idiopathic (32%), HF-related (18%), iatrogenic (11%), cardiac surgery-related (10%), radiation therapy-related (9%), malignancy (8%), pericarditis/myocarditis (8%), myocardial infarction-related (2%), and acute aortic dissection (2%). Patients with idiopathic/HF etiology were more likely to be older than the others.During a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years, all-cause death occurred in 21 patients (12.3%), cardiovascular events in 10 patients (5.8%), and hospitalization for HF in 24 patients (14.0%). All-cause death was frequently observed in patients with malignancy (44% per person-year). Cardiovascular events were mostly observed in patients with radiation therapy-related and malignancy (8.6% and 7.3% per person-year, respectively).The annual incidence of hospitalization for HF was the highest in patients with HF-related (25.1% per person-year), followed by radiation therapy-related (10.4% per person-year).This retrospective study is the first, to the best of our knowledge, to reveal the contemporary prevalence of PE, its cause, and outcome in patients who visited a cardiovascular hospital in an urban area of Japan.


Assuntos
Derrame Pericárdico , Humanos , Masculino , Derrame Pericárdico/etiologia , Derrame Pericárdico/epidemiologia , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Ecocardiografia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Causas de Morte , Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias/complicações , Japão/epidemiologia
2.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 51: 101389, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38550273

RESUMO

Background: The potential of utilizing artificial intelligence with electrocardiography (ECG) for initial screening of aortic dissection (AD) is promising. However, achieving a high positive predictive rate (PPR) remains challenging. Methods and results: This retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, N = 19,170) used digital 12-lead ECGs from initial patient visits. We assessed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model's performance for AD detection with eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs via five-fold cross-validation. The mean age was 63.5 ± 12.5 years for the AD group (n = 147) and 58.1 ± 15.7 years for the non-AD group (n = 19,023). The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.936 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.023) for AD detection with eight-lead ECGs. In the entire cohort, the PPR was 7 %, with 126 out of 147 AD cases correctly diagnosed (sensitivity 86 %). When applied to patients with D-dimer levels ≥1 µg/dL and a history of hypertension, the PPR increased to 35 %, with 113 AD cases correctly identified (sensitivity 86 %). The single V1 lead displayed the highest diagnostic performance (AUC: 0.933, SD: 0.03), with PPR improvement from 8 % to 38 % within the same population. Conclusions: Our CNN model using ECG data for AD detection achieved an over 30% PPR when applied to patients with elevated D-dimer levels and hypertension history while maintaining sensitivity. A similar level of performance was observed with a single-lead V1 ECG in the CNN model.

3.
Heart Vessels ; 39(6): 524-538, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38553520

RESUMO

The efficacy of convolutional neural network (CNN)-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG) in detecting hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and dilated HCM (dHCM) remains uncertain in real-world applications. This retrospective study analyzed data from 19,170 patients (including 140 HCM or dHCM) in the Shinken Database (2010-2017). We evaluated the sensitivity, positive predictive rate (PPR), and F1 score of CNN-enhanced ECG in a ''basic diagnosis'' model (total disease label) and a ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model (including disease subtypes). Using all-lead ECG in the "basic diagnosis" model, we observed a sensitivity of 76%, PPR of 2.9%, and F1 score of 0.056. These metrics improved in cases with a diagnostic probability of ≥ 0.9 and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on ECG: 100% sensitivity, 8.6% PPR, and 0.158 F1 score. The ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model further enhanced these figures to 100%, 13.0%, and 0.230, respectively. Performance was broadly consistent across CNN models using different lead configurations, particularly when including leads viewing the lateral walls. While the precision of CNN models in detecting HCM or dHCM in real-world settings is initially low, it improves by targeting specific patient groups and integrating disease subtype models. The use of ECGs with fewer leads, especially those involving the lateral walls, appears comparably effective.


Assuntos
Cardiomiopatia Hipertrófica , Eletrocardiografia , Redes Neurais de Computação , Humanos , Cardiomiopatia Hipertrófica/diagnóstico , Cardiomiopatia Hipertrófica/fisiopatologia , Cardiomiopatia Hipertrófica/complicações , Eletrocardiografia/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Adulto , Idoso
4.
Circ Rep ; 6(3): 46-54, 2024 Mar 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38464990

RESUMO

Background: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) using the sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). However, the diagnostic performance of the CNN model based on different ECG leads remains unclear. Methods and Results: In this retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study, we identified 616 AF cases and 3,412 SR cases for the modeling dataset among new patients (n=19,170). The modeling dataset included SR-ECGs obtained within 31 days from AF-ECGs in AF cases and SR cases with follow-up ≥1,095 days. We evaluated the CNN model's performance for AF detection using 8-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead ECGs through 5-fold cross-validation. The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.872 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.856-0.888) and an odds ratio of 15.24 (95% CI: 12.42-18.72) for AF detection using the eight-lead ECG. Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the double-lead ECG using leads I and V1 yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.856-0.886) with an odds ratio of 14.34 (95% CI: 11.64-17.67). Conclusions: We assessed the performance of a CNN model for detecting AF using eight-lead, single-lead, and double-lead SR-ECGs. The model's performance with a double-lead (I, V1) ECG was comparable to that of the 8-lead ECG, suggesting its potential as an alternative for AF screening using SR-ECG.

7.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 46: 101211, 2023 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37152425

RESUMO

Background: This study sought to develop an artificial intelligence-derived model to detect the dilated phase of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (dHCM) on digital electrocardiography (ECG) and to evaluate the performance of the model applied to multiple-lead or single-lead ECG. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis using a single-center prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, n = 19,170). After excluding those without a normal P wave on index ECG (n = 1,831) and adding dHCM patients registered before 2009 (n = 39), 17,378 digital ECGs were used. Totally 54 dHCM patients were identified of which 11 diagnosed at baseline, 4 developed during the time course, and 39 registered before 2009. The performance of the convolutional neural network (CNN) model for detecting dHCM was evaluated using eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs with the five-fold cross validation method. Results: The area under the curve (AUC) of the CNN model to detect dHCM (n = 54) with eight-lead ECG was 0.929 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.025) and the odds ratio was 38.64 (SD 9.10). Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the AUC was highest with the single lead of V5 (0.953 [SD: 0.038]), with an odds ratio of 58.89 (SD:68.56). Conclusion: Compared with the performance of eight-lead ECG, the most similar performance was achieved with the model with a single V5 lead, suggesting that this single-lead ECG can be an alternative to eight-lead ECG for the screening of dHCM.

8.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 44: 101172, 2023 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36654885

RESUMO

Background: There is increasing evidence that 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECG) can be used to predict biological age, which is associated with cardiovascular events. However, the utility of artificial intelligence (AI)-predicted age using ECGs remains unclear. Methods: Using a single-center database, we developed an AI-enabled ECG using 17 042 sinus rhythm ECGs (SR-ECG) to predict chronological age (CA) with a convolutional neural network that yields AI-predicted age. Using the 5-fold cross validation method, AI-predicted age deriving from the test dataset was yielded for all ECGs. The incidence by AgeDiff and the areas under the curve by receiver operating characteristic curve with AI-predicted age for cardiovascular events were analyzed. Results: During the mean follow-up period of 460.1 days, there were 543 cardiovascular events. The annualized incidence of cardiovascular events was 2.24 %, 2.44 %, and 3.01 %/year for patients with AgeDiff < -6, -6 to ≤6, and >6 years, respectively. The areas under the curve for cardiovascular events with CA and AI-predicted age, respectively, were 0.673 and 0.679 (Delong's test, P = 0.388) for all patients; 0.642 and 0.700 (P = 0.003) for younger patients (CA < 60 years); and 0.584 and 0.570 (P = 0.268) for older patients (CA ≥ 60 years). Conclusions: AI-predicted age using 12-lead ECGs showed superiority in predicting cardiovascular events compared with CA in younger patients, but not in older patients.

9.
Heart Vessels ; 38(2): 236-246, 2023 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35904578

RESUMO

High alkaline phosphatase (ALP) levels are reported to be associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Given the pathological link with CKD, a similar relationship may exist in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We retrospectively evaluated 1,719 patients with AF and normal hepatic function who were registered in the Shinken Database between November 2011 and March 2017. Study patients were divided into three groups according to ALP value tertiles with cut-offs of 175 and 227 IU/L (normal range: 95-350 IU/L). Each group's incidence rate was recorded, and the risks of cardiovascular events and each component for patients in the middle and high ALP tertiles were compared with those in the low tertile and evaluated using Cox regression models. The additional predictive value of the high ALP tertile over the existing risk scores for the components of cardiovascular events was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. During the median follow-up of 731 days (IQR: 444-1095 days), 137 cardiovascular events occurred, with incidence rates of 2.94%, 3.44%, and 6.19%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively. Of these cardiovascular events, heart failure had the highest incidence rates (1.34%, 1.89%, and 4.29%/person-year for the low, middle, and high ALP tertiles, respectively) and the incidence rates of the other components of cardiovascular event were similar in each ALP groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis yielded hazard ratios of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.70-1.96) and 1.62 (95% CI 1.06-2.48) for cardiovascular events and 1.66 (95% CI 0.87-3.15) and 2.50 (95% CI 1.39-4.48) for heart failure admission in the middle and high ALP tertiles, respectively. By ROC curve analysis for heart failure admission showed that the high ALP tertile lacked significant additive predictive value over the existing risk scores. High serum ALP levels, even those in the normal range, were significantly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events, especially heart failure admission in patients with AF.


Assuntos
Fosfatase Alcalina , Fibrilação Atrial , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Fosfatase Alcalina/sangue , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
11.
J Cardiol Cases ; 25(6): 354-358, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35685267

RESUMO

Acute eosinophilic pneumonia is a rare but severe side effect of daptomycin, which has been recommended as empirical antimicrobial drug therapy for blood culture-negative prosthetic valve endocarditis. Here, we present a case of an 82-year-old man who developed fever, cough, and shortness of breath after 23-day treatment with daptomycin for prosthetic valve endocarditis. Bilateral ground-glass opacities were observed on computed tomography with peripheral eosinophilia of 640/µL (7%). Cessation of daptomycin and commencement of corticosteroid therapy improved his symptoms. This case highlights the importance of prompt diagnosis of acute eosinophilic pneumonia in endocarditis patients treated with daptomycin. .

12.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 38: 100954, 2022 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35059494

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to increase the knowledge on how to enhance the performance of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiography (ECG) to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) on sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). METHODS: It is a retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database). We developed AI-enabled ECG using SR-ECG to predict AF with a convolutional neural network (CNN). Among new patients in our hospital (n = 19,170), 276 AF label (having ECG on AF [AF-ECG] in the ECG database) and 1896 SR label with following three conditions were identified in the derivation dataset: (1) without structural heart disease, (2) in AF label, SR-ECG was taken within 31 days from AF-ECG, and (3) in SR label, follow-up ≥ 1,095 days. Three patterns of AF label were analyzed by timing of SR-ECG to AF-ECG (before/after/before-or-after, CNN algorithm 1 to 3). The outcome measurement was area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and F1 score. As an extra-testing dataset, the performance of AI-enabled ECG was tested in patients with structural heart disease. RESULTS: The AUC of AI-enabled ECG with CNN algorithm 1, 2, and 3 in the derivation dataset was 0.83, 0.88, and 0.86, respectively; when tested in patients with structural heart disease, 0.75, 0.81, and 0.78, respectively. CONCLUSION: We confirmed high performance of AI-enabled ECG to detect AF on SR-ECG in patients without structural heart disease. The performance enhanced especially when SR-ECG after index AF-ECG was included in the algorithm, which was consistent in patients with structural heart disease.

13.
Heart Vessels ; 37(6): 903-910, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34807279

RESUMO

Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) has been used to evaluate inflammatory response and nutritional status. This study aimed to investigate the impact of nutritional status on cardiac prognosis by using GPS in patients after undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We included 862 patients who underwent PCI for stable angina pectoris between 2015 and 2018. We used the original cutoff values, which were an albumin (Alb) level of 3.5 g/dl and a C-reactive protein (CRP) level of 0.3 mg/dl. We categorized them into the three groups: originally defined GPS (od-GPS) 0 (high Alb and low CRP), 1 (low Alb or high CRP), and 2 (low Alb and high CRP). Major adverse clinical events (MACEs) included all-cause death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, revascularization, and hospitalization for heart failure. The median follow-up period was 398.5 days. During the follow-up, MACEs occurred in 136 patients. Od-GPS 2 had higher prevalence rates in terms of chronic kidney disease (CKD; 31.7% [229/722] vs. 44.9% [53/118] vs. 63.6% [14/22], p < 0.001), hemodialysis (6.4% [46/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 31.8% [7/22], p < 0.001), and heart failure cases (HF; 9.1% [66/722] vs. 14.4% [17/118] vs. 27.3% [6/22], p = 0.007), with higher creatinine (1.17 ± 1.37 mg/dl vs. 1.89 ± 2.60 mg/dl vs. 3.49 ± 4.01 mg/dl, p < 0.001) and brain natriuretic peptide levels (104.1 ± 304.6 pg/ml vs. 242.4 ± 565.9 pg/ml vs. 668.1 ± 872.2 pg/ml, p < 0.001) and lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (101.5 ± 32.9 mg/dl vs. 98.2 ± 28.8 mg/dl vs. 77.1 ± 24.3 mg/dl, p = 0.002) than od-GPS 0 and 1.Od-GPS 2 (HR 2.42; 95% CI 1.16-5.02; p = 0.018), od-GPS 1 (HR 2.09; 95% CI 1.40-3.13; p < 0.001), diabetes (HR 1.41; 95% CI 1.00-1.99; p = 0.048), CKD (HR 2.10; 95% CI 1.49-2.96; p < 0.001), and HF (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.05-2.56; p = 0.029) were independent predictors of MACEs. A scoring system using CRP and Alb levels with a milder definition than GPS suitably predicted the risk of MACEs in the patients who underwent PCI.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Insuficiência Cardíaca/etiologia , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea/efeitos adversos , Prognóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
14.
Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc ; 37: 100883, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34632044

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) have highly diverse risk levels for mortality, heart failure (HF), thromboembolism (TE), and major bleeding (MB), thus an integrated risk-pattern algorithm is warranted. METHODS: We analyzed 573 AF patients aged ≥ 75 years from our single-center cohort (Shinken Database 2010-2018). The 3-year risk scores (risk probability) for mortality (M-score), HF (HF-score), TE (TE-score), and MB (MB-score) were estimated for each patient by logistic regression analysis. Using the four risk scores, cluster analysis was performed with Ward's linkage hierarchical algorithm. RESULTS: Three clusters were identified: Clusters 1 (n = 429, 74%), 2 (n = 24, 5%), and 3 (n = 120, 21%). The clusters were characterized as standard risk (Cluster 1), high TE- and MB-risk (Cluster 2), and high M- and HF-risk (Cluster 3). Oral anticoagulants were prescribed for over 80% of the patients in each cluster. Catheter ablation for AF was performed only in Cluster 1 (8.9%). Compared with Cluster 1, Cluster 2 was more closely associated with males, asymptomatic AF, history of cerebral infarction or transient ischemic attack, history of intracranial hemorrhage, high HAS-BLED score (≥3), and low body mass index (<18.0 kg/m2). Cluster 3 was more closely associated with old age, heart failure, and low estimated creatinine clearance (<30 mL/min). CONCLUSION: The cluster analysis identified those at a high risk for all-cause death and HF or a high risk for TE and MB and could support decision making in older adults with AF.

15.
Geriatr Gerontol Int ; 21(11): 985-995, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34549500

RESUMO

AIM: Although polypharmacy has been associated with poor clinical outcomes, whether taking an increased number of medications is harmful or beneficial for older adult patients treated for cardiovascular diseases might require further discussion. METHODS: We analyzed data of 2089 patients aged ≥75 years in a single hospital-based cohort. The study population was divided into three groups according to the tertiles of the number of medications at baseline: <3 (n = 647), 3-7 (n = 707) and ≥8 (n = 735). RESULTS: The cumulative incidences of all-cause death at 3 years among patients taking less than three, three to seven and eight or more medications were 3.7%, 4.1% and 7.8%, respectively (log-rank test P = 0.015). In a Cox regression analysis, taking eight or more total medications (vs 0-2) was independently associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.67, 95% CI 1.01-2.78). For predicting mortality using the number of medications, the maximum Youden Index was 7. In subgroups with certain heart diseases, no regular tendency of an increase in the risk of all-cause death was observed with an increase in the number of medications. CONCLUSIONS: The number of medications taken was independently associated with mortality among older adult patients, with a relatively high cut-off point. This association was not observed in patients with certain heart diseases, possibly indicating the merit - rather than the harm - of medical treatment in the cardiovascular field. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 985-995.


Assuntos
Cardiologia , Polimedicação , Idoso , Hospitais , Humanos , Incidência , Medição de Risco
16.
Int Heart J ; 62(5): 997-1004, 2021 Sep 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34544976

RESUMO

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has been an established and frequently utilized approach in a variety of clinical settings. Nevertheless, real-world data about the clinical course of AF patients after initial catheter ablation remain limited, and these are mainly derived from particular registries or selected high-volume centers.In this study, we used health check-ups and insurance claims database from a Japanese insurance organization. The study population was comprised of 1777 patients who underwent catheter ablation for AF before June 2016. During the 3-year follow-up period, 396 (22.3%) patients underwent at least one repeated AF ablation, while 74 (4.2%) underwent two or more repeated ablations. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, longer time after AF diagnosis (7-11 months and ≥12 months versus 1-6 months) (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08 and HR, 1.04; 95% CI 1.02-1.07) was independently associated with repeated ablation. The discontinuation rates of OACs and AADs after the first ablation were 26.7% and 63.0% at 3 months and 75.2% and 89.1% at 1 year after the initial ablation, respectively. The former was independently associated with shorter time after AF diagnosis and lower diastolic blood pressure, whereas the latter was independently associated with older age, smaller CHADS2 score, and shorter time after AF diagnosis.We presented real-world data regarding the clinical course of young Japanese AF patients after initial catheter ablation based on a claims database in Japan.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/cirurgia , Ablação por Cateter/métodos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Antiarrítmicos/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Ablação por Cateter/estatística & dados numéricos , Comorbidade , Inibidores do Fator Xa/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Análise de Regressão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
17.
BMC Geriatr ; 21(1): 460, 2021 08 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34380426

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is a well-established relationship between 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and age and mortality. Furthermore, there is increasing evidence that ECG can be used to predict biological age. However, the utility of biological age from ECG for predicting mortality remains unclear. METHODS: This was a single-center cohort study from a cardiology specialized hospital. A total of 19,170 patients registered in this study from February 2010 to March 2018. ECG was analyzed in a final 12,837 patients after excluding those with structural heart disease or with pacing beats, atrial or ventricular tachyarrhythmia, or an indeterminate axis (R axis > 180°) on index ECG. The models for biological age were developed by principal component analysis (BA) and the Klemera and Doubal's method (not adjusted for age [BAE] and adjusted for age [BAEC]) using 438 ECG parameters. The predictive capability for all-cause death and cardiovascular death by chronological age (CA) and biological age using the three algorithms were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up period of 320.4 days, there were 55 all-cause deaths and 23 cardiovascular deaths. The predictive capabilities for all-cause death by BA, BAE, and BAEC using area under the curves were 0.731, 0.657, and 0.685, respectively, which were comparable to 0.725 for CA (p = 0.760, 0.141, and 0.308, respectively). The predictive capabilities for cardiovascular death by BA, BAE, and BAEC were 0.682, 0.685, and 0.692, respectively, which were also comparable to 0.674 for CA (p = 0.775, 0.839, and 0.706, respectively). In patients aged 60-74 years old, the area under the curves for all-cause death by BA, BAE, and BAEC were 0.619, 0.702, and 0.697, respectively, which tended to be or were significantly higher than 0.482 for CA (p = 0.064, 0.006, and 0.005, respectively). CONCLUSION: Biological age by 12-lead ECG showed a similar predictive capability for mortality compared to CA among total patients, but partially showed a significant increase in predictive capability among patients aged 60-74 years old.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Cardiopatias , Algoritmos , Estudos de Coortes , Eletrocardiografia , Humanos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico
18.
Geriatr Gerontol Int ; 21(9): 802-809, 2021 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34268840

RESUMO

AIM: Polypharmacy is known to be a risk factor for falls or bone fracture (F/F) in elderly patients. However, this relationship is not fully described in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), for which F/F may lead to serious clinical outcomes, including major bleeding. METHODS: We analyzed 509 elderly (aged ≥75 years) patients with NVAF who had recently visited a hospital specializing in cardiology, of which 272 patients had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) and 237 had persistent/permanent atrial fibrillation (PeAF). Patients were divided into four groups according to the number of medications: ≤3, 4-6, 7-9, and ≥10. The relationship between the number of medications and incidence rate of F/F in AF patients was analyzed. In addition, this relationship was analyzed in patients with each AF type. RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of F/F at 3 years in the respective categories was 3.7%, 5.4%, 4.3% and 5.7% for PAF, and 5.2%, 7.5%, 7.8% and 25.0% for PeAF (log-rank test, P = 0.930 and 0.003, respectively). In a multivariable model, patients with ≥10 medications showed a significantly higher risk for F/F compared with those with ≤3 medications as reference only in PeAF (adjusted hazard ratio 4.82, 95%CI 1.42-16.33), without significant interaction (P = 0.081). CONCLUSIONS: Elderly NVAF patients using ≥10 medications showed a higher risk for F/F. In subgroup analysis, this association was observed only in patients with PeAF, although there was no significant interaction between number of medications and AF type. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 802-809.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Fraturas Ósseas , Acidentes por Quedas , Idoso , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência
19.
Heart Vessels ; 36(12): 1861-1869, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34089085

RESUMO

The incidence of ischemic stroke (IS) increases in patients with enlarged left atrium (LA) irrespective of whether or not the existence of atrial fibrillation (AF). In such situation, it is unclear whether the impact of LA on incidence of IS still significant in young, non-AF patients with enlarged LA who are primarily unconcerned on anticoagulation therapy. The study population consisted of 18,511 consecutive patients not receiving oral anticoagulants and undergoing echocardiography with measurement of LAD at baseline. The incidence rate of ischemic stroke was calculated in 3 groups according to left atrial dimension (LAD; < 30, 30-45 and ≥ 45 mm) in AF and non-AF patients. Further subgroup analysis was performed in stratification by elderly and young (aged ≥ 65 and < 65 years, respectively). The incidences of IS (per 100 patient-years) were 0.11 and 0.71 in non-AF and AF patients with LAD < 30 mm, respectively, which increased to 0.58 and 1.35 in LAD ≥ 45 mm (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs]; 1.95 [95% confidence intervals, CIs: 0.76-5.01] and 1.22 [95% CIs: 0.27-5.58], interaction P was 0.246). In non-AF patients, the incidences of IS were 0.30 and 0.04 in elderly and young patients with LAD < 30 mm, which increased to 0.67 and 0.48 in LAD ≥ 45 mm (adjusted HRs; 1.34 [95% CIs: 0.43-4.15] and 4.21 [95% CIs: 0.77-23.12], interaction P was 0.158). The incidence of IS significantly increased with increase of LAD in non-AF, especially in non-AF and young patients, although the difference was not independent of other clinical factors. The impact of LAD on IS was numerically larger in non-AF than in AF, and larger in young and non-AF than in elderly counterpart, although a significant interaction was not observed in this small population. Further studies with large population are necessary to judge whether these population with enlarged LA need antithrombotic therapy.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Isquemia Encefálica , AVC Isquêmico , Idoso , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Isquemia Encefálica/diagnóstico , Isquemia Encefálica/epidemiologia , Isquemia Encefálica/etiologia , Átrios do Coração/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco
20.
J Cardiol ; 78(2): 150-156, 2021 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33663881

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are widely used for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We investigated the adherence of DOACs for years known to be associated with the effectiveness in Japanese NVAF patients, using a claim database. METHOD: We performed a retrospective evaluation of NVAF patients in a claims database in Japan, who initiated dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban between April 2011 and June 2016. Drug persistence was assessed by Kaplan-Meier method for the initially-prescribed DOAC and all DOACs including switched ones. Proportion of days covered (PDC) was also evaluated in patients with persistent prescription and compared among DOACs. RESULTS: In the total of 671 patients, rivaroxaban (47%) was more prescribed than dabigatran (28%) and apixaban (25%). Drug persistence at 3 years was higher in rivaroxaban (69%) than dabigatran (57%) and apixaban (67%). Including switching to other DOACs, persistence of DOACs was 72% at 3 years without significant differences between index-DOACs. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, absence of hypertension, and prior history of cancer were significantly associated with the drug discontinuation of all DOACs. The mean PDC was ~ 95% and the frequency of high-adherent patients (PDC ≥0.80) was more than 90%, which similarly persisted at 3 years and showed no significant differences between index DOACs. CONCLUSION: In a real-world Japanese claim data analysis, about 70% of patients under DOAC showed persistence with anticoagulation therapy at 3 years. High adherence to DOACs assessed by PDC (over 90%) persisted to 3 years regardless of the types of DOACs.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Administração Oral , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêutico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle
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