Establishment of normative biometric data for body composition based on computed tomography in a North American cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Accurate and reproducible biomarkers are required to allow a more personalized approach to patient care. Body composition is one such biomarker affecting outcomes in a range of surgical and oncological conditions. The aim of this study is to determine the age and sex specific distribution of body composition data, based on information gathered from computed tomography (CT). METHODS: This prospective study used healthy subjects from the medical records linkage of the Rochester Epidemiology Project, based in Minnesota, USA. Each patient had a CT scan without intravenous contrast performed between 1999 and 2001. Quantification was performed using previously validated semi-automated in-house developed software for body composition analysis. Subcutaneous adipose tissue area, visceral adipose tissue area, intermuscular adipose tissue area and skeletal muscle area were measured and indexed to subject height. Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape were used to assess the location, scale, and shape of each variable across age, stratified by sex. Z-scores specific to sex were assessed for each of the parameters analyzed. Age-specific z-scores were calculated using the formula: Z = (Index Variable - µ)/σ or Z = (√ (Index Variable) - µ)/σ. RESULTS: There were 692 subjects enrolled in the study. The fitted model equation was offered for each variable with values presented for µ and σ. Modelling with penalized splines was performed for VAT index, IMAT index and total adipose tissue index. Scatterplots of each variable were produced with lines of Z-scores as a visual representation. CONCLUSION: This study offers comparative data to allow comparison amongst multiple populations. This will form an important reference for future research and clinical practice.

Hip load capacity and yield load in men and women of all ages.

Quantitative computed tomography (QCT) based finite element (FE) models can compute subject-specific proximal femoral strengths, or fracture loads, that are associated with hip fracture risk. These fracture loads are more strongly associated with measured fracture loads than are DXA and QCT measures and are predictive of hip fracture independently of DXA bone mineral density (BMD). However, interpreting FE-computed fracture loads of younger subjects for the purpose of evaluating hip fracture risk in old age is challenging due to limited reference data. The goal of this study was to address this issue by providing reference data for male and female adult subjects of all ages. QCT-based FE models of the left proximal femur of 216 women and 181 men, age 27 to 90 years, from a cohort of Rochester, MN residents were used to compute proximal femoral load capacities, i.e. the maximum loads that can be supported, in single-limb stance and posterolateral fall loading (Stance_LC and Fall_LC, respectively) [US Patent No. 9,245,069] and yield load under fall loading (Fall_yield). To relate these measures to information about hip fracture, the CT scanner and calibration phantom were cross-calibrated with those from our previous prospective study of hip fracture in older fracture and control subjects, the Age Gene/Environment Susceptibility (AGES) Reykjavik cohort. We then plotted Stance_LC, Fall_LC and Fall_yield versus age for the two cohorts on the same graphs. Thus, proximal femoral strengths in individuals above 70 years of age can be assessed through direct comparison with the FE data from the AGES cohort which were analyzed using identical methods. To evaluate younger individuals, reductions in Stance_LC, Fall_LC and Fall_yield from the time of evaluation to age 70 years can be cautiously estimated from the average yearly cross-sectional decreases found in this study (108 N, 19.4 N and 14.4 N, respectively, in men and 120 N, 19.4 N and 21.6 N, respectively, in women), and the projected fracture loads can be compared with data from the AGES cohort. Although we did not set specific thresholds for identifying individuals at risk of hip fracture, these data provide some guidance and may be used to help establish diagnostic criteria in future. Additionally, given that these data were nearly entirely from Caucasian subjects, future research involving subjects of other races/ethnicities is necessary.

Quantifying Rome symptoms for diagnosis of the irritable bowel syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is a common functional gastrointestinal disorder, diagnosed on symptom-based criteria. Many have reported discrepancies between formal Rome criteria and diagnoses made in clinical practice. The aim of the study was to explore whether a quantitative version of the Rome criteria would better represent a clinical diagnosis of IBS than the current dichotomous criteria for symptom measure. METHODS: As part of a large, case-control study, participants completed a validated bowel disease questionnaire. Rome criteria were analyzed based on 15 individual symptoms. Penalized logistic regression model with stepwise selection was used to identify significant symptoms of IBS which were independently associated with case-control status. KEY RESULTS: In cases with a clinical diagnosis of IBS, 347 (70%) met Rome criteria for IBS. Increasing number of Rome symptoms were found related to the odds of being diagnosed with IBS. Nearly half of the Rome-negative case group experienced infrequent symptoms suggesting milder disease. Five of 15 Rome symptoms were associated with predicting case-control status in the final model, with 96% correctly classified among Rome-positive cases, 76% for Rome-negative cases, and 91% for controls. CONCLUSIONS AND INFERENCES: Irritable bowel syndrome appears to be a spectrum disorder. Quantifying individual symptoms of Rome criteria has greater utility than the current application in representing the degree of IBS affectedness and appears to better reflect a clinical diagnosis of IBS applied by physicians. The use of a quantitative diagnostic Rome "score" may be helpful in clinical practice and research studies to better reflect the degree an individual is affected with IBS.

A comprehensive assessment of environmental exposures among 1000 North American patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis, with and without inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND: The relationships between primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and the environment are largely unknown. AIM: To validate associations reported in previous studies and to identify novel environmental exposures among PSC patients. METHODS: We performed a multicenter, case-control analysis utilising self-administered questionnaires. Responses between cases (n = 1000) and controls (n = 663) were compared using multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age and gender. The model was further stratified based on inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) status (with IBD n = 741 without IBD n = 259). RESULTS: Smoking was associated with PSC only when IBD was present (OR, 0.5; 95% CI 0.4-0.7) but not among those PSC patients without IBD (OR, 0.9; 95% CI 0.7-1.2). Compared to controls, women with PSC (irrespective of the presence of IBD) were less likely to have received hormone replacement therapy (HRT; OR, 0.5; 95% CI 0.4-0.7) and were more likely to have recurrent urinary tract infections (OR, 1.6; 95% CI 1.2-2.3). PSC patients regardless of gender or IBD status were less likely to eat fish (OR, 0.4; 95% CI 0.3-0.6) and grilled/barbecued meat (OR, 0.8; 95% CI 0.7-0.9). In contrast, PSC patients with and without IBD were more likely to consume steak/burgers that were more well done (OR, 1.3; 95% CI 1.2-1.5). CONCLUSIONS: IBD (rather than PSC) is associated with smoking. Women with PSC are more likely to have recurrent urinary tract infections and less likely to receive HRT. Dietary intake and methods of food preparation differ in PSC patients when compared to controls.

Fracture risk following bariatric surgery: a population-based study.

UNLABELLED: The effects of bariatric surgery on skeletal health are poorly understood. We found that bariatric surgery patients are more prone to fracture when compared to the general population. While further studies of fracture risk in this population are needed, bone health should be discussed in bariatric surgery clinics. INTRODUCTION: Bariatric surgery is an increasingly common treatment for medically complicated obesity. Adverse skeletal changes after bariatric surgery have been reported, but their clinical importance remains unknown. We hypothesized that bariatric surgery patients are at increased risk of fracture. METHODS: We conducted a historical cohort study of fracture incidence among 258 Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents who underwent a first bariatric surgery in 1985-2004. Relative fracture risk was expressed as standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), while potential risk factors were evaluated by hazard ratios (HR) obtained from a time-to-fracture regression model. RESULTS: The mean (±SD) body mass index at bariatric surgery was 49.0 ± 8.4 kg/m(2), with an average age of 44 ± 10 years and 82% (212) females. Gastric bypass surgery was performed in 94% of cases. Median follow-up was 7.7 years (range, 6 days to 25 years), during which 79 subjects experienced 132 fractures. Relative risk for any fracture was increased 2.3-fold (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.8-2.8) and was elevated for a first fracture at the hip, spine, wrist, or humerus (SIR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9), as well as for a first fracture at any other site (SIR, 2.5; 95% CI, 2.0-3.2). Better preoperative activity status was associated with a lower age-adjusted risk (HR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.8) while prior fracture history was not associated with postoperative fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: Bariatric surgery, which is accompanied by substantial biochemical, hormonal, and mechanical changes, is associated with an increased risk of fracture.

Isolation and characterization of human osteoblasts from needle biopsies without in vitro culture.

SUMMARY: We isolate and characterize osteoblasts from humans without in vitro culture. These techniques should be broadly applicable to studying the pathogenesis of osteoporosis and other bone disorders. INTRODUCTION: There is currently no data regarding the expression of specific genes or pathways in human osteoblasts that have not been subjected to extensive in vitro culture. Thus, we developed methods to rapidly isolate progressively enriched osteoblast populations from humans and characterized these cells. METHODS: Needle bone biopsies of the posterior iliac crest were subjected to sequential collagenase digests. The cells from the second digest were stained with an alkaline phosphatase (AP) antibody, and the AP+ cells were isolated using magnetic cell sorting. RESULTS: Relative to AP- cells, the AP+ cells contained virtually all of the mineralizing cells and were enriched for key osteoblast marker genes. The AP+ cells were further purified by depletion of cells expressing CD45, CD34, or CD31 (AP+/CD45/34/31- cells), which represented a highly enriched human osteoblast population devoid of hematopoietic/endothelial cells. These cells expressed osteoblast marker genes but very low to undetectable levels of SOST. We next used high-throughput RNA sequencing to compare the transcriptome of the AP+/CD45/34/31- cells to human fibroblasts and identified genes and pathways expressed only in human osteoblasts in vivo, but not in fibroblasts, including 448 genes unique to human osteoblasts. CONCLUSIONS: We provide a detailed characterization of highly enriched human osteoblast populations without in vitro culture. These techniques should be broadly applicable to studying the pathogenesis of osteoporosis and other bone disorders.

A comparison of DXA and CT based methods for estimating the strength of the femoral neck in post-menopausal women.

UNLABELLED: The study goal was to compare simple two-dimensional (2D) analyses of bone strength using dual energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) data to more sophisticated three-dimensional (3D) finite element analyses using quantitative computed tomography (QCT) data. DXA- and QCT-derived femoral neck geometry, simple strength indices, and strength estimates were well correlated. INTRODUCTION: Simple 2D analyses of bone strength can be done with DXA data and applied to large data sets. We compared 2D analyses to 3D finite element analyses (FEA) based on QCT data. METHODS: Two hundred thirteen women participating in the Study of Women's Health Across the Nation (SWAN) received hip DXA and QCT scans. DXA BMD and femoral neck diameter and axis length were used to estimate geometry for composite bending (BSI) and compressive strength (CSI) indices. These and comparable indices computed by Hip Structure Analysis (HSA) on the same DXA data were compared to indices using QCT geometry. Simple 2D engineering simulations of a fall impacting on the greater trochanter were generated using HSA and QCT femoral neck geometry; these estimates were benchmarked to a 3D FEA of fall impact. RESULTS: DXA-derived CSI and BSI computed from BMD and by HSA correlated well with each other (R=0.92 and 0.70) and with QCT-derived indices (R=0.83-0.85 and 0.65-0.72). The 2D strength estimate using HSA geometry correlated well with that from QCT (R=0.76) and with the 3D FEA estimate (R=0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Femoral neck geometry computed by HSA from DXA data corresponds well enough to that from QCT for an analysis of load stress in the larger SWAN data set. Geometry derived from BMD data performed nearly as well. Proximal femur breaking strength estimated from 2D DXA data is not as well correlated with that derived by a 3D FEA using QCT data.

Long-term mortality following fractures at different skeletal sites: a population-based cohort study.

UNLABELLED: Adjusting for age, sex, and precipitating cause, the relative risk of death was increased following fractures at most skeletal sites. INTRODUCTION: This study aims to determine long-term survival following fractures due to any cause at each skeletal site. METHODS: In a historical cohort study, 2,901 Olmsted County, MN, USA, residents ≥35 years old who experienced any fracture in 1989-1991 were followed passively for up to 22 years for death from any cause. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) compared observed to expected deaths. RESULTS: During 38,818 person-years of follow-up, 1,420 deaths were observed when 1,191 were expected (SMR, 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.3). The overall SMR was greatest soon after fracture, especially among the men, but remained elevated for over a decade thereafter. Adjusting for age and sex, relative death rates were greater for pathological fractures and less for severe trauma fractures compared to the fractures due to no more than moderate trauma. In the latter group, long-term mortality was increased following fractures at many skeletal sites. After further adjustment for precipitating cause, overall SMRs were elevated not only following fractures at the traditional major osteoporotic sites (i.e., distal forearm, proximal humerus, thoracic/lumbar vertebrae, and proximal femur) combined (SMR, 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.3) but also following all other fracture types combined (SMR 1.2; 95 % CI, 1.1-1.4), excluding the hand and foot fractures not associated with any increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The persistence of increased mortality long after the occurrence of a fracture has generally been attributed to underlying comorbidity, but this needs to be defined in much greater detail if specific opportunities are to be identified for reducing the excess deaths observed.

Sclerostin levels during growth in children.

UNLABELLED: Serum sclerostin levels are associated with cortical porosity, suggesting that changes in sclerostin production during growth may play a role in defining cortical structure. INTRODUCTION: Sclerostin, produced by osteocytes, is a potent inhibitor of Wnt signaling and bone formation. While sclerostin levels increase with age in adults and are higher in men compared to women, there is currently no information on changes in circulating sclerostin levels during growth in humans. METHODS: We measured serum sclerostin levels in 6- to 21-year-old girls (n = 62) and boys (n = 56) and related these to trabecular and cortical bone microarchitectural parameters using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography and to markers of bone turnover. RESULTS: Serum sclerostin levels were higher in boys as compared to girls and declined in both sexes following the onset of puberty. There was no consistent relationship between sclerostin levels and trabecular bone parameters in either sex. However, serum sclerostin levels were inversely associated with cortical volumetric bone mineral density and cortical thickness in girls and positively associated with the cortical porosity index in both girls and boys. Bone turnover markers were positively correlated with serum sclerostin levels in both sexes. CONCLUSION: The gender difference in serum sclerostin levels appears to be established during puberty, and sclerostin levels tend to decline in late puberty in both girls and boys. Serum sclerostin levels are associated with cortical porosity, suggesting that changes in sclerostin production during growth may play a role in defining cortical structure.

Trends in subtrochanteric, diaphyseal, and distal femur fractures, 1984-2007.

UNLABELLED: The incidence of non-hip femur fractures increased between 1984 and 2007, with an increase in the rates for women after 1996. INTRODUCTION: Recent reports have suggested that non-hip femur fractures may be decreasing over time, similar to proximal femur fractures. METHODS: Incidence rates for non-hip femur fractures among Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents were assessed before and after 1995 when the oral bisphosphonate, alendronate, was approved in the USA. RESULTS: From 1984 to 2007, 727 non-hip femur fractures were observed in 690 Olmsted County residents (51% female [median age, 71.6 years] and 49% male [21.4 years]). Altogether, 20% of the fractures were subtrochanteric, 51% were diaphyseal, and 29% involved the distal femur. Causes included severe trauma in 51%, minimal to moderate trauma in 34%, and pathologic causes in 15%. The overall age- and sex-adjusted annual incidence of first non-hip femur fracture was 26.7 per 100,000 (25.0 per 100,000 for women and 26.6 per 100,000 for men). Incidence rates increased with age and were greater in women than men. Between 1984-1995 and 1996-2007, age-adjusted rates increased significantly for women (20.4 vs. 28.7 per 100,000; p = 0.002) but not for men (22.4 vs. 29.5 per 100,000; p = 0.202). CONCLUSION: The incidence of first non-hip femur fractures rose between 1984 and 2007, with an increase in the rates for women after 1995.

Relationship of femoral neck areal bone mineral density to volumetric bone mineral density, bone size, and femoral strength in men and women.

UNLABELLED: Using combined dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and quantitative computed tomography, we demonstrate that men matched with women for femoral neck (FN) areal bone mineral density (aBMD) have lower volumetric BMD (vBMD), higher bone cross-sectional area, and relatively similar values for finite element (FE)-derived bone strength. INTRODUCTION: aBMD by DXA is widely used to identify patients at risk for osteoporotic fractures. aBMD is influenced by bone size (i.e., matched for vBMD, larger bones have higher aBMD), and increasing evidence indicates that absolute aBMD predicts a similar risk of fracture in men and women. Thus, we sought to define the relationships between FN aBMD (assessed by DXA) and vBMD, bone size, and FE-derived femoral strength obtained from quantitative computed tomography scans in men versus women. METHODS: We studied men and women aged 40 to 90 years and not on osteoporosis medications. RESULTS: In 114 men and 114 women matched for FN aBMD, FN total cross-sectional area was 38% higher (P < 0.0001) and vBMD was 16% lower (P < 0.0001) in the men. FE models constructed in a subset of 28 women and 28 men matched for FN aBMD showed relatively similar values for bone strength and the load-to-strength ratio in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of young and old men and women from Rochester, MN, USA who are matched by FN aBMD, because of the offsetting effects of bone size and vBMD, femoral strength and the load-to-strength ratio tended to be relatively similar across the sexes.

Mortality in the vertebroplasty population.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Vertebroplasty is an effective treatment for painful compression fractures refractory to conservative management. Because there are limited data regarding the survival characteristics of this patient population, we compared the survival of a treated with an untreated vertebral fracture cohort to determine whether vertebroplasty affects mortality rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The survival of a treated cohort, comprising 524 vertebroplasty recipients with refractory osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures, was compared with a separate historical cohort of 589 subjects with fractures not treated by vertebroplasty who were identified from the Rochester Epidemiology Project. Mortality was compared between cohorts by using Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for age, sex, and Charlson indices of comorbidity. Mortality was also correlated with pre-, peri-, and postprocedural clinical metrics (eg, cement volume use, RDQ score, analog pain scales, frequency of narcotic use, and improvement in mobility) within the treated cohort. RESULTS: Vertebroplasty recipients demonstrated 77% of the survival expected for individuals of similar age, ethnicity, and sex within the US population. Compared with individuals with both symptomatic and asymptomatic untreated vertebral fractures, vertebroplasty recipients retained a 17% greater mortality risk. However, compared with symptomatic untreated vertebral fractures, vertebroplasty recipients had no increased mortality following adjustment for differences in age, sex, and comorbidity (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.82-1.25). In addition, no clinical metrics used to assess the efficacy of vertebroplasty were predictive of survival. CONCLUSIONS: Vertebroplasty recipients have mortality rates similar to those of individuals with untreated symptomatic fractures but have worse mortality compared with those with asymptomatic vertebral fractures.

Genetic analysis of aquaporin-4 in neuromyelitis optica.

OBJECTIVE: Autoantibodies to aquaporin-4 (AQP4) are specific and pathogenic for neuromyelitis optica (NMO). Therefore, we evaluated whether AQP4 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are associated with susceptibility to NMO or whether mutations that potentially alter AQP4 structure or expression are present in some patients. METHODS: We genotyped 8 AQP4 SNPs chosen based on their minor allele frequency, location, and novelty in 177 NMO sporadic cases, 14 NMO familial cases, and 1,363 matched controls by TaqMan-based assay. We performed bidirectional sequencing of the promoter (1 kb), exons 0-4, and flanking splice consensus sequences, and the 5' and 3' untranslated regions of 177 sporadic and 14 familial NMO cases. RESULTS: One of 8 SNPs (minor allele frequency = 0.01) was associated with NMO (NC 18.8; chrom pos. 22695167: T>A): odds ratio (95% confidence interval) = 13.1 (1.4-126.7); p = 0.026. In 3 patients with NMO (2 related), we detected 2 different missense allelic mutations at Arg19 (R19I and R19T). None of the 1,363 control subjects had Arg19 mutations (p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Except for one uncommon SNP, no tested SNP was associated with NMO, nor were 3 SNP haplotypes, providing no support for the hypothesis that genetic variation in AQP4 accounts for overall susceptibility to NMO. Two different allelic Arg19 missense mutations are specific to NMO and segregated with the disease in one pedigree. Although the pathobiology underlying this is not yet established, their effects on the structure of the M1 isoform N terminus or the regulatory sequence of the M23 isoform by virtue of their location support a role of AQP4 orthogonal array formation on molecular susceptibility to NMO.

Determinants of forearm strength in postmenopausal women.

UNLABELLED: Bone strength at the ultradistal radius, quantified by micro-finite element modeling, can be predicted by variables obtained from high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography scans. The specific formula for this bone strength surrogate (-555.2 + 8.1 × [trabecular vBMD] + 19.6 × [cortical area] + 4.2 × [total cross-sectional area]) should be validated and tested in fracture risk assessment. INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to identify key determinants of ultradistal radius (UDR) strength and evaluate their relationships with age, sex steroid levels, and measures of habitual skeletal loading. METHODS: UDR failure load (~strength) was assessed by micro-finite element (µFE) modeling in 105 postmenopausal controls from an earlier forearm fracture case-control study. Predictors of bone strength obtained by high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) in this group were then evaluated in a population-based cohort of 214 postmenopausal women. Sex steroids were measured by mass spectrometry. RESULTS: A surrogate variable (-555.2 + 8.1 × [trabecular vBMD] + 19.6 × [cortical area] + 4.2 × [total cross-sectional area]) predicted UDR strength modeled by µFE (R(2) = 0.81), and all parameters except total cross-sectional area declined with age. Evaluated cross-sectionally, the 21% fall in predicted bone strength between ages 40-49 years and 80+ years more resembled the change in trabecular volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) (-15%) than that in cortical area (-41%). In multivariable analyses, measures of body composition and physical activity were stronger predictors of UDR trabecular vBMD, cortical area, total cross-sectional area, and predicted bone strength than were sex steroid levels, but bio-available estradiol and testosterone were correlated with body mass. CONCLUSIONS: Bone strength at the UDR, as quantified by µFE, can be predicted from variables obtained by HRpQCT. Predicted bone strength declines with age with changes in UDR trabecular vBMD and cortical area, related in turn to reduced skeletal loading and sex steroid levels. The predicted bone strength formula should be validated and tested in fracture risk assessment.

Assessing forearm fracture risk in postmenopausal women.

UNLABELLED: A diverse array of bone density, structure, and strength parameters were significantly associated with distal forearm fractures in postmenopausal women, but most of them were also correlated with femoral neck areal bone mineral density (aBMD), which provides an adequate measure of bone fragility at the wrist for routine clinical purposes. INTRODUCTION: This study seeks to test the clinical utility of approaches for assessing forearm fracture risk. METHODS: Among 100 postmenopausal women with a distal forearm fracture (cases) and 105 with no osteoporotic fracture (controls), we measured aBMD and assessed radius volumetric bone mineral density, geometry, and microstructure; ultradistal radius failure load was evaluated in microfinite element (microFE) models. RESULTS: Fracture cases had inferior bone density, geometry, microstructure, and strength. The most significant determinant of fracture in five categories were bone density (femoral neck aBMD; odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation (SD), 2.0; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.4-2.8), geometry (cortical thickness; OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.1), microstructure (structure model index (SMI); OR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.4-0.7), and strength (microFE failure load; OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.5); the factor-of-risk (applied load in a forward fall / microFE failure load) was 15% worse in cases (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.4-2.6). Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) ranged from 0.62 to 0.68. The predictors of forearm fracture risk that entered a multivariable model were femoral neck aBMD and SMI (combined AUC, 0.71). CONCLUSIONS: Detailed bone structure and strength measurements provide insight into forearm fracture pathogenesis, but femoral neck aBMD performs adequately for routine clinical risk assessment.

Secular trends in hip fracture incidence and recurrence.

UNLABELLED: The decline in hip fracture incidence is now accompanied by a further reduction in the likelihood of a recurrent hip fracture among survivors of the first fracture. INTRODUCTION: Hip fracture incidence is declining in North America, but trends in hip fracture recurrence have not been described. METHODS: All hip fracture events among Olmsted County, Minnesota residents in 1980-2006 were identified. Secular trends were assessed using Poisson regression, and predictors of recurrence were evaluated with Andersen-Gill time-to-fracture regression models. RESULTS: Altogether, 2,752 hip fractures (median age, 83 years; 76% female) were observed, including 311 recurrences. Between 1980 and 2006, the incidence of a first-ever hip fracture declined by 1.37%/year for women (p < 0.001) and 0.06%/year for men (p = 0.917). Among 2,434 residents with a first-ever hip fracture, the cumulative incidence of a second hip fracture after 10 years was 11% in women and 6% in men with death treated as a competing risk. Age and calendar year of fracture were independently associated with hip fracture recurrence. Accounting for the reduction in first-ever hip fracture rates over time, hip fracture recurrence appeared to decline after 1997. CONCLUSION: A recent reduction in hip fracture recurrence is somewhat greater than expected from the declining incidence of hip fractures generally. Additional research is needed to determine the extent to which this can be attributed to improved patient management.

Comparison of sex steroid measurements in men by immunoassay versus mass spectroscopy and relationships with cortical and trabecular volumetric bone mineral density.

UNLABELLED: In men, measurement of serum testosterone and estradiol levels with immunoassays correlated with mass spectroscopic measurements, and correlations of sex steroids with volumetric bone mineral density were similar. INTRODUCTION: While immunoassays have been used extensively for measurement of serum testosterone (T) and estradiol (E(2)) levels, there is concern about their specificity, particularly at low E(2) levels as present in men. METHODS: We compared T and E(2) measured by mass spectroscopy to levels measured by immunoassay in men (n = 313, age 22 to 91 years) and related these to volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) at various skeletal sites. RESULTS: Serum T and non-SHBG bound (or bioavailable) T levels by immunoassay correlated well with the corresponding mass spectroscopy measurements (R = 0.90 and 0.95, respectively, P < 0.001); the correlations for serum E(2) measured using the two techniques were less robust (R = 0.63 for total E(2) and 0.84 for bioavailable E(2), P < 0.001). Overall relationships between serum bioavailable T and E(2) levels with vBMD at various skeletal sites were similar for the immunoassay and mass spectroscopic measures. CONCLUSIONS: Although E(2) levels with immunoassay correlate less well with the mass spectroscopic measurements than do the T measurements in men, our findings indicate that the fundamental relationships observed previously between vBMD and the sex steroids by immunoassay are also present with the mass spectroscopic measurements.

Men transmit MS more often to their children vs women: the Carter effect.

OBJECTIVE: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is approximately twice as common among women as men. If men have greater physiologic resistance to MS, they might theoretically require stronger genetic predisposition than women to overcome this resistance. In this circumstance, men would be expected to transmit the disease more often to their children, a phenomenon known as the Carter effect. The authors evaluated whether the Carter effect is present in MS. METHODS: The authors studied 441 children (45 with definite MS) of an affected father or mother (197 families of interest) from 3598 individuals in 206 multiplex pedigrees. The authors compared transmission of MS from affected men with transmission from affected women. RESULTS: Fathers with MS transmitted the disease to their children more often (transmitted: 18, not transmitted: 99) than mothers with MS (transmitted: 27, not transmitted: 296) (p = 0.032; OR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.05, 3.77). Adjusting for both the sex of the affected child and multiple transmissions from a single affected parent, the sex of the affected parent remained as an independent risk factor for transmission of MS to children, fathers transmitting more often than mothers (p = 0.036; OR: 2.21, 95% CI: 1.05, 4.63). CONCLUSIONS: The authors have demonstrated the Carter effect in multiple sclerosis (MS). These observations may be explained by greater genetic loading in men that leads to relative excess paternal vs maternal transmission. Linkage analysis in genetic studies of MS may be more informative if patrilineal transmission were given additional weighting.

Influence of baseline deformity definition on subsequent vertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women.

INTRODUCTION: Approaches for recognizing vertebral fractures remain controversial. METHODS: An age-stratified population sample of 512 postmenopausal women was followed with serial radiographs for up to 12 years (4455 person-years). RESULTS: 112 women experienced a new vertebral fracture (20% reduction in any vertebral height from baseline) within this study period, for an annual age-adjusted (to US white women > or =50 years of age in 2000) incidence of 23 per 1000. Depending on the morphometric definition used, the prevalence of vertebral deformities at baseline ranged from 3 to 90%. A recent method to standardize vertebral heights produced the best agreement with a qualitative clinical reading of the films [kappa (kappa), 0.53]. Almost all of the different baseline definitions predicted future vertebral fractures, but most of the predictive power was attributable to the severe (e.g., 4 SD) deformities included within more generous (e.g., 3 SD) classifications. Whereas the generous definitions were more sensitive, and the restrictive ones more specific, their overall abilities to predict a new vertebral fracture were roughly comparable as evaluated by the c-index (analogous to the area under an ROC curve). CONCLUSION: This result suggests that the choice of a morphometry definition depends on the particular application and, in particular, on whether it is more important to maximize sensitivity or specificity.