RESUMO
This study analyzes factors influencing public support for hosting the Summer Olympics in the Rhine-Ruhr (RR) region in 2036 or 2040. Analyzing data from 14 municipalities, a multilevel model is used to account for individual and contextual factors. Despite a high overall endorsement rate of 67%, the study shows that consumer capital, pride, perception of sustainability, and historical significance significantly influence voting behavior. Surprisingly, structural factors at the municipal level do not show a significant influence. This research provides valuable insights for policymakers and organizers considering future Olympic bids in the RR region. The results emphasize the importance of effective communication to gain public support. This communication should highlight the environmental and economic sustainability of the host community, historical significance, and intangible benefits such as pride.
RESUMO
Using a reinforcement-learning algorithm, we model an agent-based simulation of a public goods game with endogenous punishment institutions. We propose an outcome-based model of social preferences that determines the agent's utility, contribution, and voting behavior during the learning procedure. Comparing our simulation to experimental evidence, we find that the model can replicate human behavior and we can explain the underlying motives of this behavior. We argue that our approach can be generalized to more complex simulations of human behavior.
