Advancing Evidence Generation for Circulating Tumor DNA: Lessons Learned from A Multi-Assay Study of Baseline Circulating Tumor DNA Levels across Cancer Types and Stages.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) holds promise as a biomarker for predicting clinical responses to therapy in solid tumors, and multiple ctDNA assays are in development. However, the heterogeneity in ctDNA levels prior to treatment (baseline) across different cancer types and stages and across ctDNA assays has not been widely studied. Friends of Cancer Research formed a collaboration across multiple commercial ctDNA assay developers to assess baseline ctDNA levels across five cancer types in early- and late-stage disease. This retrospective study included eight commercial ctDNA assay developers providing summary-level de-identified data for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), bladder, breast, prostate, and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma following a common analysis protocol. Baseline ctDNA levels across late-stage cancer types were similarly detected, highlighting the potential use of ctDNA as a biomarker in these cancer types. Variability was observed in ctDNA levels across assays in early-stage NSCLC, indicative of the contribution of assay analytical performance and methodology on variability. We identified key data elements, including assay characteristics and clinicopathological metadata, that need to be standardized for future meta-analyses across multiple assays. This work facilitates evidence generation opportunities to support the use of ctDNA as a biomarker for clinical response.

BRCA1/2 mutation carriers vs the general breast cancer population (N = 799,986): 21-gene assay-based molecular characterization.

PURPOSE: We compared 21-gene recurrence score (RS) distribution and expression of the single-gene/gene groups within this assay between BC patients with pathogenic variants (PV) in BRCA1/2 vs the general 21-gene-tested BC population. METHODS: This retrospective study included consecutive 21-gene-tested female ER + HER2-negative BC patients with germline PVs in BRCA1/2. RS/gene expression data were compared to a previously described commercial use database (CDB, N = 799,986). Chi-square and 1-sample t test were used to compare RS distribution and single-gene/gene group scores between the study group and the CDB. RESULTS: Study group patients (N = 81) were younger and their RS results were higher compared to the CDB (age: median [IQR], 56 [47-61.5] vs 60 [51-67] years; p < 0.001; proportion of patients with RS ≥ 26: 49.4% vs 16.4%, p < 0.001). Expression of 12/16 cancer genes in the assay and the ER, proliferation, and invasion gene group scores differed significantly between the study group and the CDB, all in a direction contributing to higher RS. The differences between the study group and the CDB were mostly retained, upon stratifying the patients by menopausal status. CONCLUSION: BC patients with PVs in BRCA1/2 have higher RS results that stem from distinct gene expression profiles in the majority of genes in the 21-gene assay.

Gene Expression and Benefit of Chemotherapy in Women With Node-Negative, Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: The 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay quantifies the likelihood of distant recurrence in women with estrogen receptor-positive, lymph node-negative breast cancer treated with adjuvant tamoxifen. The relationship between the RS and chemotherapy benefit is not known. METHODS: The RS was measured in tumors from the tamoxifen-treated and tamoxifen plus chemotherapy-treated patients in the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) B20 trial. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to test for interaction between chemotherapy treatment and the RS. RESULTS: A total of 651 patients were assessable (227 randomly assigned to tamoxifen and 424 randomly assigned to tamoxifen plus chemotherapy). The test for interaction between chemotherapy treatment and RS was statistically significant (P = .038). Patients with high-RS (≥ 31) tumors (ie, high risk of recurrence) had a large benefit from chemotherapy (relative risk, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.53; absolute decrease in 10-year distant recurrence rate: mean, 27.6%; SE, 8.0%). Patients with low-RS (< 18) tumors derived minimal, if any, benefit from chemotherapy treatment (relative risk, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.46 to 3.78; absolute decrease in distant recurrence rate at 10 years: mean, -1.1%; SE, 2.2%). Patients with intermediate-RS tumors did not appear to have a large benefit, but the uncertainty in the estimate can not exclude a clinically important benefit. CONCLUSION: The RS assay not only quantifies the likelihood of breast cancer recurrence in women with node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer, but also predicts the magnitude of chemotherapy benefit.

Ultrasensitive Circulating Tumor DNA Pilot Study Distinguishes Complete Response and Partial Response With Immunotherapy in Patients With Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has been validated across multiple indications in the adjuvant and surveillance settings. We evaluated whether targeted digital sequencing (TARDIS) may distinguish a partial response (PR) from a complete response (CR) among patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) receiving immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eligible patients had mRCC that yielded a PR or CR to ICI therapy. Peripheral blood was obtained at a single time point for ctDNA analysis. TARDIS was used for quantification of average variant allele fractions (VAFs). Our primary objective was to determine the association between VAFs and depth of response (PR v CR). A secondary objective was to determine whether VAFs were associated with disease progression. RESULTS: Twelve patients were analyzed, nine of whom achieved a PR (75%). Patients received either nivolumab monotherapy (50%) or nivolumab plus ipilimumab (50%). ctDNA analysis incorporated an average of 30 patient-specific mutations (range, 19-35); average coverage depth was 103,342 reads per target. TARDIS quantified a significant difference in VAFs between PR and CR (median, 0.181% [IQR, 0.077%-0.420%] v 0.007% [IQR, 0.0%-0.028%], respectively [P = .014]). Of the 12 patients in the series, six patients demonstrated radiographic progression subsequent to ctDNA assessment. Patients who progressed on subsequent scans had significantly higher ctDNA than those who maintained their response (median, 0.362% [IQR, 0.181%-2.71%] v 0.033% [IQR, 0.007%-0.077%], respectively [P = .026]). CONCLUSION: In this pilot study, TARDIS accurately differentiated PR from CR among patients with mRCC receiving immunotherapy, and also prospectively identified patients at risk for subsequent progression. Given these findings, we envision subsequent studies that validate these results and investigate the utility of this assay to discern appropriate candidates for discontinuation of immunotherapy.

Population-based estimate for the correlation of the Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® result and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx in HR+, HER2-, node-positive early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The United States Food and Drug Administration recently approved a Ki-67 immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay to identify patients with early breast cancer at high disease recurrence risk. The Oncotype Dx Breast Recurrence Score® assay has been validated in hormone receptor-positive (HR+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2-) invasive breast cancer (IBC) to predict chemotherapy benefit and distant recurrence risk, regardless of nodal status. This study assessed the correlation between Recurrence Score® (RS) results and the Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 pharmDx assay. METHODS: HR+, HER2-, N1 IBC samples with RS results were examined by Ki-67 IHC; 311 specimens were collected, including 275 without regard to RS ("unselected RS") and 36 more with RS 26-100; 12 were lymph node negative upon pathology report review, and one had no Ki-67 score, leaving 262 unselected RS and 298 total samples. Spearman rank correlation was calculated using the unselected samples and a weighted rank correlation using all samples. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predicting high RS (26-100) from Ki-67 was constructed. RESULTS: The Spearman rank correlation between Ki-67 and RS results was moderately positive (unselected RS samples: 0.396; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.288-0.493; all samples: 0.394; 95% CI 0.294-0.486). While 71% of samples with RS 26-100 had Ki-67 ≥ 20%, 75% with RS 0-25 had Ki-67 < 20%. ROC area under the curve was 0.792 (95% CI 0.725-0.859). CONCLUSIONS: The moderately positive correlation is consistent with previous analyses suggesting the Oncotype Dx® assay and Ki-67 IHC MIB-1 assay should not be used interchangeably in clinical practice.

The 21-Gene Recurrence Score in Clinically High-Risk Lobular and Ductal Breast Cancer: A National Cancer Database Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether patients with invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) are more likely to have discordant clinical and genomic risk than those with invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) when using the 21-gene recurrence score (RS), and to assess overall survival outcomes of patients with 1-3 positive nodes and RS ≤25 with and without chemotherapy, stratified by histology. METHODS: We performed a cohort study using the National Cancer Database and included patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, stage I-III invasive breast cancer who underwent 21-gene RS testing. Our primary outcome was rate of discordant clinical and genomic risk status by histologic subtype. Propensity score matching was used to compare 60-month overall survival in individuals with 1-3 positive nodes and RS ≤25 who did and did not receive chemotherapy. RESULTS: Overall, 186,867 patients were included in our analysis, including 37,685 (20.2%) patients with ILC. There was a significantly higher rate of discordant clinical and genomic risk in patients with ILC compared with IDC. Among patients with 1-3 positive nodes and RS ≤25, there was no significant difference in survival between those who did and did not receive chemotherapy in the IDC or ILC cohorts. Unadjusted exploratory analyses of patients under age 50 years with 1-3 positive nodes and RS ≤25 showed improved overall survival in IDC patients who received chemotherapy, but not among those with ILC. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight the importance of lobular-specific tools for stratifying clinical and genomic risk, as well as the need for histologic subtype-specific analyses in randomized trials.

Endocrine Therapy Response and 21-Gene Expression Assay for Therapy Guidance in HR+/HER2- Early Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: To our knowledge, WSG-ADAPT-HR+/HER2- (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01779206; n = 5,625 registered) is the first trial combining the 21-gene expression assay (recurrence score [RS]) and response to 3-week preoperative endocrine therapy (ET) to guide systemic therapy in early breast cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Baseline and postendocrine Ki67 (Ki67post) were evaluated centrally. In the endocrine trial, all patients received exclusively ET: patients with pathologic regional lymph node status (pN) 0-1 (ie, 0-3 involved lymph nodes) entered control arm if RS ≤ 11 and experimental arm if RS12-25 with ET response (Ki67post ≤ 10%). All other patients (including N0-1 RS12-25 without ET response) received dose-dense chemotherapy (CT) followed by ET in the CT trial. Primary end point of the endocrine trial was noninferiority of 5-year invasive disease-free survival (5y-iDFS) in experimental (v control) arm; secondary end points included distant DFS, overall survival, and translational research. RESULTS: Intention-to-treat population comprised 2,290 patients (n = 1,422 experimental v n = 868 control): 26.3% versus 34.6% premenopausal and 27.4% versus 24.0% pN1. One-sided 95% lower confidence limit of the 5y-iDFS difference was -3.3%, establishing prespecified noninferiority (P = .05). 5y-iDFS was 92.6% (95% CI, 90.8 to 94.0) in experimental versus 93.9% (95% CI, 91.8 to 95.4) in control arm; 5-year distant DFS was 95.6% versus 96.3%, and 5-year overall survival 97.3% versus 98.0%, respectively. Differences were similar in age and nodal subgroups. In N0-1 RS12-25, outcome of ET responders (ET alone) was comparable with that of ET nonresponders (CT) for age > 50 years and superior for age ≤ 50 years. ET response was more likely with aromatase inhibitors (mostly postmenopausal) than with tamoxifen (mostly premenopausal): 78.1% versus 41.1% (P < .001). ET response was 78.8% in RS0-11, 62.2% in RS12-25, and 32.7% in RS > 25 (n = 4,203, P < .001). CONCLUSION: WSG-ADAPT-HR+/HER2- demonstrates that guiding systemic treatment by both RS and ET response is feasible in clinical routine and spares CT in pre- and postmenopausal patients with ≤ 3 involved lymph nodes.

Patient-specific meta-analysis of 12-gene colon cancer recurrence score validation studies for recurrence risk assessment after surgery with or without 5FU and oxaliplatin.

Background: Individualized estimates of the risk of recurrence in colon cancer patients are needed that reflect current medical practice and available treatment options. Methods: Three validation studies of the 12-gene colon recurrence score assay were used with pre-specified patient-specific meta-analysis (PSMA) methods to integrate the 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score result (RS) with the clinical and pathology risk factors stage, T-stage, mis-match repair (MMR) status, and number of nodes examined to calculate individualized recurrence risk estimates. Baseline risk estimation used the most recent studies, so the risk estimates reflect current medical practice. The effect of fluorouracil (5FU) was estimated with a meta-analysis of two studies. The effect of oxaliplatin was estimated using one of the RS assay validation studies, in which patients were randomized to 5FU with or without oxaliplatin. Results: The RS result and each of the clinical-pathologic factors provided independent prognostic information for recurrence. Among stage II, T3, MMR-proficient patients with ≥12 nodes examined (the most common scenario), patients with RS ≤30 (approximately 48%) have estimated 5-year recurrence risk ≤10% with surgery alone. Among stage IIIA/B, T3, MMR-deficient patients with ≥12 nodes examined, patients with RS ≤19 (approximately 14%) have an estimated 5-year recurrence risk ≤10% with surgery alone. Among stage IIIA/B, T3, MMR-proficient patients with ≥12 nodes examined, those with RS ≤14 (approximately 6%) have estimated 5-year recurrence risk ≤10% with 5FU alone. Discussion: The PSMA integrates the 12-gene colon RS result with clinical and pathology factors to provide individualized recurrence risk estimates that reflect current medical practice. The risk estimates are in a range that may help inform treatment decisions for a substantial number of stage II and stage III patients.

Validating the association of adverse pathology with distant metastasis and prostate cancer mortality 20-years after radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: To assess the association of adverse pathology (AP), defined as high-grade (≥ Gleason Grade Group 3) and/or non-organ confined disease, with long-term oncologic outcomes after radical prostatectomy (RP). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using a stratified cohort sampling design, we evaluated the association of AP with the risk of distant metastasis (DM) and prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) up to 20 years after RP in 428 patients treated between 1987 to 2004. Cox regression of cause-specific hazards was used to estimate the absolute risk of both endpoints, with death from other causes treated as a competing risk. Additionally, subgroup analysis in patients with low and/or intermediate-risk disease, who are potentially eligible for active surveillance (AS), was performed. RESULTS: Within the cohort sample, 53% of men exhibited AP at time of RP, with median follow up of 15.5 years (IQR 14.6-16.6 years) thereafter. Adverse pathology was highly associated with DM and PCSM in the overall cohort (HR 12.30, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.30-28.55, and HR 10.03, 95% CI 3.42-29.47, respectively, both P < 0.001). Adverse pathology was also highly associated with DM and PCSM in the low/intermediate-risk subgroup (HR 10.48, 95% CI 4.18-26.28, and 8.60, 95% CI 2.40-30.48, respectively, both P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Adverse pathology at the time of RP is highly associated with future development of DM and PCSM. Accurate prediction of AP may thus be useful for individualizing risk-based surveillance and treatment strategies.

A Comparison of Predicted Ipsilateral Tumor Recurrence Risks in Patients With Ductal Carcinoma in Situ of the Breast After Breast-Conserving Surgery by Breast Radiation Oncologists, the Van Nuys Prognostic Index, the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center DCIS Nomogram, and the 12-Gene DCIS Score Assay.

PURPOSE: To compare ipsilateral breast event (IBE) risks in patients with ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast (DCIS) post-lumpectomy, as estimated by breast radiation oncologists, the Van Nuys Prognostic Index, the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) DCIS nomogram, and the 12-gene Oncotype DX DCIS score assay. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Consecutive DCIS cases treated with lumpectomy from November 2011 to August 2014 with available DCIS score results were identified. Three radiation oncologists independently estimated the 10-year IBE risk. The Van Nuys Prognostic Index and MSKCC nomogram 10-year IBE risk estimates were generated. Differences and correlations between the IBE estimates and clinicopathologic factors were evaluated. RESULTS: Ninety-one patients were identified for inclusion. Forty-eight percent would have been ineligible for the E5194 study. The mean risk of IBE from the DCIS score assay was 12.4%, compared with a range of 18.9% to 26.8% from other sources. The mean IBE risk from the DCIS score assay was lower regardless of E5194 eligibility. The MSKCC nomogram and DCIS score assay risk estimates were weakly correlated with each other (P = .23) and were each moderately correlated with the other risk estimates (P = .41-.56). When applying the radiation oncologists' treatment recommendations based on their proposed risk cutoffs, evaluating risk according to the DCIS score assay led to the highest proportion of patients recommended excision alone. CONCLUSIONS: IBE risk estimates for this general community cohort of DCIS cases vary significantly among commonly available clinical predictive tools and individual radiation oncologist estimates. Surgical margins and tumor size continue to factor prominently in radiation oncologist decision algorithms. The differences found between the IBE risk estimate methods suggests that they are not interchangeable and the methods that rely on clinicopathologic features may tend to overestimate risk.

Molecular Drivers of Oncotype DX, Prosigna, EndoPredict, and the Breast Cancer Index: A TransATAC Study.

PURPOSE: The Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS), Prosigna Prediction Analysis of Microarray 50 (PAM50) Risk of Recurrence (ROR), EndoPredict (EP), and Breast Cancer Index (BCI) are used clinically for estimating risk of distant recurrence for patients receiving endocrine therapy. Discordances in estimates occur between them. We aimed to identify the molecular features that drive the tests and lead to these differences. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Analyses for RS, ROR, EP, and BCI were conducted by the manufacturers in the TransATAC sample collection that consisted of the tamoxifen or anastrozole arms of the ATAC trial. Estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative cases without chemotherapy treatment were included in which all four tests were available (n = 785). Clinicopathologic features included in some tests were excluded from the comparisons. Estrogen, proliferation, invasion, and HER2 module scores from RS were used to characterize the respective molecular features. Spearman correlation and analysis of variance tests were applied. RESULTS: There were moderate to strong correlations among the four molecular scores (ρ = 0.63-0.74) except for RS versus ROR (ρ = 0.32) and RS versus BCI (ρ = 0.35). RS had strong negative correlation with its estrogen module (ρ = -0.79) and moderate positive correlation with its proliferation module (ρ = 0.36). RS's proliferation module explained 72.5% of ROR's variance, while the estrogen module explained only 0.6%. Most of EP's and BCI's variation was accounted for by the proliferation module (50.0% and 54.3%, respectively) and much less by the estrogen module (20.2% and 2.7%, respectively). CONCLUSION: In contrast to common understanding, RSs are determined more strongly by estrogen-related features and only weakly by proliferation markers. However, the EP, BCI, and particularly ROR scores are determined largely by proliferative features. These relationships help to explain the differences in the prognostic performance of the tests.

The run-in phase of the prospective WSG-ADAPT HR+/HER2- trial demonstrates the feasibility of a study design combining static and dynamic biomarker assessments for individualized therapy in early breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Endocrine sensitivity, as determined by response of the proliferation marker Ki-67 to short-term preoperative endocrine therapy (ET), is currently not included in adjuvant treatment decisions in hormone receptor (HR)+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)- breast cancer (BC). METHODS: The prospective WSG-ADAPT HR+/HER2- trial included patients with N0/N1 early BC who were candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy based on clinical-pathological criteria alone. The trial utilized a genomic assessment [the Recurrence Score (RS)] plus endocrine sensitivity testing to guide treatment. All patients received 3 (±1) weeks of preoperative induction ET. According to protocol, patients with RS 0-11 or RS 12-25 plus endocrine proliferation response (EPR, post-induction Ki-67 ⩽ 10%) were to be spared adjuvant chemotherapy. RESULTS: The ADAPT HR+/HER2- trial run-in phase included 407 patients with baseline RS, of whom 386 (median age: 54 years) had complete data for Ki-67 at both baseline and post-induction. RS distribution: 23.1% RS 0-11, 58.3% RS 12-25, and 18.7% RS 26-100. EPR occurred in 84.3%, 76.0%, and 36.1% of these RS groups, respectively. Differences in EPR proportions (RS 26-100 versus others, RS 0-11 versus others) were significant (both p < 0.001); Ki-67 quotients were higher for RS 26-100 (p = 0.02, Mann-Whitney). In premenopausal women (n = 146, mostly tamoxifen-treated), median quotient of Ki-67 level (post/pre) was significantly higher than in postmenopausal women (n = 222, mostly aromatase-inhibitor treated; 0.67 versus 0.25, p < 0.001). EPR was significantly associated with baseline estrogen-receptor status as determined by immunohistochemistry (p = 0.002) or real-time polymerase chain reaction (p < 0.001). Also, a strong correlation was observed between RS measured pre- and post-ET (RS = 0.7, n = 181). CONCLUSIONS: This phase of the WSG-ADAPT HR+/HER2- trial confirms trial design estimates of RS and EPR. It indicates that the ADAPT concept of combining static and dynamic biomarker assessment for individualized therapy decisions in early BC is feasible using the EPR criterion post-induction Ki-67 ⩽ 10%. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: NCT01779206.

Differential impact of prognostic parameters in hormone receptor-positive lobular breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Invasive lobular breast cancer (BC) is the second most common BC subtype. Prognostic parameters (tumor classification, lymph node status, histologic grade, Oncotype DX recurrence score [RS], progesterone receptor status, and Ki67 index) were retrospectively studied in a large, prospective clinical trial encompassing 2585 patients who had hormone receptor-positive early BC (the West German Study Group PlanB trial). METHODS: BCs were centrally reviewed and classified as lobular (n = 353; 14%) or nonlobular (n = 2232; 86%). The median follow-up was 60 months. Five-year disease-free survival (DFS) estimates were obtained using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic parameters were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Lobular BC was associated with higher tumor classification, higher lymph node status, lower histologic grade, lower Ki67 index, and low or intermediate RS. The prevalence of high RS (RS range, 26-100) was 3-fold lower in patients who had lobular BC compared with those who had nonlobular BC (8% vs 24%; P < .001). However, 5-year DFS estimates for lobular and nonlobular BC were similar (92.1% and 92.3%, respectively; P = .673). In multivariate analyses, prognostic parameters for DFS in lobular BC included grade 3 (hazard ratio, 5.06; 95% CI, 1.91-13.39) and a pathologic lymph node status (pN) of pN3 (hazard ratio, 12.16; 95% CI, 3.87-38.24), but not RS. By contrast, prognostic parameters in nonlobular BC included grade 3 (hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.11-2.44), pN3 (hazard ratio, 3.68; 95% CI, 1.60-8.46), and high RS (hazard ratio, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.69-3.68). CONCLUSIONS: Lobular BC is associated with low and intermediate RS, although 5-year DFS is similar to that of nonlobular BC. The effect of the RS in lobular BC appears to be distinct from that in nonlobular BC. For risk assessment, the RS needs to be complemented by clinicopathologic parameters for therapy decision making.

Molecular characterization of breast cancer needle core biopsy specimens by the 21-gene Breast Recurrence Score test.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Recent COVID-19 pandemic guidelines recommend genomic assessment of core biopsies to help guide treatment decisions in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive early-stage breast cancer. Herein we characterize biopsy and excisional breast cancer specimens submitted for 21-gene testing. METHODS: US samples submitted to Genomic Health for 21-gene testing (01/2004-04/2020) were assessed by pathologists and analyzed by a standardized quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Predefined cutoffs were: ESR1 (positive ≥6.5), PGR (positive ≥5.5), and ERBB2 (negative <10.7). ER status by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and lymph node status were determined locally. Median and interquartile range were reported for continuous variables, and total and percent for categorical variables. Distributions were assessed overall, by age, and by nodal involvement. RESULTS: Of 919 701 samples analyzed, 13% were biopsies and 87% were excisions. Initial assay success rates were 94.5% (biopsies) and 97.3% (excisions). ER IHC concordance with central ESR1 was 96.8% (biopsies) and 97.6% (excisions). Biopsy and excisional medians were: Recurrence Score results 16 (each); ESR1 10.2 (each); PGR 7.7 and 7.6; ERBB2 9.4 and 9.2, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Biopsy submissions for 21-gene testing are common and consistently generate results that are very similar to the experience with excisions. The 21-gene test can be performed reliably on core biopsies.

Association Between 21-Gene Assay Recurrence Score and Locoregional Recurrence Rates in Patients With Node-Positive Breast Cancer.

Importance: The 21-gene assay recurrence score is increasingly used to personalize treatment recommendations for systemic therapy in postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)- or progesterone receptor (PR)-positive, node-positive breast cancer; however, the relevance of the 21-gene assay to radiotherapy decisions remains uncertain. Objective: To examine the association between recurrence score and locoregional recurrence (LRR) in a postmenopausal patient population treated with adjuvant chemotherapy followed by tamoxifen or tamoxifen alone. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was a retrospective analysis of the Southwest Oncology Group S8814, a phase 3 randomized clinical trial of postmenopausal women with ER/PR-positive, node-positive breast cancer treated with tamoxifen alone, chemotherapy followed by tamoxifen, or concurrent tamoxifen and chemotherapy. Patients at North American clinical centers were enrolled from June 1989 to July 1995. Medical records from patients with recurrence score information were reviewed for LRR and radiotherapy use. Primary analysis included 316 patients and excluded 37 who received both mastectomy and radiotherapy, 9 who received breast-conserving surgery without documented radiotherapy, and 5 with unknown surgical type. All analyses were performed from January 22, 2016, to August 9, 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: The LRR was defined as a recurrence in the breast; chest wall; or axillary, infraclavicular, supraclavicular, or internal mammary lymph nodes. Time to LRR was tested with log-rank tests and Cox proportional hazards regression for multivariate models. Results: The final cohort of this study comprised 316 women with a mean (range) age of 60.4 (44-81) years. Median (interquartile range) follow-up for those without LRR was 8.7 (7.0-10.2) years. Seven LRR events (5.8%) among 121 patients with low recurrence score and 27 LRR events (13.8%) among 195 patients with intermediate or high recurrence score occurred. The estimated 10-year cumulative incidence rates were 9.7% for those with a low recurrence score and 16.5% for the group with intermediate or high recurrence score (P = .02). Among patients who had a mastectomy without radiotherapy (n = 252), the differences in the 10-year actuarial LRR rates remained significant: 7.7 % for the low recurrence score group vs 16.8% for the intermediate or high recurrence score group (P = .03). A multivariable model controlling for randomized treatment, number of positive nodes, and surgical type showed that a higher recurrence score was prognostic for LRR (hazard ratio [HR], 2.36; 95% CI, 1.02-5.45; P = .04). In a subset analysis of patients with a mastectomy and 1 to 3 involved nodes who did not receive radiation therapy, the group with a low recurrence score had a 1.5% rate of LRR, whereas the group with an intermediate or high recurrence score had a 11.1% LRR (P = .051). Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that higher recurrence scores were associated with increased LRR after adjustment for treatment, type of surgical procedure, and number of positive nodes. This finding suggests that the recurrence score may be used, along with accepted clinical variables, to assess the risk of LRR during radiotherapy decision-making.

Genomic comparison of paired primary breast carcinomas and lymph node macrometastases using the Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® test.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant therapy decisions may in part be based on results of Oncotype DX Breast Recurrence Score® (RS) testing of primary tumors. When necessary, lymph node metastases may be considered as a surrogate. Here we evaluate the concordance in gene expression between primary breast cancers and synchronous lymph node metastases, based on results from quantitative RT-PCR-based RS testing between matched primary tumors and synchronous nodal metastases. METHODS: This retrospective, exploratory study included patients (≥ 18 years old) treated at our center (2005-2009) who had ER+ , HER2-negative invasive breast cancer and synchronous nodal metastases with available tumor blocks from both sites. Paired tissue blocks underwent RS testing, and RS and single-gene results for ER, PR, and HER2 were explored between paired samples. RESULTS: A wide distribution of RS results in tumors and in synchronous nodal metastases were modestly correlated between 84 paired samples analyzed (Pearson correlation 0.69 [95% CI 0.55-0.78]). Overall concordance in RS group classification between samples was 63%. ER, PR, and HER2 by RT-PCR between the primary tumor and lymph node were also modestly correlated (Pearson correlation [95% CI] 0.64 [0.50-0.75], 0.64 [0.49-0.75], and 0.51 [0.33-0.65], respectively). Categorical concordance (positive or negative) was 100% for ER, 77% for PR, and 100% for HER2. CONCLUSIONS: There is modest correlation in continuous gene expression, as measured by the RS and single-gene results for ER, PR, and HER2 between paired primary tumors and synchronous nodal metastases. RS testing for ER+ breast cancer should continue to be based on analysis of primary tumors.

Accurate Estrogen Receptor Quantification in Patients with Negative and Low-Positive Estrogen-Receptor-Expressing Breast Tumors: Sub-Analyses of Data from Two Clinical Studies.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate assessment of estrogen receptor (ER) expression is crucial to ensure that patients with early breast cancer are accurately identified for appropriate treatment with endocrine therapy. Reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), compared with immunohistochemistry (IHC), may provide a more precise indication of ER status. Data were pooled and analyzed from two independent, but similarly designed, studies that examined ER status by IHC and the 21-gene Recurrence Score that employs RT-PCR-based methodology. METHODS: Tumor tissue from patients with early stage breast cancer where ER status could be determined by both IHC and RT-PCR was included. ER status by IHC staining was defined as ER-negative (< 1%), ER-low+ (1-10%), or ER+ (> 10%). ER status by RT-PCR was defined as ER-negative (≤ 6.5) or ER+ (> 6.5). Recurrence Score results from the 21-gene assay were reported on a continuous scale from 0 to 100. A sub-analysis examined the association between ER expression (Allred score 2-7) and response to a 14-day pre-surgery pulse with an aromatase inhibitor. A separate sub-analysis examined the association between ER expression and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression. RESULTS: Tumor specimens from 192 patients (aged 25-92 years) were included in the pooled analysis. Correlation between IHC- and RT-PCR-measured ER was strong for IHC-defined ER-negative and ER+ samples (r = 0.646 [95% CI 0.553-0.720]). There was 100% concordance for ER+ tumors; however, 56% of the ER-low+ tumors were negative by RT-PCR. Allred score correlated better with ER status measured by RT-PCR at pre-treatment (r = 0.83) than at post-treatment (r = 0.76). The majority (77%) of ER-negative and ER-low+ tumors were HER2-negative. CONCLUSIONS: RT-PCR provided a more accurate assessment of ER expression in patients with ER-low+ tumors, and data support dual testing for patients with ER-low+ status to ensure appropriate treatment planning as it pertains to endocrine therapy. FUNDING: Genomic Health, Inc.

21-Gene assay as predictor of chemotherapy benefit in HER2-negative breast cancer.

The NSABP B-20 prospective-retrospective study of the 21-gene Oncotype DX Breast Cancer Recurrence Score® test predicted benefit from addition of chemotherapy to tamoxifen in node-negative, estrogen-receptor positive breast cancer when recurrence score (RS) was ≥31. HER2 is a component of the RS algorithm with a positive coefficient and contributes to higher RS values. Accrual to B-20 occurred prior to routine testing for HER2, so questions have arisen regarding assay performance if HER2-positive patients were identified and excluded. We report an exploratory reanalysis of the B-20, 21-gene study following exclusion of such patients. Patients were considered HER2 positive if quantitative RT-PCR for HER2 was ≥11.5 units, and excluded from re-analyses performed using the original cutoffs: <18, 18-30, ≥31, and the TAILORx cutoffs: <11, 11-25, >25. The endpoint remained distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) as in the original study. Distribution was estimated via the Kaplan-Meier method and compared via log-rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models estimated chemotherapy benefit in each group. In the RS < 18 and 18-30 groups, 1.7 and 6.7% were HER2 positive. In the RS ≥ 31 group, 41% were HER2 positive. Exclusion resulted in fewer events, with loss of significance for benefit from chemotherapy in the overall HER2-negative cohort (log-rank P = 0.06), but substantial benefit from chemotherapy remained in the RS ≥ 31 cohort (HR = 0.18; 95% CI: 0.07-0.47) and the RS > 25 cohort (HR = 0.28; 95% CI: 0.12-0.64). No benefit from chemotherapy was evident in the other RS groups. Following exclusion of HER2-positive patients based on RT-PCR expression, substantial benefit of chemotherapy remained for RS ≥ 31 as originally employed, and with RS > 25 employed in TAILORx.

Erratum: Author Correction: Breast-cancer-specific mortality in patients treated based on the 21-gene assay: a SEER population-based study.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/npjbcancer.2016.17.].