Disease Burden and Prediction Analysis of Tracheal, Bronchus, and Lung Cancer Attributable to Residential Radon, Solid Fuels, and Particulate Matter Pollution Under Different Sociodemographic Transitions From 1990 to 2030.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the impact of epidemiologic and sociodemographic changes in tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer associated with residential radon, solid fuels, and particulate matter. RESEARCH QUESTION: What are the influencing factors of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer disease burden attributable to the three pollutants? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. Age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and sociodemographic index (SDI) values were collected from 21 regions, and restricted cubic splines and quantile regression were used to investigate the relationship between ASMR or age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR), and SDI. Additionally, five countries with different SDIs were selected, and the Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the ASMR trends from 2020 to 2030. RESULTS: High SDI quintiles were associated with increased residential radon pollution. The disease burden attributed to these three pollutants was particularly severe in the middle SDI quintiles. Older adults aged 80 to 89 years had the highest age-specific mortality, and the disease burden was greater in male patients than in female patients with these cancers attributed to the pollutants. The highest ASMR attributable to particulate matter when the SDI was 0.7. As the SDI increased, the disease burden caused by radon increased, whereas the burden caused by solid fuels decreased. Projections have indicated a rise in the death burden in patients with this cancer from particulate pollution in China, India, and Uganda over the next decade. INTERPRETATION: The disease burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer attributed to the three pollutants was influenced by SDI, sex, and age. Older men are more susceptible to be affected. More preventive interventions may be required for men at younger ages to reduce the high death burden of older men. However, it is necessary to give due attention to women in specific countries in the future.

Meta-Analysis of Effects of Early Palliative Care on Health-Related Outcomes Among Advanced Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: Early palliative care (PC) has received more attention for improving health-related outcomes for advanced cancer patients in recent years, but the results of previous studies are inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to use meta-analysis and trial sequence analysis to evaluate the effect of early PC on health-related outcomes of advanced cancer patients. METHODS: All English publications were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from inception to March 2023, with a restriction that the study type was a randomized controlled trial. RESULTS: The results showed that early PC positively affected quality of life, satisfaction with care, and symptom burden reduction. However, early PC had no significant effect on anxiety or survival. Trial sequence analysis results showed that the effect of early PC on the quality of life was stable. DISCUSSION: This systematic review suggested that early PC could positively affect health-related outcomes for advanced cancer patients. Early PC can be used widely in clinical settings to improve health-related outcomes of advanced cancer. However, because of the trial sequence analysis results, further well-designed, clinical, randomized controlled trials with larger sample sizes are necessary to draw definitive conclusions.

The mortality of oral cancer attributable to tobacco in China, the US, and India.

PURPOSE: Assessing the mortality rates associated with tobacco-related oral cancer (OC) is crucial for effective allocation of resources within healthcare and economic systems. METHODS: In this study, data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 were utilized to analyze the burden of tobacco-attributable OC in China, the United States (US), and India from 1990 to 2019. Descriptive statistics and an age-period-cohort model were employed to examine and compare the effects on OC mortality. RESULTS: 1. Attributable to tobacco, the deaths remained stable in the US, but increased in China and India. The trend of age-standardized mortality rate of OC increased in China, and decreased in the US and India, whereas the rate in India was the highest. 2. According to the APC model, the risk of death increased with age in all three countries. The period and later birth cohort effects were identified as risk factors in China and India, while in the US, the previous cohorts were identified as a risk factor. Except for India, males faced higher death risk than females in China and the US. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of OC attributable to tobacco remains substantial in China and India. Public health officials in these countries should implement prevention and treatment strategies for OC, and interventions aimed at regulating the tobacco industry. The elderly is at an elevated risk for OC, and medical resources and policies should be directed toward this population. The successes experience in tobacco control and OC prevention in the US may serve as a model for other countries.

Burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease attributable to non-optimal temperature from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been the third leading cause of death worldwide. As the traditional risk factors (like smoking and ambient air pollution) on the burden of COPD being well characterized, the burden of COPD due to non-optimal temperature has been widely concerned. In this study, we extracted the relevant burden data of COPD attributable to non-optimal temperature from GBD 2019 and adopted estimated annual percent changes, Gaussian process regression (GPR), and age-period-cohort model to evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns, relationships with socio-demographic level, and the independent effects of age, period and cohort from 1990 to 2019. In brief, the global COPD burden attributable to non-optimal temperatures showed declining trends but was still more severe in the elderly, males, Asia, and regions with low socio-demographic index (SDI). And cold had a greater burden than heat. The inverted U-shape is expected for the relationship between SDI and the burden of COPD caused by non-optimal temperatures according to the GPR model, with the inflection point around SDI 0.45. Besides, the improvements were observed in period and cohort effects but were relatively limited in low and low-middle SDI regions. Public health managers should execute more targeted programs to lessen this burden predominantly among lower SDI countries.

Cerebrovascular segmentation in phase-contrast magnetic resonance angiography by a Radon projection composition network.

Cerebrovascular segmentation based on phase-contrast magnetic resonance angiography (PC-MRA) provides patient-specific intracranial vascular structures for neurosurgery planning. However, the vascular complex topology and spatial sparsity make the task challenging. Inspired by the computed tomography reconstruction, this paper proposes a Radon Projection Composition Network (RPC-Net) for cerebrovascular segmentation in PC-MRA, aiming to enhance distribution probability of vessels and fully obtain the vascular topological information. Multi-directional Radon projections of the images are introduced and a two-stream network is used to learn the features of the 3D images and projections. The projection domain features are remapped to the 3D image domain by filtered back-projection transform to obtain the image-projection joint features for predicting vessel voxels. A four-fold cross-validation experiment was performed on a local dataset containing 128 PC-MRA scans. The average Dice similarity coefficient, precision and recall of the RPC-Net achieved 86.12%, 85.91% and 86.50%, respectively, while the average completeness and validity of the vessel structure were 85.50% and 92.38%, respectively. The proposed method outperformed the existing methods, especially with significant improvement on the extraction of small and low-intensity vessels. Moreover, the applicability of the segmentation for electrode trajectory planning was also validated. The results demonstrate that the RPC-Net realizes an accurate and complete cerebrovascular segmentation and has potential applications in assisting neurosurgery preoperative planning.

Measuring spatial accessibility of residents' medical treatment under hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system: Multi-scenario simulation in China.

In order to improve the operational efficiency of medical institutions and build a more complete and efficient medical system, the Chinese government is vigorously promoting the reform of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment. We constructed a multi-factor composite selection weight to characterize the residents' medical treatment behavior in the context of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment. By combining the weight with the two-step floating catchment area method, we analyzed the spatial variation characteristics of residents' accessibility to medical care under different scenarios. Results show that the referral rate between medical institutions increases gradually along with the occurrence of public health events. When there is a major public health event, the proportion of the population transferred from the primary medical institutions to the county hospitals and the county hospitals to the municipal hospitals exceeded 65%. In three scenarios, the spatial pattern of accessibility shows obvious consistency and local differences. Among the three-tier medical institutions in China, the service capacity of county hospitals is poor, and the contribution rate of accessibility is less than 20%. The results clearly show the spatial differences in the accessibility of Chinese residents in different scenarios and the impact of public health events on accessibility. This research can provide a reference for the layout optimization of medical resources in the future.

Optimization referral rate design for hierarchical diagnosis and treatment system based on accessibility-utilization efficiency bi-objective collaboration: A case study of China.

The hierarchical diagnosis and treatment reform of China can guide residents to seek medical treatment in an orderly manner and improve access to medical treatment. Most existing studies on hierarchical diagnosis and treatment used accessibility as the evaluation index to determine the referral rate between hospitals. However, the blind pursuit of accessibility will cause the problem of uneven utilization efficiency of hospitals at different levels. In response to this, we constructed a bi-objective optimization model based on the perspective of residents and medical institutions. This model can give the optimal referral rate for each province considering the accessibility of residents and the utilization efficiency of hospitals, to improve the utilization efficiency and equality of access for hospitals. The results showed that the applicability of bi-objective optimization model is good, and the optimal referral rate based on the model can ensure the maximum benefit of the two optimization goals. In the optimal referral rate model, residents' medical accessibility is relatively balanced overall. In terms of obtaining high-grade medical resources, the accessibility is better in the eastern and central regions, but poorer in the western China. According to the current allocation of medical resources in China, the medical tasks undertaken by high-grade hospitals account for 60%-78%, which are still the main force of medical services. In this way, there is a big gap in realizing the "serious diseases do not leave the county" goal of hierarchical diagnosis and treatment reform.

Global Epidemiological Patterns in the Burden of Main Non-Communicable Diseases, 1990-2019: Relationships With Socio-Demographic Index.

Objectives: This study aimed to analyze spatio-temporal patterns of the global burden caused by main NCDs along the socio-economic development. Methods: We extracted relevant data from GBD 2019. The estimated annual percentage changes, quantile regression and limited cubic splines were adopted to estimate temporal trends and relationships with socio-demographic index. Results: NCDs accounted for 74.36% of global all-cause deaths in 2019. The main NCDs diseases were estimated for cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, and chronic respiratory diseases, with deaths of 18.56 (17.08-19.72) million, 10.08 (9.41-10.66) million and 3.97 (3.58-4.30) million, respectively. The death burden of three diseases gradually decreased globally over time. Regional and sex variations existed worldwide. Besides, the death burden of CVD showed the inverted U-shaped associations with SDI, while neoplasms were positively correlated with SDI, and CRD showed the negative association. Conclusion: NCDs remain a crucial public health issue worldwide, though several favorable trends of CVD, neoplasms and CRD were observed. Regional and sex disparities still existed. Public health managers should execute more targeted programs to lessen NCDs burden, predominantly among lower SDI countries.

More recent insights into the breast cancer burden across BRICS-Plus: Health consequences in key nations with emerging economies using the global burden of disease study 2019.

Background: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and 30 other Asian nations make up the BRICS-Plus, a group of developing countries that account for about half of the world's population and contribute significantly to the global illness burden. This study aimed to analyzed the epidemiological burden of female breast cancer (BC) across the BRICS-Plus from 1990 to 2019 and studied the associations with age, period, birth cohort and countries' sociodemographic index (SDI). Methods: The BC mortality and incidence estimates came from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. We estimated cohort and period effects in BC outcomes between 1990 and 2019 using age-period-cohort (APC) modeling. The maximum likelihood (ML) of the APC-model Poisson with log (Y) based on the natural-spline function was used to estimate the rate ratio (RR). We used annualized rate of change (AROC) to quantify change over the previous 30 years in BC across BRICS-Plus and compare it to the global. Results: In 2019, there were about 1.98 million female BC cases (age-standardized rate of 45.86 [95% UI: 41.91, 49.76]) and 0.69 million deaths (age-standardized rate of 15.88 [95% UI: 14.66, 17.07]) around the globe. Among them, 45.4% of incident cases and 51.3% of deaths were attributed to the BRICS-Plus. China (41.1% cases and 26.5% deaths) and India (16.1% cases and 23.1% deaths) had the largest proportion of incident cases and deaths among the BRICS-Plus nations in 2019. Pakistan came in third with 5.6% cases and 8.8% deaths. Over the past three decades, from 1990 to 2019, the BRICS-Plus region's greatest AROC was seen in Lesotho (2.61%; 95%UI: 1.99-2.99). The birth cohort impacts on BC vary significantly among the BRICS-Plus nations. Overall, the risk of case-fatality rate tended to decline in all BRICS-Plus nations, notably in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (China-ASEAN FTA) countries, and the drop in risk in the most recent cohort was lowest in China and the Maldives. Additionally, there was a substantial negative link between SDI and case fatality rate (r1990= -0.91, p<0.001; r2019= -0.89, p<0.001) in the BRICS-Plus in both 1990 and 2019, with the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) nations having the highest case fatality rate. Conclusions: The BC burden varies remarkably between different BRICS-Plus regions. Although the BRICS' efforts to regulate BC succeeded, the overall improvements lagged behind those in high-income Asia-Pacific nations. Every BRICS-Plus country should strengthen specific public health approaches and policies directed at different priority groups, according to BRIC-Plus and other high-burden nations.

Non-pharmacological interventions of travel restrictions and cancelation of public events had a major reductive mortality affect during pre-vaccination coronavirus disease 2019 period.

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a severe acute respiratory disease that poses a continuous threat to global public health. Many non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs) have been implemented to control the COVID-19 pandemic since the beginning. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of various NPIs on COVID-19 mortality during pre-vaccination and vaccination periods. Methods: The COVID-19 data used in this study comes from Our World in Data, we used the Oxford Strict Index (OSI) and its five combination interventions as independent variables. The COVID-19 mortality date (MRT) was defined as a date when daily rate of 0.02 COVID-19 deaths per 100,000 population in a country was reached, and the COVID-19 vaccination date (VRT) was defined as people vaccinated reaching 70%. Linear regression and random forest models were used to estimate the impact of various NPI implementation interventions during pre-vaccination and vaccination periods. The performance of models was assessed among others with Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) explaining the prediction capability of the model. Results: During the pre-vaccination period, the various NPIs had strong protective effect. When the COVID-19 MRT was reached, for every unit increase in OSI, the cumulative mortality as of June 30, 2020 decreased by 0.71 deaths per 100,000 people. Restrictions in travel (SHAP 1.68) and cancelation of public events and gatherings (1.37) had major reducing effect on COVID-19 mortality, while staying at home (0.26) and school and workplace closure (0.26) had less effect. Post vaccination period, the effects of NPI reduced significantly: cancelation of public events and gatherings (0.25), staying at home (0.22), restrictions in travel (0.14), and school and workplace closure (0.06). Conclusion: Continued efforts are still needed to promote vaccination to build sufficient immunity to COVID-19 in the population. Until herd immunity is achieved, NPI is still important for COVID-19 prevention and control. At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the stringency of NPI implementation had a significant negative association with COVID-19 mortality; however, this association was no longer significant after the vaccination rate reached 70%. As vaccination progresses, "cancelation of public events and gatherings" become more important for COVID-19 mortality.

Secular Trends of Mortality and Years of Life Lost Due to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Wuhan, China from 2010 to 2019: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been an important public health issue in China. This study aimed to analyze the temporal trends in mortality and years of life lost (YLL) from COPD, and explore the effects of age, period, and cohort in Wuhan, China from 2010 to 2019. METHODS: Data were collected from the cause of death surveillance system in Wuhan. Age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized YLL rate (ASYR) and the estimated annual percent changes (EAPC) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends. The age-period-cohort (APC) model was adopted to estimate the age, period, and cohort effects. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, COPD accounted for 26,051.15 deaths and 394,659.58 person years YLL in Wuhan. Recently, the death burden of COPD in Wuhan has somewhat improved, especially after 2015, with declining trends in ASMR and ASYR. Additionally, the ASMR and ASYR of COPD was higher in males. And these of males showed the overall upward trends, with EAPCs of 1.06 (0.13, 2.00) and 1.21 (0.12, 2.31), respectively, while females showed downward trends since 2010. According to APC model, the age effect of COPD increased with age, and the cohort risk ratios (RRs) followed the overall downward trends. Period RRs for the Wuhan population generally tended to rise and then fall, with females showing a clear downward trend after 2015, while period RRs for males maintained an upward trend throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Recently, the death burden from COPD in Wuhan has improved, especially after 2015, with improvements in ASMR, ASYR and period RRs. Sex differences still exist. COPD posed a greater threat to the elderly, especially males. Public health managers should continue to execute more targeted programs to lessen the death burden of COPD in Wuhan.

The Global Burden of Type 2 Diabetes Attributable to Tobacco: A Secondary Analysis From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Objectives: Growing epidemiological studies have reported the relationship between tobacco and health loss among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study aimed to explore the secular trend and spatial distribution of the T2D burden attributable to tobacco on a global scale to better understand regional disparities and judge the gap between current conditions and expectations. Methods: As a secondary analysis, we extracted data of tobacco-attributable T2D burden from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD). Joinpoint regression was adopted to determine the secular trend of age-standardized rates (ASR), with average annual percentage change (AAPC). Gaussian process regression (GPR) was used to explore the average expected relationship between ASRs and the socio-demographic index (SDI). Spatial autocorrelation was used to indicate if there is clustering of age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) with Moran's I value. Multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) was to investigate the spatial distribution and scales of influencing factors in ASDR attributable to tobacco, with the regression coefficients for each influencing factor among 204 countries. Results: Tobacco posed a challenge to global T2D health, particularly for the elderly and men from lower SDI regions. For women, mortality attributable to secondhand smoke was higher than smoking. A downward trend in age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of T2D attributable to tobacco was observed (AAPCs= -0.24; 95% CI -0.30 to -0.18), while the ASDR increased globally since 1990 (AAPCs= 0.19; 0.11 to 0.27). Oceania, Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, and Southeast Asia had the highest ASMRs and ASDRs, exceeding expectations based on the SDI. Also, "high-high" clusters were mainly observed in South Africa and Southeast Asian countries, which means a high-ASDR country is surrounded by high-ASDR neighborhoods in the above areas. According to MGWR model, smoking prevalence was the most sensitive influencing factor, with regression coefficients from 0.15 to 1.80. Conclusion: The tobacco-attributable burden of T2D should be considered as an important health issue, especially in low-middle and middle-SDI regions. Meanwhile, secondhand smoke posed a greater risk to women. Regional disparities existed, with hot spots mainly concentrated in South Africa and Southeast Asian countries.

Eliciting national and subnational sets of disability weights in mainland China: Findings from the Chinese disability weight measurement study.

Background: The disability weight (DW) quantifies the severity of health states from disease sequela and is a pivotal parameter for disease burden calculation. We conducted a national and subnational DW measurement in China. Methods: In 2020-2021, we conducted a web-based survey to assess DWs for 206 health states in 31 Chinese provinces targeting health workers via professional networks. We fielded questions of paired comparison (PC) and population health equivalence (PHE). The PC data were analysed by probit regression analysis, and the regression results were anchored by results from the PHE responses on the DW scale between 0 (no loss of health) and 1 (health loss equivalent to death). Findings: We used PC responses from 468,541 respondents to estimate DWs of health states. Eight of 11 domains of health had significantly negative coefficients in the regression of the difference between Chinese and Global Burden of Disease (GBD) DWs, suggesting lower DW values for health states with mention of these domains in their lay description. We noted considerable heterogeneity within domains, however. After applying these Chinese DWs to the 2019 GBD estimates for China, total years lived with disability (YLDs) increased by 14·9% to 177 million despite lower estimates for musculoskeletal disorders, cardiovascular diseases, mental disorders, diabetes and chronic kidney disease. The lower estimates of YLDs for these conditions were more than offset by higher estimates of common, low-severity conditions. Interpretation: The differences between the GBD and Chinese DWs suggest that there might be some contextual factors influencing the valuation of health states. While the reduced estimates for mental disorders, alcohol use disorder, and dementia could hint at a culturally different valuation of these conditions in China, the much greater shifts in YLDs from low-severity conditions more likely reflects methodological difficulty to distinguish between health states that vary a little in absolute DW value but a lot in relative terms. Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 82173626], the National Key Research and Development Program of China [grant numbers 2018YFC1315302], Wuhan Medical Research Program of Joint Fund of Hubei Health Committee [grant number WJ2019H304], and Ningxia Natural Science Foundation Project [grant number 2020AAC03436].

Mixed exposure to phenol, parabens, pesticides, and phthalates and insulin resistance in NHANES: A mixture approach.

PURPOSE: The effects of environmental chemicals on insulin resistance have attracted extensive attention. Previous studies typically focused on the single chemical effects. This study adopted three different models to analyze the mixed effects of nine common chemicals (one phenol, two parabens, two chlorophenols and four phthalates) on insulin resistance. METHODS: Urinary concentrations of chemicals were extracted from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2009-2016. Insulin resistance was assessed using homeostatic model assessment (HOMA) and defined as HOMA-IR >2.6. The generalized linear regression (GLM), weighted quantile sum regression (WQS) and Bayesian kernel machine regression models (BKMR) were applied to assess the relationship between chemical mixture and HOMA-IR or insulin resistance. RESULTS: Of the 2067 participants included, 872 (42.19 %) were identified as insulin resistant. In single-chemical GLM model, di-2-ethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) had the highest parameter (ß/OR, 95 % CIs) of 0.21 (quartile 4, 0.12- 0.29) and 1.95 (quartile 4, 1.39- 2.74). Similar results were observed in the multi-chemical models, with DEHP (quartile 4) showing the positive relationship with HOMA-IR (0.18, 0.08- 0.28) and insulin resistance (1.76, 1.17- 2.64). According to WQS models, the WQS indices were significantly positively correlated with both HOMA-IR (ß: 0.07, 95 % CI: 0.03- 0.12) and insulin resistance (OR: 1.25, 95 % CI: 1.03- 1.53). DEHP was the top-weighted chemical positively correlated with both HOMA-IR and insulin resistance. In the BKMR model, the joint effect was also positively correlated with both outcomes. DEHP remained the main contributor to the joint effect, consistent with WQS analysis. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggested that these chemical mixtures had the positive joint effects on both HOMA-IR and insulin resistance, with DEHP being the potentially predominant driver. The inter-validation of the three models may indicate that reducing the DEHP concentration could improve glucose homeostasis and reduce the risk of insulin resistance. However, further studies are recommended to deepen our findings and elucidate the mechanisms of insulin resistance and chemical mixture.

Burden of diabetes and kidney disease attributable to non-optimal temperature from 1990 to 2019: A systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

INTRODUCTION: This study quantitatively described the disease burden of diabetes and kidney disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures and explored the influencing factors. METHODS: We quantitatively described the mortality burden of diabetes and kidney disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures in six countries (China, USA, South Africa, Australia, Iraq, Portugal), and compare trends in mortality in six countries from 1990 to 2019. We used the APC model to analyse age, period, and cohort effects on mortality in six countries. We used restricted cubic splines and quantile regression to analyse the association of SDI with mortality and YLL using data from 21 regions in the world. RESULTS: The mortality rates of diabetes and kidney disease in the six countries in 2019 were 1.72% (Australia), 1.83% (China), 2.99% (USA), 3% (Portugal), 7.45% (South Africa) and 8.71% (Iraq) attributable to non-optimal temperatures. Cold was more harmful than heat. The mortality, YLLs of diabetes and kidney disease of male were higher than females. The mortality rate showed an upwards trend with age. The period effect had little changes or showed a slight upwards trend. The cohort effect showed a downwards trend. The regions with higher mortality or YLLs rates were mainly had SDI values of 0.45-0.80. CONCLUSIONS: Among the death burdens of diabetes and kidney disease attributed to non-optimal temperatures, cold had a greater burden than heat. The burden of death was affected by sex, age, period, cohort, and SDI.

Association Between Physical Activity Intensity and the Risk for Depression Among Adults From the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2018.

Objective: Whether vigorous physical activities (VPA) bring additional benefits to depression prevention in comparison with moderate physical activity (MPA) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to find the correlation between the proportion of VPA to moderate-to-VPA (MVPA) (a combination of VPA and MPA) and the risk for depression, as well as to explore whether correlations differ among subgroups separated by age and sex. Methods: The data originating from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007-2018 were applied. The total amount of PA per week was obtained by multiplying frequency and duration. The proportion of VPA to MVPA was obtained among the participants who performed any MVPA. Depression was set for those who scored 10 and above in the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9). The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for depression were evaluated using logistic regression. Results: Among 26,849 participants of this study, only 12,939 adults were found with any MVPA, in which 748 participants with depression were detected. Logistic regression was conducted among 12,939 participants. The participants with higher than 66.7-100% of MVPA as VPA were inversely correlated with a 30% (OR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.50, 0.99) lower risk for depression. The subgroup analyses revealed that significant correlations were only found in men and those aged 45 years and above. Conclusion: This study suggested that a higher proportion of VPA to MVPA might be correlated with a lower risk for depression in men and those aged 45 years and above. Besides the recommendation, adults should perform 150 min MVPA per week, more time should be spent in performing VPA in MVPA among men and older adults.

Combined exposure to multiple metals on serum uric acid in NHANES under three statistical models.

BACKGROUND: There are rare researches on the correlations between metals exposure and serum uric acid (SUA), and existing research has only investigated the single metal effect. This study aimed to investigate the combined effects of metal mixtures on SUA and hyperuricemia using three statistical models. METHODS: In this study, the data were extracted from three cycle years of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Subsequently, generalized linear regression, weighted quantile regression (WQS) and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) models were fitted to evaluate the correlations between metal mixtures and both SUA and hyperuricemia. RESULTS: Of 3926 participants included, 19.13% participants had hyperuricemia. It was found using multi-metals generalized linear regression models that there were positive correlations of arsenic and cadmium with both outcomes. The negative correlations were identified in cobalt, iodine, and manganese with SUA concentration, whereas only cobalt was negatively correlated with hyperuricemia. Based on the WQS regression model fitted in positive direction, it was suggested that the WQS indices were significantly correlated with SUA (ß = 6.64, 95% CI: 3.14-10.13) and hyperuricemia (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.08-1.44); however, the result achieved by using the model fitted in negative direction indicated that the WQS indices were only significantly correlated with SUA (ß = -5.29, 95%CI: 8.02 âˆ¼ -2.56). With the use of the BKMR model, a significant increasing trend between metal mixtures and hyperuricemia was found, while no significant overall effect of metal mixtures on SUA was identified. The predominant roles of arsenic, cadmium, and cobalt in the change of SUA and hyperuricemia risk were found using all three models. CONCLUSION: The finding of this study revealed that metal mixtures might have a positive combined effect on hyperuricemia. The mutual verification of two outcomes using the three different models provided strong public health implications for protecting people from heavy metal pollution and preventing hyperuricemia.

Identifying the vulnerable regions of emergency medical services based on the three-stage of accessibility: a case study in Xi'an, China.

BACKGROUND: Emergency department crowding is an obstacle in the process of obtaining emergency care services, which will lead to the increase of time cost. Most studies focused on the direct access to emergency medical resources, and few studies took the crowding of hospital emergency department as an evaluation index to reflect the convenience of obtaining emergency medical resources. It is a significance for the identification of areas with insufficient access to emergency service resources with this method. METHODS: This paper utilizes the improved potential model and the inverted Two-Step Floating Catchment Area method, combined with network map API service data to evaluate response time, delivery time and waiting time (for emergency department crowding) spent in different residential areas of Xi'an City in the process of emergency. Meanwhile, the vulnerable regions of gaining emergency medical resources are identified through the comprehensive analysis of the three stages of emergency. RESULTS: The studies show that the residents in built-up area are more convenient to get ambulance service and arrive at care hospitals than those in suburban areas, but they may face greater hospital crowdedness. Although suburban residents are faced with low hospital crowdedness, they spend more time on getting ambulances and going to care hospitals. The accessibility of emergency medical resources varies greatly among residents in different regions, with 5.38% of the residents were identified in the high-risk area distributing in suburban residential areas in the south of the city center, 21.92% in the medium risk area in the southern mountainous areas and the periphery of the core suburban areas of the city, and 46.11% in the low-risk area which are mainly distributed in built-up areas in gaining emergency medical services. CONCLUSIONS: Obviously, getting an ambulance and arriving at the nearest hospital quickly shows that it is conducive to access to emergency resources. However, the impact of hospital emergency crowding can not be ignored, especially in the area surrounded by high-grade hospitals in the central area of the city. In considering the spatial layout of emergency stations and emergency hospitals, the dislocation distribution of hospitals at different levels should be reasonably adjusted to balance the equity of residents in obtaining emergency medical resources.

Demographics of road injuries and micromobility injuries among China, India, Japan, and the United States population: evidence from an age-period-cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Micromobility sharing platforms have involved skyrocketing numbers of users in multiple countries since 2010. However, few studies have examined the overall impact of the growing micromobility market on road injuries. METHOD: We use road injury data from the Global Burden of Disease Study database to examine the effect of age, period, and cohort on micromobility injury-related deaths and incidence. We compared four countries that vary in demographic background and road infrastructure. By comparing the countries, we analyzed the relationship between the trends in road injuries and these factors. RESULTS: We found an overall upward trend in micromobility injuries. A higher risk of micromobility-related injuries was witnessed in China and the US in 2015-2019, and people older than 45 showed a growing micromobility-related mortality and incidence rate in China, India, and the US. Cohorts after 1960 showed higher micromobility injury incidence risks in China and India, but the population born after 1990 in India showed a slightly lower risk compared to those before it. CONCLUSIONS: The boosted usage of micromobility devices explains these increasing trends. Road infrastructure and separated traffic ease the collisions from micromobility devices. The overall situation calls for improvement in legislation as well as road infrastructure.