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1.
Med Intensiva (Engl Ed) ; 48(3): 142-154, 2024 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37923608

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of obesity on ICU mortality. DESIGN: Observational, retrospective, multicentre study. SETTING: Intensive Care Unit (ICU). PATIENTS: Adults patients admitted with COVID-19 and respiratory failure. INTERVENTIONS: None. PRIMARY VARIABLES OF INTEREST: Collected data included demographic and clinical characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory tests and ICU outcomes. Body mass index (BMI) impact on ICU mortality was studied as (1) a continuous variable, (2) a categorical variable obesity/non-obesity, and (3) as categories defined a priori: underweight, normal, overweight, obesity and Class III obesity. The impact of obesity on mortality was assessed by multiple logistic regression and Smooth Restricted cubic (SRC) splines for Cox hazard regression. RESULTS: 5,206 patients were included, 20 patients (0.4%) as underweight, 887(17.0%) as normal, 2390(46%) as overweight, 1672(32.1) as obese and 237(4.5%) as class III obesity. The obesity group patients (n = 1909) were younger (61 vs. 65 years, p < 0.001) and with lower severity scores APACHE II (13 [9-17] vs. 13[10-17, p < 0.01) than non-obese. Overall ICU mortality was 28.5% and not different for obese (28.9%) or non-obese (28.3%, p = 0.65). Only Class III obesity (OR = 2.19, 95%CI 1.44-3.34) was associated with ICU mortality in the multivariate and SRC analysis. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 patients with a BMI > 40 are at high risk of poor outcomes in the ICU. An effective vaccination schedule and prolonged social distancing should be recommended.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Sobrepeso , Adulto , Humanos , Sobrepeso/complicações , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Estado Terminal , Estudos Retrospectivos , Magreza/complicações , COVID-19/complicações , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/epidemiologia
2.
BMC Anesthesiol ; 23(1): 140, 2023 04 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37106321

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The optimal time to intubate patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia has not been adequately determined. While the use of non-invasive respiratory support before invasive mechanical ventilation might cause patient-self-induced lung injury and worsen the prognosis, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is frequently used to avoid intubation of patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). We hypothesized that delayed intubation is associated with a high risk of mortality in COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from adult patients with ARF due to COVID-19 admitted to 73 intensive care units (ICUs) between February 2020 and March 2021. Intubation was classified according to the timing of intubation. To assess the relationship between early versus late intubation and mortality, we excluded patients with ICU length of stay (LOS) < 7 days to avoid the immortal time bias and we did a propensity score and a cox regression analysis. RESULTS: We included 4,198 patients [median age, 63 (54‒71) years; 71% male; median SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score, 4 (3‒7); median APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) score, 13 (10‒18)], and median PaO2/FiO2 (arterial oxygen pressure/ inspired oxygen fraction), 131 (100‒190)]; intubation was considered very early in 2024 (48%) patients, early in 928 (22%), and late in 441 (10%). ICU mortality was 30% and median ICU stay was 14 (7‒28) days. Mortality was higher in the "late group" than in the "early group" (37 vs. 32%, p < 0.05). The implementation of an early intubation approach was found to be an independent protective risk factor for mortality (HR 0.6; 95%CI 0.5‒0.7). CONCLUSIONS: Early intubation within the first 24 h of ICU admission in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia was found to be an independent protective risk factor of mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered at Clinical-Trials.gov (NCT04948242) (01/07/2021).


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pneumonia , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/terapia , Estado Terminal/terapia , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Intubação Intratraqueal , Oxigênio , Respiração Artificial , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
3.
J Infect ; 85(4): 374-381, 2022 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35781017

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-Reactive Protein (CRP) are useful biomarkers to differentiate bacterial from viral or fungal infections, although the association between them and co-infection or mortality in COVID-19 remains unclear. METHODS: The study represents a retrospective cohort study of patients admitted for COVID-19 pneumonia to 84 ICUs from ten countries between (March 2020-January 2021). Primary outcome was to determine whether PCT or CRP at admission could predict community-acquired bacterial respiratory co-infection (BC) and its added clinical value by determining the best discriminating cut-off values. Secondary outcome was to investigate its association with mortality. To evaluate the main outcome, a binary logistic regression was performed. The area under the curve evaluated diagnostic performance for BC prediction. RESULTS: 4635 patients were included, 7.6% fulfilled BC diagnosis. PCT (0.25[IQR 0.1-0.7] versus 0.20[IQR 0.1-0.5]ng/mL, p<0.001) and CRP (14.8[IQR 8.2-23.8] versus 13.3 [7-21.7]mg/dL, p=0.01) were higher in BC group. Neither PCT nor CRP were independently associated with BC and both had a poor ability to predict BC (AUC for PCT 0.56, for CRP 0.54). Baseline values of PCT<0.3ng/mL, could be helpful to rule out BC (negative predictive value 91.1%) and PCT≥0.50ng/mL was associated with ICU mortality (OR 1.5,p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These biomarkers at ICU admission led to a poor ability to predict BC among patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Baseline values of PCT<0.3ng/mL may be useful to rule out BC, providing clinicians a valuable tool to guide antibiotic stewardship and allowing the unjustified overuse of antibiotics observed during the pandemic, additionally PCT≥0.50ng/mL might predict worsening outcomes.


Assuntos
Infecções Bacterianas , COVID-19 , Coinfecção , Pró-Calcitonina , Infecções Respiratórias , Infecções Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores , Proteína C-Reativa/análise , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Coinfecção/diagnóstico , Humanos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos
4.
Ann Intensive Care ; 11(1): 159, 2021 Nov 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34825976

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Some unanswered questions persist regarding the effectiveness of corticosteroids for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. We aimed to assess the clinical effect of corticosteroids on intensive care unit (ICU) mortality among mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data conducted in 70 ICUs (68 Spanish, one Andorran, one Irish), including mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS patients admitted between February 6 and September 20, 2020. Individuals who received corticosteroids for refractory shock were excluded. Patients exposed to corticosteroids at admission were matched with patients without corticosteroids through propensity score matching. Primary outcome was all-cause ICU mortality. Secondary outcomes were to compare in-hospital mortality, ventilator-free days at 28 days, respiratory superinfection and length of stay between patients with corticosteroids and those without corticosteroids. We performed survival analysis accounting for competing risks and subgroup sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: We included 1835 mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS, of whom 1117 (60.9%) received corticosteroids. After propensity score matching, ICU mortality did not differ between patients treated with corticosteroids and untreated patients (33.8% vs. 30.9%; p = 0.28). In survival analysis, corticosteroid treatment at ICU admission was associated with short-term survival benefit (HR 0.53; 95% CI 0.39-0.72), although beyond the 17th day of admission, this effect switched and there was an increased ICU mortality (long-term HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.16-2.45). The sensitivity analysis reinforced the results. Subgroups of age < 60 years, severe ARDS and corticosteroids plus tocilizumab could have greatest benefit from corticosteroids as short-term decreased ICU mortality without long-term negative effects were observed. Larger length of stay was observed with corticosteroids among non-survivors both in the ICU and in hospital. There were no significant differences for the remaining secondary outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that corticosteroid treatment for mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS had a biphasic time-dependent effect on ICU mortality. Specific subgroups showed clear effect on improving survival with corticosteroid use. Therefore, further research is required to identify treatment-responsive subgroups among the mechanically ventilated COVID-19-associated ARDS patients.

5.
Lancet Reg Health Eur ; 11: 100243, 2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34751263

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether the changes in critical care throughout the pandemic have improved the outcomes in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in adults with COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to 73 ICUs from Spain, Andorra and Ireland between February 2020 and March 2021. The first wave corresponded with the period from February 2020 to June 2020, whereas the second/third waves occurred from July 2020 to March 2021. The primary outcome was ICU mortality between study periods. Mortality predictors and differences in mortality between COVID-19 waves were identified using logistic regression. FINDINGS: As of March 2021, the participating ICUs had included 3795 COVID-19 pneumonia patients, 2479 (65·3%) and 1316 (34·7%) belonging to the first and second/third waves, respectively. Illness severity scores predicting mortality were lower in the second/third waves compared with the first wave according with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation system (median APACHE II score 12 [IQR 9-16] vs 14 [IQR 10-19]) and the organ failure assessment score (median SOFA 4 [3-6] vs 5 [3-7], p<0·001). The need of invasive mechanical ventilation was high (76·1%) during the whole study period. However, a significant increase in the use of high flow nasal cannula (48·7% vs 18·2%, p<0·001) was found in the second/third waves compared with the first surge. Significant changes on treatments prescribed were also observed, highlighting the remarkable increase on the use of corticosteroids to up to 95.9% in the second/third waves. A significant reduction on the use of tocilizumab was found during the study (first wave 28·9% vs second/third waves 6·2%, p<0·001), and a negligible administration of lopinavir/ritonavir, hydroxychloroquine, and interferon during the second/third waves compared with the first wave. Overall ICU mortality was 30·7% (n = 1166), without significant differences between study periods (first wave 31·7% vs second/third waves 28·8%, p = 0·06). No significant differences were found in ICU mortality between waves according to age subsets except for the subgroup of 61-75 years of age, in whom a reduced unadjusted ICU mortality was observed in the second/third waves (first 38·7% vs second/third 34·0%, p = 0·048). Non-survivors were older, with higher severity of the disease, had more comorbidities, and developed more complications. After adjusting for confounding factors through a multivariable analysis, no significant association was found between the COVID-19 waves and mortality (OR 0·81, 95% CI 0·64-1·03; p = 0·09). Ventilator-associated pneumonia rate increased significantly during the second/third waves and it was independently associated with ICU mortality (OR 1·48, 95% CI 1·19-1·85, p<0·001). Nevertheless, a significant reduction both in the ICU and hospital length of stay in survivors was observed during the second/third waves. INTERPRETATION: Despite substantial changes on supportive care and management, we did not find significant improvement on case-fatality rates among critical COVID-19 pneumonia patients. FUNDING: Ricardo Barri Casanovas Foundation (RBCF2020) and SEMICYUC.

7.
Crit Care ; 25(1): 63, 2021 02 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33588914

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The identification of factors associated with Intensive Care Unit (ICU) mortality and derived clinical phenotypes in COVID-19 patients could help for a more tailored approach to clinical decision-making that improves prognostic outcomes. METHODS: Prospective, multicenter, observational study of critically ill patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease and acute respiratory failure admitted from 63 ICUs in Spain. The objective was to utilize an unsupervised clustering analysis to derive clinical COVID-19 phenotypes and to analyze patient's factors associated with mortality risk. Patient features including demographics and clinical data at ICU admission were analyzed. Generalized linear models were used to determine ICU morality risk factors. The prognostic models were validated and their performance was measured using accuracy test, sensitivity, specificity and ROC curves. RESULTS: The database included a total of 2022 patients (mean age 64 [IQR 5-71] years, 1423 (70.4%) male, median APACHE II score (13 [IQR 10-17]) and SOFA score (5 [IQR 3-7]) points. The ICU mortality rate was 32.6%. Of the 3 derived phenotypes, the A (mild) phenotype (537; 26.7%) included older age (< 65 years), fewer abnormal laboratory values and less development of complications, B (moderate) phenotype (623, 30.8%) had similar characteristics of A phenotype but were more likely to present shock. The C (severe) phenotype was the most common (857; 42.5%) and was characterized by the interplay of older age (> 65 years), high severity of illness and a higher likelihood of development shock. Crude ICU mortality was 20.3%, 25% and 45.4% for A, B and C phenotype respectively. The ICU mortality risk factors and model performance differed between whole population and phenotype classifications. CONCLUSION: The presented machine learning model identified three clinical phenotypes that significantly correlated with host-response patterns and ICU mortality. Different risk factors across the whole population and clinical phenotypes were observed which may limit the application of a "one-size-fits-all" model in practice.


Assuntos
COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/terapia , Idoso , Análise por Conglomerados , Estado Terminal , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fenótipo , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia
9.
J Intensive Care Med ; 34(9): 740-750, 2019 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28651474

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To determine the epidemiology and outcome of severe sepsis and septic shock after 9 years of the implementation of the Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) and to build a mortality prediction model. METHODS: This is a prospective, multicenter, observational study performed during a 5-month period in 2011 in a network of 11 intensive care units (ICUs). We compared our findings with those obtained in the same ICUs in a study conducted in 2002. RESULTS: The current cohort included 262 episodes of severe sepsis and/or septic shock, and the 2002 cohort included 324. The prevalence was 14% (95% confidence interval: 12.5-15.7) with no differences to 2002. The population-based incidence was 31 cases/100 000 inhabitants/year. Patients in 2011 had a significantly lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II; 21.9 ± 6.6 vs 25.5 ± 7.07), Logistic Organ Dysfunction Score (5.6 ± 3.2 vs 6.3 ± 3.6), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores on day 1 (8 ± 3.5 vs 9.6 ± 3.7; P < .01). The main source of infection was intraabdominal (32.5%) although microbiologic isolation was possible in 56.7% of cases. The 2011 cohort had a marked reduction in 48-hour (7% vs 14.8%), ICU (27.2% vs 48.2%), and in-hospital (36.7% vs 54.3%) mortalities. Most relevant factors associated with death were APACHE II score, age, previous immunosuppression and liver insufficiency, alcoholism, nosocomial infection, and Delta SOFA score. CONCLUSION: Although the incidence of sepsis/septic shock remained unchanged during a 10-year period, the implementation of the SSC guidelines resulted in a marked decrease in the overall mortality. The lower severity of patients on ICU admission and the reduced early mortality suggest an improvement in early diagnosis, better initial management, and earlier antibiotic treatment.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , Infecções Intra-Abdominais , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Sepse , Choque Séptico , APACHE , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Cuidados Críticos/normas , Intervenção Médica Precoce/normas , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Incidência , Infecções Intra-Abdominais/complicações , Infecções Intra-Abdominais/microbiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Prevalência , Melhoria de Qualidade , Medição de Risco , Sepse/epidemiologia , Sepse/etiologia , Sepse/mortalidade , Sepse/terapia , Choque Séptico/epidemiologia , Choque Séptico/etiologia , Choque Séptico/mortalidade , Choque Séptico/terapia , Espanha/epidemiologia
10.
Rev Argent Microbiol ; 48(2): 119-21, 2016.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27086257

RESUMO

Staphylococcus lugdunensis is a coagulase-negative staphylococcus of growing importance and atypical behavior. The infections caused by this microorganism are becoming more frequent, having a broader spectrum. Psoas abscesses caused by this germ are rare, with few cases reported in the literature. In this work, we present a case of a psoas abscess caused by S. lugdunensis in a patient suffering from diabetes mellitus and rheumatoid arthritis, which was treated with intravenous cloxacillin with a good outcome.


Assuntos
Abscesso do Psoas/microbiologia , Infecções Estafilocócicas/microbiologia , Staphylococcus lugdunensis/isolamento & purificação , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Artrite Reumatoide/complicações , Técnicas de Tipagem Bacteriana , Cloxacilina/uso terapêutico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Abscesso Epidural/tratamento farmacológico , Abscesso Epidural/microbiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Abscesso do Psoas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Estafilocócicas/tratamento farmacológico , Staphylococcus lugdunensis/patogenicidade
12.
Crit Care ; 19: 256, 2015 Jun 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26077880

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether common variants across the nuclear factor erythroid 2-like 2 (NFE2L2) gene contribute to the development of the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with severe sepsis. NFE2L2 is involved in the response to oxidative stress, and it has been shown to be associated with the development of ARDS in trauma patients. METHODS: We performed a case-control study of 321 patients fulfilling international criteria for severe sepsis and ARDS who were admitted to a Spanish network of post-surgical and critical care units, as well as 871 population-based controls. Six tagging single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of NFE2L2 were genotyped, and, after further imputation of additional 34 SNPs, association testing with ARDS susceptibility was conducted using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: After multiple testing adjustments, our analysis revealed 10 non-coding SNPs in tight linkage disequilibrium (0.75 ≤ r (2) ≤ 1) that were associated with ARDS susceptibility as a single association signal. One of those SNPs (rs672961) was previously associated with trauma-induced ARDS and modified the promoter activity of the NFE2L2 gene, showing an odds ratio of 1.93 per T allele (95 % confidence interval, 1.17-3.18; p = 0.0089). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the involvement of NFE2L2 gene variants in ARDS susceptibility and reinforce further exploration of the role of oxidant stress response as a risk factor for ARDS in critically ill patients.


Assuntos
Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Variação Genética/genética , Fator 2 Relacionado a NF-E2/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/genética , Sepse/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/diagnóstico , Sepse/diagnóstico
15.
Cir. Esp. (Ed. impr.) ; 93(1): 12-17, ene. 2015. tab
Artigo em Espanhol | IBECS | ID: ibc-131360

RESUMO

OBJETIVOS: La gangrena de Fournier (GF) es la fascitis necrosante del periné y área genital que presenta una elevada mortalidad. El objetivo es analizar los factores pronósticos de mortalidad, creación de una nueva escala predictiva de mortalidad y compararla con las ya validadas en los pacientes diagnosticados de GF en nuestro Servicio de Urgencias. MÉTODOS: Estudio analítico, retrospectivo entre 1998 y 2012. RESULTADOS: De los 59 casos, 44 sobrevivieron (74%) (S) y 15 fallecieron (26%) (E). Se encontraron diferencias significativas en la vasculopatía periférica (S 5 [11%]; E 6 [40%]; p = 0,023), hemoglobina (S 13; E 11; p = 0,014), hematocrito (S 37; E 31,4; p = 0,009), leucocitos (S 17.400; E 23.800; p = 0,023), urea (S 58; E 102; p < 0,001), creatinina (S 1,1; E 1,9; p = 0,032), potasio (S 3,7; E 4,4; p = 0,012) y fosfatasa alcalina (S 92; E 133; p = 0,014). Escalas predictivas: índice de Charlson (S 1; E 4; p = 0,013), criterios de sepsis grave (S 16 [36%]; E 13 [86%]; p = 0,001), Fournier's gangrene severity index score (FGSIS) (S 4; E 7; p = 0,002) y Uludag Fournier's Gangrene Severity Index (UFGSI) (S 9; E 13; p = 0,004). Los factores predictores independientes fueron la vasculopatía periférica, el potasio sérico y criterios de sepsis grave, creando un modelo con área bajo la curva de 0,850 (0,760-0,973) superior al FGSIS (0,746 [0,601-0,981]) y al UFGSI (0,760 [0,617-0,904]). CONCLUSIONES: La GF presentó una tasa de mortalidad elevada cuyos factores predictores independientes fueron la vasculopatía periférica, el potasio sérico y criterios de sepsis grave, creando un modelo con una capacidad discriminativa superior al resto


AIMS: Fournier's gangrene (FG) is the necrotizing fasciitis of the perineum and genital area and presents a high mortality rate. The aim was to assess prognostic factors for mortality, create a new mortality predictive scale and compare it with previously published scales in patients diagnosed with FG in our Emergency Department. METHODS: Retrospective analysis study between 1998 and 2012. RESULTS: Of the 59 patients, 44 survived (74%) (S) and 15 died (26%) (D). Significant differences were found in peripheral vasculopathy (S 5 [11%]; D 6 [40%]; P = .023), hemoglobin (S 13; D 11; P = .014), hematocrit (S 37; D 31.4; P = .009), white blood cells (S 17,400; D 23,800; P = .023), serum urea (S 58; D 102; P < .001), creatinine (S 1.1; D 1.9; P = .032), potassium (S 3.7; D 4.4; P = .012) and alkaline phosphatase (S 92; D 133; P = .014). Predictive scores: Charlson index (S 1; D 4; P = .013), severe sepsis criteria (S 16 [36%]; D 13 [86%]; P = .001), Fournier's gangrene severity index score (FGSIS) (S 4; D 7; P = .002) and Uludag Fournier's Gangrene Severity Index (UFGSI) (S 9; D 13; P = .004). Independent predictive factors were peripheral vasculopathy, serum potassium and severe sepsis criteria, and a model was created with an area under the ROC curve of 0.850 (0.760-0.973), higher than FGSIS (0.746 [0.601-0.981]) and UFGSI (0.760 [0.617-0.904]). CONCLUSIONS: FG showed a high mortality rate. Independent predictive factors were peripheral vasculopathy, potassium and severe sepsis criteria creating a predictive model that performed better than those previously described


Assuntos
Humanos , Gangrena de Fournier/mortalidade , Fasciite Necrosante/complicações , Prognóstico , Progressão da Doença , Doenças Vasculares Periféricas/epidemiologia , Sepse/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
17.
Cir Esp ; 93(1): 12-7, 2015 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24862684

RESUMO

AIMS: Fournier's gangrene (FG) is the necrotizing fasciitis of the perineum and genital area and presents a high mortality rate. The aim was to assess prognostic factors for mortality, create a new mortality predictive scale and compare it with previously published scales in patients diagnosed with FG in our Emergency Department. METHODS: Retrospective analysis study between 1998 and 2012. RESULTS: Of the 59 patients, 44 survived (74%) (S) and 15 died (26%) (D). Significant differences were found in peripheral vasculopathy (S 5 [11%]; D 6 [40%]; P=.023), hemoglobin (S 13; D 11; P=.014), hematocrit (S 37; D 31.4; P=.009), white blood cells (S 17,400; D 23,800; P=.023), serum urea (S 58; D 102; P<.001), creatinine (S 1.1; D 1.9; P=.032), potassium (S 3.7; D 4.4; P=.012) and alkaline phosphatase (S 92; D 133; P=.014). Predictive scores: Charlson index (S 1; D 4; P=.013), severe sepsis criteria (S 16 [36%]; D 13 [86%]; P=.001), Fournier's gangrene severity index score (FGSIS) (S 4; D 7; P=.002) and Uludag Fournier's Gangrene Severity Index (UFGSI) (S 9; D 13; P=.004). Independent predictive factors were peripheral vasculopathy, serum potassium and severe sepsis criteria, and a model was created with an area under the ROC curve of 0.850 (0.760-0.973), higher than FGSIS (0.746 [0.601-0.981]) and UFGSI (0.760 [0.617-0.904]). CONCLUSIONS: FG showed a high mortality rate. Independent predictive factors were peripheral vasculopathy, potassium and severe sepsis criteria creating a predictive model that performed better than those previously described.


Assuntos
Gangrena de Fournier/mortalidade , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos
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