RESUMO
This paper presents the findings of our fourth annual horizon-scanning exercise, which aims to identify topics that increasingly may affect conservation of biological diversity. The 15 issues were identified via an iterative, transferable process by a team of professional horizon scanners, researchers, practitioners, and a journalist. The 15 topics include the commercial use of antimicrobial peptides, thorium-fuelled nuclear power, and undersea oil production.
Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/tendências , Animais , Peptídeos Catiônicos Antimicrobianos , Aquicultura/tendências , Organismos Aquáticos , Doenças Autoimunes/etiologia , Biodiversidade , Cocos , Recifes de Corais , DNA/análise , Extinção Biológica , Indústrias Extrativas e de Processamento/tendências , Agricultura Florestal/tendências , Humanos , Hipersensibilidade/etiologia , Centrais Nucleares/estatística & dados numéricos , Ácidos Nucleicos/síntese química , Impressão/tendências , Energia Solar/estatística & dados numéricos , Tório , Ciclo HidrológicoRESUMO
This review describes outcomes of a 2010 horizon-scanning exercise building upon the first exercise conducted in 2009. The aim of both horizon scans was to identify emerging issues that could have substantial impacts on the conservation of biological diversity, and to do so sufficiently early to encourage policy-relevant, practical research on those issues. Our group included professional horizon scanners and researchers affiliated with universities and non- and inter-governmental organizations, including specialists on topics such as invasive species, wildlife diseases and coral reefs. We identified 15 nascent issues, including new greenhouse gases, genetic techniques to eradicate mosquitoes, milk consumption in Asia and societal pessimism.
