Sustained Increase in Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease Incidence Across the South West United Kingdom Over the Last 10 Years.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (pIBD) incidence has increased over the last 25 years. We aim to report contemporaneous trends across the South West United Kingdom. METHODS: Data were provided from centers covering the South West United Kingdom (Bristol, Oxford, Cardiff, Exeter, and Southampton), with a total area at-risk population (<18 years of age) of 2 947 534. Cases were retrieved from 2013 to 2022. Incident rates were reported per 100 000 at-risk population, with temporal trends analyzed through correlation. Subgroup analysis was undertaken for age groups (0-6, 6-11, and 12-17 years of age), sex, and disease subtype. Choropleth maps were created for local districts. RESULTS: In total, 2497 pIBD cases were diagnosed between 2013 and 2022, with a mean age of 12.6 years (38.7% female). Diagnosis numbers increased from 187 to 376, with corresponding incidence rates of 6.0 per 100 000 population per year (2013) to 12.4 per 100 000 population per year (2022) (b = 0.918, P < .01). Female rates increased from 5.1 per 100 000 population per year in 2013 to 11.0 per 100 000 population per year in 2022 (b = 0.865, P = .01). Male rates increased from 5.7 per 100 000 population per year to 14.4 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.832, P = .03). Crohn's disease incidence increased from 3.1 per 100 000 population per year to 6.3 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.897, P < .01). Ulcerative colitis increased from 2.3 per 100 000 population per year to 4.3 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.813, P = .04). Inflammatory bowel disease unclassified also increased, from 0.6 per 100 000 population per year to 1.8 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.851, P = .02). Statistically significant increases were seen in those ≥12 to 17 years of age, from 11.2 per 100 000 population per year to 24.6 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.912, P < .01), and the 7- to 11-year-old age group, with incidence rising from 4.4 per 100 000 population per year to 7.6 per 100 000 population per year (b = 0.878, P = .01). There was no statistically significant increase in very early onset inflammatory bowel disease (≤6 years of age) (b = 0.417, P = .231). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate significant increases in pIBD incidence across a large geographical area including multiple referral centers. Increasing incidence has implications for service provision for services managing pIBD.

Incidence of inflammatory bowel disease continues to increase in childhood, particularly in older children. This is demonstrated in a contemporary dataset collected over a 10-year period, and covering an at-risk population of nearly 3 000 000. These data have significant implications for service provision.

The use of machine learning in paediatric nutrition.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In recent years, there has been a burgeoning interest in using machine learning methods. This has been accompanied by an expansion in the availability and ease of use of machine learning tools and an increase in the number of large, complex datasets which are suited to machine learning approaches. This review summarizes recent work in the field and sets expectations for its impact in the future. RECENT FINDINGS: Much work has focused on establishing good practices and ethical frameworks to guide the use of machine learning in research. Machine learning has an established role in identifying features in 'omics' research and is emerging as a tool to generate predictive models to identify people at risk of disease and patients at risk of complications. They have been used to identify risks for malnutrition and obesity. Machine learning techniques have also been used to develop smartphone apps to track behaviour and provide healthcare advice. SUMMARY: Machine learning techniques are reaching maturity and their impact on observational data analysis and behaviour change will come to fruition in the next 5 years. A set of standards and best practices are emerging and should be implemented by researchers and publishers.

Inflammatory bowel disease: recent developments.

Paediatric-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a complex and heterogenous condition. Incidence of disease in those aged <18 years has doubled over the last 25 years, with concurrent increased prevalence and no decrease in disease severity. The tools available at diagnosis for investigation have developed over the last 10 years, including better utilisation of faecal calprotectin, improved small bowel imaging and video capsule endoscopy. Alongside this, management options have increased and include biological and small molecule therapies targeting alternative pathways (such as interleukin 12/23, integrins and Janus kinase/signal transducers and activators of transcription, JAK-STAT pathways) and better understanding of therapeutic drug monitoring for more established agents, such as infliximab. Dietary manipulation remains an interesting but contentious topic.This review summarises some of the recent developments in the diagnosis, investigation and management of IBD in children and young people. IBD is increasingly recognised as a continuum of disease, with a proportion of patients presenting with classical Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis phenotypes. Future implementation of personalisation and stratification strategies, including clinical and molecular biomarkers, implementation of predictors of response and outcome and use of additional therapies, will continue to require working within clinical networks and multiprofessional teams.

NIMBUS study protocol: a single-centre feasibility study of non-invasive monitoring with bowel ultrasound in paediatric inflammatory bowel disease.

INTRODUCTION: Incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is increasing in childhood and treatment increasingly targets mucosal healing. Monitoring bowel inflammation requires endoscopy or MRI enterography which are invasive, expensive and have long waiting lists.We aim to examine the feasibility of a non-invasive monitoring tool-bowel ultrasound (BUS)-in children with IBD and explore correlations with inflammatory markers and disease activity measures. Some BUS criteria have been found to correlate with these markers; however, this has not been validated in children.We aim to examine the feasibility of BUS for monitoring inflammation in this population; highlighting useful parameters for this purpose. We aim to inform a larger scale randomised controlled trial using BUS. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This prospective observational feasibility study will be carried out over 24 months at the Noah's Ark Children's Hospital for Wales, Cardiff; with the endpoint recruitment of 50 participants. Children aged 2-18 years with a modified Porto criteria diagnosis of IBD will be included.Patients without IBD or who have previously undergone IBD-related surgery will be excluded; as will families unable to give informed consent.Ultrasound scan images and reports will be collected, as well as laboratory results and clinical outcomes.The primary aim will assess the feasibility of targeted BUS for disease monitoring; including recruitment statistics. The secondary aims will involve data collection and correlation analysis for targeted ultrasound parameters, biomarkers, disease activity scores and prediction of changes in treatment. The statistical methods will include: feasibility metrics, descriptive statistics, cross-tabulation and χ2 analysis, correlation analysis, regression analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval is granted by NHS Research Ethics Committee. The sponsor is Cardiff and Vale University Health Board. We will publish the results in a peer-reviewed medical journal. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05673278.

Pedi-R-MAPP | the development, testing, validation, and refinement of a digital nutrition awareness tool.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The Remote Malnutrition Application (R-MAPP) was developed during the COVID-19 pandemic to provide support for health care professionals (HCPs) working in the community to complete remote nutritional assessments and provide practical guidance for nutritional care. R-MAPP was adapted into Pediatric Remote Malnutrition Application (Pedi-R-MAPP) using a modified Delphi consensus, with the goal of providing a structured approach to completing a nutrition focused assessment as part of a technology enabled care service (TECS) consultation. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a digital version of Pedi-R-MAPP using the IDEAS framework (Integrate, Design, Assess and Share). METHODS: A ten-step process was completed using the IDEAS framework. This involved the four concept processes; Stage-1, Integrate (Step 1-3) identify the problem, specify the goal, and use an evidence-based approach. Stage-2, (Step 4-7) design iteratively and rapidly with user feedback. Stage 3, (Step 8-9) Assess rigorously, and Stage 4 (Step 9-10) publish and launch of the tool. RESULTS: Stage 1:Evidence-based development, Pedi-R-MAPP was developed using Delphi consensus methodology. Stage 2:Iteration & design, HCPs (n = 22) from UK, Europe, South Africa, and North America were involved four workshops to further develop a paper prototype of the tool and complete small-scale testing of a beta version of the tool which resulted in eight iterations. Stage 3:Assess rigorously, Small scale retrospective testing of the tool on children with congenital heart disease (n = 80) was completed by a single researcher, with iterative changes made to improve agreement with summary advice. Large scale testing amongst (n = 745) children in different settings was completed by specialist paediatric dietitians (n = 15) advice who recorded agreement with the summary advice compared with their own clinical assessment. Paediatric dietitians were in overall agreement with the summary advice in the tool 86% (n = 640), compared to their own clinical practice. The main reasons for disagreement were i) frequency of planned review 57.1% (n = 60/105), ii) need for ongoing dietetic review due to chronic condition 20.0% (n = 21/105), iii) disagreement with recommendation for discharge 16.2% (n = 17/105) and iv) concerns with faltering growth and/or need for condition specific growth charts 6.7% (7/105). Iterative changes were made to the algorithm, leading to an improvement in agreement of the summary advice on re-evaluation to 98% (p=<0.0001). CONCLUSION: A digital version of the Pedi-R-MAPP nutrition awareness tool was developed using the IDEAS framework. The summary advice provided by the tool achieved a high level of agreement when compared to paediatric dietetic assessment, by providing a structured approach to completing a remote nutrition focused assessment, along with identifying the frequency of follow-up or an in-person assessment.

Pharmacological treatment of gastro-oesophageal reflux in children.

BACKGROUND: Gastro-oesophageal reflux (GOR) is characterised by the regurgitation of gastric contents into the oesophagus. GOR is a common presentation in infancy, both in primary and secondary care, affecting approximately 50% of infants under three months old. The natural history of GOR in infancy is generally of a self-limiting condition that improves with age, but older children and children with co-existing medical conditions can have more protracted symptoms. The distinction between gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD) and GOR is debated. Current National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines define GORD as GOR causing symptoms severe enough to merit treatment. This is an update of a review first published in 2014. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of pharmacological treatments for GOR in infants and children. SEARCH METHODS: For this update, we searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science up to 17 September 2022. We also searched for ongoing trials in clinical trials registries, contacted experts in the field, and searched the reference lists of trials and reviews for any additional trials. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared any currently-available pharmacological treatment for GOR in children with placebo or another medication. We excluded studies assessing dietary management of GORD and studies of thickened feeds. We included studies in infants and children up to 16 years old. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We used standard methodology expected by Cochrane. MAIN RESULTS: We included 36 RCTs involving 2251 children and infants. We were able to extract summary data from 14 RCTs; the remaining trials had insufficient data for extraction. We were unable to pool results in a meta-analysis due to methodological differences in the included studies (including heterogeneous outcomes, study populations, and study design). We present the results in two groups by age: infants up to 12 months old, and children aged 12 months to 16 years old. Infants Omeprazole versus placebo: there is no clear effect on symptoms from omeprazole. One study (30 infants; very low-certainty evidence) showed cry/fuss time in infants aged three to 12 months had altered from 246 ± 105 minutes/day at baseline (mean +/- standard deviation (SD)) to 191 ± 120 minutes/day in the omeprazole group and from 287 ± 132 minutes/day to 201 ± 100 minutes/day in the placebo group (mean difference (MD) 10 minutes/day lower (95% confidence interval (CI) -89.1 to 69.1)). The reflux index changed in the omeprazole group from 9.9 ± 5.8% in 24 hours to 1.0 ± 1.3% and in the placebo group from 7.2 ± 6.0% to 5.3 ± 4.9% in 24 hours (MD 7% lower, 95% CI -4.7 to -9.3). Omeprazole versus ranitidine: one study (76 infants; very low-certainty evidence) showed omeprazole may or may not provide symptomatic benefit equivalent to ranitidine. Symptom scores in the omeprazole group changed from 51.9 ± 5.4 to 2.4 ± 1.2, and in the ranitidine group from 47 ± 5.6 to 2.5 ± 0.6 after two weeks: MD -4.97 (95% CI -7.33 to -2.61). Esomeprazole versus placebo: esomeprazole appeared to show no additional reduction in the number of GORD symptoms compared to placebo (1 study, 52 neonates; very low-certainty evidence): both the esomeprazole group (184.7 ± 78.5 to 156.7 ± 75.1) and placebo group (183.1 ± 77.5 to 158.3 ± 75.9) improved: MD -3.2 (95% CI -4.6 to -1.8). Children Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) at different doses may provide little to no symptomatic and endoscopic benefit. Rabeprazole given at different doses (0.5 mg/kg and 1 mg/kg) may provide similar symptom improvement (127 children in total; very low-certainty evidence). In the lower-dose group (0.5 mg/kg), symptom scores improved in both a low-weight group of children (< 15 kg) (mean -10.6 ± SD 11.13) and a high-weight group of children (> 15 kg) (mean -13.6 ± 13.1). In the higher-dose groups (1 mg/kg), scores improved in the low-weight (-9 ± 11.2) and higher-weight groups (-8.3 ± 9.2). For the higher-weight group, symptom score mean difference between the two different dosing regimens was 2.3 (95% CI -2 to 6.6), and for the lower-weight group, symptom score MD was 4.6 (95% CI -2.9 to 12). Pantoprazole: pantoprazole may or may not improve symptom scores at 0.3 mg/kg, 0.6 mg/kg, and 1.2 mg/kg pantoprazole in children aged one to five years by week eight, with no difference between 0.3 mg/kg and 1.2 mg/kg dosing (0.3 mg/kg mean -2.4 ± 1.7; 1.2 mg/kg -1.7 ± 1.2: MD 0.7 (95% CI -0.4 to 1.8)) (one study, 60 children; very low-certainty evidence). There were insufficient summary data to assess other medications. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is very low-certainty evidence about symptom improvements and changes in pH indices for infants. There are no summary data for endoscopic changes. Medications may or may not provide a benefit (based on very low-certainty evidence) for infants whose symptoms remain bothersome, despite nonmedical interventions or parental reassurance. If a medication is required, there is no clear evidence based on summary data for omeprazole, esomeprazole (in neonates), H2antagonists, and alginates for symptom improvements (very low-certainty evidence). Further studies with longer follow-up are needed. In older children with GORD, in studies with summary data extracted, there is very low-certainty evidence that PPIs (rabeprazole and pantoprazole) may or may not improve GORD outcomes. No robust data exist for other medications. Further RCT evidence is required in all areas, including subgroups (preterm babies and children with neurodisabilities).

The Pediatric Crohn Disease Morbidity Index (PCD-MI): Development of a Tool to Assess Long-Term Disease Burden Using a Data-Driven Approach.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Heterogeneity and chronicity of Crohn disease (CD) make prediction of outcomes difficult. To date, no longitudinal measure can quantify burden over a patient's disease course, preventing assessment and integration into predictive modeling. Here, we aimed to demonstrate the feasibility of constructing a data driven, longitudinal disease burden score. METHODS: Literature was reviewed for tools used in assessment of CD activity. Themes were identified to construct a pediatric CD morbidity index (PCD-MI). Scores were assigned to variables. Data were extracted automatically from the electronic patient records at Southampton Children's Hospital, diagnosed from 2012 to 2019 (inclusive). PCD-MI scores were calculated, adjusted for duration of follow up and assessed for variation (ANOVA) and distribution (Kolmogorov-Smirnov). RESULTS: Nineteen clinical/biological features across five themes were included in the PCD-MI including blood/fecal/radiological/endoscopic results, medication usage, surgery, growth parameters, and extraintestinal manifestations. Maximal score was 100 after accounting for follow-up duration. PCD-MI was assessed in 66 patients, mean age 12.5 years. Following quality filtering, 9528 blood/fecal test results and 1309 growth measures were included. Mean PCD-MI score was 14.95 (range 2.2-32.5); data were normally distributed ( P = 0.2) with 25% of patients having a PCD-MI < 10. There was no difference in the mean PCD-MI when split by year of diagnosis, F -statistic 1.625, P = 0.147. CONCLUSIONS: PCD-MI is a calculatable measure for a cohort of patients diagnosed over an 8-year period, integrating a wide-range of data with potential to determine high or low disease burden. Future iterations of the PCD-MI require refinement of included features, optimized scores, and validation on external cohorts.

Factors Affecting Delayed Gastric Emptying and Long-Term Outcomes of Children With Gastric Emptying.

OBJECTIVES: Our study attempted to identify what factors best predict for delayed gastric emptying (DGE) and whether children respond to treatment. METHODS: Children aged between 0 and 18 were included who had a gastric emptying scintigraphy (GES) study performed between 2009 and 2018. Baseline clinical details were recorded from clinic visit records regarding symptoms, medication, and past medical history. Results were analyzed using multivariate regression analysis and coefficient analysis. Children were followed up at 2 years to assess their symptoms and medication usage. RESULTS: Two hundred and eighty-five children were included in the study of which 174 demonstrated DGE. All children had symptoms prior to GES, the most common symptom being that of vomiting and reflux symptoms which were present in over 90% of patients; other common symptoms like abdominal pain and nausea were seen commonly in around 30%. A genetic disorder and prior surgery were more common in children with DGE but there was no difference in presenting symptoms between normal and DGE groups. Regression analysis showed prior surgery and particularly prior abdominal surgery predicted for DGE and additionally predicted for those with highly DGE. Improvement in symptoms and reduction in medication usage was seen after 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides one of the largest data sets looking at DGE in children. Prior surgery was found to be a key factor in predicting for highly DGE. Symptoms and medication usage did significantly reduce substantially after 2 years.

A scoping review: urinary markers of metabolic maturation in infants with CHD and the relationship to growth.

BACKGROUND: Growth failure in infants born with CHD is a persistent problem, even in those provided with adequate nutrition. OBJECTIVE: To summarise the published data describing the change in urinary metabolites during metabolic maturation in infants with CHD and identify pathways amenable to therapeutic intervention. DESIGN: Scoping review. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies using qualitative or quantitative methods to describe urinary metabolites pre- and post-cardiac surgery and the relationship with growth in infants with CHD. SOURCES OF EVIDENCE: NICE Healthcare Databases website was used as a tool for multiple searches. RESULTS: 347 records were identified, of which 37 were duplicates. Following the removal of duplicate records, 310 record abstracts and titles were screened for inclusion. The full texts of eight articles were reviewed for eligibility, of which only two related to infants with CHD. The studies included in the scoping review described urinary metabolites in 42 infants. A content analysis identified two overarching themes of metabolic variation predictive of neurodevelopmental abnormalities associated with anaerobic metabolism and metabolic signature associated with the impact on gut microbiota, inflammation, energy, and lipid digestion. CONCLUSION: The results of this scoping review suggest that there are considerable gaps in our knowledge relating to metabolic maturation of infants with CHD, especially with respect to growth. Surgery is a key early life feature for CHD infants and has an impact on the developing biochemical phenotype with implications for metabolic pathways involved in immunomodulation, energy, gut microbial, and lipid metabolism. These early life fingerprints may predict those individuals at risk for neurodevelopmental abnormalities.

Changes in the growth of very preterm infants in England 2006-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To compare weight gain from birth to term equivalent age in very preterm infants in England born during two eras (2006-2011 and 2014-2018); to assess demographic and care factors influencing weight gain. METHODS: Data for infants born before 32 weeks of gestation during 2014-2018 in England were obtained (29 687 infants). Weight gain modelled using SuperImposition by Translation And Rotation (SITAR), with infants grouped by gestational week. A cohort from 2006 to 2011 was used for comparison (3288 infants). Multiple linear regression was used to assess factors influencing change in weight SD score from birth to 36 weeks postmenstrual age. RESULTS: Weight gain velocity (termed 'intensity' in SITAR models) was greater in the more recent cohort for all gestation groups born before 30 weeks of gestation. After adjustment for gestation, birth weight and other perinatal factors, care elements associated with faster weight gain included delivery in a level 3 unit (0.09 SD less weight gain deficit, 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.10) and parenteral nutrition initiation during the first day of life (0.08 SD, 95% CI: 0.06 to 0.10). Factors associated with slower weight gain included early ventilation (-0.07 SD, 95% CI: -0.08 to -0.05) and less deprived neighbourhood (-0.012 SD per Index of Multiple Deprivation decile, 95% CI: -0.015 to -0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Weight gain for extremely preterm infants was faster during 2014-2018 than during 2006-2011. Early initiation of parenteral nutrition and birth in a level 3 unit may contribute to faster weight gain.

Using machine learning to impact on long-term clinical care: principles, challenges, and practicalities.

The rise of machine learning in healthcare has significant implications for paediatrics. Long-term conditions with significant disease heterogeneity comprise large portions of the routine work performed by paediatricians. Improving outcomes through discovery of disease and treatment prediction models, alongside novel subgroup clustering of patients, are some of the areas in which machine learning holds significant promise. While artificial intelligence has percolated into routine use in our day to day lives through advertising algorithms, song or movie selections and sifting of spam emails, the ability of machine learning to utilise highly complex and dimensional data has not yet reached its full potential in healthcare. In this review article, we discuss some of the foundations of machine learning, including some of the basic algorithms. We emphasise the importance of correct utilisation of machine learning, including adequate data preparation and external validation. Using nutrition in preterm infants and paediatric inflammatory bowel disease as examples, we discuss the evidence and potential utility of machine learning in paediatrics. Finally, we review some of the future applications, alongside challenges and ethical considerations related to application of artificial intelligence. IMPACT: Machine learning is a widely used term; however, understanding of the process and application to healthcare is lacking. This article uses clinical examples to explore complex machine learning terms and algorithms. We discuss limitations and potential future applications within paediatrics and neonatal medicine.

NOD2 in Crohn's Disease-Unfinished Business.

Studies of Crohn's disease have consistently implicated NOD2 as the most important gene in disease pathogenesis since first being identified in 2001. Thereafter, genome-wide association, next-generation sequencing and functional analyses have all confirmed a key role for NOD2, but despite this, NOD2 also has significant unresolved complexity. More recent studies have reinvigorated an early hypothesis that NOD2 may be a single-gene cause of disease, and the distinct ileal stricturing phenotype seen with NOD2-related disease presents an opportunity for personalized diagnosis, disease prediction and targeted therapy. The genomics of NOD2 has much that remains unknown, including the role of rare variation, phasing of variants across the haplotype block and the role of variation in the NOD2-regulatory regions. Here, we discuss the evidence and the unmet needs of NOD2 research, based on recently published evidence, and suggest methods that may meet these requirements.

Optimising growth in very preterm infants: reviewing the evidence.

Infants born before 32 weeks' postmenstrual age are at a high risk of growth failure. International guidelines have long recommended that they match the growth of an equivalent fetus, despite the challenges posed by ex utero life and comorbidities of prematurity. Several groups have recently questioned the necessity or desirability of this target, shifting attention to aiming for growth which optimises important long-term outcomes. Specifically, recent research has identified the neurodevelopmental benefits of enhanced growth during the neonatal period, but work in term infant suggests that rapid growth may promote the metabolic syndrome in later life. In this context, defining a pattern of growth which optimises outcomes is complex, controversial and contested. Even if an optimal pattern of growth can be defined, determining the nutritional requirements to achieve such growth is not straightforward, and investigations into the nutritional needs of the very preterm infant continue. Furthermore, each infant has individual nutritional needs and may encounter a number of barriers to achieving good nutrition. This article offers a narrative review of recent evidence for the competing definitions of optimal growth in this cohort. It examines recent advances in the determination of macronutrient and micronutrient intake targets along with common barriers to achieving good nutrition and growth. Finally, key implications for clinical practice are set out and a recommendation for structured multidisciplinary management of nutrition and growth is illustrated.