Measles Outbreak Investigation in Aneded District, Northwest Ethiopia: A Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Between 2000 and 2018, global measles deaths decreased by 73%, but the disease remains prevalent in many developing countries, especially in Africa and Asia. Although Ethiopia was attempting to eliminate the measles, it still ranks fourth in the world in terms of the number of cases. The aim of the investigation was to describe the outbreak and identify its determinants in the Aneded district. METHODS: Between March 3, 2020, and April 2, 2020, the 89 patients and 178 controls participated in a case-control study. Data were gathered by means of in-person interviews with household leaders. The attack and case fatality rates were determined. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, variables having a p-value of less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant cut-off points. RESULTS: An investigation was conducted on a total of 89 measles cases, with 3 deaths and 178 controls. In total, there were 1.65 attacks per 1000 people, or 3.4% of the case fatality rate. There were 155 days of outbreak duration. The disease was significantly associated with being female [adjusted odds ratios (AOR) = 2.66; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.38-5.11], under 5 years old [AOR = 7.24; 95% CI = 2.58-20.31], positive in attitude [AOR = 0.22; 95% CI = 0.11-0.42], and having a contact history [AOR = 3.19; 95% CI = 1.67-6.10]. CONCLUSION: The measles outbreak, with its higher attack and case fatality rate, has been influenced by factors like household attitudes, age, sex, contact and travel history and needs to be reduced through early detection, active surveillance, and fostering favorable attitudes towards disease prevention and control.

Attack Rate, Case Fatality Rate and Predictors of Pertussis Outbreak During Pertussis Outbreak Investigation in Ethiopia: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pertussis, a highly contagious, vaccine-preventable respiratory infection caused by Bordetella pertussis, is a leading global public health issue. Ethiopia is currently conducting multiple pertussis outbreak investigations, but there is a lack of comprehensive information on attack rate, case fatality rate, and infection predictors. This study aimed to measure attack rates, case fatality rates, and factors associated with pertussis outbreak. METHODS: This study conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published and unpublished studies on pertussis outbreaks in Ethiopia from 2009 to 2023, using observational study designs, using the guideline Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). The study utilized databases like Science Direct, MEDLINE/PubMed, African Journals Online, Google Scholar and registers. The data were collected using an Excel Spreadsheet and then exported to STATA version 17 for analysis. Subgroup analysis was conducted to identify potential disparities. A random effects model was used to consider heterogeneity among studies. I2-squared test statistics were used to assess heterogeneity. The attack rate, case fatality rate, and odds ratio (OR) were presented using forest plots with a 95% confidence interval. Egger's and Begg's tests were used to evaluate the publication bias. RESULTS: Seven pertussis outbreak investigations with a total of 2824 cases and 18 deaths were incorporated. The pooled attack and case fatality rates were 10.78 (95% CI: 8.1-13.5) per 1000 population and 0.8% (95% CI: 0.01-1.58%), respectively. The highest and lowest attack rates were in Oromia (5.57 per 1000 population and in the Amhara region (2.61 per 1000 population), respectively. Predictor of pertussis outbreak were being unvaccinated [odds ratio (OR) = 3.05, 95% CI: 1.83-4.27] and contact history [OR = 3.44, 95% CI: 1.69-5.19]. CONCLUSION: Higher and notable variations in attack and case fatality rates were reported. Being unvaccinated and having contact history were the predictors of contracting pertussis disease in Ethiopia. Enhancing routine vaccination and contact tracing efforts should be strengthened.

On-Time Appointment Keeping and Associated Factors among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Positive Adult Patients Accessing Antiretroviral Therapy at Health Centers in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia, 2019.

Background: The magnitude of on-time appointment keeping among HIV-positive adult patients was not identified in Ethiopia. Hence, this study aimed to assess on-time appointment keeping and associated factors among human immunodeficiency virus-positive patients accessing antiretroviral therapy in the East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia. Methods: A community-based cross-sectional study was performed on 830 HIV-positive patients from April 1 to May 10, 2019, in East Gojjam Zone. A systematic random sampling technique was used to include study subjects, and data were collected through face-to-face interviews. Bivariable and multivariable binary logistic regression analyses were performed. Independent variables with a P value of <0.05 were considered statistically significant cut points. Results: The prevalence of on-time appointment keeping was 62.1%. Being >24 years old (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 2.13; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.54-4.25), being unmarried (AOR = 0.59; 95% CI = 0.45-0.82), taking a drug regimen of tenofovir + lamivudine (3TC) + efavirenz (EFV) (AOR = 2.11; 95% CI = 1.84-3.62), taking ART ≥12 months (AOR = 4.32; 95% CI = 2.22-8.40), having a mobile (AOR = 2.22; 95% CI = 1.44-3.64), and getting adherence support (AOR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.16; 95% 1.16-3.50) were significant factors. Conclusion: On-time appointment keeping was low. Adherence support and appointment reminders should be strengthened.

Attack rate, case fatality rate and determinants of measles infection during a measles outbreak in Ethiopia: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Although Ethiopia is working towards measles elimination, a recurrent measles outbreak has occurred. To take appropriate measures, previously, many fragmented and inconsistent outbreak investigations were done, but there is no consolidated evidence on attack rate, case fatality rate, and determinants of measles infection during the measles outbreak. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify cumulative evidence on attack rate, case fatality rate, and determinants of measles infection during the outbreak. METHODS: A systematic literature review and Meta-analysis was used. We searched Google Scholar, Medline/PubMed, Cochrane/Wiley Library, EMBASE, Science Direct, and African Journals Online databases using different terms. Investigations that applied any study design, data collection- and analysis methods related to the measles outbreak investigation were included. Data were extracted in an Excel spreadsheet and imported into STATA version 17 software for meta-analysis. The I2 statistics were used to test heterogeneity, and 'Begg's and 'Egger's tests were used to assess publication bias. The odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was presented using forest plots. RESULTS: Eight measles outbreak investigations with 3004 measles cases and 33 deaths were included in this study. The pooled attack rate (A.R.) and case fatality rate were 34.51/10,000 [95% CI; 21.33-47.70/10,000] population and 2.21% [95% CI; 0.07-2.08%], respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed the highest attack rate of outbreaks in the Oromia region (63.05 per 10,000 population) and the lowest in the Amhara region (17.77 per 10,000 population). Associated factors with the measles outbreak were being unvaccinated (OR = 5.96; 95% CI: 3.28-10.82) and contact history (OR = 3.90; 95% CI: 2.47-6.15). CONCLUSION: Our analysis revealed compelling evidence within the outbreak descriptions, highlighting elevated attack and case fatality rates. Measles infection was notably linked to being unvaccinated and having a contact history. Strengthening routine vaccination practices and enhancing contact tracing measures are vital strategies moving forward.

Adherence to antiretroviral therapy and associated factors among human immunodeficiency -positive patients accessing treatment at health centers in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia, 2019: Community-based cross-sectional study.

Background: To achieve an effective treatment outcome, Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) for people living with the Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) needs at least a 95% adherence level. The aim was to assess adherence to antiretroviral therapy and its associated factors among patients accessing treatment at Health centers in East Gojjam Zone, Northwest Ethiopia. Methods: A community-based cross-sectional study was conducted on 770 HIV-positive patients from April 1 to May 10, 2019, in East Gojjam Zone. The study participants were selected by simple random computerized sampling methods. Primary data was collected from the patients through face-to-face interviews and home-to-home visits. Bivariable and multivariable binary logistic regression analyses were done. Independent variables with a P-value of <0.2 in bivariable binary logistic regression analysis were considered for multivariable binary logistic regression analysis. A P-value of <0.05 was used as the cut-off point for the presence of statistical significance. Results: About 396 (51.8%) of the study participants had good adherence. Being 18-24 years old [Adjusted Odd Ratio (AOR) = 0.43; 95% CI = 0.21-0.86], having a marital status of being widowed (AOR = 0.29; 95% CI = 0.14-0.58), having a disease duration of >10 years (AOR = 0.47; 95% CI = 0.24-0.94), taking a drug regimen of Tenofovir (TDF) + Lamivudine (3 TC) + Nevirapine (NVP) (AOR = 2.94; 95% CI = 1.406.15), not being socially stigmatized (AOR = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.34-0.78), and having not encountered an opportunistic infection (AOR = 3.91; 95% CI = 2.68-5.72) were significant factors. Conclusions: The level of adherence was low. Opportunistic infection prevention, reduction of social stigma, and other intervention activities should be strengthened to increase the level of adherence.