Feature importance: Opening a soil-transmitted helminth machine learning model via SHAP.

In the field of landscape epidemiology, the contribution of machine learning (ML) to modeling of epidemiological risk scenarios presents itself as a good alternative. This study aims to break with the "black box" paradigm that underlies the application of automatic learning techniques by using SHAP to determine the contribution of each variable in ML models applied to geospatial health, using the prevalence of hookworms, intestinal parasites, in Ethiopia, where they are widely distributed; the country bears the third-highest burden of hookworm in Sub-Saharan Africa. XGBoost software was used, a very popular ML model, to fit and analyze the data. The Python SHAP library was used to understand the importance in the trained model, of the variables for predictions. The description of the contribution of these variables on a particular prediction was obtained, using different types of plot methods. The results show that the ML models are superior to the classical statistical models; not only demonstrating similar results but also explaining, by using the SHAP package, the influence and interactions between the variables in the generated models. This analysis provides information to help understand the epidemiological problem presented and provides a tool for similar studies.

Evaluation of LAMP for the diagnosis of Loa loa infection in dried blood spots compared to PCR-based assays and microscopy.

BACKGROUND: Loa loa is a filarial species found exclusively in West and Central Africa. Microscopy is the traditional diagnosis method for human loiasis. Several molecular methods have developed as an alternative approach for identification of L. loa filarial parasites. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate a Loa-Loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) assay to diagnose loiasis disease on dried blood spots (DBS) samples, compared to microscopy, filaria-real time-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and nested-Loa PCR. METHODS: A total of 100 DBS samples and 100 blood smears were used for this study. DNA was extracted using saponin/Chelex method. DNA isolated was assayed by a Loa-LAMP assay in parallel to microscopy, filaria-real time PCR and nested-Loa PCR. The sensitivities and specificities of Loa-LAMP assay was computed comparing to each one of the reference methods. FINDINGS: Loa-LAMP's sensitivity was more than 90% and specificity was nearly 100% when compared to molecular methods. On the other hand, sensitivity was decreased a bit when Loa-LAMP faced microscopy, but keeping the other statistical values high. MAIN CONCLUSIONS: Loa-LAMP is an appropriate method for loiasis diagnosis in endemic areas. Though, it has disadvantages like the reagents' high price at the moment and not to be able to detect more filarial species at once.

Mapping health behaviour related to Chagas diagnosis in a non-endemic country: Application of Andersen's Behavioural Model.

BACKGROUND: Chagas disease has become a challenge for non-endemic countries since population mobility has increased in recent years and it has spread to these regions. In order to prevent vertical transmission and improve the prognosis of the disease, it is important to make an early diagnosis. And to develop strategies that improve access to diagnosis, it is important to know the factors that most influence the decision of the population to know their serological status. For this reason, this study uses Andersen's Behavioural Model and its proposed strategies to explore the health behaviours of Bolivian population. METHODS: Twenty-three interviews, two focus groups, and two triangular groups were performed with Bolivian men and women, involving a total of 39 participants. In addition, four interviews were conducted with key informants in contact with Bolivian population to delve into possible strategies to improve the Chagas diagnosis. RESULTS: The most relevant facts for the decision to being diagnosed pointed out by participants were having relatives who were sick or deceased from Chagas disease or, for men, having their pregnant wife with a positive result. After living in Spain more than ten years, population at risk no longer feels identified with their former rural origin and the vector. Moreover, their knowledge and awareness about diagnosis and treatment still remains low, especially in younger people. Limitations on access to healthcare professionals and services were also mentioned, and proposed strategies focused on eliminating these barriers and educating the population in preventive behaviours. CONCLUSIONS: Based on Andersen's Behavioural Model, the results obtained regarding the factors that most influence the decision to carry out Chagas diagnosis provide information that could help to develop strategies to improve access to health services and modify health behaviours related to Chagas screening.

Evaluation of LAMP for the diagnosis of Loa loa infection in dried blood spots compared to PCR-based assays and microscopy

BACKGROUND Loa loa is a filarial species found exclusively in West and Central Africa. Microscopy is the traditional diagnosis method for human loiasis. Several molecular methods have developed as an alternative approach for identification of L. loa filarial parasites. OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to evaluate a Loa-Loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) assay to diagnose loiasis disease on dried blood spots (DBS) samples, compared to microscopy, filaria-real time-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and nested-Loa PCR. METHODS A total of 100 DBS samples and 100 blood smears were used for this study. DNA was extracted using saponin/Chelex method. DNA isolated was assayed by a Loa-LAMP assay in parallel to microscopy, filaria-real time PCR and nested-Loa PCR. The sensitivities and specificities of Loa-LAMP assay was computed comparing to each one of the reference methods. FINDINGS Loa-LAMP's sensitivity was more than 90% and specificity was nearly 100% when compared to molecular methods. On the other hand, sensitivity was decreased a bit when Loa-LAMP faced microscopy, but keeping the other statistical values high. MAIN CONCLUSIONS Loa-LAMP is an appropriate method for loiasis diagnosis in endemic areas. Though, it has disadvantages like the reagents' high price at the moment and not to be able to detect more filarial species at once.

Chagas screening and treatment among Bolivians living in Madrid, Spain: The need for an official protocol.

BACKGROUND: It is estimated that around 52,000 people live with Chagas in Spain, but only 10% have been diagnosed. Migrants from Bolivia bear the burden of Chagas infection in Spain. However, little is known about their current management of Chagas diagnosis and treatment patterns. This study aimed to assess the Chagas related disease perception and health behaviour of Bolivians living in Madrid. METHODS AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: For a first time, a cross-sectional survey about Chagas' knowledges and practices was carried out in Madrid, Spain. A total of 376 Bolivians were interviewed about their Chagas health-seeking behaviour. Differences between men and women were assessed Most of Bolivians living in Madrid have access to the public health services. 44% of Bolivians included in the survey had a Chagas screening test done. However, while women did their test for Chagas mostly at hospital (59.2%), men also used the community campaigns (17.5%) and blood banks (14.3%). The prevalence reported among Bolivians tested was 27.7%. Unfortunately, more than half of those reporting a positive test for Chagas did not begin or completed treatment. Only 45.7% of positives reported having had their children tested for Chagas. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the increase in the number of Chagas diagnoses done in Madrid, the number of Bolivians who tested positive and then started or completed treatment remains very low. The fact that most Bolivians' access to the health system is through the primary healthcare services should be considered for improving management of cases and follow-up of treatment adherence. Local and national protocol establishing guidelines for the screening and treatment of Chagas disease would help improving case detection and management at all levels of the healthcare system.

Knowledge and experiences of Chagas disease in Bolivian women living in Spain: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: In Europe, Spain has the highest number of people with Chagas disease (CD). Bolivian migrants account for 81% of the reported cases. One of the priorities in controlling the disease is prevention of mother-to-child transmission. Despite under-diagnosis in Spain being estimated at 90%, there are currently few studies that explore the social and cultural dimensions of this disease. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to explore the knowledge and experiences of Bolivian women with CD, in order to generate a useful understanding for the design and implementation of public health initiatives. DESIGN: Qualitative study based on semi-structured interviews, triangular groups, and field notes. PARTICIPANTS: Fourteen Bolivian women with CD living in Madrid. RESULTS: The participants were aware that the disease was transmitted through the vector, that it could be asymptomatic, and that it could also be associated with sudden death by heart failure. They opined that the treatment as such could not cure the disease but only slow it down. There was a sense of indifference along with a lack of understanding of the risk of contracting the disease. Participants who presented with symptoms, or those with relatives suffering from the disease, were concerned about fatalities, cardiac problems, and possible vertical transmission. There was also a fear of being rejected by others. The disease was described as something that affected a large number of people but only showed up in a few cases and that too after many years. There was a widespread assumption that it was better not to know because doing so, allows the disease to take hold. CONCLUSIONS: Disease risk perception was very low in Bolivian women living in Madrid. This factor, together with the fear of being screened, may be contributing to the current rate of under-diagnosis.

Status of dhps and dhfr genes of Plasmodium falciparum in Colombia before artemisinin based treatment policy / Estado de los genes dhps y dhfr de Plasmodium falciparum en Colombia antes de la recomendación de tratamiento basado en artemisinina

Introduction: Surveillance of the genetic characteristics of dhps and dhfr can be useful to outline guidelines for application of intermittent preventive therapy in Northwest Colombia and to define the future use of antifolates in artemisinin-based combination therapy schemes. Objective: To evaluate the frequency of mutations in dhps and dhfr and to characterize parasite populations using msp-1, msp-2 and glurp in historic samples before artemisinin-based therapy was implemented in the country. Methods: A controlled clinical study was carried out on randomly selected Plasmodium falciparum infected volunteers of Northwest Colombia (Turbo and Zaragoza). A sample size of 25 subjects per region was calculated. Treatment efficacy to antifolates was assessed. Molecular analyses included P. falciparum genotypes by msp-1, msp-2 and glurp and evaluation of the status of codons 16, 51, 59, 108 and 164 of dhfr and 436, 437, 540, 581 and 613 of dhps. Results: In total 78 subjects were recruited. A maximum number of 4 genotypes were detected by msp-1, msp-2 and glurp. Codons 16, 59 and 164 of the dhfr gene exhibited the wild-type form, while codons 51 and 108 were mutant. In the dhps gene, the mutant 437 glycine was detected in 85% on day 0, while codons 436, 540, 581 and 613 were wild-type. Conclusions: Plasmodium falciparum populations were very homogeneous in this region of Colombia, and the triple mutants of dhfr and dhps Asn108, Ile51 and Gly437 were predominant in clinical isolates.

Introducción. La vigilancia de las características genéticas de dhps y dhfr puede utilizarse para delinear guías de aplicación de terapia preventiva intermitente en el nordeste de Colombia y para definir el uso futuro de los antifolatos en esquemas terapéuticos basados en artemisinina. Objetivo. Evaluar la frecuencia de mutaciones en dhps y dhfr, y caracterizar las poblaciones parasitarias usando msp-1, msp-2 y glurp, en muestras históricas obtenidas antes de la implementación en el país de la terapia basada en artemisinina. Métodos. Se llevó a cabo un estudio clínico controlado en voluntarios infectados con Plasmodium falciparum seleccionados aleatoriamente y provenientes del nordeste de Colombia (Turbo y Zaragoza). Se calculó una muestra de 25 sujetos por región. Se evaluó la eficacia al tratamiento con antifolatos. Los análisis moleculares incluyeron la obtención de genotipos de msp-1, msp-2 y glurp y el estado de los codones 16, 51, 59, 108 y 164 de dhfr, y 436, 437, 5540, 581 y 613 de dhps. Resultados. Se estudiaron 78 sujetos. Se detectó un número máximo de 4 genotipos con msp-1, msp-2 y glurp. Los codones 16, 59 y 164 del gen dhfr se encontraron en su forma silvestre, mientras que los codones 51 y 108 estaban mutados. En el gen dhps, la forma mutante (glicina) en el codón 437, se detectó en 85% el día 0, mientras que los codones 436, 540, 581 y 613 se encontraron silvestres. Conclusiones. Las poblaciones de P. falciparum son muy homogéneas en esta región de Colombia y las triple mutantes de dhfr y dhps Asn108, Ile51 and Gly437, predominaron en los aislamientos clínicos.