Prevention of heart failure by antihypertensive drug treatment in older persons with isolated systolic hypertension. SHEP Cooperative Research Group.

CONTEXT: Heart failure is often preceded by isolated systolic hypertension, but the effectiveness of antihypertensive treatment in preventing heart failure is not known. OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of diuretic-based antihypertensive stepped-care treatment on the occurrence of heart failure in older persons with isolated systolic hypertension. DESIGN: Analysis of data from a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 4736 persons aged 60 years and older with systolic blood pressure between 160 and 219 mm Hg and diastolic blood pressure below 90 mm Hg who participated in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP). INTERVENTION: Stepped-care antihypertensive drug therapy, in which the step 1 drug is chlorthalidone (12.5-25 mg) or matching placebo, and the step 2 drug is atenolol (25-50 mg) or matching placebo. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Fatal and nonfatal heart failure. RESULTS: During an average of 4.5 years of follow-up, fatal or nonfatal heart failure occurred in 55 of 2365 patients randomized to active therapy and 105 of the 2371 patients randomized to placebo (relative risk [RR], 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37-0.71; P<.001; number needed to treat to prevent 1 event [NNT], 48). Among patients with a history of or electrocardiographic evidence of prior myocardial infarction (MI), the RR was 0.19 (95% CI, 0.06-0.53; P=.002; NNT, 15). Older patients, men, and those with higher systolic blood pressure or a history of or electrocardiographic evidence of MI at baseline had higher risk of developing heart failure. CONCLUSION: In older persons with isolated systolic hypertension, stepped-care treatment based on low-dose chlorthalidone exerted a strong protective effect in preventing heart failure. Among patients with prior MI, an 80% risk reduction was observed.

Effect of atenolol and reserpine on selected events in the systolic hypertension in the elderly program (SHEP).

The effect of atenolol and reserpine on incidence of strokes, coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality was assessed in 4736 persons aged 60 years and older with isolated systolic hypertension. Participants were randomized to either chlorthalidone (2371), with step-up to atenolol, or reserpine if needed, or placebo (2365). The average baseline SBP/DBP was 170/77 mm Hg. In the active treatment group, step 1, dose 1 was chlorthalidone, 12.5 mg/day; dose 2 was 25 mg/day. For step 2, dose 1 was atenolol 25 mg/day (or reserpine 0.05 mg/day if atenolol was contraindicated); dose 2 was 50 mg/day (reserpine, 0.10 mg/day). During 4.5 years average follow-up, 32% (757) of the active treatment group were on atenolol, with an average exposure of two years and 8% (193) were on reserpine with an average exposure of 1.7 years. Overall there were 96 strokes, 140 CHD events and 289 CVD events among the 2365 active group participants. Using time-dependent lifetable regression with adjustment for several variables, the addition of either atenolol or reserpine to chlorthalidone did not substantially alter the risk ratios for chlorthalidone alone. The relative risk for CHD events for atenolol versus no atenolol was 1.04 (95% confidence interval: 0.58, 1.86) and for reserpine versus no reserpine was 0.93 (95% confidence interval: 0.29, 2.96). The relative risk for atenolol were 0.84 (95% confidence interval: 0.54, 1.30) for death, 1.34 (95% confidence interval: 0.80, 2.28) for stroke, and 1.07 (95% confidence interval: 0.71, 1.61) for CVD. For reserpine, the corresponding relative risks and confidence intervals were 0.65 (0.26, 1.59) for death, 0.27 (0.04, 2.26) for stroke, and 0.55 (0.20, 1.49) for CVD. Thus, the beneficial effects in several outcomes in Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) were due to the treatment regimen of lowering blood pressure based on low-dose chlorthalidone (plus atenolol or reserpine as required to meet blood pressure criteria). Additional (independent) benefits attributable to atenolol or to reserpine were not identified. However, a greater number of patients might have been necessary to adequately evaluate potential differential effects of these drugs, especially for reserpine.

Statistical considerations in monitoring the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP).

The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP), a randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial of 4736 persons, was designed to assess the efficacy of antihypertensive drug treatment to reduce the risk of fatal and nonfatal strokes among people age 60 and over with isolated systolic hypertension. The statistical method used in interim monitoring of results was conditional power (or stochastic curtailment). The findings did not become conclusive until near the completion of the trial, and therefore SHEP was continued to its scheduled closing date. The trial demonstrated a 36% reduction in the incidence of stroke in the active treatment group (P = .0003). In addition to evaluating overall efficacy of treatment, the monitoring process considered such other issues as nonstroke outcomes, lag time between first report of stroke and final confirmation of stroke diagnosis, consistency of results across subgroups, and completeness of follow-up. The purpose of this article is to review these factors with primary emphasis on the statistical aspects.

Effects of the implementation of a smoke-free policy in a medical center.

The implementation of a smoke-free policy in this medical center was associated with a decrease in the prevalence of regular cigarette smoking from 16.7 percent to 13.8 percent and a smoking cessation rate of 22.5 percent among regular smokers over the 2 1/2 years since the policy was announced. This decrease in prevalence is the result of both smoking cessation among existing employees and less frequent regular smoking among new employees. At two-year follow-up, the policy was overwhelmingly endorsed by medical center staff overall but was viewed less favorably by those who continued to smoke. Nevertheless, over the 2 1/2 years, many of these smokers have been in the action stage of cessation (37.1 percent made a serious attempt to stop smoking, 20.7 percent had used nicotine polacrilex in a smoking-cessation effort, and 13.8 percent had attended a formal cessation program). The implementation of a smoke-free policy has made a significant contribution toward providing a healthful work environment and toward encouraging nonsmoking behavior in staff and patients.

Isolated systolic hypertension: lowering the risk of stroke in older patients. SHEP Cooperative Research Group.

The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) was the first clinical trial to demonstrate the efficacy of low-dose antihypertensive medication in preventing stroke in older individuals with isolated systolic hypertension (ISH). The trial was multicentered, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled and involved 4,736 men and women, black and white, age 60 and over with ISH. Results showed a highly significant 36% reduction in nonfatal plus fatal stroke over 5 years in the group treated with active medication (low-dose chlorthalidone was step one), compared with the placebo group. Nonfatal plus fatal coronary disease and cardiovascular disease were also significantly reduced with antihypertensive medication, by 27% and 32% respectively, and total mortality was lower by 13%.

Coronary drug project: experience with niacin. Coronary Drug Project Research Group.

Niacin was one of the treatments compared in the Coronary Drug Project, a placebo-controlled, multicenter trial of lipid-lowering drugs in the secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. A total of 1119 men, aged 30-64 at entry, were randomized to niacin and 2789 to placebo by the end of recruitment in March 1969. Although side-effects interfered with adherence to the niacin regimen, it was the most effective agent in achieving cholesterol-lowering (10% overall); other agents in the trial were clofibrate, dextrothyroxine, and conjugated equine estrogens. At the scheduled conclusion of the trial in February 1975, the niacin-treated group exhibited a statistically significantly lower incidence of definite, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) than the placebo group. There was a trend toward improvement in the life-table mortality curve, but this was not statistically significant. In 1981 an extended follow-up was carried out concerning vital status for the 6008 men who were still alive at the end of treatment and active follow-up in the trial in 1975 (827 in the niacin group and 2008 in placebo groups). Vital status was determined for 99.1% of these men after a mean of 9 years from conclusion of the trial. In the group previously randomized to niacin, there were 69 (11%) fewer deaths than were expected on the basis of mortality in the placebo group. This difference was significant (z = -3.52; P = 0.0004). The data also suggested that patients with a higher baseline cholesterol experienced greater benefit from niacin therapy, as did those with the best response to the drug.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

The making of a smoke-free medical center.

The concept of smoke-free medical facilities is in its formative stages, and such policies have received broad support. Although smoking has been restricted at Mayo Medical Center for many years, in 1986 it was decided that the medical center should become smoke free. This report summarizes the methods used in developing and implementing a smoke-free policy. This experience suggests that with proper planning, the implementation can be smooth. The message being given to patients and staff concerning the health risk of smoking is now more consistent, and there has been wide acceptance of the policy by staff and patients. It is concluded that such a policy can be effectively implemented, if it is well planned and supported.

Fifteen year mortality in Coronary Drug Project patients: long-term benefit with niacin.

The Coronary Drug Project was conducted between 1966 and 1975 to assess the long-term efficacy and safety of five lipid-influencing drugs in 8,341 men aged 30 to 64 years with electrocardiogram-documented previous myocardial infarction. The two estrogen regimens and dextrothyroxine were discontinued early because of adverse effects. No evidence of efficacy was found for the clofibrate treatment. Niacin treatment showed modest benefit in decreasing definite nonfatal recurrent myocardial infarction but did not decrease total mortality. With a mean follow-up of 15 years, nearly 9 years after termination of the trial, mortality from all causes in each of the drug groups, except for niacin, was similar to that in the placebo group. Mortality in the niacin group was 11% lower than in the placebo group (52.0 versus 58.2%; p = 0.0004). This late benefit of niacin, occurring after discontinuation of the drug, may be a result of a translation into a mortality benefit over subsequent years of the early favorable effect of niacin in decreasing nonfatal reinfarction or a result of the cholesterol-lowering effect of niacin, or both.

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol and prognosis after myocardial infarction.

The Coronary Drug Project was a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of lipid-influencing drugs in men who had recovered from one or more documented myocardial infarctions. Determinations of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were made at baseline in a group of 354 men randomized to the placebo group. Five-year mortality was highest (33.0%) in men with baseline serum HDL cholesterol levels of less than 35 mg/dl; it was 15.9%, 17.7%, and 21.8% in men with levels of 35--39, 40--44, and greater than or equal to 45 mg/dl, respectively (for the linear inverse relationship between HDL cholesterol and 5-year mortality, p = 0.029). Adjustment for 40 baseline variables had a minimal effect on this relationship (p = 0.042).