Early Maintenance Treatment Initiation and Relapse Risk Mitigation After a First Event of MOGAD in Adults: The MOGADOR2 Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Because myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) is a recently identified autoimmune disorder, the natural history of MOGAD is still not well described. The objective of this study was to describe the long-term outcomes of adult patients with MOGAD. In addition, we aimed to identify factors affecting relapse risk and neurologic outcomes. METHODS: Clinical and biological data were obtained from patients with a first event of MOGAD and included in the French nationwide incident cohort between February 2014 and March 2017. Only patients aged 18 years or older at disease onset and with observation period of at least 3 months were included. Data were collected prospectively until July 2023 and registered in the dedicated French nationwide database. This form includes every relapse with phenotype description during follow-up, date of last assessment, final clinical outcome with Expanded Disability Status Scale score and visual acuity, and maintenance therapy. The probability of recurrence-free survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: We included 128 patients. The onset phenotype was isolated optic neuritis in 81 patients (63.3%) and isolated myelitis in 25 patients (19.5%). The median follow-up duration was 77.8 months (range 3.2-111.2), with 49 patients (38.3%) experienced at least one relapse. Median times from onset to second and third attacks were 3.2 (1.0-86.2) and 13.0 (2.6-64.4) months, respectively. At the last assessment, Expanded Disability Status Scale Score was ≥3 and ≥6 in 22 (17.2%) and 6 (4.7%) patients, respectively. Eighty patients received at least one maintenance treatment. This treatment was initiated after the first attack in 47 patients (36.7% of the whole cohort) and at the time of a second attack in 25 (19.5%). Multivariate analysis revealed that initiating maintenance treatment after the first attack was associated with a lower relapse risk (OR = 0.26 [95% CI 0.11-0.62], p = 0.002). In patients receiving maintenance therapy after first attack, the 2-year, 4-year, 6-year, and 8-year relapse risks were 11%, 15%, 20%, and 20%, respectively. In other patients, the risks were 41%, 46%, 51%, and 56%. DISCUSSION: The highest risk of a relapse in MOGAD occurs early, and initiating maintenance therapy from the first attack substantially reduced the relapse risk. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that initiating maintenance therapy from the first attack in patients with MOGAD reduces the relapse risk.

Acute Clinical Events Identified as Relapses With Stable Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Understanding the association between clinically defined relapses and radiological activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) is essential for patient treatment and therapeutic development. Objective: To investigate clinical events identified as relapses but not associated with new T2 lesions or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesions on brain and spinal cord magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter observational cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and June 2023. Data were extracted on June 8, 2023, from the French MS registry. All clinical events reported as relapses in patients with relapsing-remitting MS were included if brain and spinal cord MRI was performed within 12 and 24 months before the event, respectively, and 50 days thereafter with gadolinium injection. Exposures: Events were classified as relapses with active MRI (RAM) if a new T2 lesion or gadolinium-enhanced T1 lesion appeared on brain or spinal cord MRI or as acute clinical events with stable MRI (ACES) otherwise. Main Outcomes and Measures: Factors associated with ACES were investigated; patients with ACES and RAM were compared regarding Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) course, relapse rate, confirmed disability accrual (CDA), relapse-associated worsening (RAW), progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), and transition to secondary progressive (SP) MS, and ACES and RAM rates under each disease-modifying therapy (DMT) were estimated. Results: Among 31 885 clinical events, 637 in 608 patients (493 [77.4%] female; mean [SD] age, 35.8 [10.7] years) were included. ACES accounted for 166 (26.1%) events and were more likely in patients receiving highly effective DMTs, those with longer disease duration (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07), or those presenting with fatigue (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.15-3.96). ACES were associated with significant EDSS score increases, lower than those found for RAM. Before the index event, patients with ACES experienced significantly higher rates of relapse (relative rate [RR], 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01-1.46), CDA (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% CI, 1.13-2.11), and RAW (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.20-2.45). Patients with ACES were at significantly greater risk of SP transition (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.02-6.51). Although RAM rate decreased with DMTs according to their expected efficacy, ACES rate was stable across DMTs. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings in this study introduce the concept of ACES in MS, which accounted for one-fourth of clinical events identified as relapses.

High-Efficacy Therapy Discontinuation vs Continuation in Patients 50 Years and Older With Nonactive MS.

Importance: A recent randomized clinical trial concluded that discontinuing medium-efficacy therapy might be a reasonable option for older patients with nonactive multiple sclerosis (MS), but there is a lack of data on discontinuing high-efficacy therapy (HET). In younger patients, the discontinuation of natalizumab and fingolimod is associated with a risk of rebound of disease activity. Objective: To determine whether discontinuing HET in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS is associated with an increased risk of relapse compared with continuing HET. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational cohort study used data from 38 referral centers from the French MS registry (Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques [OFSEP] database). Among 84704 patients in the database, data were extracted for 1857 patients 50 years and older with relapsing-remitting MS treated by HET and with no relapse or magnetic resonance imaging activity for at least 2 years. After verification of the medical records, 1620 patients were classified as having discontinued HET or having remained taking treatment and were matched 1:1 using a dynamic propensity score (including age, sex, disease phenotype, disability, treatment of interest, and time since last inflammatory activity). Patients were included from February 2008 to November 2021, with a mean (SD) follow-up of 5.1 (2.9) years. Data were extracted in June 2022. Exposures: Natalizumab, fingolimod, rituximab, and ocrelizumab. Main Outcomes and Measures: Time to first relapse. Results: Of 1620 included patients, 1175 (72.5%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 54.7 (4.8) years. Among the 1452 in the HET continuation group and 168 in the HET discontinuation group, 154 patients in each group were matched using propensity scores (mean [SD] age, 57.7 [5.5] years; mean [SD] delay since the last inflammatory activity, 5.6 [3.8] years; mean [SD] follow-up duration after propensity score matching, 2.5 [2.1] years). Time to first relapse was significantly reduced in the HET discontinuation group compared with the HET continuation group (hazard ratio, 4.1; 95% CI, 2.0-8.5; P < .001) but differed between HETs, with a hazard ratio of 7.2 (95% CI, 2.1-24.5; P = .001) for natalizumab, 4.5 (95% CI, 1.3-15.5; P = .02) for fingolimod, and 1.1 (95% CI, 0.3-4.8; P = .85) for anti-CD20 therapy. Conclusion and Relevance: As in younger patients, in patients 50 years and older with nonactive MS, the risk of relapse increased significantly after stopping HETs that impact immune cell trafficking (natalizumab and fingolimod). There was no significant increase in risk after stopping HETs that deplete B-cells (anti-CD20 therapy). This result may inform decisions about stopping HETs in clinical practice.

Highly Effective Therapies as First-Line Treatment for Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Moderately effective therapies (METs) have been the main treatment in pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) for years. Despite the expanding use of highly effective therapies (HETs), treatment strategies for POMS still lack consensus. Objective: To assess the real-world association of HET as an index treatment compared with MET with disease activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted from January 1, 2010, to December 8, 2022, until the last recorded visit. The median follow-up was 5.8 years. A total of 36 French MS centers participated in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP) cohort. Of the total participants in OFSEP, only treatment-naive children with relapsing-remitting POMS who received a first HET or MET before adulthood and at least 1 follow-up clinical visit were included in the study. All eligible participants were included in the study, and none declined to participate. Exposure: HET or MET at treatment initiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to first relapse after treatment. Secondary outcomes were annualized relapse rate (ARR), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression, tertiary education attainment, and treatment safety/tolerability. An adapted statistical method was used to model the logarithm of event rate by penalized splines of time, allowing adjustment for effects of covariates that is sensitive to nonlinearity and interactions. Results: Of the 3841 children (5.2% of 74 367 total participants in OFSEP), 530 patients (mean [SD] age, 16.0 [1.8] years; 364 female [68.7%]) were included in the study. In study patients, both treatment strategies were associated with a reduced risk of first relapse within the first 2 years. HET dampened disease activity with a 54% reduction in first relapse risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.31-0.67; P < .001) sustained over 5 years, confirmed on MRI activity (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.34; 95% CI, 0.18-0.66; P = .001), and with a better tolerability pattern than MET. The risk of discontinuation at 2 years was 6 times higher with MET (HR, 5.97; 95% CI, 2.92-12.20). The primary reasons for treatment discontinuation were lack of efficacy and intolerance. Index treatment was not associated with EDSS progression or tertiary education attainment (adjusted OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.24-1.10; P = .09). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cohort study suggest that compared with MET, initial HET in POMS was associated with a reduction in the risk of first relapse with an optimal outcome within the first 2 years and was associated with a lower rate of treatment switching and a better midterm tolerance in children. These findings suggest prioritizing initial HET in POMS, although long-term safety studies are needed.

COVID-19 outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis: Understanding changes from 2020 to 2022.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) have focused on the first waves of the pandemic until early 2021. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to extend these data from the onset of the pandemic to the global coverage by vaccination in summer 2022. METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter observational study analyzed COVISEP registry data on reported COVID-19 cases in pwMS between January 2020 and July 2022. Severe COVID-19 was defined as hospitalization or higher severity. RESULTS: Among 2584 pwMS with confirmed/highly suspected COVID-19, severe infection rates declined from 14.6% preomicron wave to 5.7% during omicron wave (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = [1.25-1.64] per 10 years), male sex (OR = 2.01, 95% CI = [1.51-2.67]), obesity (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = [1.52-3.68]), cardiac comorbidities (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = [1.46-3.83]), higher Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores (OR = 2.09, 95% CI = [1.43-3.06] for EDSS 3-5.5 and OR = 4.53, 95% CI = [3.04-6.75] for EDSS ⩾6), and anti-CD20 therapies (OR = 2.67, 95% CI = [1.85-3.87]) as risk factors for COVID-19 severity. Vaccinated individuals experienced less severe COVID-19, whether on (risk ratio (RR) = 0.64, 95% CI = [0.60-0.69]) or off (RR = 0.32, 95% CI = [0.30-0.33]) anti-CD20. DISCUSSION: In pwMS, consistent risk factors were anti-CD20 therapies and neurological disability, emerging as vital drivers of COVID-19 severity regardless of wave, period, or vaccination status.

Comparison of 2 Methods for Estimating Multiple Sclerosis-Related Mortality.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Determining whether multiple sclerosis (MS) causes death is challenging. Our objective was to contrast 2 frameworks to estimate probabilities of death attributed to MS (PMS) and other causes (Pother): the cause-specific framework (CSF), which requires the causes of death, and the excess mortality framework (EMF), which does not. METHODS: We used data from the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP, n = 37,524) and from a comparative subset where causes of death were available (4,004 women with relapsing-onset MS [R-MS]). In CSF, the probabilities were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen method. In EMF, they were estimated from the excess mortality hazard, which is the additional mortality among patients with MS as compared with the expected mortality in the matched general population. PMS values were estimated at 30 years of follow-up, (1) with both frameworks in the comparative subset, by age group at onset, and (2) with EMF only in the OFSEP population, by initial phenotype, sex, and age at onset. RESULTS: In the comparative subset, the estimated 30-year PMS values were greater using EMF than CSF: 10.9% (95% CI 8.3-13.6) vs 8.7% (6.4-11.8) among the youngest and 20.4% (11.3-29.5) vs 16.2% (8.7-30.2) for the oldest groups, respectively. In the CSF, probabilities of death from unknown causes ranged from 1.5% (0.7-3.0) to 6.4% (2.5-16.4), and even after their reallocation, PMS values remained lower with CSF than with EMF. The estimated probabilities of being alive were close using the 2 frameworks, and the estimated POther (EMF vs CSF) was 2.6% (2.5-2.6) vs 2.1% (1.2-3.9) and 18.1% (16.9-19.3) vs 26.4% (16.5-42.2), respectively, for the youngest and oldest groups. In the OFSEP population, the estimated 30-year PMS values ranged from 7.5% (6.4-8.7) to 24.0% (19.1-28.9) in patients with R-MS and from 25.4% (21.1-29.7) to 36.8% (28.3-45.3) in primary progressive patients, depending on sex and age. DISCUSSION: EMF has the great advantage of not requiring death certificates, their quality being less than optimal. Conceptually, it also seems more relevant because it avoids having to state, for each individual, whether death was directly or indirectly caused by MS or whether it would have occurred anyway, which is especially difficult in such chronic diseases.

Association Between Anti-CD20 Therapies and COVID-19 Severity Among Patients With Relapsing-Remitting and Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: In patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), factors associated with severe COVID-19 include anti-CD20 therapies and neurologic disability, but it is still unclear whether these 2 variables are independently associated with severe COVID-19 or whether the association depends on MS clinical course. Objective: To assess the association between anti-CD20 therapies and COVID-19 severity in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and progressive MS (PMS). Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter, retrospective cohort study used data from the COVISEP study, which included patients with MS and COVID-19 from February 1, 2020, to June 30, 2022, at 46 French MS expert centers, general hospitals, and private neurology practices. Eligible patients with RRMS were those treated with high-efficacy MS therapy (ie, anti-CD20, fingolimod, or natalizumab), and eligible patients with PMS were those younger than 70 years with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 8 or lower. Patients were monitored from COVID-19 symptom onset until recovery or death. Exposures: Current anti-CD20 therapy (ocrelizumab or rituximab). Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was severe COVID-19 (ie, hospitalization with any mode of oxygenation or death). All analyses were conducted separately in patients with RRMS and PMS using propensity score-weighted logistic regression. Subgroup analyses were performed according to COVID-19 vaccine status, sex, EDSS score, and age. Results: A total of 1400 patients, 971 with RRMS (median age, 39.14 years [IQR, 31.38-46.80 years]; 737 [76.1%] female) and 429 with PMS (median age, 54.21 years [IQR, 48.42-60.14 years]; 250 [58.3%] female) were included in the study. A total of 418 patients with RRMS (43.0%) and 226 with PMS (52.7%) were treated with anti-CD20 therapies. In weighted analysis, 13.4% and 2.9% of patients with RRMS treated and not treated with anti-CD20 had severe COVID-19, respectively, and anti-CD20 treatment was associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 (odds ratio [OR], 5.20; 95% CI, 2.78-9.71); this association persisted among vaccinated patients (7.0% vs 0.9%; OR, 8.85; 95% CI, 1.26-62.12). Among patients with PMS, 19.0% and 15.5% of patients treated and not treated with anti-CD20 had severe COVID-19, respectively, and there was no association between anti-CD20 treatment and severe COVID-19 (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.76-2.16). In PMS subgroup analysis, anti-CD20 exposure interacted negatively with EDSS score (P = .009 for interaction) and age (P = .03 for interaction); anti-CD20 therapies were associated with risk of severe COVID-19 only in patients with less neurologic disability and younger patients with PMS. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, risk of severe COVID-19 was higher in patients with PMS than in those with RRMS. Use of anti-CD20 therapies was associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 among patients with RRMS. In patients with PMS, there was no association between anti-CD20 therapies and risk of severe COVID-19.

Immune Profiling Reveals the T-Cell Effect of Ocrelizumab in Early Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Ocrelizumab (OCR), a humanized anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, is highly efficient in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RR-MS). We assessed early cellular immune profiles and their association with disease activity at treatment start and under therapy, which may provide new clues on the mechanisms of action of OCR and on the disease pathophysiology. METHODS: A first group of 42 patients with an early RR-MS, never exposed to disease-modifying therapy, was included in 11 centers participating to an ancillary study of the ENSEMBLE trial (NCT03085810) to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of OCR. The phenotypic immune profile was comprehensively assessed by multiparametric spectral flow cytometry at baseline and after 24 and 48 weeks of OCR treatment on cryopreserved peripheral blood mononuclear cells and analyzed in relation to disease clinical activity. A second group of 13 untreated patients with RR-MS was included for comparative analysis of peripheral blood and CSF. The transcriptomic profile was assessed by single-cell qPCRs of 96 genes of immunologic interest. RESULTS: Using an unbiased analysis, we found that OCR as an effect on 4 clusters of CD4+ T cells: one corresponding to naive CD4+ T cells was increased, the other clusters corresponded to effector memory (EM) CD4+CCR6- T cells expressing homing and migration markers, 2 of them also expressing CCR5 and were decreased by the treatment. Of interest, one CD8+ T-cell cluster was decreased by OCR corresponding to EM CCR5-expressing T cells with high expression of the brain homing markers CD49d and CD11a and correlated with the time elapsed since the last relapse. These EM CD8+CCR5+ T cells were enriched in the CSF of patients with RR-MS and corresponded to activated and cytotoxic cells. DISCUSSION: Our study provides novel insights into the mode of action of anti-CD20, pointing toward the role of EM T cells, particularly a subset of CD8 T cells expressing CCR5.

Improving the decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy in multiple sclerosis: A dynamic scoring system.

BACKGROUND: In relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), early identification of suboptimal responders can prevent disability progression. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop and validate a dynamic score to guide the early decision to switch from first- to second-line therapy. METHODS: Using time-dependent propensity scores (PS) from a French cohort of 12,823 patients with RRMS, we constructed one training and two validation PS-matched cohorts to compare the switched patients to second-line treatment and the maintained patients. We used a frailty Cox model for predicting individual hazard ratios (iHRs). RESULTS: From the validation PS-matched cohort of 348 independent patients with iHR ⩽ 0.69, we reported the 5-year relapse-free survival at 0.14 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.22) for the waiting group and 0.40 (95% CI 0.32-0.51) for the switched group. From the validation PS-matched cohort of 518 independent patients with iHR > 0.69, these values were 0.37 (95% CI 0.30-0.46) and 0.44 (95% CI 0.37-0.52), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: By using the proposed dynamic score, we estimated that at least one-third of patients could benefit from an earlier switch to prevent relapse.

Investigating the Long-term Effect of Pregnancy on the Course of Multiple Sclerosis Using Causal Inference.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The question of the long-term safety of pregnancy is a major concern in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS), but its study is biased by reverse causation (women with higher disability are less likely to experience pregnancy). Using a causal inference approach, we aimed to estimate the unbiased long-term effects of pregnancy on disability and relapse risk in patients with MS and secondarily the short-term effects (during the perpartum and postpartum years) and delayed effects (occurring beyond 1 year after delivery). METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study with data from patients with MS followed in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques registry between 1990 and 2020. We included female patients with MS aged 18-45 years at MS onset, clinically followed up for more than 2 years, and with ≥3 Expanded Disease Status Scale (EDSS) measurements. Outcomes were the mean EDSS score at the end of follow-up and the annual probability of relapse during follow-up. Counterfactual outcomes were predicted using the longitudinal targeted maximum likelihood estimator in the entire study population. The patients exposed to at least 1 pregnancy during their follow-up were compared with the counterfactual situation in which, contrary to what was observed, they would not have been exposed to any pregnancy. Short-term and delayed effects were analyzed from the first pregnancy of early-exposed patients (who experienced it during their first 3 years of follow-up). RESULTS: We included 9,100 patients, with a median follow-up duration of 7.8 years, of whom 2,125 (23.4%) patients were exposed to at least 1 pregnancy. Pregnancy had no significant long-term causal effect on the mean EDSS score at 9 years (causal mean difference [95% CI] = 0.00 [-0.16 to 0.15]) or on the annual probability of relapse (causal risk ratio [95% CI] = 0.95 [0.93-1.38]). For the 1,253 early-exposed patients, pregnancy significantly decreased the probability of relapse during the perpartum year and significantly increased it during the postpartum year, but no significant delayed effect was found on the EDSS and relapse rate. DISCUSSION: Using a causal inference approach, we found no evidence of significantly deleterious or beneficial long-term effects of pregnancy on disability. The beneficial effects found in other studies were probably related to a reverse causation bias.

Effects of socioeconomic status on excess mortality in patients with multiple sclerosis in France: A retrospective observational cohort study.

Background: The effects of socio-economic status on mortality in patients with multiple sclerosis is not well known. The objective was to examine mortality due to multiple sclerosis according to socio-economic status. Methods: A retrospective observational cohort design was used with recruitment from 18 French multiple sclerosis expert centers participating in the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques. All patients lived in metropolitan France and had a definite or probable diagnosis of multiple sclerosis according to either Poser or McDonald criteria with an onset of disease between 1960 and 2015. Initial phenotype was either relapsing-onset or primary progressive onset. Vital status was updated on January 1st 2016. Socio-economic status was measured by an ecological index, the European Deprivation Index and was attributed to each patient according to their home address. Excess death rates were studied according to socio-economic status using additive excess hazard models with multidimensional penalised splines. The initial hypothesis was a potential socio-economic gradient in excess mortality. Findings: A total of 34,169 multiple sclerosis patients were included (88% relapsing onset (n = 30,083), 12% progressive onset (n = 4086)), female/male sex ratio 2.7 for relapsing-onset and 1.3 for progressive-onset). Mean age at disease onset was 31.6 (SD = 9.8) for relapsing-onset and 42.7 (SD = 10.8) for progressive-onset. At the end of follow-up, 1849 patients had died (4.4% for relapsing-onset (n = 1311) and 13.2% for progressive-onset (n = 538)). A socio-economic gradient was found for relapsing-onset patients; more deprived patients had a greater excess death rate. At thirty years of disease duration and a year of onset of symptoms of 1980, survival probability difference (or deprivation gap) between less deprived relapsing-onset patients (EDI = -6) and more deprived relapsing-onset patients (EDI = 12) was 16.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) [10.3%-22.9%]) for men and 12.3% (95%CI [7.6%-17.0%]) for women. No clear socio-economic mortality gradient was found in progressive-onset patients. Interpretation: Socio-economic status was associated with mortality due to multiple sclerosis in relapsing-onset patients. Improvements in overall care of more socio-economically deprived patients with multiple sclerosis could help reduce these socio-economic inequalities in multiple sclerosis-related mortality. Funding: This study was funded by the ARSEP foundation "Fondation pour l'aide à la recherche sur la Sclérose en Plaques" (Grant Reference Number 1122). Data collection has been supported by a grant provided by the French State and handled by the "Agence Nationale de la Recherche," within the framework of the "Investments for the Future" programme, under the reference ANR-10-COHO-002, Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP).

Disease Reactivation After Cessation of Disease-Modifying Therapy in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the rate of return of disease activity after cessation of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapy. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study from 2 large observational MS registries: MSBase and OFSEP. Patients with relapsing-remitting MS who had ceased a disease-modifying therapy and were followed up for the subsequent 12 months were included in the analysis. The primary study outcome was annualized relapse rate in the 12 months after disease-modifying therapy discontinuation stratified by patients who did, and did not, commence a subsequent therapy. The secondary endpoint was the predictors of first relapse and disability accumulation after treatment discontinuation. RESULTS: A total of 14,213 patients, with 18,029 eligible treatment discontinuation epochs, were identified for 7 therapies. Annualized rates of relapse (ARRs) started to increase 2 months after natalizumab cessation (month 2-4 ARR 0.47, 95% CI 0.43-0.51). Commencement of a subsequent therapy within 2-4 months reduced the magnitude of disease reactivation (mean ARR difference: 0.15, 0.08-0.22). After discontinuation of fingolimod, rates of relapse increased overall (month 1-2 ARR: 0.80, 0.70-0.89) and stabilized faster in patients who started a new therapy within 1-2 months (mean ARR difference: 0.14, -0.01 to 0.29). The magnitude of disease reactivation for other therapies was low but reduced further by commencement of another treatment 1-10 months after treatment discontinuation. Predictors of relapse were a higher relapse rate in the year before cessation, female sex, younger age, and higher EDSS score. Commencement of a subsequent therapy reduced both the risk of relapse (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.81) and disability accumulation (0.73, 0.65-0.80). DISCUSSION: The rate of disease reactivation after treatment cessation differs among MS treatments, with the peaks of relapse activity ranging from 1 to 10 months in untreated cohorts that discontinued different therapies. These results suggest that untreated intervals should be minimized after stopping antitrafficking therapies (natalizumab and fingolimod). CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III that disease reactivation occurs within months of discontinuation of MS disease-modifying therapies. The risk of disease activity is reduced by commencement of a subsequent therapy.

Comparative Effectiveness of Natalizumab Versus Anti-CD20 in Highly Active Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis After Fingolimod Withdrawal.

In France, two therapeutic strategies can be offered after fingolimod (FNG) withdrawal to highly active relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients: natalizumab (NTZ) or anti-CD20. We compared the effectiveness of these two strategies as a switch for FNG within the OFSEP database. The primary endpoint was the time to first relapse. Other outcomes were the relapse rates over 3-month periods, time to worsening the EDSS score, proportion of patients with worsened 24-month MRI, time to treatment discontinuation, and incidence rates of serious adverse events. The dynamics of event rates over time were modeled using multidimensional penalized splines, allowing the possibility to model the effects of covariates in a flexible way, considering non-linearity and interactions. A total of 740 patients were included (337 under anti-CD20 and 403 under NTZ). There was no difference between the two treatments regarding the dynamic of the first occurrence of relapse, with a monthly probability of 5.0% at initiation and 1.0% after 6 months. The rate of EDSS worsening increased in both groups until 6 months and then decreased. No difference in the proportion of patients with new T2 lesions at 24 months was observed. After 18 months of follow-up, a greater risk of NTZ discontinuation was found compared to anti-CD20. This study showed no difference between NTZ and anti-CD20 after the FNG switch regarding the clinical and radiological activity. The effect of these treatments was optimal after 6 months and there was more frequent discontinuation of NTZ after 18 months, probably mainly related to JC virus seroconversions.

Risk Factors and Time to Clinical Symptoms of Multiple Sclerosis Among Patients With Radiologically Isolated Syndrome.

Importance: Younger age, oligoclonal bands, and infratentorial and spinal cord lesions are factors associated with an increased 10-year risk of clinical conversion from radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) to multiple sclerosis (MS). Whether disease-modifying therapy is beneficial for individuals with RIS is currently unknown. Objectives: To evaluate the 2-year risk of a clinical event (onset of clinical symptoms of MS) prospectively, identify factors associated with developing an early clinical event, and simulate the sample size needed for a phase III clinical trial of individuals with RIS meeting 2009 RIS criteria. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data on prospectively followed-up individuals with RIS identified at 1 of 26 tertiary centers for MS care in France that collect data for the Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques database. Participants were aged 10 to 80 years with 2 or more magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans after study entry and an index scan after 2000. All diagnoses were validated by an expert group, whose review included a double centralized MRI reading. Data were analyzed from July 2020 to January 2021. Exposure: Diagnosis of RIS. Main Outcomes and Measures: Risk of clinical event and associated covariates at index scan were analyzed among all individuals with RIS. Time to the first clinical event was compared by covariates, and sample size estimates were modeled based on identified risk factors. Results: Among 372 individuals with RIS (mean [SD] age at index MRI scan, 38.6 [12.1] years), 354 individuals were included in the analysis (264 [74.6%] women). A clinical event was identified among 49 patients (13.8%) within 2 years, which was associated with an estimated risk of conversion of 19.2% (95% CI, 14.1%-24.0%). In multivariate analysis, age younger than 37 years (hazard ratio [HR], 4.04 [95% CI, 2.00-8.15]; P < .001), spinal cord lesions (HR, 5.11 [95% CI, 1.99-13.13]; P = .001), and gadolinium-enhancing lesions on index scan (HR, 2.09 [95% CI, 1.13-3.87]; P = .02) were independently associated with an increased risk of conversion to MS. Having 2 factors at the time of the index MRI scan was associated with a risk of 27.9% (95% CI, 13.5%-39.9%) of a seminal event within 2 years, increasing to 90.9% (95% CI, 41.1%-98.6%) for individuals with all 3 factors (3 risk factors vs none: HR, 23.34 [95% CI, 9.08-59.96]; P < .001). Overall, with 80% power to detect an effect size of 60% within 24 months, a total of 160 individuals with RIS were needed assuming an event rate of 20%. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that age younger than age 37 years, spinal cord involvement, and gadolinium-enhancing lesions on index MRI scan were associated with earlier clinical disease and relevant to the number of enrolled patients needed to detect a potential treatment effect.

Natalizumab Versus Fingolimod in Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: A Subgroup Analysis From Three International Cohorts.

INTRODUCTION: Natalizumab has proved to be more effective than fingolimod in reducing disease activity in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Whether this association is universal for all patient groups remains to be determined. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare the relative effectiveness of natalizumab and fingolimod in RRMS subgroups defined by the baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of interest. METHODS: Patients with RRMS who were given natalizumab or fingolimod were identified in a merged cohort from three international registries. Efficacy outcomes were compared across subgroups based on patients' sex, age, disease duration, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, and disease and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity 12 months prior to treatment initiation. Study endpoints were number of relapses (analyzed with weighted negative binomial generalized linear model) and 6-month confirmed disability worsening and improvement events (weighted Cox proportional hazards model), recorded during study therapy. Each patient was weighted using inverse probability of treatment weighting based on propensity score. RESULTS: A total of 5148 patients (natalizumab 1989; fingolimod 3159) were included, with a mean ± standard deviation age at baseline of 38 ± 10 years, and the majority (72%) were women. The median on-treatment follow-up was 25 (quartiles 15-41) months. Natalizumab was associated with fewer relapses than fingolimod (incidence rate ratio [IRR]; 95% confidence interval [CI]) in women (0.76; 0.65-0.88); in those aged ≤ 38 years (0.64; 0.54-0.76); in those with disease duration ≤ 7 years (0.63; 0.53-0.76); in those with EDSS score < 4 (0.75; 0.64-0.88), < 6 (0.80; 0.70-0.91), and ≥ 6 (0.52; 0.31-0.86); and in patients with pre-baseline relapses (0.74; 0.64-0.86). A higher probability of confirmed disability improvement on natalizumab versus fingolimod (hazard ratio [HR]; 95% CI) was observed among women (1.36; 1.10-1.66); those aged > 38 years (1.34; 1.04-1.73); those with disease duration > 7 years (1.33; 1.01-1.74); those with EDSS score < 6 (1.21; 1.01-1.46) and ≥ 6 (1.93; 1.11-3.34); and patients with no new MRI lesion (1.73; 1.19-2.51). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, in women, younger patients, those with shorter disease durations, and patients with pre-treatment relapses, natalizumab was associated with a lower frequency of multiple sclerosis relapses than fingolimod. It was also associated with an increased chance of recovery from disability among most patients, particularly women and those with no recent MRI activity.

Comparison of SimoaTM and EllaTM to assess serum neurofilament-light chain in multiple sclerosis.

We compared SimoaTM and EllaTM immunoassays to assess serum neurofilament-light chain levels in 203 multiple sclerosis patients from the OFSEP HD study. There was a strong correlation (ρ = 0.86, p < 0.0001) between both platforms. The EllaTM instrument overestimated values by 17%, but as the data were linear (p = 0.57), it was possible to apply a correction factor to EllaTM results. As for SimoaTM , serum neurofilament-light chain levels measured by EllaTM were correlated with age and EDSS and were significantly higher in active multiple sclerosis, suggesting that these assays are equivalent and can be used in routine clinical practice.

Untreated patients with multiple sclerosis: A study of French expert centers.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) have an impact on relapses and disease progression. Nonetheless, many patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) remain untreated. The objectives of the present study were to determine the proportion of untreated patients with MS followed in expert centers in France and to determine the predictive factors of nontreatment. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study. Data were extracted from the 38 centers participating in the European Database for Multiple Sclerosis (EDMUS) on December 15, 2018, and patients with MS seen at least once during the study period (from June 15, 2016 to June 14, 2017) were included. RESULTS: Of the 21,189 patients with MS (age 47.1 ± 13.1 years; Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 3.4 ± 2.4), 6,631 (31.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 30.7-31.9) were not receiving any DMT. Although patients with a relapsing-remitting course (n = 11,693) were the most likely to receive DMT, 14.8% (95% CI 14.2-15.4) were still untreated (6.8% never treated). After multivariate analysis among patients with relapsing-remitting MS, the main factors explaining never having been treated were: not having ≥9 lesions on brain magnetic resonance imaging (odds ratio [OR] 0.52 [95% CI 0.44-0.61]) and lower EDSS score (OR 0.78 [95% CI 0.74-0.82]). Most patients with progressive MS (50.4% for secondary and 64.2% for primary progressive MS) did not receive any DMT during the study period, while 11.6% of patients with secondary and 34.0% of patients with primary progressive MS had never received any DMT. CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of patients with MS did not receive any DMT, even though such treatments are reimbursed by the healthcare system for French patients. This result highlights the unmet need for current DMTs for a large subgroup of patients with MS.

Determinants of therapeutic lag in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: A delayed onset of treatment effect, termed therapeutic lag, may influence the assessment of treatment response in some patient subgroups. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to explore the associations of patient and disease characteristics with therapeutic lag on relapses and disability accumulation. METHODS: Data from MSBase, a multinational multiple sclerosis (MS) registry, and OFSEP, the French MS registry, were used. Patients diagnosed with MS, minimum 1 year of exposure to MS treatment and 3 years of pre-treatment follow-up, were included in the analysis. Studied outcomes were incidence of relapses and disability accumulation. Therapeutic lag was calculated using an objective, validated method in subgroups stratified by patient and disease characteristics. Therapeutic lag under specific circumstances was then estimated in subgroups defined by combinations of clinical and demographic determinants. RESULTS: High baseline disability scores, annualised relapse rate (ARR) ⩾ 1 and male sex were associated with longer therapeutic lag on disability progression in sufficiently populated groups: females with expanded disability status scale (EDSS) < 6 and ARR < 1 had mean lag of 26.6 weeks (95% CI = 18.2-34.9), males with EDSS < 6 and ARR < 1 31.0 weeks (95% CI = 25.3-36.8), females with EDSS < 6 and ARR ⩾ 1 44.8 weeks (95% CI = 24.5-65.1), and females with EDSS ⩾ 6 and ARR < 1 54.3 weeks (95% CI = 47.2-61.5). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-treatment EDSS and ARR are the most important determinants of therapeutic lag.

Relapses in Patients Treated with High-Dose Biotin for Progressive Multiple Sclerosis.

High-dose biotin (HDB) is a therapy used in non-active progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS). Several reports have suggested that HDB treatment may be associated with an increased risk of relapse. We aimed to determine whether HDB increases the risk of clinical relapse in PMS and describe the characteristics of the patients who experience it. We conducted a French, multicenter, retrospective study, comparing a group of PMS patients treated with HDB to a matched control group. Poisson regression was applied to model the specific statistical distribution of the annualized relapse rate (ARR). A propensity score (PS), based on the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), was used to adjust for indication bias and included the following variables: gender, primary PMS or not, age, EDSS, time since the last relapse, and co-prescription of a DMT. Two thousand six hundred twenty-eight patients treated with HDB and 654 controls were analyzed with a follow-up of 17 ± 8 months. Among them, 148 validated relapses were observed in the group treated with biotin and 38 in the control group (p = 0.62). After adjustment based on the PS, the ARR was 0.044 ± 0.23 for the biotin-treated group and 0.028 ± 0.16 for the control group (p = 0.18). The more relapses there were before biotin, the higher the risk of relapse during treatment, independently from the use of HDB. While the number of relapses reported for patients with no previous inflammatory activity receiving biotin has gradually increased, the present retrospective study is adequately powered to exclude an elevated risk of relapse for patients with PMS treated with HDB.

Oral nomegestrol acetate and transdermal 17-beta-estradiol for preventing post-partum relapses in multiple sclerosis: The POPARTMUS study.

BACKGROUND: Sex steroids could explain the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: To compare the annualized relapse rate (ARR) 12 weeks post-partum in women treated with nomegestrol acetate (NOMAc) and 17-beta-estradiol (E2) versus placebo. METHODS: POPARTMUS is a randomized, proof-of-concept trial in women with MS, receiving oral NOMAc 10 mg/day and transdermal estradiol 75 µg/week, or placebo. RESULTS: Recruitment was stopped prematurely due to slow inclusions (n = 202). No treatment effect was observed on ARR after 12 weeks (sex steroids = 0.90 (0.58-1.39), placebo = 0.97 (0.63-1.50) (p = 0.79)). CONCLUSION: POPARTMUS failed showing efficacy of a NOMAc-E2 combination in preventing post-partum relapses.