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1.
Clin Radiol ; 74(10): 816.e9-816.e17, 2019 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31375261

RESUMO

AIM: To determine cumulative scan frequencies and estimate lens dose for paediatric computed tomography (CT) head examinations in the context of potential cataract risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cumulative number of head-region CT examinations among a cohort of 410,997 children and young adults who underwent CT in the UK between 1985 and 2014 was calculated. Images from a sample of these head examinations (n=668) were reviewed to determine the level of eye inclusion. Lens dose per scan was estimated using the computer program, NCICT V1.0, for different levels of eye inclusion and exposure settings typical of past and present clinical practice. RESULTS: In total 284,878 patients underwent 448,108 head-region CT examinations. The majority of patients (72%) had a single recorded head-region examination. A small subset (∼1%, n=2,494) underwent ≥10 examinations, while 0.1% (n=387) underwent ≥20. The lens was included within the imaged region for 57% of reviewed routine head examinations. In many cases, this appeared to be intentional, i.e. protocol driven. In others, there appeared to have been an attempt to exclude the eyes through gantry angulation. Estimated lens doses were 20-75 mGy (mean: 47 mGy) where the eye was fully included within the examination range and 2-7 mGy (mean: 3.1 mGy) where the lens was fully excluded. Potential cumulative lens doses ranged from ∼3 mGy to ∼4,700 mGy, with 2,335 patients potentially receiving >500 mGy. CONCLUSION: The majority of young people will receive cumulative lens doses well below 500 mGy, meaning the risk of cataract induction is likely to be very small.


Assuntos
Cabeça/diagnóstico por imagem , Cristalino/efeitos da radiação , Doses de Radiação , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Adolescente , Catarata/etiologia , Catarata/prevenção & controle , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos de Coortes , Relação Dose-Resposta à Radiação , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Posicionamento do Paciente , Exposição à Radiação/efeitos adversos , Adulto Jovem
2.
Ann Oncol ; 26(11): 2257-66, 2015 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26347100

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Body mass index (BMI), a measure of obesity typically assessed in middle age or later, is known to be positively associated with pancreatic cancer. However, little evidence exists regarding the influence of central adiposity, a high BMI during early adulthood, and weight gain after early adulthood on pancreatic cancer risk. DESIGN: We conducted a pooled analysis of individual-level data from 20 prospective cohort studies in the National Cancer Institute BMI and Mortality Cohort Consortium to examine the association of pancreatic cancer mortality with measures of central adiposity (e.g. waist circumference; n = 647 478; 1947 pancreatic cancer deaths), BMI during early adulthood (ages 18-21 years) and BMI change between early adulthood and cohort enrollment, mostly in middle age or later (n = 1 096 492; 3223 pancreatic cancer deaths). Multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Higher waist-to-hip ratio (HR = 1.09, 95% CI 1.02-1.17 per 0.1 increment) and waist circumference (HR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.00-1.14 per 10 cm) were associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer mortality, even when adjusted for BMI at baseline. BMI during early adulthood was associated with increased pancreatic cancer mortality (HR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.25 per 5 kg/m(2)), with increased risk observed in both overweight and obese individuals (compared with BMI of 21.0 to <23 kg/m(2), HR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.20-1.55 for BMI 25.0 < 27.5 kg/m(2), HR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.20-1.84 for BMI 27.5 to <30 kg/m(2), HR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.11-1.85 for BMI ≥30 kg/m(2)). BMI gain after early adulthood, adjusted for early adult BMI, was less strongly associated with pancreatic cancer mortality (HR = 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.10 per 5 kg/m(2)). CONCLUSIONS: Our results support an association between pancreatic cancer mortality and central obesity, independent of BMI, and also suggest that being overweight or obese during early adulthood may be important in influencing pancreatic cancer mortality risk later in life.


Assuntos
Obesidade Abdominal/mortalidade , Obesidade/mortalidade , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/mortalidade , Adolescente , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Obesidade/diagnóstico , Obesidade Abdominal/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Circunferência da Cintura , Adulto Jovem
3.
Br J Cancer ; 110(1): 242-8, 2014 01 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24335921

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking increase the risk of several cancers and certain components of cigarette smoke and alcohol can penetrate the blood-brain barrier, it remains unclear whether these exposures influence the risk of glioma. METHODS: We examined the associations between cigarette smoking, alcohol intake, and risk of glioma in the National Institutes of Health-AARP Diet and Health Study, a prospective study of 477,095 US men and women ages 50-71 years at baseline. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using models with age as the time metric and adjusted for sex, race/ethnicity, education, and marital status. RESULTS: During a median 10.5 person-years of follow-up, 492 men and 212 women were diagnosed with first primary glioma. Among men, current, heavier smoking was associated with a reduced risk of glioma compared with never smoking, but this was based on only nine cases. No associations were observed between smoking behaviours and glioma risk in women. Greater alcohol consumption was associated with a decreased risk of glioma, particularly among men (>2 drinks per day vs <1 drink per week: HR=0.67, 95% CI=0.51-0.90). CONCLUSION: Smoking and alcohol drinking do not appear to increase the risk of glioma.


Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Encefálicas/epidemiologia , Glioma/epidemiologia , Fumar/epidemiologia , Idoso , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias Encefálicas/etiologia , Feminino , Glioma/etiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
4.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry ; 150(4): 415-26, 2012 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22228685

RESUMO

Despite great potential benefits, there are concerns about the possible harm from medical imaging including the risk of radiation-related cancer. There are particular concerns about computed tomography (CT) scans in children because both radiation dose and sensitivity to radiation for children are typically higher than for adults undergoing equivalent procedures. As direct empirical data on the cancer risks from CT scans are lacking, the authors are conducting a retrospective cohort study of over 240,000 children in the UK who underwent CT scans. The main objective of the study is to quantify the magnitude of the cancer risk in relation to the radiation dose from CT scans. In this paper, the methods used to estimate typical organ-specific doses delivered by CT scans to children are described. An organ dose database from Monte Carlo radiation transport-based computer simulations using a series of computational human phantoms from newborn to adults for both male and female was established. Organ doses vary with patient size and sex, examination types and CT technical settings. Therefore, information on patient age, sex and examination type from electronic radiology information systems and technical settings obtained from two national surveys in the UK were used to estimate radiation dose. Absorbed doses to the brain, thyroid, breast and red bone marrow were calculated for reference male and female individuals with the ages of newborns, 1, 5, 10, 15 and 20 y for a total of 17 different scan types in the pre- and post-2001 time periods. In general, estimated organ doses were slightly higher for females than males which might be attributed to the smaller body size of the females. The younger children received higher doses in pre-2001 period when adult CT settings were typically used for children. Paediatric-specific adjustments were assumed to be used more frequently after 2001, since then radiation doses to children have often been smaller than those to adults. The database here is the first detailed organ-specific paediatric CT scan database for the UK. As well as forming the basis for the UK study, the results and description of the methods will also serve as a key resource for paediatric CT scan studies currently underway in other countries.


Assuntos
Bases de Dados Factuais , Especificidade de Órgãos , Doses de Radiação , Sistema de Registros , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/estatística & dados numéricos , Contagem Corporal Total/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
5.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 35(6): e85-90, 2011 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21852218

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Worldwide, thyroid cancer incidence rates are higher among women than men. While this suggests a possible etiologic role of female sex hormones, clear associations between hormonal and reproductive factors and thyroid cancer have not been observed. However, few large prospective studies have been conducted. METHODS: Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for hormonal and reproductive factors and incident thyroid cancer were estimated using Cox regression methods in the prospective US NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study. Between 1995 and 2006, 312 first primary incident thyroid cancers were diagnosed among 187,865 postmenopausal women ages 50-71 at baseline. RESULTS: Thyroid cancer was not associated with ages at menarche or menopause, menopause type, or parity. Oral contraceptive use for ≥10 years (vs. never use) was inversely associated with thyroid cancer risk (HR, 0.48; 95%CI, 0.28-0.84; P(trend)=0.01). Women who reported current menopausal hormone therapy at baseline had an increased thyroid cancer risk vs. never users (HR 1.38; 95% CI: 1.07-1.79) but there was no trend with increasing duration of use. Women with benign breast disease (BBD) had a significantly higher thyroid cancer risk vs. women without BBD (HR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.09-1.99). CONCLUSIONS: Our results do not support a strong role for female hormonal and reproductive factors including ages at menarche and menopause, type of menopause or parity, in thyroid cancer etiology among postmenopausal women. Compared with previous studies, no clear patterns emerge for exogenous hormone use but further analysis in large, prospective populations may be informative. The HR for BBD is consistent with the one previous prospective analysis that examined this association.


Assuntos
Pós-Menopausa , História Reprodutiva , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Idoso , Anticoncepcionais Orais Hormonais/uso terapêutico , Terapia de Reposição de Estrogênios , Feminino , Humanos , Menarca , Menopausa , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Paridade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco
6.
Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol) ; 23(4): 244-50, 2011 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21296564

RESUMO

In 2008, the worldwide estimated age-standardised incidence rates for thyroid cancer incidence were 4.7 and 1.5 per 100,000 women and men, respectively. Thyroid cancer's overall contribution to the worldwide cancer burden is relatively small, but incidence rates have increased over the last three decades throughout the world. This trend has been hypothesised to reflect a combination of technological advances enabling increased detection, but also changes in environmental factors, including population exposure to ionising radiation from fallout, diagnostic tests and treatment for benign and malignant conditions. Studies of the atomic bomb survivors and populations treated with radiotherapy have established radiation as a risk factor for thyroid cancer, particularly from early life exposure. About 0.62 mSv (20%) of the global annual per caput effective radiation dose comes from diagnostic medical and dental radiation for the period of 1997-2007, increased from 0.4 mSv for the years 1991-1996. This international trend of increasing population exposure to medical diagnostic sources of radiation, attributed in large part to the growing use of computed tomography scans, but also interventional radiology procedures, has raised concerns about exposure to radiosensitive organs such as the thyroid. Worldwide, medical and dental X-rays constitute the most common type of diagnostic medical exposures, but their contribution to the cumulative effective dose is relatively low, whereas computed tomography scans account for 7.9% of diagnostic radiology examinations but 47% of the collective effective dose from diagnostic radiation procedures in parts of the world. Although the radiation exposure from computed tomography scans is substantially lower than that from radiotherapy, multiple computed tomography scans could result in non-trivial cumulative doses to the thyroid. Studies are currently underway to assess the incidence of cancer in large cohorts of children who received computed tomography scans. National and international efforts have been developed to raise awareness and to standardise procedures for use of computed tomography and interventional radiology procedures in paediatric and general populations.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/epidemiologia , Radiografia/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Relação Dose-Resposta à Radiação , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/etiologia , Exposição Ocupacional , Doses de Radiação , Radioterapia (Especialidade) , Radiação Ionizante , Radiografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/etiologia , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/efeitos adversos , Ucrânia/epidemiologia
7.
Gastrointest Endosc Clin N Am ; 20(2): 279-91, 2010 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20451817

RESUMO

Computed tomographic colonography (CTC) has emerged as an alternative screening tool for colorectal cancer due to the potential to provide good efficacy combined with greater acceptability than optical colonoscopy or fecal occult blood testing. However, some organizations have raised concerns about the potential harms, including perforation rates and radiation-related cancer risks, and have not recommended that it currently be used as a screening tool in the general population in the US. In this article the authors review the current evidence for these potential harms from CTC and compare them to the potential harms from the alternatives including colonoscopy and double-contrast barium enema.


Assuntos
Colo/lesões , Colonografia Tomográfica Computadorizada/efeitos adversos , Perfuração Intestinal/complicações , Lesões por Radiação/etiologia , Colo/efeitos da radiação , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico por imagem , Humanos , Incidência , Perfuração Intestinal/epidemiologia , Lesões por Radiação/epidemiologia , Lesões por Radiação/prevenção & controle , Fatores de Risco , Ruptura , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Br J Cancer ; 102(1): 220-6, 2010 Jan 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19935795

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Radiotherapy for breast cancer reduces disease recurrence and breast cancer mortality. However, it has also been associated with increased second cancer risks in exposed sites. METHODS: We evaluated long-term second cancer risks among 182 057 5-year survivors of locoregional invasive breast cancer diagnosed between 1973 and 2000 and reported to US NCI-SEER Program cancer registries. Multivariate Poisson regression was used to estimate the relative risk (RR) and excess cases of second cancer in women who had surgery and radiotherapy, compared with those who had surgery alone. Second cancer sites were grouped according to doses received from typical tangential breast fields. RESULTS: By the end of 2005 (median follow-up=13.0 years), 15 498 second solid cancers had occurred, including 6491 contralateral breast cancers. The RRs for radiotherapy were 1.45 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.33-1.58) for high-dose second cancer sites (1+ Gy: lung, oesophagus, pleura, bone and soft tissue) and 1.09 (1.04-1.15) for contralateral breast cancer ( approximately 1 Gy). These risks decreased with increasing age and year of treatment. There was no evidence of elevated risks for sites receiving medium (0.5-0.99 Gy, RR=0.89 (0.74-1.06)) or low doses (<0.5 Gy, RR=1.01 (0.95-1.07)). The estimated excess cases of cancer in women treated with radiotherapy were as follows: 176 (95% CI=69-284) contralateral breast cancers or 5% (2-8%) of the total in all 1+year survivors, and 292 (222-362) other solid cancers or 6% (4-7%) of the total. CONCLUSIONS: Most second solid cancers in breast cancer survivors are not related to radiotherapy.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/radioterapia , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/epidemiologia , Segunda Neoplasia Primária/epidemiologia , Radioterapia/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Idoso , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Antineoplásicos Hormonais/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias Ósseas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Ósseas/etiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/etiologia , Neoplasias da Mama/cirurgia , Terapia Combinada , Neoplasias Esofágicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiologia , Mastectomia/métodos , Mastectomia/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , National Cancer Institute (U.S.) , Segunda Neoplasia Primária/etiologia , Neoplasias Pleurais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pleurais/etiologia , Radioterapia/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Risco , Neoplasias de Tecidos Moles/epidemiologia , Neoplasias de Tecidos Moles/etiologia , Sobreviventes , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
9.
Br J Cancer ; 101(9): 1630-4, 2009 Nov 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19862001

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Certain studies suggest that alcohol may reduce the risk of thyroid cancer in women, but the effect in men remains unclear. METHODS: We analysed the association between alcohol and thyroid cancer in a large (n=490 159) prospective NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study with self-reported beer, wine, and liquor intakes. RESULTS: Over 7.5 years of follow-up (median), 170 men and 200 women developed thyroid cancer. Overall, the thyroid cancer risk decreased with greater alcohol consumption (> or =2 drinks per day vs none, relative risk=0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.89, P-trend=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest a potential protective role for alcohol consumption in thyroid cancer.


Assuntos
Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Risco
10.
Infect Agent Cancer ; 1: 2, 2006 Sep 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17150131

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Infections with certain human herpesviruses have been established as risk factors for some cancer types. For example, Epstein-Barr Virus is considered a cause of Burkitt's lymphoma and other immunosuppression related lymphomas, Hodgkin lymphoma, and nasopharyngeal cancer. Several other human herpesviruses have been linked to cancers but the totality of evidence is inconclusive. METHODS: We conducted a systematic sub-study from within an ongoing case control study of adult black South Africans to investigate the relationship between antibodies to six human herpesviruses and seven cancer groups that may be caused by infectious agents. Subjects had incident cancers of the oral cavity (n = 88), the cervix (n = 53), the prostate (n = 66), Hodgkin lymphoma (n = 83), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (n = 80), multiple myeloma (n = 94) or leukaemia (n = 203). For comparison, patients with other cancers (n = 95) or cardiovascular disease (n = 101) were randomly selected from within the study. Patients were interviewed and their blood was tested for IgG antibodies against HSV-1, HSV-2, VZV, EBV-EBNA, CMV and HHV-6 using enzyme linked immunosorbent assays. Because these viruses are highly prevalent in this population, optical density results from the assays were used as an indirect, quantitative measure of antibody level. RESULTS: There was significant variation in the mean log antibody measures for HSV-2, VZV, CMV and HHV-6 between the disease groups. However, none of the specific cancer groups had significantly higher mean log antibody measures for any of the viruses compared to either control group. In a more detailed examination of seven associations between cancers and herpesviruses for which there had been prior reports, two statistically significant associations were found: a decreasing risk of myeloid leukaemia and an increasing risk of oral cancer with increasing tertiles of antibodies against HHV-6 compared to all other patients (p-trend = 0.03 and 0.02, respectively). Odds ratios for the top tertile compared to the bottom tertile were 0.58 (95%CI 0.3-1.0) for myeloid leukaemia and 2.21 (95% CI 1.1-4.3) for oral cancer. CONCLUSION: In this population, using these tests for IgG, neither mean antibody measure nor high antibody measure against human herpesviruses 1-6 was strongly associated with any of the seven cancer groups. However, we may not have had sufficient power to detect weak associations or associations with a sub-type of cancer if they were present.

11.
Int J Cancer ; 118(6): 1481-95, 2006 Mar 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16206285

RESUMO

Tobacco smoking has been classified as a cause of cervical cancer, but the effect of different patterns of smoking on risk is unclear. The International Collaboration of Epidemiological Studies of Cervical Cancer has brought together and combined individual data on 13,541 women with and 23,017 women without cervical carcinoma, from 23 epidemiological studies. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of carcinoma of the cervix in relation to tobacco smoking were calculated with stratification by study, age, sexual partners, age at first intercourse, oral contraceptive use and parity. Current smokers had a significantly increased risk of squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix compared to never smokers (RR = 1.60 (95% CI: 1.48-1.73), p<0.001). There was increased risk for past smokers also, though to a lesser extent (RR = 1.12 (1.01-1.25)), and there was no clear trend with time since stopping smoking (p-trend = 0.6). There was no association between smoking and adenocarcinoma of the cervix (RR = 0.89 (0.74-1.06) and 0.89 (0.72-1.10) for current and past smokers respectively), and the differences between the RRs for smoking and squamous cell and adenocarcinoma were statistically significant (current smoking p<0.001 and past smoking p = 0.01). In current smokers, the RR of squamous cell carcinoma increased with increasing number of cigarettes smoked per day and also with younger age at starting smoking (p<0.001 for each trend), but not with duration of smoking (p-trend = 0.3). Eight of the studies had tested women for cervical HPV-DNA, and in analyses restricted to women who tested positive, there was a significantly increased risk in current compared to never smokers for squamous cell carcinoma (RR = 1.95 (1.43-2.65)), but not for adenocarcinoma (RR = 1.06 (0.14-7.96)). In summary, smokers are at an increased risk of squamous cell but not of adenocarcinoma of the cervix. The risk of squamous cell carcinoma increases in current smokers with the number of cigarettes smoked per day and with younger age at starting smoking.


Assuntos
Fumar/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Adulto , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/etiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/virologia , Anticoncepcionais Orais/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Humanos , Cooperação Internacional , Modelos Logísticos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Infecções por Papillomavirus/virologia , Paridade , Gravidez , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/etiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/virologia , Esfregaço Vaginal
12.
Br J Cancer ; 93(5): 590-6, 2005 Sep 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16136033

RESUMO

Mammographic screening before age 50 years is less effective than at older ages and the associated radiation risks are higher. We estimated how many breast cancer deaths could be caused and how many could be prevented by a decade of annual two-view mammographic screening starting at ages 20, 30 and 40 years, respectively, in the UK; for all women, and for women with first-degree relatives affected with breast cancer. We extrapolated from a radiation risk model to estimate the number of radiation-induced breast cancer deaths, and used results from randomised trials, which suggest a reduction in breast cancer mortality of 10-20% in women invited to screening before age 50 years, to estimate the number of deaths that could be prevented. The net change in breast cancer deaths was defined as the number of radiation-induced deaths minus the number of prevented deaths. For all women, assuming a reduction in mortality from screening of 20%, a decade of annual screening was estimated to induce more deaths than it prevents if started at age 20 years and at age 30 years (net increase = 0.86 and 0.37 breast cancer deaths, respectively, per 1000 women screened). The corresponding estimate for screening starting at age 40 years was a net decrease of 0.46 deaths/1000 women screened and a zero net change assuming a 10% mortality reduction. Results for women with first-degree relatives with breast cancer were generally in the same direction but, because their background incidence rates are higher, the net increases or decreases were greater. In conclusion, our estimates suggest that a decade of annual two-view mammographic screening before age 40 years would result in a net increase in breast cancer deaths, and that starting at age 40 years could result in a material net decrease only if breast cancer mortality is reduced by about 20% or more in women screened. Although these calculations were based on a number of uncertain parameters, in general, the conclusions were not altered when these parameters were varied within a feasible range.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Mamografia/efeitos adversos , Programas de Rastreamento , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Expectativa de Vida , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
13.
Br J Cancer ; 92(11): 2076-83, 2005 Jun 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15886696

RESUMO

Pancreatic cancer is the eighth major form of cancer-related death worldwide, causing 227 000 deaths annually. Type-II diabetes is widely considered to be associated with pancreatic cancer, but whether this represents a causal or consequential association is unclear. We conducted a meta-analysis to examine this association. A computer-based literature search from 1966 to 2005 yielded 17 case-control and 19 cohort or nested case-control studies with information on 9220 individuals with pancreatic cancer. The age and sex-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for pancreatic cancer associated with type-II diabetes was obtained from each study. The combined summary odds ratio was 1.82 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.66-1.89), with evidence of heterogeneity across the studies (P=0.002 for case-control and P=0.05 for cohort studies) that was explained, in part, by higher risks being reported by smaller studies and studies that reported before 2000. Individuals in whom diabetes had only recently been diagnosed (< 4 years) had a 50% greater risk of the malignancy compared with individuals who had diabetes for > or =5 years (OR 2.1 vs 1.5; P=0.005). These results support a modest causal association between type-II diabetes and pancreatic cancer.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/etiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Razão de Chances , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
14.
Biostatistics ; 6(1): 1-9, 2005 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15618523

RESUMO

Simple tests are given for consistency of the data with additive and with multiplicative effects of two risk factors on a binary outcome. A combination of the procedures will show whether data are consistent with neither, one or both of the models of no additive or no multiplicative interaction. Implications for the size of the study needed to detect differences between the models are also addressed. Because of the simple form of the test statistics, combination of evidence from different studies or strata is straightforward. Illustration of how the method could be extended to data from a 2xRxC table is also given.


Assuntos
Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Modelos Estatísticos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias Bucais/etiologia , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Tabaco sem Fumaça/efeitos adversos
15.
Br J Cancer ; 90(9): 1787-91, 2004 May 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15150591

RESUMO

While most cancers of the uterine cervix are squamous cell carcinomas, the relative and absolute incidence of adenocarcinoma of the uterine cervix has risen in recent years. It is not clear to what extent risk factors identified for squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix are shared by cervical adenocarcinomas. We used data from six case-control studies to compare directly risk factors for cervical adenocarcinoma (910 cases) and squamous cell carcinoma (5649 cases) in a published data meta-analysis. The summary odds ratios and tests for differences between these summaries for the two histological types were estimated using empirically weighted least squares. A higher lifetime number of sexual partners, earlier age at first intercourse, higher parity and long duration of oral contraceptive use were risk factors for both histological types. Current smoking was associated with a significantly increased risk of squamous cell carcinoma, with a summary odds ratio of 1.47 (95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.88), but not of adenocarcinoma (summary odds ratio=0.82 (0.60-1.11); test for heterogeneity between squamous cell and adenocarcinoma for current smoking: P=0.001). The results of this meta-analysis of published data suggest that squamous cell and adenocarcinomas of the uterine cervix, while sharing many risk factors, may differ in relation to smoking. Further evidence is needed to confirm this in view of the limited data available.


Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma/etiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/etiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/etiologia , Adenocarcinoma/patologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia
16.
Eur J Cancer ; 40(5): 754-60, 2004 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15010077

RESUMO

In a population-based study of 313 case-control pairs in Kuwait, we evaluated whether a family history of benign thyroid disease (BTD) and thyroid or other cancers was associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer, the second most common neoplasm among women in this and several other Arab countries in the Gulf region. Family history of BTD was reported by 78 (24.9%) cases and 40 (12.8%) controls in 132 and 57 relatives, respectively. There was an approximately 2-fold increased risk of thyroid cancer in individuals who had a mother (Odds Ratio (OR)=2.3; 95% Confidence Intervals (95% CI): 1.1-5.1), sister(s) (OR=2.6; 95% CI: 1.3-5.3) or aunt(s) (OR=2.1; 95% CI: 0.9-5.3) with BTD; there was also a significant trend in increasing risk with an increasing number of affected female relatives (P<0.0001). Stratification by age at diagnosis of the case showed that individuals aged

Assuntos
Doenças da Glândula Tireoide/genética , Adolescente , Adulto , Idade de Início , Idoso , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Kuweit/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Linhagem , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco , Doenças da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/genética
17.
Br J Cancer ; 89(11): 2078-86, 2003 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14647141

RESUMO

We report results on risk factors for invasive squamous cell and adenocarcinomas of the cervix in women aged 20-44 years from the UK National Case-Control Study of Cervical Cancer, including 180 women with adenocarcinoma, 391 women with squamous cell carcinoma and 923 population controls. The risk of both squamous cell and adenocarcinoma was strongly related to the lifetime number of sexual partners, and, independently, to age at first intercourse. The risk of both types of cervical cancer increased with increasing duration of use of oral contraceptives, and this effect was most marked in current and recent users of oral contraceptives. The risk of squamous cell carcinoma was associated with high parity and the risk of both squamous cell and adenocarcinoma increased with early age at first birth. Long duration smoking (20 or more years) was associated with a two-fold increase in the risk of squamous cell carcinoma, but smoking was not associated with the risk of adenocarcinoma. Further studies are needed to confirm the suggestion from this and other studies of differences in risk related to smoking between squamous cell and adenocarcinomas of the cervix.


Assuntos
Adenocarcinoma/etiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/etiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/etiologia , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Anticoncepcionais Orais/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Paridade , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Reino Unido
18.
Br J Cancer ; 89(3): 519-23, 2003 Aug 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12888824

RESUMO

Smoking and diabetes are the only established risk factors for pancreatic cancer. Findings from recent studies suggest that obesity may also be associated with an increased risk of pancreatic cancer, but several earlier studies were less conclusive. We examined this relationship in a meta-analysis of published data. Six case-control and eight cohort studies involving 6391 cases of pancreatic cancer were identified from a computer-based literature search from 1966 to 2003. The relative risk per unit increase in body mass index was estimated for each of the studies from the published data. In a random effects model, the summary relative risk per unit increase in body mass index was 1.02 (95% CI: 1.01-1.03). There was some evidence of heterogeneity between the studies' results (P=0.1). The summary relative risk estimates were slightly higher for studies that had adjusted for smoking and for case-control studies that had not used proxy respondents. The estimated per unit increase in body mass index would translate into a relative risk of 1.19 (95% CI: 1.10-1.29) for obese people (30 kg m(-2)) compared to people with a normal body weight (22 kg m(-2)). These results provide evidence that the risk of pancreatic cancer may be weakly associated with obesity. However, the small magnitude of the summary risk means the possibility of confounding cannot be excluded.


Assuntos
Obesidade/complicações , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/etiologia , Adulto , Índice de Massa Corporal , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Complicações do Diabetes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos
19.
Br J Cancer ; 88(11): 1713-20, 2003 Jun 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12771986

RESUMO

Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is thought to be a necessary but not sufficient cause of most cases of cervical cancer. Since oral contraceptive use for long durations is associated with an increased risk of cervical cancer, it is important to know whether HPV infection is more common in oral contraceptive users. We present a systematic review of 19 epidemiological studies of the risk of genital HPV infection and oral contraceptive use. There was no evidence for a strong positive or negative association between HPV positivity and ever use or long duration use of oral contraceptives. The limited data available, the presence of heterogeneity between studies and the possibility of bias and confounding mean, however, that these results must be interpreted cautiously. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to investigate possible relations between oral contraceptive use and the persistence and detectability of cervical HPV infection.


Assuntos
Anticoncepcionais Orais/administração & dosagem , Papillomaviridae , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções Tumorais por Vírus/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Papillomaviridae/isolamento & purificação , Paridade , Fatores de Risco , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/microbiologia
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