Natural history of clinical outcomes and hepatic decompensation in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The natural progression of hepatic decompensation in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is not well-characterised. We aimed to describe it by conducting a retrospective analysis. METHODS: This longitudinal, retrospective analysis of well-characterised MASLD cohorts followed for hepatic decompensation and death. The sequence of liver-related events was evaluated, and the median time between hepatic decompensation episodes and death versus. transplantation was measured. RESULTS: Of the 2016 patients identified, 220 (11%) developed at least one episode of hepatic decompensation during a median follow-up of 3.2 years. Ascites was the most common first liver-related event [153 (69.5%)], followed by hepatic encephalopathy (HE) [55 (25%)] and variceal haemorrhage (VH) [30 (13.6%)]. Eighteen out of the 220 (8.1%) patients had more than one liver-related event as their first hepatic decompensation. Among the patients who had the first episode, 87 (39.5%) had a second episode [44 (50.5%) HE, 31 (35.6%) ascites, and 12 (13.7%) VH]. Eighteen out of 220 (8.1%) had a third episode [10 (55.5%) HE, 6 (33.3%) VH, and 2 (11.1%) ascites]. Seventy-three out of 220 (33.1%) died, and 31 (14%) received liver transplantation. The median time from the first episode to the second was 0.7 years and 1.3 years from the second episode to the third. The median survival time from the first episode to death or transplantation was 2.0 years. CONCLUSION: The most common first liver-related event in MASLD patients is ascites. The median survival from the first hepatic decompensation to either death or transplantation is 2 years.

A prospective study on the prevalence of at-risk MASH in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in the United States.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data on the prevalence and treatment of at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in the United States. AIM: To estimate the prevalence of at-risk MASH in a prospectively recruited cohort of adults with T2DM using new nomenclature endorsed by multiple societies. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled adults aged ≥50 with T2DM from primary care and endocrinology clinics in southern California from 2016 to 2023. Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was defined by an magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction ≥5% and at least one metabolic risk factor without any other chronic liver disease or secondary cause for hepatic steatosis. RESULTS: We included 530 adult patients with T2DM. The mean (±SD) age and body mass index (BMI) were 64.4 (±8.1) years and 31.5 (±6.1) kg/m2, respectively. Among patients with T2DM, the prevalence of MASLD, at-risk MASH and cirrhosis was 69.6%, 13.6% and 6.8%, respectively. Among patients with co-existing T2DM and obesity, the prevalence of MASLD, at-risk MASH and cirrhosis was 77.8%, 15.9% and 9.0%, respectively, and was higher than in participants without obesity (p < 0.0001, 0.0543 and 0.0128, respectively). CONCLUSION: Among adults aged ≥50 years with T2DM, the prevalence of MASLD, at-risk MASH and cirrhosis is high, posing a significant risk for liver-related morbidity and mortality. Approximately 14% of patients with T2DM may be candidates for pharmacologic therapies specific to MASH-related fibrosis.

MASH Resolution Index: development and validation of a non-invasive score to detect histological resolution of MASH.

BACKGROUND: Dynamic changes in non-invasive tests, such as changes in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and MRI proton-density-fat-fraction (MRI-PDFF), may help to detect metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) resolution, but a combination of non-invasive tests may be more accurate than either alone. We developed a novel non-invasive score, the MASH Resolution Index, to detect the histological resolution of MASH. METHODS: This study included a derivation cohort of 95 well-characterised adult participants (67% female) with biopsy-confirmed MASH who underwent contemporaneous laboratory testing, MRI-PDFF and liver biopsy at two time points. The primary objective was to develop a non-invasive score to detect MASH resolution with no worsening of fibrosis. The most predictive logistic regression model was selected based on the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUC), and the lowest Akaike information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. The model was then externally validated in a distinct cohort of 163 participants with MASH from a clinical trial. RESULTS: The median (IQR) age and body mass index were 55 (45-62) years and 32.0 (30-37) kg/m2, respectively, in the derivation cohort. The most accurate model (MASH Resolution Index) included MRI-PDFF, ALT and aspartate aminotransferase. The index had an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.93) for detecting MASH resolution in the derivation cohort. The score calibrated well and performed robustly in a distinct external validation cohort (AUC 0.83, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.91), and outperformed changes in ALT and MRI-PDFF. CONCLUSION: The MASH Resolution Index may be a useful score to non-invasively identify MASH resolution.

Validation of AGA clinical care pathway and AASLD practice guidance for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a prospective cohort of patients with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recently, the American Gastroenterological Association and the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases developed clinical pathways to evaluate populations at high risk for NAFLD. We assessed the diagnostic performance of the new guidance in a well-phenotyped cohort of patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). APPROACH AND RESULTS: This prospective study enrolled patients age ≥50 years with T2DM. Participants underwent a standardized clinical research visit with MRI and ultrasound-based assessment of liver fat and stiffness and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) testing. Of 417 participants (36% men) with T2DM with FIB-4 and MRE data, the prevalence of NAFLD was 64% and 12% had advanced fibrosis (MRE≥3.63 kPa). Applying the American Gastroenterological Association pathway of FIB-4 and vibration-controlled transient elastography, the false negative rate was 3.3% and 18% would qualify for specialty referral. Applying the FIB-4 + ELF American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases pathway, the false negative rate was 4.5%, but 50% would qualify for specialty referral. Applying higher ELF cut points improved the pathway, yielding a similar false negative rate of 4.9% but decreased specialty referral to 27%. CONCLUSION: Validation of the American Gastroenterological Association clinical pathway in a prospectively recruited cohort with T2DM revealed a low false negative rate and avoided specialty referral in a large percentage of patients. The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases pathway with FIB-4 + ELF resulted in a high rate of specialty referral, which improved with the utilization of higher ELF cut points and may serve as an alternative for primary care and endocrinology clinics without access to vibration-controlled transient elastography.

Low liver fat in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation and mortality.

BACKGROUND: Progression to cirrhosis in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is associated with a decrease in liver fat. However, the prognostic significance of liver fat content in NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is unclear. AIM: To investigate the risk of decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality stratified by liver fat content in NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis. METHODS: In this meta-analysis of individual participant data, 456 patients with both magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and MRI-derived protein density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) were enrolled, and 296 patients with longitudinal follow-up were analysed. MRE combined with fibrosis-4 (MEFIB-index), and MRI-PDFF were used to measure liver fibrosis and fat, respectively. MEFIB-negative, MEFIB-positive+ MRI-PDFF ≥5% and MEFIB-positive+ MRI-PDFF <5% were defined as no significant liver fibrosis, NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat content, and NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat content groups, respectively. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, HCC and death. RESULTS: The rates of decompensation, HCC and mortality were highest in the NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat group (33%, 17% and 17%, respectively), followed by the NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat group (18%, 13% and 13% respectively), and lowest in the no significant fibrosis (MEFIB-negative) group (0%, 1% and 2% respectively). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, low liver fat content was strongly associated (HR = 42.2 [95% CI: 7.5-235.5, p < 0.0001]) with HCC, decompensation and death. Sensitivity analyses for patients with cirrhosis (MRE ≥5 kPa) determined consistent findings. CONCLUSIONS: Low liver fat content in patients with burnt-out NASH-related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with an increase in hepatic decompensation, HCC and mortality.

Ramipril for the Treatment of COVID-19: RAMIC, a Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Retrospective studies report that angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) may reduce the severity of COVID-19, but prospective data on de novo treatment with ACEIs are limited. The RAMIC trial was a randomized, multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blind, allocation-concealed clinical trial to examine the efficacy of de novo ramipril versus placebo for the treatment of COVID-19. METHODS: Eligible participants were aged 18 years and older with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, recruited from urgent care clinics, emergency departments, and hospital inpatient wards at eight sites in the USA. Participants were randomly assigned to daily ramipril 2.5 mg or placebo orally in a 2:1 ratio, using permuted block randomization. Analyses were conducted on an intention-to-treat basis. The primary outcome was a composite of mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or invasive mechanical ventilation by day 14. RESULTS: Between 27 May 2020 and 19 April 2021, a total of 114 participants (51% female) were randomized to ramipril (n = 79) or placebo (n = 35). The overall mean (± SD) age and BMI were 45 (± 15) years and 33 (± 8) kg/m2. Two participants in the ramipril group required ICU admission and one died, compared with none in the placebo group. There were no significant differences between ramipril and placebo in the primary endpoint (ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, or death) (3% versus 0%, p = 1.00) or adverse events (27% versus 29%, p = 0.82). The study was terminated early because of a low event rate and subsequent Emergency Use Authorization of therapies for COVID-19. CONCLUSION: De novo ramipril was not different compared with placebo in improving or worsening clinical outcomes from COVID-19 but appeared safe in non-critically ill patients with COVID-19. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT04366050.

Type 2 diabetes, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant-level data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data are scarce regarding the development of hepatic decompensation in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with and without type 2 diabetes. We aimed to assess the risk of hepatic decompensation in people with NAFLD with and without type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We did a meta-analysis of individual participant-level data from six cohorts in the USA, Japan, and Turkey. Included participants had magnetic resonance elastography between Feb 27, 2007, and June 4, 2021. Eligible studies included those with liver fibrosis characterisation by magnetic resonance elastography, longitudinal assessment for hepatic decompensation and death, and included adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with NAFLD, for whom data were available regarding the presence of type 2 diabetes at baseline. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, defined as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding. The secondary outcome was the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. We used competing risk regression using the Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) to compare the likelihood of hepatic decompensation in participants with and without type 2 diabetes. Death without hepatic decompensation was a competing event. FINDINGS: Data for 2016 participants (736 with type 2 diabetes; 1280 without type 2 diabetes) from six cohorts were included in this analysis. 1074 (53%) of 2016 participants were female with a mean age of 57·8 years (SD 14·2) years and BMI of 31·3 kg/m2 (SD 7·4). Among 1737 participants (602 with type 2 diabetes and 1135 without type 2 diabetes) with available longitudinal data, 105 participants developed hepatic decompensation over a median follow-up time of 2·8 years (IQR 1·4-5·5). Participants with type 2 diabetes had a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation at 1 year (3·37% [95% CI 2·10-5·11] vs 1·07% [0·57-1·86]), 3 years (7·49% [5·36-10·08] vs 2·92% [1·92-4·25]), and 5 years (13·85% [10·43-17·75] vs 3·95% [2·67-5·60]) than participants without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). After adjustment for multiple confounders (age, BMI, and race), type 2 diabetes (sHR 2·15 [95% CI 1·39-3·34]; p=0·0006) and glycated haemoglobin (1·31 [95% CI 1·10-1·55]; p=0·0019) were independent predictors of hepatic decompensation. The association between type 2 diabetes and hepatic decompensation remained consistent after adjustment for baseline liver stiffness determined by magnetic resonance elastography. Over a median follow-up of 2·9 years (IQR 1·4-5·7), 22 of 1802 participants analysed (18 of 639 with type 2 diabetes and four of 1163 without type 2 diabetes) developed incident hepatocellular carcinoma. The risk of incident hepatocellular carcinoma was higher in those with type 2 diabetes at 1 year (1·34% [95% CI 0·64-2·54] vs 0·09% [0·01-0·50], 3 years (2·44% [1·36-4·05] vs 0·21% [0·04-0·73]), and 5 years (3·68% [2·18-5·77] vs 0·44% [0·11-1·33]) than in those without type 2 diabetes (p<0·0001). Type 2 diabetes was an independent predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma development (sHR 5·34 [1·67-17·09]; p=0·0048). INTERPRETATION: Among people with NAFLD, the presence of type 2 diabetes is associated with a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma. FUNDING: National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Prevalence and factors associated with liver fibrosis among first-degree relatives of Mexican Americans with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) increases the familial risk for hepatic fibrosis has not been thoroughly explored, particularly in Mexican Americans who are disproportionately affected by obesity and metabolic syndrome. We evaluated the risk of significant hepatic fibrosis in first-degree relatives of Mexican American adults with HCC. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort of Mexican American probands with HCC and first-degree relatives enrolled in the Hispanic Liver Cancer Cohort study. We evaluated the prevalence of hepatic fibrosis in first-degree relatives, defined by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) >= 7.0 kPa with transient elastography (TE). Secondary outcomes included the prevalence of definite hepatic steatosis, defined by controlled attenuation parameter >=288 dB/m. RESULTS: We identified 70 probands diagnosed with HCC; 47% were female and the mean age was 62 years (±13 years). Among 112 first-degree relatives with a mean age of 43 years (±14 years), 19 (17%) had significant fibrosis and 47 (42%) had definite hepatic steatosis, respectively. The prevalence of significant fibrosis was 20% in first-degree relatives 40 years of age or older. Regression analysis revealed that diabetes (OR 3.2, 95% CI: 1.1-9.2, p = 0.03) and aspartate aminotransferase >=30 units/L (OR 4.0, 95% CI: 1.4-11.7, p = 0.01) were predictors of significant fibrosis in first-degree relatives. CONCLUSIONS: Using a well-phenotyped familial cohort, we found that the prevalence of significant fibrosis and definite hepatic steatosis are high in first-degree relatives of Mexican Americans with HCC, particularly those with diabetes, suggesting that this population may benefit from screening for liver disease.

A prospective study on the prevalence of NAFLD, advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in people with type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are limited prospective data on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) specifically enrolled and systematically assessed for advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the prevalence of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in a prospectively recruited cohort of adults with T2DM. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled adults aged ≥50 years with T2DM, recruited from primary care or endocrinology clinics. Participants underwent a standardized clinical research visit with MRI-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and controlled-attenuation parameter. NAFLD was defined as MRI-PDFF ≥5% after exclusion of other liver diseases. Advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were defined by established liver stiffness cut-off points on MRE or VCTE if MRE was not available. RESULTS: Of 524 patients screened, 501 adults (63% female) with T2DM met eligibility. The mean age and BMI were 64.6 (±8.1) years and 31.4 (±5.9) kg/m2, respectively. The prevalence of NAFLD, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was 65%, 14% and 6%, respectively. In multivariable adjusted models, adjusted for age and sex, obesity and insulin use were associated with increased odds of advanced fibrosis (odds ratio 2.50; 95% CI 1.38-4.54; p = 0.003 and odds ratio 2.71; 95% CI 1.33-5.50; p = 0.006, respectively). Among 29 patients with cirrhosis, two were found to have hepatocellular carcinoma and one patient had gallbladder adenocarcinoma. CONCLUSION: Utilizing a uniquely well-phenotyped prospective cohort of patients aged ≥50 years with T2DM, we found that the prevalence of advanced fibrosis was 14% and that of cirrhosis was 6%. These data underscore the high risk of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in adults aged ≥50 years with T2DM. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), however, there are limited prospective data characterizing the prevalence of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis using the most accurate non-invasive biomarkers of liver fat and fibrosis. We show that 14% of older adults with T2DM have advanced fibrosis and 6% have cirrhosis, which places them at risk for liver failure and liver cancer. Accurate prevalence rates and comparative analysis regarding the diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests in this population will guide the optimal screening strategy and future cost-effectiveness analyses. These results will inform future Hepatology and Endocrinology practice guidelines regarding NAFLD screening programs in older adults with T2DM.

The Longitudinal Association of Egg Consumption with Cognitive Function in Older Men and Women: The Rancho Bernardo Study.

This study examines the prospective association of egg consumption with multiple domains of cognitive function in older, community-dwelling men and women followed for 16.3 years. Participants were 617 men and 898 women from the Rancho Bernardo Cohort aged 60 and older, who were surveyed about egg intake/week in 1972-1974, and attended a 1988-1991 research visit, where cognitive function was assessed with 12 tests. Analyses showed that egg intake ranged from 0-24/week (means: men = 4.2 ± 3.2; women = 3.5 ± 2.7; p < 0.0001). In men, covariate-adjusted regressions showed that egg intake was associated with better performance on Buschke total (p = 0.04), long-term (p = 0.02), and short-term (p = 0.05) recall. No significant associations were observed in women (p's > 0.05). Analyses showed that in those aged <60y in 1972-1974, egg intake was positively associated with scores on Heaton copying (p < 0.04) and the Mini-Mental Status Exam (MMSE; p < 0.02) in men and category fluency (p < 0.05) in women. Egg intake was not significantly associated with odds of poor performance on MMSE, Trails B, or category fluency in either sex. These reassuring findings suggest that there are no long-term detrimental effects of egg consumption on multiple cognitive function domains, and for men, there may be beneficial effects for verbal episodic memory. Egg consumption in middle age may also be related to better cognitive performance later in life.

Prognostic utility of magnetic resonance elastography and MEFIB index in predicting liver-related outcomes and mortality in individuals at risk of and with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Background: Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, limited data characterize its association with outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the association between liver stiffness (LS) on MRE and liver-related outcomes. Methods: This is a longitudinal, retrospective analysis of subjects at risk of NAFLD who had MRE assessment. LS was estimated using MRE, and liver fat was assessed using magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction. Univariable and multivariable survival and regression analyses were used to assess the association between LS on MRE and liver-related outcomes including a cumulative primary outcome of hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), or death. Results: In all, 265 patients (68% women) with a mean age of 50 (±18) years and 44% Hispanic ethnicity and 45.3% with NAFLD were included. A total of 76 liver-related events or death occurred, and there was 453 person-years of follow-up time in 97 patients with available follow-up. Each 1-kPa increase in LS was associated with 2.20-fold (95% CI: 1.70-2.84, p < 0.001) increased odds of prevalent hepatic decompensation or HCC. A positive MEFIB index, a combination of MRE ⩾ 3.3 kPa and FIB-4 ⩾ 1.6, had a strong association with the primary outcome compared with those without, HR = 21.8 (95% CI: 4.28-111.4, p < 0.001). The MEFIB index had a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 90%, and a negative score was associated with 98% negative predictive value for incident liver-related events or death. Conclusion: LS assessed by MRE is associated with hepatic decompensation and death, and the MEFIB combination of MRE with FIB-4 may have high negative predictive value for liver-related events.

Direct Comparison of Quantitative US versus Controlled Attenuation Parameter for Liver Fat Assessment Using MRI Proton Density Fat Fraction as the Reference Standard in Patients Suspected of Having NAFLD.

Background MRI-derived proton density fat fraction (PDFF) is an accurate, reliable, and safe biologic marker for use in the noninvasive diagnosis of hepatic steatosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Because of the cost and limited availability of MRI, it is necessary to develop an accurate method to diagnose NAFLD with potential point-of-care access. Purpose To compare the diagnostic accuracy of the quantitative US (QUS) fat fraction (FF) estimator with that of the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) in the diagnosis of NAFLD using contemporaneous MRI-derived PDFF as the reference standard. Materials and Methods Participants with or suspected of having NAFLD were prospectively recruited at the NAFLD Research Center between July 2015 and July 2019. All participants underwent MRI-derived PDFF measurement, transient elastography with CAP measurement, and QUS. QUS FF was derived using computed QUS parameters from the acquired radiofrequency US data using a calibrated reference phantom. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the accuracy of QUS FF and CAP in the diagnosis of hepatic steatosis (defined as MRI-derived PDFF ≥ 5%). AUCs were compared using the DeLong test. Results A total of 123 participants were included (mean age, 52 years ± 13 [SD]; 67 [54%] women). Of these participants, 100 (81%) had MRI-derived PDFF of 5% or more. QUS FF had a significantly higher AUC for diagnosis of NAFLD than did CAP (0.92 [95% CI: 0.87, 0.98] vs 0.79 [95% CI: 0.67, 0.90], P = .03). QUS FF had a sensitivity of 98% (98 of 100) and a specificity of 48% (11 of 23). CAP had a sensitivity of 87% (87 of 100) and a specificity of 57% (13 of 23). Conclusion The quantitative US fat fraction estimator is more accurate than the controlled attenuation parameter in the diagnosis of hepatic steatosis in patients with or suspected of having nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Ito in this issue.

Comparison of clinical prediction rules for ruling out cirrhosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis benefit from referral to subspecialty care. While several clinical prediction rules exist to identify advanced fibrosis, the cutoff for excluding cirrhosis due to NAFLD is unclear. This analysis compared clinical prediction rules for excluding biopsy-proven cirrhosis in NAFLD. METHODS: Adult patients were enrolled in the NASH Clinical Research Network (US) and the Newcastle Cohort (UK). Clinical and laboratory data were collected at enrolment, and a liver biopsy was taken within 1 year of enrolment. Optimal cutoffs for each score (eg, FIB-4) to exclude cirrhosis were derived from the US cohort, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and AUROC were calculated. The cutoffs were evaluated in the UK cohort. RESULTS: 147/1483 (10%) patients in the US cohort had cirrhosis. All prediction rules had similarly high NPV (0.95-0.97). FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis scores were the most accurate in characterising patients as having cirrhosis (AUROC 0.84-0.86). 59/494 (12%) patients in the UK cohort had cirrhosis. Prediction rules had high NPV (0.92-0.96), and FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score the most accurate in the prediction of cirrhosis in the UK cohort (AUROC 0.87-0.89). CONCLUSIONS: This cross-sectional analysis of large, multicentre international datasets shows that current clinical prediction rules perform well in excluding cirrhosis with appropriately chosen cutoffs. These clinical prediction rules can be used in primary care to identify patients, particularly those who are white, female, and <65, unlikely to have cirrhosis so higher-risk patients maintain access to specialty care.

Comparative efficacy of an optimal exam between ultrasound versus abbreviated MRI for HCC screening in NAFLD cirrhosis: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Retrospective studies report that visualisation of the liver may be severely limited using ultrasound (US), potentially contributing to diminished sensitivity for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cirrhosis, but there are limited prospective data. AIMS: To compare liver visualisation scores prospectively for US and abbreviated hepatobiliary phase (HBP) magnetic resonance imaging (AMRI) in a cohort of participants with NAFLD cirrhosis and a clinical indication for HCC surveillance. METHODS: This prospective multicenter study included 54 consecutive participants (67% women) with NAFLD cirrhosis who underwent contemporaneous US as well as HBP-AMRI with gadoxetic acid. Primary outcome was the proportion of imaging examinations with severe limitations in liver visualisation (visualisation score C) compared head-to-head between US and AMRI. RESULTS: The mean (± standard deviation) age was 63.3 years (±8.4) and body mass index was 32.0 kg/m2 (±6.0). Nineteen participants (35%) had severe visualisation limitations on US, compared with 10 (19%) with AMRI, p < 0.0001. Nine (17%) participants had <90% of the liver visualised on US, compared with only 1 (2%) participant with AMRI, p < 0.0001. Obesity was a strong and independent predictor for severe visualisation limitation on US (OR 5.1, CI 1.1-23.1, p = 0.03), after adjustment for age, sex and ethnicity. CONCLUSION: More than one-third of participants with NAFLD cirrhosis had severe visualisation limitations on US for HCC screening, compared with one-sixth on AMRI. US adequacy should be reported in all clinical studies and when suboptimal then AMRI may be considered for HCC screening.

Diagnostic accuracy of two-dimensional shear wave elastography and transient elastography in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

INTRODUCTION: Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) provide noninvasive assessment of hepatic fibrosis. We compared performance of 2D-SWE and VCTE for fibrosis detection in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: We performed a prospective study of adults with NAFLD who underwent 2D-SWE, VCTE, and liver biopsy analysis (using Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network scoring system). The primary outcome was hepatic fibrosis (stage ⩾ 1); secondary outcomes included dichotomized fibrosis stages. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analyses were used to compare 2D-SWE and VCTE performance. RESULTS: A total of 114 adults with a median BMI of 31.2 kg/m2 were included. The VCTE was better than 2D-SWE for the detection of fibrosis (AUROC: 0.81 versus 0.72, p = 0.03). The VCTE detected fibrosis stage 2, 3, or 4 with AUROCs of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80-0.93), 0.91 (95% CI, 0.82-0.99), and 0.96 (95% CI, 0.91-1.00). The 2D-SWE detected fibrosis stage 2, 3, or 4 with AUROCs of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.76-0.92), 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81-0.96), and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86-0.99). CONCLUSION: In a prospective study including more than 100 adults with NAFLD, we found VCTE to be more accurate than 2D-SWE in detecting fibrosis; these modalities, however, are comparable in assessing for higher stages of fibrosis.

The impact of genetic risk on liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease as assessed by magnetic resonance elastography.

BACKGROUND: Variants in multiple genetic loci modify the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cirrhosis but there are limited data on the quantitative impact of variant copies on liver fibrosis. AIM: To investigate the effect of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, GCKR and HSD17B13 genotype on liver fibrosis assessed by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), a reproducible, accurate, continuous biomarker of liver fibrosis. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional analysis derived from a well-characterised cohort at risk for NAFLD who underwent genotyping and MRE assessment. Liver stiffness (LS) was estimated using MRE and advanced fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness ≥3.63 kilopascals (kPa). Univariable and multivariable linear and logistic regression analysis, were used to assess the association between genotype and MRE. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-four patients (63% women) with a mean age 53 (±17) years, and 31% Hispanic ethnicity with genotyping and MRE were included. The odds of advanced fibrosis were 3.1 (95% CI: 1.1-8.9, P = 0.04) for CG and 6.5 (95% CI: 2.2-18.9, P < 0.01) for GG compared to CC PNPLA3 genotype. Each PNPLA3 risk variant copy was associated with 0.40 kPa (95% CI: 0.19-0.61, P < 0.01) increase in LS on MRE in analysis adjusted for age, sex and BMI and there was significant genotype-age interaction (P < 0.01). Conversely, the protective TA allele in HSD17B13 was associated with a -0.41 kPa (95% CI: -0.76 to -0.05, P = 0.03) decrease in liver stiffness on MRE multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: Knowledge of PNPLA3 and HSD17B13 genotype may assist in the non-invasive risk stratification of NAFLD with closer monitoring recommended for those with high genetic risk.

Liver stiffness by magnetic resonance elastography is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is a reliable non-invasive alternative to liver biopsy for assessing liver fibrosis. There are limited data regarding an association between liver fibrosis by MRE and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). AIM: To investigate the association of high-risk CVD phenotype determined by coronary artery calcification (CAC) with liver fibrosis by MRE in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHOD: This was a cross-sectional analysis of well-characterised, prospective cohorts including 105 patients with NAFLD (MR imaging-derived proton density fat fraction ≥ 5%) with contemporaneous cardiac computed tomography (CT) and MRE. Patients were assessed using MRE for liver stiffness, and cardiac CT for the presence of CAC (defined as coronary artery calcium score > 0). Odds of presence of CAC were analysed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The average age and body mass index were 54.9 years and 32.9 kg/m2 respectively. In this cohort, 49.5% of patients had CAC and 35.2% had significant liver fibrosis (defined as MRE ≥2.97 kPa). Compared to patients without CAC, those with CAC were older (50.0 [39.0-59.0] vs 63.0 [55.5-67.5], P < 0.001) and had higher Framingham risk score (FRS, 1.0 [0.5-3.5] vs 6.0 [2.0-12.0], P < 0.001). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, liver stiffness as a continuous trait on MRE was independently associated with the presence of CAC in a sex and age-adjusted model (adjusted odd ratios [aOR] = 2.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.31-4.34, P = 0.007) as well as in a FRS-adjusted model (aOR = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.29-4.09, P = 0.008). When analysed as a dichotomous trait, significant fibrosis (MRE-stiffness ≥2.97 kPa) remained independently associated with the presence of CAC in both FRS-adjusted model and sex and age-adjusted model (aOR = 3.21-3.53, P = 0.013-0.017). In addition, CAC was more prevalent in patients with significant fibrosis than those without as determined by MRE (67.6% vs 39.7%, P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: Liver stiffness determined by MRE is an independent predictor for the presence of CAC in patients with NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD and significant fibrosis by MRE should be considered for further cardiovascular risk assessment, regardless of their FRS.

MRE combined with FIB-4 (MEFIB) index in detection of candidates for pharmacological treatment of NASH-related fibrosis.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with ≥stage 2 fibrosis are at increased risk for liver-related mortality and are candidates for pharmacological therapies for treatment of NAFLD. The aim of this prospective cohort study is to examine the diagnostic accuracy of MR elastography (MRE) combined with fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) in diagnosing ≥stage 2 fibrosis (candidates for pharmacological therapies). DESIGN: This is a cross-sectional analysis of a prospective cohort (University of California at San Diego (UCSD)-NAFLD) including 238 consecutive patients with contemporaneous MRE and biopsy-proven NAFLD. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-Clinical Research Network-Histologic Scoring System was used to assess histology. The radiologist and pathologist were blinded to clinical, pathological and imaging data, respectively. Receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) were determined to examine the diagnostic accuracy of MRE and FIB-4 for diagnosis of ≥stage 2 fibrosis in NAFLD. We then validated these findings in an independent validation cohort derived from Yokohama City University in Japan (Japan-NAFLD Cohort; N=222 patients). RESULTS: In the UCSD-NAFLD (training) Cohort, MRE demonstrated a clinically significant diagnostic accuracy for the detection of ≥stage 2 fibrosis with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.97) vs FIB-4 with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.85), which was both clinically and statistically significant (p<0.0001). We then combined MRE with FIB-4 (MRE ≥3.3 kPa and FIB-4 ≥1.6) to develop a clinical prediction rule to rule in ≥stage 2 fibrosis patients which had positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.1% (p<0.02) in the UCSD-NAFLD cohort (AUROC of 0.90 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.95)) which remained significant at PPV of 91.0% (p<0.003) in the Japan-NAFLD Cohort (AUROC of 0.84 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.89)). CONCLUSION: MRE combined with FIB-4 (MEFIB) index may be used for non-invasive identification of candidates for (≥stage 2 fibrosis) pharmacological therapy among patients with NAFLD with a high PPV.