RESUMO
The article presents results of analysis of morbidity rates in children aged 15-17 years in the Russian Federation, the Volga Federal Okrug, the Udmurt Republic, the Kirov Oblast and the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2014-2022. According to research data, in the Russian Federation there is an increase of general and primarily detected (primary) morbidity by 24.0% (from 229,468.3 to 231,505.5) and by 22.3% (from 143,109.3 to 149,143.8), respectively. In the morbidity structure, the greatest increase was noted for such diseases as obesity (24.0 and 27.8%, respectively), diabetes mellitus (30.9 and 32.8%, respectively) and diabetes mellitus type I (31.9 and 30.8%, respectively). The data of statistical reports on general and primarily detected (primary) morbidity of the Central Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Minzdrav of Russia were used. The study established general and primarily detected morbidity in the Russian Federation. However, forecast for 2027, as compared with 2014, is marked by decline of total morbidity by 8.3% and primarily detected (primary) morbidity by 5.2%. Due to the unfavorable forecast for morbidity in the Russian Federation for 2027, further scientific studies are needed concerning children aged 15-17 years in order to develop preventive measures at population, group and individual levels, considering regional characteristics.