The implementation and impact of non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for Down's syndrome into antenatal screening programmes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) is a widely adopted maternal blood test that analyses foetal originating DNA to screen for foetal chromosomal conditions, including Down's syndrome (DS). The introduction of this test, which may have implications for important decisions made during pregnancy, requires continual monitoring and evaluation. This systematic review aims to assess the extent of NIPT introduction into national screening programmes for DS worldwide, its uptake, and impact on pregnancy outcomes. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The study protocol was published in PROSPERO (CRD42022306167). We systematically searched MEDLINE, CINAHL, Scopus, and Embase for population-based studies, government guidelines, and Public Health documents from 2010 onwards. Results summarised the national policies for NIPT implementation into screening programmes geographically, along with population uptake. Meta-analyses estimated the pooled proportions of women choosing invasive prenatal diagnosis (IPD) following a high chance biochemical screening result, before and after NIPT was introduced. Additionally, we meta-analysed outcomes (termination of pregnancy and live births) amongst high chance pregnancies identified by NIPT. Results demonstrated NIPT implementation in at least 27 countries. Uptake of second line NIPT varied, from 20.4% to 93.2% (n = 6). Following NIPT implementation, the proportion of women choosing IPD after high chance biochemical screening decreased from 75% (95% CI 53%, 88%, n = 5) to 43% (95%CI 31%, 56%, n = 5), an absolute risk reduction of 38%. A pooled estimate of 69% (95% CI 52%, 82%, n = 7) of high chance pregnancies after NIPT resulted in termination, whilst 8% (95% CI 3%, 21%, n = 7) had live births of babies with DS. CONCLUSIONS: NIPT has rapidly gained global acceptance, but population uptake is influenced by healthcare structures, historical screening practices, and cultural factors. Our findings indicate a reduction in IPD tests following NIPT implementation, but limited pre-NIPT data hinder comprehensive impact assessment. Transparent, comparable data reporting is vital for monitoring NIPT's potential consequences.

Socioeconomic status in adulthood of children with and without a history of seizures: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Compare adulthood socioeconomic status for children with and without a history of seizures. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using Aberdeen Children of the Nineteen Fifties (ACONF) data comprising children born 1950-1956 attending primary school 1962-1964, with follow-up data collected in 2001. Adulthood socioeconomic status was based on registrar general measure of occupational social class and categorised as high or low. We adjusted for potentially confounding variables including childhood socioeconomic status, behavioural issues (Rutter A/B scores), biological sex, school test scores, educational attainment, parental engagement with education, peer-status in school, and alcohol use in adulthood. A multivariate binary logistic regression was performed to estimate the adjusted association between children with a history of seizures of any type (for example febrile seizures, or provoked seizures of any other etiology or seizures in the context of epilepsy) or severity and adult socioeconomic status. Multiple imputation using the Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain method accounted for missing data. RESULTS: Pooled estimates (N = 2,208) comparing children with a history of seizures (n = 81) and children without a history of seizures (n = 2,127) found no differences between these cohorts in terms of adulthood socioeconomic status in both unadjusted (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.45 [95 % CI 0.71-2.96], p = 0.31) and adjusted (1.02 [0.46, 2.24], p = 0.96) analyses. Compared to males, females were at increased odds of having a lower socioeconomic status in adulthood (1.56 [1.13-2.17], p = 0.01).Compared to those with low educational attainment, those with moderate (0.32 [0.21, 0.48], p < 0.001) and high (0.12 [0.07, 0.20], p < 0.001) educational attainment were at reduced odds of having a lower socioeconomic status in adulthood. CONCLUSION: Cognitive problems in childhood (using educational attainment and scores on primary school tests proxy markers for cognition) rather than a history of seizures per se, were associated with lower SES in a population of adults born 1950-56 in Aberdeen. This relationship may be different depending on the time in history and nation/region of study. Given the changes in health, education and social support in the management of children with seizures over time, it would be of interest to investigate outcomes in a contemporary cohort. Such studies should ideally have validated diagnoses of seizures, details on seizure characteristics such as seizure type and severity, and a large sample size using national data.

Comparison of neurodevelopmental, educational and adult socioeconomic outcomes in offspring of women with and without epilepsy: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adequate pre-pregnancy counselling and education planning are essential to improve outcomes for offspring of women with epilepsy (OWWE). The current systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare outcomes for OWWE and offspring of women without epilepsy (OWWoE). METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, PsycINFO (database inception-1st January 2023), OpenGrey, GoogleScholar, and hand-searched journals and reference lists of included studies to identify eligible studies. We placed no language restrictions and included observational studies concerning OWWE and OWWoE. We followed the PRIMSA checklist for abstracting data. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for risk of bias assessment was conducted independently by two authors with mediation by a third. We report pooled unadjusted odds ratios (OR) or mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (95CI) from random (I2>50%) or fixed (I2<50%) effects meta-analyses. Outcomes of interest included offspring autism, attention deficit/hyperactive disorder, intellectual disability, epilepsy, developmental disorder, intelligence, educational, and adulthood socioeconomic outcomes. RESULTS: Of 10,928 articles identified, we included 21 in meta-analyses. OWWE had increased odds of autism (2 articles, 4,502,098 offspring) OR [95CI] 1·67 [1·54, 1·82], attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (3 articles, 957,581 offspring) 1·59 [1·44, 1·76], intellectual disability (2 articles, 4,501,786 children) 2·37 [2·13, 2·65], having special educational needs (3 articles, 1,308,919 children) 2·60 [1·07, 6·34]. OWWE had worse mean scores for full-scale intelligence (5 articles, 989 children) -6·05 [-10·31, -1·79]. No studies were identified that investigated adulthood socioeconomic outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Increased odds of poor outcomes are higher with greater anti-seizure medication burden including neurodevelopmental and educational outcomes. In fact, these two outcomes seem to be worse in OWWE compared to OWWoE, even if there was no ASM exposure during pregnancy, but further work is needed to take into account potential confounding factors.

Risk of spontaneous preterm birth elevated after first cesarean delivery at full dilatation: a retrospective cohort study of over 30,000 women.

BACKGROUND: Having a cesarean delivery at full dilatation has been associated with increased subsequent risk of spontaneous preterm birth. The Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank provides a rare opportunity to study subsequent pregnancy outcomes after a previous cesarean delivery at full dilatation over 40 years, with an ability to include a detailed evaluation of potential confounding factors. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate if having an initial cesarean delivery at full dilatation is associated with spontaneous preterm birth or other adverse pregnancy outcomes in the subsequent pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was conducted including women with a first and second pregnancy recorded within the Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank between 1976 and 2017, where previous cesarean delivery at full dilatation at term in the first birth was the exposure. The primary outcome was spontaneous preterm birth (defined as spontaneous birth <37 weeks). Multivariate logistic regression was used to investigate any association between cesarean delivery at full dilatation and the odds of spontaneous preterm birth. Cesarean delivery at full dilatation in previous pregnancy was compared with: (1) any other mode of birth, and (2) individual modes of birth, including planned cesarean delivery, cesarean delivery in first stage of labor (<10-cm dilatation), and vaginal birth (including spontaneous vaginal birth, nonrotational forceps, Kielland forceps, vacuum-assisted birth, breech vaginal birth). Other outcomes such as antepartum hemorrhage and mode of second birth were also compared. RESULTS: Of the 30,253 women included, 900 had a previous cesarean delivery at full dilatation in the first pregnancy. Women with previous cesarean delivery at full dilatation had a 3-fold increased risk of spontaneous preterm birth in a second pregnancy (unadjusted odds ratio, 2.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.82-3.81; adjusted odds ratio, 3.31; 95% confidence interval, 2.17-5.05) compared with those with all other modes of first birth, adjusted for maternal age, diabetes mellitus, body mass index, smoking, preeclampsia, antepartum hemorrhage, socioeconomic deprivation (Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2016), year of birth, and interpregnancy interval (in second pregnancy). When compared with women with vaginal births only, women with cesarean delivery at full dilatation had 5-fold increased odds of spontaneous preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio, 5.37; 95% confidence interval, 3.40-8.48). Compared with first spontaneous vaginal birth, first instrumental births (nonrotational forceps, Kielland forceps, and vacuum births) were not associated with increased risk of spontaneous preterm birth in the second birth. After an initial cesarean delivery at full dilatation, 3.7% of women had a repeated cesarean delivery at full dilatation and 48% had a planned cesarean delivery in the second birth. CONCLUSION: This study is a substantial addition to the body of evidence on the risk of subsequent spontaneous preterm birth after cesarean delivery at full dilatation, and demonstrates a strong association between cesarean delivery at full dilatation in the first birth and spontaneous preterm birth in subsequent pregnancy, although the absolute risk remains small. This is a large retrospective cohort and includes a comprehensive assessment of potential confounding factors, including preeclampsia, antepartum hemorrhage, and lengths of first and second stage of labor. Future research should focus on understanding possible causality and developing primary and secondary preventative measures.

Maternal and perinatal outcomes of prolonged second stage of labour: a historical cohort study of over 51,000 women.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged second stage of labour has been associated with adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. The maximum length of the second stage from full dilatation to birth of the baby remains controversial. Our aim was to determine whether extending second stage of labour was associated with adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using routinely collected hospital data from 51592 births in Aberdeen Maternity Hospital between 2000 and 2016. The hospital followed the local guidance of allowing second stage of labour to extend by an hour compared to national guidelines since 2008 (nulliparous and parous). The increasing duration of second stage of labour was the exposure. Baseline characteristics, maternal and perinatal outcomes were compared between women who had a second stage labour of (a) ≤ 3 h and (b) > 3 h duration for nulliparous women; and (a) ≤ 2 h or (b) > 2 h for parous women. An additional model was run that treated the duration of second stage of labour as a continuous variable (measured in hours). All the adjusted models accounted for: age, BMI, smoking status, deprivation category, induced birth, epidural, oxytocin, gestational age, baby birthweight, mode of birth and parity (only for the final model). RESULTS: Each hourly increase in the second stage of labour was associated with an increased risk of obstetric anal sphincter injury (aOR 1.21 95% CI 1.16,1.25), having an episiotomy (aOR 1.48 95% CI 1.45, 1.52) and postpartum haemorrhage (aOR 1.27 95% CI 1.25, 1.30). The rates of caesarean and forceps delivery also increased when second stage duration increased (aOR 2.60 95% CI 2.50, 2.70, and aOR 2.44 95% CI 2.38, 2.51, respectively.) Overall adverse perinatal outcomes were not found to change significantly with duration of second stage on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: As the duration of second stage of labour increased each hour, the risk of obstetric anal sphincter injuries, episiotomies and PPH increases significantly. Women were over 2 times more likely to have a forceps or caesarean birth. The association between adverse perinatal outcomes and the duration of second stage of labour was less convincing in this study.

Effectiveness of workplace-based interventions to promote wellbeing among menopausal women: A systematic review.

Menopausal symptoms are known to affect quality of life and work productivity. This systematic review aimed to describe the range and effectiveness of workplace-based interventions for menopause. MEDLINE, PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, PsycINFO, EconLit, and SCOPUS were searched from the inception until April 2022. Quantitative interventional studies evaluating physical/virtual workplace-based interventions aiming to improve well-being, work, and other outcomes, that involved women in menopausal transition, or their line managers/supervisors were eligible for inclusion. Two randomized controlled trials and three uncontrolled trials, comprising 293 women aged 40-60 years and 61, line managers/supervisors, were included in the review. Results were narratively synthesized due to the heterogeneity of interventions and outcomes and we found that only a limited range of interventions have been evaluated for their ability to support women going through menopausal transition in the workplace. Self-help cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT); Raja yoga; and health promotion (involving menopause consultations, work-life coaching and physical training) improved menopausal symptoms significantly. Self-help CBT was associated with a significant improvement in mental resources for work, presenteeism, and work and social adjustment. Awareness programs significantly improved knowledge and attitudes of both employees and line managers/supervisors about menopause. The interventions have mostly been evaluated in small studies with selected populations but have improved menopausal symptoms and work outcomes. A customizable menopause wellbeing intervention package incorporating these evidence-supported interventions should be developed and implemented on a wider scale within organizations alongside robust evaluation of its effectiveness.

Consortium for the Study of Pregnancy Treatments (Co-OPT): An international birth cohort to study the effects of antenatal corticosteroids.

BACKGROUND: Antenatal corticosteroids (ACS) are widely prescribed to improve outcomes following preterm birth. Significant knowledge gaps surround their safety, long-term effects, optimal timing and dosage. Almost half of women given ACS give birth outside the "therapeutic window" and have not delivered over 7 days later. Overtreatment with ACS is a concern, as evidence accumulates of risks of unnecessary ACS exposure. METHODS: The Consortium for the Study of Pregnancy Treatments (Co-OPT) was established to address research questions surrounding safety of medications in pregnancy. We created an international birth cohort containing information on ACS exposure and pregnancy and neonatal outcomes by combining data from four national/provincial birth registers and one hospital database, and follow-up through linked population-level data from death registers and electronic health records. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The Co-OPT ACS cohort contains 2.28 million pregnancies and babies, born in Finland, Iceland, Israel, Canada and Scotland, between 1990 and 2019. Births from 22 to 45 weeks' gestation were included; 92.9% were at term (≥ 37 completed weeks). 3.6% of babies were exposed to ACS (67.0% and 77.9% of singleton and multiple births before 34 weeks, respectively). Rates of ACS exposure increased across the study period. Of all ACS-exposed babies, 26.8% were born at term. Longitudinal childhood data were available for 1.64 million live births. Follow-up includes diagnoses of a range of physical and mental disorders from the Finnish Hospital Register, diagnoses of mental, behavioural, and neurodevelopmental disorders from the Icelandic Patient Registers, and preschool reviews from the Scottish Child Health Surveillance Programme. The Co-OPT ACS cohort is the largest international birth cohort to date with data on ACS exposure and maternal, perinatal and childhood outcomes. Its large scale will enable assessment of important rare outcomes such as perinatal mortality, and comprehensive evaluation of the short- and long-term safety and efficacy of ACS.

Early pregnancy outcomes of IVF cycles using donor versus partner sperm: analysis of 1 376 454 cycles recorded by the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (1991-2016).

STUDY QUESTION: Are the early pregnancy outcomes of IVF pregnancies conceived with donor sperm different to those conceived with partner sperm? SUMMARY ANSWER: Pregnancies conceived with donor sperm have a lower odds of early pregnancy loss and ectopic pregnancy compared to pregnancies conceived with partner sperm. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The number of cycles using donor sperm has risen significantly in recent years. Adverse early pregnancy outcomes have a negative impact on women and their partners. The evidence available to date regarding early pregnancy outcomes for pregnancies conceived with IVF donor sperm is limited by low numbers and lower-quality studies. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This is a retrospective cohort study of 1 376 454 cycles conceived with either donor or partner sperm between 1991 and 2016 as recorded in the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA) Register. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The HFEA has recorded data on all fertility treatments carried out in the UK from 1991 onwards, and it publishes this data in an anonymized form. This study assessed the outcomes of all pregnancies conceived with donor sperm and compared them to those conceived with partner sperm among IVF cycles recorded in the HFEA anonymized dataset from 1991 to 2016. Cycles that included intrauterine insemination, donor oocytes, preimplantation genetic testing, oocyte thaw cycles and alternative fertility treatments were excluded. The outcomes of interest were biochemical pregnancy, miscarriage, ectopic pregnancy, stillbirth and live birth. Logistic regression was used to adjust for confounding factors including age of the female partner, cause of infertility, history of previous pregnancy, fresh or frozen cycle, IVF or ICSI, number of embryos transferred, and year of treatment. Results are reported as adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% CIs. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: This study found reductions in the odds of biochemical pregnancy (aOR 0.82, 95% CI 0.78-0.86), miscarriage (aOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.97), and ectopic pregnancy (aOR 0.77, 95% CI 0.66-0.90) among pregnancies as a result of the use of donor sperm as opposed to partner sperm. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: This study is retrospective and limited by the constraints of routinely collected data. No data were available for maternal characteristics such as BMI, smoking and partner age, which could all be potential confounders. Clustering of multiple pregnancies within women could not be accounted for as the data are reported only at the cycle level with no maternal identifiers. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study has demonstrated that there are no increased risks of adverse pregnancy outcome with donor sperm pregnancies. The reduction in miscarriage in pregnancies using donor sperm suggests that sperm could have a role in miscarriage, as the selection process for being accepted as donor is stringent. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): No external funding was sought for this study. C.A. has received funding from Ferring to attend a UK meeting for trainees in reproductive Medicine. A.M. has received funding from Ferring, Cook, Merck Serono, Geodon Ritcher, and Pharmasure for speaking at, or attending, meetings relating to reproductive medicine. She has also participated in a Ferring advisory board. S.B. has received grants from Tenovus and the UK Medical Research Council. She has also been supported with a Medical Research Scotland PhD studentship. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Comparison of Perinatal Outcomes for Women With and Without Epilepsy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Importance: Pregnant women who have epilepsy need adequate engagement, information, and pregnancy planning and management to improve pregnancy outcomes. Objective: To investigate perinatal outcomes in women with epilepsy compared with women without epilepsy. Data Sources: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, and PsycINFO were searched with no language or date restrictions (database inception through December 6, 2022). Searches also included OpenGrey and Google Scholar and manual searching in journals and reference lists of included studies. Study Selection: All observational studies comparing women with and without epilepsy were included. Data Extraction and Synthesis: The PRISMA checklist was used for abstracting data and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for risk-of-bias assessment. Data extraction and risk-of-bias assessment were done independently by 2 authors with mediation conducted independently by a third author. Pooled unadjusted odds ratios (OR) or mean differences were reported with 95% CI from random-effects (I2 heterogeneity statistic >50%) or fixed-effects (I2 < 50%) meta-analyses. Main Outcomes and Measures: Maternal, fetal, and neonatal complications. Results: Of 8313 articles identified, 76 were included in the meta-analyses. Women with epilepsy had increased odds of miscarriage (12 articles, 25 478 pregnancies; OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.15-2.29), stillbirth (20 articles, 28 134 229 pregnancies; OR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.29-1.47), preterm birth (37 articles, 29 268 866 pregnancies; OR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.32-1.51) and maternal death (4 articles, 23 288 083 pregnancies; OR, 5.00; 95% CI, 1.38-18.04). Neonates born to women with epilepsy had increased odds of congenital conditions (29 articles, 24 238 334 pregnancies; OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.66-2.12), neonatal intensive care unit admission (8 articles, 1 204 428 pregnancies; OR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.58-2.51), and neonatal or infant death (13 articles, 1 426 692 pregnancies; OR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.56-2.24). The increased odds of poor outcomes was increased with greater use of antiseizure medication. Conclusions and Relevance: This systematic review and meta-analysis found that women with epilepsy have worse perinatal outcomes compared with women without epilepsy. Women with epilepsy should receive pregnancy counseling from an epilepsy specialist who can also optimize their antiseizure medication regimen before and during pregnancy.

General and age-specific fertility rates in non-affective psychosis: population-based analysis of Scottish women.

PURPOSE: Women diagnosed with non-affective psychosis have a lower general fertility rate (GFR) and age-specific fertility rate (ASFR) than women in the general population. Contemporary data on GFR in this group remain limited, despite substantive changes in prescribing and management. We calculated contemporary estimates of the GFR and ASFR for women diagnosed with non-affective psychosis compared with the general population of women without this diagnosis. METHODS: A population-based design combined routinely collected historical maternity and psychiatric data from two representative areas of Scotland. Women were included from the NHS Grampian or Greater Glasgow and Clyde areas and were aged 15-44 between 2005 and 2013 inclusive. The 'exposed' group had a diagnosis of non-affective psychosis (ICD-10 F20-F29) and was compared to the general population of 'unexposed' women in the same geographical areas. RESULTS: Annual GFR between 2005 and 2013 for women with non-affective psychosis varied from 9.6 to 21.3 live births/1000 women per year in the exposed cohort and 52.7 to 57.8 live births/1000 women per year in the unexposed cohort, a rate ratio (RR) of 0.28 [p < 0.001; 95% CI (0.24, 0.32)]. ASFR for all 5-year age groups was lower in the exposed cohort than amongst unexposed women. CONCLUSION: We highlight continued low fertility rates in women with a diagnosis of non-affective psychosis, despite widespread availability of prolactin-sparing atypical antipsychotics. Accurate estimation of fertility rates remains crucial in developing needs-matched perinatal care for these women. Methodological improvements using routine datasets to investigate perinatal mental health are also urgently needed.

Antenatal Corticosteroids and Neonatal Outcomes in Twins: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether antenatal corticosteroid treatment is associated with improved neonatal outcomes in twins. DATA SOURCES: We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library, from inception through August 12, 2021. We did not search ClinicalTrials.gov because our inclusion criteria were restricted to nonrandomized studies. METHODS OF STUDY SELECTION: Records (n=7,802) were screened in Rayyan by two independent reviewers. We included all nonrandomized studies that compared antenatal corticosteroid treatment with no treatment in twins. Our outcomes of interest were neonatal mortality, respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), intraventricular hemorrhage, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, necrotizing enterocolitis, periventricular leukomalacia, and retinopathy of prematurity. TABULATION, INTEGRATION, AND RESULTS: We used the ROBINS-I tool (Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies - of Interventions) to assess risk of bias. We performed random-effects meta-analyses of estimates from studies without critical risk of bias due to confounding, and reported summary adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% CIs. Eighteen cohort studies (that reported on 33,152 neonates) met inclusion criteria. Sixteen studies restricted to preterm gestational ages, and 11 defined exposed neonates based on an optimal corticosteroid administration-to-birth interval. Limitations due to confounding and selection bias were common concerns for the risk-of-bias assessments (n=14 at critical or higher), and 11 studies did not account for clustering within twin pairs in their analyses. All included studies had at least moderate risk of bias. Meta-analysis showed that antenatal corticosteroid administration was associated with lower odds of neonatal mortality (aOR 0.59, 95% CI 0.43-0.80, I2 69%, five studies, 20,312 neonates) and RDS (aOR 0.70, 95% CI 0.57-0.86, I2 67%, seven studies, 20,628 neonates) in twins. Results were inconclusive for the other outcomes. CONCLUSION: Evidence from nonrandomized studies suggests antenatal corticosteroids are associated with lower incidence of neonatal mortality and RDS in twins. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO, CRD42020205302.

Maternal over-the-counter analgesics use during pregnancy and adverse perinatal outcomes: cohort study of 151 141 singleton pregnancies.

OBJECTIVES: To identify any associations between in utero exposure to five over-the-counter (non-prescription) analgesics (paracetamol, ibuprofen, aspirin, diclofenac, naproxen) and adverse neonatal outcomes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using the Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank. PARTICIPANTS: 151 141 singleton pregnancies between 1985 and 2015. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Premature delivery (<37 weeks), stillbirth, neonatal death, birth weight, standardised birthweight score, neonatal unit admission, APGAR score at 1 and 5 min, neural tube and amniotic band defects, gastroschisis and, in males, cryptorchidism and hypospadias. RESULTS: 83.7% of women taking over-the-counter analgesics reported first trimester use when specifically asked about use at their first antenatal clinic visit. Pregnancies exposed to at least one of the five analgesics were significantly independently associated with increased risks for premature delivery <37 weeks (adjusted OR (aOR)=1.50, 95% CI 1.43 to 1.58), stillbirth (aOR=1.33, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.54), neonatal death (aOR=1.56, 95% CI 1.27 to 1.93), birth weight <2500 g (aOR=1.28, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.37), birth weight >4000 g (aOR=1.09, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.13), admission to neonatal unit (aOR=1.57, 95% CI 1.51 to 1.64), APGAR score <7 at 1 min (aOR=1.18, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.23) and 5 min (aOR=1.48, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.62), neural tube defects (aOR=1.64, 95% CI 1.08 to 2.47) and hypospadias (aOR=1.27, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.54 males only). The overall prevalence of over-the-counter analgesics use during pregnancy was 29.1%, however it rapidly increased over the 30-year study period, to include over 60% of women in the last 7 years of the study. This makes our findings highly relevant to the wider pregnant population. CONCLUSIONS: Over-the-counter (non-prescription) analgesics consumption during pregnancy was associated with a substantially higher risk for adverse perinatal health outcomes in the offspring. The use of paracetamol in combination with other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs conferred the highest risk. The increased risks of adverse neonatal outcomes associated with non-prescribed, over-the-counter, analgesics use during pregnancy indicate that healthcare guidance for pregnant women regarding analgesic use need urgent updating.

Does interpregnancy BMI change affect the risk of complications in the second pregnancy? Analysis of pooled data from Aberdeen, Finland and Malta.

OBJECTIVE: Weight management interventions during pregnancy have had limited success in reducing the risk of pregnancy complications. Focus has now shifted to pre-pregnancy counselling to optimise body weight before subsequent conception. We aimed to assess the effect of interpregnancy body mass index (BMI) change on the risk of perinatal complications in the second pregnancy. METHODS: A cohort study was performed using pooled maternity data from Aberdeen, Finland and Malta. Women with a BMI change of ±2 kg/m2 between their first and second pregnancies were compared with those who were BMI stable (remained within ±2 kg/m2). Outcomes assessed included pre-eclampsia (PE), intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR), preterm birth, birth weight, and stillbirth in the second pregnancy. We also assessed the effect of unit change in BMI for PE and IUGR. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: An increase of ≥2 kg/m2 between the first two pregnancies increased the risk of PE (1.66 (1.49-1.86)) and high birthweight (>4000 g) (1.06 (1.03-1.10)). A reduction of ≥2 kg/m2 increased the chance of IUGR (1.15 (1.01-1.31)) and preterm birth (1.14 (1.01-1.30)), while reducing the risk of instrumental delivery (0.75 (0.68-0.85)) and high birthweight (0.93 (0.87-0.98)). Reducing BMI did not significantly decrease PE risk in women with obesity or those with previous PE. A history of PE or IUGR in the first pregnancy was the strongest predictor of recurrence independent of interpregnancy BMI change (5.75 (5.30-6.24) and (7.44 (6.71-8.25), respectively). CONCLUSION: Changes in interpregnancy BMI have a modest impact on the risk of high birthweight, PE and IUGR in contrasting directions. However, a prior history of PE and IUGR is the dominant predictor of recurrence at second pregnancy.

Risk of Recurrent Stillbirth in Subsequent Pregnancies.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the prospective risk of stillbirth between women with and without a stillbirth in their first pregnancy. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using perinatal data from Finland, Malta, and Scotland. Women who had at least two singleton deliveries were included. The exposed and unexposed cohorts comprised women with a stillbirth and live birth in their first pregnancy, respectively. The risk of stillbirth in any subsequent pregnancy was assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Time-to-event analyses were conducted to investigate whether first pregnancy outcome had an effect on time to or the number of pregnancies preceding subsequent stillbirth. RESULTS: The pooled data set included 1,064,564 women, 6,288 (0.59%) with a stillbirth and 1,058,276 with a live birth in a first pregnancy. Compared with women with a live birth, women with a stillbirth in the first pregnancy were more likely to have a subsequent stillbirth (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.25, 95% CI 1.86-2.72). For women with more than two pregnancies, the difference in risk of subsequent stillbirth between the two groups increased with the number of subsequent pregnancies. Maternal age younger than 25 years or 40 years and older, smoking, low socioeconomic status, not having a partner, pre-existing diabetes, preeclampsia, placental abruption, or delivery of a growth-restricted neonate in a first pregnancy were independently associated with subsequent stillbirth. Compared with women with a live birth in the first pregnancy, women with a stillbirth were more likely to have another pregnancy within 1 year. The absolute risk of stillbirth in a subsequent pregnancy for women with stillbirth and live birth in a first pregnancy were 2.5% and 0.5%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Compared with women with a live birth in a first pregnancy, women with a stillbirth have a higher risk of subsequent stillbirth irrespective of the number and sequence of the pregnancies. Despite high relative risk, the absolute risk of recurrence was low.

An Ecological Study Assessing the Relationship between Public Health Policies and Severity of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Reliance on government-led policies have heightened during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further research on the policies associated with outcomes other than mortality rates remains warranted. We aimed to determine associations between government public health policies on the severity of the COVID-19 pandemic. This ecological study including countries reporting ≥25 daily COVID-related deaths until end May 2020, utilised public data on policy indicators described by the Blavatnik school of Government. Associations between policy indicators and severity of the pandemic (mean mortality rate, time to peak, peak deaths per 100,000, cumulative deaths after peak per 100,000 and ratio of mean slope of the descending curve to mean slope of the ascending curve) were measured using Spearman rank-order tests. Analyses were stratified for age, income and region. Among 22 countries, containment policies such as school closures appeared effective in younger populations (rs = -0.620, p = 0.042) and debt/contract relief in older populations (rs = -0.743, p = 0.009) when assessing peak deaths per 100,000. In European countries, containment policies were generally associated with good outcomes. In non-European countries, school closures were associated with mostly good outcomes (rs = -0.757, p = 0.049 for mean mortality rate). In high-income countries, health system policies were generally effective, contrasting to low-income countries. Containment policies may be effective in younger populations or in high-income or European countries. Health system policies have been most effective in high-income countries.

Reproductive Pattern of Parous Women and the Risk of Cancer in Later Life.

We assessed the risk of any and site-specific cancers in a case-control study of parous women living in northeast Scotland in relation to: total number of pregnancies, cumulative time pregnant, age at first delivery and interpregnancy interval. We analysed 6430 women with cancer and 6430 age-matched controls. After adjustment for confounders, women with increasing number of pregnancies had similar odds of cancer diagnosis as women with only one pregnancy. The adjusted odds of cancer diagnosis were no higher in women with cumulative pregnancy time 50-150 weeks compared to those pregnant ≤ 50 weeks. Compared with women who had their first delivery at or before 20 years of age, the adjusted odds ratio (AOR) among those aged 21-25 years was 0.81, 95% CI 0.74, 0.88; 26-30 years AOR 0.77, 95% CI 0.69, 0.86; >30 years AOR 0.63, 95% CI 0.55, 0.73. After adjustment, the odds of having any cancer were higher in women who had an inter-pregnancy interval >3 years compared to those with no subsequent pregnancy (AOR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05, 1.30). Older age at first pregnancy was associated with increased risk of breast and gastrointestinal cancer, and reduced risk of invasive cervical, carcinoma in situ of the cervix and respiratory cancer.

Maternal body mass index in pregnancy and mental disorders in adult offspring: a record linkage study in Aberdeen, Scotland.

Maternal obesity in pregnancy predicts offspring psychopathology risk in childhood but it remains unclear whether maternal obesity or underweight associate with adult offspring mental disorders. We examined longitudinally whether maternal body mass index (BMI) in pregnancy predicted mental disorders in her offspring and whether the associations differed by offspring birth year among 68,571 mother-child dyads of Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank, Scotland. The offspring were born 1950-1999. Maternal BMI was measured at a mean 15.7 gestational weeks and classified into underweight, normal weight, overweight, moderate obesity and severe obesity. Mental disorders were identified from nationwide registers carrying diagnoses of all hospitalizations and deaths in Scotland in 1996-2017. We found that maternal BMI in pregnancy was associated with offspring mental disorders in a time-dependent manner: In offspring born 1950-1974, maternal underweight predicted an increased hazard of mental disorders [Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.74; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 1.01-3.00)]. In offspring born 1975-1999, maternal severe obesity predicted increased hazards of any mental (HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.08-2.38) substance use (HR 1.91; 95% CI 1.03-3.57) and schizophrenia spectrum (HR 2.80; 95% CI 1.40-5.63) disorders. Our findings of time-specific associations between maternal prenatal BMI and adult offspring mental disorders may carry important public health implications by underlining possible lifelong effects of maternal BMI on offspring psychopathology.

Has the human papillomavirus (HPV) immunization programme improved obstetric outcomes in spontaneous delivery? An ecological study.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the rates of adverse obstetric outcomes in spontaneous delivery in a population of young women with high uptake of the bivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. STUDY DESIGN: This was a population-based ecological study with data from the Aberdeen Maternity and Neonatal Databank, UK. All women born between 1986-1996 with spontaneous singleton live birth at age 20-30 years were included for analysis. Exposure was defined according to maternal year of birth and HPV immunisation eligibility: pre-immunisation cohort (1986-1990), catch-up immunisation cohort (1991-1994) and routine immunisation cohort (1995-1996). Outcomes were defined as spontaneous preterm birth (PTB), low birth weight (LBW) and pre-labour preterm rupture of membranes (pPROM). Generalized estimating equation models were applied, adjusted for deprivation, smoking status, marital status, body mass index, parity, maternal age and year of infant delivery. RESULTS: A total of 6515 spontaneous singleton live births were included in final analysis, with 5134 births included in the pre-immunisation cohort, 1250 in the catch-up immunisation cohort and 131 in the routine immunisation cohort. Compared with the pre-immunisation cohort, no statistically significant reduction on PTB, LBW or pPROM were observed in either immunised cohorts. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) on PTB was 0.64 (95 % confidence interval, 0.40-1.03) in the catch-up cohort and 0.71 (0.28-1.77) in the routine cohort. The corresponding aOR were 0.88 (0.54-1.45) and 0.51 (0.16-1.62) for LBW and 1.62 (0.58-4.54) and 1.51 (0.21-11.01) for pPROM. CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe a significant reduction on PTB, LBW or pPROM among spontaneous singleton live birth in either HPV immunised cohorts, although the additional benefit in improving obstetric outcomes cannot be excluded because of the limits of the sample size and the study design. Further demonstration is warranted when more women in the fully HPV immunised cohorts embark on pregnancy.

Country-level determinants of the severity of the first global wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: an ecological study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to identify the country-level determinants of the severity of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. DESIGN: Ecological study of publicly available data. Countries reporting >25 COVID-19 related deaths until 8 June 2020 were included. The outcome was log mean mortality rate from COVID-19, an estimate of the country-level daily increase in reported deaths during the ascending phase of the epidemic curve. Potential determinants assessed were most recently published demographic parameters (population and population density, percentage population living in urban areas, population >65 years, average body mass index and smoking prevalence); economic parameters (gross domestic product per capita); environmental parameters (pollution levels and mean temperature (January-May); comorbidities (prevalence of diabetes, hypertension and cancer); health system parameters (WHO Health Index and hospital beds per 10 000 population); international arrivals; the stringency index, as a measure of country-level response to COVID-19; BCG vaccination coverage; UV radiation exposure; and testing capacity. Multivariable linear regression was used to analyse the data. PRIMARY OUTCOME: Country-level mean mortality rate: the mean slope of the COVID-19 mortality curve during its ascending phase. PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-seven countries were included: Algeria, Argentina, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Egypt, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, Peru, the Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Romania, the Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, the UK and the USA. RESULTS: Of all country-level determinants included in the multivariable model, total number of international arrivals (beta 0.033 (95% CI 0.012 to 0.054)) and BCG vaccination coverage (-0.018 (95% CI -0.034 to -0.002)), were significantly associated with the natural logarithm of the mean death rate. CONCLUSIONS: International travel was directly associated with the mortality slope and thus potentially the spread of COVID-19. Very early restrictions on international travel should be considered to control COVID-19 outbreaks and prevent related deaths.