Deciphering the variability in air-sea gas transfer due to sea state and wind history.

Understanding processes driving air-sea gas transfer and being able to model both its mean and variability are critical for studies of climate and carbon cycle. The air-sea gas transfer velocity (K 660) is almost universally parameterized as a function of wind speed in large scale models-an oversimplification that buries the mechanisms controlling K 660 and neglects much natural variability. Sea state has long been speculated to affect gas transfer, but consistent relationships from in situ observations have been elusive. Here, applying a machine learning technique to an updated compilation of shipboard direct observations of the CO2 transfer velocity (K CO2,660), we show that the inclusion of significant wave height improves the model simulation of K CO2,660, while parameters such as wave age, wave steepness, and swell-wind directional difference have little influence on K CO2,660. Wind history is found to be important, as in high seas K CO2,660 during periods of falling winds exceed periods of rising winds by ∼20% in the mean. This hysteresis in K CO2,660 is consistent with the development of waves and increase in whitecap coverage as the seas mature. A similar hysteresis is absent from the transfer of a more soluble gas, confirming that the sea state dependence in K CO2,660 is primarily due to bubble-mediated gas transfer upon wave breaking. We propose a new parameterization of K CO2,660 as a function of wind stress and significant wave height, which resemble observed K CO2,660 both in the mean and on short timescales.

The North Equatorial Current and rapid intensification of super typhoons.

Super Typhoon Mangkhut, which traversed the North Equatorial Current (NEC; 8-17 °N) in the western North Pacific in 2018, was the most intense Category-5 tropical cyclone (TC) with the longest duration in history-3.5 days. Here we show that the combination of two factors-high ocean heat content (OHC) and increased stratification - makes the NEC region the most favored area for a rapid intensification (RI) of super typhoons, instead of the Eddy Rich Zone (17-25 °N), which was considered the most relevant for RI occurrence. The high OHC results from a northward deepening thermocline in geostrophic balance with the westward-flowing NEC. The stratification is derived from precipitation associated with the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone in the summer peak typhoon season. These factors, which are increasingly significant over the past four decades, impede the TC-induced sea surface cooling, thus enhancing RI of TCs and simultaneously maintaining super typhoons over the NEC region.

Global coastal wave storminess.

Coastal wave storms pose a massive threat to over 10% of the world's population now inhabiting the low elevation coastal zone and to the trillions of $ worth of coastal zone infrastructure and developments therein. Using a ~ 40-year wave hindcast, we here present a world-first assessment of wind-wave storminess along the global coastline. Coastal regions are ranked in terms of the main storm characteristics, showing Northwestern Europe and Southwestern South America to suffer, on average, the most intense storms and the Yellow Sea coast and the South-African and Namibian coasts to be impacted by the most frequent storms. These characteristics are then combined to derive a holistic classification of the global coastlines in terms of their wave environment, showing, for example, that the open coasts of northwestern Europe are impacted by more than 10 storms per year with mean significant wave heights over 6 m. Finally, a novel metric to classify the degree of coastal wave storminess is presented, showing a general latitudinal storminess gradient. Iceland, Ireland, Scotland, Chile and Australia show the highest degree of storminess, whereas Indonesia, Papua-New Guinea, Malaysia, Cambodia and Myanmar show the lowest.