The Bridging the Gaps Program: Three Decades of Collaborative Service-Oriented Learning in the Health Professions.

ABSTRACT: Health professions educators are continuing to develop training programs for future health care professionals to understand social determinants of health and address practical needs of their training institutions via service-oriented learning. Although individual U.S. programs have piloted different models, evaluations of programs that have demonstrated longitudinal growth and sustainability in the community are lacking, which is important because these programs can have long-term impacts not only on students but also on the communities they serve. In this article, the authors describe the long-term impacts of the Bridging the Gaps (BTG) program. First established in 1991 as an academic health institution and community organization collaborative, by 2019, the BTG program encompassed 9 academic health institution-based programs, partnering with 96 community organizations and employing 187 health professions students across 15 disciplines. By 2019, the program had 5,648 alumni. Of 3,104 alumni, 2,848 (91.8%) felt that the program broadened their understanding of health issues encountered by vulnerable and/or economically disadvantaged populations, and 2,767 of 3,101 (89.2%) felt that the program increased their interest in working with these populations. A total of 142 of 156 (91.0%) reported an effect on their clinical practice, 169 of 180 (93.9%) reported an effect on their professional role, and 64 of 109 (58.7%) reported an effect on their research careers. Of the community partners, 1,401 of 1,441 (97.2%) felt that the partnership between their organization and the BTG program was beneficial, 955 of 1,423 (67.1%) felt that BTG students brought resources to their organization that had previously been unavailable, and 1,095 of 1,421 (77.1%) felt that the linkages between their agency and other organizations were strengthened. The BTG program demonstrates growth and sustainability in its ongoing efforts to integrate training on social determinants of health via service-oriented learning into health professions education.

Depression and Cost-Related Health Care Utilization Among Persons with Diabetes.

The presence of depression among people with diabetes can substantially increase health care costs and reduce health care utilization. This study aimed at further elucidating the factors underlying the relationship between depressive disorders and health care utilization among people with diabetes. Data were obtained from the 2019 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, and the sample was limited to people with diabetes (n = 22,642). The independent variable was assessed by a lifetime diagnosis of depressive disorder, including depression, major depression, dysthymia, or minor depression. The dependent variable was cost-related health care utilization assessed as a response (yes/no) to whether participants had not seen a doctor due to costs in the past year. Logistic regression models examined the association between depressive disorders and health care utilization, adjusting for covariates incorporating weighting to account for study design. Overall, 25.2% of the people with diabetes reported having had a depressive disorder in their lifetime. People with diabetes who had ever been diagnosed with a depressive disorder were more likely to have reported not seeing a doctor due to costs in the past year (adjusted odds ratio: 1.82 [1.49, 2.28]). Findings from this study suggest a need for further research regarding the relationship between depression and cost-related health care utilization among people with diabetes.

Adapting psychotherapy in collaborative care for treating opioid use disorder and co-occurring psychiatric conditions in primary care.

INTRODUCTION: Opioid use disorder (OUD) and psychiatric conditions commonly co-occur yet are infrequently treated with evidence-based therapeutic approaches, resulting in poor outcomes. These conditions, separately, present challenges to treatment initiation, retention, and success. These challenges are compounded when individuals have OUD and psychiatric conditions. METHOD: Recognizing the complex needs of these individuals, gaps in care, and the potential for primary care to bridge these gaps, we developed a psychotherapy program that integrates brief, evidence-based psychotherapies for substance use, depression, and anxiety, building on traditional elements of the Collaborative Care Model (CoCM). In this article, we describe this psychotherapy program in a primary care setting as part of a compendium of collaborative services. RESULTS: Patients receive up to 12 sessions of evidence-based psychotherapy and case management based on a structured treatment manual that guides treatment via Motivational Enhancement; Cognitive Behavioral Therapies for depression, anxiety, and/or substance use disorder; and/or Behavioral Activation components. DISCUSSION: Novel, integrated treatments are needed to advance service delivery for individuals with OUD and psychiatric conditions and these programs must be rigorously evaluated. We describe our team's efforts to test our psychotherapy program in a large primary care network as part of an ongoing three-arm randomized controlled trial. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

Adherence patterns to oral hypoglycemic agents among primary care patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: To examine patterns of adherence to oral hypoglycemic agents among primary care patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and to assess whether these patterns were associated with baseline intervention allocation, sociodemographic characteristics, and clinical indicators. METHODS: Adherence patterns were examined by Medication Event Monitoring System (MEMS) caps at baseline and 12 weeks. Participants (n = 72) were randomly allocated to a Patient Prioritized Planning (PPP) intervention or a control group. The PPP intervention employed a card-sort task to identify health-related priorities that included social determinants of health to address medication nonadherence. Next, a problem-solving process was used to address unmet needs involving referral to resources. Multinomial logistic regression examined patterns of adherence in relation to baseline intervention allocation, sociodemographic characteristics, and clinical indicators. RESULTS: Three patterns of adherence were found: adherent, increasing adherence, and nonadherent. Participants assigned to the PPP intervention were significantly more likely to have a pattern of improving adherence (Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR)= 11.28, 95% confidence interval (CI)= 1.78, 71.60) and adherence (AOR=4.68, 95% CI=1.15, 19.02) than participants assigned to the control group. CONCLUSION: Primary care PPP interventions incorporating social determinants may be effective in fostering and improving patient adherence.

Integrating peer support services into primary care-based OUD treatment: Lessons from the Penn integrated model.

Opioid use disorder (OUD) is a major public health emergency in the United States. In 2020, 2.7 million individuals had an OUD. Medication for opioid use disorder is the evidence-based, standard of care for treating OUD in outpatient settings, especially buprenorphine because it is effective and has low toxicity. Buprenorphine is increasingly prescribed in primary care, a setting that provides greater anonymity and convenience than substance use disorder treatment centers. Yet two-thirds of people who begin buprenorphine treatment discontinue within the first six months. Treatment dropout elevates the risks of return to use, infections, higher levels of medical care and related costs, justice system involvement, and death. One promising form of retention support is peer service programs. Peers combine their lived experience of substance use and recovery with formal training to help patients engage and persist in OUD treatment. They provide a range of services, including health education, encouragement and empathy, coping skills, recovery modeling, and concrete assistance in overcoming the situational barriers to retention. However, guidance is needed to define the peer role in primary care, the specific tasks peers should perform, the competencies those tasks require, training and professional development needs, and peer performance standards. Guidance also is needed to integrate peers into the care team, allocate and coordinate responsibilities among care team members, manage peer operations and workflow, and facilitate effective team communication. Here we describe a peer support program in the University of Pennsylvania Health System (UPHS or Penn Medicine) network of primary care practices. This paper details the program's core components, values, and activities. We also report the organizational challenges, unresolved questions, and lessons for the field in administering a peer support program to meet the needs of patients served by a large, urban medical system with an extensive suburban and rural catchment area. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: www.clinicaltrials.gov registration: NCT04245423.

Cardiovascular Disease and Medication Adherence Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in an Underserved Community.

Optimal management of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (Type 2 DM) is impeded by widespread nonadherence to efficacious medication regimens. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the most common cause of morbidity and mortality among persons with Type 2 DM. In this work we evaluated the relationship between CVD and medication adherence to antihypertensives, oral hypoglycemic agents, and antidepressants among patients with Type 2 DM. We also sought to understand how patients perceived barriers to and facilitators of adherence to medications. Adherence to medications was measured in 72 primary care patients from the West Philadelphia area using electronic monitoring (Medication Event Monitoring System caps) over 12 weeks. Standard questions assessed the presence of CVD. Participants answered open-ended questions about barriers to and facilitators of medication adherence. Participants who had CVD were significantly less likely to achieve ≥80% adherence to an antidepressant, oral hypoglycemic agent, and antihypertensive medications at 12 weeks. Participants identified four themes related to medication adherence: Interference from Psychosocial Demands, Need for Technological Innovation, Awareness of Disease Severity, and Integrating Community Linkages. Interventions to improve medication adherence among persons with Type 2 DM in underserved communities may aim to address social determinants of health, create community linkages, emphasize disease severity and utilize apps which are integrated with existing primary care services.

Collaborative care in the treatment of opioid use disorder and mental health conditions in primary care: A clinical study protocol.

BACKGROUND: People with opioid use disorder (OUD) often have a co-occurring psychiatric disorder, which elevates the risk of morbidity and mortality. Promising evidence supports the use of collaborative care for treating people with OUD in primary care. Whether collaborative care interventions that treat both OUD and psychiatric disorders will result in better outcomes is presently unknown. METHODS: The Whole Health Study is a 3-arm randomized controlled trial designed to test collaborative care treatment for OUD and the psychiatric disorders that commonly accompany OUD. Approximately 1200 primary care patients aged ≥18 years with OUD and depression, anxiety, or PTSD will be randomized to one of three conditions: (1) Augmented Usual Care, which consists of a primary care physician (PCP) waivered to prescribe buprenorphine and an addiction psychiatrist to consult on medication-assisted treatment; (2) Collaborative Care, which consists of a waivered PCP, a mental health care manager trained in psychosocial treatments for OUD and psychiatric disorders, and an addiction psychiatrist who provides consultation for OUD and mental health; or (3) Collaborative Care Plus, which consists of all the elements of the Collaborative Care arm plus a Certified Recovery Specialist to help with treatment engagement and retention. Primary outcomes are six-month rates of opioid use and six-month rates of remission of co-occurring psychiatric disorders. DISCUSSION: The Whole Health Study will investigate whether collaborative care models that address OUD and co-occurring depression, anxiety, or PTSD will result in better patient outcomes. The results will inform clinical care delivery during the current opioid crisis. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: www.clinicaltrials.gov registration: NCT04245423.

Adherence to Antidepressants in Underserved Communities: A Comparison of Electronic Monitoring and Self-report Measures.

Nonadherence to antidepressants is widespread and poses a significant barrier to optimal management and treatment of depression in community settings. The objective of this study was to compare self-reported and electronic monitoring of adherence to antidepressants and to examine the relationship of these measures with depressive symptoms in a medically underserved community. Adherence to antidepressants was measured in 38 primary care patients from the West Philadelphia area using self-report and electronic monitoring (Medication Event Monitoring System caps). Self-report and electronic monitoring of antidepressant adherence showed fair agreement at baseline, slight agreement at 6 weeks, and slight agreement at 12 weeks. Adherence to antidepressants as assessed by electronic monitors was significantly associated with depression remission at 12 weeks [adjusted odds ratio 18.6, 95% confidence interval (1.05, 330.56)]. Compared with electronic monitoring, self-reported adherence tended to overestimate medication adherence to antidepressants. Adherence assessed by electronic monitoring was associated with depression remission.

Effects of Educational Interventions on Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Acceptability: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate whether targeted educational interventions can increase human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine acceptability and knowledge among young women. METHODS: An exploratory phase of the study was conducted to determine baseline acceptance of the prophylactic HPV vaccine and barriers to acceptance. Based on the results of that phase of the study, a randomized controlled trial of women aged 12-26 at a single institution was completed. A sample size of at least 84 women in each of three study arms (control, educational handout, or educational video) was planned to detect a 20% difference in vaccine acceptability among arms. All participants completed a survey collecting data on demographics, HPV vaccine preferences, and HPV vaccine knowledge after completion of their randomization assignments. The primary outcome was HPV vaccine acceptability. The secondary outcome was HPV vaccine knowledge. RESULTS: From March 2017 through August 2017, 256 women were randomized to one of three study arms: control (n=85), educational handout (n=84), or educational video (n=87). Demographics were similar between study arms. Overall, 51.7% of participants in the educational video arm reported willingness to accept the HPV vaccine compared with 33.3% and 28.2% of participants in the educational handout and control arms, respectively (P<.01). Those in the educational video and handout arms had higher median HPV vaccine knowledge scores than those in the control arm (6 and 5 vs 3, P<.01). Both interventions were reported as helpful in learning (97.7% vs 92.9%, P=.15), but the educational video arm was more likely to be helpful in deciding on vaccination (86.2% vs 70.2%, P<.01). CONCLUSION: Targeted educational interventions increase HPV vaccine acceptability and knowledge among young women. Follow up studies are needed to determine whether these interventions also increase rates of vaccine uptake and series completion. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03337269.

Patient Satisfaction and Perceived Quality of Care Among Younger Medicare Beneficiaries According to Activity Limitation Stages.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between activity limitation stages and patient satisfaction and perceived quality of medical care among younger Medicare beneficiaries. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) for calendar years 2001-2011. PARTICIPANTS: A population-based sample (N=9323) of Medicare beneficiaries <65 years of age living in the community. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: MCBS questions were categorized under 5 patient satisfaction and perceived quality dimensions: care coordination and quality, access barriers, technical skills of primary care physician (PCP), interpersonal skills of PCP, and quality of information provided by PCP. Persons were classified into an activity limitation stage (0-IV) which was derived from self-reported difficulty performing activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL). RESULTS: Compared to beneficiaries with no limitations at ADL stage 0, the adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for stage I (mild) to stage IV (complete) for satisfaction with access barriers ranged from 0.62 (0.53-0.72) at stage I to a minimum of 0.31 (0.22-0.43) at stage IV. Similarly, compared to beneficiaries at IADL stage 0, satisfaction with access barriers ranged from 0.66 (0.55-0.79) at stage I to a minimum of 0.36 (0.26-0.51) at stage IV. Satisfaction with care coordination and quality and perceived quality of medical care were not associated with activity limitation stages. CONCLUSIONS: Younger Medicare beneficiaries with disabilities reported decreased satisfaction with access to medical care, highlighting the need to improve access to health care and human services and to enhance workforce capacity to meet the needs of this patient population.

Treatment adherence as a mediator of blood pressure control in Chinese older adults with depression.

OBJECTIVES: Both depression and hypertension (HTN) are prevalent, costly, and destructive, and frequently coexist among the aging population of China. This study aimed to examine the role that treatment adherence plays in blood pressure control in older adult Chinese with depression. METHODS: Data for these analyses were taken from a randomized control trial of a collaborative depression care management intervention conducted in rural villages of Zhejiang Province, China with older adults who had comorbid depression and HTN. They included baseline assessments of 2362 subjects ages ≥60 years, whose blood pressure and depression were measured using a calibrated manual sphygmomanometer and the Chinese version of the 17-item Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (HDRS-17), respectively. Treatment adherence was identified by a single question asking whether patients on occasion did not take their medicine. RESULTS: Uncontrolled HTN was associated with older age (t = 3.10, P<0.01), higher HDRS-17 score (t = 5.76, P<0.01), and higher rates of non-adherence to HTN treatment (χ2  = 21.34, P<0.01). Logistic regression models indicated that adherence accounted for 39.4% of the total effect between depression and HTN. Specifically, those with poor adherence were at 1.417 greater odds of having their HTN uncontrolled compared with those with good adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension control in older adults with depression is complicated by nonadherence to treatment. In addition to diagnosing and treating depression in their older adult patients, primary care physicians can optimize blood pressure control by identifying and addressing their patients' adherence to recommendations for HTN management.

Primary care patient beliefs and help-seeking preferences regarding depression in China.

Patient beliefs about depression and its treatment in primary care clinics in China influence the delivery of care. Our objective was to investigate primary care patients' beliefs about depression and its treatment as well as help-seeking preferences regarding depression in China to aid in the development and promotion of interventions that are acceptable to patients with depression. 100 primary care nurses used the Public Knowledge and Beliefs Survey Package (PKBSP) to assess patients in the primary care clinic waiting rooms. Of the 2639 patients, 15.5% were depressed. Patients with higher education level were less likely to be depressed. Differences in beliefs were significantly associated with age, education level and depression status, but no significant differences were found on gender. Help-seeking preferences were also significantly associated with age, education level and depression status. Patients screened with PHQ-9 positive depression were less willing to endorse "take antidepressants" and "consult a non-medical practitioner" than non-depressed patients. However, they were more willing to endorse "consult a psychotherapist". Patient beliefs about depression and its treatment highlight a need for modification of current paradigms, practices, and approaches to improve the acceptability of depression care provision. Efforts to increase collaboration between primary care physicians and mental health professionals are needed.

Preventable hospitalizations, barriers to care, and disability.

The AHRQ's Prevention Quality Indicators assume inpatient hospitalizations for certain conditions, referred as ambulatory-care sensitive (ACS) conditions, are potentially preventable and may indicate reduced access to and a lower quality of ambulatory care. Using a cohort drawn from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) linked to Medicare claims, we examined the extent to which barriers to healthcare are associated with ACS hospitalizations and related costs, and whether these associations differ by beneficiaries' disability status. Our results indicate that the regression-adjusted cost of ACS hospitalizations for elderly Medicare beneficiaries with no disabilities was $799. This cost increased six-fold, by $5148, among beneficiaries with mild disability, by $9045 for beneficiaries with moderate disability, by $5513 for those with severe disability, and by $8557 for persons with complete disability (P < 0.001). Persons reporting having foregone or delayed needed medical care because of financial difficulties (+$2082, P = .05), those experiencing low satisfaction with care coordination (+$1714, P = .01), and those reporting low satisfaction with access to care (+$1237, P = .02) also incurred significant excess ACS hospitalization costs relative to persons reporting no such barriers. This pattern held true for those with and without a disability, but were especially marked among persons with no functional limitations. These findings suggest that a better understanding of how public policy might effectively improve care coordination and reduce financial barriers to care is essential to formulating programs that reduce excess hospitalizations among the large and growing number of elderly Medicare beneficiaries.

Protocol of an ongoing randomized controlled trial of care management for comorbid depression and hypertension: the Chinese Older Adult Collaborations in Health (COACH) study.

BACKGROUND: Depression and hypertension are common, costly, and destructive conditions among the rapidly aging population of China. The two disorders commonly coexist and are poorly recognized and inadequately treated, especially in rural areas. METHODS: The Chinese Older Adult Collaborations in Health (COACH) Study is a cluster randomized controlled trial (RCT) designed to test the hypotheses that the COACH intervention, designed to manage comorbid depression and hypertension in older adult, rural Chinese primary care patients, will result in better treatment adherence and greater improvement in depressive symptoms and blood pressure control, and better quality of life, than enhanced Care-as-Usual (eCAU). Based on chronic disease management and collaborative care principles, the COACH model integrates the care provided by the older person's primary care provider (PCP) with that delivered by an Aging Worker (AW) from the village's Aging Association, supervised by a psychiatrist consultant. One hundred sixty villages, each of which is served by one PCP, will be randomly selected from two counties in Zhejiang Province and assigned to deliver eCAU or the COACH intervention. Approximately 2400 older adult residents from the selected villages who have both clinically significant depressive symptoms and a diagnosis of hypertension will be recruited into the study, randomized by the villages in which they live and receive primary care. After giving informed consent, they will undergo a baseline research evaluation; receive treatment for 12 months with the approach to which their village was assigned; and be re-evaluated at 3, 6, 9, and 12 months after entry. Depression and HTN control are the primary outcomes. Treatment received, health care utilization, and cost data will be obtained from the subjects' electronic medical records (EMR) and used to assess adherence to care recommendations and, in a preliminary manner, to establish cost and cost effectiveness of the intervention. DISCUSSION: The COACH intervention is designed to serve as a model for primary care-based management of common mental disorders that occur in tandem with common chronic conditions of later life. It leverages existing resources in rural settings, integrates social interventions with the medical model, and is consistent with the cultural context of rural life. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT01938963 ; First posted: September 10, 2013.

A Risk Scoring System for the Prediction of Functional Deterioration, Institutionalization, and Mortality Among Medicare Beneficiaries.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop a risk scoring system for predicting functional deterioration, institutionalization, and mortality. Identifying predictors of poor health outcomes informs clinical decision-making, service provision, and policy development to address the needs of persons at greatest risk for poor health outcomes. DESIGN: This is a cohort study with 21,257 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries 65 yrs and older who participated in the 2001-2008 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey. Derivation of the model was conducted in 60% of the sample and validated in the remaining 40%. Multinomial logistic regression model generated ß coefficients, which were used to create a risk scoring system. Our outcome was instrumental activity of daily living stage transitions (stable/improved function and functional deterioration), institutionalization, or mortality for 2 yrs of follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 18 factors were identified for functional deterioration (P < 0.05). In the derivation cohort, the likelihood of functional deterioration ranged from 6.27% to 33.51%, risk of institutionalization from 0.07% to 12.13%, and risk of mortality from 2.13% to 31.83%, in comparison with stable/improved function. CONCLUSIONS: A risk scoring system predicting Medicare beneficiaries' risk of functional deterioration, institutionalization, and mortality based on demographic and clinical indicators may feasibly be developed with implications for healthcare delivery.

Premorbid Activity Limitation Stages Are Associated With Posthospitalization Discharge Disposition.

OBJECTIVE: Activity of daily living stages and instrumental activity of daily living stage have demonstrated associations with mortality and health service use among older adults. This cohort study aims to assess the associations of premorbid activity limitation stages with acute hospital discharge disposition among community-dwelling older adults. DESIGN: Study participants were Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 yrs or older who enrolled in the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey between 2001 and 2009. Associations of premorbid stages with discharge dispositions were estimated with multinomial logistic regression models adjusted for covariates. RESULTS: The proportions of elderly Medicare patients discharged to home with self-care, home with services, postacute care facilities, and other dispositions were 59%, 15%, 19%, and 7%, respectively. The following adjusted relative risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals of postacute care facilities versus home with self-care discharge increased with higher premorbid activity limitation stages (except nonfitting stage III): 1.7 (1.5-2.0), 2.4 (2.0-2.9), 2.4 (1.9-3.0), and 2.5 (1.6-4.1) for activity of daily living stages I-IV; a similar pattern was found for instrumental activity of daily living stages. The adjusted relative risk ratios of discharge to home with services also increased with higher premorbid activity limitation stages compared with no limitation. CONCLUSIONS: Routinely assessed activity limitation stages predict posthospitalization discharge disposition among older adults and may be used to anticipate postacute care and services use by elderly Medicare beneficiaries.

Health care access and quality for persons with disability: Patient and provider recommendations.

BACKGROUND: Significant disparities in health care access and quality persist between persons with disabilities (PWD) and persons without disabilities (PWOD). Little research has examined recommendations of patients and providers to improve health care for PWD. OBJECTIVE: We sought to explore patient and health care provider recommendations to improve health care access and quality for PWD through focus groups in the physical world in a community center and in the virtual world in an online community. METHODS: In all, 17 PWD, 4 PWOD, and 6 health care providers participated in 1 of 5 focus groups. Focus groups were conducted in the virtual world in Second Life® with Virtual Ability, an online community, and in the physical world at Agape Community Center in Milwaukee, WI. Focus group data were analyzed using a grounded theory methodology. RESULTS: Themes that emerged in focus groups among PWD and PWOD as well as health care providers to improve health care access and quality for PWD were: promoting advocacy, increasing awareness and knowledge, improving communication, addressing assumptions, as well as modifying and creating policy. Many participants discussed political empowerment and engagement as central to health care reform. CONCLUSIONS: Both PWD and PWOD as well as health care providers identified common themes potentially important for improving health care for PWD. Patient and health care provider recommendations highlight a need for modification of current paradigms, practices, and approaches to improve the quality of health care provision for PWD. Participants emphasized the need for greater advocacy and political engagement.

Predicting 3-year mortality and admission to acute-care hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, and long-term care facilities in Medicare beneficiaries.

PURPOSE: The ability to predict mortality and admission to acute care hospitals, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), and long-term care (LTC) facilities in the elderly and how it varies by activity of daily living (ADL) and instrumental ADL (IADL) status could be useful in measuring the success or failure of economic, social, or health policies aimed at disability prevention and management. We sought to derive and assess the predictive performance of rules to predict 3-year mortality and admission to acute care hospitals, SNFs, and LTC facilities among Medicare beneficiaries with differing ADL and IADL functioning levels. METHODS: Prospective cohort using Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey data from the 2001 to 2007 entry panels. In all, 23,407 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries were included. Multivariable logistic models created predicted probabilities for all-cause mortality and admission to acute care hospitals, SNFs, and LTC facilities, adjusting for sociodemographics, health conditions, impairments, behavior, and function. RESULTS: Sixteen, 22, 14, and 14 predictors remained in the final parsimonious model predicting 3-year all-cause mortality, inpatient admission, SNF admission, and LTC facility admission, respectively. The C-statistic for predicting 3-year all-cause mortality, inpatient admission, SNF admission, and LTC facility admission was 0.779, 0.672, 0.753, and 0.826 in the ADL activity limitation stage development cohorts, respectively, and 0.788, 0.669, 0.748, and 0.799 in the ADL activity limitation stage validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Parsimonious models can identify elderly Medicare beneficiaries at risk of poor outcomes and can aid policymakers, clinicians, and family members in improving care for older adults and supporting successful aging in the community.

The Association Between Activity Limitation Stages and Admission to Facilities Providing Long-term Care Among Older Medicare Beneficiaries.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine whether activity limitation stages are associated with admission to facilities providing long-term care (LTC). DESIGN: Cohort study using Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey data from the 2005-2009 entry panels. A total of 14,580 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries 65 years or older were included. Proportional subhazard models examined associations between activity limitation stages and time to first LTC admission, adjusting for baseline sociodemographics and health conditions. RESULTS: The weighted annual rate of LTC admission was 1.1%. In the adjusted model, compared to activity of daily living (ADL) stage 0, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were 2.0 (1.5-2.7), 3.9 (2.9-5.4), 3.6 (2.5-5.3), and 4.7 (2.5-9.0) for ADL stage I (mild limitation), ADL stage II (moderate limitation), ADL stage III (severe limitation), and ADL stage IV (complete limitation), respectively. Compared to instrumental ADL (IADL) stage 0, the hazard ratios, and 95% CIs for IADL stages I to IV were 2.0 (1.4-2.7), 3.7 (2.6-5.4), 4.6 (3.3-6.5), and 7.6 (4.6-12.3), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Activity limitation stages are strongly associated with future admission to LTC and may therefore be useful in identifying specific supportive care needs among vulnerable older community-dwelling adults, which may reduce or the delay need for admission to LTC.