Development and validation of a prediction score for failure to casirivimab/imdevimab in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Introduction: Casirivimab and imdevimab (CAS/IMV) are two non-competing, high-affinity human IgG1 anti-SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies, that showed a survival benefit in seronegative hospitalized patients with COVID-19. This study aimed to estimate the day-28 risk of mechanical ventilation (MV) and death in individuals hospitalized for severe COVID-19 pneumonia and receiving CAS/IMV. Additionally, it aimed to identify variables measured at the time of hospital admission that could predict these outcomes and derive a prediction algorithm. Methods: This is a retrospective, observational cohort study conducted in 12 hospitals in Italy. Adult patients who were consecutively hospitalized from November 2021 to February 2022 receiving CAS/IMV were included. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify predictors of MV or death by day 28 from treatment initiation, and ß-coefficients from the model were used to develop a risk score that was derived by means of leave-one-out internal cross-validation (CV), external CV, and calibration. Secondary outcome was mortality. Results: A total of 480 hospitalized patients in the training set and 157 patients in the test set were included. By day 28, 36 participants (8%) underwent MV and 28 died (6%) for a total of 58 participants (12%) experiencing the composite primary endpoint. In multivariable analysis, four factors [age, PaO2/FiO2 ratio, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and platelets] were independently associated with the risk of MV/death and were used to generate the proposed risk score. The accuracy of the score in the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 and 0.77 in internal validation and test for the composite endpoint and 0.87 and 0.86 for death, respectively. The model also appeared to be well calibrated with the raw data. Conclusion: The mortality risk reported in our study was lower than that previously reported. Although CAS/IMV is no longer used, our score might help in identifying which patients are not likely to benefit from monoclonal antibodies and may require alternative interventions.

Comparing the efficacy and safety of a first-line regimen with emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide fumarate plus either bictegravir or dolutegravir: Results from clinical practice.

BACKGROUND: First-line integrase strand transfer inhibitor-based regimens have become commonly used in clinical practice over the last decade. This study aimed to analyse and compare the efficacy and safety of bictegravir (BIC) and dolutegravir (DTG) when prescribed in association with emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (FTC/TAF) as part of a first-line regimen for the treatment of human immunodeficiency-1 (HIV-1) infection. METHODS: Treatment-naïve people living with HIV (PLWHIV) starting a first-line regimen with either BIC/FTC/TAF (BIC group) or FTC/TAF+DTG (DTG group) were analysed. Snapshot analyses were performed after 24 and 48 weeks to evaluate virological efficacy. In addition, differences in the rate of treatment discontinuation (TD) between the two groups were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log rank test. RESULTS: Data from 327 PLWHIV were analysed: 140 in the DTG group and 187 in the BIC group. At 48 weeks, 90.0% of individuals in the DTG group and 86.7% of those in the BIC group achieved HIV-RNA <50 copies/mL. In total, 88 and 38 cases of TD were observed in the DTG group and BIC group, respectively. The estimated probability of maintaining the study regimen at week 48 was 59.5% in the DTG group and 84.2% in the BIC group. Analysing changes in immunological parameters after 48 weeks, median improvements of +169 cell/mm3 (P<0.001) and +233 cell/mm3 (P<0.001) were observed in the DTG group and the BIC group, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both BIC and DTG, in combination with FTC/TAF, show promising efficacy and safety as first-line strategies in clinical practice, with favourable immunological recovery even in the short term.

Evaluating immunological and inflammatory changes of treatment-experienced people living with HIV switching from first-line triple cART regimens to DTG/3TC vs. B/F/TAF: the DEBATE trial.

Background: The aim of this randomized clinical trial (RCT) was to compare immunological changes in virally suppressed people living with HIV (PLWH) switching from a three-drug regimen (3DR) to a two-drug regimen (2DR). Methods: An open-label, prospective RCT enrolling PLWH receiving a 3DR who switched to bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (B/F/TAF) or dolutegravir/lamivudine (DTG/3TC) was performed. Blood was taken at baseline and months 6 and 12. The primary outcome was the change in CD4+ or CD8+ T-cell counts and CD4/CD8 ratio over time points. The secondary outcomes were the changes in immunological and inflammatory parameters. Parametric mixed-linear models with random intercepts and slopes were fitted separately for each marker after controlling for potential confounders. Results: Between the two arms (33 PLWH each), there was no difference in CD4+ or CD8+ T cells, CD4/CD8 ratio, and IL-6 trajectories. PLWH switching to DTG/3TC had increased levels of both transitional memory and terminally differentiated CD4+ T cells (arm-time interaction p-value = 0.02) and to a lesser extent for the corresponding CD8+ T-cell subsets (p = 0.09). Significantly lower levels of non-classical monocytes were detected in the B/F/TAF arm at T6 (diff = -6.7 cells/mm3; 95% CI; -16, +2.6; p-value for interaction between arm and time = 0.03). All differences were attenuated at T12. Conclusion: No evidence for a difference in absolute CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell counts, CD4/CD8 ratio, and IL-6 trajectories by study arm over 12 months was found. PLWH on DTG/3TC showed higher levels of terminally differentiated and exhausted CD4+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes and non-classical monocytes at T6. Further studies are warranted to better understand the clinical impact of our results. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT04054089.

Efficacy and tolerability of dolutegravir/lamivudine versus dolutegravir/rilpivirine in switching from a three-drug regimen based on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors: A retrospective cohort study.

Real-life comparisons of dolutegravir/rilpivirine (DTG/RPV) and DTG/lamivudine (3TC) regimens in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWHIV) who switched from a standard three-drug regimen based on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) are missing. This study aimed to compare DTG/3TC and DTG/RPV in virologically suppressed patients (HIV-RNA < 50 copies/mL) coming from any NNRTI-based regimen in terms of discontinuation due to virologic failure (VF) discontinuation rates due to all causes, and adverse events. As a secondary outcome, we evaluated the difference in creatinine, total cholesterol, CD4, and triglycerides from baseline to weeks 48 after the switch. Of the 415 PLWHs included in the study, 278 (66.9%) switched to DTG/3TC, and 137 (33.1%) switched to DTG/RPV. Overall, 48 PLWHs (11.6%) discontinued the treatment:38 with DTG/3TC and 10 with DTG/RPV with similar discontinuation rates: 5.01 × 100 py (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.64-6.94) and 4.66 × 100 py (95% CI 2.51-8.67), respectively. The most common reason for discontinuation was toxicity (26 patients, 22/278 [7.9%] in the DTG/3TC group and 4/137 [2.9%] in the DTG/RPV group), mainly neurologic toxicity (never above grade 2). We found no differences in discontinuation rates due to treatment adverse events. Two study participants experienced virological failure in the DTG/3TC arm. We observed no significant difference in CD4 cell counts, lipid parameters, or renal function between the two groups at 48 weeks. This study demonstrated that, in clinical practice, a two-drug regimen with DTG/3TC or DTG/RPV is characterized by a low discontinuation rate and VF in virologically suppressed PLWHs switched from an NNRTI-based three antiretroviral drugs regimen.

Efficacy and Durability of Dolutegravir- or Darunavir-Based Regimens in ART-Naïve AIDS- or Late-Presenting HIV-Infected Patients.

BACKGROUND: Since limited data are available, we aimed to compare the efficacy and durability of dolutegravir and darunavir in advanced naïve patients. METHODS: Retrospective multicenter study including AIDS- or late-presenting (def. CD4 ≤ 200/µL) HIV-infected patients starting dolutegravir or ritonavir/cobicistat-boosted darunavir+2NRTIs. Patients were followed from the date of first-line therapy initiation (baseline, BL) to the discontinuation of darunavir or dolutegravir, or for a maximum of 36 months of follow-up. RESULTS: Overall 308 patients (79.2% males, median age 43 years, 40.3% AIDS-presenters, median CD4 66 cells/µL) were enrolled; 181 (58.8%) and 127 (41.2%) were treated with dolutegravir and darunavir, respectively. Incidence of treatment discontinuation (TD), virological failure (VF, defined as a single HIV-RNA > 1000 cp/mL or two consecutive HIV-RNA > 50 cp/mL after 6 months of therapy or after virological suppression had been achieved), treatment failure (the first of TD or VF), and optimal immunological recovery (defined as CD4 ≥ 500/µL + CD4 ≥ 30% + CD4/CD8 ≥ 1) were 21.9, 5.2, 25.6 and 1.4 per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively, without significant differences between dolutegravir and darunavir (p > 0.05 for all outcomes). However, a higher estimated probability of TD for central nervous system (CNS) toxicity (at 36 months: 11.7% vs. 0%, p = 0.002) was observed for dolutegravir, whereas darunavir showed a higher probability of TD for simplification (at 36 months: 21.3% vs. 5.7%, p = 0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Dolutegravir and darunavir showed similar efficacy in AIDS- and late-presenting patients. A higher risk of TD due to CNS toxicity was observed with dolutegravir, and a higher probability of treatment simplification with darunavir.

Real-life experience with remdesivir for treatment of COVID-19 among older adults: a multicentre retrospective study.

INTRODUCTION: The effect of remdesivir on COVID-19 mortality remains conflicting. Elderly individuals are at risk for poor COVID-19 outcomes. We aimed to assess the effect of remdesivir on COVID-19 mortality among elderly individuals, using real-world data. METHODS: Retrospective multinational cohort of individuals aged ≥65 years, hospitalized with COVID-19 in six medical centres between January 2020 and May 2021. Associations with in-hospital mortality were evaluated using a multivariable logistic regression model with propensity score adjustment for remdesivir therapy and while implementing generalized estimating equations to control for centre effect. Sensitivity analysis was performed by stratification according to the degree of respiratory support. RESULTS: Of 3010 individuals included, 2788 individuals required either oxygen supplementation or non-invasive/invasive mechanical ventilation, 489 (16%) were treated with remdesivir, and 836 (28%) died. Median age was 77 (IQR 70-84) years and 42% were women. Remdesivir was the only therapeutic intervention associated with decreased mortality [adjusted OR (aOR) 0.49, 95% CI 0.37-0.66, P < 0.001]. This protective effect was shown for individuals requiring oxygen support and non-invasive mechanical ventilation, while no association was found among individuals necessitating invasive mechanical ventilation.Risk factors for mortality included invasive ventilation (aOR 5.18, 95% CI 2.46-10.91, P < 0.001), higher serum creatinine (aOR 1.25, 95% CI 1.09-1.43, P = 0.001) and dyspnoea (aOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.07-1.84, P = 0.015) on presentation, and other non-modifiable factors, such as comorbidities. CONCLUSIONS: Among elderly individuals hospitalized with COVID-19, remdesivir carries survival benefit for those with moderate to severe disease. Its role among individuals with critical illness should be further assessed.

Efficacy of Dolutegravir versus Darunavir in Antiretroviral First-Line Regimens According to Resistance Mutations and Viral Subtype.

BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG)-based first-line regimens have shown superior efficacy versus darunavir (DRV)-based ones in randomized trials. We compared these two strategies in clinical practice, particularly considering the role of pre-treatment drug resistance mutations (DRMs) and of the HIV-1 subtype. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The multicenter Antiretroviral Resistance Cohort Analysis (ARCA) database was queried to identify HIV-1-positive patients starting a first-line therapy with 2NRTIs plus either DTG or DRV between 2013 and 2019. Only adult (≥18 years) patients with a genotypic resistance test (GRT) prior to therapy and with HIV-1 RNA ≥1000 copies/mL were selected. Through multivariable Cox regressions, we compared DTG- versus DRV-based regimens in the time to virological failure (VF) stratifying for pre-treatment DRMs and the viral subtype. RESULTS: A total of 649 patients was enrolled, with 359 (55.3%) and 290 (44.7) starting DRV and DTG, respectively. In 11 months of median follow-up time, there were 41 VFs (8.4 in 100 patient-years follow-up, PYFU) and 15 VFs (5.3 per 100 PYFU) in the DRV and DTG groups, respectively. Compared with a fully active DTG-based regimen, the risk of VF was higher with DRV (aHR 2.33; p = 0.016), and with DTG-based regimens with pre-treatment DRMs to the backbone (aHR 17.27; p = 0.001), after adjusting for age, gender, baseline CD4 count and HIV-RNA, concurrent AIDS-defining event and months since HIV diagnosis. Compared with patients harboring a B viral subtype and treated with a DTG-based regimen, patients on DRV had an increased risk of VF, both in subtype B (aHR 3.35; p = 0.011), C (aHR 8.10; p = 0.005), CRF02-AG (aHR 5.59; p = 0.006) and G (aHR 13.90; p < 0.001); DTG also demonstrated a reduced efficacy in subtypes C (versus B, aHR 10.24; p = 0.035) and CRF01-AE (versus B; aHR 10.65; p = 0.035). Higher baseline HIV-RNA and a longer time since HIV diagnosis also predicted VF. CONCLUSIONS: In line with randomized trials, DTG-based first-line regimens showed an overall superior efficacy compared with DRV-based regimens. GRT may still play a role in identifying patients more at risk of VF and in guiding the choice of an antiretroviral backbone.

Do All Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19 Disease Benefit from Adding Tocilizumab to Glucocorticoids? A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Treatment guidelines recommend the tocilizumab use in patients with a CRP of >7.5 mg/dL. We aimed to estimate the causal effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab on mortality overall and after stratification for PaO2/FiO2 ratio and CRP levels. METHODS: This was an observational cohort study of patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. The primary endpoint was day 28 mortality. Survival analysis was conducted to estimate the conditional and average causal effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab vs. glucocorticoids alone using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models with a time-varying variable for the intervention. The hypothesis of the existence of effect measure modification by CRP and PaO2/FiO2 ratio was tested by including an interaction term in the model. RESULTS: In total, 992 patients, median age 69 years, 72.9% males, 597 (60.2%) treated with monotherapy, and 395 (31.8%), adding tocilizumab upon respiratory deterioration, were included. At BL, the two groups differed for median values of CRP (6 vs. 7 mg/dL; p < 0.001) and PaO2/FiO2 ratio (276 vs. 235 mmHg; p < 0.001). In the unadjusted analysis, the mortality was similar in the two groups, but after adjustment for key confounders, a significant effect of glucocorticoids + tocilizumab was observed (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38-0.90). Although the study was not powered to detect interactions (p = 0.41), there was a signal for glucocorticoids + tocilizumab to have a larger effect in subsets, especially participants with high levels of CRP at intensification. CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm that glucocorticoids + tocilizumab vs. glucocorticoids alone confers a survival benefit only in patients with a CRP > 7.5 mg/dL prior to treatment initiation and the largest effect for a CRP > 15 mg/dL. Large randomized studies are needed to establish an exact cut-off for clinical use.

Non-B subtypes account for a large proportion of clustered primary HIV-1 infections in Italy.

OBJECTIVES AND DESIGN: Using pol sequences obtained for routine resistance testing, we characterised the molecular patterns of HIV-1 transmission and factors associated with being part of a transmission cluster among individuals who in 2008-2014 presented with primary HIV-1 infection (PHI) at 11 urban centres across Italy. METHODS: Pol sequences were obtained by Sanger sequencing. Transmission clusters were identified by phylogenetic analysis (maximum likelihood method, confirmed by Bayesian analysis). Multivariable logistic regression explored factors associated with a participant being part of a transmission cluster. RESULTS: The PHI cohort comprised 186 participants (159/186, 85.5% males) with median age 44 years, median CD4 count 464 cells/mm3 and median plasma HIV-1 RNA 5.6 log10 copies/mL. Drug resistance associated mutations were found in 16/186 (8.6%). A diversity of non-B subtypes accounted for 60/186 (32.3%) of all infections. A total of 17 transmission clusters were identified, including 44/186 (23.7%) participants. Each cluster comprised 2-6 sequences. Non-B subtypes accounted for seven clusters and 22/44 (50%) of clustered sequences. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, factors associated with being part of a transmission cluster comprised harbouring a non-B subtype (adjusted OR (adjOR) 2.28; 95% CI 1.03 to 5.05; p=0.04) and showing a lower plasma HIV-1 RNA (adjOR 0.80, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.99; p=0.04). CONCLUSIONS: There was a large contribution of diverse non-B subtypes to transmission clusters among people presenting with acute or recent HIV-1 infection in this cohort, illustrating the evolving dynamics of the HIV-1 epidemic in Italy, where subtype B previously dominated.

Real world efficacy of dolutegravir plus lamivudine in people living with HIV with undetectable viral load after previous failures.

BACKGROUND: Dolutegravir (DTG) +lamivudine (3TC) combination has been found to be as effective as triple therapies, and has been extensively prescribed in clinical practice as a maintenance therapy. We aimed to investigate the effect of previous virological failures (VFs) on virological efficacy. METHODS: The analysis included data of people living with HIV (PLWH) with HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL enrolled in an Italian retrospective multicohort study who were switching to DTG+3TC. Primary endpoint was viral rebound (VR; confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL or single HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL followed by change of antiretroviral therapies [ART]). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate probabilities of VR based upon histories of previous VFs (single HIV-RNA ≥1000 copies/mL or confirmed HIV-RNA ≥50 copies/mL). A weighted Cox regression model was fitted to estimate the causal hazard ratio (HR) of history of failure on the risk of VR. RESULTS: A total of 966 PLWH were included; 20.1% had a history of previous VF. VR was detected in 23 PLWH. The one-year probability was 1.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.2%-2.2%) in PLWH without previous VF and 3.3% (95% CI, 0.4%-6.2%) in those with ≥1 VF (log-rank P = 0.042). By multivariate analysis adjusted for CD4+ cell count at nadir, duration of virological suppression, and mode of HIV transmission, PLWH with ≥1 previous VF had a higher risk of virological rebound than those without previous VF (adjusted hazard ratio 3.06 [95% CI, 1.00-9.44], P = 0.051). CONCLUSION: Despite the low absolute one-year risk in both groups, real-world data confirmed that PLWH with a previous failure have an increased risk of viral rebound.

Predictors of survival in elderly patients with coronavirus disease 2019 admitted to the hospital: derivation and validation of the FLAMINCOV score.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of 30-day survival in elderly patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study including patients with COVID-19 aged ≥65 years hospitalized in six European sites (January 2020 to May 2021). Data on demographics, comorbidities, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were collected. A predictive score (FLAMINCOV) was developed using logistic regression. Regression coefficients were used to calculate the score. External validation was performed in a cohort including elderly patients from a major COVID-19 centre in Israel. Discrimination was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in the derivation and validation cohorts. Survival risk groups based on the score were derived and applied to the validation cohort. RESULTS: Among 3010 patients included in the derivation cohort, 30-day survival was 74.5% (2242/3010). The intensive care unit admission rate was 7.6% (228/3010). The model predicting survival included independent functional status (OR, 4.87; 95% CI, 3.93-6.03), a oxygen saturation to fraction of inspired oxygen (SpO2/FiO2) ratio of >235 (OR, 3.75; 95% CI, 3.04-4.63), a C-reactive protein level of <14 mg/dL (OR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.91-3.04), a creatinine level of <1.3 (OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.62-2.52) mg/dL, and absence of fever (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.09-1.66). The score was validated in 1174 patients. The FLAMINCOV score ranges from 0 to 15 and showed good discrimination in the derivation (AUC, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.77-0.81; p < 0.001) and validation cohorts (AUC, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.76-0.81; p < 0.001). Thirty-day survival ranged from 39.4% (203/515) to 95.3% (634/665) across four risk groups according to score quartiles in the derivation cohort. Similar proportions were observed in the validation set. DISCUSSION: The FLAMINCOV score identifying elderly with higher or lower chances of survival may allow better triage and management, including intensive care unit admission/exclusion.

Bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide ensures high rates of virological suppression maintenance despite previous resistance in PLWH who optimize treatment in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated virological response and resistance profiles in individuals who were virologically suppressed who switched to bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (B/F/TAF) in real life. METHODS: Survival analysis was used to assess probability of virological rebound (VR). Cumulative major resistance mutations (MRM) and cumulative genotypic susceptibility score (cGSS) were evaluated before the switch. RESULTS: Overall, 283 individuals virologically suppressed for a median (interquartile [IQR]) time of 7 (3-9) y were analyzed. Of these, 20.8% were in first-line treatment, 13.1% were highly treatment-experienced (HTE), and 8.5% had experienced previous integrase inhibitor (INI)-failures. Before the switch, nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor NRTI MRM prevalence was 29% (M184V:13.8%; any thymidine analogue mutation: 14.1%; K65R: 0.7%; K70E 0.4%); only three (2.1%) individuals showed INI major resistance mutations (Y143C/H/R [n = 1]; Y143C [n = 1]; N155H [n = 1]), and 82.0% of individuals received fully active B/F/TAF. Ninety-six wk after switch, the probability of VR was 5%, with only 12 events of VR at a median (IQR) viremia level of 284 (187-980) copies/mL, mainly transient. No significant associations between virological outcomes and genotypic susceptibility to B/F/TAF were observed. People who experienced previous INI failures showed a significantly higher adjusted hazard ratio (AHR [95% CI]) to experience VR under B/F/TAF (3.9 [1.1-13.4], P = 0.031). This AHR increased in people who experienced INI failures and received partially active B/F/TAF (5.5 [1.4-21.1], P = 0.013). CONCLUSION: Within 96 wk, a switch to B/F/TAF in individuals who were virologically suppressed ensured a very high rate of virological control in a clinical setting. Previous resistance alone did not affect B/F/TAF response. However, people who had previous INI failures were more prone to losing virological control under B/F/TAF.

Real-Life Impact of Drug Toxicity on Dolutegravir Tolerability: Clinical Practice Data from a Multicenter Italian Cohort.

Dolutegravir (DTG) is currently one of the most used Integrase inhibitors (INI) in antiretroviral therapies (ARV) in both naïve and experienced people living with HIV (PLWHIV). We analyzed a multicenter cohort of PLWHIV, both naïve and experienced, starting an ARV including DTG. We enrolled 3775 PLWHIV: 2763 (73.2%) were males, with a median age of 50 years. During 9890.7 PYFU, we observed 930 discontinuations (9.4 per 100 PYFU). Estimated probabilities of maintaining DTG at three and five years were 75.1% and 67.2%, respectively. Treatment-naïve pts showed a lower probability of maintaining DTG at three and five years compared to treatment-experienced PLWHIV (log-rank p < 0.001). At a multivariate analysis, a longer time of virological suppression (aHR 0.994, p < 0.001) and having experienced a previous virological failure (aHR 0.788, p = 0.016) resulted protective against DTG discontinuation. Most discontinuations (84.0%) happened within the first 12 months of DTG initiation, in particular, 92.2% of discontinuations due to neuropsychiatric toxicity were observed in the first year. Our data confirm the overall good tolerability of DTG in clinical practice, with a low rate of discontinuations. CNS toxicity resulted the main reason for DTG discontinuation, with most related interruptions happening in the first year from DTG introduction.

Impact of resistance mutations on efficacy of dolutegravir plus rilpivirine or plus lamivudine as maintenance regimens: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of resistance mutations on efficacy of dolutegravir-based two-drug regimens (2DR). METHODS: Virologically suppressed patients with HIV-1 switching to dolutegravir + lamivudine or rilpivirine or to a dolutegravir-based three-drug regimen (3DR) with pre-baseline genotype were selected. Virological failure (VF) was defined as one HIV-RNA viral load (VL) >200 cps/mL or two consecutive VL >50 cps/mL; treatment failure (TF) was defined as VF or treatment discontinuation (TD). Resistance was defined as at least low-level resistance to at least one drug of the current regimen. Propensity score matching was used to conduct adjusted analyses within a competing risks framework. RESULTS: A total of 971 dolutegravir-based regimens were selected: 339 (34.9%) 2DR and 632 (65.1%) 3DR. The adjusted cumulative 48-week incidence of VF was 4.2% (90% CI 3.1%-5.3%) with 2DR and 4.7% (90% CI 3.5%-5.8%) with 3DR. The cumulative 48-week incidence of TF was 15.8% (90% CI 13.9%-17.9%) with 2DR and 24.5% (90% CI 22.2%-27.0%) with 3DR. For VF, the estimated hazard ratio (HR) for 2DR vs. 3DR was 1.02 (90% CI: 0.78-1.34), with evidence of effect modification by low-level resistance (HR 3.96, 90% CI: 2.10-7.46). The estimated HR of TF for 2DR vs. 3DR was 0.54 (90% CI: 0.48-0.60). The 48-week cumulative incidence of TD was 11.7% (8.7%, 14.6%) in 2DR and 19.6% (16.9%, 22.4%) in 3DR. CONCLUSIONS: Dolutegravir-based 2DR showed high virological efficacy and durability; however, past resistance increased the risk of VF, but not of TD or TF.

Predictors of Virological Failure Among People Living with HIV Switching from an Effective First-Line Antiretroviral Regimen.

Aim of this study was to assess the predictors of virological failure (VF) among patients living with HIV (PLWHIV) switching from an effective first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen, and to evaluate the emergence of resistance-associated mutations. All adult patients enrolled in the Antiviral Response Cohort Analysis cohort who started ART after 2010, with at least 6 months of virological suppression (VS) before ART switch and with an available genotypic resistance test (GRT) at baseline were included. Thirty-two patients out of the 607 PLWHIV included (5.3%) experienced VF after a median of 11 months from ART switch. Younger age (adjusted Hazard Ratio [aHR] 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-0.99, p = .023), being male who have sex with male (aHR 0.15, 95% CI 0.03-0.69, p = .014), and longer time from VS to ART switch (aHR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95-1.00, p = .021) resulted protective toward VF, while receiving a first-line regimen containing a backbone other than ABC/3TC or TXF/FTC (aHR 3.61, 95% CI 1.00-13.1, p = .050) and a boosted protease inhibitor as anchor drug (aHR 3.34, 95% CI 1.20-9.28, p = .021) were associated with higher risk of VF. GRT at the moment of VF was available only for 13 patients (40.6%). ART switch in patients with stable control of HIV infection is a safe practice, even if particular attention should be paid in certain cases of patients switching from regimens containing low-performance backbones or protease inhibitors.

HIV and syphilis: incidence rate of coinfection and syphilis reinfection in a cohort of newly diagnosed HIV patients.

BACKGROUND: Syphilis represents a major public health concern disproportionately affecting HIV positive patients and, in many cases, both infections are newly diagnosed at the same time. To date, limited studies are available on syphilis incidence in patients with a new HIV diagnosis. METHODS: Patients newly diagnosed with HIV in 2010-2018 were included in the study and screening tests for syphilis were performed at baseline and at least once a year. Primary aims were to analyze the incidence rate of HIV-syphilis coinfection and syphilis reinfection. Secondary objective was to identify characteristics independently associated with coinfection and reinfection. RESULTS: Of 500 newly diagnosed HIV patients, 20% presented a concomitant positive syphilis serology. Among them, 54 patients had a serology indicative for an active syphilis requiring therapy, while 46 had a history of prior treatments. The independent factors for syphilis acquisition were: MSM contact (OR=2.64; 95% CI: 1.48-4.72; P<0.001), male gender (OR=2.43; 95% CI: 1.08-5.48; P=0.032), and age (OR=1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.05; P=0.005 per year increasing). Presence of syphilis at the time of HIV diagnosis remained fairly stable during the study period (P for trend, P=0.689). We observed 52 syphilis reinfections related to 37 people. Patients with at least one reinfection were all males and 86.5% MSM. CONCLUSIONS: Males and MSM with HIV presented high rates of syphilis coinfection and reinfection suggesting persistent high-risk sexual behaviors and the need for appropriate intervention strategies in order to early detect and treat syphilis avoiding life-threatening complications and the spread of the infection in the community.

Has COVID-19 changed the approach to HIV diagnosis?: A multicentric Italian experience.

ABSTRACT: The occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic had a significant negative effect on health care systems over the last year. Health care providers were forced to focus mainly on COVID-19 patients, neglecting in many cases equally important diseases, both acute and chronic. Therefore, also screening and diagnostic strategies for HIV could have been significantly impaired.This retrospective, multicenter, observational study aimed at assessing the number and characteristics of new HIV/AIDS diagnoses during COVID-19 pandemic in Italy and compared characteristics of people living with HIV at diagnosis between pre- and post-COVID-19 era (2019 vs 2020).Our results showed a significant reduction of HIV diagnoses during pandemic. By contrast, people living with HIV during pandemic were older and were diagnosed in earlier stage of disease (considering CD4+ T cell count) compared to those who were diagnosed the year before. Moreover, there was a significant decrease of new HIV diagnoses among men who have sex with men, probably for the impact of social distancing and restriction applied by the Italian Government. Late presentation incidence, if numbers in 2020 were lower than those in 2019, is still an issue.Routinely performing HIV testing in patients with suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection is identifying and linking to care underdiagnosed people living with HIV earlier. Thus, combined tests (HIV and SARS-CoV-2) should be implemented in patients with SARS-CoV-2 symptoms overlapping HIV's ones. Lastly, our results lastly showed how urgent implementation of a national policy for HIV screening is necessary.

Genotypic HIV-1 tropism determination might help to identify people with exhausted treatment options and advanced disease.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate HIV-1 tropism in 1382 combined antiretroviral therapy (cART)-experienced patients failing therapy to characterize those with exhausted therapeutic options. METHODS: HIV-1 genotypic tropism was inferred through Geno2Pheno by estimating the false-positive-rate (FPR) values. Cumulative resistance and drug activity were evaluated by Stanford algorithm. RESULTS: Overall, median (IQR) CD4 count (cells/mm3) nadir and at last genotypic resistance test (GRT) available were 98 (33-211) and 312 (155-517), respectively. Considering HIV-1 tropism, 30.5% had X4/dual-mixed strains (FPR ≤5%: 22.2%; FPR 5%-10%: 8.3%). By stratifying according to tropism, by decreasing FPR, a significant decrease of CD4 nadir and at last GRT was observed. The proportion of individuals with CD4 count <200 cells/mm3, who were perinatally infected and with a long treatment history significantly increased as FPR levels decreased. Regarding resistance, 933 (67.5%) individuals accumulated at least one class resistance, with 52.7%, 48.2%, 23.5% and 13.2% of individuals showing resistance to NRTIs, NNRTIs, PIs and INIs; while 23.2%, 27.2%, 14.3% and 2.8% harboured resistance to 1, 2, 3 and 4 classes, respectively. Individuals with FPR ≤5% showed a significantly higher level of resistance to PIs, NRTIs and INIs compared with others. The proportion of individuals harbouring strains susceptible to ≤2 active drugs was only about 2%; nonetheless, this proportion doubled (4.6%) in patients infected with FPR ≤5%. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings showed that a small proportion of cART failing individuals have limited therapeutic options. However, tropism determination might help to identify people who have accumulated a high level of resistance and have a greater risk of advanced disease.

Five Years With Dolutegravir Plus Lamivudine as a Switch Strategy: Much More Than a Positive Finding.

BACKGROUND: Results from clinical trials and observational studies suggest that dolutegravir plus lamivudine could be an effective and well-tolerated option for simplification in HIV-1-positive patients. We aimed to assess long-time efficacy and safety in our multicenter cohort. METHODS: This was a retrospective study enrolling HIV-1-infected, virologically suppressed patients switching to dolutegravir + lamivudine. We performed survival analysis to evaluate time to virological failure (VF, defined by a single HIV-RNA ≥1000 copies/mL or by 2 consecutive HIV-RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL) and treatment discontinuation (defined as the interruption of either 3TC or dolutegravir), assessing predictors via Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Seven-hundred eighty-five patients were considered for the analysis: 554 were men (70.6%), with a median age of 52 years (interquartile range 45-58 years). Estimated probabilities of maintaining virological suppression at weeks 96, 144, and 240 were 97.7% (SD ±0.6), 96.9% (SD ±0.8), and 96.4% (SD ±0.9), respectively. A non-B HIV subtype (P = 0.014) and a previous VF (P = 0.037) resulted predictors of VF. We did not observe differences in probability of VF in people living with HIV with an M184V resistance mutation (P = 0.689); however, in a deeper analysis, M184V mutation was a predictor of VF (P = 0.038) in patients with time of virological suppression <88 months. Estimated probabilities of remaining on study regimen at 96, 144, and 240 weeks were 82.9% (SD ±1.4), 79.7% (SD ±1.6) and 74.3% (SD ±2.2), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show the long-term efficacy and tolerability of dolutegravir plus lamivudine in virologically suppressed patients.

Early discontinuation of DTG/ABC/3TC and BIC/TAF/FTC single-tablet regimens: a real-life multicenter cohort study.

Background: Data regarding the efficacy and tolerability of DTG/ABC/3TC/and BIC/TAF/FTC in switching strategies are still scarce. The rates and reasons of early discontinuation within 24 weeks from the switch to dolutegravir (DTG) or bictegravir (BIC) single-tablet regimens (STRs) were compared.Methods: This is a multicenter cohort study. Persons living with HIV (PLWH) with HIV-1 RNA <50 copies/mL switching to BIC-STR or DTG-STR were included and followed-up 24 weeks. Major outcome was the analysis of (quantitative assessment of) discontinuation due to adverse events and self-suspension (EDAEs). Second, we assessed virologic failure (VF), and all-cause discontinuation (EDAC). Cox model for regression analysis was employed.Results: We included 786 PLWH: 524 with DTG, 262 with BIC. At week 24, we observed 70 EDAC: 5 for VF (1 with BIC and 4 with DTG; p = 0.6276), 10 simplifications, more frequently with BIC than DTG (n = 5, 1.9% and n = 5, 0.9%; p = 0.072) and 55 EDAEs, 7 (2.7%) with BIC, 48 (9.2%) with DTG (p = 0.0323). EDAEs due to neurological and gastrointestinal toxicity were similar (p = 0.2398 and p = 0.1160, respectively). There were no significant differences in the rates of VF and EDAC. EDAEs rate was significantly higher for DTG than for BIC. The adjusted HR for EDAEs in DTG group was 3.28 (95% CI: 1.34-8.00; p = 0.009). We identified an association between EDAE in the DTG group and having an age >60 and having switched from a regimen without ABC.Conclusions: PLWH who received DTG or BIC do not show differences in VF or EDAC rates. However, EDAEs is more frequent with DTG especially in the over-sixties and in those who come from regimens without abacavir.