Screening for colorectal cancer by full colonoscopy in first-degree relatives of colorectal cancer patients: a multicentric study by the Italian League for the Fight against Cancer.

Background: Colorectal cancer currently presents the third-highest incidence of cancers worldwide, making secondary prevention through screening programs for colorectal cancer, usually by Fecal Occult Blood Testing, an essential preventive medicine intervention. First-degree relatives of colorectal cancer patients are a particularly at-risk group, with indications to consider direct screening by full colonoscopy. Colonoscopy is considered the gold standard for diagnosing colorectal cancer, as it has high sensitivity and specificity, and is both a diagnostic and therapeutic tool. However, it requires significant organizational and financial resources, and has a small but relatively higher risk of complications as opposed to fecal occult blood testing. The present study aimed to assess the appropriateness of a screening program without age restrictions of CRC by full colonoscopy in asymptomatic, first-degree adult relatives of patients with colorectal cancer, aiming both to actively increase screening coverage and to determine the detection rate of precancerous lesions and colorectal cancer in this population. Study Design: Uncontrolled interventional study - colorectal cancer screening by full colonoscopy for at-risk population. Methods: The Italian League for the Fight against Cancer started a colorectal cancer screening program by full colonoscopy for first-degree relatives of colorectal cancer patients in 1998 in the province of Latina, Lazio Region, Italy. The program was expanded to the provinces of Rieti, Lazio Region, and Sassari, Sardinia Region, in 2014 and 2016 respectively, and was concluded in 2018. Subjects were actively and voluntarily recruited by the study's working group. Subjects that had already been subjected to a full colonoscopy in the preceding 5 years were excluded from this study. Identified neoplastic lesions were treated either directly or referred to the Day Hospital setting, and histologically diagnosed following World Health Organization guidelines. Results: In total, 2,288 subjects (age range 15-88, mean 52.3 yrs, M/F = 946/1,204) were screened by colonoscopy, of which 103 (4.5%) were incomplete and 2,173 (95.0%) complete, with data on colonoscopy performance missing for 12 participants. Out of 468 positive outcomes on colonoscopy, diagnosis for 422 (204M/173F), 19.4% of total subjects, was adenomatous polyps and 46 (20M/20F), 2.1% of total subjects, was colorectal cancer. Female sex was a protective factor against a positive test outcome, with a 35% reduction compared to male sex, with OR=0.64 95%CI (0.52-0.80). On the other hand, being over 50 years of age was found to be a risk factor, making a positive outcome more than twice as likely, with OR=2.3 95%CI (1.8-2.9). Subjects over 50 also had significantly more instances of multiple adenomas being found, however the size distribution of found adenomas was not significantly different between subjects under and over 50, despite size being a predictor of risk of neoplastic progression. Conclusions: Given the high detection rate of precancerous lesions and colorectal cancer in the studied population, it is our opinion that guidelines should continue to recommend earlier and more frequent screening in first-degree relatives of patients with colorectal cancer, and, barring the introduction of more cost-effective and/or lower risk procedures with a similar efficacy profile, maintain the use of colonoscopy as the main screening option.

A survey on mortality from non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: Is the emergency referral system adequate?

BACKGROUND: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Little information is available on the clinical management of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Italy in relation to the current organization of the Italian Emergency Health Services into Level-I and Level-II Emergency Departments (ED), the latter being more complex structures with greater resources. METHODS: A retrospective survey on clinical, endoscopic, and survival data was conducted by the regional sections of the 3 main Italian gastroenterological societies, AIGO, SIED and SIGE, recording all consecutive episodes of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding referred to 7 centres (4 of which were Level-II Emergency Departments) in Rome, Italy, during a one-year period. A total of 624 consecutive patients (64% males, mean age 67.6 ± 16.2 years) were included. Thirty-day mortality was 4.6%. Main factors associated with survival at both univariate and multivariate analysis were the presence of full Rockall score <5 and the admission to a Level-II Emergency Departments (p<0.001). Level-I Emergency Departments admitted patients with a full Rockall score ≥ 5 (p=0.02) more frequently than patients with negative endoscopic findings (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Referral of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients to Emergency Departments with more resources (Level-II) is associated with reduced mortality. Yet, unfortunately, high-risk patients were more often admitted to Level-I Emergency Departments, which suggests the need for a better organization of the emergency referral system.

Predicting mortality in non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeders: validation of the Italian PNED Score and Prospective Comparison with the Rockall Score.

OBJECTIVES: We sought (i) to validate a new prediction rule of mortality (Progetto Nazionale Emorragia Digestiva (PNED) score) on an independent population with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and (ii) to compare the accuracy of the Italian PNED score vs. the Rockall score in predicting the risk of death. METHODS: We conducted prospective validation of analysis of consecutive patients with UGIB at 21 hospitals from 2007 to 2008. Outcome measure was 30-day mortality. All the variables used to calculate the Rockall score as well as those identified in the Italian predictive model were considered. Calibration of the model was tested using the chi2 goodness-of-fit and performance characteristics with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to quantify the diagnostic accuracy of the two predictive models. RESULTS: Over a 16-month period, data on 1,360 patients were entered in a national database and analyzed. Peptic ulcer bleeding was recorded in 60.7% of cases. One or more comorbidities were present in 66% of patients. Endoscopic treatment was delivered in all high-risk patients followed by high-dose intravenous proton pump inhibitor in 95% of them. Sixty-six patients died (mortality 4.85%; 3.54-5.75). The PNED score showed a high discriminant capability and was significantly superior to the Rockall score in predicting the risk of death (AUC 0.81 (0.72-0.90) vs. 0.66 (0.60-0.72), P<0.000). Positive likelihood ratio for mortality in patients with a PNED risk score >8 was 16.05. CONCLUSIONS: The Italian 10-point score for the prediction of death was successfully validated in this independent population of patients with non-variceal gastrointestinal bleeding. The PNED score is accurate and superior to the Rockall score. Further external validation at the international level is needed.

Predictive factors of mortality from nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage: a multicenter study.

OBJECTIVES: From an Italian Registry of patients with upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage (UGIH), we assessed the clinical outcomes and explored the roles of clinical, endoscopic, and therapeutic factors on 30-day mortality in a real life setting. METHODS: Prospective analysis of consecutive patients endoscoped for UGIH at 23 community and tertiary care institutions from 2003 to 2004. Covariates and outcomes were defined a priori and 30-day follow-up obtained. Logistic regression analysis identified predictors of mortality. RESULTS: One thousand and twenty patients were included. A total of 46 patients died for an overall 4.5% mortality rate. In all, 85% of deaths were associated with one or more major comorbidity. Sixteen of 46 patients (35%) died within the first 24 h of the onset of bleeding. Of these, eight had been categorized as ASA class 1 or 2 and none of them was operated upon, despite a failure of endoscopic intention to treatment in four. Regression analysis showed advanced age, presence of severe comorbidity, low hemoglobin levels at presentation, and worsening health status as the only independent predictors of 30-day mortality (P < 0.001). The acute use of a PPI exerted a protective effect (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.09-0.73). Recurrent bleeding was low (3.2%). Rebleeders accounted for only 11% of the total patients deceased (OR 3.27, 95% CI 1.5-11.2). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that 30-day mortality for nonvariceal bleeding is low. Deaths occurred predominantly in elderly patients with severe comorbidities or those with failure of endoscopic intention to treatment.