C-reactive protein and procalcitonin during course of sepsis and septic shock.

OBJECTIVE: The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) in patients with sepsis and septic shock. BACKGROUND: Limited data regarding the prognostic value of CRP and PCT during the course of sepsis or septic shock is available. METHODS: Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (day 1), day 2, 3, 5, 7, and 10. Firstly, the diagnostic value of CRP and PCT for the diagnosis of a septic shock, as well as for the discrimination of positive blood cultures, was tested. Secondly, the prognostic value of the CRP and PCT was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS: A total of 349 patients were included, of which 56% had a sepsis and 44% a septic shock on day 1. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 52%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.861 on day 7 and 0.833 on day 10, the PCT revealed a superior AUC than the CRP (AUC 0.440-0.652) with regard to the discrimination between patients with sepsis and septic shock. In contrast, the prognostic AUCs for 30-day all-cause mortality were poor. Both higher CRP (HR = 0.999; 95% CI 0.998-1.001; p = 0.203) and PCT levels (HR = 0.998; 95% CI 0.993-1.003; p = 0.500) were not associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality. During the first 10 days of ICU treatment, both CRP and PCT declined irrespective of clinical improvement or impairment. CONCLUSION: PCT was a reliable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock compared to CRP. Both CRP and PCT were shown to have poor predictive value with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality and were not associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock.

Does Atrial Fibrillation Deteriorate the Prognosis in Patients With Septic or Cardiogenic Shock?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of mortality in various clinical conditions. However, the prognostic role of preexisting and new-onset AF in critically ill patients, such as patients with septic or cardiogenic shock remains unclear. This study investigates the prognostic impact of preexisting and new-onset AF on 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with septic or cardiogenic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis, or septic or cardiogenic shock were enrolled in 2 prospective, monocentric registries from 2019 to 2021. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable logistic, and Cox proportional regression analyses. In total, 644 patients were included (cardiogenic shock: n = 273; sepsis/septic shock: n = 361). The prevalence of AF was 41% (29% with preexisting AF, 12% with new-onset AF). Within the entire study cohort, neither preexisting AF (log-rank p = 0.542; hazard ratio [HR] 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848 to 1.363, p = 0.551) nor new-onset AF (log-rank p = 0.782, HR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.683 to 1.340, p = 0.797) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality compared with non-AF. In patients with AF, ventricular rates >120 beats/min compared with ≤120 beats/min were shown to increase the risk of reaching the primary end point in AF patients with cardiogenic shock (log-rank p = 0.006, HR 1.886, 95% CI 1.164 to 3.057, p = 0.010). Furthermore, logistic regression analyses suggested increased age was the only predictor of new-onset AF (odds ratio 1.042, 95% CI 1.018 to 1.066, p = 0.001). In conclusion, neither the presence of preexisting AF nor the occurrence of new-onset AF was associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in consecutive patients admitted with cardiogenic shock.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Performance of Plasma Albumin and Cholinesterase in Patients with Sepsis and Septic Shock.

OBJECTIVE: Despite improved risk stratification tools and identification of novel biomarkers for the diagnosis and prognosis in patients with sepsis, sepsis-related mortality has not significantly improved during the past years. This study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic role of the plasma albumin and cholinesterase (ChE) in patients with sepsis and septic shock. METHODS: Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included at one institution. Blood samples were obtained on the day of disease onset (day 1), and on days 2, 3, 5, and 7 thereafter. The diagnostic value of ChE for the diagnosis of a septic shock was compared to albumin and the prognostic value of the albumin and the ChE for 30-day all-cause mortality was tested. RESULTS: 239 patients were included with a median albumin level of 21.4 g/dL and a median ChE of 5004 U/L on admission. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.641-0.762 on days 3 and 5, the ChE was associated with moderate but better diagnostic discrimination between sepsis and septic shock than albumin. Furthermore, ChE was able to discriminate between 30-day non-survivors and survivors (range of AUC 0.612-0.686). Patients with a ChE below the median had higher rates of 30-days all-cause mortality in comparison to patients with a ChE above the median (65 vs. 42%, log rank p = 0.001; HR = 1.820; 95% CI = 1.273-2.601; p = 0.001), which was still demonstrated after multivariable adjustment. CONCLUSION: The level of ChE was associated with moderate diagnostic and prognostic accuracy in patients with sepsis and septic shock, whereas albumin was not.

Fibrinogen reflects severity and predicts outcomes in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of fibrinogen and the albumin-to-fibrinogen-ratio (AFR) in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of fibrinogen and AFR during the course of sepsis or septic shock are available. Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (day 1), as well as on day 2 and 3. Firstly, the diagnostic value of fibrinogen and the AFR for the diagnosis of a septic shock was tested. Secondly, the prognostic value of fibrinogen and AFR was tested with regard to the 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Ninety-one patients with sepsis and septic shock were included. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.653-0.801, fibrinogen discriminated patients with septic shock from those with sepsis. In the septic shock group, fibrinogen levels were shown to decrease from day 1 to 3 (median decrease 41%). In line, fibrinogen was a reliable predictor for 30-day all-cause mortality (AUC 0.661-0.744), whereas fibrinogen levels less than 3.6 g/l were associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (78 vs. 53%; log rank P  = 0.004; hazard ratio = 2.073; 95% confidence interval 1.233-3.486; P  = 0.006), which was still observed after multivariable adjustment. In contrast, the AFR was no longer associated with the risk of mortality after multivariable adjustment. Fibrinogen was a reliable diagnostic and prognostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock as well as for 30-day all-cause mortality and superior compared with the AFR in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock.

Norepinephrine dose, lactate or heart rate: what impacts prognosis in sepsis and septic shock? Results from a prospective, monocentric registry.

OBJECTIVE: The study comprehensively investigates the prognostic value of norepinephrine (NE) dose, lactate and heart rate in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of NE dose, lactate and heart rate in patients meeting the sepsis-3 criteria is available. METHODS: Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included. The prognostic value of NE dose, lactate and heart rate was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as one-factorial repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) and Cox proportional regression analyses. RESULTS: 339 patients with sepsis or septic shock were included. With an area under the curve (AUC) of up to 0.638 and 0.685, NE dose and lactate revealed moderate prognostic accuracy for 30-day all-cause mortality, whereas heart rate was not associated with prognosis. Very high NE doses (i.e. > 1.0 mcg/kg/min) (HR = 2.938; 95% CI 1.933 - 4.464; p = .001) and lactate levels (i.e. ≥ 4 mmol/l) (HR = 2.963; 95% CI 2.095 - 4.191; p = .001) on admission were associated with highest risk of death. Finally, increasing NE doses and lactate levels from day 1 to 3 indicated increased risk of death, which was consistent after multivariable adjustment. CONCLUSION: Both very high NE doses and lactate levels - but not heart rate - were associated with increased risk of 30-d all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

OBJECTIVE: The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Limited data regarding the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in patients suffering from sepsis or septic shock is available. METHODS: Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (day 1), day 2, 3, 5 and 7. First, the diagnostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis. Second, the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio was tested for 30-d all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as multivariable mixed analysis of variance (ANOVA), Cox proportional regression analyses and propensity score matching. RESULTS: A total of 289 patients were included, of which 55% had sepsis and 45% septic shock. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 d was 53%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.651 on day 1 and 0.794 on day 7, the AST/ALT ratio revealed moderate but better diagnostic discrimination of septic shock compared to bilirubin. Furthermore, the AST/ALT ratio was able to discriminate 30-d all-cause mortality (AUC = 0.624; 95% CI 0.559 - 0.689; p = 0.001). Patients with an AST/ALT ratio above the median (>1.8) had higher rates of 30-d all-cause mortality compared to lower values (mortality rate 63 vs. 43%; log-rank p = 0.001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.703; 95% CI 1.182 - 2.453; p = 0.004) and propensity score matching. CONCLUSIONS: The AST/ALT was a reliable diagnostic tool for the diagnosis of septic shock as well as a reliable tool to predict 30-d all-cause mortality in patients suffering from sepsis and septic shock.

Diagnostic and prognostic role of platelets in patients with sepsis and septic shock.

Studies investigating the prognostic role of platelets commonly include critically ill patients, whereas data regarding the prognostic impact of platelet count in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock is limited. Therefore, the study investigates the prognostic role of platelet count in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included monocentrically. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (day 1), days 2, 3, 5, 7 and 10. Firstly, the diagnostic value of platelet count was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis. Secondly, the prognostic value of platelet count was tested for 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analyses included univariable t-test, Spearman's correlation, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses, as well as multivariable mixed analysis of variance (ANOVA), Cox proportional regression analyses and propensity score matching. A total of 358 patients with sepsis and septic shock were included with a median platelet count of 176 × 106/ml. The presence of thrombocytopenia (i.e. <150 × 106/ml) was associated with increased risk of 30-day mortality (HR = 1.409; 95% CI 1.057-1.878; p = .019), which was still demonstrated after propensity score matching. During the course of sepsis, a nadir was observed on sepsis day 5 with a decrease in the mean platelet count by 21.5%. Especially serum lactate, mean arterial pressure and the presence of malignancies were found to predict platelet decline during the course of sepsis/septic shock. The presence of platelet decline >25% was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (HR = 1.484; 95% CI 1.045-2.109; p = .028). Following platelet decline, recovery was observed from day 5 to day 10 (mean increase 7.5%). However, platelet recovery was not found to be associated with 30-day all-cause mortality (HR = 1.072; 95% CI 0.567-2.026; p = .832). In conclusion, both thrombocytopenia and platelet decline during the course of sepsis were associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-mortality in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock.

What is the context? Despite improved treatment strategies in intensive care medicine, sepsis and septic shock represent one of the major causes of death at intensive care units worldwide.Although it is known that platelets are associated with prognosis, most studies included "critically illness" patients and were not restricted to patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock. Furthermore, studies focusing on patients with sepsis were predominantly published prior to the sepsis-3 criteria. Specifically, the course of the platelet count during ICU hospitalization needs further investigation.What is new? The present study suggests that the platelet count reflects a reliable tool for the diagnosis of septic shock during the first week of ICU hospitalization.Furthermore, platelet count and the platelet-to-white-blood-cell-ratio are predictive for 30-day all-cause mortality in the presence of sepsis or septic shock.Especially, a decrease in platelet count during the first 5 days of ICU hospitalizations was associated with an increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis and septic shock, whereas the platelet recovery was not found to be associated with a worse prognosis.What is the impact? This study provides further evidence that the platelet count represents a reliable tool for the diagnosis of septic shock and furthermore predicts short-term prognosis in patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock during the first 10 days of ICU hospitalization.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Significance of the Prothrombin Time/International Normalized Ratio in Sepsis and Septic Shock.

OBJECTIVE: The study investigates the diagnostic and prognostic significance of the prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (PT/INR) in patients with sepsis and septic shock. BACKGROUND: Sepsis may be complicated by disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). While the status of coagulopathy of septic patients is represented within the sepsis-3 definition by assessing the platelet count, less data regarding the prognostic impact of the PT/INR in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock is available. METHODS: Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock from 2019 to 2021 were included. Blood samples were retrieved from day of disease onset (ie, day 0), as well as on day 1, 2, 4, 6 and 9 thereafter. Firstly, the diagnostic value of the PT/INR in comparison to the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) was tested for septic shock compared to sepsis without shock. Secondly, the prognostic value of the PT/INR for 30-day all-cause mortality was tested. Statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional regression analyses. RESULTS: 338 patients were included (56% sepsis without shock, 44% septic shock). The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 52%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.682 (p= .001) on day 0, the PT/INR revealed moderate discrimination of septic shock and sepsis without shock. Furthermore, PT/ INR was able to discriminate non-survivors and survivors at 30 days (AUC = 0.612; p = .001). Patients with a PT/INR >1.5 had higher rates of 30-day all-cause mortality than patients with lower values (mortality rate 73% vs 48%; log rank p = .001; HR = 2.129; 95% CI 1.494-3.033; p = .001), even after multivariable adjustment (HR = 1.793; 95% CI 1.343-2.392; p = .001). Increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality was observed irrespective of concomitant thrombocytopenia. CONCLUSION: The PT/INR revealed moderate diagnostic accuracy for septic shock but was associated with reliable prognostic accuracy with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality in patients admitted with sepsis and septic shock.

Cardiac Troponin I Reveals Diagnostic and Prognostic Superiority to Aminoterminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Sepsis and Septic Shock.

Data regarding the prognostic value of cardiac biomarkers in patients suffering from sepsis or septic shock is scarce. Studies investigating the prognostic role of cardiac biomarkers in patients with sepsis and septic shock were commonly published prior to the sepsis-3 criteria and were often not restricted to septic patients only, too. This study investigated the diagnostic and prognostic value of the aminoterminal pro-B-type Natriuretic Peptide (NT-pro BNP) and cardiac troponin I (cTNI) in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis and septic shock were included from 2019 to 2021. Blood samples were retrieved from the day of disease onset (i.e., day 1), day 2 and 3. Firstly, the diagnostic value of the NT-pro BNP and cTNI to diagnose sepsis or septic shock was tested. Secondly, the prognostic value of the NT-pro BNP and cTNI was examined with regard to the 30-day all-cause mortality. The statistical analyses included univariable t-tests, Spearman's correlations, C-statistics, Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional regression analyses. A total of 162 patients were included prospectively, of which 57% had a sepsis and 43% a septic shock. The overall rate of all-cause mortality at 30 days was 53%. With an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.658 on day 1 and 0.885 on day 3, cTNI expressed a better diagnostic value than NT-pro BNP, especially on day 3 (ΔAUCd3 = 0.404; p = 0.022). Furthermore, cTNI displayed a moderate but slightly better prognostic value than NT-pro BNP on all examined days (AUC for cTNI, d1 = 0.635; 95% CI 0.541-0.729; p = 0.007 vs. AUC for NT-pro BNP, d1 = 0.582; 95% CI 0.477-0.687; p = 0.132). In conclusion, cTNI was a reliable diagnostic parameter for the diagnosis of sepsis and septic shock, as well as a reliable prognostic tool with regard to 30-day all-cause mortality in patients suffering from sepsis and septic shock.