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1.
Prev Vet Med ; 218: 105996, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37595388

RESUMO

Sterilisation and rabies vaccination programs seek to manage free-roaming domestic dog (Canis familiaris) populations with the aim to reduce inter-species disease transmission and conflicts. As effective, permanent, remotely-administered options are not yet available for sterilisation, and oral vaccination is not yet commonly used; free-roaming dogs are typically captured for these interventions. There is a paucity of information describing how dog capture rates change over time within defined areas following repeated capture efforts. This data is needed to allow efficient dog capture programmes to be developed. Using spatial co-ordinates of dog capture, we characterise where dogs are more likely to be captured in six catch-sterilise-release campaigns, in Goa state, India. Combining capture numbers with population survey data collected in five sites, we document the increasing difficulty of catching entire (non-sterilised) dogs as sterilisation coverage increases and demonstrate how this leads to increased unit costs. Accounting for the extra resources required to capture dogs when sterilisation coverage is high will improve estimation of the resources required to manage free-roaming dog populations and assist in planning the most efficient intervention strategies.

2.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 2208, 2021 01 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33500436

RESUMO

In the United Kingdom, despite decades of control efforts, bovine tuberculosis (bTB) has not been controlled and currently costs ~ £100 m annually. Critical in the failure of control efforts has been the lack of a sufficiently sensitive diagnostic test. Here we use machine learning (ML) to predict herd-level bTB breakdowns in Great Britain (GB) with the aim of improving herd-level diagnostic sensitivity. The results of routinely-collected herd-level tests were correlated with risk factor data. Four ML methods were independently trained with data from 2012-2014 including ~ 4700 positive herd-level test results annually. The best model's performance was compared to the observed sensitivity and specificity of the herd-level test calculated on the 2015 data resulting in an increased herd-level sensitivity from 61.3 to 67.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 66.4-68.8%) and herd-level specificity from 90.5 to 92.3% (95% CI: 91.6-93.1%). This approach can improve predictive capability for herd-level bTB and support disease control.


Assuntos
Aprendizado de Máquina , Tuberculose Bovina/epidemiologia , Algoritmos , Animais , Bovinos , Fazendas , Geografia , Curva ROC , Teste Tuberculínico , Tuberculose Bovina/diagnóstico , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
3.
Prev Vet Med ; 187: 105249, 2021 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33418515

RESUMO

Annual peaks in reproductive activity have been identified in multiple domestic dog populations. However, there is little evidence to describe how these peaks may be associated with environmental factors such as daylength, which plays a well-established role in breeding patterns of seasonally-reproductive species. Data were collected 2016-2020 during 7,743 and 4,681 neuter surgeries on adult female unowned free-roaming dogs in veterinary clinics in Goa and Tamil Nadu respectively. Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and daylength data were gathered for time periods preceding the neuter surgery that may have influenced the likelihood of pregnancy (potential influence periods). A multivariable generalised additive model was used to assess the relationship between these factors and pregnancy. The prevalence of pregnancy varied by month in both locations indicating seasonality of reproduction in these groups. The annual pattern was more distinct in Goa with a peak in pregnancies between September and December. In Goa, decreasing daylength was associated with a higher probability of pregnancy (p = 0.040). Decreasing temperature was associated with decreasing probability of pregnancy in the Nilgiris (p = 0.034). Bitches had a median of 6 foetuses, with no evidence of seasonal variation. Environmental factors were associated with patterns of pregnancy in free-roaming dogs, however statistically-significant factors varied by geographical location. Establishing local seasonal patterns of breeding in free-roaming dogs and assessing their relationship with environmental influences is recommended to facilitate effective and efficient population management strategies, which aim to reduce conflict between human and free-roaming dog populations.


Assuntos
Cães/fisiologia , Reprodução , Animais , Animais Selvagens/fisiologia , Feminino , Índia , Estações do Ano
4.
Vaccine X ; 1: 100015, 2019 Apr 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31384737

RESUMO

Rabies has profound public health, social and economic impacts on developing countries, with an estimated 59,000 annual human rabies deaths globally. Mass dog vaccination is effective at eliminating the disease but remains challenging to achieve in India due to the high proportion of roaming dogs that cannot be readily handled for parenteral vaccination. Two methods for the vaccination of dogs that could not be handled for injection were compared in Goa, India; the oral bait handout (OBH) method, where teams of two travelled by scooter offering dogs an empty oral bait construct, and the catch-vaccinate-release (CVR) method, where teams of seven travel by supply vehicle and use nets to catch dogs for parenteral vaccination. Both groups parenterally vaccinated any dogs that could be held for vaccination. The OBH method was more efficient on human resources, accessing 35 dogs per person per day, compared to 9 dogs per person per day through CVR. OBH accessed 80% of sighted dogs, compared to 63% by CVR teams, with OBH accessing a significantly higher proportion of inaccessible dogs in all land types. All staff reported that they believed OBH would be more successful in accessing dogs for vaccination. Fixed operational team cost of CVR was four times higher than OBH, at 127 USD per day, compared to 34 USD per day. Mean per dog vaccination cost of CVR was 2.53 USD, whilst OBH was 2.29 USD. Extrapolation to a two week India national campaign estimated that 1.1 million staff would be required using CVR, but 293,000 staff would be needed for OBH. OBH was operationally feasible, economical and effective at accessing the free roaming dog population. This study provides evidence for the continued expansion of research into the use of OBH as a supplementary activity to parenteral mass dog vaccination activities in India.

5.
Sci Rep ; 9(1): 5614, 2019 04 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30948742

RESUMO

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a major livestock disease with direct clinical impacts as well as indirect trade implications. Control through vaccination and stamping-out has successfully reduced or eradicated the disease from Europe and large parts of South America. However, sub-Saharan Africa remains endemically affected with 5/7 serotypes currently known to be circulating across the continent. This has significant implications both locally for livestock production and poverty reduction but also globally as it represents a major reservoir of viruses, which could spark new epidemics in disease free countries or vaccination zones. This paper describes the phylodynamics of serotypes A and SAT2 in Africa including recent isolates from Cameroon in Central Africa. We estimated the most recent common ancestor for serotype A was an East African virus from the 1930s (median 1937; HPD 1922-1950) compared to SAT2 which has a much older common ancestor from the early 1700s (median 1709; HPD 1502-1814). Detailed analysis of the different clades shows clearly that different clades are evolving and diffusing across the landscape at different rates with both serotypes having a particularly recent clade that is evolving and spreading more rapidly than other clades within their serotype. However, the lack of detailed sequence data available for Africa seriously limits our understanding of FMD epidemiology across the continent. A comprehensive view of the evolutionary history and dynamics of FMD viruses is essential to understand many basic epidemiological aspects of FMD in Africa such as the scale of persistence and the role of wildlife and thus the opportunities and scale at which vaccination and other controls could be applied. Finally we ask endemic countries to join the OIE/FAO supported regional networks and take advantage of new cheap technologies being rolled out to collect isolates and submit them to the World Reference Laboratory.


Assuntos
Vírus da Febre Aftosa/genética , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/isolamento & purificação , Febre Aftosa/virologia , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Animais , Animais Selvagens , Surtos de Doenças , Evolução Molecular , Febre Aftosa/epidemiologia , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/metabolismo , Gado , Filogenia , Sorogrupo , Sorotipagem/métodos , Vacinação
6.
Sci Rep ; 9(1): 2972, 2019 02 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30814567

RESUMO

The importance of household socio-economic position (SEP) in shaping individual infectious disease risk is increasingly recognised, particularly in low income settings. However, few studies have measured the extent to which this association is consistent for the range of pathogens that are typically endemic among the rural poor in the tropics. This cross-sectional study assessed the relationship between SEP and human infection within a single community in western Kenya using a set of pathogens with diverse transmission routes. The relationships between household SEP and individual infection with Plasmodium falciparum, hookworm (Ancylostoma duodenale and/or Necator americanus), Entamoeba histolytica/dispar, Mycobacterium tuberculosis, and HIV, and co-infections between hookworm, P. falciparum and E. histolytica/dispar, were assessed using multivariable logistic and multinomial regression. Individuals in households with the lowest SEP were at greatest risk of infection with P. falciparum, hookworm and E. histolytica/dispar, as well as co-infection with each pathogen. Infection with M. tuberculosis, by contrast, was most likely in individuals living in households with the highest SEP. There was no evidence of a relationship between individual HIV infection and household SEP. We demonstrate the existence of a household socio-economic gradient within a rural farming community in Kenya which impacts upon individual infectious disease risk. Structural adjustments that seek to reduce poverty, and therefore the socio-economic inequalities that exist in this community, would be expected to substantially reduce overall infectious disease burden. However, policy makers and researchers should be aware that heterogeneous relationships can exist between household SEP and infection risk for different pathogens in low income settings.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Entamebíase/epidemiologia , Características da Família , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por Uncinaria/epidemiologia , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pobreza , Fatores de Risco , População Rural , Tuberculose/epidemiologia
7.
BMC Vet Res ; 14(1): 56, 2018 Feb 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29482640

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Surgical sterilisation is currently the method of choice for controlling free-roaming dog populations. However, there are significant logistical challenges to neutering large numbers of dogs in low-resource clinics. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of short-term surgical complications in a low-resource sterilisation clinic which did not routinely administer post-operative antibiotics. The medical records of all sterilisation surgeries performed in 2015 at the Worldwide Veterinary Service International Training Centre in Tamil Nadu, India were reviewed (group A) to assess immediate surgical complications. All animals in this group were monitored for at least 24 h post-surgery but were not released until assessed by a veterinarian as having uncomplicated wound healing. In the second part of this study from August to December 2015, 200 free-roaming dogs undergoing sterilisation surgery, were monitored for a minimum of 4-days post-surgery to further assess postoperative complications (group B). RESULTS: Surgery related complications were seen in 5.4% (95%CI, 4.5-6.5%) of the 1998 group A dogs monitored for at least 24 h, and in 7.0% (3.9-11.5%) of the 200 group B dogs monitored for 4 days. Major complications were classed as those requiring an intervention and resulted in increased morbidity or mortality. Major complications were seen in 2.8% (2.1-3.6%) and 1.5% (3.1-4.3%) of group A and B, respectively. Minor complications requiring little or no intervention were recorded for 2.6% (1.9-3.4%) for group A and 5.5% (2.8-9.6%) for group B. There was no evidence for a difference in complication rates between the two groups in a multivariate regression model. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that high volume, low-resource sterilisation of dogs can be performed with a low incidence of surgical complications and low mortality.


Assuntos
Cães/cirurgia , Orquiectomia/veterinária , Ovariectomia/veterinária , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/veterinária , Animais , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Doenças do Cão/epidemiologia , Doenças do Cão/etiologia , Doenças do Cão/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Índia , Masculino , Orquiectomia/efeitos adversos , Orquiectomia/métodos , Ovariectomia/efeitos adversos , Ovariectomia/métodos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/epidemiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/etiologia , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/prevenção & controle , Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica/veterinária
8.
Res Vet Sci ; 108: 120-4, 2016 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27663380

RESUMO

Most studies of infectious diseases in East African cattle have concentrated on gastro-intestinal parasites and vector-borne diseases. As a result, relatively little is known about viral diseases, except for those that are clinically symptomatic or which affect international trade such as foot and mouth disease, bluetongue and epizootic haemorrhagic disease. Here, we investigate the seroprevalence, distribution and relationship between the viruses involved in respiratory disease, infectious bovine rhinotracheitis virus (IBR), bovine parainfluenza virus Type 3 (PIV3) and bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) in East African Shorthorn Zebu calves. These viruses contribute to the bovine respiratory disease complex (BRD) which is responsible for major economic losses in cattle from intensive farming systems as a result of pneumonia. We found that calves experience similar risks of infection for IBR, PIV3, and BVDV with a seroprevalence of 20.9%, 20.1% and 19.8% respectively. We confirm that positive associations exist between IBR, PIV3 and BVDV; being seropositive for any one of these three viruses means that an individual is more likely to be seropositive for the other two viruses than expected by chance.


Assuntos
Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/epidemiologia , Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/isolamento & purificação , Herpesvirus Bovino 1/isolamento & purificação , Rinotraqueíte Infecciosa Bovina/epidemiologia , Vírus da Parainfluenza 3 Bovina/isolamento & purificação , Pasteurelose Pneumônica/epidemiologia , Animais , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/virologia , Bovinos , Rinotraqueíte Infecciosa Bovina/virologia , Quênia/epidemiologia , Pasteurelose Pneumônica/microbiologia , Prevalência , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
9.
Sci Rep ; 6: 24320, 2016 Apr 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27075056

RESUMO

Mycobacteria cause major diseases including human tuberculosis, bovine tuberculosis and Johne's disease. In livestock, the dominant species is M. bovis causing bovine tuberculosis (bTB), a disease of global zoonotic importance. In this study, we estimated the prevalence of Mycobacteria in slaughter cattle in Cameroon. A total of 2,346 cattle were examined in a cross-sectional study at four abattoirs in Cameroon. Up to three lesions per animal were collected for further study and a retropharyngeal lymph node was collected from a random sample of non-lesioned animals. Samples were cultured on Lowenstein Jensen media and the BACTEC MGIT 960 system, and identified using the Hain® Genotype kits. A total of 207/2,346 cattle were identified with bTB-like lesions, representing 4.0% (45/1,129), 11.3% (106/935), 23.8% (38/160) and 14.8% (18/122) of the cattle in the Bamenda, Ngaoundere, Garoua and Maroua abattoirs respectively. The minimum estimated prevalence of M. bovis was 2.8% (1.9-3.9), 7.7% (6.1-9.6), 21.3% (15.2-28.4) and 13.1% (7.7-20.4) in the four abattoirs respectively. One M. tuberculosis and three M. bovis strains were recovered from non-lesioned animals. The high prevalence of M. bovis is of public health concern and limits the potential control options in this setting without a viable vaccine as an alternative.


Assuntos
Mycobacterium bovis/isolamento & purificação , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolamento & purificação , Tuberculose Bovina/epidemiologia , Matadouros , Animais , Técnicas Bacteriológicas , Camarões/epidemiologia , Bovinos , Estudos Transversais , Técnicas de Genotipagem , Prevalência
10.
Transbound Emerg Dis ; 63(5): e347-59, 2016 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25516263

RESUMO

West Nile virus (WNV) is a mosquito borne arbovirus that circulates within avian reservoirs. WNV can spill over into humans and Equidae that are dead-end hosts for WNV but suffer fever, acute morbidity and sometimes death. Outbreaks of WNV are common across Africa and Eastern Europe, and there have also been sporadic outbreaks in Spain and the Camargue Regional Park in France, but never in Great Britain (GB). These areas all fall along a major bird migration route. In this study, we analyse a scenario in which WNV is circulating in the Camargue or in other wetland areas in France and we estimate the risk of northward migrating passerine birds stopping in a WNV hotspot, becoming infected and carrying active infection to GB. If the disease were circulating in the Camargue during a single migratory season, the probability that one or more migrating birds becomes infected and lands in GB whilst still infected is 0.881 with 0.384 birds arriving in areas of suitable vector habitat. However, if WNV became established in the Grand Brière National Park or La Brenne Regional Park wetland areas further to the north, the model predicts that at least one infected bird will continue to GB. Thus, GB is at risk of WNV introduction from the Camargue, but the risk is considerably greater if WNV were to circulate further north than its previous focus in France, but this is highly sensitive to the force of infection in the infected area. However, the risk of establishment and infection of humans in GB is dependent upon a number of additional factors, in particular the vector and epidemiological situation in GB.


Assuntos
Aves/virologia , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/epidemiologia , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/isolamento & purificação , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/patogenicidade , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , África , Animais , Culicidae/virologia , Surtos de Doenças , Ecossistema , Feminino , França , Humanos , Masculino , Medição de Risco , Estações do Ano , Espanha , Processos Estocásticos , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/virologia
11.
Prev Vet Med ; 122(4): 426-35, 2015 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26189582

RESUMO

Studies of animals that visit primary and secondary veterinary centres dominate companion animal epidemiology. Dogslife is a research initiative that collects data directly from owners about the health and lifestyle of Kennel Club (KC) registered Labrador Retrievers (LR) in the UK. The ultimate aim is to seek associations between canine lifestyle and health. A selection of data from Dogslife regarding the height, weight and lifestyle of 4307 LR up to four years of age is reported here. The majority of the dogs were household pets, living with at least one other pet, in families or households with more than one adult. The dogs typically ate diets of dried food and daily meal frequency decreased as the dogs aged. Working dogs spent more time exercising than pets, and dogs in Wales and Scotland were exercised more than their counterparts in England. Dogs in households with children spent less time exercising than dogs in other types of households. There was considerable variation in height and weight measurements indicative of a highly heterogeneous population. The average male height at the shoulders was 2-3cm taller than the UK breed standard. Dog weights continued to increase between one and four years of age. Those with chocolate coloured coats were heavier than their yellow and black counterparts. Greater dog weight was also associated with dogs whose owners reported restricting their dog's exercise due to where they lived. These findings highlight the utility of wide public engagement in the collation of phenotypic measures, providing a unique insight into the physical development and lifestyle of a cohort of LRs. In combination with concurrently collected data on the health of the cohort, phenotypic data from the Dogslife Project will contribute to understanding the relationship between dog lifestyle and health.


Assuntos
Cães/anatomia & histologia , Cães/fisiologia , Animais , Estudos de Coortes , Nível de Saúde , Estilo de Vida , Especificidade da Espécie , Reino Unido
12.
Parasitology ; 141(10): 1289-98, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24838078

RESUMO

Tick-borne diseases are a major impediment to improved productivity of livestock in sub-Saharan Africa. Improved control of these diseases would be assisted by detailed epidemiological data. Here we used longitudinal, serological data to determine the patterns of exposure to Theileria parva, Theileria mutans, Babesia bigemina and Anaplasma marginale from 548 indigenous calves in western Kenya. The percentage of calves seropositive for the first three parasites declined from initial high levels due to maternal antibody until week 16, after which the percentage increased until the end of the study. In contrast, the percentage of calves seropositive for T. mutans increased from week 6 and reached a maximal level at week 16. Overall 423 (77%) calves seroconverted to T. parva, 451 (82%) to T. mutans, 195 (36%) to B. bigemina and 275 (50%) to A. marginale. Theileria parva antibody levels were sustained following infection, in contrast to those of the other three haemoparasites. Three times as many calves seroconverted to T. mutans before seroconverting to T. parva. No T. parva antibody response was detected in 25 calves that died of T. parva infection, suggesting that most deaths due to T. parva are the result of acute disease from primary exposure.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antiprotozoários/sangue , Theileria parva/imunologia , Theileriose/imunologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/veterinária , Carrapatos/parasitologia , Anaplasma/imunologia , Animais , Babesia/imunologia , Bovinos , Estudos de Coortes , Quênia , Gado , Estudos Longitudinais , Theileriose/mortalidade , Theileriose/parasitologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/imunologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/mortalidade , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/parasitologia
13.
Heredity (Edinb) ; 113(4): 297-305, 2014 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24736786

RESUMO

The Kenyan East African zebu cattle are valuable and widely used genetic resources. Previous studies using microsatellite loci revealed the complex history of these populations with the presence of taurine and zebu genetic backgrounds. Here, we estimate at genome-wide level the genetic composition and population structure of the East African Shorthorn Zebu (EASZ) of western Kenya. A total of 548 EASZ from 20 sub-locations were genotyped using the Illumina BovineSNP50 v. 1 beadchip. STRUCTURE analysis reveals admixture with Asian zebu, African and European taurine cattle. The EASZ were separated into three categories: substantial (⩾12.5%), moderate (1.56%

Assuntos
Bovinos/genética , Evolução Molecular , Genoma , Animais , Bovinos/classificação , Genótipo , Quênia , Masculino , Repetições de Microssatélites
14.
J Vet Intern Med ; 25(5): 1186-9, 2011.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21985148

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In South Africa, canine babesiosis typically is an acute disease in susceptible individuals and is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Despite the importance of the disease, there have been no large studies that have examined the influence of breed and sex on disease susceptibility. HYPOTHESIS: Toy breeds have a lower risk of babesiosis than working dogs. ANIMALS: A total of 1,222 dogs diagnosed with canine babesiosis and 11,484 noninfected dogs presented to the Onderstepoort Veterinary Academic Hospital's small animal outpatient clinic between 2004 and 2010. METHODS: Retrospective study. RESULTS: Intact male, neutered male, and neutered female dogs had a significantly higher odds of being diagnosed with canine babesiosis compared to intact female dogs. Five of the 6 Toy breeds had significantly lower odds of being diagnosed with canine babesiosis than did the reference breed, Labrador Retrievers. In contrast, none of the 8 working dog breeds had significantly lower odds compared to the reference breed. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE: Intact male, neutered male, and neutered female dogs were at increased risk of canine babesiosis compared to intact female dogs. Several dog breeds, notably Toy breeds, had a lower risk of babesiosis in a hospital population of dogs in South Africa. The mechanism or mechanisms by which Toy breeds are protected from developing canine babesiosis may be related to genetic background or environmental exposure and deserves further study.


Assuntos
Babesiose/veterinária , Doenças do Cão/parasitologia , Animais , Babesia , Babesiose/epidemiologia , Babesiose/etiologia , Doenças do Cão/epidemiologia , Doenças do Cão/etiologia , Cães , Feminino , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Especificidade da Espécie
15.
Prev Vet Med ; 85(3-4): 226-40, 2008 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18342380

RESUMO

Classical swine fever virus (CSFV) is a major infectious-disease agent of livestock and causes production losses through increased morbidity and mortality, particularly of young pigs. We identified the pathways for introduction of CSFV into Denmark and assessed the annual probability of introduction (based on a US Department of Agriculture model). We developed pathways based on material from scientific articles, reports from veterinary agencies and custom officers, and consultations with experts in the field. Returning livestock trucks and legal meat imports were the most important pathways for CSFV introduction to Denmark from other EU states with predicted overall likelihood of one or more introductions of CSFV within a median of 130 years (46-280) provided mitigating steps, such as cleaning trucks, were maintained to a very high standard. The likelihood would increase dramatically if these activities were abandoned: one or more introductions within a median of 5.2 years (2-14). The predicted risks from live-animal imports and semen were extremely low given the very few imports of these products. The most important countries for Denmark's CSFV risk are Germany and the Netherlands, though this risk is again predicted to be dramatically reduced as long as mitigating activities are maintained. We predicted the risk from illegal movements of pork into Denmark to be low because little pork enters through this route and only a small fraction of this pork would be fed to pigs.


Assuntos
Vírus da Febre Suína Clássica/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Peste Suína Clássica/epidemiologia , Funções Verossimilhança , Animais , Peste Suína Clássica/transmissão , Peste Suína Clássica/virologia , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Suínos
16.
Prev Vet Med ; 66(1-4): 127-39, 2004 Dec 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15579340

RESUMO

We analysed responses from 147 Fulani herdsmen to a questionnaire about cattle herd-level risk factors for foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in the previous year. The study used a cross-sectional design with a stratified, two-stage random sample of cattle herds in the Adamawa Province of Cameroon. The questionnaire was pre-tested at a local cattle market before a final version was translated into Foulfoulde (the local Fulani dialect). Variables were screened using a univariable analysis and logistic multiple-regression models were developed in a forward-selection process. Fifty-eight percent (50-65; 90% CIs) of herdsmen reported FMD in their herd in the previous 12 months. Important risk factors for FMD in the previous 12 months included going on transhumance (OR=2.6), buying cattle from markets (OR=2.2), mixing of herds at watering points (OR=2.4), feeding cotton-seed cake (OR=3.3), buffalo near the herd (OR=2.2) and administrative division. For the subset of herds that went on transhumance, coming in contact with an FMDV-diseased herd while on transhumance was the strongest factor (OR=16).


Assuntos
Febre Aftosa/epidemiologia , Criação de Animais Domésticos , Animais , Camarões/epidemiologia , Bovinos , Estudos Transversais , Febre Aftosa/etiologia , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
17.
J Clin Microbiol ; 42(5): 2108-14, 2004 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15131177

RESUMO

The development of a serological test for foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) which is quick and easy to use, which can identify all seven serotypes, and which can differentiate vaccinated from convalescing or potential virus carriers would be a major advance in the epidemiological toolkit for FMDV. The nonstructural polyprotein 3ABC has recently been proposed as such an antigen, and a number of diagnostic tests are being developed. This paper evaluates the performance of two FMDV tests for antibodies to nonstructural proteins in an unvaccinated cattle population from a region of Cameroon with endemic multiple-serotype FMD. The CHEKIT-FMD-3ABC bo-ov (CHEKIT) enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) (Bommeli Diagnostics/Intervet) is a commercially available test that was compared with a competitive 3ABC ELISA (C-ELISA) developed in Denmark. The tests were compared with the virus neutralization test as the "gold standard." Diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were examined over a range of test cutoffs by using receiver operating characteristic curves, which allowed comparison of the overall performance of each test. The results indicated that the CHEKIT ELISA kit was 23% sensitive and 98% specific and the Danish C-ELISA was 71% sensitive and 90% specific at the recommended cutoff. These results have important implications if the tests are to be used to screen herds or individual cattle in surveillance programs, at border crossings for import-export clearance, or following emergency vaccination in an outbreak situation.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Bovinos/diagnóstico , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática/métodos , Febre Aftosa/diagnóstico , Proteínas não Estruturais Virais/imunologia , Animais , Anticorpos Antivirais/análise , Antígenos Virais , Camarões , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/imunologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/prevenção & controle , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática/estatística & dados numéricos , Febre Aftosa/imunologia , Febre Aftosa/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/imunologia , Testes Sorológicos/métodos , Testes Sorológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Testes Sorológicos/veterinária , Vacinas Virais/farmacologia , Virologia/métodos , Virologia/estatística & dados numéricos
18.
J Clin Microbiol ; 42(5): 2186-96, 2004 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15131187

RESUMO

Foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) causes a highly contagious viral disease of even-toed ungulates and is one of the most important economic diseases of livestock. Most studies of FMDV are done in countries where control measures are being implemented. In contrast, in areas such as sub-Saharan Africa, where FMDV is endemic and new strains are likely to emerge, there are only sporadic submissions to the World Reference Laboratory, Pirbright, United Kingdom. This paper describes the molecular epidemiology of FMDV in the Adamawa province of Cameroon based on a population sample of cattle herds. Serotypes SAT2 and A were isolated in the cross-sectional study. SAT2 isolates were all similar, with phylogenetic distances of <6%, and were most closely related to published sequences of isolates from Eritrea and Saudi Arabia. Serotype A isolates were more variable, with phylogenetic distances of 0 to 11%, and were most closely related to historic isolates from Cameroon. Use of a population-based sample gives a representative sample of virus diversity and will improve our understanding of the evolution of FMDV and its epidemiology. A supplementary study of pigs passing through the railhead collection yard at Ngaoundere detected a serotype O virus. A third pilot longitudinal study monitored viral persistence in three cattle herds over 12 months, and serotype O and A viruses were recovered from a herd 12 months after it was first recorded as being infected with SAT2 virus. The pig type O isolate was not closely related to that recovered from the cattle, suggesting that the pigs had not introduced the O virus into the cattle herds.


Assuntos
Febre Aftosa/epidemiologia , Febre Aftosa/virologia , Animais , Sequência de Bases , Camarões/epidemiologia , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/virologia , Estudos Transversais , Primers do DNA/genética , DNA Viral/genética , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/classificação , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/genética , Vírus da Febre Aftosa/isolamento & purificação , Variação Genética , Estudos Longitudinais , Epidemiologia Molecular , Filogenia , Sorotipagem , Sus scrofa , Doenças dos Suínos/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Suínos/virologia
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