Changes in Rates of Suicide by Mass Shooters, 1980-2019.

OBJECTIVE: The rate of worldwide mass shootings increased almost 400% over the last 40 years. About 30% are followed by the perpetrator's fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt. METHOD: We examined the rate of fatal and nonfatal attempts among 528 mass shooters over the last 40 years and their relationship to detected mental illness to better understand this specific context of suicide. We collected information on U.S.-based, personal-cause mass murders that involved one or more firearms, from online sources. RESULTS: A greater proportion of mass shooters from 2000 to 2019 took or attempted to take their own lives (40.5%) compared with those from 1980 to 1999 (23.2%, p < 0.001). More than double the proportion of perpetrators who made a fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt had a history of non-psychotic psychiatric/neurologic symptoms (38.9%), compared with perpetrators who did not make a fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt (18.1%; p < 0.001). Among mass shooters who made fatal or nonfatal suicide attempts, 77 of 175 (44%) did not have any recorded psychiatric, neurologic, or substance use condition. Of the 98 mass shooters who made fatal or non-fatal suicide attempts and had a psychiatric, substance use, or neurologic condition, 41 had depressive disorders. CONCLUSION: It is possible that a lack of information about the perpetrators' mental health or suicidal ideation led to an underestimation of their prevalence. These data suggest that suicide associated with mass shootings may represent a specific context for suicide, and approaches such as psychological autopsy can help to ascertain when psychiatric illness mediates the relationship between mass shootings and suicide.

We examined 528 mass shootings.A greater proportion of mass shooters from 2000-2019 made a fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt (123/304, 40.5%) compared with mass shooters from 1980-1999 (52/224, 23.2%), χ2 = 17.3, p<.001.More than double the proportion of perpetrators who made a fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt had a history of non-psychotic psychiatric/neurologic symptoms (38.9%), compared with those who did not (18.1%; p < 0.001).Among mass shooters who made a fatal or nonfatal suicide attempt, 77 of 175 (44%) did not have any recorded psychiatric, neurologic, or substance use condition. However, it is possible that a lack of information about the perpetrators' mental health or suicidal ideation led to an underestimation of their prevalence.These results suggest that perpetrators may have considered suicide a potential outcome of such an event, and/or that the perpetrators' high levels of aggression and anger, accompanied by an impaired capacity for restraint, resulted in homicide followed by suicidal behavior.Psychological autopsies can clarify the role of psychiatric illness and more extreme aggressive traits in homicide-suicide instances of mass shootings.

An Analysis of Motivating Factors in 1,725 Worldwide Cases of Mass Murder Between 1900-2019.

Mass murder, particularly mass shootings, constitutes a major, growing public health concern. Specific motivations for these acts are not well understood, often overattributed to severe mental illness. Identifying diverse factors motivating mass murders may facilitate prevention. We examined 1,725 global mass murders from 1900-2019, publicly described in English in print or online. We empirically categorized each into one of ten categories reflecting reported primary motivating factors, which were analyzed across mass murderers generally, as well as between U.S- and non-U.S.-based mass-shooters. Psychosis or disorganization related to mental illness were infrequently motivational factors (166; 9.6%), and were significantly more associated with mass murder committed using methods other than firearms. The vast majority (998, 57.86%) of incidents were impulsive and emotionally-driven, following adverse life circumstances. Most mass murderers prompted by emotional upset were found to be driven by despair or extreme sadness over life events (161, 16.13% within the category); romantic rejection or loss, or severe jealousy (204, 20.44% within the category); some specific non-romantic grudge (212, 21.24% within the category); or explosive, overwhelming rage following a dispute (266, 26.65% within the category). Results suggest that policies seeking to prevent mass murder should focus on criminal history, as well as subacute emotional disturbances not associated with severe mental illness in individuals with poor coping skills who have recently experienced negative life events.

Increased parietal and occipital lobe gyrification predicts conversion to syndromal psychosis in a clinical high-risk cohort.

BACKGROUND: Local gyrification index (lGI), indicative of the degree of cortical folding is a proxy marker for early cortical neurodevelopmental abnormalities. We studied the difference in lGI between those who do and do not convert to psychosis (non-converters) in a clinical high-risk (CHR) cohort, and whether lGI predicts conversion to psychosis. METHODS: Seventy-two CHR participants with attenuated positive symptom syndrome were followed up for two years. The difference in baseline whole-brain lGI was examined on the T1-weighted MRIs between, i)CHR (N = 72) and healthy controls (N = 19), ii)Converters to psychosis (N = 24) and non-converters (N = 48), adjusting for age and sex, on Freesurfer-6.0. The significant cluster obtained in the converters versus non-converters comparison was registered as a region of interest to individual images of all 72 participants and lGI values were extracted from this region. A cox proportional hazards model was applied with these values to study whether lGI predicts conversion to psychosis. RESULTS: lGI was not different between CHR and healthy controls. lGI was increased in converters in the right-sided inferior parietal and lateral occipital areas (corrected cluster-wise-p-value = 0.009, cohen's f = 0.42) compared to non-converters, which significantly increased the risk of onset of psychosis (p = 0.029, hazard ratio = 1.471). CONCLUSIONS: Increased gyrification in the right-sided inferior parietal and lateral occipital area differentiates converters to psychosis in CHR, significantly increasing the risk of conversion to psychosis. This measure may reflect underlying traits in parts of the brain that develop earliest in-utero (parietal and occipital), conferring a heightened vulnerability to convert to syndromal psychosis subsequently.

The association between mental health stigma and face emotion recognition in individuals at risk for psychosis.

Self-stigma has been associated with reduced accuracy of face emotion recognition in individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR). Stigma may also relate to slowing of performance during cognitive tasks for which a negative stereotype is relevant. This study aimed to investigate the association of mental illness stigma with face emotion recognition among CHR individuals. Participants were 143 CHR individuals identified using the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes (SIPS). Face emotion recognition was assessed using the Penn Emotion Recognition Task (ER-40). Stigma was assessed using discrimination, stereotype awareness, and stereotype agreement subscales of the Mental Health Attitudes Interview for CHR. We tested associations of ER-40 accuracy and response times with these stigma variables, including the role of clinical and demographic factors. Racial/ethnic minoritized participants had higher attenuated positive symptoms than non-minoritized participants. Longer ER-40 response times were correlated with greater stereotype agreement (r=.17, p=.045) and discrimination (r=.22, p=.012). A regression model predicting ER-40 response times revealed an interaction of stereotype agreement with minoritized status (p=.008), with slower response times for minoritized participants as stereotype agreement increased. Greater disorganized symptoms and male gender also predicted longer response times. ER-40 accuracy was not associated with stigma. Overall, minoritized CHR individuals with greater internalized stigma took longer to identify face emotions. Future research is needed to assess whether slower response times are specific to social cues, and if internalized stigma interferes with performance in real-world social situations. Reducing stigma may be an important target for interventions that aim to improve social skills.

Victimology of Mass Shootings and Mass Murders Not Involving Firearms.

Most research to date has focused on perpetrators of mass murder incidents. Hence, there is little information on victims. We examined 973 mass murders that occurred in the United States between 1900 and 2019 resulting in 5,273 total fatalities and 4,498 nonfatal injuries for a total of 9,771 victims (on average 10 victims per incident). Approximately 64% of victims of mass murder were White individuals, 13% were Black individuals, 6% were Asian individuals, and 14% were Latinx individuals. Given the higher number of nonfatal injuries per non-firearm mass murder event (11.0 vs. 2.8, p < .001), the total number of victims was only 50% higher for mass shootings (5,855 victims) vs. non-firearm mass murder events (3,916 victims). Among the 421 incidents of mass murder in the United States since 2000, Black, Asian, and Native American individuals were overrepresented among victims of mass shootings compared with their representation in the general U.S. population, and White individuals were underrepresented (all p ≤ .002). Findings of racial/ethnic differences were similar among victims of mass murder committed with means other than firearms for Black, Asian, and White individuals. These findings highlight different areas of victimology within the context of these incidents.

Mass murders involving firearms and other methods in school, college, and university settings: Findings from the Columbia Mass Murder Database.

While mass murders involving academic settings, especially using firearms, are of grave, growing public concern, identifying consistent patterns to aid prevention has proved challenging. Although some characteristics, such as male sex, have been routinely associated with these events, another hypothesized risk factor, severe mental illness, has been less reliably predictive. We isolated cases of mass murder perpetrated at least in part at schools, colleges, and universities from the Columbia Mass Murder Database (CMDD) and categorized them by location (within or outside of the US), and whether firearms were used. Demographic similarities and differences between groups were analyzed statistically wherever possible. We examined 82 incidents of mass murder, by any means, involving academic settings. Nearly half of all incidents (47.6%), and most involving firearms (63.2%), were U.S.-based, whereas those not involving firearms largely occurred elsewhere (88.0%). Consistent with previous reports, perpetrators of mass shootings involving academic settings are primarily Caucasian (66.7%) and male (100%). Severe mental illness (i.e., psychosis) was absent in the majority of perpetrators (firearms: 80.7%; nonfirearms: 68.0%). About half (45.6%) of mass school shootings ended with the perpetrator's suicide. When present, psychotic symptoms are more associated with mass murders in academic settings involving means other than firearms. The question of whether perpetrators of such incidents may perceive their actions as a kind of final act might enhance policy development and/or how law enforcement intervenes.

Female murderers who mutilate or dismember their victims: An exploration of patterns and sex differences.

Attributes and behavioral patterns of female homicide offenders have been less explored than those of males, particularly in crimes that involve aggravating factors such as dismemberment and mutilation. This study explored the patterns of female murderers who engage in postmortem dismemberment and/or mutilation of victims, contrasting these with the patterns of males who display these same behaviors. Cases were obtained from Radford-Florida Gulf Coast University Database and public sources, and then analyzed for specific characteristics of the crimes. An informational form was used to derive quantitative parameters. Statistical significance between sex and variables such as motive, dismemberment/mutilation style, and level of organization during the crime were examined. The majority of the cases were consistent with a defensive style. However, 23% of the cases involving females followed an offensive style compared to 33% among males. The nature of prior relationships between offenders and their victims was noteworthy, with the victims of males being largely strangers and the victims of females being primarily known to them. In comparison to males, females were markedly organized. These differences may emphasize aspects of psychological drives and pleasure-seeking that was more commonly seen among men, who often targeted strangers and were motivated by sadism in 25% of the cases. Dismemberment perpetrated by women primarily followed a defensive style that aimed to dispose of evidence, which would be congruent with the assumption that the murder occurred within a prior background of interpersonal partner violence toward the female perpetrator or other family members.

Stigma and coping experiences in Latinx individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis.

AIM: The experiences of culturally diverse individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR) is not well studied. Exploratory research needs to examine whether differences exist between racial/ethnic groups within the CHR population. Understanding experiences of Latinx patients is of importance, as the Latinx population represents the most rapidly growing paediatric population in the United States and they face significant barriers to mental health treatment. Because Latinx persons experience high rates of mental illness-based stigma and discrimination in their communities, they may face additional stigma-based barriers to CHR treatment. METHOD: Twenty-six participants (15 Latinx, 11 non-Latinx white/NLW) who met CHR criteria based on the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes (SIPS) were interviewed regarding stigma associated with CHR identification and symptoms. Using a consensus-based open-coding thematic analysis approach, data were analysed for stigma, discrimination, and coping responses. RESULTS: Instances of internalization of stereotypes appeared to be more salient to NLW participants than Latinx participants, and Latinx participants reported seemingly more anticipated rejection from stereotypes than NLW participants. Experiences of discrimination also appeared to be more salient to Latinx participants than NLW participants. Moreover, Latinx participants reported evidently greater instances of discrimination across anticipated, individual, and structural discrimination. Finally, while covering strategies appeared to be more salient to NLW's, Latinx clients more often described using secrecy as well as a greater range of coping responses, including empowerment. CONCLUSION: While the experience of anticipated rejection appeared to be more salient to Latinx CHR participants and they seemingly report more secrecy than NLW, they also engaged in empowerment-related coping strategies. Future research should continue to explore the roles of cultural values in influencing coping strategies among CHR individuals.

The neurobiology of auditory and visual perceptual abnormalities in a clinical high-risk for psychosis cohort: A pilot morphometric magnetic resonance imaging study.

Our goal was to examine the neurobiology of auditory and visual perceptual abnormalities in individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR) using morphometric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). We enrolled 72 CHR subjects as delineated by the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes (SIPS). Greater severity of visual perceptual abnormalities was associated with larger volumes in all regions tested (amygdala, hippocampus, and occipital cortex), while no relationships were observed between auditory perceptual abnormalities and brain volumes. These data support findings that while perceptual abnormalities may share a central set of neurobiological mechanisms, each type may also have distinct pathogeneses.

An exploratory magnetic resonance imaging study of suicidal ideation in individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis.

Suicide is a major cause of death in psychosis and associated with significant morbidity. Suicidal ideation (SI) is very common in those at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR) and predicts later suicide. Despite substantial work on the pathobiology of suicide in schizophrenia, little is known of its neurobiological underpinnings in the CHR or putatively prodromal state. Therefore, in this pilot study, we examined the neurobiology of SI in CHR individuals using structural MRI. Subjects were aged 14-30 and met criteria for the Attenuated Positive Symptom Psychosis-Risk Syndrome (APSS) delineated in the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes (SIPS). Suicidality was assessed using the Columbia Suicide Severity Rating Scale (C-SSRS). Volumetric MRI scans were obtained on a 3T Phillips scanner. MRI data were available for 69 individuals (19 CHR without SI, 31 CHR with SI and 19 healthy control subjects). CHR individuals with SI had thicker middle temporal and right insular cortices than CHR individuals without SI and healthy control subjects. The location of these findings is consistent with neurobiological findings regarding suicide in syndromal psychosis. These findings underscore the potential for the use of brain imaging biomarkers of suicide risk in CHR individuals.

Psychotic symptoms in mass shootings v. mass murders not involving firearms: findings from the Columbia mass murder database.

BACKGROUND: Mass shootings account for a small fraction of annual worldwide murders, yet disproportionately affect society and influence policy. Evidence suggesting a link between mass shootings and severe mental illness (i.e. involving psychosis) is often misrepresented, generating stigma. Thus, the actual prevalence constitutes a key public health concern. METHODS: We examined global personal-cause mass murders from 1900 to 2019, amassed by review of 14 785 murders publicly described in English in print or online, and collected information regarding perpetrator, demographics, legal history, drug use and alcohol misuse, and history of symptoms of psychiatric or neurologic illness using standardized methods. We distinguished whether firearms were or were not used, and, if so, the type (non-automatic v. semi- or fully-automatic). RESULTS: We identified 1315 mass murders, 65% of which involved firearms. Lifetime psychotic symptoms were noted among 11% of perpetrators, consistent with previous reports, including 18% of mass murderers who did not use firearms and 8% of those who did (χ2 = 28.0, p < 0.01). US-based mass shooters were more likely to have legal histories, use recreational drugs or misuse alcohol, or have histories of non-psychotic psychiatric or neurologic symptoms. US-based mass shooters with symptoms of any psychiatric or neurologic illness more frequently used semi-or fully-automatic firearms. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that policies aimed at preventing mass shootings by focusing on serious mental illness, characterized by psychotic symptoms, may have limited impact. Policies such as those targeting firearm access, recreational drug use and alcohol misuse, legal history, and non-psychotic psychopathology might yield more substantial results.

Naturalistic conceptions of genetic optimism and precision psychiatry among those at clinical high-risk for psychosis.

AIM: Fuelled by genomics advances, recent emphasis on the concept of "precision medicine," and public optimism towards genetic advances, it is important to understand how those who are considered to be at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR) perceive possible benefits of genetic testing to inform future stakeholder education efforts. METHODS: Semistructured interviews were completed with 20 participants who met CHR criteria. Coding for genetic optimism was completed. RESULTS: Participants endorsed many conceptualizations of the link between genetics, the development of psychosis, and the benefits of genetic testing. Specifically, themes emerged surrounding how genetic testing may lead to greater genetic knowledge and tailored treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that CHR participants generally endorse several precision psychiatry concepts, including how genetic testing may lead to tailored treatment advances. This knowledge may aid development of best communication practices regarding forthcoming genetic advances in diagnosis and treatment among CHR.

Recency and intensification of positive symptoms enhance prediction of conversion to syndromal psychosis in clinical high-risk patients.

BACKGROUND: Early detection and intervention strategies in patients at clinical high-risk (CHR) for syndromal psychosis have the potential to contain the morbidity of schizophrenia and similar conditions. However, research criteria that have relied on severity and number of positive symptoms are limited in their specificity and risk high false-positive rates. Our objective was to examine the degree to which measures of recency of onset or intensification of positive symptoms [a.k.a., new or worsening (NOW) symptoms] contribute to predictive capacity. METHODS: We recruited 109 help-seeking individuals whose symptoms met criteria for the Progression Subtype of the Attenuated Positive Symptom Psychosis-Risk Syndrome defined by the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes and followed every three months for two years or onset of syndromal psychosis. RESULTS: Forty-one (40.6%) of 101 participants meeting CHR criteria developed a syndromal psychotic disorder [mostly (80.5%) schizophrenia] with half converting within 142 days (interquartile range: 69-410 days). Patients with more NOW symptoms were more likely to convert (converters: 3.63 ± 0.89; non-converters: 2.90 ± 1.27; p = 0.001). Patients with stable attenuated positive symptoms were less likely to convert than those with NOW symptoms. New, but not worsening, symptoms, in isolation, also predicted conversion. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that the severity and number of attenuated positive symptoms are less predictive of conversion to syndromal psychosis than the timing of their emergence and intensification. These findings also suggest that the earliest phase of psychotic illness involves a rapid, dynamic process, beginning before the syndromal first episode, with potentially substantial implications for CHR research and understanding the neurobiology of psychosis.

Imaging synaptic dopamine availability in individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis: a [11C]-(+)-PHNO PET with methylphenidate challenge study.

Patients at clinical high-risk (CHR) for psychosis show elevations in [18F]DOPA uptake, an estimate of dopamine (DA) synthesis capacity, in the striatum predictive of conversion to schizophrenia. Intrasynaptic DA levels can be inferred from imaging the change in radiotracer binding at D2 receptors due to a pharmacological challenge. Here, we used methylphenidate, a DA reuptake inhibitor, and [11C]-(+)-PHNO, to measure synaptic DA availability in CHR both in striatal and extra-striatal brain regions. Fourteen unmedicated, nonsubstance using CHR individuals and 14 matched control subjects participated in the study. Subjects underwent two [11C]-(+)-PHNO scans, one at baseline and one following administration of a single oral dose (60 mg) of methylphenidate. [11C]-(+)-PHNO BPND, the binding potential relative to the nondisplaceable compartment, was derived using the simplified reference tissue model with cerebellum as reference tissue. The percent change in BPND between scans, ΔBPND, was computed as an index of synaptic DA availability, and group comparisons were performed with a linear mixed model. An overall trend was found for greater synaptic DA availability (∆BPND) in CHR than controls (p = 0.06). This was driven entirely by ∆BPND in ventral striatum (-34 ± 14% in CHR, -20 ± 12% in HC; p = 0.023). There were no significant group differences in any other brain region. There were no significant differences in DA transmission in any striatal region between converters and nonconverters, although this finding is limited by the small sample size (N = 2). There was a strong and negative correlation between ΔBPND in VST and severity of negative symptoms at baseline in the CHR group (r = -0.66, p < 0.01). We show abnormally increased DA availability in the VST in CHR and an inverse relationship with negative symptoms. Our results suggest a potential early role for mesolimbic dopamine overactivity in CHR. Longitudinal studies are needed to ascertain the significance of the differential topography observed here with the [18F]DOPA literature.

Thematic content of obsessive and compulsive symptoms and conversion to psychosis in a clinical high-risk cohort.

AIM: We sought to explore the complex phenomenological overlap between obsessive and compulsive symptoms (OCS), and attenuated positive symptoms among 156 young people at clinical high-risk (CHR) for psychosis. METHODS: In order to explore the hypothesis that OCS of an implausible nature might optimally predict future transition to syndromal psychosis, ideas associated with obsessive and compulsive experiences elicited by clinical measures were thematically categorized as "plausible" or "implausible." RESULTS: While OCS were found to be common in our CHR sample, we did not find that implausible OCS themes were predictive of conversion. CONCLUSION: Given the absence of qualitative differences between OCS and early psychotic symptoms, we propose that clinicians encountering adolescent or young adult patients with new-onset OCD or OCS in the past year should monitor such symptoms for a minimum of 2 years to assess for the possible emergence of psychosis.

Temporal relationship between onset of positive and negative symptoms in the course of attenuated psychotic illness.

Research in individuals at clinical high-risk (CHR) for psychosis has traditionally focused on the relationship between the severity of positive and negative symptoms and development of syndromal psychosis. In this study, we examined the temporal order of emergence of positive and negative symptoms in 116 CHR individuals who met criteria for the Attenuated Positive Symptom Syndrome defined in the Structured Interview for Psychosis-Risk Syndromes (SIPS). We found that positive symptoms emerged at a significantly younger age than negative symptoms with no significant differences between converters and non-converters. These findings may provide important information about the temporal phenomenology of CHR symptoms.

Dismemberment and Mutilation: A Data-Driven Exploration of Patterns, Motives, and Styles.

Classification of violent behavior, including dismemberment and mutilation, has become increasingly more significant. This study uses a data-driven classification system based upon knowledge drawn from the pertinent literature, and examination of cases of offenders who have dismembered or mutilated their victims. The latter were extracted from the Serial Killer Database, as well as media sources, and assessed for characteristics of the perpetrators and victim(s). An informational form was developed and used to establish quantitative parameters and objectively extract pertinent information that could be used for comparison and pattern analysis. Motives and styles, as well as the organized/disorganized dichotomy for murder and dismemberment/mutilation, were examined for each case. The majority of cases demonstrated defensive styles (60%), with the second most common being offensive styles (26%), which differs from previous studies that do not exclude older cases. Additionally, 68% of cases reflected organized patterns for both murder and the acts of dismemberment or mutilation. The results support a data-driven classification system that may serve as a foundational model for the investigation of specific motives of this type of deviant behavior in future research.

Deficits in Pre-attentive Processing of Spatial Location and Negative Symptoms in Subjects at Clinical High Risk for Schizophrenia.

Deficits in mismatch negativity (MMN) generation are among the best-established biomarkers for cognitive dysfunction in schizophrenia and predict conversion to schizophrenia (Sz) among individuals at symptomatic clinical high risk (CHR). Impairments in MMN index dysfunction at both subcortical and cortical components of the early auditory system. To date, the large majority of studies have been conducted using deviants that differ from preceding standards in either tonal frequency (pitch) or duration. By contrast, MMN to sound location deviation has been studied to only a limited degree in Sz and has not previously been examined in CHR populations. Here, we evaluated location MMN across Sz and CHR using an optimized, multi-deviant pattern that included a location-deviant, as defined using interaural time delay (ITD) stimuli along with pitch, duration, frequency modulation (FM) and intensity deviants in a sample of 42 Sz, 33 CHR and 28 healthy control (HC) subjects. In addition, we obtained resting state functional connectivity (rsfMRI) on CHR subjects. Sz showed impaired MMN performance across all deviant types, along with strong correlation between MMN deficits and impaired neurocognitive function. In this sample of largely non-converting CHR subjects, no deficits were observed in either pitch or duration MMN. By contrast, CHR subjects showed significant impairments in location MMN generation particularly over right hemisphere and significant correlation between impaired location MMN and negative symptoms including deterioration of role function. In addition, significant correlations were observed between location MMN and rsfMRI involving brainstem circuits. In general, location detection using ITD stimuli depends upon precise processing within midbrain regions and provides a rapid and robust reorientation of attention. Present findings reinforce the utility of MMN as a pre-attentive index of auditory cognitive dysfunction in Sz and suggest that location MMN may index brain circuits distinct from those indexed by other deviant types.

An imaging-based risk calculator for prediction of conversion to psychosis in clinical high-risk individuals using glutamate 1H MRS.

Risk calculators for prediction of conversion of Clinical High-Risk (CHR) individuals to syndromal psychosis have recently been developed and have generated considerable clinical use and research interest. Predictor variables in these calculators have been clinical rather than biological, and our goal was to incorporate a neurochemical imaging measure into this framework and assess its impact on prediction. We combined striatal glutamate 1H MRS data with the SIPS symptoms identified by the Columbia Risk Calculator as having the greatest predictive value in order to develop an imaging-based risk calculator for conversion to psychosis. We evaluated the calculator in 19 CHR individuals, 7 (36.84%) of whom converted to syndromal psychosis during the 2-year follow up. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the logistic model including only striatal glutamate and visual perceptual abnormalities showed an AUC = 0.869 (95% CI = [0.667, 1.000]) and AUCoa = 0.823, with sensitivity of 0.714, specificity of 0.917, positive predictive value of 0.833, and negative predictive value of 0.846. These results represent modest improvements over each of the individual ROC curves based on either striatal glutamate or visual perceptual abnormalities alone. The preliminary model building and evaluation presented here in a small CHR sample suggests that the approach of incorporating predictive imaging measures into risk classification is not only feasible but offers the potential of enhancing risk assessment.