RESUMO
Perceived temperature (PT), which encompasses meteorological factors such as wind speed, cloud cover, and humidity, reflects the actual effect of temperature on the human body. However, limited data exist on the health implications of prolonged exposure to low temperatures during winter in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the association between winter PT and long-term outcomes among CKD patients. A total of 32,870 CKD patients from three tertiary hospitals in Seoul were enrolled in this retrospective study (2001-2018). PT was calculated using Staiger's equation, integrating temperature data from 29 automated weather stations across Seoul, along with dew point temperature, wind velocity, and cloud cover data. Kriging interpolation was utilized to estimate PT values at the patients' locations. Overall mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were assessed using a time-varying Cox proportional hazards model. Additionally, the Cox regression model evaluated PT corresponding to temperature thresholds for cold surge watches or warnings. Over a median follow-up of 6.14 ± 3.96 years, 6147 deaths (18.7%) were recorded. We found that as the average or minimum PT and Ta decreased by 1 °C, the risk of overall mortality significantly increased. In multivariable analyses, the hazard ratio (HR) for the average PT was 1.049 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.028-1.071), and that for the minimum PT was 1.038 (CI 1.027-1.052). Furthermore, a cold surge warning at a PT of -25.63 °C indicated an HR of 1.837 (CI 1.764-1.914) and a C-index of 0.792. The increased risk of mortality was more pronounced in patients with low or middle socioeconomic statuses. For MACEs, lower average and minimum PT and Ta were associated with an increased risk, following a similar trend to overall mortality, although not all results reached statistical significance. These findings emphasize the importance of targeted public health policies to mitigate risks among vulnerable CKD patients.
RESUMO
The Advanced Meteorological Image (AMI) onboard GEOKOMPSAT 2A (GK-2A) enables the retrieval of dust aerosol optical depth (DAOD) from geostationary satellites using infrared (IR) channels. IR observations allow the retrieval of DAOD and the dust layer altitude (24 h) over surface properties, particularly over deserts. In this study, dust events in northeast Asia from 2020 to 2021 were investigated using five GK-2A thermal IR bands (8.7, 10.5, 11.4, 12.3, and 13.3 µm). For the dust cloud, the brightness temperature differences (BTDs) of 10.5 and 12.3 µm were consistently negative, while the BTD of 8.7 and 10.5 µm varied based on the dust intensity. This study exploited these optical properties to develop a physical approach for DAOD lookup tables (LUTs) using IR channels to retrieve the DAOD. To this end, the characteristics of thermal radiation transfer were simulated using the forward model; dust aerosols were explained by BTD (10.5, 12.3 µm)-an intrinsic characteristic of dust aerosol. The DAOD and dust properties were gained from a brightness temperature (BT) of 10.5 µm and BTD of 10.5, 12.3 µm. Additionally, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) was employed to strengthen the continuity of 24-h DAOD. The CDF was applied to the algorithm by calculating the conversion value coefficient for the DAOD error correction of the IR, with daytime visible aerosol optical depth as the true value. The results show that the DAOD product can be successfully applied during the daytime and nighttime to continuously monitor the flow of yellow dust from the GK-2A satellite in northeast Asia. In particular, the validation results for IR DAOD were similar to the active satellite product (CALIPSO/CALIOP) results, which exhibited a tendency similar to that for IR DAOD at night.
RESUMO
Health risks due to climate change are emerging, particularly from high-temperature exposure. The perceived temperature is an equivalent temperature based on the complete heat budget model of the human body. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of perceived temperature on overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. In total, 32,870 patients with chronic kidney disease in Seoul participated in this retrospective study (2001-2018) at three medical centers. The perceived temperature during the summer season was calculated using meteorological factors, including the air temperature near the automated weather station, dew point temperature, wind velocity, and total cloud amount. We assessed the association between perceived temperature using Kriging spatial interpolation and mortality in patients with CKD in the time-varying Cox proportional hazards model that was adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, estimated glomerular filtration rate, smoking, alcohol consumption, and educational level. During the 6.14 ± 3.96 years of follow-up, 3863 deaths were recorded. In multivariable analysis, the average level of perceived temperature and maximum level of perceived temperature demonstrated an increased risk of overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. The concordance index for mortality of perceived temperature was higher than temperature, discomfort index, and heat index. When stratified by age, diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, patients with chronic kidney disease with young age (age <65 years) showed higher hazard ratio for mortality (interaction P = 0.049). Moreover, the risk of death in the winter and spring seasons was more significant compared to that of the summer and autumn seasons. Therefore, long-term exposure to high perceived temperature during summer increases the risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease.