A Keynesian perspective on the health economics of kidney transplantation would strengthen the value of the whole organ donation and transplantation service.

Background: In this study, the Keynesian principle "savings may be used as investments in resources" is applied to Kidney Transplantation (KT), contextualizing the whole Organs Donation and Transplantation (ODT) service as a unique healthcare entity. Our aim was to define the financial resources that may be acquired in the form of savings from the KT activity. Methods: We analyzed registry and funding data for ODT in our region, between 2015 and 2019. Our hypotheses aimed to evaluate whether the savings would offset the Organ Donation (OD) costs, define the scope for growth, and estimate what savings could be generated by higher KT activity. To facilitate the evaluation of the resources produced by KT, we defined a coefficient generated from the combination of clinical outcomes, activity, and costs. Results: The ODT activity reached a peak in 2017, declining through 2018-2019. The savings matured in 2019 from the KT activity exceeded €15 million while the OD costs were less than €9 million. The regional KT activity was superior to the national average but inferior to international benchmarks. The estimated higher KT activity would produce savings between €16 and 20 million. Conclusion: The financial resources produced by KT contribute to defining a comprehensive perspective of ODT finance. The optimization of the funding process may lead to the financial self-sufficiency of the ODT service. The reproducible coefficient allows a reliable estimate of savings, subsequently enabling adequate investments and budgeting. Applying such a perspective jointly with reliable estimates would establish the basis for an in-hospital fee-for-value funding methodology for ODT.

High Prevalence of Severe Hepatic Fibrosis in Type 2 Diabetic Outpatients Screened for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a highly frequent condition in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), but the identification of subjects at higher risk of developing the more severe forms remains elusive in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to evaluate the occurrence and severity of liver fibrosis and its predictive factors in T2D outpatients without a known history of chronic liver disease by using recommended non-invasive methods. METHODS: Consecutive T2D outpatients underwent a set of measurements of clinical and laboratory parameters, FIB-4 score (Fibrosis-4 index), and liver stiffness with controlled attenuation-parameter (CAP) performed by transient elastography (FibroScan) after excluding previous causes of liver disease. RESULTS: Among the 205 T2D outpatients enrolled in the study (median age: 64 years, diabetes duration: 11 years, HbA1c: 7.4%, and BMI: 29.6 kg/m2), 54% had high ALT and/or AST levels, 15.6% had liver stiffness value > 10.1 kPa (severe fibrosis), 55.1% had CAP values > 290 dB/m (severe steatosis), and FIB-4 score was >2 in 11.2% of subjects (>2.67 in 15 subjects). Moreover, 49 (23.9%) T2D patients had clinically meaningful liver harm, with either a FIB-4 score > 2 and/or FibroScan > 10.1 kPa. At regression analysis, BMI, HbA1c, creatinine, and triglycerides values were independent predictors of liver fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: Liver fibrosis is a frequent finding in T2D outpatients without a known history of liver disease, especially in those with obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, worse glycemic control, and high creatinine levels.

Impact of Sex and Gender on Clinical Management of Patients with Advanced Chronic Liver Disease and Type 2 Diabetes.

Gender differences in the epidemiology, pathophysiological mechanisms and clinical features in chronic liver diseases that may be associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) have been increasingly reported in recent years. This sexual dimorphism is due to a complex interaction between sex- and gender-related factors, including biological, hormonal, psychological and socio-cultural variables. However, the impact of sex and gender on the management of T2D subjects with liver disease is still unclear. In this regard, sex-related differences deserve careful consideration in pharmacology, aimed at improving drug safety and optimising medical therapy, both in men and women with T2D; moreover, low adherence to and persistence of long-term drug treatment is more common among women. A better understanding of sex- and gender-related differences in this field would provide an opportunity for a tailored diagnostic and therapeutic approach to the management of T2D subjects with chronic liver disease. In this narrative review, we summarized available data on sex- and gender-related differences in chronic liver disease, including metabolic, autoimmune, alcoholic and virus-related forms and their potential evolution towards cirrhosis and/or hepatocarcinoma in T2D subjects, to support their appropriate and personalized clinical management.

Trends in chronic hepatitis B virus infection in Italy over a 10-year period: Clues from the nationwide PITER and MASTER cohorts toward elimination.

OBJECTIVES: The study measures trends in the profile of patients with chronic hepatitis B virus linked to care in Italy. METHODS: A cross-sectional, multicenter, observational cohort (PITER cohort) of consecutive patients with hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) over the period 2019-2021 from 46 centers was evaluated. The reference was the MASTER cohort collected over the years 2012-2015. Standard statistical methods were used. RESULTS: The PITER cohort enrolled 4583 patients, of whom 21.8% were non-Italian natives. Compared with those in MASTER, the patients were older and more often female. The prevalence of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) declined (7.2% vs 12.3; P <0.0001) and that of anti-hepatitis D virus (HDV) remained stable (9.3% vs 8.3%). In both cohorts, about 25% of the patients had cirrhosis, and those in the PITER cohort were older. HBeAg-positive was 5.0% vs 12.6% (P <0.0001) and anti-HDV positive 24.8% vs 17.5% (P <0.0017). In the logistic model, the variables associated with cirrhosis were anti-HDV-positive (odds ratio = 10.08; confidence interval 7.63-13.43), age, sex, and body mass index; the likelihood of cirrhosis was reduced by 40% in the PITER cohort. Among non-Italians, 12.3% were HBeAg-positive (vs 23.4% in the MASTER cohort; P <0.0001), and 12.3% were anti-HDV-positive (vs 11.1%). Overall, the adherence to the European Association for the Study of the Liver recommendations for antiviral treatment increased over time. CONCLUSION: Chronic hepatitis B virus infection appears to be in the process of becoming under control in Italy; however, HDV infection is still a health concern in patients with cirrhosis and in migrants.

Assessing Genomic Mutations in SARS-CoV-2: Potential Resistance to Antiviral Drugs in Viral Populations from Untreated COVID-19 Patients.

Naturally occurring SARS-CoV-2 variants mutated in genomic regions targeted by antiviral drugs have not been extensively studied. This study investigated the potential of the RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp) complex subunits and non-structural protein (Nsp)5 of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) to accumulate natural mutations that could affect the efficacy of antiviral drugs. To this aim, SARS-CoV-2 genomic sequences isolated from 4155 drug-naive individuals from southern Italy were analyzed using the Illumina MiSeq platform. Sequencing of the 4155 samples showed the following viral variant distribution: 71.2% Delta, 22.2% Omicron, and 6.4% Alpha. In the Nsp12 sequences, we found 84 amino acid substitutions. The most common one was P323L, detected in 3777/4155 (91%) samples, with 2906/3777 (69.9%) also showing the G671S substitution in combination. Additionally, we identified 28, 14, and 24 different amino acid substitutions in the Nsp5, Nsp7, and Nsp8 genomic regions, respectively. Of note, the V186F and A191V substitutions, affecting residues adjacent to the active site of Nsp5 (the target of the antiviral drug Paxlovid), were found in 157/4155 (3.8%) and 3/4155 (0.07%) samples, respectively. In conclusion, the RdRp complex subunits and the Nsp5 genomic region exhibit susceptibility to accumulating natural mutations. This susceptibility poses a potential risk to the efficacy of antiviral drugs, as these mutations may compromise the drug ability to inhibit viral replication.

Health economics aspects of kidney transplantation in Sicily: a benchmark analysis on activity and estimated savings.

Background: International and national registries consistently report substantial differences in kidney transplant (KT) activity despite demonstrable clinical and financial benefits. The study aims to estimate the financial resources gained by KT and produce a benchmark analysis that would inform adequate strategies for the growth of the service. Methods: We analyzed the KT activity in our region between 2017 and 2019. The benchmark analysis was conducted with programs identified from national and international registries. The estimate of financial resources was obtained by applying the kidney transplant coefficient of value; subsequently, we compared the different activity levels and savings generated by the three KT programs. Findings: The KT activity in the region progressively declined in the study years, producing a parallel reduction of the estimated savings. Such savings were substantially inferior when compared to those generated by benchmark programs (range €18-22 million less). Interpretation: The factors influencing the reduced KT activity in the study period with the related "foregone savings" are multiple, as well as interdependent. Organ donation, access to the transplant waiting list, and KT from living donors appear to be the most prominent determinants of the observed different levels of activities. International experience suggests that a comprehensive strategy in the form of a "task force" may successfully address the critical areas of the service reversing the observed trend. The financial impact of a progressively reduced KT activity may be as critical as its clinical implications, jeopardizing the actual sustainability of services for patients with end-stage kidney disease.

Hypergammaglobulinemia before Starting DAA Therapy Is A Strong Predictor of Disease Progression in Cirrhotic Patients Even after HCV Clearance.

The predictive factors of long-term clinical benefits in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)­related liver cirrhosis after Direct Antiviral Agents (DAA) treatment are still undefined. The aim of this study was to identify any predictors of liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and/or death in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis who achieved the sustained virological response (SVR). To this purpose, 324 consecutive cirrhotic patients who started DAA treatment from 1 April 2015 to 31 December 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were followed up for a median time of 63 months (range 19−77) through clinical/biochemical/instrumental examinations performed at baseline and after stopping the DAA treatment. At the end of the evaluation, 230 (71%) individuals showed stable clinical liver disease over time, 43 (13.3%) developed HCC, and 24 (7.4%) developed hepatic decompensation without HCC. Overall, 49 (15,1%) patients died. Multivariate regression analysis showed that hepatic decompensation was significantly associated with at baseline older age, higher liver stiffness, higher spleen longitudinal size values and hypergammaglobulinemia (p = 0.003, p = 0.005, p = 0.001, p = 0.029, respectively). HCC development was significantly associated with hypergammaglobulinemia (p < 0.001). Death was associated with older age and hypergammaglobulinemia (p < 0.001 and p = 0.007, respectively). Finally, survival analysis confirmed that patients with gamma globulin levels ≥ 1.8 gr/dl had a significantly higher risk of death compared to those with gamma globulin levels < 1.8 gr/dl (p < 0.001). In conclusion, hypergammaglobulinemia before starting DAA therapy represents a strong predictor of hepatic decompensation, HCC and death in cirrhotic patients even after HCV clearance.

RESIST-HCV Criteria to Monitor Progression of Low-Risk Esophageal Varices in Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis After HCV Eradication: The SIMPLE Study: SIMPLE: Scoring Index to Monitor Progression of Low-risk Esophageal varices.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive criteria to predict the progression of low-risk esophageal varices (EV) in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis after sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are lacking. Our aim was to assess the diagnostic performance of Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-HCV (RESIST-HCV) criteria for EV progression compared with elastography-based criteria (Baveno VI, Expanded Baveno VI, and Baveno VII-HCV criteria). METHODS: All consecutive patients observed at 3 referral centers with compensated HCV cirrhosis with or without F1 EV who achieved sustained virological response by DAAs were classified at last esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGDS) as RESIST-HCV low risk (i.e., low probability of high-risk varices [HRV]) if platelets were >120 × 10 9 /L and serum albumin >3.6 g/dL or RESIST-HCV high risk (i.e., high probability of HRV) if platelets were <120 × 10 9 /L or serum albumin <3.6 g/dL. The primary outcome was the progression to HRV. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and decision curve analysis of noninvasive criteria were calculated. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 353 patients in Child-Pugh class A (mean age 67.2 years, 53.8% males). During a mean follow-up of 44.2 months, 34 patients (9.6%, 95% CI 6.7%-13.5%) developed HRV. At the last EGDS, 178 patients (50.4%) were RESIST-low risk, and 175 (49.6%) were RESIST-high risk. RESIST-HCV criteria showed the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.65-0.75), correctly sparing the highest number of EGDS (54.3%), with the lowest false-positive rate (45.7%), compared with elastography-based criteria. Decision curve analysis showed that RESIST-HCV had higher clinical utility than elastography-based criteria. DISCUSSION: Biochemical-based RESIST-HCV criteria are useful to easily predict HRV development after HCV eradication by DAAs in patients with compensated cirrhosis and low-risk EV.

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and Early Mortality Rate in COVID-19 Patients: Association with IL-6 Serum Levels and Respiratory Distress.

Background and objectives: COVID-19 is associated with an aberrant inflammatory response that may trigger new-onset cardiac arrhythmias. The aim of this study was to assess the mortality risk in hospitalized COVID-19 patients according to IL-6 serum levels and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) according to PaO2/FiO2 stratification. Materials and Methods: 175 COVID-19 patients (25 new-onset AF, 22 other types of AF and 128 no-AF) were included in this single-center, retrospective study; clinical and demographic data, vital signs, electrocardiograms and laboratory results were collected and analyzed. The primary outcome of the study was to evaluate the mortality rate in new-onset AF patients according to IL-6 serum levels and PaO2/FiO2 stratification. Results: The incidence of new-onset AF in the study population was 14.2%. Compared to the no-AF group, new-onset AF patients were older with a positive history of chronic kidney disease and heart failure, had higher IL-6, creatinine and urea serum levels whereas their platelet count was reduced. After PaO2/FiO2 stratification, 5-days mortality rate was higher in new-onset AF patients compared to patients with other types of AF and no-AF patients, and mortality risk increases 5.3 fold compared to no-AF (p = 0.0014) and 4.8 fold compared to other forms of AF (p = 0.03). Conclusions: New-onset AF is common in COVID-19 patients and is associated with increased IL-6 serum levels and early mortality. Further studies are needed to support the use of IL-6 as an early molecular target for COVID-19 patients to reduce their high rate of mortality.

Antibody to hepatitis B virus core antigen positivity is a predictor of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease severity.

Insufficient information is available about co-factors favoring the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) toward cirrhosis. We aimed to evaluate the impact of a limited alcohol intake and of occult hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (OBI) on the severity of NAFLD. Three-hundred-seventy-four alcohol non-abusers and HBV surface antigen negative NAFLD patients (223 males; mean age 55.4 years), consecutively admitted to the outpatients clinic of a referral liver unit from January 1st, 2018 to December 31st, 2019, were studied. Anti-HBV core antigen antibody [(anti-HBc), a surrogate marker of OBI] was assessed in all patients. Patients were distinguished between teetotal and moderate alcohol consumers (intake of less than 30 g and 20 g if males or females, respectively). Liver fibrosis was non-invasively assessed by FIB-4 and transient elastography. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of advanced fibrosis. Patients had a mean BMI of 28.5 kg/m2, and the majority presented metabolic and cardio-vascular comorbidities [258 patients (69%) had insulin resistance/diabetes, 249 (66.6%) dyslipidemia, 200 (53.5%) arterial hypertension]. Multivariate analysis showed that anti-HBc positivity (p = 0.046, OR 2.153) was a factor associated with advanced fibrosis at FIB-4 score testing, whereas moderate alcohol intake was not associated with severe NAFLD both at FIB-4 and transient elastography evaluations. The study showed that a moderate alcohol intake has no impact on NAFLD severity and suggested that OBI might negatively affect the NAFLD outcome.

Cirrhotic Patients with Bacterial Infection and Negative Cultures Have a More Advanced Disease and an Increased Short-Term Mortality Rate.

BACKGROUND: The negative clinical impact of bacterial infections (BI) in patients with cirrhosis is well documented. In cirrhotic patients, failure to isolate the pathogen is a frequent event, occurring in 30-40% of cases. AIM: The aim of this study was to compare the clinical characteristics, early (30-day) and short-term (90-day) mortality rates, in a cohort of cirrhotic patients with BI, between those with positive (C-pos) and those with negative (C-neg) microbiological cultures. METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled 279 consecutive hospitalized cirrhotic patients with BI. Survival and predictors of 30-day and 90-day mortality were assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves and logistic regression analysis, respectively. RESULTS: Cultures tested negative in 108/279 (38.7%) patients. C-neg patients were more frequently males (p = 0.035), had higher Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CPT; p = 0.007) and model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na; p = 0.043) scores, and had more frequently decompensated liver disease (p = 0.04). Mortality rate was higher in C-neg than in C-pos patients, both at 30 days (22.2% versus 11.7%, p = 0.024) and 90 days (46.3% versus 33.3%, p = 0.030). MELD-Na score and non-selective beta-blockers (NSBBs) were independent risk factors for 30-day and 90-day mortality. In particular, the use of NSBBs was independently associated with a lower 30-day and 90-day mortality risk (OR 0.41, CI95% 0.17-0.94, p = 0.040; and OR 0.43, CI95% 0.25-0.75, p = 0.003, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Cirrhotic patients with BI and negative microbiological cultures have significantly higher mortality compared to those with positive cultures. Early mortality and short-term mortality are mainly influenced by the underlying severity of liver disease. In this contest, therapy with NSBBs has a positive impact on short-term survival.

Prevalence of hepatitis B and C viral infections in hospitalized patients with increased liver enzyme levels and with no known history of hepatic disease.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Identification of asymptomatic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) carriers is fundamental to reach the World Health Organization objective to eradicate viral hepatitis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the HBV and HCV prevalence among patients hospitalized for a non-liver-related disease but showing increased liver enzyme values. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All consecutive patients without history of hepatic disease but showing increased amino-transferase and/or gamma-glutamil-transpeptidase levels at admission to the Internal Medicine and Surgery divisions of the Messina University Hospital from 1st January to 31st December 2019 ("study group") were tested for HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) and anti-HCV antibody. Analogously, HBsAg and anti-HCV were tested for in all the individuals with normal liver enzyme values consecutively admitted from October 1st to December 31st, 2019 ("control group"). RESULTS: Of the 332 "study group" patients, 13 (3.9%) were anti-HCV positive versus 5/306 (1.6%) patients of the "control group" (p=0.008). HCV RNA was detected in 11/13 and in 0/5 anti-HCV patients of the "study group" and "control group", respectively (p=0.001). HBsAg was detected in 5 (1.5%) "study group" patients and in none of the "control group" (p=0.03). Prevalence of diabetes, arterial hypertension, and dyslipidaemia was comparable between the two groups, whereas 75/332 (22.3%) patients of the "study group" and 34/306 (11.1%) patients of the "control group" drank > 2 alcohol units/day (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Testing HBsAg and anti-HCV in subjects showing increased liver enzyme values may represent an efficacious tool to identify asymptomatic carriers of hepatitis virus infections.

Liver and cardiovascular mortality after hepatitis C virus eradication by DAA: Data from RESIST-HCV cohort.

Real-world evidence on the course of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) chronic liver disease after Sustained Virologic Response (SVR) obtained with direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs) are still limited, and the effects on mortality remain unclear. We evaluated the post-treatment survival of 4307 patients in the RESIST-HCV cohort (mean age 66.3 ± 11.6 years, 56.9% males, 24.7% chronic hepatitis, 66.9% Child-Pugh A cirrhosis and 8.4% Child-Pugh B cirrhosis) treated with DAAs between March 2015 and December 2016 and followed for a median of 73 weeks (range 16-152). Proportional cause-specific hazard regression for competing risks was used to evaluate the survival and to assess the predictors of liver and cardiovascular death. Overall, 94.7% of patients achieved SVR while 5.3% were HCV RNA-positive at last follow-up. Sixty-three patients (1.4%) died during the observation period. SVR was associated with a decreased risk of liver mortality (hazard ratio,HR0.09, beta -2.37, p < .001). Also, platelet count (HR 0.99, beta-0.01, p = .007) and albumin value (HR 0.26, beta -1.36 p = .001) were associated with liver mortality by competing risk analysis. SVR was associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular mortality regardless of presence of cirrhosis (HR 0.07, beta-2.67, p < .001). Presence of diabetes (HR 3.45, beta 1.24, p = .014) and chronic kidney disease class ≥3 (HR 3.60, beta 1.28, p = 0.016) were two factors independently associated with higher risk of cardiovascular mortality. Patients with SVR to a DAA therapy have a better liver and cardiovascular survival, and the effects of HCV eradication are most evident in patients with compensated liver disease.

Over time evaluation of glycaemic control in direct-acting antiviral-treated hepatitis C virus/diabetic individuals with chronic hepatitis or with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Data concerning the impact of hepatitis C virus (HCV) cure on type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are controversial. The aim of the study was to evaluate the effects of anti-HCV direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments on long-term glucose control in HCV/T2DM patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) or with cirrhosis. METHODS: One hundred and eighty-two consecutive HCV/T2DM patients who achieved a viral clearance by DAA treatment were enrolled. Seventy or 182 of them had CHC, and 112 had cirrhosis. Clinical, biochemical and instrumental parameters were recorded at baseline and at 48, 96 and 120 weeks (48w, 96w and 120w, respectively) after stopping DAA therapy. RESULTS: At baseline, the overall study population had a mean of glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) value of 7.2% (ranging from 5 to 11.2), without any significant differences between CHC and cirrhosis [7.1 and 7.2, respectively]. Evaluation over time of HbA1c variations showed a significant improvement of glucose control at all post-treatment time points compared with baseline in CHC patients (P = .001). In cirrhotic patients, a significant decrease of HbA1c levels was only found when comparing HbA1c values between baseline and 48w time-point (P = .001), whereas this improvement disappeared at both 98w and 120w (P = .8 and P = .3, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that patients with chronic hepatitis have a 2.5 (CI 1.066-5.945) times greater chance of achieving an improvement of glycaemic values than patients with liver cirrhosis (P = .035). CONCLUSION: DAA-based HCV cure induces a significant and persistent amelioration of glycaemic control in HCV/diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis, whereas cirrhotic HCV/diabetic subjects have only a transient benefit from the virus elimination.

Rate of hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis in cirrhotic patients with ultrasound-detected liver nodules.

Ultrasound (US) detection of liver nodules in cirrhotic patients requires further radiological examinations and often a follow-up with repeated short-term evaluations to verify the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Aims of the study were to assess the rate of HCC diagnosis and to identify HCC predictors in a cohort of cirrhotics followed-up after US detection of the liver nodule(s). One-hundred-eighty-eight consecutive cirrhotic patients (124 males, mean age 64.2 years) with liver nodule(s) detected by US were enrolled. All patients underwent second-level imaging [computed tomography (TC) or magnetic resonance (MR)], and those without a definite diagnosis of HCC were followed-up with TC and/or RM repeated every 3-6 months up to 18 months if HCC was not diagnosed. After 18 months, non-HCC patients came back to routine US surveillance. HCC was diagnosed in 73/188 cases (38.8%). In 66/73 patients (90.4%) HCC was identified at first radiological evaluation after US, while in the remaining seven subjects it was diagnosed at the subsequent imaging examination. Age (p = 0.001) and nodule dimension (p = 0.0001) were independent predictors of HCC at multivariate analysis. Fourty-nine/188 patients were lost at follow up after 18 months. Twenty/139 remaining patients developed HCC and 3/139 cholangiocarcinoma; 77 died between 3 and 110 months from the beginning of the study (61 for end-stage liver disease, 8 for extrahepatic causes, eight for unknown causes). Patients who developed liver cancer earlier during the follow up had the shortest overall survival. US-detected liver nodules are not neoplastic in more than half of cirrhotic patients. A definite diagnosis may be obtained at the time of the first radiologic evaluation after US in the vast majority of the cases. Patients in whom nodules are found not to be tumoral may return to the US surveillance program routinely applied to all cirrhotics.

Outcome of cutaneous psoriasis in hepatitis C virus-infected patients treated with Direct-Acting Antiviral therapy.

Apart from chronic liver disease, hepatitis C virus (HCV) may be responsible for several extra-hepatic manifestations. Its involvement in psoriasis development is still controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate the possible effect of anti-HCV direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment on cutaneous psoriasis. Thirty-seven consecutive HCV patients with cutaneous psoriasis underwent efficacious DAA treatment, and all of them were efficiently cured as shown by HCV RNA negativity 24 weeks after stopping therapy (PT24W). An expert dermatologist evaluated the skin lesions at baseline, end of treatment (EOT) and PT24W using the psoriasis area severity index (PASI) scoring system. The impact on quality of life was measured with the Dermatologic Quality of Life Index (DLQI). Six patients had a stable disease throughout the study period, whereas 31/37 patients (83.8%) showed a significant improvement of the skin lesions at EOT (P < .0001). However, 24 of these 31 patients (77.4%) had a dramatic worsening of the psoriatic lesions at PT24W compared with EOT (P < .001), with lesion severity comparable to baseline. The outcome of psoriasis during and after treatment was independent of baseline PASI score, age, sex, HCV genotype, liver disease stage and of the presence of arterial hypertension, diabetes and autoimmune diseases. In conclusion, DAA-based HCV cure has only a transient effect on skin lesions of patients with concomitant cutaneous psoriasis.

Is Transient Elastography Needed for Noninvasive Assessment of High-Risk Varices? The REAL Experience.

INTRODUCTION: The Baveno VI consensus guidelines and an expanded algorithm suggest that transient elastography (TE) and platelet (PLT) count can be used to identify patients with cirrhosis who can avoid esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). The primary aims of this study were to assess the ability of a simple algorithm, which uses only laboratory parameters, to predict medium/large esophageal varices (EV) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and cirrhosis from the Rete Sicilia Selezione Terapia-HCV (RESIST-HCV) cohort and to compare the performance of the algorithm with Baveno VI and Expanded Baveno VI criteria. The secondary aim was to assess the role of TE in ruling out large EV. METHODS: In total, 1,381 patients with HCV-associated cirrhosis who had EGD and TE within 1 year of starting treatment with direct-acting antivirals were evaluated. Using multivariate logistic analysis, laboratory variables were selected to determine which were independently associated with medium/large EV to create the RESIST-HCV criteria. These criteria were tested in a training cohort with patients from a single center (Palermo) and validated with patients from the 21 other centers of the RESIST-HCV program (validation cohort). RESULTS: In the entire cohort, medium/large EV were identified in 5 of 216 patients (2.3%) using the Baveno VI criteria and 13 of 497 patients (2.6%) using the Expanded Baveno VI criteria. PLT count and albumin level were independently associated with medium/large EV. The best cut-off values were a PLT count greater than 120 × 10 cells/µL and serum albumin level greater than 3.6 g/dL; negative predictive values (NPVs) were 97.2% and 94.7%, respectively. In the training cohort of 326 patients, 119 (36.5%) met the RESIST-HCV criteria and the NPV was 99.2%. Among 1,055 patients in the validation cohort, 315 (30%) met the RESIST-HCV criteria and the NPV was 98.1%. Adding TE to the RESIST-HCV criteria reduced the avoided EGDs for approximately 25% of patients and the NPV was 98.2%. DISCUSSION: The "easy-to-use" RESIST-HCV algorithm avoids EGD for high-risk EV screening for more than 30% of patients and has the same performance criteria as TE. Using these criteria simplifies the diagnosis of portal hypertension.

Direct-acting antivirals after successful treatment of early hepatocellular carcinoma improve survival in HCV-cirrhotic patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The effectiveness of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) against hepatitis C virus (HCV), following successful treatment of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), has been studied extensively. However, the benefit in terms of overall survival (OS) remains to be conclusively demonstrated. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of DAAs on OS, HCC recurrence, and hepatic decompensation. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 163 consecutive patients with HCV-related cirrhosis and a first diagnosis of early Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A HCC, who had achieved a complete radiologic response after curative resection or ablation and were subsequently treated with DAAs. DAA-untreated patients from the ITA.LI.CA. cohort (n = 328) served as controls. After propensity score matching, outcomes of 102 DAA-treated (DAA group) and 102 DAA-untreated patients (No DAA group) were compared. RESULTS: In the DAA group, 7/102 patients (6.9%) died, HCC recurred in 28/102 patients (27.5%) and hepatic decompensation occurred in 6/102 patients (5.9%), after a mean follow-up of 21.4 months. OS was significantly higher in the DAA group compared to the No DAA group (hazard ratio [HR] 0.39; 95% CI0.17-0.91; p = 0.03). HCC recurrence was not significantly different between the DAA and No DAA groups (HR0.70; 95% CI0.44-1.13; p = 0.15). A significant reduction in the rate of hepatic decompensation was observed in the DAA group compared with the No DAA group (HR0.32; 95% CI0.13-0.84; p = 0.02). In the DAA group, sustained virologic response was a significant predictor of OS (HR 0.02; 95% CI 0.00-0.19; p <0.001), HCC recurrence (HR 0.25; 95% CI 0.11-0.57; p <0.001) and hepatic decompensation (HR 0.12; 95% CI 0.02-0.38; p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis who had been successfully treated for early HCC, DAAs significantly improved OS compared with No DAA treatment. LAY SUMMARY: We aimed to determine whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) significantly improve overall survival in patients with hepatitis C virus-related compensated cirrhosis and a first diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) which has been successfully treated with curative resection or ablation. Using propensity-score matched patients, we found that DAAs improved overall survival and reduced the risk of hepatic decompensation. However, the risk of HCC recurrence was not significantly reduced.

Behaviour of occult HBV infection in HCV-infected patients under treatment with direct-acting antivirals.

BACKGROUND: There is controversial data on possible occult HBV reactivation in HCV patients successfully treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAA). However, diagnosis of occult HBV infection (OBI) was not performed by gold standard procedures in any study. METHODS: By using several highly sensitive assays, we examined serially collected serum samples from 40 HBV-surface-negative DAA-treated HCV patients with OBI identified by testing liver biopsy specimens through nested-PCR technique. Serum samples were obtained at four time points from each patient (at baseline, at 4 weeks after starting, at the end and 12 weeks after stopping therapy) and tested for HBV DNA by nested-PCR and real-time PCR techniques. RESULTS: All tested serum samples were negative by both quantitative HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) and HBV core-related antigen assays. 26/40 patients were anti-HBs-positive and in all of them, the amount of this antibody was stable at the four time points evaluated. Serum HBV DNA was detected in 10 samples at baseline, in 6 samples 4 weeks after starting therapy, in 11 samples at the end of therapy and in 21 samples 12 weeks after stopping treatment (P=0.001). Aminotransferase values dropped within the normal levels at week 4 of therapy and persisted normal over time in all cases. CONCLUSIONS: A slight increase in the amount of HBV DNA 3 months after stopping DAA therapy was the only parameter showing a possible reappearance of HBV activity in OBI patients cured for a concomitant HCV infection, but it was insufficient to lead toward a virological reactivation capable of inducing liver injury.