Lipid-Encapsulated mRNAs Encoding Complex Fusion Proteins Potentiate Antitumor Immune Responses.

Lipid nanoparticle (LNP)-encapsulated mRNA has been used for in vivo production of several secreted protein classes, such as IgG, and has enabled the development of personalized vaccines in oncology. Establishing the feasibility of delivering complex multispecific modalities that require higher-order structures important for their function could help expand the use of mRNA/LNP biologic formulations. Here, we evaluated whether in vivo administration of mRNA/LNP formulations of SIRPα-Fc-CD40L and TIGIT-Fc-LIGHT could achieve oligomerization and extend exposure, on-target activity, and antitumor responses comparable with that of the corresponding recombinant fusion proteins. Intravenous infusion of the formulated LNP-encapsulated mRNAs led to rapid and sustained production of functional hexameric proteins in vivo, which increased the overall exposure relative to the recombinant protein controls by ∼28 to 140 fold over 96 hours. High concentrations of the mRNA-encoded proteins were also observed in secondary lymphoid organs and within implanted tumors, with protein concentrations in tumors up to 134-fold greater than with the recombinant protein controls 24 hours after treatment. In addition, SIRPα-Fc-CD40L and TIGIT-Fc-LIGHT mRNAs induced a greater increase in antigen-specific CD8+ T cells in the tumors. These mRNA/LNP formulations were well tolerated and led to a rapid increase in serum and intratumoral IL2, delayed tumor growth, extended survival, and outperformed the activities of benchmark mAb controls. Furthermore, the mRNA/LNPs demonstrated improved efficacy in combination with anti-PD-L1 relative to the recombinant fusion proteins. These data support the delivery of complex oligomeric biologics as mRNA/LNP formulations, where high therapeutic expression and exposure could translate into improved patient outcomes. SIGNIFICANCE: Lipid nanoparticle-encapsulated mRNA can efficiently encode complex fusion proteins encompassing immune checkpoint blockers and costimulators that functionally oligomerize in vivo with extended pharmacokinetics and durable exposure to induce potent antitumor immunity.

Impact of Disease-Associated Mutations on the Deaminase Activity of ADAR1.

The innate immune system relies on molecular sensors to detect distinctive molecular patterns, including viral double-stranded RNA (dsRNA), which triggers responses resulting in apoptosis and immune infiltration. Adenosine Deaminases Acting on RNA (ADARs) catalyze the deamination of adenosine (A) to inosine (I), serving as a mechanism to distinguish self from non-self RNA and prevent aberrant immune activation. Loss-of-function mutations in the ADAR1 gene are one cause of Aicardi Goutières Syndrome (AGS), a severe autoimmune disorder in children. Although seven out of the eight AGS-associated mutations in ADAR1 occur within the catalytic domain of the ADAR1 protein, their specific effects on the catalysis of adenosine deamination remain poorly understood. In this study, we carried out a biochemical investigation of four AGS-causing mutations (G1007R, R892H, K999N, and Y1112F) in ADAR1 p110 and truncated variants. These studies included adenosine deamination rate measurements with two different RNA substrates derived from human transcripts known to be edited by ADAR1 p110 (glioma-associated oncogene homologue 1 (hGli1), 5-hydroxytryptamine receptor 2C (5-HT2cR)). Our results indicate that AGS-associated mutations at two amino acid positions directly involved in stabilizing the base-flipped conformation of the ADAR-RNA complex (G1007R and R892H) had the most detrimental impact on catalysis. The K999N mutation, positioned near the RNA binding interface, altered catalysis contextually. Finally, the Y1112F mutation had small effects in each of the assays described here. These findings shed light on the differential effects of disease-associated mutations on adenosine deamination by ADAR1, thereby advancing our structural and functional understanding of ADAR1-mediated RNA editing.

Colchicine for the Prevention of Recurrent Arrhythmia After Catheter Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation: Results of a Single-Center, Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: There is evidence to suggest that colchicine reduces the risk of recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation; however, the tolerability and safety of colchicine in routine practice is unknown. METHODS: Patients undergoing catheter ablation for AF who received colchicine after ablation were matched 1:1 to patients who did not by age, sex, and renal function. Recurrent AF was compared between groups categorically at 12 months and via propensity weighted Cox proportional hazards models with and without a 3-month blanking period. RESULTS: Overall, 180 patients (n = 90 colchicine and n = 90 matched controls) were followed for a median (Q1, Q3) of 10.3 (7.0, 12.0) months. Mean age was 65.3 ± 9.1 years, 33.9% were women, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 2.9 ± 1.5, and 51.1% had persistent AF. Most patients (70%) received colchicine 0.6 mg daily for a median of 30 days. In the colchicine group, 55 patients (61.1%) were receiving at least one known interacting medication with colchicine. After ablation, one patient required colchicine dose reduction and four patients required discontinuation. After adjusting for covariate imbalance using propensity weighting, no significant association between colchicine use and AF recurrence was identified (adjusted hazard ratio 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48-1.85; p = 0.853). No significant association was found between colchicine use and all-cause hospitalizations (adjusted odds ratio 0.74, 95% CI 0.28-1.96; p = 0.548). CONCLUSION: Despite the frequent presence of drug-drug interactions, a 30-day course of colchicine is well-tolerated after AF ablation; however, we did not observe any association between colchicine and lower rates of AF recurrence or hospitalization.

Metabolic engineering to improve production of 3-hydroxypropionic acid from corn-stover hydrolysate in Aspergillus species.

BACKGROUND: Fuels and chemicals derived from non-fossil sources are needed to lessen human impacts on the environment while providing a healthy and growing economy. 3-hydroxypropionic acid (3-HP) is an important chemical building block that can be used for many products. Biosynthesis of 3-HP is possible; however, low production is typically observed in those natural systems. Biosynthetic pathways have been designed to produce 3-HP from a variety of feedstocks in different microorganisms. RESULTS: In this study, the 3-HP ß-alanine pathway consisting of aspartate decarboxylase, ß-alanine-pyruvate aminotransferase, and 3-hydroxypropionate dehydrogenase from selected microorganisms were codon optimized for Aspergillus species and placed under the control of constitutive promoters. The pathway was introduced into Aspergillus pseudoterreus and subsequently into Aspergillus niger, and 3-HP production was assessed in both hosts. A. niger produced higher initial 3-HP yields and fewer co-product contaminants and was selected as a suitable host for further engineering. Proteomic and metabolomic analysis of both Aspergillus species during 3-HP production identified genetic targets for improvement of flux toward 3-HP including pyruvate carboxylase, aspartate aminotransferase, malonate semialdehyde dehydrogenase, succinate semialdehyde dehydrogenase, oxaloacetate hydrolase, and a 3-HP transporter. Overexpression of pyruvate carboxylase improved yield in shake-flasks from 0.09 to 0.12 C-mol 3-HP C-mol-1 glucose in the base strain expressing 12 copies of the ß-alanine pathway. Deletion or overexpression of individual target genes in the pyruvate carboxylase overexpression strain improved yield to 0.22 C-mol 3-HP C-mol-1 glucose after deletion of the major malonate semialdehyde dehydrogenase. Further incorporation of additional ß-alanine pathway genes and optimization of culture conditions (sugars, temperature, nitrogen, phosphate, trace elements) for 3-HP production from deacetylated and mechanically refined corn stover hydrolysate improved yield to 0.48 C-mol 3-HP C-mol-1 sugars and resulted in a final titer of 36.0 g/L 3-HP. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study establish A. niger as a host for 3-HP production from a lignocellulosic feedstock in acidic conditions and demonstrates that 3-HP titer and yield can be improved by a broad metabolic engineering strategy involving identification and modification of genes participated in the synthesis of 3-HP and its precursors, degradation of intermediates, and transport of 3-HP across the plasma membrane.

Substance Use Among Persons with Syphilis During Pregnancy - Arizona and Georgia, 2018-2021.

Despite universal prenatal syphilis screening recommendations and availability of effective antibiotic treatment, syphilis prevalence during pregnancy and the incidence of congenital syphilis have continued to increase in the United States (1,2). Concurrent increases in methamphetamine, injection drug, and heroin use have been described in women with syphilis (3). CDC used data on births that occurred during January 1, 2018-December 31, 2021, from two states (Arizona and Georgia) that participate in the Surveillance for Emerging Threats to Pregnant People and Infants Network (SET-NET) to describe the prevalence of substance use among pregnant persons with syphilis by congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (defined as delivery of a stillborn or live-born infant meeting the surveillance case definition for probable or confirmed congenital syphilis). The prevalence of substance use (e.g., tobacco, alcohol, cannabis, illicit use of opioids, and other illicit, nonprescription substances) in persons with a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (48.1%) was nearly double that among those with a noncongenital syphilis pregnancy outcome (24.6%). Persons with a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome were six times as likely to report illicit use of opioids and four times as likely to report using other illicit, nonprescription substances during pregnancy than were persons with a noncongenital syphilis pregnancy outcome. Approximately one half of persons who used substances during pregnancy and had a congenital syphilis pregnancy outcome had late or no prenatal care. Tailored interventions should address barriers and facilitators to accessing screening and treatment for syphilis among persons who use substances. The need for syphilis screening and treatment should be addressed at any health care encounter during pregnancy, especially among persons who use substances.

Integrating peer support services into primary care-based OUD treatment: Lessons from the Penn integrated model.

Opioid use disorder (OUD) is a major public health emergency in the United States. In 2020, 2.7 million individuals had an OUD. Medication for opioid use disorder is the evidence-based, standard of care for treating OUD in outpatient settings, especially buprenorphine because it is effective and has low toxicity. Buprenorphine is increasingly prescribed in primary care, a setting that provides greater anonymity and convenience than substance use disorder treatment centers. Yet two-thirds of people who begin buprenorphine treatment discontinue within the first six months. Treatment dropout elevates the risks of return to use, infections, higher levels of medical care and related costs, justice system involvement, and death. One promising form of retention support is peer service programs. Peers combine their lived experience of substance use and recovery with formal training to help patients engage and persist in OUD treatment. They provide a range of services, including health education, encouragement and empathy, coping skills, recovery modeling, and concrete assistance in overcoming the situational barriers to retention. However, guidance is needed to define the peer role in primary care, the specific tasks peers should perform, the competencies those tasks require, training and professional development needs, and peer performance standards. Guidance also is needed to integrate peers into the care team, allocate and coordinate responsibilities among care team members, manage peer operations and workflow, and facilitate effective team communication. Here we describe a peer support program in the University of Pennsylvania Health System (UPHS or Penn Medicine) network of primary care practices. This paper details the program's core components, values, and activities. We also report the organizational challenges, unresolved questions, and lessons for the field in administering a peer support program to meet the needs of patients served by a large, urban medical system with an extensive suburban and rural catchment area. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: www.clinicaltrials.gov registration: NCT04245423.

Radiation Therapy for Young Children Treated With High-Dose Chemotherapy and Autologous Stem Cell Transplant for Primary Brain Tumors.

Purpose: : The role of peri-transplant radiation therapy (RT) in children with primary brain tumors is unclear. We characterized our institutional practice patterns and patient outcomes. Methods and Materials: The cohort included all patients treated with high-dose chemotherapy and autologous stem cell transplant for primary brain tumors at our institution from 2011 to 2017. Rates of local control, progression-free survival, overall survival, and radiation-associated injury were assessed. Results: Of the 37 eligible patients, 29 (78%) received peri-transplant RT. Patients treated with RT were more likely to have metastatic (P = .0121) and incompletely resected (P = .056) disease. Of those treated with RT, 13 (45%) received craniospinal irradiation (CSI) and 16 (55%) received focal RT. The median CSI dose was 23.4 Gy (interquartile range [IQR], 18-36 Gy; boost: median, 54 Gy [IQR, 53.7-55.8 Gy]) and focal RT dose was 50.4 Gy [IQR, 50.4-54.5 Gy]). Compared with the focal RT group, patients treated with CSI were older (P = .0499) and more likely to have metastatic disease (P = .0004). For the complete cohort, 2-year local control was 82% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70%-96%), progression-free survival 63% (95% CI, 49%-81%), and overall survival 65% (95% CI, 51%-82%). These rates did not differ significantly between patients treated with and without peri-transplant RT. Two cases of fatal myelopathy were observed after spinal cord doses within the highest tertile (41.4 cobalt Gy equivalent and 36 Gy). Conclusions: Peri-transplant RT was used for high-risk disease. Oncologic outcomes after RT were encouraging. However, 2 cases of grade 5 myelopathy were observed. If used cautiously, RT may contribute to durable remission in patients at high risk of relapse.

Leveraging a Previously Published Population Pharmacokinetic Model to Predict Rivaroxaban Exposure in Real-World Patients.

Population pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic models are commonly used to inform drug dosing; however, often real-world patients are not well represented in the clinical trial population. We sought to determine how well dosing recommended in the rivaroxaban drug label results in exposure for real-world patients within a reference area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) range. To accomplish this, we assessed the utility of a prior published rivaroxaban population PK model to predict exposure in real-world patients. We used the model to predict rivaroxaban exposure for 230 real-world patients using 3 methods: (1) using patient phenotype information only, (2) using individual post hoc estimates of clearance from the prior model based on single PK samples of rivaroxaban collected at steady state without refitting of the prior model, and (3) using individual post hoc estimates of clearance from the prior model based on PK samples of rivaroxaban collected at steady state after refitting of the prior model. We compared the results across 3 software packages (NONMEM, Phoenix NLME, and Monolix). We found that while the average patient-assigned dosing per the drug label will likely result in the AUC falling within the reference range, AUC for most individual patients will be outside the reference range. When comparing post hoc estimates, the average pairwise percentage differences were all <10% when comparing the software packages, but individual pairwise estimates varied as much as 50%. This study demonstrates the use of a prior published rivaroxaban population PK model to predict exposure in real-world patients.

LIGHT (TNFSF14) Costimulation Enhances Myeloid Cell Activation and Antitumor Immunity in the Setting of PD-1/PD-L1 and TIGIT Checkpoint Blockade.

Coinhibition of TIGIT (T cell immunoreceptor with Ig and ITIM domains) and PD-1/PD-L1 (PD-1/L1) may improve response rates compared with monotherapy PD-1/L1 blockade in checkpoint naive non-small cell lung cancer with PD-L1 expression >50%. TIGIT mAbs with an effector-competent Fc can induce myeloid cell activation, and some have demonstrated effector T cell depletion, which carries a clinical liability of unknown significance. TIGIT Ab blockade translates to antitumor activity by enabling PVR signaling through CD226 (DNAM-1), which can be directly inhibited by PD-1. Furthermore, DNAM-1 is downregulated on tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in advanced and checkpoint inhibition-resistant cancers. Therefore, broadening clinical responses from TIGIT blockade into PD-L1low or checkpoint inhibition-resistant tumors, may be induced by immune costimulation that operates independently from PD-1/L1 inhibition. TNFSF14 (LIGHT) was identified through genomic screens, in vitro functional analysis, and immune profiling of TILs as a TNF ligand that could provide broad immune activation. Accordingly, murine and human bifunctional fusion proteins were engineered linking the extracellular domain of TIGIT to the extracellular domain of LIGHT, yielding TIGIT-Fc-LIGHT. TIGIT competitively inhibited binding to all PVR ligands. LIGHT directly activated myeloid cells through interactions with LTßR (lymphotoxin ß receptor), without the requirement for a competent Fc domain to engage Fcγ receptors. LIGHT costimulated CD8+ T and NK cells through HVEM (herpes virus entry mediator A). Importantly, HVEM was more widely expressed than DNAM-1 on T memory stem cells and TILs across a range of tumor types. Taken together, the mechanisms of TIGIT-Fc-LIGHT promoted strong antitumor activity in preclinical tumor models of primary and acquired resistance to PD-1 blockade, suggesting that immune costimulation mediated by LIGHT may broaden the clinical utility of TIGIT blockade.

Acute echocardiographic and hemodynamic response to his-bundle pacing in patients with first-degree atrioventricular block.

BACKGROUND: Atrial pacing and right ventricular (RV) pacing are both associated with adverse outcomes among patients with first-degree atrioventricular block (1°AVB). His-bundle pacing (HBP) provides physiological activation of the ventricle and may be able to improve both atrioventricular (AV) and inter-ventricular synchrony in 1°AVB patients. This study evaluates the acute echocardiographic and hemodynamic effects of atrial, atrial-His-bundle sequential (AH), and atrial-ventricular (AV) sequential pacing in 1°AVB patients. METHODS: Patients with 1°AVB undergoing atrial fibrillation ablation were included. Following left atrial (LA) catheterization, patients underwent atrial, AH- and AV-sequential pacing. LA/left ventricular (LV) pressure and echocardiographic measurements during the pacing protocols were compared. RESULTS: Thirteen patients with 1°AVB (mean PR 221 ± 26 ms) were included. The PR interval was prolonged with atrial pacing compared to baseline (275 ± 73 ms, p = .005). LV ejection fraction (LVEF) was highest during atrial pacing (62 ± 11%), intermediate with AH-sequential pacing (59 ± 7%), and lowest with AV-sequential pacing (57 ± 12%) though these differences were not statistically significant. No significant differences were found in LA or LV mean pressures or LV dP/dT. LA and LV volumes, isovolumetric times, electromechanical delays, and global longitudinal strains were similar across pacing protocols. CONCLUSION: Despite pronounced PR prolongation, the acute effects of atrial pacing were not significantly different than AH- or AV-sequential pacing. Normalizing atrioventricular and/or inter-ventricular dyssynchrony did not result in acute improvements in cardiac output or loading conditions.

The role of inflammation in the pathogenesis and treatment of arrhythmias.

The pathogenesis of arrhythmias is complex and multifactorial. The role of inflammation in the pathogenesis of both atrial and ventricular arrhythmias (VA) has been explored. However, developing successful pharmacotherapy regimens based on those pathways has proven more of a challenge. This narrative review provides an overview of five common arrhythmias impacted by inflammation, including atrial fibrillation (AF), myocardial infarction, arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, cardiac sarcoidosis, and QT prolongation, and the potential role for anti-inflammatory therapy in their management. We identified arrhythmias and arrhythmogenic disease states with the most evidence linking pathogenesis to inflammation and conducted comprehensive searches of United States National Library of Medicine MEDLINE® and PubMed databases. Although a variety of agents have been studied for the management of AF, primarily in an effort to reduce postoperative AF following cardiac surgery, no standard anti-inflammatory agents are used in clinical practice at this time. Although inflammation following myocardial infarction may contribute to the development of VA, there is no clear benefit with the use of anti-inflammatory agents at this time. Similarly, although inflammation is clearly linked to the development of arrhythmias in arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy, data demonstrating a benefit with anti-inflammatory agents are limited. Cardiac sarcoidosis, an infiltrative disease eliciting an immune response, is primarily treated by immunosuppressive therapy and steroids, despite a lack of primary literature to support such regimens. In this case, anti-inflammatory agents are frequently used in clinical practice. The pathophysiology of arrhythmias is complex, and inflammation likely plays a role in both onset and duration, however, for most arrhythmias the role of pharmacotherapy targeting inflammation remains unclear.

A Turtle Disaster: Salmonella enteritidis Cardiovascular Implantable Electronic Device Infection.

Cardiovascular implantable electronic device (CIED) infections have high mortality and morbidity. CIED infections secondary to gram-negative pathogens are rare, and there are few data regarding their treatment. We report a case of a 60-year-old male who developed recurrent Salmonella enteritidis bacteremia leading to CIED infection and nonsusceptibility to ciprofloxacin.

Tonsillectomy for Obstructive Sleep-Disordered Breathing: Should They Stay, or Could They Go?

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: Children who do not require oxygen beyond 3 hours after surgery and pass a sleep room air challenge (SRAC) are safe for discharge regardless of polysomnogram (PSG) results or comorbidities. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional prospective study. METHODS: All children observed overnight undergoing an adenotonsillectomy for obstructive sleep-disordered breathing were prospectively recruited. Demographic, clinical, and PSG characteristics were stratified by whether the patient had required oxygen beyond 3 hours postoperatively (prolonged oxygen requirement [POR]) and compared using t test, chi-squared test, or Fisher's exact test depending on distribution. Optimal cut points for predicting POR postsurgery were calculated using receiver operating characteristic curves. The primary analysis was performed on the full cohort via logistic regression using POR as the outcome. Significant characteristics were analyzed in a logistic regression model, with significance set at P < .05. RESULTS: A total of 484 participants met the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 5.65 (standard deviation = 4.02) years. Overall, 365 (75%) did not have a POR or any other adverse respiratory event. In multivariable logistic regression, risk factors for POR were an asthma diagnosis (P < .001) and an awake SpO2 <96% (P = .005). The probability of a POR for those without asthma and a SpO2 ≥ 96% was 18% (95% confidence interval: 14-22). Age, obesity, and obstructive apnea/hypopnea index were not associated with POR. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, all children in our study who are off oxygen within 3 hours of surgery and passed a SRAC were safe for discharge from a respiratory standpoint regardless of age, obesity status, asthma diagnosis, and obstructive apnea/hypopnea index. Additional investigations are necessary to confirm our findings. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 Laryngoscope, 132:1675-1681, 2022.

Random survival forests for dynamic predictions of a time-to-event outcome using a longitudinal biomarker.

BACKGROUND: Risk prediction models for time-to-event outcomes play a vital role in personalized decision-making. A patient's biomarker values, such as medical lab results, are often measured over time but traditional prediction models ignore their longitudinal nature, using only baseline information. Dynamic prediction incorporates longitudinal information to produce updated survival predictions during follow-up. Existing methods for dynamic prediction include joint modeling, which often suffers from computational complexity and poor performance under misspecification, and landmarking, which has a straightforward implementation but typically relies on a proportional hazards model. Random survival forests (RSF), a machine learning algorithm for time-to-event outcomes, can capture complex relationships between the predictors and survival without requiring prior specification and has been shown to have superior predictive performance. METHODS: We propose an alternative approach for dynamic prediction using random survival forests in a landmarking framework. With a simulation study, we compared the predictive performance of our proposed method with Cox landmarking and joint modeling in situations where the proportional hazards assumption does not hold and the longitudinal marker(s) have a complex relationship with the survival outcome. We illustrated the use of the RSF landmark approach in two clinical applications to assess the performance of various RSF model building decisions and to demonstrate its use in obtaining dynamic predictions. RESULTS: In simulation studies, RSF landmarking outperformed joint modeling and Cox landmarking when a complex relationship between the survival and longitudinal marker processes was present. It was also useful in application when there were several predictors for which the clinical relevance was unknown and multiple longitudinal biomarkers were present. Individualized dynamic predictions can be obtained from this method and the variable importance metric is useful for examining the changing predictive power of variables over time. In addition, RSF landmarking is easily implementable in standard software and using suggested specifications requires less computation time than joint modeling. CONCLUSIONS: RSF landmarking is a nonparametric, machine learning alternative to current methods for obtaining dynamic predictions when there are complex or unknown relationships present. It requires little upfront decision-making and has comparable predictive performance and has preferable computational speed.

Ventricular-vascular coupling is predictive of adverse clinical outcome in paediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension.

AIMS: Ventricular-vascular coupling, the ratio between the right ventricle's contractile state (Ees) and its afterload (Ea), may be a useful metric in the management of paediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). In this study we assess the prognostic capacity of the ventricular-vascular coupling ratio (Ees/Ea) derived using right ventricular (RV) pressure alone in children with PAH. METHODS: One hundred and thirty paediatric patients who were diagnosed with PAH via right heart catheterisation were retrospectively reviewed over a 10-year period. Maximum RV isovolumic pressure and end-systolic pressure were estimated using two single-beat methods from Takeuchi et al (Ees/Ea_(Takeuchi)) and from Kind et al (Ees/Ea_(Kind)) and used with an estimate of end-systolic pressure to compute ventricular-vascular coupling from pressure alone. Patients were identified as either idiopathic/hereditary PAH or associated PAH (IPAH/HPAH and APAH, respectively). Haemodynamic data, clinical functional class and clinical worsening outcomes-separated into soft (mild) and hard (severe) event categories-were assessed. Adverse soft events included functional class worsening, syncopal event, hospitalisation due to a proportional hazard-related event and haemoptysis. Hard events included death, transplantation, initiation of prostanoid therapy and hospitalisation for atrial septostomy and Pott's shunt. Cox proportional hazard modelling was used to assess whether Ees/Ea was predictive of time-to-event. RESULTS: In patients with IPAH/HPAH, Ees/Ea_(Kind) and Ees/Ea_(Takeuchi) were both independently associated with time to hard event (p=0.003 and p=0.001, respectively) and when adjusted for indexed pulmonary vascular resistance (p=0.032 and p=0.013, respectively). Neither Ees/Ea_(Kind) nor Ees/Ea_(Takeuchi) were associated with time to soft event. In patients with APAH, neither Ees/Ea_(Kind) nor Ees/Ea_(Takeuchi) were associated with time to hard event or soft event. CONCLUSIONS: Ees/Ea derived from pressure alone is a strong independent predictor of adverse outcome and could be a potential powerful prognostic tool for paediatric PAH.

The Impact of Strict Public Health Restrictions on Pediatric Critical Illness.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize the impact of public health interventions on the volume and characteristics of admissions to the PICU. DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Six U.S. referral PICUs during February 15, 2020-May 14, 2020, compared with the same months during 2017-2019 (baseline). PATIENTS: PICU admissions excluding admissions for illnesses due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and readmissions during the same hospitalization. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Primary outcome was admission volumes during the period of stay-at-home orders (March 15, 2020-May 14, 2020) compared with baseline. Secondary outcomes were hospitalization characteristics including advanced support (e.g., invasive mechanical ventilation), PICU and hospital lengths of stay, and mortality. We used generalized linear mixed modeling to compare patient and admission characteristics during the stay-at-home orders period to baseline. We evaluated 7,960 admissions including 1,327 during March 15, 2020-May 14, 2020. Daily admissions and patients days were lower during the period of stay-at-home orders compared with baseline: median admissions 21 (interquartile range, 17-25) versus 36 (interquartile range, 30-42) (p < 0.001) and median patient days 93.0 (interquartile range, 55.9-136.7) versus 143.6 (interquartile range, 108.5-189.2) (p < 0.001). Admissions during the period of stay-at-home orders were less common in young children and for respiratory and infectious illnesses and more common for poisonings, endocrinopathies and for children with race/ethnicity categorized as other/unspecified. There were no differences in hospitalization characteristics except fewer patients received noninvasive ventilation during the period of stay-at-home orders. CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in PICU admissions suggest that much of pediatric critical illness in younger children and for respiratory and infectious illnesses may be preventable through targeted public health strategies.

Exploratory Analysis of Glycemic Control and Variability Over Gestation Among Pregnant Women with Type 1 Diabetes.

In exploratory analyses, we evaluated glycemic variability (GV) and gestational outcomes in pregnant women (n = 28) with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Gestational age at delivery was higher for women with lower glycemic measures, including estimated HbA1c (eHbA1c) (0.14% decrease in HbA1c per 1-week greater gestational age, P = 0.0035), mean sensor glucose (-3.9 mg/dL P = 0.0039), time spent >140 mg/dL (-3.1%, P = 0.0029), and higher time in range (TIR) of 63-140 mg/dL (3.2%, P = 0.0029). Third trimester measured HbA1c was significantly associated with gestational age at delivery (P = 0.0081). Preeclampsia was associated with less TIR in first (50.5% vs. 69.9%, P = 0.0034) and second trimesters (47.1% vs. 66.7%, P = 0.0025), but not with measured HbA1c. There were significant differences in other markers of GV (continuous overall net glycemic action, high blood glucose index, J-index, mean amplitude of glycemic excursions) with infant birth weight and gestational age at delivery. Thus, multiple markers of glycemia and GV were associated with gestational health outcomes in T1D pregnancies in this pilot study. Clinical Trial Registration number: NCT02556554.

Dynamic prediction based on variability of a longitudinal biomarker.

BACKGROUND: Tacrolimus is given post-kidney transplant to suppress the immune system, and the amount of drug in the body is measured frequently. Higher variability over time may be indicative of poor drug adherence, leading to more adverse events. It is important to account for the variation in Tacrolimus, not just the average change over time. METHODS: Using data from the University of Colorado, we compare methods of assessing how the variability in Tacrolimus influences the hazard of de novo Donor Specific Antibodies (dnDSA), an early warning sign of graft failure. We compare multiple joint models in terms of fit and predictive ability. We explain that the models that account for the individual-specific variability over time have the best predictive performance. These models allowed each patient to have an individual-specific random error term in the longitudinal Tacrolimus model, and linked this to the hazard of dnDSA model. RESULTS: The hazard for the variance and coefficient of variation (CV) loading parameter were greater than 1, indicating that higher variability of Tacrolimus had a higher hazard of dnDSA. Introducing the individual-specific variability improved the fit, leading to more accurate predictions about the individual-specific time-to-dnDSA. CONCLUSIONS: We showed that the individual's variability in Tacrolimus is an important metric in predicting long-term adverse events in kidney transplantation. This is an important step in personalizing the dosage of TAC post-transplant to improve outcomes post-transplant.