Development and external validation of a model to predict multidrug-resistant bacterial infections in patients with cirrhosis.

With the increasing rate of infections caused by multidrug-resistant organisms (MDRO), selecting appropriate empiric antibiotics has become challenging. We aimed to develop and externally validate a model for predicting the risk of MDRO infections in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: We included patients with cirrhosis and bacterial infections from two prospective studies: a transcontinental study was used for model development and internal validation (n = 1302), and a study from Argentina and Uruguay was used for external validation (n = 472). All predictors were measured at the time of infection. Both culture-positive and culture-negative infections were included. The model was developed using logistic regression with backward stepwise predictor selection. We externally validated the optimism-adjusted model using calibration and discrimination statistics and evaluated its clinical utility. RESULTS: The prevalence of MDRO infections was 19% and 22% in the development and external validation datasets, respectively. The model's predictors were sex, prior antibiotic use, type and site of infection, MELD-Na, use of vasopressors, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and interaction terms. Upon external validation, the calibration slope was 77 (95% CI .48-1.05), and the area under the ROC curve was .68 (95% CI .61-.73). The application of the model significantly changed the post-test probability of having an MDRO infection, identifying patients with nosocomial infection at very low risk (8%) and patients with community-acquired infections at significant risk (36%). CONCLUSION: This model achieved adequate performance and could be used to improve the selection of empiric antibiotics, aligning with other antibiotic stewardship program strategies.

Use of sodium oxybate for the treatment of alcohol withdrawal syndrome in patients with acute alcohol-associated hepatitis: A 4-patient case report.

INTRODUCTION: During the treatment of alcohol use disorder, alcohol withdrawal syndrome (AWS) can occur. Benzodiazepines remain the "gold standard" for the pharmacological treatment of AWS. However, other drugs have been approved in some European Countries for the treatment of AWS: namely, clomethiazole in Spain and Germany and sodium oxybate in Italy and Austria. Acute alcohol-associated hepatitis (AAH) is a distinct clinical syndrome characterized by the recent onset of jaundice with or without other signs of liver decompensation in patients with ongoing alcohol consumption. RATIONALE: We report 4 paradigmatic clinical cases to analyze the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of the very short half-life (30-45 minutes) sodium oxybate (SO) in the management of AWS with moderate to severe AAH. Compared to SO, "as needed" short-acting benzodiazepines, currently prescribed to treat AWS in patients with AAH, have a much longer half-life (5-25 hours) which increases the risk of drug accumulation. The very short half-life of SO provides a fixed dose approach allowing for a more effective control of AWS than "as needed" therapy throughout the 24 hours. PATIENT CONCERNS: Patients reported anxiety, agitation, diffuse abdominal pain, loss of appetite, and nausea with elevation in serum bilirubin and 2 of them had abdomen distension due to ascites. DIAGNOSIS: Patients were affected by moderate or severe AWS and moderate or severe AAH on alcohol-related liver cirrhosis. INTERVENTIONS: In order to suppress AWS, all patients were treated with oral sodium oxybate at a dose of 25 mg/kg/day, progressively increased to 50 to 100 mg/kg/day, divided into 3 to 5 administrations. OUTCOMES: SO was efficient, safe and tolerable in suppressing AWS even in patients with severe AAH. All treated patients showed a rapid improvement of all symptom (via the Clinical Institute of Withdrawal Assessment for Alcohol Scale) and liver test scores (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease). CONCLUSION: Because of its short half-life, SO can be considered a safe and effective pharmacological option for the AWS in patients with moderate to severe AAH even in comparison to short-acting benzodiazepines, thus avoiding the risk of accumulation. Notably, SO guarantees a fixed approach to cover the possible onset of AWS throughout the 24 hours.

Long-term albumin improves the outcomes of patients with decompensated cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus: Post hoc analysis of the ANSWER trial.

Type-2 diabetes mellitus is a frequent comorbidity of cirrhosis independently associated with cirrhosis-related complications and mortality. This post hoc analysis of the ANSWER trial database assessed the effects of long-term human albumin (HA) administration on top of the standard medical treatment (SMT) on the clinical outcomes of a subgroup of 85 outpatients with liver cirrhosis, uncomplicated ascites and insulin-treated diabetes mellitus type 2 (ITDM). Compared to patients in the SMT arm, the SMT + HA group showed a better overall survival (86% vs. 57%, p = .016) and lower incidence rates of paracenteses, overt hepatic encephalopathy, bacterial infections, renal dysfunction and electrolyte disorders. Hospital admissions did not differ between the two arms, but the number of days spent in hospital was lower in the SMT + HA group. In conclusion, in a subgroup of ITDM outpatients with decompensated cirrhosis and ascites, long-term HA administration was associated with better survival and a lower incidence of cirrhosis-related complications.

A robust clustering strategy for stratification unveils unique patient subgroups in acutely decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patient heterogeneity poses significant challenges for managing individuals and designing clinical trials, especially in complex diseases. Existing classifications rely on outcome-predicting scores, potentially overlooking crucial elements contributing to heterogeneity without necessarily impacting prognosis. METHODS: To address patient heterogeneity, we developed ClustALL, a computational pipeline that simultaneously faces diverse clinical data challenges like mixed types, missing values, and collinearity. ClustALL enables the unsupervised identification of patient stratifications while filtering for stratifications that are robust against minor variations in the population (population-based) and against limited adjustments in the algorithm's parameters (parameter-based). RESULTS: Applied to a European cohort of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (n = 766), ClustALL identified five robust stratifications, using only data at hospital admission. All stratifications included markers of impaired liver function and number of organ dysfunction or failure, and most included precipitating events. When focusing on one of these stratifications, patients were categorized into three clusters characterized by typical clinical features; notably, the 3-cluster stratification showed a prognostic value. Re-assessment of patient stratification during follow-up delineated patients' outcomes, with further improvement of the prognostic value of the stratification. We validated these findings in an independent prospective multicentre cohort of patients from Latin America (n = 580). CONCLUSIONS: By applying ClustALL to patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis, we identified three patient clusters. Following these clusters over time offers insights that could guide future clinical trial design. ClustALL is a novel and robust stratification method capable of addressing the multiple challenges of patient stratification in most complex diseases.

Myosteatosis is closely associated with sarcopenia and significantly worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sarcopenia and myosteatosis are common in patients with cirrhosis. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of these muscle changes, their interrelations and their prognostic impact over a 12-month period. METHODS: We conducted a prospective multicentre study involving 433 patients. Sarcopenia and myosteatosis were evaluated using computed tomography scans. The 1-year cumulative incidence of relevant events was assessed by competing risk analysis. We used a Fine-Gray model adjusted for known prognostic factors to evaluate the impact of sarcopenia and myosteatosis on mortality, hospitalization, and liver decompensation. RESULTS: At enrolment, 166 patients presented with isolated myosteatosis, 36 with isolated sarcopenia, 135 with combined sarcopenia and myosteatosis and 96 patients showed no muscle changes. The 1-year cumulative incidence of death in patients with either sarcopenia and myosteatosis (13.8%) or isolated myosteatosis (13.4%) was over twice that of patients without muscle changes (5.2%) or with isolated sarcopenia (5.6%). The adjusted sub-hazard ratio for death in patients with muscle changes was 1.36 (95% CI 0.99-1.86, p = 0.058). The cumulative incidence of hospitalization was significantly higher in patients with combined sarcopenia and myosteatosis than in patients without muscle changes (adjusted sub-hazard ratio 1.18, 95% CI 1.04-1.35). The cumulative incidence of liver decompensation was greater in patients with combined sarcopenia and myosteatosis (p = 0.018) and those with isolated sarcopenia (p = 0.046) than in patients without muscle changes. Lastly, we found a strong correlation of function tests and frailty scores with the presence of muscle changes. CONCLUSIONS: Myosteatosis, whether alone or combined with sarcopenia, is highly prevalent in patients with cirrhosis and is associated with significantly worse outcomes. The prognostic role of sarcopenia should always be evaluated in relation to the presence of myosteatosis. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: This study investigates the prognostic role of muscle changes in patients with cirrhosis. The novelty of this study is its multicentre, prospective nature and the fact that it distinguishes between the impact of individual muscle changes and their combination on prognosis in cirrhosis. This study highlights the prognostic role of myosteatosis, especially when combined with sarcopenia. On the other hand, the relevance of sarcopenia could be mitigated when considered together with myosteatosis. The implication from these findings is that sarcopenia should never be evaluated individually and that myosteatosis may play a dominant role in the prognosis of patients with cirrhosis.

The Role of Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt for the Management of Ascites in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis.

The development and progression of ascites represent a crucial event in the natural history of patients with cirrhosis, predisposing them to other complications and carrying a heavy impact on prognosis. The current standard of care for the management of ascites relies on various combinations of diuretics and large-volume paracenteses. Periodic long-term albumin infusions on top of diuretics have been recently shown to greatly facilitate the management of ascites. The insertion of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), an artificial connection between the portal and caval systems, is indicated to treat patients with refractory ascites. TIPS acts to decrease portal hypertension, thus targeting an upstream event in the pathophysiological cascade of cirrhosis decompensation. Available evidence shows a significant benefit on ascites control/resolution, with less clear results on patient survival. Patient selection plays a crucial role in obtaining better clinical responses and avoiding TIPS-related adverse events, the most important of which are hepatic encephalopathy, cardiac overload and failure, and liver failure. At the same time, some recent technical evolutions of available stents appear promising but deserve further investigations. Future challenges and perspectives include (i) identifying the features for selecting the ideal candidate to TIPS; (ii) recognizing the better timing for TIPS placement; and (iii) understanding the most appropriate role of TIPS within the framework of all other available treatments for the management of patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Clinical, experimental and pathophysiological effects of Yaq-001: a non-absorbable, gut-restricted adsorbent in models and patients with cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE: Targeting bacterial translocation in cirrhosis is limited to antibiotics with risk of antimicrobial resistance. This study explored the therapeutic potential of a non-absorbable, gut-restricted, engineered carbon bead adsorbent, Yaq-001 in models of cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and, its safety and tolerability in a clinical trial in cirrhosis. DESIGN: Performance of Yaq-001 was evaluated in vitro. Two-rat models of cirrhosis and ACLF, (4 weeks, bile duct ligation with or without lipopolysaccharide), receiving Yaq-001 for 2 weeks; and two-mouse models of cirrhosis (6-week and 12-week carbon tetrachloride (CCl4)) receiving Yaq-001 for 6 weeks were studied. Organ and immune function, gut permeability, transcriptomics, microbiome composition and metabolomics were analysed. The effect of faecal water on gut permeability from animal models was evaluated on intestinal organoids. A multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled clinical trial in 28 patients with cirrhosis, administered 4 gr/day Yaq-001 for 3 months was performed. RESULTS: Yaq-001 exhibited rapid adsorption kinetics for endotoxin. In vivo, Yaq-001 reduced liver injury, progression of fibrosis, portal hypertension, renal dysfunction and mortality of ACLF animals significantly. Significant impact on severity of endotoxaemia, hyperammonaemia, liver cell death, systemic inflammation and organ transcriptomics with variable modulation of inflammation, cell death and senescence in the liver, kidneys, brain and colon was observed. Yaq-001 reduced gut permeability in the organoids and impacted positively on the microbiome composition and metabolism. Yaq-001 regulated as a device met its primary endpoint of safety and tolerability in the clinical trial. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides strong preclinical rationale and safety in patients with cirrhosis to allow clinical translation. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03202498.

Impact of Sarcopenia on the Survival of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Sorafenib.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Sarcopenia has been associated with poor outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. We investigated the impact of sarcopenia on survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with Sorafenib. METHODS: A total of 328 patients were retrospectively analyzed. All patients had an abdominal CT scan within 8 weeks prior to the start of treatment. Two cohorts of patients were analyzed: the "Training Group" (215 patients) and the "Validation Group" (113 patients). Sarcopenia was defined by reduced skeletal muscle index, calculated from an L3 section CT image. RESULTS: Sarcopenia was present in 48% of the training group and 50% of the validation group. At multivariate analysis, sarcopenia (HR: 1.47, p = 0.026 in training; HR 1.99, p = 0.033 in validation) and MELD > 9 (HR: 1.37, p = 0.037 in training; HR 1.78, p = 0.035 in validation) emerged as independent prognostic factors in both groups. We assembled a prognostic indicator named "SARCO-MELD" based on the two independent prognostic factors, creating three groups: group 1 (0 prognostic factors), group 2 (1 factor) and group 3 (2 factors), the latter with significantly worse survival and shorter time receiving treatment.