A Coupled Statistical and Deterministic Model for Forecasting Climate-Driven Dengue Incidence in Selangor, Malaysia.

The mosquito-borne dengue virus remains a major public health concern in Malaysia. Despite various control efforts and measures introduced by the Malaysian Government to combat dengue, the increasing trend of dengue cases persists and shows no sign of decreasing. Currently, early detection and vector control are the main methods employed to curb dengue outbreaks. In this study, a coupled model consisting of the statistical ARIMAX model and the deterministic SI-SIR model was developed and validated using the weekly reported dengue data from year 2014 to 2019 for Selangor, Malaysia. Previous studies have shown that climate variables, especially temperature, humidity, and precipitation, were able to influence dengue incidence and transmission dynamics through their effect on the vector. In this coupled model, climate is linked to dengue disease through mosquito biting rate, allowing real-time forecast of dengue cases using climate variables, namely temperature, rainfall and humidity. For the period chosen for model validation, the coupled model can forecast 1-2 weeks in advance with an average error of less than 6%, three weeks in advance with an average error of 7.06% and four weeks in advance with an average error of 8.01%. Further model simulation analysis suggests that the coupled model generally provides better forecast than the stand-alone ARIMAX model, especially at the onset of the outbreak. Moreover, the coupled model is more robust in the sense that it can be further adapted for investigating the effectiveness of various dengue mitigation measures subject to the changing climate.

Design, Synthesis, Antifungal Activity, and Action Mechanism of Pyrazole-4-carboxamide Derivatives Containing Oxime Ether Active Fragment As Succinate Dehydrogenase Inhibitors.

The dearomatization at the hydrophobic tail of the boscalid was carried out to construct a series of novel pyrazole-4-carboxamide derivatives containing an oxime ether fragment. By using fungicide-likeness analyses and virtual screening, 24 target compounds with theoretical strong inhibitory effects against fungal succinate dehydrogenase (SDH) were designed and synthesized. Antifungal bioassays showed that the target compound E1 could selectively inhibit the in vitro growth of R. solani, with the EC50 value of 1.1 µg/mL that was superior to that of the agricultural fungicide boscalid (2.2 µg/mL). The observations by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) demonstrated that E1 could reduce mycelial density and significantly increase the mitochondrial number in mycelia cytoplasm, which was similar to the phenomenon treated with boscalid. Enzyme activity assay showed that the E1 had the significant inhibitory effect against the SDH from R. solani, with the IC50 value of 3.3 µM that was superior to that of boscalid (7.9 µM). The mode of action of the target compound E1 with SDH was further analyzed by molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulation studies. Among them, the number of hydrogen bonds was significantly more in the SDH-E1 complex than that in the SDH-boscalid complex. This research on the dearomatization strategy of the benzene ring for constructing pyrazole-4-carboxamides containing an oxime ether fragment provides a unique thought to design new antifungal drugs targeting SDH.

Mouse auditory cortex sub-fields receive neuronal projections from MGB subdivisions independently.

Mouse auditory cortex is composed of six sub-fields: primary auditory field (AI), secondary auditory field (AII), anterior auditory field (AAF), insular auditory field (IAF), ultrasonic field (UF) and dorsoposterior field (DP). Previous studies have examined thalamo-cortical connections in the mice auditory system and learned that AI, AAF, and IAF receive inputs from the ventral division of the medial geniculate body (MGB). However, the functional and thalamo-cortical connections between nonprimary auditory cortex (AII, UF, and DP) is unclear. In this study, we examined the locations of neurons projecting to these three cortical sub-fields in the MGB, and addressed the question whether these cortical sub-fields receive inputs from different subsets of MGB neurons or common. To examine the distributions of projecting neurons in the MGB, retrograde tracers were injected into the AII, UF, DP, after identifying these areas by the method of Optical Imaging. Our results indicated that neuron cells which in ventral part of dorsal MGB (MGd) and that of ventral MGB (MGv) projecting to UF and AII with less overlap. And DP only received neuron projecting from MGd. Interestingly, these three cortical areas received input from distinct part of MGd and MGv in an independent manner. Based on our foundings these three auditory cortical sub-fields in mice may independently process auditory information.

U-shaped relationship between ozone exposure and preterm birth risk associated with preconception telomere length.

There are conflicting findings regarding the association of ozone (O3) exposure with preterm birth (PTB) occurrence. In the present study, two cohorts were combined to explore the relationship between maternal O3 exposure during pregnancy and PTB risk, and analyze the underlying mechanisms of this relationship in terms of alterations in the preconception telomere length. Cohort 1 included mothers who participated in the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project in Henan Province from 2014 to 2018 along with their newborns (n = 1,066,696). Cohort 2 comprised mothers who conceived between 2016 and 2018 and their newborns (n = 1871) from six areas in Henan Province. The telomere length was assessed in the peripheral blood of mothers at the preconception stage. Data on air pollutant concentrations were collected from environmental monitoring stations and individual exposures were assessed using an inverse distance-weighted model. O3 concentrations (100.60 ± 14.13 µg/m3) were lower in Cohort 1 than in Cohort 2 (114.09 ± 15.17 µg/m3). Linear analyses showed that PTB risk decreased with increasing O3 exposure concentrations in Cohort 1 but increased with increasing O3 exposure concentrations in Cohort 2. Nonlinear analyses revealed that PTB risk tended to decrease and then increase with increasing O3 exposure concentrations in both cohorts. Besides, PTB risk was reduced by 88% for each-unit increase in telomere length in those exposed to moderate O3 concentrations (92.4-123.7 µg/m3, P < 0.05). While no significant association was observed between telomere length and PTB at extreme O3 concentration exposure during entire pregnancy (<92.4 or >123.7 µg/m3, P > 0.05) in Cohort 2. These findings reveal a nonlinear (U-shaped) relationship between O3 exposure and PTB risk. Furthermore, telomere with elevated length was associated with decreased risk of PTB only when exposed to moderate concentrations of O3, but not when exposed to extreme concentrations of O3 during pregnancy.

Enhanced photocatalytic reduction of Cr(VI) from aqueous solution using Fe0/TiO2-based polymeric nanocomposites.

The combination of zerovalent iron (Fe0) and titanium dioxide (TiO2) has been investigated as a promising method for environmental remediation. However, it is a challenge to prepare conveniently desirable Fe0/TiO2 nanocomposites with excellent efficiency and reusability. Here, a novel nanocomposite material, Fe0/TiO2@D201, was synthesized to enhance the removal of Cr(VI) from an aqueous system by impregnating Fe0 and TiO2 inside a commercial anion exchanger (D201). The proposed structure and Cr(VI) removal mechanism of Fe0/TiO2@D201 were confirmed using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), X-ray diffraction (XRD), and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis. Compared to the monometallic samples (Fe0-D201 and TiO2-D201), Fe0/TiO2@D201 showed outstanding Cr(VI) removal and the removal ratio reached up to 97.30% after 120 min of UV light irradiation. The removal of Cr(VI) by Fe0/TiO2@D201 remained high (91.70%) even after four cycles, indicating the stability of the nanocomposites toward Cr(VI) removal and their strong potential for practical applications. The addition of ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA) positively affected the Cr(VI) reduction process, whereas the addition of Na2S2O8 negatively affected the Cr(VI) process. The XPS results revealed that the photocatalytic reduction of Cr(VI) by Fe0/TiO2@D201 involved the capture of photoexcited electrons and Fe0 reduction. A path for the photogenerated electrons engaging in the reduction reaction to improve the utilization of Fe0 was proposed. These results demonstrate that Fe0/TiO2@D201 is a promising alternative composite catalyst for the efficient Cr(VI) removal from contaminated water.

A pilot clinical study of developing an External Assist Targeting Device for rapid and precise renal calyx access during percutaneous nephrolithotomy.

Objective: To design a device to increase the accuracy of the targeting process and reduce the radiation exposure to both the patients and the medical staff. Methods: We analyzed the inherent problem and designed the External Assist Targeting Device (EATD) to assist in the alignment of needle targeting on the desired renal calyx under fluoroscopic guidance. The EATD was designed to allow rapid and precise access to calyces at all angles, with a simple two-step puncture protocol developed for puncturing a target renal calyx. We then tested the device in a pilot human trial with four patients. Results: In experiments with phantom models, the time for successful targeting was reduced by 31% using the device. The mean fluoroscopic time was reduced by 40%. In initial human trial, the puncture time was shortened by 66% and the radiation dose was decreased by 65% compared to free-hand technique. No complication was observed during the trial. Conclusion: The EATD was found to be cost effective, portable, simple to set up, and safe to operate for assisting in the percutaneous nephrolithotomy procedures. Our preliminary tests showed high degree of accuracy in gaining precise access to a targeted renal calyx with much shorter time and lesser radiation dose. The EATD also has the potential to be used to access other organs with precision under fluoroscopic guidance.

Potential Succinate Dehydrogenase Inhibitors Bearing a Novel Pyrazole-4-sulfonohydrazide Scaffold: Molecular Design, Antifungal Evaluation, and Action Mechanism.

Aiming to develop novel antifungal agents with a distinctive molecular scaffold targeting succinate dehydrogenase (SDH), 24 N'-phenyl-1H-pyrazole-4-sulfonohydrazide derivatives were first devised, synthesized, and verified by 1H NMR, 13C NMR, high-resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS), and single-crystal X-ray diffraction analysis. The bioassays revealed that the target compounds possessed highly efficient and broad-spectrum antifungal activities against four tested plant pathogenic fungi Rhizoctonia solani (R. solani), Botrytis cinerea, Fusarium graminearum, and Alternaria sonali. Strikingly, compound B6 was assessed as the selective inhibitor against R. solani, with an in vitro EC50 value (0.23 µg/mL) that was similar to that of thifluzamide (0.20 µg/mL). The in vivo preventative effect of compound B6 (75.76%) at 200 µg/mL against R. solani was roughly comparable to thifluzamide (84.31%) under the same conditions. The exploration of morphological observations indicated that compound B6 could strongly damage the mycelium morphology, obviously increase the permeability of the cell membrane, and dramatically increase the number of mitochondria. Compound B6 also significantly inhibited SDH enzyme activity with an IC50 value of 0.28 µg/mL, and its fluorescence quenching dynamic curves were similar to that of thifluzamide. Molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulations demonstrated that compound B6 could strongly interact with similar residues around the SDH active pocket as thifluzamide. The present study revealed that the novel N'-phenyl-1H-pyrazole pyrazole-4-sulfonohydrazide derivatives are worthy of being further investigated as the promising replacements of traditional carboxamide derivatives targeting SDH of fungi.

Identification of key immune genes related to lymphatic metastasis of papillary thyroid cancer via bioinformatics analysis and experimental validation.

Objective: The current research aimed to development and validation in signature immune genes for lymphatic metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Method: Weighted correlation network analysis (WGCNA) was performed to identify genes closely correlated with lymphatic metastasis in PTC from TCGA database. Information on immune-related genes (IRGs) was obtained from the ImmPort database. Crossover genes were used with the R package clusterProfiler for Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes enrichment. Key genes in the protein-protein interaction network of cross-targets were obtained using Cytoscape. Lasso and Random Forest (RF) models were utilized to identify pivotal genes. We constructed a nomogram based on the hub genes. The correlation between hub genes and immune cell infiltration was explored. We collected and assessed clinical samples via immunohistochemistry to detect the expression of hub genes. Result: In total, 122 IRGs were correlated with lymphatic metastases from PTC. There are 10 key IRGs in the protein-protein interaction network. Then, three hub genes including PTGS2, MET, and ICAM1 were established using the LASSO and RF models. The expression of these hub genes was upregulated in samples collected from patients with lymphatic metastases. The average area under the curve of the model reached 0.83 after a 10-fold and 200-time cross-validation, which had a good prediction ability. Immuno-infiltration analysis showed that the three hub genes were significantly positively correlated with resting dendritic cells and were negatively correlated with activated natural cells, monocytes, and eosinophils. Immunohistochemistry results revealed that lymph node metastasis samples had a higher expression of the three hub genes than non-metastasis samples. Conclusion: Via bioinformatics analysis and experimental validation, MET and ICAM1 were found to be upregulated in lymph node metastasis from papillary thyroid carcinoma. Further, the two hub genes were closely correlated with activated natural killer cells, monocytes, resting dendritic cells, and eosinophils. Therefore, these two genes may be novel molecular biomarkers and therapeutic targets in lymph node metastasis from papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Carrier Modulation in 2D Transistors by Inserting Interfacial Dielectric Layer for Area-Efficient Computation.

2D materials with atomic thickness display strong gate controllability and emerge as promising materials to build area-efficient electronic circuits. However, achieving the effective and nondestructive modulation of carrier density/type in 2D materials is still challenging because the introduction of dopants will greatly degrade the carrier transport via Coulomb scattering. Here, a strategy to control the polarity of tungsten diselenide (WSe2 ) field-effect transistors (FETs) via introducing hexagonal boron nitride (h-BN) as the interfacial dielectric layer is devised. By modulating the h-BN thickness, the carrier type of WSe2 FETs has been switched from hole to electron. The ultrathin body of WSe2 , combined with the effective polarity control, together contribute to the versatile single-transistor logic gates, including NOR, AND, and XNOR gates, and the operation of only two transistors as a half adder in logic circuits. Compared with the use of 12 transistors based on static Si CMOS technology, the transistor number of the half adder is reduced by 83.3%. The unique carrier modulation approach has general applicability toward 2D logic gates and circuits for the improvement of area efficiency in logic computation.

High expression of caspase-8 as a predictive factor of poor prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Esophageal carcinoma (ESCA) is considered to be one of the most common gastrointestinal cancers. Caspase-8 (CASP8) is a key protein of cross-talk signaling in a variety of cancers. However, the role of CASP8 expression in the prognosis of patients with ESCA has remained unexplored. Hence, it is needed to explore the clinical significance of CASP8 expression in ESCA. METHODS: The expression and prognosis of CASP8 were investigated in ESCA using the UALCAN, GEDS, TIMER, and OncoLnc databases. The CASP8 genetic variations in ESCA were assessed using the cBioPortal database. The correlation between CASP8 expression and tumor immune invasion and immune cell surface indicators was examined using the TIMER and TISIDTISIDB datasets. Meanwhile, the abundance of the immunological cells in the tumor and healthy tissues was assessed by the CIBERSORT method. Next, information on the co-expressed genes of the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in ESCA-tumor and ESCA-healthy tissues was obtained using the cBioPortal, UALCAN, and Coexpedia databases. Subsequently, the PPI network was constructed and the GO and KEGG pathways were analyzed using the SIRING database. Finally, CASP8 mRNA and protein expression in the ESCA tissues and matched adjacent healthy tissues were analyzed using qRT-PCR, immune-blotting, and immunohistochemistry. Additionally, the relationship between clinicopathological features and CASP8 expression was assessed. RESULTS: ESCA tissues had higher levels of CASP8 mRNA and protein expression compared to healthy tissues. patients with an elevated level of CASP8 expression had poor overall survival (OS). CASP8 expression was significantly correlated with the degree of differentiation (P = 0.004) and lymph node metastasis (P = 0.044). There were diverse patterns of association between immunological cell surface biomarkers and CASP8 expression. CONCLUSION: ESCA showed significant levels of CASP8 expression which may serve as a prognostic biomarker correlated to immune infiltrates in ESCA.

Spatiotemporal Patterns of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes in Rural Areas of Henan, China.

The spatial patterns of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) are complex, vary by place, and remain not entirely clear. This study investigated spatiotemporal patterns of APOs in rural areas of Henan, China. We used data from 1,315,327 singleton pregnancies during 2013-2016 in rural areas of Henan, China, from the National Free Pre-pregnancy Checkup Program (NFPCP). A spatiotemporal analysis of APOs was conducted based on the time of conception and current address. Results of seasonality decomposed showed a slight decline in the incidence rate of APOs (12.93% to 11.27% in the compound trend) among the participants from 2013 to 2016 and also variation in annual periodicity (peaking in autumn at 12.66% and hitting bottom in spring at 11.16%). Spatial clusters of APOs were concentrated in an intersection band of northwestern to southeastern Henan Province (with a relative risk ratio ranging from 3.66 to 1.20), the northwestern and northern portion for temporal variation (having a trend in the cluster ranged from -6.25% to 83.93). This study provides an overall picture of APOs that presented downward trends over time, seasonal fluctuation, and clustered patterns across space and over time in Henan Province-the most populated province in China. The findings of this study warrant future studies to investigate underlying influential factors of spatial variation of APOs.

NTN4 as a prognostic marker and a hallmark for immune infiltration in breast cancer.

Netrin-4 (NTN4), a member of neurite guidance factor family, can promote neurite growth and elongation. This study aims to investigate if NTN4 correlates with prognosis and immune infiltration in breast cancer. The prognostic landscape of NTN4 and its relationship with immune infiltration in breast cancer were deciphered with public databases and immunohistochemistry (IHC) in tissue samples. The expression profiling and prognostic value of NTN4 were explored using UALCAN, TIMER, Kaplan-Meier Plotter and Prognoscan databases. Based on TIMER, relationships of NTN4 expression with tumor immune invasion and immune cell surface markers were evaluated. Transcription and survival analyses of NTN4 in breast cancer were investigated with cBioPortal database. The STRING database was explored to identify molecular functions and signaling pathways downstream of NTN4. NTN4 expression was significantly lower in invasive breast carcinoma compared with adjacent non-malignant tissues. Promoter methylation of NTN4 exhibited different patterns in breast cancer. Low expression of NTN4 was associated with poorer survival. NTN4 was significantly positively related to infiltration of CD8+ T cells, macrophages and neutrophils, whereas significantly negatively related to B cells and tumor purity. Association patterns varied with different subtypes. Various associations between NTN4 levels and immune cell surface markers were revealed. Different subtypes of breast cancer carried different genetic alterations. Mechanistically, NTN4 was involved in mediating multiple biological processes including morphogenesis and migration.

Weather and Birth Weight: Different Roles of Maternal and Neonatal GPR61 Promoter Methylation.

Objectives: It is unclear whether G protein-coupled receptor 61 (GPR61) affecting body weight, plays a role in the association between birth weight and weather. This study aimed to assess the effects of prenatal weather and GPR61 on birth weight. Methods: A total of 567 mother-newborn pairs were recruited in Houzhai Center Hospital during 2011-2012. We detected the maternal and neonatal GPR61 promoter methylation levels, and obtained meteorological and air pollution data. Results: A positive association was observed between maternal and neonatal GPR61 methylation levels, and both of them were affected by precipitation, relative humidity (RH) and daily temperature range (DTR). Birth weight was associated negatively with RH and positively with DTR ( P < 0.05). A significant association was observed between birth weight and neonatal GPR61 methylation. We observed that maternal GPR61 methylation seemed to modify associations between weather and birth weight ( P interaction < 0.10), while neonatal GPR61 methylation mediated the effects of RH and DTR on birth weight ( P < 0.05). Conclusions: Our findings revealed the significant associations among prenatal weather, GPR61 methylation and birth weight. Maternal GPR61 methylation may modify the susceptibility of birth weight to prenatal weather conditions, while neonatal GPR61 methylation may be a bridge of the effects of prenatal RH and DTR on birth weight.

The type of previous abortion modifies the association between air pollution and the risk of preterm birth.

BACKGROUND: Air pollution and previous abortion have been reported to be related to preterm birth (PTB). But rare study examined the effect of air pollution on PTB risk among mothers with previous abortion. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of air pollution on PTB and the potential effect modification of previous abortion on such an association in rural part of Henan province (China). METHOD: Based on National Free Preconception Health Examination Project (NFPHEP), information from the medical records of 57,337 mothers with previous abortion were obtained. An inverse distance-weighted model was used to estimate exposure levels of air pollutants. The effect of air pollution on the risk of PTB was estimated with a multiple logistic regression model. Stratified and interaction analyses were undertaken to explore the potential effect modification of previous abortion on this association. RESULTS: The risk of PTB was positively associated with exposure to levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO2; OR: 1.03; 95%CI: 1.02-1.04)], and sulfur dioxide (SO2; 1.04; 1.02-1.07), and negatively associated with ozone (O3) exposure (0.97; 0.97-0.98) during the entire pregnancy. Besides, we observed a positive effect of carbon monoxide (CO) exposure during the third trimester of pregnancy on PTB (1.14; 1.01-1.29). The type of previous abortion could modify the effect of air pollution on the PTB risk (P-interaction < 0.05). Compared with mothers with previous induced abortion, mothers with previous spontaneous abortion carried a higher risk of PTB induced by NO2, CO, and O3. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of PTB was positively associated with levels of NO2, SO2 and CO, and negatively associated with the O3 level. The types of previous abortion could modify the effect of air pollution on PTB. Mothers who had an abortion previously, especially spontaneous abortion, should avoid exposure to air pollution to improve their pregnancy outcome.

Interactive Effects of Maternal Vitamin D Status and Socio-Economic Status on the Risk of Spontaneous Abortion: Evidence from Henan Province, China.

BACKGROUND: Maternal vitamin D deficiency might generate adverse reproductive outcomes, and socio-economic inequalities in micronutrient-related diseases have often been found. This study aimed to explore the interactive effects of maternal vitamin D status and socio-economic status (SES) on risk of spontaneous abortion. METHODS: A population-based case-control study was conducted including 293 women with spontaneous abortion and 498 control women in December 2009 and January, 2010 in Henan Province, China. Information on pregnancy outcomes, maternal demographic, lifestyle and exposure factors and blood samples were collected at the same time. Vitamin D deficiency was defined as 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL. SES index was constructed with principal component analysis by aggregating women's and their husbands' education level and occupation, and household income and expenditure. Interactive effects were assessed on a multiplicative scale with ratio of the odds ratio (ROR). RESULTS: Compared to those with high SES and vitamin D sufficiency, women with vitamin D deficiency and low SES index had an increased risk of spontaneous abortion (aOR: 1.99; 95% CI: 1.23-3.23). The ROR was 2.06 (95% CI: 1.04-4.10), indicating a significant positive multiplicative interaction. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal low SES may strengthen the effect of vitamin D deficiency exposure on spontaneous abortion risk in this Chinese population.

Preconception alcohol consumption and risk of miscarriage in over 4.5 million Chinese women aged 20-49 years.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of preconception alcohol consumption on risk of miscarriage incidence, and further evaluate the association between maternal periconception drinking abstinence and miscarriage. METHODS: We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study in China between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2016. Alcohol intake and potential confounding factors were reported in standard questionnaires. Participants who became pregnant were recontacted for pregnancy outcome information within 1 year. A total 4 531 680 women with available data on preconception alcohol intake and miscarriage were included in the final analyses. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: The prevalence of miscarriage was 2.70% among 4 531 680 women. Compared with non-drinkers, the adjusted OR of miscarriage was 1.06 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.10) and 1.59 (95% CI 1.15 to 2.20) in maternal occasional drinkers and regular drinkers, respectively. Compared with couples in which neither the male nor the female consumed alcohol, the adjusted OR for miscarriage among women was 1.09 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.10), 1.13 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.21) and 1.12 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.17) in the couples in which only the female drank alcohol, only the male drank alcohol, and both drank alcohol, respectively. The adjusted OR was 0.58 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.65) in women with alcohol abstinence compared with alcohol drinkers. CONCLUSIONS: Preconception alcohol consumption was associated with higher odds of miscarriage, and an increasing risk was found with paternal and maternal alcohol drinking. Periconception alcohol abstinence was inversely associated with miscarriage.

Internal phosphorus recycling promotes rich and complex dynamics in an algae-phosphorus model: Implications for eutrophication management.

Internal phosphorus recycling in lakes is an important nutrient source that promotes algal growth. Its persistence impedes the effort to improve water quality and thus poses a challenge to the management of eutrophication in lakes, especially in shallow lakes where the occurrence of internal phosphorus recycling is reportedly more common. This paper aims to provide crucial insights on the effects of internal phosphorus recycling on eutrophication dynamics for effective management of lake eutrophication. For this purpose, a mathematical model for lake eutrophication, comprising two compartments of algae and phosphorus, is first formulated for application to a eutrophic tropical lake named Tasik Harapan in Universiti Sains Malaysia. Numerical bifurcation analysis of the model is then performed to assess the combined influences of internal phosphorus recycling, algal mortality and external phosphorus loading on Tasik Harapan eutrophication dynamics. Specifically, co-dimension one bifurcation analysis of algal mortality rate is carried out by means of XPPAUT for various external phosphorus loading rates. The emergence of limit cycle for a certain range of algal mortality rate could be related to the hydra effect (i.e., algal concentration increases in response to greater algal mortality) and the paradox of enrichment (i.e., destabilization of algae in nutrient rich environment). To trace the locus of co-dimension one bifurcation, co-dimension two bifurcation analysis is performed by means of MatCont. The analysis demonstrated that the inclusion of the internal phosphorus recycling term induces rich and complex dynamics of the model. These dynamics include saddle-node bifurcation, cusp, Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation, Generalized Hopf bifurcation and limit point bifurcation of cycles. The results suggest that high internal phosphorus recycling rate promotes bistability and catastrophic shift in a shallow and tropical lake like Tasik Harapan. Hence, the key to effective management of eutrophication in shallow and tropical lakes is the control of internal phosphorus recycling.

Prenatal exposure to air pollution and the risk of preterm birth in rural population of Henan Province.

Due to the poor living and healthcare conditions, preterm birth (PTB) in rural population is a pressing health issue. However, PTB studies in rural population are rare. To explore the effects of air pollutants on PTB in rural population, we collected 697,316 medical records during 2014-2016 based on the National Free Preconception Health Examination Project. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between air pollutants and PTB and the modifying effects of demographic characteristics. Relative contribution and principal component analysis-generalized linear model (PCA-GLM) analysis were used to explore the most significant air pollutant and gestational period. Our results demonstrated that PTB risk is positively associated with exposure to air pollutants including PM10, PM2.5, SO2, NO2, and CO, while negatively associated with O3 exposure (P < 0.05). In addition, we found that NO2 was the largest contributor to the risk of PTB caused by air pollutants (26.5%). The third trimester of pregnancy was the most sensitive exposure window. PCA-GLM analysis showed that the first component (a combination of PM, SO2, NO2, and CO) increased the risk of PTB. Moreover, we found that rural women who are younger, had higher educated, multi-parity, or smoke appeared to be more sensitive to the association between air pollutants exposure and PTB (P-interaction<0.05). Our findings suggested that increased air pollutants except O3 were associated with elevated PTB risk, especially among vulnerable mothers. Therefore, the effects of air pollutants exposure on PTB should be mitigated by restricting emission sources of NO2 and SO2 in rural population, especially during the third trimester.

Gate-Defined Quantum Confinement in CVD 2D WS2.

Temperature-dependent transport measurements are performed on the same set of chemical vapor deposition (CVD)-grown WS2 single- and bilayer devices before and after atomic layer deposition (ALD) of HfO2 . This isolates the influence of HfO2 deposition on low-temperature carrier transport and shows that carrier mobility is not charge impurity limited as commonly thought, but due to another important but commonly overlooked factor: interface roughness. This finding is corroborated by circular dichroic photoluminescence spectroscopy, X-ray photoemission spectroscopy, cross-sectional scanning transmission electron microscopy, carrier-transport modeling, and density functional modeling. Finally, electrostatic gate-defined quantum confinement is demonstrated using a scalable approach of large-area CVD-grown bilayer WS2 and ALD-grown HfO2 . The high dielectric constant and low leakage current enabled by HfO2 allows an estimated quantum dot size as small as 58 nm. The ability to lithographically define increasingly smaller devices is especially important for transition metal dichalcogenides due to their large effective masses, and should pave the way toward their use in quantum information processing applications.