Understanding low acuity emergency department presentations in infancy: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Low acuity presentations (LAPs) contribute to large numbers of ED presentations and carry numerous consequences. The present study sought to improve the understanding of regional infant LAPs by analysing temporal patterns of presentation, discharge diagnoses and potential predictive factors. METHODS: This retrospective observational study examined ED presentations among children less than 12 months old (infants) to the Royal Prince Alfred Hospital between 2017 and 2019. Descriptive statistics were used to identify temporal patterns of presentation and common discharge diagnoses among LAPs. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the association between early life, demographic and perinatal factors and low acuity presenters. RESULTS: Of 6881 infant ED presentations, 19.8% were LAPs, occurring disproportionately on weekdays (82.2%) and during hours of 08.00-17.00 (69.9%). Respiratory tract infections and gastrointestinal complaints were most common overall, though non-allergic rash, feeding difficulties, eczema and developmental concerns contributed substantially among LAPs. Socio-economic status (SES) (odds ratio [OR] 1.71), overseas maternal nationality (OR 1.25) and Medicare ineligible maternal financial class (OR 0.49) were associated with low acuity presenters. Low appearance, pulse, grimace, activity and respiration score (OR 3.53), low SES (OR 3.26), complicated delivery (OR 1.64), maternal multiparity (OR 0.50), maternal partner presence (OR 0.40) and obstetric complications (OR 0.37) were associated with repeat, multi-low acuity presenters (multi-LAPs). CONCLUSION: A substantial minority of infant ED presentations are LAPs. Targeted interventions may benefit from focusing on families with a background of socioeconomic disadvantage, social isolation, cultural and linguistic diversity and perinatal complications, with a view to strengthening engagement with community-based services among these groups.

Clinical characteristics and predictors for hospitalisation during the initial phases of the Delta variant COVID-19 outbreak in Sydney, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: The COVID-19 Delta variant of concern continues to pose significant challenges to health systems globally, with increased transmissibility and different patient populations affected. In Sydney, a virtual model of care was implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and Special Health Accommodation (SHA) was made available for community patients with COVID-19 who could not isolate at home or needed health support. METHODS: This retrospective observational cohort study of all patients with COVID-19 Delta variant in SHA during the initial phases of the Delta variant outbreak in Sydney describes the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with Delta variant COVID-19 and determines predictors of need for in-patient hospital admission. RESULTS: Data from 794 patients were analysed. One hundred and fifty-seven patients (19.8%) were transferred to ED. Of those, 125 were admitted to an in-patient unit (admission rate from ED 79.6%), and of these 30 (24%) went to ICU and seven were intubated. Two patients died within the follow-up period. Age >40 years, obesity, and presence of fever (temperature >37.5°C), hypoxia (oxygen saturation <95%), tachycardia or gastrointestinal symptoms on initial assessment in SHA were independent predictors of in-patient admission with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.73, 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Initial symptoms and vital signs were just as predictive for short-term deterioration as age and pre-existing comorbidities and should be included in future risk prediction models for COVID-19. Based on this, we derive a proposed risk prediction score that incorporates these predictors with further validation required.