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Background Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is the premalignant condition of multiple myeloma (MM). Given a lack of population-based screening for MGUS and its asymptomatic nature, the epidemiology of MGUS remains unknown. This study estimated age- and race/ethnicity-specific MGUS incidence and preclinical duration from MGUS to MM in the United States. Methods A previously published modeling approach was used to calculate national MGUS incidence using estimates of MGUS prevalence, MM incidence, MM-specific and all-cause mortality, and population age distribution from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2004, and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results, 2000-2021. The estimated MGUS prevalence was divided by MGUS incidence to obtain preclinical duration of MM. Results MGUS incidence for non-Hispanic white (NHW) populations was 52, 86, 142, and 181 and for non-Hispanic black (NHB) population was 110, 212, 392, and 570 per 100,000 person-years at ages 50, 60, 70, and 80, respectively. The average preclinical duration was 20.5 (95% confidence interval, CI: 16.5, 26.1) years for the NHW population and 14.2 (95% CI: 11.5, 17.6) years for the NHB population. The cumulative risk of developing MGUS in age 50-85 was 2.8% (95% CI: 1.7%, 4.2%) for the NHW population and 6.1% (95% CI: 3.8%, 10.0%) for the NHB population. Conclusion NHB populations had a higher MGUS incidence rate at all ages and a shorter preclinical duration of MM compared to their NHW counterparts. Impact This study provides insights into the epidemiology of MGUS and enhances our understanding of the natural history of MM.
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Objective: Adequate intraoperative lymph node (LN) assessment is a critical component of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) resection. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network and the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer (CoC) recommend station-based sampling minimums agnostic to tumor location. Other institutions advocate for lobe-specific LN sampling strategies that consider the anatomic likelihood of LN metastases. We examined the relationship between lobe-specific LN assessment and long-term outcomes using a robust, highly curated cohort of stage I NSCLC patients. Methods: We performed a cohort study using a uniquely compiled dataset from the Veterans Health Administration and manually abstracted data from operative and pathology reports for patients with clinical stage I NSCLC (2006-2016). For simplicity in comparison, we included patients who had right upper lobe (RUL) or left upper lobe (LUL) tumors. Based on modified European Society of Thoracic Surgeons guidelines, lobe-specific sampling was defined for RUL tumors (stations 2, 4, 7, and 10 or 11) and LUL tumors (stations 5 or 6, 7, and 10 or 11). Our primary outcome was the risk of cancer recurrence, as assessed by Fine and Gray competing risks modeling. Secondary outcomes included overall survival (OS) and pathologic upstaging. Analyses were adjusted for relevant patient, disease, and treatment variables. Results: Our study included 3534 patients with RUL tumors and 2667 patients with LUL tumors. Of these, 277 patients (7.8%) with RUL tumors and 621 patients (23.2%) with LUL tumors met lobe-specific assessment criteria. Comparatively, 34.7% of patients met the criteria for count-based assessment, and 25.8% met the criteria for station-based sampling (ie, any 3 N2 stations and 1 N1 station). Adherence to lobe-specific assessment was associated with lower cumulative incidence of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-0.98) and a higher likelihood of pathologic upstaging (aHR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.20-1.86). Lobe-specific assessment was not associated with OS. Conclusions: Adherence to intraoperative LN sampling guidelines is low. Lobe-specific assessment is associated with superior outcomes in early-stage NSCLC. Quality metrics that assess adherence to intraoperative LN sampling, such as the CoC Operative Standards manual, also should consider lobe-specific criteria.
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BACKGROUND: Treatments for multiple myeloma (MM) have evolved over time and improved MM survival. While racial differences in MM treatment and prognosis between non-Hispanic African American (NHAA) and non-Hispanic White (NHW) patients are well-established, it is unclear whether they have persisted after the introduction of novel agents. METHODS: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database, our study investigated racial difference in the receipt of treatment within 1 year following diagnosis and assessed survival outcomes among Medicare beneficiaries (≥66 years) diagnosed with MM from 2007 to 2017. We applied multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the association between race and survival and presented hazard ratios (HRs). RESULTS: Of 2094 NHAA and 11,983 NHW older patients with MM, 59.5% and 64.8% received treatment during the first year, respectively. Discrepancy in the proportion of patients receiving treatment between the two groups increased from 2.9% in 2007 to 2009 to 6.9% in 2014-2017. After controlling for relevant factors, patients who received treatment within the first year had lower mortality than those who did not (HR = 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.86-0.94). NHAA patients had a lower probability to receive treatments during the first year than NHW patients (HR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.85-0.97) but had lower mortality (HR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.88-1.00). The lower mortality was only observed among patients who received no treatment (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.77-0.93); NHAA and NHW patients who received treatment had similar survival (p = 0.63). CONCLUSIONS: The increasing racial disparity in treatment utilization over time is concerning. Efforts are needed to eliminate the barriers of receiving treatment.
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Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde , Mieloma Múltiplo , Idoso , Humanos , Negro ou Afro-Americano , Bases de Dados Factuais , Medicare , Mieloma Múltiplo/tratamento farmacológico , Mieloma Múltiplo/mortalidade , Fatores Raciais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Herbicide and pesticide exposure [e.g., agent orange (AO)] is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). However, it is unclear whether TCDD/AO exposure (AO exposure hereafter) increases the risk of progression of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) to MM. We sought to evaluate the association in a nationwide study of US Veterans. A natural language processing algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. We included Veterans who were diagnosed with MGUS from 10/1/1999 to 12/31/2021 and served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962 to 5/7/1975. AO exposure was stratified according to three TCDD exposure levels: high (1/9/1962-11/30/1965), medium (12/1/1965-12/31/1970), or low (1/1/1971-5/7/1975). The association between AO exposure and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. The analytic cohort included 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 26.3% had AO exposure and 7.4% progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, high exposure was associated with an increased progression rate (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. This information is critical to inform progression risk in patients diagnosed with MGUS and prior AO exposure. It is also applicable to MGUS patients with occupational TCDD exposure from herbicides and pesticides.
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Herbicidas , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada , Mieloma Múltiplo , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas , Veteranos , Humanos , Mieloma Múltiplo/induzido quimicamente , Mieloma Múltiplo/epidemiologia , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/induzido quimicamente , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/epidemiologia , Agente Laranja , Vietnã , Herbicidas/efeitos adversos , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas/toxicidadeRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Approximately 3 million Americans served in the armed forces during the Vietnam War. Veterans have a higher incidence rate of lung cancer compared with the general population, which may be related to exposures sustained during service. Agent Orange, one of the tactical herbicides used by the armed forces as a means of destroying crops and clearing vegetation, has been linked to the development of several cancers including non-small cell lung cancer. However, traditional risk models of lung cancer survival and recurrence often do not include such exposures. We aimed to examine the relationship between Agent Orange exposure and overall survival and disease recurrence for surgically treated stage I non-small cell lung cancer. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using a uniquely compiled dataset of US Veterans with pathologic I non-small cell lung cancer. We included adult patients who served in the Vietnam War and underwent surgical resection between 2010 and 2016. Our 2 comparison groups included those with identified Agent Orange exposure and those who were unexposed. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards and Fine and Gray competing risk analyses to examine overall survival and disease recurrence for patients with pathologic stage I disease, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 3958 Vietnam Veterans with pathologic stage I disease were identified (994 who had Agent Orange exposure and 2964 who were unexposed). Those who had Agent Orange exposure were more likely to be male, to be White, and to live a further distance from their treatment facility (P < .05). Tumor size distribution, grade, and histology were similar between cohorts. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling identified similar overall survival between cohorts (Agent Orange exposure hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86-1.09). Patients who had Agent Orange exposure had a 19% increased risk of disease recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02-1.40). CONCLUSIONS: Veterans with known Agent Orange exposure who undergo surgical treatment for stage I non-small cell lung cancer have an approximately 20% increased risk of disease recurrence compared with their nonexposed counterparts. Agent Orange exposure should be taken into consideration when determining treatment and surveillance regimens for Veteran patients.
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Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas , Veteranos , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Agente Laranja , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/cirurgia , Ácido 2,4-Diclorofenoxiacético/efeitos adversos , Ácido 2,4-Diclorofenoxiacético/análise , Estudos Retrospectivos , Ácido 2,4,5-Triclorofenoxiacético/efeitos adversos , Ácido 2,4,5-Triclorofenoxiacético/análise , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas/efeitos adversos , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas/análise , Neoplasias Pulmonares/induzido quimicamente , Neoplasias Pulmonares/cirurgia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Abiraterone and enzalutamide are second generation androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs) used to treat advanced or metastatic prostate cancer. Without head-to-head comparative studies identifying 1 agent as preferred initial therapy, physician preferences guide initial ARPI choice. This study compares hospitalizations among patients treated initially with abiraterone versus enzalutamide. PATIENTS AND METHODS: United States veterans treated with abiraterone or enzalutamide between May 13, 2011 and December 31, 2019; then compared hospitalization rate during first treatment with ARPI in the Veterans Healthcare Administration. Baseline incidence rate of hospitalization was determined from data 1 year prior to ARPI. Incidence Rate Difference (IRD) was calculated using χ2 test and difference in IRD using Poisson Regression. RESULTS: 19,775 veterans were identified; 13,527 (68.4%) were initially treated with abiraterone and 6248 (31.6%) initially with enzalutamide. The enzalutamide cohort was older (75.8 vs. 74.5 years, P < .001) and had higher baseline comorbidities at ARPI initiation (4.4 vs. 4.0, P < .001). Patients were treated with enzalutamide longer than abiraterone (median 9.0 vs. 8.0 months, P < .001). Total hospitalizations increased from 465 per 1000 person-years in the year prior to treatment with abiraterone to 567 during treatment. Total hospitalizations increased from 417 per 1000 person-years in the year prior to treatment with enzalutamide to 430 during treatment. Total rate of hospitalization increased 22% for abiraterone compared to a 3% increase for enzalutamide in the 12 months after ARPI initiation (P < .0001). Abiraterone was associated with greater increase in rates of acute heart failure, atrial fibrillation, acute kidney injury, urinary tract infections, sepsis, and pneumonia. CONCLUSION: By comparing the rate of hospitalization before vs. during treatment, real world analyses identified a 22% versus 3% increase in hospitalizations with abiraterone compared to enzalutamide respectively, despite being used in a younger population with less comorbid disease. Abiraterone was also associated with higher risk of infections, a novel finding.
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Androstenos , Benzamidas , Feniltioidantoína , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração , Veteranos , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/epidemiologia , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/patologia , Nitrilas , Hospitalização , Resultado do Tratamento , Acetato de AbirateronaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To develop and validate natural language processing (NLP)-assisted machine learning (ML)-based classification models to confirm diagnoses of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and multiple myeloma (MM) from electronic health records (EHRs) in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed precompiled lexicons and classification rules as features for the following ML classifiers: logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machines (SVMs). These features were trained on 36,044 EHR documents from a random sample of 400 patients with at least one International Classification of Disease code for MGUS diagnosis from 1999 to 2021. The best-performing feature combination was calibrated in the validation set (17,826 documents/200 patients) and evaluated in the testing set (9,250 documents/100 patients). Model performance in diagnosis confirmation was compared with manual chart review results (gold standard) using recall, precision, accuracy, and F1 score. For patients correctly labeled as disease-positive, the difference between model-identified diagnosis dates and the gold standard was also computed. RESULTS: In the testing set, the NLP-assisted classification model using SVMs achieved best performance in both MGUS and MM confirmation with recall/precision/accuracy/F1 of 98.8%/93.3%/93.0%/96.0% for MGUS and 100.0%/92.3%/99.0%/96.0% for MM. Dates of diagnoses matched (±45 days) with those of gold standard in 73.0% of model-confirmed MGUS and 84.6% of model-confirmed MM. CONCLUSION: An NLP-assisted classification model can reliably confirm MGUS and MM diagnoses and dates and extract laboratory results using automated interpretation of EHR data. This algorithm has the potential to be adapted to other disease areas in VHA EHR system.
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Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada , Mieloma Múltiplo , Veteranos , Humanos , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/diagnóstico , Processamento de Linguagem Natural , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Mieloma Múltiplo/diagnósticoRESUMO
Importance: Recent data suggest that local treatment with radical prostatectomy or radiation may improve survival outcomes in men with advanced prostate cancer. However, evidence is lacking on treatment-related adverse effects among men with advanced prostate cancer. Objective: To assess the association of local treatment on treatment-related adverse effects among men diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study assessed men diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer (defined as T4, N1, and/or M1 prostate cancer) between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2013, with follow-up through December 31, 2021, who were treated at Veterans Health Administration medical centers. Exposure: Local treatment with radical prostatectomy or radiation. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were treatment-related adverse effects, including constitutional, gastrointestinal, pain, sexual function, and urinary function conditions, at 3 intervals after initial treatment (≤1 year, >1 to ≤2 years, and >2 to ≤5 years) after initial treatment. Results: This cohort study consisted of 5502 men (mean [SD] age, 68.7 [10.3] years) diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer. Of the cohort, 1705 men (31.0%) received local treatment. There was a high prevalence of adverse conditions in men receiving both local and nonlocal treatment, and these adverse conditions persisted for more than 2 years to 5 years or less after initial treatment. A total of 916 men (75.2%) with initial local treatment and 897 men (67.1%) with initial nonlocal treatment reported the presence of at least 1 adverse condition for more than 2 years to 5 years or less after initial treatment. In the first year, local treatment (vs nonlocal) was associated with adverse gastrointestinal (multivariable-adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 4.08; 95% CI, 3.06-5.45), pain (AOR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.35-1.83), sexual (AOR, 2.96; 95% CI, 2.42-3.62), and urinary (AOR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.90-2.66) conditions. Local treatment (without secondary treatment) remained significantly associated with adverse gastrointestinal (AOR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.52-3.77), sexual (AOR, 3.36; 95% CI, 2.56-4.41), and urinary (AOR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.09-1.78) conditions at more than 2 years to 5 years or less after treatment. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of men with advanced prostate cancer, local treatment was associated with persistent treatment-related adverse effects across multiple domains. These results suggest that patients and clinicians should consider the adverse effects of local treatment when making treatment decisions in the setting of advanced prostate cancer.
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Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Neoplasias da Próstata/terapia , Pacientes , DorRESUMO
BACKGROUND: We are developing 10 de novo population-level mathematical models in 4 malignancies (multiple myeloma and bladder, gastric, and uterine cancers). Each of these sites has documented disparities in outcome that are believed to be downstream effects of systemic racism. METHODS: Ten models are being independently developed as part of the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network incubator program. These models simulate trends in cancer incidence, early diagnosis, treatment, and mortality for the general population and are stratified by racial subgroup. Model inputs are based on large population datasets, clinical trials, and observational studies. Some core parameters are shared, and other parameters are model specific. All models are microsimulation models that use self-reported race to stratify model inputs. They can simulate the distribution of relevant risk factors (eg, smoking, obesity) and insurance status (for multiple myeloma and uterine cancer) in US birth cohorts and population. DISCUSSION: The models aim to refine approaches in prevention, detection, and management of 4 cancers given uncertainties and constraints. They will help explore whether the observed racial disparities are explainable by inequities, assess the effects of existing and potential cancer prevention and control policies on health equity and disparities, and identify policies that balance efficiency and fairness in decreasing cancer mortality.
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Neoplasias do Endométrio , Mieloma Múltiplo , Neoplasias Uterinas , Feminino , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Mieloma Múltiplo/diagnóstico , Mieloma Múltiplo/epidemiologia , Mieloma Múltiplo/etiologia , Bexiga Urinária , Neoplasias do Endométrio/diagnóstico , Neoplasias do Endométrio/epidemiologia , Neoplasias do Endométrio/etiologia , IncubadorasRESUMO
Background: Herbicide and pesticide exposure (e.g., agent orange [AO]) is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma (MM) due to the contaminant, 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD). Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is the precursor state to MM; however, not all patients with MGUS progress to MM. It is unclear whether AO exposure increases the risk of progression of MGUS to MM. Purpose: We aimed to determine the association between AO exposure and progression to MM in a nation-wide study of U.S. Veterans with MGUS. Patients and Methods: This is a population-based cohort study of Vietnam Era Veterans diagnosed with MGUS. A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was used to confirm MGUS and progression to MM. The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Veterans who served during the Vietnam War Era from 1/9/1962-5/7/1975 and were diagnosed with MGUS between 10/1/1999-12/31/2021 were included. We excluded patients with missing BMI values, progression within 1 year after MGUS diagnosis date, non-IgG or IgA MGUS, or birth years outside of the range of the AO exposed group, and race other than Black and White. AO exposure and service during 1/9/1962-;5/7/1975 and stratified according to TCDD exposure levels by three time periods: 1/9/1962-11/30/1965 (high), 12/1/1965-12/31/1970 (medium), or 1/1/1971-5/7/1975 (low). The association between AO and progression was analyzed using multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model with death as a competing event. Results: We identified 10,847 Veterans with MGUS, of whom 7,996 had AO exposure. Overall, 7.4% of MGUS patients progressed to MM over a median follow-up of 5.2 years. In multivariable analysis, AO exposure from 1/9/1962-11/30/1965, high TCDD exposure, was associated with an increased risk of progression (adjusted hazard ratio 1.48; 95% confidence interval 1.02-2.16), compared to Veterans with no exposure. Conclusions: In patients with MGUS, the high Agent Orange exposure time period is associated with a 48% increased risk of progression to multiple myeloma. This suggests that patients with MGUS and prior Agent Orange exposure or occupational exposure to TCDD (eg. Agricultural workers) may require thorough screening for plasma cell dyscrasias.
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Multiple myeloma (MM) is a hematological malignancy that is consistently preceded by an asymptomatic condition, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Disparities by age, gender, and race/ethnicity in both MGUS and MM are well-established. However, it remains unclear whether these disparities can be explained by increased incidence of MGUS and/or accelerated progression from MGUS to MM. Here, we fit a mathematical model to nationally representative data from the United States and showed that the difference in MM incidence can be explained by an increased incidence of MGUS among male and non-Hispanic Black populations. We did not find evidence showing differences in the rate of progression from MGUS to MM by either gender or race/ethnicity. Our results suggest that screening for MGUS among high-risk groups (e.g., non-Hispanic Black men) may hold promise as a strategy to reduce the burden and MM health disparities.
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Neoplasias Hematológicas , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada , Mieloma Múltiplo , Humanos , Doenças Assintomáticas , Mieloma Múltiplo/epidemiologia , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Fatores Sexuais , Grupos Raciais , EtnicidadeRESUMO
Background: Many individuals undergoing cancer treatment experience substantial financial hardship, often referred to as financial toxicity (FT). Those undergoing prostate cancer treatment may experience FT and its impact can exacerbate disparate health outcomes. Localized prostate cancer treatment options include: radiation, surgery, and/or active surveillance. Quality of life tradeoffs and costs differ between treatment options. In this project, our aim was to quantify direct healthcare costs to support patients and clinicians as they discuss prostate cancer treatment options. We provide the transparent steps to estimate healthcare costs associated with treatment for localized prostate cancer among the privately insured population using a large claims dataset. Methods: To quantify the costs associated with their prostate cancer treatment, we used data from the Truven Health Analytics MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters, including MarketScan Medicaid, and peer reviewed literature. Strategies to estimate costs included: (1) identifying the problem, (2) engaging a multidisciplinary team, (3) reviewing the literature and identifying the database, (4) identifying outcomes, (5) defining the cohort, and (6) designing the analytic plan. The costs consist of patient, clinician, and system/facility costs, at 1-year, 3-years, and 5-years following diagnosis. Results: We outline our specific strategies to estimate costs, including: defining complex research questions, defining the study population, defining initial prostate cancer treatment, linking facility and provider level related costs, and developing a shared understanding of definitions on our research team. Discussion and next steps: Analyses are underway. We plan to include these costs in a prostate cancer patient decision aid alongside other clinical tradeoffs.
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This cohort study analyzes a nationally representative sample with a screening test for monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) to evaluate overall survival of populations with MGUS compared with those without MGUS among the general population in the US.
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Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada , Mieloma Múltiplo , Humanos , Gamopatia Monoclonal de Significância Indeterminada/epidemiologia , Progressão da DoençaRESUMO
Machine learning-aided medical decision making presents three major challenges: achieving model parsimony, ensuring credible predictions, and providing real-time recommendations with high computational efficiency. In this paper, we formulate medical decision making as a classification problem and develop a moment kernel machine (MKM) to tackle these challenges. The main idea of our approach is to treat the clinical data of each patient as a probability distribution and leverage moment representations of these distributions to build the MKM, which transforms the high-dimensional clinical data to low-dimensional representations while retaining essential information. We then apply this machine to various pre-surgical clinical datasets to predict surgical outcomes and inform medical decision making, which requires significantly less computational power and time for classification while yielding favorable performance compared to existing methods. Moreover, we utilize synthetic datasets to demonstrate that the developed moment-based data mining framework is robust to noise and missing data, and achieves model parsimony giving an efficient way to generate satisfactory predictions to aid personalized medical decision making.
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Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Mineração de Dados , Humanos , Hidrolases , Aprendizado de Máquina , ProbabilidadeRESUMO
Importance: While the COVID-19 pandemic enters a new phase and the proportion of individuals with a previous COVID-19 diagnosis increases, the national patterns in kidney use and medium-term kidney transplant (KT) outcomes among patients receiving kidneys from active or resolved COVID-19-positive donors remain unknown. Objective: To evaluate the patterns in kidney use and KT outcomes among adult recipients of kidneys from deceased donors with active or resolved COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted using national US transplant registry data from 35 851 deceased donors (71 334 kidneys) and 45â¯912 adult patients who received KTs from March 1, 2020, to March 30, 2023. Exposure: The exposure was donor SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid amplification test (NAT) results, with positive NAT results within 7 days before procurement defined as active COVID-19 and positive NAT results 1 week (>7 days) before procurement defined as resolved COVID-19. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were kidney nonuse, all-cause kidney graft failure, and all-cause patient death. Secondary outcomes were acute rejection (ie, rejection in the first 6 months after KT), transplant hospitalization length of stay (LOS), and delayed graft function (DGF). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed for kidney nonuse, rejection, and DGF; multivariable linear regression analyses were performed for LOS; and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed for graft failure and all-cause death. All models were adjusted for inverse probability treatment weighting. Results: Among 35 851 deceased donors, the mean (SD) age was 42.5 (15.3) years; 22 319 (62.3%) were men and 23 992 (66.9%) were White. Among 45â¯912 recipients, the mean (SD) age was 54.3 (13.2) years; 27 952 (60.9%) were men and 15 349 (33.4%) were Black. The likelihood of nonuse of kidneys from active or resolved COVID-19-positive donors decreased over time. Overall, kidneys from active COVID-19-positive donors (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.55; 95% CI, 1.38-1.76) and kidneys from resolved COVID-19-positive donors (AOR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.16-1.48) had a higher likelihood of nonuse compared with kidneys from COVID-19-negative donors. From 2020 to 2022, kidneys from active COVID-19-positive donors (2020: AOR, 11.26 [95% CI, 2.29-55.38]; 2021: AOR, 2.09 [95% CI, 1.58-2.79]; 2022: AOR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.28-1.70]) had a higher likelihood of nonuse compared with kidneys from donors without COVID-19. Kidneys from resolved COVID-19-positive donors had a higher likelihood of nonuse in 2020 (AOR, 3.87; 95% CI, 1.26-11.90) and 2021 (AOR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.54-2.45) but not in 2022 (AOR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.94-1.28). In 2023, kidneys from both active COVID-19-positive donors (AOR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.75-1.63) and resolved COVID-19-positive donors (AOR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.80-1.73) were not associated with higher odds of nonuse. No higher risk of graft failure or death was found in patients receiving kidneys from active COVID-19-positive donors (graft failure: adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.03 [95% CI, 0.78-1.37]; patient death: AHR, 1.17 [95% CI, 0.84-1.66]) or resolved COVID-19-positive donors (graft failure: AHR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.88-1.39]; patient death: AHR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.70-1.28]). Donor COVID-19 positivity was not associated with longer LOS, higher risk of acute rejection, or higher risk of DGF. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, the likelihood of nonuse of kidneys from COVID-19-positive donors decreased over time, and donor COVID-19 positivity was not associated with worse KT outcomes within 2 years after transplant. These findings suggest that the use of kidneys from donors with active or resolved COVID-19 is safe in the medium term; further research is needed to assess longer-term transplant outcomes.
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Teste para COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Masculino , Adulto , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Feminino , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pandemias , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , RimRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of post-diagnostic metformin or statin use and duration on risk of biochemical recurrence in a racially-diverse cohort of Veterans. METHODS: The population consisted of men diagnosed with prostate cancer in the Veterans Health Administration and treated with either radical prostatectomy or radiation (Full cohort n = 65,759, Black men n = 18,817, White men n = 46,631, Other = 311). The association between post-diagnostic (1) metformin and (2) statin use with biochemical recurrence was assessed using multivariable, time-varying Cox Proportional Hazard Models for the overall cohort and by race. In a secondary analysis, metformin and statin duration were evaluated. RESULTS: Post-diagnostic metformin use was not associated with biochemical recurrence (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.94, 1.09), with similar results observed for both Black and White men. However, duration of metformin use was associated with a reduced risk of biochemical recurrence in the cohort overall (HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.95) as well as both Black and White men. By contrast, statin use was associated with a reduced risk of biochemical recurrence (HR: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.88) in the overall cohort as well as both White and Black men. Duration of statin use was also inversely associated with biochemical recurrence in all groups. CONCLUSION: Post-diagnostic metformin and statin use have the potential to prevent biochemical recurrence in men diagnosed with prostate cancer.
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Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Metformina , Neoplasias da Próstata , Veteranos , Masculino , Humanos , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Metformina/uso terapêutico , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologia , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/cirurgia , Neoplasias da Próstata/cirurgia , Prostatectomia/métodosRESUMO
To determine the effect of donor hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection on kidney transplant (KT) outcomes in the era of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) medications, we examined 68,087 HCV-negative KT recipients from a deceased donor between March 2015 and May 2021. A Cox regression analysis was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of KT failure, incorporating inverse probability of treatment weighting to control for patient selection to receive an HCV-positive kidney (either nucleic acid amplification test positive [NAT+, n = 2331] or antibody positive (Ab+)/NAT- [n = 1826]) based on recipient characteristics. Compared with kidney from HCV-negative donors, those from Ab+/NAT- (aHR = 0.91; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-1.10) and HCV NAT+ (aHR = 0.89; 95% CI, 0.73-1.08) donors were not associated with an increased risk of KT failure over 3 years after transplant. Moreover, HCV NAT+ kidneys were associated with a higher 1-year estimated glomerular filtration (63.0 vs 61.0 mL/min/1.73 m2, P = .007) and lower risk of delayed graft function (aOR = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.68-0.84) compared with HCV-negative kidneys. Our findings suggest that donor HCV positivity is not associated with an elevated risk of graft failure. The inclusion of donor HCV status in the Kidney Donor Risk Index may no longer be appropriate in contemporary practice.
Assuntos
Hepatite C Crônica , Hepatite C , Transplante de Rim , Humanos , Hepacivirus , Transplante de Rim/efeitos adversos , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Hepatite C Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Doadores de TecidosRESUMO
This cross-sectional study examines the rate of HPV vaccination and the number eligible for this vaccination among younger veterans and civilians.
Assuntos
Neoplasias , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Veteranos , Humanos , Feminino , Papillomavirus Humano , Prevalência , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , VacinaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In context of increasing complexity and risk of deceased kidney donors and transplant recipients, the impact of center volume (CV) on the outcomes of high-risk kidney transplants(KT) has not been well determined. METHODS: We examined the association of CV and outcomes among 285 U.S. transplant centers from 2000-2016. High-risk KT were defined as recipient age ≥ 70 years, body mass index (BMI) ≥ 35 kg/m2, receiving kidneys from donors with kidney donor profile index(KDPI) ≥ 85%, acute kidney injury(AKI), hepatitisC + . Average annual CV for the specific-high-risk KT categorized in tertiles. Death-Censored-Graft-Loss(DCGL) and death at 3 months, 1, 5, and 10 years were compared between CV tertiles using Cox-regression models. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty thousand five hundred seventy-four KT were analyzed. Compared to high CV, recipients with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 had higher risk of DCGL in low CV(aHR = 1.11,95%CI = 1.03-1.19) at 10 years; recipients with age ≥ 70 years had higher risk of death in low CV(aHR = 1.07,95%CI = 1.01-14) at 10 years. There was no difference of DCGL or death in low CV for donors with KDPI ≥ 85%, hepatitisC + , or AKI. CONCLUSIONS: Recipients of high-risk KT with BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 have higher risk of DCGL and recipients age ≥ 70 years have higher risk of death in low CV, compared to high CV. Future studies should identify care practices associated with CV that support optimal outcomes after KT.
Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda , Transplante de Rim , Idoso , Humanos , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Doadores de Tecidos , TransplantadosRESUMO
There is a chronic shortage of donor lungs for pulmonary transplantation due, in part, to low lung utilization rates in the United States. We performed a retrospective cohort study using data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database (2006-2019) and developed the lung donor (LUNDON) acceptability score. A total of 83 219 brain-dead donors were included and were randomly divided into derivation (n = 58 314, 70%) and validation (n = 24 905, 30%) cohorts. The overall lung acceptance was 27.3% (n = 22 767). Donor factors associated with the lung acceptance were age, maximum creatinine, ratio of arterial partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen, mechanism of death by asphyxiation or drowning, history of cigarette use (≥20 pack-years), history of myocardial infarction, chest x-ray appearance, bloodstream infection, and the occurrence of cardiac arrest after brain death. The prediction model had high discriminatory power (C statistic, 0.891; 95% confidence interval, 0.886-0.895) in the validation cohort. We developed a web-based, user-friendly tool (available at https://sites.wustl.edu/lundon) that provides the predicted probability of donor lung acceptance. LUNDON score was also associated with recipient survival in patients with high lung allocation scores. In conclusion, the multivariable LUNDON score uses readily available donor characteristics to reliably predict lung acceptability. Widespread adoption of this model may standardize lung donor evaluation and improve lung utilization rates.