Prolonged viral shedding and new mutations of COVID-19 could complicate the control of the pandemic.

The studies of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have mainly focused on epidemiological and clinical features of patients, but transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 virus after patients have recovered is still poorly understood. Here we report a case with prolonged viral shedding of COVID-19 in Kaohsiung, Taiwan. This patient started to show myalgia and malaise in Wuhan, and the onset of the fever was on days 7-14 of the illness. All clinical and radiological results returned to normal after day 26, however, viral shedding was still evident 14 days later. Sequence analysis of the genome of the Taiwanese SARS-CoV-2 isolate from this patient reveals new mutations in viral replicase and ORF3a, indicating that COVID-19 evolves very quickly. Prolonged viral shedding and new mutations in the viral genome could potentially complicate the control of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Alcohol use disorders associated with an increased risk of mesenteric ischemia: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the relationship of patients with a history of alcohol use disorders (AUD) and its diagnostic categories with risk of subsequent mesenteric ischemia in Taiwan. METHODS: A nationwide population-based cohort study was conducted using data from the Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. We identified 73,583 patients hospitalized for AUD between 2001 and 2010, and matched each case with four comparison patients based on age, gender, Charlson comorbidity index, and the index date. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the risk of mesenteric ischemia between the AUD and non-AUD cohorts. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. RESULTS: Patients with AUD exhibited a significantly increased risk of developing mesenteric ischemia (HR = 2.25; 95% CI 1.92-2.64) compared with those with non-AUD after adjustment for patient sociodemographic, coexisting comorbid conditions, and hospital characteristics. Furthermore, a 2.29- and 2.17-fold higher risk of mesenteric ischemia was observed in patients with alcohol abuse/dependence (HR = 2.29; 95% CI 1.94-2.71) and alcoholic psychosis (HR = 2.17; 95% CI 1.72-2.73), respectively, than in non-AUD comparisons after covariate adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed that the risk of mesenteric ischemia was significantly higher among patients with different diagnostic categories of AUD, particularly for those with alcohol abuse/dependence.

Synchronous Appendiceal Triple Primary Neoplasms and Acute Abdomen-A Case Report.

Abdominal pain is a very common presenting symptom in the emergency department (ED). To reach an accurate diagnosis one must consider the possibility of multiple conditions that might cause the presenting symptom. We reported a female patient who came to our ED due to aggravated right lower quadrant abdominal pain for several hours. Multiple diagnosis of right T11 herpes zoster, right urolithiasis with hydronephrosis, appendiceal collision tumors of adenocarcinoma arising from adenoma and neuroendocrine tumor as well as leiomyoma in the surrounding adipose tissue were made. Histological examination and immunohistochemistrysupport these three lesions as separate entities. This case is unique because her multiple combined illness present as abdominal pain. Each one could be the cause of chief complaint, across dermatologic, urologic and neoplastic disorders.

Acute pesticide poisoning outcomes: a nationwide study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: This study presents the findings of a nationwide study of acute pesticide poisoning (APP) outcomes, including outcome predictors such as physician and hospital volume and associated factors. METHODS: This study of data contained in the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database analysed 27 046 patients who had been hospitalised for APP from January 1996 to December 2007. Patient characteristics were then compared among quartiles. The primary outcome measures were length of stay (LOS) and hospital treatment cost. Effect size (ES) was compared among three equally divided periods, and multiple regression models were used to identify outcome predictors. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of APP per 100 000 patients decreased from 12.43 in 1996 to 6.87 in 2007. The LOS for APP treatment was negatively associated with physician volume during the study period. Both LOS and hospital treatment cost were lowest in the high hospital volume subgroup. Comparisons of LOS and hospital treatment cost among the three periods showed that high-volume hospitals and high-volume physicians had better ESs compared to low-volume hospitals and low-volume physicians. Age and number of co-morbidities had significant positive associations with LOS, while admission year, male gender, hospital level, hospital volume and physician volume had significant negative associations with LOS (p<0.05). Hospital treatment cost and hospital level correlated positively with admission year, number of co-morbidities and LOS but correlated negatively with hospital volume and physician volume (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In APP patients, treatment by a high-volume physician can reduce LOS and treatment cost.

Comparisons of prediction models of quality of life after laparoscopic cholecystectomy: a longitudinal prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Few studies of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC) outcome have used longitudinal data for more than two years. Moreover, no studies have considered group differences in factors other than outcome such as age and nonsurgical treatment. Additionally, almost all published articles agree that the essential issue of the internal validity (reproducibility) of the artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian process regression (GPR) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models has not been adequately addressed. This study proposed to validate the use of these models for predicting quality of life (QOL) after LC and to compare the predictive capability of ANNs with that of SVM, GPR and MLR. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A total of 400 LC patients completed the SF-36 and the Gastrointestinal Quality of Life Index at baseline and at 2 years postoperatively. The criteria for evaluating the accuracy of the system models were mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). A global sensitivity analysis was also performed to assess the relative significance of input parameters in the system model and to rank the variables in order of importance. Compared to SVM, GPR and MLR models, the ANN model generally had smaller MSE and MAPE values in the training data set and test data set. Most ANN models had MAPE values ranging from 4.20% to 8.60%, and most had high prediction accuracy. The global sensitivity analysis also showed that preoperative functional status was the best parameter for predicting QOL after LC. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Compared with SVM, GPR and MLR models, the ANN model in this study was more accurate in predicting patient-reported QOL and had higher overall performance indices. Further studies of this model may consider the effect of a more detailed database that includes complications and clinical examination findings as well as more detailed outcome data.

Long-term prediction of emergency department revenue and visitor volume using autoregressive integrated moving average model.

This study analyzed meteorological, clinical and economic factors in terms of their effects on monthly ED revenue and visitor volume. Monthly data from January 1, 2005 to September 30, 2009 were analyzed. Spearman correlation and cross-correlation analyses were performed to identify the correlation between each independent variable, ED revenue, and visitor volume. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to quantify the relationship between each independent variable, ED revenue, and visitor volume. The accuracies were evaluated by comparing model forecasts to actual values with mean absolute percentage of error. Sensitivity of prediction errors to model training time was also evaluated. The ARIMA models indicated that mean maximum temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, non-trauma, and trauma visits may correlate positively with ED revenue, but mean minimum temperature may correlate negatively with ED revenue. Moreover, mean minimum temperature and stock market index fluctuation may correlate positively with trauma visitor volume. Mean maximum temperature, relative humidity and stock market index fluctuation may correlate positively with non-trauma visitor volume. Mean maximum temperature and relative humidity may correlate positively with pediatric visitor volume, but mean minimum temperature may correlate negatively with pediatric visitor volume. The model also performed well in forecasting revenue and visitor volume.

Acute quadriparesis caused by spinal arteriovenous malformation: a case report.

Arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) in the spinal cord are relatively rare lesions, especially in the cervical region. Here we report a case of cervical spinal AVM with hemorrhage in a young man who developed acute quadriparesis during exercise. For spinal AVM, emergent spinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a useful screening tool, and angiography can provide the most important diagnostic information. The emergency physician should have a high index of suspicion for diagnosis and appropriate management of this rare condition. Early diagnosis and management is essential to preserve neurologic functioning.