Incidence of hospitalization for infection among patients with hepatitis B or C virus infection without cirrhosis in Taiwan: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Infection is a major complication in liver cirrhosis and causes major morbidity and mortality. However, the incidence and mortality related to these conditions in patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are unclear, as is whether antiviral therapy could change their infection risk. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In this community-based cohort study, a total of 115,336 adults (mean age 52.2 years; 35.6% men) without cirrhosis participating in the New Taipei City Health Screening in 2005-2008 were classified as having noncirrhotic HCV (NC-HCV) (n = 2,839), noncirrhotic hepatitis B virus (NC-HBV) (n = 8,316), or no HBV or HCV infection (NBNC) (n = 104,181). Participants were followed to their first hospitalization for infection or death after data linkage with the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) and Death Registry. A Cox proportional hazard regression model, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking, alcohol consumption, education level, diabetes, renal function, systemic steroids, and history of hospitalization, was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall and individual sites of infection and infection-related mortality. The reference group was NBNC participants with normal to mildly elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (<1.5 times upper normal limit [UNL]) levels. To further address the impact of antiviral treatment on infection risk, we conducted analyses of data from the nationwide NHIRD and compared the risks for hospitalization because of infections and infection-related deaths between patients with HCV who received antiviral therapy (n = 20,264) and those who remained untreated (n = 104,360). During a median 8.2-year follow-up, the incidence of hospitalization for infection was substantially higher in NC-HCV patients. Compared to the reference group, NC-HCV was associated with a significantly higher risk for hospitalization because of overall infections (adjusted HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.12-1.33), but we observed no increased risk for patients in the NC-HBV (adjusted HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.88-1.01) or NBNC group with moderate to markedly elevated ALT levels (adjusted HR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.93-1.14). For specific sites of infection, the NC-HCV group had increased risks for septicemia and lower respiratory tract, reproductive, and urinary tract infections. We noted no increased risk for infection-related death among patients with NC-HCV. Patients with HCV who received antiviral therapy had significantly reduced infection-related hospitalization and death risks (adjusted HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.73-0.84 for infection-related hospitalization and adjusted HR: 0.08; 95% CI: 0.04-0.16 for infection-related deaths). Study limitations include the exclusion of patients with cirrhosis from the cohort, the possibility of unmeasured confounding, and the lack of information on direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, patients with NC-HCV were at increased risk for hospitalization for infection, while no increased risk was observed for NC-HBV-infected patients.

Development and validation of nomograms for predicting survival probability of patients with advanced adenocarcinoma in different EGFR mutation status.

INTRODUCTION: Molecular markers are important variables in the selection of treatment for cancer patients and highly associated with their survival. Therefore, a nomogram that can predict survival probability by incorporating epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status and treatments for patients with advanced adenocarcinoma would be highly valuable. The aim of the study is to develop and validate a novel nomogram, incorporating epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status and treatments, for predicting 1-year and 2-year survival probability of patients with advanced adenocarcinoma. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data on 13,043 patients between June 1, 2011, and December 31, 2014 were collected. Seventy percent of them were randomly assigned to the training cohort for nomogram development, and the remaining 30% assigned to the validation cohort. The most important factors for constructing the nomogram were identified using multivariable Cox regression analysis. The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomograms were tested using C-statistics, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: In the training cohort, 1-year and 2-year OS were 52.8% and 28.5% in EGFR(-) patients, and 73.9% and 44.1% in EGFR(+) patients, respectively. In EGFR(+) group, factors selected were age, gender, congestive heart failure, renal disease, number of lymph node examined, tumor stage, surgical intervention, radiotherapy, first-line chemotherapy, ECOG performance status, malignant pleural effusion, and smoking. In EGFR(-) group, factors selected were age, gender, myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease, chronic pulmonary disease, number of lymph node examined, tumor stage, surgical intervention, radiotherapy, ECOG performance status, malignant pleural effusion, and a history of smoking. Two nomograms show good accuracy in predicting OS, with a concordance index of 0.83 in EGFR(+) and of 0.88 in EGFR(-). CONCLUSIONS: The survival prediction models can be used to make individualized predictions with different EGFR mutation status and a useful tool for selecting regimens for treating advanced adenocarcinoma.

Survival Analysis After Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Critically Ill Adults: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) provides circulatory and respiratory support for patients with severe acute cardiopulmonary failure. The objective of this study was to examine the survival outcomes for patients who received ECMO. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adult patients who received ECMO from September 1, 2002, to December 31, 2012, were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database associated with coronary artery bypass graft surgery, myocardial infarction/cardiogenic shock, injury, and infection/septic shock. A Cox regression model was used to determine hazard ratios and to compare 30-day and 1-year survival rates with the myocardial infarction/cardiogenic shock group used as the reference. The mean±SD age of the 4227-patient cohort was 57±17 years, and 72% were male. The overall mortalities were 59.8% and 76.5% at 1 month and 1 year. Survival statistics deteriorated sharply when ECMO was required for >3 days. Acute (30-day) survival was more favorable in the infection/septic shock (n=1076; hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.67), coronary artery bypass graft surgery (n=1077; hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.61-0.75), and injury (n=369, hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.95) groups. The extended survival rapidly approached an asymptote near 20% for the infection/septic shock, myocardial infarction/cardiogenic shock (n=1705), and coronary artery bypass graft surgery groups. The pattern of survival for the injury group was somewhat better, exceeding 30% at year-end. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of initial pathology, patients requiring ECMO were critically ill with similar guarded prognoses. Those in the trauma group had somewhat better outcomes. Determining the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of ECMO should be a critical future goal.

Effectiveness and safety of extracranial carotid stent placement: a nationwide self-controlled case-series study.

BACKGROUND: Carotid angioplasty and stent (CAS) placement has emerged as an attractive revascularization strategy for patients with internal carotid artery stenosis. However, the effectiveness and safety of CAS were not fully evaluated, mainly because of methodological difficulties in finding an appropriate comparison group. METHODS: Patients who underwent CAS were identified from Taiwan's National Health Insurance claims database between 2005 and 2008. The incidence rate of ischemic stroke after CAS was compared with that of the year prior to the procedure using a self-controlled case series analysis and a conditional Poisson regression model. Logistic regression was conducted to identify factors associated with poor outcome. RESULTS: A total of 1258 patients who had undergone CAS were included, and 73 cases (5.8%) of death or ischemic stroke occurred during the index hospitalization. Within 1 year after CAS, 74 patients died and 80 experienced an ischemic stroke. Of the 1184 patients who were followed for 360 days, the rate ratio for ischemic stroke decreased to 0.21 (95% CI: 0.08-0.51) between 31 and 180 days, and 0.10 (95% CI: 0.03-0.32) between 181 and 360 days. Statin therapy was associated with a reduced risk of death or ischemic stroke in the 1(st) month (odds ratio of 0.53; 95% CI: 0.32-0.90). Conversely, the use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory agents, possibly histamine-2 receptor blockers, and CAS performed by low-volume operators were associated with a twofold increased risk. CONCLUSION: CAS reduced the long-term risk for ischemic stroke. Self-controlled case series analysis might be an appropriate design for evaluating device safety and effectiveness.

Risk of new acute myocardial infarction hospitalization associated with use of oral and parenteral non-steroidal anti-inflammation drugs (NSAIDs): a case-crossover study of Taiwan's National Health Insurance claims database and review of current evidence.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have documented the increased cardiovascular risk associated with the use of some nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). Despite this, many old NSAIDs are still prescribed worldwide. Most of the studies to date have been focused on specific oral drugs or limited by the number of cases examined. We studied the risk of new acute myocardial infarction (AMI) hospitalization with current use of a variety of oral and parenteral NSAIDs in a nationwide population, and compared our results with existing evidence. METHODS: We conducted a case-crossover study using the Taiwan's National Health Insurance claim database, identifying patients with new AMI hospitalized in 2006. The 1-30 days and 91-120 days prior to the admission were defined as case and matched control period for each patient, respectively. Uses of NSAIDs during the respective periods were compared using conditional logistic regression and adjusted for use of co-medications. RESULTS: 8354 new AMI hospitalization patients fulfilled the study criteria. 14 oral and 3 parenteral NSAIDs were selected based on drug utilization profile among 13.7 million NSAID users. The adjusted odds ratio, aOR (95% confidence interval), for risk of AMI and use of oral and parenteral non-selective NSAIDs were 1.42 (1.29, 1.56) and 3.35 (2.50, 4.47), respectively, and significantly greater for parenteral than oral drugs (p for interaction<0.01). Ketorolac was associated with the highest AMI risk among both of oral and parenteral NSAIDs studied, the aORs were 2.02 (1.00, 4.09) and 4.27 (2.90, 6.29) respectively. Use of oral flurbiprofen, ibuprofen, sulindac, diclofenac, and parenteral ketoprofen were also significantly associated with increased AMI risk. The results of the present study were consistent with the majority of evidence from previous studies. CONCLUSIONS: The collective evidence revealed the tendency of increased AMI risk with current use of some NSAIDs. A higher AMI risk associated with use of parenteral NSAIDs was observed in the present study. Ketorolac had the highest associated risk in both oral and parenteral NSAIDs studied. Though further investigation to confirm the association is warranted, prescribing physicians and the general public should be cautious about the potential risk of AMI when using NSAIDs.

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use and risk of upper gastrointestinal adverse events in cirrhotic patients.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The upper gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity associated with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAID) use among cirrhotic patients remains unclear. The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of upper GI adverse events associated with celecoxib and oral and parenteral non-selective NSAIDs in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: All the patients aged ≥ 20 years with a diagnosis of cirrhosis hospitalized for variceal bleeding and non-variceal upper GI adverse events (oesophageal, gastric, duodenal ulcer, bleeding; gastritis and duodenitis) in 2006 were identified using ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes from inpatient claims from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. In the case-crossover study design, the case period was defined as 1-30 days and the control period as 31-60 days before the date of hospitalization. The information for individual NSAID use was obtained from the outpatient pharmacy prescription database. Adjusted self-matched odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated with a conditional logistic regression model. RESULTS: A total of 4876 cirrhotic patients were included. The adjusted OR (95% CI) was 1.44 (0.89-2.31) for celecoxib, 1.87 (1.66-2.11) for oral non-selective NSAIDs and 1.90 (1.55-2.32) for parenteral NSAIDs overall. Risks were similar for variceal and non-variceal events. Concomitant use of proton pump inhibitors and histamine-2 receptor antagonists tended to decrease the upper GI toxicity associated with non-selective NSAIDs and celecoxib. CONCLUSION: The use of nsNSAIDs but not celecoxib was associated with a two-fold increased risk of variceal and non-variceal upper GI events among cirrhotic patients.

Risk of hospitalization for upper gastrointestinal adverse events associated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: a nationwide case-crossover study in Taiwan.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the risks of upper gastrointestinal (GI) adverse events across a variety of oral and parenteral coxibs and nonselective nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (nsNSAIDs) in the general population of Taiwan. METHODS: In a case-crossover study, all patients aged ≥20 years who were hospitalized for upper GI adverse events (peptic ulcer and bleeding; gastritis and duodenitis) in 2006 were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes from inpatient claims from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. For each patient, the case period was defined as 1-30 days and the control period as 31-60 days before the date of hospitalization. Outpatient pharmacy prescription database was searched for individual NSAID use during the case and control periods. A conditional logistic regression model was applied, and adjusted self-matched odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were reported. RESULTS: A total of 40,635 patients hospitalized for upper GI adverse events were included. The adjusted OR was 1.52 (95%CI: 1.27-1.82) for celecoxib and 2.56 (95%CI: 2.44-2.69) for oral nsNSAIDs. The ORs were above 2 for oral piroxicam, diclofenac, ketorolac, ketoprofen, acemetacin, and naproxen and were around 1.5 for tiaprofenic acid, indomethacin, mefenamic acid, and ibuprofen. Higher risks were evident for parenteral NSAIDs, in particular ketorolac with an OR of 5.76 (95%CI: 5.14-6.44). CONCLUSION: Use of celecoxib and all nsNSAIDs studied was associated with a greater risk of upper GI toxicity as compared with nonuse. Parenteral NSAIDs posed a higher risk, but celecoxib, ibuprofen, and mefenamic acid posed a lower risk than other NSAIDs.

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of lower gastrointestinal adverse events: a nationwide study in Taiwan.

OBJECTIVE: Only limited studies have evaluated the risk of non-selective non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (nsNSAIDs) and coxibs for lower gastrointestinal (GI) adverse outcomes. The objective of this study was to evaluate risks of lower GI adverse events associated with use of celecoxib, oral and parenteral nsNSAIDs. DESIGN: Retrospective case-crossover study. SETTING: Records of all patients aged ≥20 years hospitalised for lower GI adverse events (bleeding from small or large intestine, perforation, and complicated diverticular disease) in 2006 were retrieved using ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes from inpatient claims from the Taiwan National Health Insurance database. INTERVENTIONS: Case periods were defined for each patient as 1-30 days prior to hospital admission date and control period as 91-120 days prior to hospital admission date. The pharmacy prescription database was searched for NSAID use during case and control periods. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We calculated adjusted self-matched ORs and 95% CIs with a conditional logistic regression model to determine the associations between NSAID use and lower GI adverse outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1297 patients hospitalised for lower GI adverse events were included. Celecoxib was associated with an adjusted OR of 2.33 (95% CI 0.97 to 5.59); the association became statistically significant (OR: 3.26, 95% CI 1.07 to 9.91) when a different control period (31-60 days) was applied. Both oral and parenteral nsNSAIDs significantly increased risk for lower GI adverse events (OR: 2.26, 95% CI 1.78 to 2.85 and OR: 5.64, 95% CI 3.24 to 9.82, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Oral and parenteral NSAIDs were associated with significantly increased risk for lower GI adverse events. Celecoxib also increased risk to a comparable extent, despite risk estimates being affected slightly by the control period chosen for comparison. The association of NSAIDs with specific lower GI adverse events and long-term complications requires further investigation.