Hippocampal volume mediates the association of arterial stiffness with cognitive impairment in adult population.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of arterial stiffness with brain perfusion, brain tissue volume and cognitive impairment in the general adult population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective study included 1488 adult participants (age range: 22.8-83.9 years) from the Kailuan study. All participants underwent brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (PWV) measurement, brain MRI, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). The association of PWV with cerebral blood flow (CBF), brain tissue volume and MoCA score was investigated. Mediation analysis was used to determine whether CBF and brain tissue volume changes mediated the associations between PWV and MoCA score. RESULTS: A 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in PWV was associated with lower total brain CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.67 (-1.2 to -0.14)], total gray matter CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.7 [-1.27 to -0.13)], frontal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.59 (-1.17 to -0.01)], parietal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.8 (-1.43 to -0.18)], and temporal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.68 (-1.24 to -0.12)]. Negative associations were found for PWV and total brain volume [ß (95% CI) -4.8 (-7.61 to -1.99)] and hippocampus volume [ß (95% CI) -0.08 (-0.13 to -0.04)]. A 1 SD increase PWV was significantly associated with elevated odds of developing cognitive impairment [odds ratio (95% CI) 1.21 (1.01-1.45)]. Mediation analysis showed that hippocampal volume partially mediated the negative association between PWV and MoCA scores (proportion: 14.173%). CONCLUSION: High arterial stiffness was associated with decreased total and regional CBF, brain tissue volume, and cognitive impairment. Hippocampal volume partially mediated the effects of arterial stiffness on cognitive impairment.

Cumulative remnant cholesterol burden increases the risk of cardiovascular disease among young adults.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that remnant cholesterol (RC) was associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) among middle-aged or older adults. However, lack of evidence on long-term exposures to RC and their role in CVD risk among young adults. We thus aimed to explore the association between cumulative RC burden and CVD in young adults. METHODS: We enrolled participants younger than 45 years free of CVD history in the Kailuan Study who completed the first three health examinations from 2006 to 2010. Cumulative RC burden included cumulative RC burden score, time-weighted cumulative RC, exposure duration of high RC, and time course of RC accumulation. The outcome was the incidence of CVD. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between cumulative RC burden and CVD risk. RESULTS: A total of 15,219 participants were included (73.70% male, median age 39.13 years). During a median follow-up duration of 8.71 years (interquartile range: 8.4-9.15 years), 502 individuals developed CVD. After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, highest risk of CVD was observed in participants with the highest cumulative RC burden score (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.29-2.12), the highest quartile time-weighted cumulative RC (HR,1.50; 95% CI, 1.15-1.96), the longest exposure duration of high RC (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.21-2.42), and those with cumulative RC burden and positive slope (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.35-2.36). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative RC burden increased the risk of CVD among young adults, suggesting that maintaining low RC levels throughout young adulthood may minimize CVD risk.

Triglyceride levels and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in Chinese adults younger than 40 years old: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Data on the associations of triglyceride (TG) levels with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality mainly focused on the middle-aged or elderly population, with limited information available for younger adults. This study aimed to identify such associations among Chinese young adults. Methods: This study included Chinese adults younger than 40 years free of CVD, cancer, and lipid-lowering agents at baseline in the Kailuan study who were enrolled during 2006 through 2016. All participants were biennially followed up till December 2020. The enzymatic colorimetric method was used to measure baseline fasting TG. Participants were categorized into four groups by quartiles of TG, with the lowest quartile (Q1) as the reference group. The primary outcomes were CVD [composite of myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke] and all-cause mortality. CVD and mortality risks were estimated with Cox regression models. Results: A total of 43,882 participants were included. Their mean age was 30.6±5.56 years, and 80.2% were males. During a median follow-up of 11.2 years, 298 CVD events and 345 deaths occurred. The incidences of CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.67 and 0.76 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with individuals in the lowest quartile (Q1), participants in the highest quartile (Q4) showed a 126% higher risk of developing CVD [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.26; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.56 to 3.29; P=0.001] and a 61% higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.61; 95% CI: 1.14 to 2.28; P=0.007). In addition, analyses of CVD subtypes showed that adjusted HRs (Q4 vs. Q1) were 3.25 (95% CI: 1.33 to 7.97; P=0.01) for MI, and 1.88 (95% CI: 1.16 to 3.04; P=0.01) for ischemic stroke. Conclusions: Among Chinese young adults, elevated fasting TG levels were associated with increased CVD and all-cause mortality risks.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Workplace-Based Hypertension Management Program in Real-World Practice in the Kailuan Study.

BACKGROUND: In 2009, a workplace-based hypertension management program was launched among men with hypertension in the Kailuan study. This program involved monitoring blood pressure semimonthly, providing free antihypertensive medications, and offering personalized health consultations. However, the cost-effectiveness of this program remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: This analysis included 12 240 participants, with 6120 in each of the management and control groups. Using a microsimulation model derived from 10-year follow-up data, we estimated costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), life-years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for workplace-based management compared with routine care in both the study period and over a lifetime. Analyses are conducted from the societal perspective. Over the 10-year follow-up, patients in the management group experienced an average gain of 0.06 QALYs with associated incremental costs of $633.17 (4366.85 RMB). Projecting over a lifetime, the management group was estimated to increase by 0.88 QALYs or 0.92 life-years compared with the control group, with an incremental cost of $1638.64 (11 301.37 RMB). This results in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1855.47 per QALY gained and $1780.27 per life-year gained, respectively, when comparing workplace-based management with routine care. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, with a threshold willingness-to-pay of $30 765 per QALY (3 times 2019 gross domestic product per capita), the management group showed a 100% likelihood of being cost-effective in 10 000 samples. CONCLUSIONS: Workplace-based management, compared with routine care for Chinese men with hypertension, could be cost-effective both during the study period and over a lifetime, and might be considered in working populations in China and elsewhere.

Changes in Life's Essential 8 and risk of cardiovascular disease in Chinese people.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association recently released an updated algorithm for evaluating cardiovascular health-Life's Essential 8 (LE8). However, the associations between changes in LE8 score over time and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain unclear. METHODS: We investigated associations between 6-year changes (2006-12) in LE8 score and risk of subsequent CVD events (2012-20) among 53 363 Chinese men and women from the Kailuan Study, who were free from CVD in 2012. The LE8 score was calculated based on eight components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose and blood pressure. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: We documented 4281 incident CVD cases during a median of 7.7 years of follow-up. Compared with participants whose LE8 scores remained stable in a 6-year period, those with the large increases of LE8 score over the 6-year period had a lower risk of CVD, heart disease and stroke in the subsequent 8 years [HRs and 95% CIs: 0.67 (0.64, 0.70) for CVD, 0.65 (0.61, 0.69) for heart disease, 0.71 (0.67, 0.76) for stroke, all Ptrend < 0.001]. Conversely, those with the large decreases of LE8 score had 47%, 51% and 41% higher risk for CVD, heart disease and stroke, respectively. These associations were consistent across the subgroups stratified by risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Improving LE8 score in a short- and moderate-term was associated with a lower CVD risk, whereas decreased LE8 score over time was associated with a higher risk.

Serum uric acid is associated with midbrain enlarged perivascular spaces: Results from Multi-modality Medical imaging sTudy bAsed on KaiLuan Study (META-KLS).

BACKGROUND: Serum uric acid (SUA) is a major cause of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Whether and to what extent the excess risk of enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS) conferred by SUA is unknown. The study was conducted to investigate the association between SUA and EPVS in different brain regions. METHODS: Data are from Multi-modality medical imaging study based on Kailuan study (META-KLS) in this cross-sectional study. Participants were divided into five groups based on SUA levels, and EPVS in basal ganglia (BG), centrum semiovale (CSO) and midbrain (MB) was systematically assessed and divided into Low and High group. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for high EPVS outcomes were estimated using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to further investigate dose-response relationship. RESULTS: A total of 1014 participants aged 25-83 years from 11 centers were enrolled in the study. In the multivariable-adjusted model, SUA, as an independent risk factor, correlated positively with high degree of MB-EPVS (OR, 1.002; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.004; p = 0.023) in general population. In addition, RCS further demonstrated the linear association between SUA and MB-EPVS (p = 0.072). No association was found between SUA and BG-EPVS or CSO-EPVS. CONCLUSION: SUA was an independent risk factor of MB-EPVS. High SUA levels were more predictive of increased risk occurrence of high degree of MB-EPVS, supporting a linear association between SUA and MB-EPVS and further indicating that SUA may play an important role in cerebral small vessel disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The KaiLuan Study and META-KLS were registered online (ChiCTR2000029767 on chictr.org.cn and NCT05453877 on Clinicaltrials.gov, respectively).

Higher serum alanine aminotransferase levels and the incidence of hypertension: The Kailuan cohort study.

Objective: The association between serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) concentrations and the incidence of hypertension remains unclear. To explore the association between serum ALT levels and the risk of incident hypertension based on the Kailuan cohort study. Methods: People who had participated in health check-ups in 2006-2007 without hypertension, cardiovascular, or liver diseases were enrolled and received follow-ups every two years until December 2017. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure/diastolic blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg or using anti-hypertensive medication. A multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CIs). Results: During 10.5 years of follow-up, 24,023 (50.7 %) participants were diagnosed with hypertension. The HR of incident hypertension was 1.02 (95 % CI=1.01-1.03) for each 10 U/L increment of ALT concentrations. Participants with elevated ALT levels (>40 U/L) had an increased incidence of hypertension by 7 % (HR =1.07; 95 % CI=1.01-1.13). Besides, the HR was 1.10 (95 % CI=1.06-1.15), 1.13 (95 % CI=1.08-1.18), and 1.22 (95 % CI=1.16-1.30) (P for trend <0.001) in (10-20], (20-30], and (30-40] groups, compared with ≤10 U/L group. In addition, participants whose ALT levels decreased to the normal range at the first follow-up had a 23 % lower incidence of hypertension than those with elevated ALT levels at baseline and the first follow-up. Conclusion: People with higher serum ALT levels may have an increased risk of incident hypertension and thus may benefit from heightened surveillance for hypertension and lifestyle interventions to reduce the risk of hypertension.

Association of the triglyceride-glucose index with early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated. METHODS: The present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38-1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17-1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476). CONCLUSIONS: A higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China.

Association between Body Mass Index and Brain Health in Adults: A 16-Year Population-Based Cohort and Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background: The cumulative effect of body mass index (BMI) on brain health remains ill-defined. The effects of overweight on brain health across different age groups need clarification. We analyzed the effect of cumulative BMI on neuroimaging features of brain health in adults of different ages. Methods: This study was based on a multicenter, community-based cohort study. We modeled the trajectories of BMI over 16 years to evaluate cumulative exposure. Multimodality neuroimaging data were collected once for volumetric measurements of the brain macrostructure, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), and brain microstructure. We used a generalized linear model to evaluate the association between cumulative BMI and neuroimaging features. Two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis was performed using summary level of BMI genetic data from 681,275 individuals and neuroimaging genetic data from 33,224 individuals to analyze the causal relationships. Results: Clinical and neuroimaging data were obtained from 1,074 adults (25 to 83 years). For adults aged under 45 years, brain volume differences in participants with a cumulative BMI of >26.2 kg/m2 corresponded to 12.0 years [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.0 to 20.0] of brain aging. Differences in WMH were statistically substantial for participants aged over 60 years, with a 6.0-ml (95% CI, 1.5 to 10.5) larger volume. Genetic analysis indicated causal relationships between high BMI and smaller gray matter and higher fractional anisotropy in projection fibers. Conclusion: High cumulative BMI is associated with smaller brain volume, larger volume of white matter lesions, and abnormal microstructural integrity. Adults younger than 45 years are suggested to maintain their BMI below 26.2 kg/m2 for better brain health. Trial Registration: This study was registered on clinicaltrials.gov (Clinical Indicators and Brain Image Data: A Cohort Study Based on Kailuan Cohort; No. NCT05453877; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05453877).

The combination of high uric acid and high C-reactive protein increased the risk of cardiovascular disease: A 15-year prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Uric acid (UA) and C-reactive protein (CRP) may interact synergistically to accelerate the initiation and progression of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study investigated the effects of a combination of high UA and high CRP on the risks of CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 90,270 participants recruited from the Kailuan study were included, who were divided into four groups according to the presence/absence of hyperuricemia and inflammation. Cox regression was applied to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of CVD. C-statistics, net classification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to compare the incremental predictive of UA, CRP, and their combined effects on CVD. Mediation analysis was to explore the impact of CRP on the association between UA and CVD. Over a median follow-up of 14.95 years, we identified 11398 incident CVD cases. Compared to the low UA/low CRP group, the high UA/low CRP, low UA/high CRP and high UA/high CRP groups showed progressively higher risks of CVD, HR (95% CI): 1.18(1.10-1.27), 1.27(1.21-1.33) and 1.50 (1.33-1.69), respectively. The incorporation of UA and CRP into the traditional China-PAR model led to improvement in the C-statistic, NRI, and IDI, and was better than incorporation of either UA or CRP alone. Mediation analysis showed that CRP mediated the association between UA and CVD, accounting for 11.57% of the total effects. CONCLUSIONS: High UA/high CRP is associated with increased risks of CVD. Incorporation of both UA and CRP provided additional value for risk stratification.

Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Relation to the Risk of Cardiac Arrhythmia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the current study was to explore the trajectories, variabilities, and cumulative exposures of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) with cardiac arrhythmia (CA) risks. METHODS: In total, 35,739 adults from the Kailuan study were included. BMI and WC were measured repeatedly during the 2006-2010 waves. CA was identified via electrocardiogram diagnosis. BMI and WC trajectories were fitted using a group-based trajectory model. The associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We identified four stable trajectories for BMI and WC, respectively. Neither the BMI trajectories nor the baseline BMI values were associated with the risk of CA. Compared to the low-stable WC group, participants in the high-stable WC group had a higher risk of CA (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.86). Interestingly, the cumulative exposures of BMI and WC instead of their variabilities were associated with the risk of CA. In the stratified analyses, the positive associations of the high-stable WC group with the risk of CA were found in females only (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.83). CONCLUSIONS: A high-stable WC trajectory is associated with a higher risk of CA among Chinese female adults, underscoring the potential of WC rather than BMI to identify adults who are at risk.

Association of variability in body size with neuroimaging metrics of brain health: a population-based cohort study.

Background: The relationship between the fluctuation in body size and brain health is poorly understood. This study aimed to examine the associations of long-term variability in body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with neuroimaging metrics that approximate brain health. Methods: This cohort study recruited 1114 participants aged 25-83 years from a multicenter, community-based cohort study in China. We modeled the BMI and WHR trajectories of participants during 2006-2018 and assessed the BMI and WHR variability (direction and speed of change) by calculating the slope. Generalized linear models were applied to investigate the associations of BMI and WHR variability with MRI markers of brain tissue volume, white matter microstructural integrity, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), and cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD). Findings: Progressive weight gain during follow-up was associated with lower global fractional anisotropy (beta = -0.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.34 to -0.02), higher mean diffusivity (beta = 0.15, 95% CI 0.01-0.30) and radial diffusivity (beta = 0.17, 95% CI 0.02-0.32). Weight loss was also associated with a lower burden of periventricular WMH (beta = -0.26, 95% CI -0.48 to -0.03) and a lower risk of moderate-to-severe basal ganglia enlarged perivascular spaces (BG-EPVS, odds ratio [OR] = 0.41, 95% CI 0.20-0.83). Among overweight populations, weight loss was linked with smaller volumes of WMH (beta = -0.47, 95% CI -0.79 to -0.15), periventricular WMH (beta = -0.57, 95% CI -0.88 to -0.26), and deep WMH (beta = -0.36, 95% CI -0.69 to -0.03), as well as lower risk of CSVD (OR = 0.22, 95% CI 0.08-0.62), lacune (OR = 0.12, 95% CI 0.01-0.91) and moderate-to-severe BG-EPVS (OR = 0.24, 95% CI 0.09-0.61). In adults with central obesity, WHR loss was positively associated with larger gray matter volume (beta = 0.50, 95% CI 0.11-0.89), hippocampus volume (beta = 0.62, 95% CI 0.15-1.09), and parahippocampal gyrus volume (beta = 0.85, 95% CI 0.34-1.37). The sex-stratification and age-stratification analyses revealed similar findings with the main results, with the pattern of associations significantly presented in the individuals at mid-life and late-life. Interpretation: Long-term stability of BMI level is essential for maintaining brain health. Progressive weight gain is associated with impaired white matter microstructural integrity. Weight and WHR losses are associated with improved general brain health. Our results contribute to a better understanding of the integrated associations between variations in obesity measures and brain health. Funding: This study was supported by grants No. 62171297 (Han Lv) and 61931013 (Zhenchang Wang) from the National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 7242267 from the Beijing Natural Science Foundation (Han Lv), and No. [2015] 160 from the Beijing Scholars Program (Zhenchang Wang).

Distinct uric acid trajectories are associated with incident cardiac conduction block.

BACKGROUND: The association of longitudinal uric acid (UA) changes with cardiac conduction block risk is unclear. We aimed to identify the trajectories of UA and explore its association with cardiac conduction block. METHODS: A total of 67,095 participants with a mean age of 53.12 years were included from the Kailuan cohort in Tangshan, China, who were free of cardiac conduction block and with repeated measurements of UA from 2006 to 2012. UA trajectories during 2006 to 2012 were identified by group-based trajectory modeling. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess the association of UA trajectories with cardiac conduction block. RESULTS: We categorized three observed discrete trajectories of UA during 2006-2012 period: low-stable, moderate-stable, and high-stable. Over a median follow-up of 6.19 years, we identified 1405 (2.09%) incident cardiac conduction block. Compared to those in the low-stable trajectory, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of cardiac conduction block in the moderate-stable and high-stable trajectory were 1.30 (1.16-1.47) and 1.86 (1.56-2.22), and HRs of atrioventricular block were 1.39 (1.12-1.72) and 2.90 (2.19-3.83), and HRs of bundle branch blocks were 1.27 (1.10-1.47) and 1.43 (1.13-1.79). Notably, although the average UA level in the moderate-stable UA trajectory group is within the normal range, the risk of cardiac conduction block has increased. CONCLUSIONS: The moderate-stable and high-stable trajectories are associated with increased risk for new-onset cardiac conduction block. Monitoring UA trajectories may assist in identifying subpopulations at higher risk for cardiac conduction block.

Temporal relationship between inflammation and metabolic disorders and their impact on cancer risk.

Background: Inflammation and metabolic disorders are closely associated with cancer. Whether inflammation leads to metabolic disorders or vice versa during cancer initiation remains unclear. In this study, we explored this temporal relationship and the co-exposure effect on cancer risk. Methods: This prospective study had two phases. Initially, we examined the temporal relationship between inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP)) and metabolic disorders (metabolic syndrome severity Z-score (MetS-Z)) using a 3.98-year survey and cross-lagged analysis. Subsequently, we assessed the connection of co-exposure to inflammation and metabolic disorders, and the risks of overall cancer, as well as specific obesity-related, non-obesity-related, digestive system, lung, and other cancers using an 11.04-year survey and Cox proportional hazard models. Results: The cross-lagged analysis revealed that the path coefficient from baseline CRP to follow-up MetS-Z (ß2 = 0.032; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.026, 0.046) was more significant than the path coefficient from baseline MetS-Z to follow-up CRP (ß1 = 0.009; 95% CI = -0.001, 0.019). During the follow-up, 2304 cases of cancer occurred. Compared with the risk of cancer of patients with low average cumulative CRP and MetS-Z, patients with high value had a significantly increased risk (hazard ratio = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.30, 1.83). The mediation analysis showed that MetS-Z mediated the association between CRP levels and overall cancer (12.67%), digestive system cancer (10.16%), and obesity-related cancer risk (13.87%). Conclusions: Inflammation had a greater impact on metabolic disorders than vice versa. Co-exposure to inflammation and metabolic disorders significantly increased the risk of cancer, particularly digestive system and obesity-related cancers. Registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.

Differences Between Cystatin C- and Creatinine-Based Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Association with Mortality and Cardiovascular Events: Results from Three Cohorts of Adults with Diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: To explore the association between the differences between cystatin C- and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRdiff) with the risk of mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events in individuals with diabetes. METHODS: Three prospective cohorts analyzed data of adults with diabetes from the Incident, Development, and Prognosis of Diabetic Kidney Disease (INDEED) study (2016-2017 to 2020) in China, the National Health, Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2004 to 2019) in the United States, and UK Biobank (UKB, 2006-2010 to 2022). Baseline eGFRdiff was calculated using both absolute difference between cystatin C- and creatinine-based calculations (eGFRabdiff), and the ratio between them (eGFRrediff). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to investigate the association between eGFRdiff and outcomes including all-cause mortality and incident CV events. RESULTS: A total of 8,129 individuals from the INDEED (aged 60.7±10.0 years), 1,634 from the NHANES (aged 62.5±14.4 years), and 29,358 from the UKB (aged 59.4±7.3 years;) were included. At baseline, 43.6%, 32.4% and 42.1% of participants in the INDEED, NHANES and UKB had an eGFRabdiff value ≥15 ml/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.8 years for the INDEED, 15.2 years for the NHANES, and 13.5 years for the UKB, a total of 430, 936 and 6143 deaths and a total of 481, 183 and 5583 CV events occurred, respectively. Each 1-standard deviation higher baseline eGFRabdiff was independently associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CV events, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.77 and 0.82 in the INDEED, 0.70 and 0.68 in the NHANES, and 0.66 and 0.78 in the UKB. Similar results were observed for eGFRrediff. CONCLUSIONS: eGFRdiff represents a marker of adverse events for diabetes among general population. Monitoring both eGFRcys and eGFRcr yields additional prognostic information and has clinical utility in identifying high-risk individuals for mortality and CV events.

Sex and Age Differences in the Association Between Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and Heart Failure: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a risk factor for heart failure (HF) occurrence, but it remains unclear whether the association between MAFLD and HF differs in different sexes and ages. METHODS: A total of 96 576 participants of Kailuan Study were included. MAFLD was defined as presence of hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysfunction and classified as mild and significant by ultrasound. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by Cox regression models. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 14.0 years, 2939 participants developed HF. Adjusting for confounding factors, mild-MAFLD (HR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.16-1.39]) and significant-MAFLD (HR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.31-1.63]) were associated with a higher risk of HF in all participants, and the risk differed by sex (Pinteraction<0.05) and age (Pinteraction<0.001). Compared with non-MAFLD participants, in women, significant-MAFLD was associated with an 84% (HR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.43-2.37]) increased risk of HF; however, in men, the risk was 36% (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.20-1.53]). In participants under 45 years, mild-MAFLD and significant-MAFLD had a 55% (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.07-2.25]) and 172% (HR, 2.72 [95% CI, 1.87-3.97]) increased risk of HF; however, in participants over 65 years, even significant-MAFLD did not associate with a higher risk of HF (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.92-1.34]). Afterwards, we stratified all participants by both sex and age and found that the risk of MAFLD-associated HF decreased with age in men (Pinteraction<0.05) and women (Pinteraction<0.05), but the sex difference in this risk was only present in participants younger than 45 years (Pinteraction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD greatly increased the risk of HF in women, especially young women. With increasing age, MAFLD-related risk of HF decreased and the difference between men and women disappeared.

Early life exposure to Chinese famine and risk of digestive system cancer in midlife.

To investigate whether early-life exposure to the Great Famine of 1959-1961 in China was associated with the risk of digestive system cancer. The prospective cohort study involved 17 997 participants from the Kailuan Study (Tangshan, China) that began in 2006. All participants were divided into three groups based on their date of birth. The unexposed group (born from 1 October 1962 to 30 September 1964), fetal-exposed group (born from 1 October 1959 to 30 December 1961), and early-childhood-exposed group (born from 1 October 1956 to 30 December 1958). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the association between early famine exposure and digestive system cancer. During the mean follow-up period of (10.4 ± 2.2) years, a total of 223 digestive system cancer events occurred. Including 54 cases in the unexposed group (62.14/100 000 person-years), 57 cases in the fetal-exposed group (114.8/100 000 person-years), and 112 cases in the early-childhood-exposure group (122.2/100 000 person-years). After adjusting covariates, compared with the unexposed group, the HR and 95% CI were 1.85 (1.28, 2.69) for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.92 (1.38, 2.66) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. No interactions were observed in our study. After classifying digestive system cancers, the HR and 95% CI were 2.02 (1.03, 3.97) for colorectal cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 2.55 (1.43, 4.55) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. The HR and 95% CI were (1.13, 3.83) of liver cancer for participants in the fetal-exposed group and 1.15 (0.63, 2.10) for participants in the early-childhood-exposed group. Early-life famine exposure was associated with a higher risk of digestive system cancer in adulthood. Fetal-exposed individuals might increase the risk of colorectal cancer and liver cancer, and early childhood-exposed might increase the risk of colorectal cancer.

Changes in baPWV and the risk of clinical outcomes: a cohort study of Chinese community-based population.

It has not been fully investigated whether improved arterial stiffness (AS) can reduce the clinical outcomes risk in community population-based study. In this prospective study, a total of 5247 individuals with abnormal AS (at baseline) and repeated brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement before 2018 years were enrolled from the Kailuan Study. According the second baPWV measurement, we divided the participants into two groups, improved AS (defined as transfer elevated AS status to normal) and persistent AS (defined as maintaining elevated AS status). The outcome was a composite event of stroke, myocardial infraction, and all-cause mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to examine the association between AS status at the follow-up and the subsequent outcome. During a median of 5.2 years follow-up, we observed 413 end point events. After adjusted for potential confounders, comparing with the persistent AS group, individuals in the improved AS group had a 43% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35-0.94) decreased the risk of the primary composite events. We also found a baPWV decrease of 1 m/s was associated with a 3% decreased risk (HR, 0.97; 95% CI 0.94-0.99) for primary composite events. We further demonstrated that younger than 60 years, non-smoker, non-hypertension, and non-diabetes were associated with improved the AS status. In conclusion, improving AS status may reduce the risk of clinical events. In the future, more research should be performed to explore the target for improving the AS status.

Effect of 10-year cumulative blood pressure exposure on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease of different age groups: kailuan cohort study.

Background: The level at which cumulative blood pressure (BP) can increase the risk of ASCVD in different age groups remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association of 10-year cumulative BP levels with the long-term risk of ASCVD of different age groups. Methods: Cumulative BP exposure was assessed using the time-weighted average (TWA) BP divided into four BP groups. The participants were also divided into four groups according to their baseline age (<50, 50-59, 60-69, or ≥70 years). The association between TWA BP and the risk of ASCVD was assessed by age group using multivariate Cox models. The China-PAR prediction model was used to assess the ability of TWA BP to predict ASCVD. Results: In the group aged <50 years, the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the risk of ASCVD were 2.66 (1.04-6.80), 3.38 (1.54-7.43), and 3.13 (1.36-7.24) for the elevated BP, stage 1 hypertension, and stage 2 hypertension groups, respectively, when compared with the normal BP group. There was a significant difference in the risk of ASCVD between the age groups, with participants aged <50 years having the highest risk, followed by those aged 50-59, 60-69, and ≥70 years. Conclusions: The risk of ASCVD with high cumulative BP exposure was age-dependent, with a gradual decrease in risk with increasing age.