RAPID-ED: A predictive model for risk assessment of patient's early in-hospital deterioration from emergency department.

Introduction: The objective of this multi-center retrospective cohort study was to devise a predictive tool known as RAPID-ED. This model identifies non-traumatic adult patients at significant risk for cardiac arrest within 48 hours post-admission from the emergency department. Methods: Data from 224,413 patients admitted through the emergency department (2016-2020) was analyzed, incorporating vital signs, lab tests, and administered therapies. A multivariable regression model was devised to anticipate early cardiac arrest. The efficacy of the RAPID-ED model was evaluated against traditional scoring systems like National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) and its predictive ability was gauged via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) in both hold-out validation set and external validation set. Results: RAPID-ED outperformed traditional models in predicting cardiac arrest with an AUC of 0.819 in the hold-out validation set and 0.807 in the external validation set. In this critical care update, RAPID-ED offers an innovative approach to assessing patient risk, aiding emergency physicians in post-discharge care decisions from the emergency department. High-risk score patients (≥13) may benefit from early ICU admission for intensive monitoring. Conclusion: As we progress with advancements in critical care, tools like RAPID-ED will prove instrumental in refining care strategies for critically ill patients, fostering an improved prognosis and potentially mitigating mortality rates.

Development and validation of a deep learning pipeline to measure pericardial effusion in echocardiography.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to develop a deep-learning pipeline for the measurement of pericardial effusion (PE) based on raw echocardiography clips, as current methods for PE measurement can be operator-dependent and present challenges in certain situations. Methods: The proposed pipeline consisted of three distinct steps: moving window view selection (MWVS), automated segmentation, and width calculation from a segmented mask. The MWVS model utilized the ResNet architecture to classify each frame of the extracted raw echocardiography files into selected view types. The automated segmentation step then generated a mask for the PE area from the extracted echocardiography clip, and a computer vision technique was used to calculate the largest width of the PE from the segmented mask. The pipeline was applied to a total of 995 echocardiographic examinations. Results: The proposed deep-learning pipeline exhibited high performance, as evidenced by intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) values of 0.867 for internal validation and 0.801 for external validation. The pipeline demonstrated a high level of accuracy in detecting PE, with an area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.926 (95% CI: 0.902-0.951) for internal validation and 0.842 (95% CI: 0.794-0.889) for external validation. Conclusion: The machine-learning pipeline developed in this study can automatically calculate the width of PE from raw ultrasound clips. The novel concepts of moving window view selection for image quality control and computer vision techniques for maximal PE width calculation seem useful in the field of ultrasound. This pipeline could potentially provide a standardized and objective approach to the measurement of PE, reducing operator-dependency and improving accuracy.

Association between Air Pollution and Short-Term Outcome of ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction in a Tropical City, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), one of the primary factors leading to global mortality, has been shown through epidemiological studies to have a relationship with short-term exposure to air pollutants; however, the association between air pollutants and the outcome of STEMI has not been well studied. The aim of this study was to estimate the impact of air pollutants on the outcomes of STEMI. Data on particulate matter <2.5 µm (PM2.5), <10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) at each of the 11 air monitoring stations in Kaohsiung City were collected between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2017. Medical records of non-trauma patients aged > 20 years who had presented to the Emergency Department (ED) with a principal diagnosis of STEMI were extracted. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. After adjusting for potential confounders and meteorological variables, we found that an increase in the interquartile range (IQR) in NO2 was associated with an elevated risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with STEMI. Moreover, there was an observed higher risk of in-hospital mortality associated with an increase in the IQR of NO2 during the warm season, specifically in lag 3 (3 days prior to the onset, OR = 3.266; 95%CI: 1.203-8.864, p = 0.02). Conversely, an IQR increase in PM10 was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with STEMI in lag 3 (OR = 2.792; 95%CI: 1.115-6.993, p = 0.028) during the cold season. Our study suggests that exposure to NO2 (during the warm season) and PM10 (during the cold season) may contribute to a higher risk of poor prognosis in patients with STEMI.

Use of a Deep-Learning Algorithm to Guide Novices in Performing Focused Assessment With Sonography in Trauma.

This quality improvement study compares the diagnostic quality and completion time between ultrasonography operators guided by artificial intelligence vs those without such assistance.

Explainable deep learning model to predict invasive bacterial infection in febrile young infants: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Machine learning models have demonstrated superior performance in predicting invasive bacterial infection (IBI) in febrile infants compared to commonly used risk stratification criteria in recent studies. However, the black-box nature of these models can make them difficult to apply in clinical practice. In this study, we developed and validated an explainable deep learning model that can predict IBI in febrile infants ≤ 60 days of age visiting the emergency department. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of febrile infants aged ≤ 60 days who presented to the pediatric emergency department of a medical center in Taiwan between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2019. Patients with uncertain test results and complex chronic health conditions were excluded. IBI was defined as the growth of a pathogen in the blood or cerebrospinal fluid. We used a deep neural network to develop a predictive model for IBI and compared its performance to the IBI score and step-by-step approach. The SHapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) technique was used to explain the model's predictions at different levels. RESULTS: Our study included 1847 patients, 53 (2.7%) of whom had IBI. The deep learning model performed similarly to the IBI score and step-by-step approach in terms of sensitivity and negative predictive value, but provided better specificity (54%), positive predictive value (5%), and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (0.87). SHapley Additive exPlanations identified five influential predictive variables (absolute neutrophil count, body temperature, heart rate, age, and C-reactive protein). CONCLUSION: We have developed an explainable deep learning model that can predict IBI in febrile infants aged 0-60 days. The model not only performs better than previous scoring systems, but also provides insight into how it arrives at its predictions through individual features and cases.

Using Deep Transfer Learning to Detect Hyperkalemia From Ambulatory Electrocardiogram Monitors in Intensive Care Units: Personalized Medicine Approach.

BACKGROUND: Hyperkalemia is a critical condition, especially in intensive care units. So far, there have been no accurate and noninvasive methods for recognizing hyperkalemia events on ambulatory electrocardiogram monitors. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to improve the accuracy of hyperkalemia predictions from ambulatory electrocardiogram (ECG) monitors using a personalized transfer learning method; this would be done by training a generic model and refining it with personal data. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used open source data from the Waveform Database Matched Subset of the Medical Information Mart From Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III). We included patients with multiple serum potassium test results and matched ECG data from the MIMIC-III database. A 1D convolutional neural network-based deep learning model was first developed to predict hyperkalemia in a generic population. Once the model achieved a state-of-the-art performance, it was used in an active transfer learning process to perform patient-adaptive heartbeat classification tasks. RESULTS: The results show that by acquiring data from each new patient, the personalized model can improve the accuracy of hyperkalemia detection significantly, from an average of 0.604 (SD 0.211) to 0.980 (SD 0.078), when compared with the generic model. Moreover, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve level improved from 0.729 (SD 0.240) to 0.945 (SD 0.094). CONCLUSIONS: By using the deep transfer learning method, we were able to build a clinical standard model for hyperkalemia detection using ambulatory ECG monitors. These findings could potentially be extended to applications that continuously monitor one's ECGs for early alerts of hyperkalemia and help avoid unnecessary blood tests.

Machine learning models for predicting in-hospital mortality in patient with sepsis: Analysis of vital sign dynamics.

Purpose: To build machine learning models for predicting the risk of in-hospital death in patients with sepsis within 48 h, using only dynamic changes in the patient's vital signs. Methods: This retrospective observational cohort study enrolled septic patients from five emergency departments (ED) in Taiwan. We adopted seven variables, i.e., age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, respiratory rate, and body temperature. Results: Among all 353,253 visits, after excluding 159,607 visits (45%), the study group consisted of 193,646 ED visits. With a leading time of 6 h, the convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM), and random forest (RF) had accuracy rates of 0.905, 0.817, and 0.835, respectively, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.840, 0.761, and 0.770, respectively. With a leading time of 48 h, the CNN, LSTM, and RF achieved accuracy rates of 0.828, 0759, and 0.805, respectively, and an AUC of 0.811, 0.734, and 0.776, respectively. Conclusion: By analyzing dynamic vital sign data, machine learning models can predict mortality in septic patients within 6 to 48 h of admission. The performance of the testing models is more accurate if the lead time is closer to the event.

Association between Ambient Air Pollution and Emergency Room Visits for Pediatric Respiratory Diseases: The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic.

The level and composition of air pollution have changed during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. However, the association between air pollution and pediatric respiratory disease emergency department (ED) visits during the COVID-19 pandemic remains unclear. The study was retrospectively conducted between 2017 and 2020 in Kaohsiung, Taiwan, from 1 January 2020 to 1 May 2020, defined as the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, and 1 January 2017 to 31 May 2019, defined as the pre-COVID-19 pandemic period. We enrolled patients under 17 years old who visited the ED in a medical center and were diagnosed with respiratory diseases such as pneumonia, asthma, bronchitis, and acute pharyngitis. Measurements of particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameters of <10 µm (PM10) and < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and Ozone (O3) were collected. During the COVID-19 pandemic, an increase in the interquartile range of PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 levels was associated with increases of 72.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 50.5−97.7%), 98.0% (95% CI, 70.7−129.6%), and 54.7% (95% CI, 38.7−72.6%), respectively, in the risk of pediatric respiratory disease ED visits on lag 1, which were greater than those in the pre-COVID-19 pandemic period. After adjusting for temperature and humidity, the risk of pediatric respiratory diseases after exposure to PM2.5 (inter p = 0.001) and PM10 (inter p < 0.001) was higher during the COVID-19 pandemic. PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 may play important roles in pediatric respiratory events in Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Compared with the pre-COVID-19 pandemic period, the levels of PM2.5 and PM10 were lower; however, the levels were related to a greater increase in ED during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Correction: Yau et al. Risk Factors for Early Return Visits to the Emergency Department in Patients Presenting with Nonspecific Abdominal Pain and the Use of Computed Tomography Scan. Healthcare 2021, 9, 1470.

The authors would like to make corrections to their published paper [...].

Utilization of Personalized Machine-Learning to Screen for Dysglycemia from Ambulatory ECG, toward Noninvasive Blood Glucose Monitoring.

Blood glucose (BG) monitoring is important for critically ill patients, as poor sugar control has been associated with increased mortality in hospitalized patients. However, constant BG monitoring can be resource-intensive and pose a healthcare burden in clinical practice. In this study, we aimed to develop a personalized machine-learning model to predict dysglycemia from electrocardiogram (ECG) data. We used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database as our source of data and obtained more than 20 ECG records from each included patient during a single hospital admission. We focused on lead II recordings, along with corresponding blood sugar data. We processed the data and used ECG features from each heartbeat as inputs to develop a one-class support vector machine algorithm to predict dysglycemia. The model was able to predict dysglycemia using a single heartbeat with an AUC of 0.92 ± 0.09, a sensitivity of 0.92 ± 0.10, and specificity of 0.84 ± 0.04. After applying 10 s majority voting, the AUC of the model's dysglycemia prediction increased to 0.97 ± 0.06. This study showed that a personalized machine-learning algorithm can accurately detect dysglycemia from a single-lead ECG.

Risk Factors for Early Return Visits to the Emergency Department in Patients Presenting with Nonspecific Abdominal Pain and the Use of Computed Tomography Scan.

Over a quarter of patients presenting with abdominal pain at emergency departments (EDs) are diagnosed with nonspecific abdominal pain (NSAP) at discharge. This study investigated the risk factors associated with return ED visits in Taiwanese patients with NSAP after discharge. We divided patients into two groups: the study group comprising patients with ED revisits after the index ED visit, and the control group comprising patients without revisits. During the study period, 10,341 patients discharged with the impression of NSAP after ED management. A regression analysis found that older age (OR [95%CI]: 1.007 [1.003-1.011], p = 0.004), male sex (OR [95%CI]: 1.307 [1.036-1.650], p = 0.024), and use of NSAIDs (OR [95%CI]: 1.563 [1.219-2.003], p < 0.001) and opioids (OR [95%CI]: 2.213 [1.643-2.930], p < 0.001) during the index visit were associated with increased return ED visits. Computed tomography (CT) scans (OR [95%CI]: 0.605 [0.390-0.937], p = 0.021) were associated with decreased ED returns, especially for those who were older than 60, who had an underlying disease, or who required pain control during the index ED visit.

Deep Learning Assisted Detection of Abdominal Free Fluid in Morison's Pouch During Focused Assessment With Sonography in Trauma.

Background: The use of focused assessment with sonography in trauma (FAST) enables clinicians to rapidly screen for injury at the bedsides of patients. Pre-hospital FAST improves diagnostic accuracy and streamlines patient care, leading to dispositions to appropriate treatment centers. In this study, we determine the accuracy of artificial intelligence model-assisted free-fluid detection in FAST examinations, and subsequently establish an automated feedback system, which can help inexperienced sonographers improve their interpretation ability and image acquisition skills. Methods: This is a single-center study of patients admitted to the emergency room from January 2020 to March 2021. We collected 324 patient records for the training model, 36 patient records for validation, and another 36 patient records for testing. We balanced positive and negative Morison's pouch free-fluid detection groups in a 1:1 ratio. The deep learning (DL) model Residual Networks 50-Version 2 (ResNet50-V2) was used for training and validation. Results: The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the model performance for ascites prediction were 0.961, 0.976, and 0.947, respectively, in the validation set and 0.967, 0.985, and 0.913, respectively, in the test set. Regarding feedback prediction, the model correctly classified qualified and non-qualified images with an accuracy of 0.941 in both the validation and test sets. Conclusions: The DL algorithm in ResNet50-V2 is able to detect free fluid in Morison's pouch with high accuracy. The automated feedback and instruction system could help inexperienced sonographers improve their interpretation ability and image acquisition skills.

Machine Learning Models for Survival and Neurological Outcome Prediction of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients.

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major health problem worldwide, and neurologic injury remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality among survivors of OHCA. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether a machine learning algorithm could detect complex dependencies between clinical variables in emergency departments in OHCA survivors and perform reliable predictions of favorable neurologic outcomes. METHODS: This study included adults (≥18 years of age) with a sustained return of spontaneous circulation after successful resuscitation from OHCA between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2014. We applied three machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB). The primary outcome was a favorable neurological outcome at hospital discharge, defined as a Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance category of 1 to 2. The secondary outcome was a 30-day survival rate and survival-to-discharge rate. RESULTS: The final analysis included 1071 participants from the study period. For neurologic outcome prediction, the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was 0.819, 0.771, and 0.956 in LR, SVM, and XGB, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.875 and 0.751 in LR, 0.687 and 0.793 in SVM, and 0.875 and 0.904 in XGB. The AUC was 0.766 and 0.732 in LR, 0.749 and 0.725 in SVM, and 0.866 and 0.831 in XGB, for survival-to-discharge and 30-day survival, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic models trained with ML technique showed appropriate calibration and high discrimination for survival and neurologic outcome of OHCA without using prehospital data, with XGB exhibiting the best performance.

Fine particulate matter constituents associated with emergency room visits for pediatric asthma: a time-stratified case-crossover study in an urban area.

BACKGROUND: Global asthma-related mortality tallies at around 2.5 million annually. Although asthma may be triggered or exacerbated by particulate matter (PM) exposure, studies investigating the relationship of PM and its components with emergency department (ED) visits for pediatric asthma are limited. This study aimed to estimate the impact of short-term exposure to PM constituents on ED visits for pediatric asthma. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated non-trauma patients aged younger than 17 years who visited the ED with a primary diagnosis of asthma. Further, measurements of PM with aerodynamic diameter of < 10 µm (PM10), PM with aerodynamic diameter of < 10 µm (PM2.5), and four PM2.5 components (i.e., nitrate (NO3-), sulfate (SO42-), organic carbon (OC), and elemental carbon (EC)) were collected between 2007 and 2010 from southern particulate matter supersites. These included one core station and two satellite stations in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan. A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted to analyze the hazard effect of PM. RESULTS: Overall, 1597 patients were enrolled in our study. In the single-pollutant model, the estimated risk increase for pediatric asthma incidence on lag 3 were 14.7% [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.2-27.4%], 13.5% (95% CI, 3.3-24.6%), 14.8% (95% CI, 2.5-28.6%), and 19.8% (95% CI, 7.6-33.3%) per interquartile range increments in PM2.5, PM10, nitrate, and OC, respectively. In the two-pollutant models, OC remained significant after adjusting for PM2.5, PM10, and nitrate. During subgroup analysis, children were more vulnerable to PM2.5 and OC during cold days (< 26 °C, interaction p = 0.008 and 0.012, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Both PM2.5 concentrations and its chemical constituents OC and nitrate are associated with ED visits for pediatric asthma. Among PM2.5 constituents, OC was most closely related to ED visits for pediatric asthma, and children are more vulnerable to PM2.5 and OC during cold days.

Influence of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic on Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction in Taiwan.

The outbreak of the new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has notably affected the medical system worldwide and influenced the health-seeking behavior of people while depleting medical resources, causing a delay in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) management. In this single-center, retrospective cohort study, we compared the clinical pictures of nontransfer patients who presented to the emergency department directly and received primary percutaneous cardiovascular intervention (PPCI) from February 1 to April 30, 2020 (group 2, N = 28), with patients who received PPCI from February 1 to April 30, 2016-2019 (group 1, N = 130). A total of 158 patients with STEMI who received PPCI were included in the study. A decrease in the percentage of patients with door-to-balloon time <90 minutes was found in group 2 (64.3% vs. 81.5%, p = 0.044). The adjusted odds ratio was calculated using logistic regression, according to potential confounding factors such as age, sex, off-hours, and Killip class. An adjusted odds ratio of 2.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-6.0, p = 0.048) was reported for group 2. A decrease in the percentage of patients meeting the criteria of door-to-balloon time <90 minutes was demonstrated, and differences were revealed in the clinical pictures of patients with STEMI after the pandemic. While systemic factors contributed the most, improvements and adjustments in the protocols for managing patients with STEMI for better outcomes in the COVID-19 era have yet to be studied.

Impact of coronary risk scores on disposition decision in emergency patients with chest pain.

BACKGROUND: Coronary risk scores (CRS) including History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk Factors, Troponin (HEART) score and Emergency Department Assessment of Chest pain Score (EDACS) can help identify patients at low risk of major adverse cardiac events. In the emergency department (ED), there are wide variations in hospital admission rates among patients with chest pain. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of CRS on the disposition of patients with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome in the ED. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 3660 adult patients who presented to the ED with chest pain between January and July in 2019. Study inclusion criteria were age > 18 years and a primary position International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems-10th revision coded diagnosis of angina pectoris (I20.0-I20.9) or chronic ischemic heart disease (I25.0-I25.9) by the treating ED physician. If the treating ED physician completed the electronic structured variables for CRS calculation to assist disposition planning, then the patient would be classified as the CRS group; otherwise, the patient was included in the control group. RESULTS: Among the 2676 patients, 746 were classified into the CRS group, whereas the other 1930 were classified into the control group. There was no significant difference in sex, age, initial vital signs, and ED length of stay between the two groups. The coronary risk factors were similar between the two groups, except for a higher incidence of smokers in the CRS group (19.6% vs. 16.1%, p = 0.031). Compared with the control group, significantly more patients were discharged (70.1% vs. 64.6%) directly from the ED, while fewer patients who were hospitalized (25.9% vs. 29.7%) or against-advise discharge (AAD) (2.6% vs. 4.0%) in the CRS group. Major adverse cardiac events and mortality at 60 days between the two groups were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS: A higher ED discharge rate of the group using CRS may indicate that ED physicians have more confidence in discharging low-risk patients based on CRS.

Using Machine Learning to Predict Invasive Bacterial Infections in Young Febrile Infants Visiting the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate a machine learning (ML) model to predict invasive bacterial infections (IBIs) in young febrile infants visiting the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted in the EDs of three medical centers across Taiwan from 2011 to 2018. We included patients age in 0-60 days who were visiting the ED with clinical symptoms of fever. We developed three different ML algorithms, including logistic regression (LR), supportive vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), comparing their performance at predicting IBIs to a previous validated score system (IBI score). RESULTS: During the study period, 4211 patients were included, where 126 (3.1%) had IBI. A total of eight, five, and seven features were used in the LR, SVM, and XGboost through the feature selection process, respectively. The ML models can achieve a better AUROC value when predicting IBIs in young infants compared with the IBI score (LR: 0.85 vs. SVM: 0.84 vs. XGBoost: 0.85 vs. IBI score: 0.70, p-value < 0.001). Using a cost sensitive learning algorithm, all ML models showed better specificity in predicting IBIs at a 90% sensitivity level compared to an IBI score > 2 (LR: 0.59 vs. SVM: 0.60 vs. XGBoost: 0.57 vs. IBI score >2: 0.43, p-value < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: All ML models developed in this study outperformed the traditional scoring system in stratifying low-risk febrile infants after the standardized sensitivity level.

Impact of estimated-weight-base dose of alteplase in acute stroke treatment on clinical outcome.

Dosing of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) for acute ischemic stroke treatment is often based on estimated body weight (BW) worldwide in routine clinical practice due to infeasible of accurate BW measurement. The aim of our study is to explore the impact of estimated BW when dosing rt-PA in acute ischemic stroke treatment on clinical outcome. Between January 2013 to May 2018, 126 acute ischemic stroke patients received intravenous rt-PA treatment based on estimated BW dosage were recruited. All patients had actual BW measured in ward after treatment. Based on the dosage of rt-PA given, patients were categorized into three groups, standard dose (0.8-1.0 mg/kg), overdose (>1.0 mg/kg), and underdose (<0.8 mg/kg). Among all 126 patients, 101 (80.2%) patients were treated with standard dose, 12 (9.5%) patients with overdose, and 13 (10.3%) patients with underdose of rt-PA respectively. There was no significant difference between demographic characteristics, pre-morbid risk factors, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score at 24 h, NIHSS score at discharge, modified Rankin scale (mRS) within 0 to 2 in discharge or in 3 months after the event within the three groups. There was also no significant difference in hemorrhagic transformation and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH). In conclusion, calculation of the dose of rt-PA based upon the estimated BW to treat acute ischemic stroke patients had no negative impact on the clinical outcome in our study.

The timing of last hemodialysis influences the prognostic value of serum lactate levels in predicting mortality of end-stage renal disease patients with sepsis in the emergency department.

ABSTRACT: Sepsis is a life-threatening condition, and serum lactate levels have been used to predict patient prognosis. Studies on serum lactate levels in patients undergoing regular hemodialysis who have sepsis are limited. This study aimed to determine the predictive value of serum lactate levels for sepsis-related mortality among patients who underwent last hemodialysis at three different times before admission to the emergency department (ED).This retrospective cohort study was conducted from January 2007 to December 2013 in southern Taiwan. All hemodialysis patients with sepsis, receiving antibiotics within 24 hours of sepsis confirmation, admitted for at least 3 days, and whose serum lactate levels were known were examined to determine the difference in the serum lactate levels of patients who underwent last hemodialysis within 4 hours (Groups A), in 4-12 hours (Group B), and beyond 12 hours (Group C) before visited to the ED. All the continuous variables, categorical variables and mortality were compared by using Kruskal-Wallis test or Mann-Whitney test, the χ2 or Fisher exact tests, and multiple logistic regression model, respectively.A total of 490 patients were enrolled in the study, and 8.0% (39), 21.5% (84), and 74.9% (367) of the patients were in Group A, Group B and Group C, respectively; the serum lactate levels (2.91 vs 2.13 vs 2.79 mmol/L, respectively; P = .175) and 28-day in-hospital mortality (17.9% vs 14.6% vs 22.9%) showed no statistically significant difference between 3 groups. The association between serum lactate levels and 28-day in-hospital mortality was reliable in Group B (P = .002) and Group C (P < .001), but it was unreliable in Group A (P = .629).Serum lactate level has acceptable sensitivity in predicting 28-day in-hospital mortality among patients with sepsis who undergo last hemodialysis after 4 hours, but is not reliable when the last hemodialysis takes place within 4 hours.