Identification of an ANCA-Associated Vasculitis Cohort Using Deep Learning and Electronic Health Records.

Background: ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a rare but serious disease. Traditional case-identification methods using claims data can be time-intensive and may miss important subgroups. We hypothesized that a deep learning model analyzing electronic health records (EHR) can more accurately identify AAV cases. Methods: We examined the Mass General Brigham (MGB) repository of clinical documentation from 12/1/1979 to 5/11/2021, using expert-curated keywords and ICD codes to identify a large cohort of potential AAV cases. Three labeled datasets (I, II, III) were created, each containing note sections. We trained and evaluated a range of machine learning and deep learning algorithms for note-level classification, using metrics like positive predictive value (PPV), sensitivity, F-score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and area under the precision and recall curve (AUPRC). The deep learning model was further evaluated for its ability to classify AAV cases at the patient-level, compared with rule-based algorithms in 2,000 randomly chosen samples. Results: Datasets I, II, and III comprised 6,000, 3,008, and 7,500 note sections, respectively. Deep learning achieved the highest AUROC in all three datasets, with scores of 0.983, 0.991, and 0.991. The deep learning approach also had among the highest PPVs across the three datasets (0.941, 0.954, and 0.800, respectively). In a test cohort of 2,000 cases, the deep learning model achieved a PPV of 0.262 and an estimated sensitivity of 0.975. Compared to the best rule-based algorithm, the deep learning model identified six additional AAV cases, representing 13% of the total. Conclusion: The deep learning model effectively classifies clinical note sections for AAV diagnosis. Its application to EHR notes can potentially uncover additional cases missed by traditional rule-based methods.

Hydroxychloroquine Dose and Hospitalizations for Active Lupus.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the impact of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) dose on the risk of hospitalizations for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: We conducted a case-crossover study within an academic health system, including patients with SLE who used HCQ and had ≥ 1 hospitalization for active SLE between January 2011 and December 2021. Case periods ended in hospitalization for SLE, whereas control periods did not. The exposures were the average weight-based HCQ dose, categorized as ≤5 or >5 mg/kg/day, and non-weight-based HCQ dose, categorized as <400 or 400 mg/day, assessed during each 6-month case or control period. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated using conditional logistic regression and adjusted for prior disease activity, kidney function, glucocorticoid use and other immunosuppressant use. RESULTS: Of 2,974 patients with SLE who used HCQ (mean age 36.5 years; 92% female), 584 had ≥1 hospitalization with primary discharge diagnosis of SLE. Of these, 122 had ≥1 hospitalization for active SLE while using HCQ and had ≥1 control period with HCQ use during the study period. Lower HCQ weight-based dose (≤5 vs. >5 mg/kg/day) and non-weight-based dose (<400 vs. 400 mg/day) were each associated with increased hospitalizations for active SLE (adjusted OR 4.20 [95% CI 1.45-12.19] and 3.39 [95% CI 1.31-8.81]). CONCLUSIONS: The use of lower doses of HCQ was associated with an increased risk of hospitalizations for active SLE. Although the long-term risk of HCQ retinopathy must be acknowledged, this must be balanced with the short-term and cumulative risks of increased SLE activity.

Caffeine inhibits both basal and insulin-activated urate transport.

OBJECTIVE: Caffeine, an adenosine receptor antagonist, is a potent central nervous system stimulant that also impairs insulin signaling. Recent studies have suggested that coffee consumption lowers serum urate (SU) and protects against gout, by unknown mechanisms. We hypothesized that caffeine lowers serum urate by affecting activity of urate transporters. METHODS: We examined the effect of caffeine and adenosine on basal and insulin-stimulation of net 14C-urate uptake in the human renal proximal tubule cell line PTC-05, and on individual urate transporters expressed in Xenopus laevis oocytes. RESULTS: We found that caffeine and adenosine efficiently inhibited both basal and insulin-stimulation of net 14C-urate uptake mediated by endogenous urate transporters in PTC-05 cells. In oocytes expressing individual urate transporters, caffeine (>0.2 mM) more efficiently inhibited the basal urate transport activity of GLUT9 isoforms, OAT4, OAT1, OAT3, NPT1, ABCG2 and ABCC4 than did adenosine, without significantly affecting URAT1 and OAT10. However, unlike adenosine, caffeine at lower concentrations (<0.2 mM), very effectively inhibited insulin-activation of urate transport activity of GLUT9, OAT10, OAT1, OAT3, NPT1, ABCG2 and ABCC4 by blocking activation of Akt and ERK. CONCLUSIONS: We postulate that inhibition of urate transport activity of the reabsorptive transporters GLUT9, OAT10, and OAT4 by caffeine is a key mechanism in its urate-lowering effects. Additionally, the ability of caffeine to block insulin-activated urate transport by GLUT9a and OAT10 suggests greater relative inhibition of these transporters in hyperinsulinemia.

Identifying the association between serum urate levels and gout flares in patients taking urate-lowering therapy: a post hoc cohort analysis of the CARES trial with consideration of dropout.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate gout flare rates based on repeated serum urate (SU) measurements in a randomised controlled trial of urate-lowering therapy (ULT), accounting for dropout and death. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis using data from Cardiovascular Safety of Febuxostat or Allopurinol in Patients with Gout, which randomised participants to febuxostat or allopurinol, titrated to target SU <6 mg/dL with flare prophylaxis for 6 months. SU was categorised as ≤3.9, 4.0-5.9, 6.0-7.9, 8.0-9.9 or ≥ 10 mg/dL at each 3-6 month follow-up. The primary outcome was gout flare. Poisson regression models, adjusted for covariates and factors related to participant retention versus dropout, estimated gout flare incidence rate ratios by time-varying SU category. RESULTS: Among 6183 participants, the median age was 65 years and 84% were male. Peak gout flare rates for all SU categories were observed in months 0-6, coinciding with the initiation of ULT and months 6-12 after stopping prophylaxis. Flare rates were similar across SU groups in the initial year of ULT. During months 36-72, a dose-response relationship was observed between the SU category and flare rate. Lower flare rates were observed when SU ≤3.9 mg/dL and greater rates when SU ≥10 mg/dL, compared with SU 4.0-5.9 mg/dL (p for trend <0.01). CONCLUSION: Gout flare rates were persistently higher when SU ≥6 mg/dL after the first year of ULT after accounting for censoring. The spike in flares in all categories after stopping prophylaxis suggests a longer duration of prophylaxis may be warranted.

Risk of urolithiasis associated with allopurinol versus benzbromarone among patients with gout: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the risk of urolithiasis in gout patients initiating allopurinol, a xanthine oxidase inhibitor, vs benzbromarone, a uricosuric. METHODS: Using the 2011-2020 Korea National Health Insurance Service database, we conducted a cohort study on gout patients initiating allopurinol vs benzbromarone as the 1st-line urate-lowering treatment (ULT). The primary outcome was a new onset urinary stone. The secondary outcome was a stone requiring intervention. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using Cox proportional hazard models with a 5:1 ratio propensity-score matching on > 80 variables. Subgroup analyses were done by age, sex, thiazide use, and cardiovascular (CV) risk. RESULTS: 61 300 allopurinol initiators PS-matched on 12 260 benzbromarone initiators were included (mean age 59 years, 79% male). During a mean follow-up of 322 days, 619 urolithiasis cases occurred with an incidence rate of 0.87 per 100 person-years in allopurinol and 1.39 in benzbromarone initiators, showing a HR of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.51-0.80). ∼44% of urinary stones required intervention with a HR of 0.61 (95% CI 0.43-0.88). The lower risk associated with allopurinol compared with benzbromarone persisted across subgroups but was greater in the high than non-high CV risk subgroup (p for interaction = 0.02). CONCLUSION: This population-based cohort study found that allopurinol compared with benzbromarone was associated with a substantially lower risk of urolithiasis particularly in the presence of the high CV risk. This finding provides important safety information for clinicians' decision-making on ULTs of different mechanisms of action.

Risk Factors for Hydroxychloroquine Retinopathy and Its Subtypes.

Importance: The major toxic effect of hydroxychloroquine is retinopathy. Thus, current guidelines recommend limiting the dose and screening annually for retinopathy among all long-term users, but individual patient factors may be associated with retinopathy risk. Objective: To identify risk factors beyond hydroxychloroquine dose and duration of use for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study of 4677 patients in the Kaiser Permanente Northern California integrated health network who initiated hydroxychloroquine, continued treatment, and underwent retinopathy screening after 5 years of use was conducted from July 1, 1997, to December 31, 2020, with up to 15 years of follow-up. Statistical analysis was performed in August 2023. Exposure: Candidate risk factors included age at hydroxychloroquine initiation, sex, race and ethnicity, indications, chronic kidney disease (CKD), liver disease, diabetes, tamoxifen use, and medications that interact with hydroxychloroquine metabolism. Hydroxychloroquine dose was assessed from pharmacy dispensing records. Main Outcome and Measures: Incident hydroxychloroquine retinopathy was adjudicated from masked review of guideline-recommended screening studies and classified as parafoveal or pericentral pattern. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess potential risk factors for hydroxychloroquine retinopathy within 15 years of initiation. Results: Of 4677 long-term hydroxychloroquine users (mean [SD] age at initiation, 52.4 [14.1] years; 3877 women [82.9%]), 125 patients developed hydroxychloroquine retinopathy within 15 years (102 parafoveal, 23 pericentral). Older age at time of hydroxychloroquine initiation was associated with retinopathy risk, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.48 (95% CI, 1.28-4.78) for those aged 45 to 54 years, 3.82 (95% CI, 2.05-7.14) for those aged 55 to 64 years, and 5.68 (95% CI, 2.99-10.79) for those aged 65 years or older compared with those younger than 45 years. The risk of retinopathy was higher among females than males (HR, 3.83 [95% CI, 1.86-7.89]), among patients with CKD stage 3 or greater (HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.25-3.04]), and among individuals with tamoxifen use (HR, 3.43 [95% CI, 1.08-10.89]). The likelihood of pericentral retinopathy was higher among Asian patients (HR, 15.02 [95% CI, 4.82-46.87]) and Black patients (HR, 5.51 [95% CI, 1.22-24.97]) compared with non-Hispanic White patients. Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that increasing age, female sex, CKD stage 3 or greater, and tamoxifen use were associated with a higher risk of hydroxychloroquine retinopathy, whereas being younger than 45 years at hydroxychloroquine initiation and male sex were associated with a lower risk. Race and ethnicity were also associated with the pattern of retinopathy. These factors should be incorporated into hydroxychloroquine dosing decisions.

Adherence to Healthy and Unhealthy Plant-Based Diets and the Risk of Gout.

Importance: Plant-based diets are increasing in popularity due, in part, to their health benefits for selected cardiometabolic diseases as well as favorable environmental impact. Little is known about how such a diet is related to gout risk. Objective: To examine associations between adherence to a plant-based diet (including healthy and unhealthy versions of this diet), as well as its 18 individual food groups, and incident gout. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study used data from population-based cohorts of US men and women enrolled in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1986-2012) and Nurses' Health Study (1984-2010). Participants were men and women free of gout at baseline. Statistical analyses were performed over March 2020 to August 2023. Exposures: An overall plant-based diet index (PDI), as well as healthy (hPDI) and unhealthy (uPDI) versions of this index that emphasize healthy and less healthy plant-based foods, respectively. These diet indices were comprised of 18 food groups, assessed using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident cases of gout that were confirmed with a supplementary questionnaire to meet the preliminary American College of Rheumatology survey criteria for gout. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate multivariable-adjusted associations of all 3 PDIs with incident gout using quintiles (Q) of adherence. Results: Among a total of 122 679 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.8 [9.8] years among 43 703 men; mean [SD] age, 50.9 [7.2] years among 78 976 women) over 2 704 899 person-years of follow-up, 2709 participants experienced incident gout. The overall PDI was not significantly associated with gout in either cohort (Q5 vs Q1 pooled hazard ratio [HR], 1.02 [95% CI, 0.89-1.17]; P for trend = .63). In the pooled analysis, hPDI was significantly inversely associated with risk of gout (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.69-0.91]; P for trend = .002), while the uPDI was positively associated with risk of gout (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.03-1.33]; P for trend = .02), particularly in women (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.05-1.62]; P for trend = .01). In analysis of individual food groups, higher intakes of certain healthy plant foods, such as whole grains (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.89-0.97]) and tea and coffee (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.92-0.97]), as well as dairy (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.82-0.90]), were independently associated with a lower risk of gout, while selected unhealthy plant foods, such as fruit juice (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.00-1.13]) and sugar-sweetened beverages (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.07-1.26]) were associated with increased risk of gout. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this prospective cohort study of PDIs and gout support current dietary recommendations to increase consumption of healthy plant foods while lowering intake of unhealthy plant foods to mitigate gout risk.

Large-scale cross-ancestry genome-wide meta-analysis of serum urate.

Hyperuricemia is an essential causal risk factor for gout and is associated with cardiometabolic diseases. Given the limited contribution of East Asian ancestry to genome-wide association studies of serum urate, the genetic architecture of serum urate requires exploration. A large-scale cross-ancestry genome-wide association meta-analysis of 1,029,323 individuals and ancestry-specific meta-analysis identifies a total of 351 loci, including 17 previously unreported loci. The genetic architecture of serum urate control is similar between European and East Asian populations. A transcriptome-wide association study, enrichment analysis, and colocalization analysis in relevant tissues identify candidate serum urate-associated genes, including CTBP1, SKIV2L, and WWP2. A phenome-wide association study using polygenic risk scores identifies serum urate-correlated diseases including heart failure and hypertension. Mendelian randomization and mediation analyses show that serum urate-associated genes might have a causal relationship with serum urate-correlated diseases via mediation effects. This study elucidates our understanding of the genetic architecture of serum urate control.

The clinical outcomes and healthcare resource utilization in IgG4-related disease: a claims-based analysis of commercially insured adults in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: IgG4-related disease (IgG4-RD) can affect nearly any organ and is often treated with glucocorticoids, which contribute to organ damage and toxicity. Comorbidities and healthcare utilization in IgG4-RD are poorly understood. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using claims data from a United States managed care organization. Incident IgG4-RD cases were identified using a validated algorithm; general population comparators were matched by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and index date. The frequency of 21 expert-defined clinical outcomes associated with IgG4-RD or its treatment and healthcare-associated visits and costs were assessed 12 months before and 36 months after the index date (date of earliest IgG4-RD-related claim). RESULTS: There were 524 cases and 5,240 comparators. Most cases received glucocorticoids prior to (64.0%) and after (85.1%) the index date. Nearly all outcomes, many being common glucocorticoid toxicities, occurred more frequently in cases vs comparators. During follow-up, the largest differences between cases and comparators were seen for gastroesophageal reflux disease (prevalence difference: +31.2%, p< 0.001); infections (+17.3%, p< 0.001); hypertension (+15.5%, p< 0.01); and diabetes mellitus (+15.0%, p< 0.001). The difference in malignancy increased during follow-up from +8.8% to + 12.5% (p< 0.001). 17.4% of cases used pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy during follow-up. Over follow-up, cases were more often hospitalized (57.3% vs 17.2%, p< 0.01) and/or had an ER visit (72.0% vs 36.7%, p< 0.01); all costs were greater in cases than comparators. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with IgG4-RD are disproportionately affected by adverse outcomes, some of which may be preventable or modifiable with vigilant clinician monitoring. Glucocorticoid-sparing treatments may improve these outcomes.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors vs Sulfonylureas for Gout Prevention Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Receiving Metformin.

Importance: Sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are a revolutionary treatment for type 2 diabetes (T2D) with cardiovascular, kidney, and serum urate-lowering benefits. Objective: To compare risk of incident gout and rate of recurrent flares between patients with T2D initiating SGLT2i vs sulfonylurea, most common second-line glucose-lowering therapy, when added to metformin monotherapy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This sequential, propensity score-matched, new-user comparative effectiveness study using target trial emulation framework included adults with T2D receiving metformin monotherapy in a Canadian general population database from January 1, 2014, to June 30, 2022. Exposures: Initiation of SGLT2i vs sulfonylurea. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident gout diagnosis, ascertained by emergency department (ED), hospital, outpatient, and medication dispensing records. Secondary outcomes were gout-primary hospitalizations and ED visits and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), as well as recurrent flare rates among prevalent gout patients. Heart failure (HF) hospitalization was assessed as positive control outcome and osteoarthritis encounters as negative control. For target trial emulations, we used Cox proportional hazards and Poisson regressions with 1:1 propensity score matching (primary analysis) and overlap weighting (sensitivity analysis). The analysis was conducted from September to December, 2023. Results: Among 34 604 propensity score matched adults with T2D initiating SGLT2i or sulfonylurea (20 816 [60%] male, mean [SD] age, 60 [12.4] years), incidence of gout was lower among SGLT2i initiators (4.27 events per 1000 person-years) than sulfonylurea initiators (6.91 events per 1000 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.48-0.80) and a rate difference (RD) of -2.64 (95% CI, -3.99 to -1.29) per 1000 person-years. Associations persisted regardless of sex, age, or baseline diuretic use. SGLT2i use was also associated with fewer recurrent flares among gout patients (rate ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.55-0.82; and RD, -20.9; 95% CI, -31.9 to -10.0 per 1000 person-years). HR and RD for MACE associated with SGLT2i use were 0.87 (95% CI, 0.77-0.98) and -3.58 (95% CI, -6.19 to -0.96) per 1000 person-years. For control outcomes, SGLT2i users had lower risk of HF (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.38-0.76), as expected, with no difference in osteoarthritis (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.94-1.34). Results were similar when applying propensity score overlap weighting. Conclusions: In this population-based cohort study, the gout and cardiovascular benefits associated with SGLT2i in these target trial emulations may guide selection of glucose-lowering therapy in patients with T2D, at risk for or already with gout.

Serum urate change among gout patients treated with sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitors vs. sulfonylurea: A comparative effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the serum urate (SU) change among gout patients initiating SGLT2i, and to compare with sulfonylurea, the second-most widely used glucose-lowering medication after metformin. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of patients with gout and baseline SU >6 mg/dL who had SU measured within 90 days before and after SGLT2i or sulfonylurea initiation. Using multivariable linear regression, we compared SU change among SGLT2i initiators between those with and without diabetes and then compared SU change between SGLT2i and sulfonylurea. RESULTS: We identified 28 patients with gout initiating SGLT2i (including 16 with diabetes) and 28 patients initiating sulfonylurea (all with diabetes). Among SGLT2i initiators, the mean within-group SU change was -1.8 (95 % CI, -2.4 to -1.1) mg/dL, including -1.2 (-1.8 to -0.6) mg/dL and -2.5 (-3.6 to -1.3) mg/dL among patients with and without diabetes, respectively, with an adjusted difference between those with and without diabetes of -1.4 (-2.4 to -0.5) mg/dL. The SU did not change after initiating sulfonylurea (+0.3 [-0.3 to 1.0] mg/dL). The adjusted SU change difference between SGLT2i vs. sulfonylurea initiation was -1.8 (-2.7 to -0.9) mg/dL in all patients. The SU reduction persisted regardless of urate-lowering therapy or diuretic use and the presence of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, or heart failure. CONCLUSION: Among patients with gout, SGLT2i was associated with a notable reduction in SU compared with sulfonylurea, with a larger reduction among patients without diabetes. With their proven cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic benefits, adding SGLT2i to current gout management could provide streamlined benefits for gout and its comorbidities.

The clinical benefits of sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitors in people with gout.

Gout is the most common form of inflammatory arthritis worldwide and is characterized by painful recurrent flares of inflammatory arthritis that are associated with a transiently increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events. Furthermore, gout is associated with multiple cardiometabolic-renal comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular disease. These comorbidities, potentially combined with gout flare-related inflammation, contribute to persistent premature mortality in gout, independently of serum urate concentrations and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Although better implementation of standard gout care could improve gout outcomes, deliberate efforts to address the cardiovascular risk in patients with gout are likely to be required to reduce mortality. Sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are approved for multiple indications owing to their ability to lower the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death, hospitalizations for heart failure and chronic kidney disease progression, making them an attractive treatment option for gout. These medications have also been shown to lower serum urate concentrations, the causal culprit in gout risk, and are associated with a reduced risk of incident and recurrent gout, potentially owing to their purported anti-inflammatory effects. Thus, SGLT2 inhibition could simultaneously address both the symptoms of gout and its comorbidities.

Frequently Encountered Artifacts in the Application of Dual-Energy Computed Tomography to Cardiovascular Imaging for Urate Crystals in Gout: A Matched-Control Study.

OBJECTIVE: There is surging interest in using dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) to identify cardiovascular monosodium urate (MSU) deposits in patients with gout. We sought to examine the prevalence and characterization of cardiovascular DECT artifacts using non-electrocardiogram (EKG)-gated DECT pulmonary angiograms. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed non-EKG-gated DECT pulmonary angiograms performed on patients with and without gout at a single academic center. We noted the presence and locations of vascular green colorization using the default postprocessing two-material decomposition algorithm for MSU. The high- and low-energy grayscale images and advanced DECT measurements were used to determine whether they were true findings or artifacts. We classified artifacts into five categories: streak, contrast medium mixing, misregistration due to motion, foreign body, and noise. RESULTS: Our study included CT scans from 48 patients with gout and 48 age- and sex-matched controls. The majority of patients were male with a mean age of 67 years. Two independent observers attributed all areas of vascular green colorization to artifacts. The most common types of artifacts were streak (56% vs 57% between patients and controls, respectively) and contrast medium mixing (51% vs 65%, respectively). Whereas some of the default DECT measurements of cardiovascular green colorization were consistent with values reported for subcutaneous tophi, advanced DECT measurements were not consistent with that of tophi. CONCLUSION: Artifacts that could be misconstrued as cardiovascular MSU deposits were commonly identified in patients with and without gout on non-EKG-gated DECT pulmonary angiograms. These artifacts can inform future vascular DECT studies on patients with gout to minimize false-positive findings.

Serum Urate and Recurrent Gout.

Importance: Approximately 12 million adults in the US have a history of gout, but whether serum urate levels can help predict recurrence is unclear. Objective: To assess associations of a single serum urate measurement with subsequent risk of acute gout flares and subsequent risk of hospitalizations for gout among patients in the UK with a history of gout. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective study included patients with a history of gout identified from the UK between 2006 and 2010 who were followed up through Primary Care Linked Data medical record linkage until 2017 and through the Hospital Episode Statistics database until 2020. Exposures: Serum urate levels at enrollment. Main Outcome and Measure: Rate of recurrent acute gout, ascertained by hospitalization, outpatient, and prescription/procedure records, and adjusted rate ratios using negative binomial regressions. Results: Among 3613 patients with gout (mean age, 60 years; 3104 [86%] men), 1773 gout flares occurred over a mean follow-up of 8.3 years. Of these, 1679 acute gout flares (95%) occurred in people with baseline serum urate greater than or equal to 6 mg/dL and 1731 (98%) occurred in people with baseline serum urate greater than or equal to 5 mg/dL. Rates of acute gout flares per 1000 person-years were 10.6 for participants with baseline urate levels less than 6 mg/dL, 40.1 for levels of 6.0 to 6.9 mg/dL, 82.0 for levels of 7.0 to 7.9 mg/dL, 101.3 for levels of 8.0 to 8.9 mg/dL, 125.3 for urate levels of 9.0 to 9.9 mg/dL, and 132.8 for levels greater than or equal to 10 mg/dL. Rate ratio of flares were 1.0, 3.37, 6.93, 8.67, 10.81, and 11.42, respectively, over 10 years (1.61 [1.54-1.68] per mg/dL). Rates of hospitalization per 1000 person-years during follow-up were 0.18 for those with baseline serum urate less than 6 mg/dL, 0.97 for serum urate of 6.0 to 6.9 mg/dL, 1.8 for serum urate of 7.0 to 7.9 mg/dL, 2.2 for serum urate of 8.0 to 8.9 mg/dL, 6.7 for serum urate of 9.0 to 9.9 mg/dL, and 9.7 for serum urate greater than or equal to 10 mg/dL. Rate ratios of hospitalization for gout, adjusting for age, sex, and race were 1.0, 4.70, 8.94, 10.37, 33.92, and 45.29, respectively (1.87 [1.57-2.23] per mg/dL). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective study of patients with a history of gout, serum urate levels at baseline were associated with the risk of subsequent gout flares and rates of hospitalization for recurrent gout. These findings support using a baseline serum urate level to assess risk of recurrent gout over nearly 10 years of follow-up.

Changes in alcohol intake and serum urate changes: longitudinal analyses of annual medical examination database.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the established cross-sectional association between alcohol intake and serum urate (SU), its longitudinal association remains unknown. This study aimed to determine whether changes in alcohol intake have a clinically relevant association with SU change. METHOD: We conducted retrospective analyses using systematically collected annual medical examination data from October 2012 to October 2022 in a Japanese preventive medicine centre. The exposure was changes in alcohol intake between two consecutive visits. The association of SU changes with alcohol intake changes was estimated by mixed-effect linear regression with adjustment for relevant covariates. RESULTS: We analysed 63 486 participants (median age, 47.0 years; 55% women; 58.6% regular alcohol drinkers with a median of 1.4 drinks/day) with 370 572 visits. The median SU level was 5.3 mg/dL, and 506 (0.8%) participants had diagnoses of gout or hyperuricemia without medication use during the study period. Decreasing one daily alcohol intake had a clinically small association with SU changes (-0.019 (95% CI: -0.021 to -0.017) mg/dL). Beer had the largest association with SU (-0.036 (95% CI: -0.039 to -0.032) mg/dL for one beer decrease). Complete discontinuation of any alcohol from a mean of 0.8 drinks/day was associated with -0.056 mg/dL (95% CI: -0.068 to -0.043) decrease in SU; the association became larger in hyperuricemic participants (-0.110 mg/dL (95% CI: -0.154 to -0.066) for alcohol discontinuation from a mean of 1.0 drinks/day). CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed changes in alcohol intake had small associations with SU change at the general Japanese population level. Complete discontinuation of alcohol in hyperuricemic participants had only modest improvement in SU.

Unclosing Premature Mortality Gap Among Patients With Gout in the US General Population, Independent of Serum Urate and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk Factors.

OBJECTIVE: Gout flares are followed by transient major cardiovascular (CV) risk, implicating the role of inflammation; the aim of this study was to determine whether premature mortality rates in patients with gout and CV risk are independent of serum urate (SU) and atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD) risk factors. METHODS: Using serial US nationwide prospective cohorts, we evaluated the independent association of prevalent gout with all-cause and CV mortality, adjusting for SU, ASCVD risk factors, comorbidities, medications, and kidney function and compared mortality rates between the early (1988-1994 baseline) and late cohorts (2007-2016 baseline). We replicated late cohort findings among patients with gout in a nationwide UK cohort (2006-2010 baseline). RESULTS: Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality rates in patients with prevalent gout were similar in early and late US cohorts (1.20 [1.03-1.40] and 1.19 [1.04-1.37], respectively); HRs with further adjustment for SU were 1.19 (1.02-1.38) and 1.19 (1.03-1.37), respectively. Adjusted HR among patients with gout from the UK late cohort was 1.61 (1.47-1.75); these associations were larger among women (P = 0.04) and prominent among Black individuals. Adjusted HR for CV mortality rates in the late US cohort was 1.39 (1.09-1.78); those for circulatory, CV, and coronary heart disease deaths among UK patients with incident gout were 1.48 (1.24-1.76), 1.49 (1.20-1.85), and 1.59 (1.26-1.99), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with gout experience a persistent mortality gap in all-cause and CV deaths, even adjusting for SU and ASCVD risk factors, supporting a role for gout-specific pathways (eg, flare inflammation). These findings suggest gaps in current care, particularly in women and possibly among Black patients.

The COMPARE head-to-head, randomized controlled trial of SEL-212 (pegadricase plus rapamycin-containing nanoparticle, ImmTOR™) versus pegloticase for refractory gout.

OBJECTIVES: Serum urate (SU) lowering with PEGylated uricases in gout can reduce flares and tophi. However, treatment-emergent anti-drug antibodies adversely affect safety and efficacy and the currently approved PEGylated uricase pegloticase requires twice-monthly infusions. Investigational SEL-212 therapy aims to promote uricase-specific tolerance via monthly sequential infusions of a proprietary rapamycin-containing nanoparticle (ImmTOR) and pegadricase. METHODS: COMPARE was a randomized, phase 2, open-label trial of SEL-212 vs pegloticase in adults with refractory gout. SEL-212 [ImmTOR (0.15 mg/kg) and pegadricase (0.2 mg/kg)] was infused monthly or pegloticase (8 mg) twice monthly for 6 months. The primary endpoint was the proportion of participants with SU <6 mg/dl for ≥80% of the time during 3 and 6 months. Secondary outcomes were mean SU, gout flares, number of tender and/or swollen joints and safety. RESULTS: During months 3 and 6 combined, numerically more participants achieved and maintained a SU <6 mg/dl for ≥80% of the time with SEL-212 vs pegloticase (53.0% vs 46.0%, P = 0.181). The percentage reductions in SU levels were statistically greater during months 3 and 6 with SEL-212 vs pegloticase (-73.79% and -47.96%, P = 0.0161). Reductions in gout flare incidence and number of tender and/or swollen joints were comparable between treatments. There were numerical differences between the most common treatment-related adverse events of interest with SEL-212 and pegloticase: gout flares (60.2% vs 50.6%), infections (25.3% vs 18.4%) and infusion-related reactions (15.7% vs 11.5%), respectively. Stomatitis (and related terms) was experienced by eight participants (9.6%) with SEL-212 and none with pegloticase. Stomatitis, a known event for rapamycin, was associated with ImmTOR only. CONCLUSIONS: SEL-212 efficacy and tolerability were comparable to pegloticase in refractory gout. This was associated with a substantial reduction in treatment burden with SEL-212 due to decreased infusion frequency vs pegloticase. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03905512.